The Zeitgeist List · coordinators · never a head coach

Dave Warner.

Offensive coordinator · 7 seasons · 2 stints · 2 programs1 season ranked in the national top 10%
Own effect on the unit
Offense+0.06#132 of 472 · a typical amount

The tenure clock

Every stop re-aligned to its own first year, so the stops stack instead of scrolling past each other. The gray dashed line is a reference, not a path: each point is the median of whoever was still in the job that year, across every real OC/DC stint since 2014 at that role, and the pool shrinks year over year because surviving to a later year means not having been fired.

100th — best in the country90th — elite — top 10%75th — top quarter50th — national median25th — bottom quarter0 — worst in the countryHis offense’s national rank, by year of tenureYear 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5Year of that tenure, not calendar yearn=691n=405n=203n=102n=58median still in the jobnot a pathMichigan State, year 1: 93rd percentileMichigan State, year 2: 33rd percentileMichigan State, year 3: 54th percentileMichigan State, year 4: 50th percentileMichigan State, year 5: 3rd percentileMichigan StUTEP, year 1: 62nd percentileUTEP, year 2: 44th percentileUTEP
Michigan State 2014–2018
UTEP 2021–2022
Median of those still in the job, that year of a tenure. A shrinking pool, not a path.
Michigan State, 5 years
−89.9
92.6 to 2.7 percentile.
UTEP, 2 years
−18.0
61.9 to 43.9 percentile.
Median offensive coordinator
+4.7
first season to last, across 222 stints of 3+ years. 52.7% improve at all.

Every stop on the calendar

YearsProgramWalked intoYear 1BestVs. talent
2014–2018Michigan Stateno record92.692.6−24.4
2021–2022UTEP38.261.961.9+19.6

No prior-season record for the first stop (Michigan State, 2014) — the data floor starts there.

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