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Where every team stands, what every fanbase thinks, and why it matters — receipts attached.

Who's in the room right now

most-discussed teams · last 48 hours · posts counted, not estimated
The biggest thing today

Miami has climbed into dynasty-caliber territory — into the top 9% of FBS by power rating over the last three seasons, up from the top 31% a year ago.

a 22-14 record over the last three regular seasons

690 counted
posts measured in the latest pulse
5 counted
sources covering it
9.5 counted
win total — the line hasn't budged

What's blowing up

the day's stories, sorted by why they matter

The playoff forecast

Ohio State leads our model — but the market isn't as sold yet

missed fieldfirst roundquarterfinalsemifinalfinalchampion
Ohio StateBig Tenmissed field: 19%first round: 9%quarterfinal: 27%semifinal: 18%final: 11%champion: 16%16%mkt 10+6 ⚠
GeorgiaSECmissed field: 32%first round: 11%quarterfinal: 24%semifinal: 15%final: 9%champion: 10%10%mkt 7
AlabamaSECmissed field: 34%first round: 11%quarterfinal: 24%semifinal: 14%final: 8%champion: 9%9%mkt 3+6 ⚠
Texas A&MSECmissed field: 35%first round: 11%quarterfinal: 23%semifinal: 14%final: 8%champion: 9%9%mkt 4+5 ⚠
OregonBig Tenmissed field: 43%first round: 11%quarterfinal: 20%semifinal: 12%final: 7%champion: 7%7%mkt 8
Notre DameFBS Independentsmissed field: 48%first round: 13%quarterfinal: 17%semifinal: 10%final: 6%champion: 6%6%mkt 9
Show all 12 teams+129 more
Texas TechBig 12missed field: 45%first round: 17%quarterfinal: 18%semifinal: 10%final: 5%champion: 6%6%mkt 3
TexasSECmissed field: 45%first round: 12%quarterfinal: 22%semifinal: 11%final: 5%champion: 5%5%mkt 8−3 ⚠
OklahomaSECmissed field: 53%first round: 12%quarterfinal: 17%semifinal: 9%final: 5%champion: 4%4%mkt 2
ClemsonACCmissed field: 63%first round: 12%quarterfinal: 12%semifinal: 6%final: 3%champion: 3%3%mkt 1
Penn StateBig Tenmissed field: 66%first round: 10%quarterfinal: 13%semifinal: 6%final: 3%champion: 3%3%mkt 1
USCBig Tenmissed field: 67%first round: 10%quarterfinal: 12%semifinal: 6%final: 3%champion: 2%2%mkt 2
Full bubble watch →
How we forecast

Our model runs 20,000 season simulations using team strength ratings and schedule difficulty. The percentage shown is our championship probability.

The mkt figure is aggregated from major sportsbooks with the house margin removed — what bettors collectively believe. Large gaps are worth watching.

Bars desaturate early in the season and sharpen as games are played. Full methodology →

On the Clock

the countdown & the openers worth circling
Big 12 Media Days in 16 daysSEC Media Days in 22 daysACC Kickoff in 30 days
Hawai'i at Stanford2026-08-29
Jacksonville State at North Dakota State2026-08-29
Sacramento State at Eastern Michigan2026-08-29
Memphis at UNLV2026-08-29
San José State at USC2026-08-29