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Team seasons
87 stories · November 5, 2026
The Arguments
— Machine-found, from real reporting
Team seasons
— Machine-assembled, from the season's real beats
Sagas
— Written by our model, chapter by chapter
Navy
Market moves
22.2
▲ 20.3
Brian Newberry's 4th season opens with a 11-2 record and a 1.0 win total jump, but Navy's #138 talent rank and uneasy fan belief signal tension ahead.
Read the story →
Answered
— the question resolved.
Replaced
— a newer question took over.
All
Coaching
Market moves
Program outlook
Recruiting
Coordinators
Massachusetts
Market moves
4.3
▲ 3.9
Joe Harasymiak enters his second season with a 0-12 losing record to overcome, as UMass fights to prove it belongs in the MAC conversation with #128 talent.
Answered
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FBS-wide
Coordinators
The coordinator carousel: 22 changes across FBS this cycle.
See the coordinator board →
Oklahoma
Program outlook
No. 14
SP+
Oklahoma jumped 19 spots in SP+ — the gap between the ranking and its 10-3 record is the story Brent Venables has to answer in Big 12 this year.
Replaced
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Air Force
Market moves
7.5
▲ 1
Troy Calhoun enters his 10th season with a 4-8 losing record, facing the challenge of elevating Air Force's program identity beyond its current lower-tier FBS standing.
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Baylor
Market moves
7.5
▲ 1
Dave Aranda enters his sixth season at Baylor with a 5-7 losing record and a talent rank of #35, raising questions about sustaining the program's identity amid a win total.
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Mississippi State
Market moves
4.5
▼ 3
Jeff Lebby's third season begins with a 5-8 losing record and a 1.0 win total jump — the program's patience is tested as bowl eligibility nears but results remain elusive.
Answered
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BYU
Program outlook
Top 16%
3-yr power rating
Sitake's 26-11 run has BYU in dynasty-caliber territory for the first time since its title era, but the market projects just 8.5 wins this season.
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Jacksonville State
Market moves
23.4
▲ 5.2
Charles Kelly's 9-5 season raises questions about sustaining momentum as Jacksonville State's #93 talent rank and uneasy fanbase watch the CUSA championship odds climb.
Answered
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East Carolina
Market moves
6.1
▼ 5
Blake Harrell's 9-4 season raises the question of whether East Carolina can sustain its upward trajectory with a #83 talent rank and a win total that dipped slightly.
Answered
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Marshall
Market moves
0.4
▼ 7.9
Tony Gibson's 5-7 losing record and Marshall's #97 talent rank create tension — can a middle-tier program revive its 'We Are Marshall' legacy with this roster?
Answered
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Army
Market moves
5.3
▼ 7.2
Jeff Monken's 13th season opens with a 7-6 record and a 0.1-point win total rise, signaling cautious optimism for Army's triple-option offense amid a #136 talent rank challenge.
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Ohio
Market moves
18.2
▲ 5.7
John Hauser begins his tenure with a 9-4 record and a #129 talent rank, signaling a rebuild at a program defined by its historic roots and recent MAC championship odds shift.
Replaced
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Central Michigan
Program outlook
Matt Drinkall's 7-6 debut season marks the start of a new era for Central Michigan, which last won MAC titles in 2009 under Brian Kelly and Butch Jones.
Answered
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Delaware
Market moves
2.9
▼ 9.6
Ryan Carty's 7-6 record and Delaware's #134 talent rank highlight a program struggling to match its historic legacy in its second FBS season.
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UAB
Coaching
Mortensen inherits a 4-8 roster and 73% returning production — UAB’s third coach in five years faces the challenge of stabilizing a program defined by cycles of collapse and revival.
Replaced
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Washington
Program outlook
Top 25%
3-yr power rating
Washington has slipped from elite-tier consistency — the first season outside the top-15% tier raises the question of whether Jedd Fisch's second year can stabilize a program that fell from.
Answered
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Vanderbilt
Program outlook
No. 11
SP+
Vanderbilt leaped 39 spots in SP+ — the gap between the ranking and its 10-3 record is the story Clark Lea has to answer in the SEC this year.
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Western Michigan
Program outlook
No. 78
SP+
Western Michigan jumped 27 spots in SP+ — the 10-4 record and top-quintile returning production contrast with the 2025 SP+ rating, raising questions about sustainability under Lance Taylor.
Replaced
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NC State
Market moves
6.5
▼ 1
Doeren's 8-5 season feels like a step back for a program that thrives on QB production and fan passion, now facing a solo market dip.
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Iowa
Program outlook
Top 13%
3-yr power rating
Ferentz's 26-11 run has Iowa in dynasty territory for the first time since 2021, but the market's 7.5-win projection suggests skepticism about sustaining that grind.
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Texas Tech
Program outlook
Top 15%
3-yr power rating
Texas Tech has reached elite-tier consistency — the program's peak power-rating run in four years raises the question of whether McGuire's fourth season can hold the top-12% SP+ with a 10.5-win market projection.
Replaced
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North Texas
Program outlook
Top 51%
3-yr power rating
Eric Morris' 12-2 season vaulted North Texas into dynasty territory, but the market projects just 6 wins — a skepticism gap after a historic G5 run.
Replaced
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Michigan
Market moves
8.5
▲ 2
Kyle Whittingham begins his tenure at Michigan with a 9-4 record and a 7.5-win market projection, but fan optimism outpaces the team's current trajectory.
Replaced
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Clemson
Program outlook
Top 15%
3-yr power rating
Clemson has slipped from elite-tier consistency — the first time below the top-9% tier since 2023, raising the question of whether Dabo Swinney’s 13th season can rekindle the program’s dynasty-era dominance.
Replaced
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Georgia Southern
Program outlook
No. 103
SP+
Georgia Southern dropped 27 spots in SP+ — the 7-6 record and top-quintile returning production contrast with the 2025 ranking, raising questions about Clay Helton’s ability to sustain momentum in the Sun Belt.
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Miami (OH)
Program outlook
No. 82
SP+
Miami (OH) dropped 14 spots in SP+ — the 7-7 record and #87 talent rank reveal a gap between expectations and execution, challenging Chuck Martin to restore the 'Cradle of.
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North Carolina
Program outlook
No. 91
SP+
North Carolina collapsed 42 spots in SP+ — the bottom-quintile returning production and 4-8 record raise one question: can Bill Belichick turn a 138-year football experiment into something more than a footnote?
Answered
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Miami
Program outlook
Mario Cristobal's fifth season opens with a 13-3 record — the question is whether Miami can sustain its playoff path while honoring its swagger-driven legacy.
Answered
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LSU
Program outlook
Lane Kiffin's first season at LSU opens with a 7-6 record and an uneasy fanbase questioning whether the playoff path can shift under his leadership.
Replaced
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Florida
Program outlook
Sumrall, who previously coached at Tulane, inherits a 4-8 losing record and a program that once held the crown — the weight of history now rests on his first season at Florida.
Replaced
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South Florida
Program outlook
Brian Hartline begins his tenure at South Florida with a 9-4 record and a #25 AP ranking, but the program's uneasy fanbase questions if the playoff path shift can sustain elite-tier consistency.
Replaced
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Arkansas State
Program outlook
No. 100
SP+
Arkansas State enters 2026 — the 7-6 record and #88 talent rank signal a rare upward trajectory, yet the program's identity as a historic Sun Belt dynasty remains unproven in.
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South Carolina
Program outlook
No. 49
SP+
South Carolina collapsed 35 spots in SP+ — the 4-8 record and lack of returning production raise one question: can Shane Beamer reverse the slide before the program’s next 11-win season?
Replaced
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Syracuse
Program outlook
No. 115
SP+
Syracuse collapsed 70 spots in SP+ — the 3-9 record and bottom-quintile returning production raise one question: can Fran Brown’s second season salvage the historic-northeast-football identity before it fades?
Answered
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Texas A&M
Market moves
Mike Elko's third season at Texas A&M begins with a 11-2 record and #7 talent rank, yet fan belief remains uneasy as the program waits to fulfill its cathedral-sized promise.
Answered
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UCLA
Recruiting
No. 21
Foster's first full portal class in Year 2 addresses OT and LB while replacing Marshall and Johnson — UCLA's patience with roster rebuilding meets its alumni pedigree.
Replaced
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Iowa State
Recruiting
No. 26
Campbell's top-2 portal class in the Big 12 targets DL and IOL — diagnosing last year's 8-4 record while stabilizing a roster with just 58% production returning.
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Alabama
Market moves
8.5
▼ 1
Kalen DeBoer's third season at Alabama begins with a 11-4 record and a talent rank of #4, yet fan optimism outpaces the market's cautious win total projection.
Replaced
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Wisconsin
Recruiting
No. 18
A top-3 portal class for Wisconsin — a program that turned Big Ten clichés into actual football — arrives as Fickell's third season begins with 6% of QB production returning.
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Kentucky
Recruiting
No. 9
Mark Stoops' highest-ranked portal class on record arrives as Kentucky's 5-7 losing season fades — Kenny Minchey (QB) and 29 additions aim to fix a roster with only 27% of production returning.
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USC
Market moves
7.1
▲ 5.1
Lincoln Riley's fifth season at USC begins with a 9-4 record and a #9 talent rank, but the Big Ten championship odds have lengthened, signaling market skepticism about sustaining elite performance.
Answered
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Washington State
Coaching
Kirby Moore inherits a 7-6 roster and 25% returning production — the Pac-12's last Air Raid holdout now faces the weight of a 1st season under a new coach in.
Replaced
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Georgia State
Program outlook
Dell McGee begins his second season at Georgia State with a 1-11 losing record, raising questions about whether the program's identity as an Atlanta-FBS-newcomer-football standard-bearer can be redefined.
Replaced
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Tulane
Coaching
Will Hall, who led Southern Miss to an 11-3 season and a #17 AP ranking, inherits a 15% production roster at Tulane — the program's third head coach in five.
Answered
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Boston College
Program outlook
No. 97
SP+
Boston College dropped 27 spots in SP+ — the 2-10 record and lack of returning production raise questions about whether the program can reclaim its identity as a Catholic-Northeast football standard-bearer under Bill O'B
Answered
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California
Coaching
Lupoi inherits a 7-6 program with 22% production returning and a talent rank of #36 — the Bay Area’s football identity hangs in the balance as the ACC transition deepens.
Replaced
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Fresno State
Program outlook
No. 66
SP+
Fresno State jumped 19 spots in SP+ — the 9-4 record and bottom-quintile returning production create a split screen between momentum and the rebuilding challenge under Matt Entz.
Answered
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Colorado
Program outlook
Deion Sanders inherits a 3-9 losing record and a program mired in off-field tensions, raising questions about whether Colorado's 1990s glory can be revived under his fourth season at the helm.
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Oregon
Recruiting
No. 3
With Immanuel Iheanacho (#16 nationally, IOL) arriving, Oregon's third straight top-5 class faces the challenge of rebuilding nearly everything after seven NFL exits and a rival, Washington, signed a top-13 class.
Replaced
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Oklahoma State
Market moves
8.5
▲ 3
Mike Gundy's 10th season opens with a 1-11 losing record and a #49 talent rank, raising questions about whether Oklahoma State can cross into bowl eligibility with its current trajectory.
Replaced
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Utah
Program outlook
Top 20%
3-yr power rating
Utah has reached elite-tier consistency — the 23-13 record over three seasons raises the question of whether Kyle Whittingham's 10th year can sustain a top-14% power rating with the market.
Answered
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Ball State
Program outlook
Mike Uremovich begins his second season at Ball State with a 4-8 losing record and a program that last won a MAC title in 1996, raising questions about whether this.
Answered
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Louisiana
Program outlook
Louisiana's 6-7 losing record this season marks a stark contrast to the 2018-2021 Napier era, raising questions about sustaining the Cajun Field identity under Desormeaux's fifth season.
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Southern Miss
Program outlook
Southern Miss, under Blake Anderson's first season, faces the challenge of reviving a program defined by its historic 1988-2010 winning streak, now 7-6 after a reshaped season.
Replaced
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Ole Miss
Program outlook
Pete Golding begins his Ole Miss tenure with a 13-2 record and a #6 AP finish, but the program's uneasy fanbase questions if a new identity can sustain a national.
Answered
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Louisville
Program outlook
Jeff Brohm enters his fourth season at Louisville, inheriting a 9-4 record but facing the challenge of shifting the fanbase's identity beyond Lamar Jackson's legacy.
Answered
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Virginia Tech
Coaching
Franklin, who led Penn State to a national title, inherits a 3-9 roster and 50% returning production — Virginia Tech's identity as a program with a 1999 hangover hangs in the balance.
Replaced
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Michigan State
Coaching
Fitzgerald, who led Northwestern to a 9-4 record, inherits a 4-8 roster at Michigan State — the program that beat Michigan when nobody else thought to, now tasked with steadying.
Answered
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Old Dominion
Program outlook
Ricky Rahne enters his fifth season with a 10-3 record, anchoring Old Dominion's identity as a historic Tidewater rebuild in a middle-tier program navigating a conference shift.
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Duke
Program outlook
Manny Diaz's second season at Duke arrives with a 9-5 record, but the fanbase remains uneasy as the program navigates its shifting identity between Cameron Indoor and Wallace Wade Stadium.
Answered
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Toledo
Program outlook
Jason Candle enters his 9th season with an 8-5 record, anchoring Toledo's identity as a historic MAC stalwart amid evolving fanbase expectations.
Replaced
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Wake Forest
Program outlook
Jake Dickert's first season at Wake Forest begins with a 9-4 record, but the program's identity shift and uneasy fanbase signal untested challenges for a coach inheriting a middle-tier P5 school.
Answered
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UCF
Program outlook
Scott Frost inherits a 5-7 losing record at UCF, a program that once went 13-0 but now faces the challenge of rekindling its national identity.
Answered
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TCU
Program outlook
No. 37
SP+
TCU enters 2026 — the 12-spot SP+ drop from 2024 raises one question: can Sonny Dykes’ 4th season sustain the 9-4 winning record that made a national title game appearance feel possible?
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Hawai'i
Program outlook
No. 68
SP+
Hawai'i leaped 39 spots in SP+ — the 9-4 record and June Jones-era identity raise the question of whether this program can sustain its newfound momentum in the Mountain West.
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West Virginia
Recruiting
No. 28
Rich Rodriguez's second consecutive top-20 portal class arrives with Michael Hawkins Jr. (QB) to fix 16% returning QB production — a lifeline for West Virginia's only Power-5 show in a state hungry for wins.
Answered
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San Diego State
Recruiting
No. 56
Sean Lewis' top-15 portal class targets defensive line and edge depth after losing two starters — a reset for a 9-4 program still building its identity in the Pac-12.
Replaced
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Tennessee
Program outlook
Top 16%
3-yr power rating
Heupel’s fifth class arrives at an 8-5 roster with 26 wins in four years — consistent recruiting masking the churn from a program writing its sequel.
Answered
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Stanford
Coaching
Tavita Pritchard inherits a 4-8 roster and a program that hasn't won a conference title since 2013 — the admissions office identity clashes with a rebuild demanding results, not just tradition.
Replaced
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Notre Dame
Market moves
17.6
▲ 5.1
Marcus Freeman's 5th season begins with Notre Dame's CFP odds rising sharply, yet fan skepticism remains high despite a #6 talent rank and a 10-2 winning record.
Replaced
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Virginia
Program outlook
No. 31
SP+
Virginia leaped 60 spots in SP+ — the 11-3 record and #20 AP finish suggest momentum, but the #62 talent rank raises questions about sustaining success under Tony Elliott's fourth season.
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Arizona State
Market moves
6.5
▲ 1
Kenny Dillingham's fourth season opens with Arizona State's win total rising to 6.5 — a bowl-eligible step forward, but the program's uneasy fanbase questions if the rebuild can hold.
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Georgia Tech
Program outlook
Brent Key's 4th season opens with a 9-4 record and an uneasy fanbase questioning whether the program's engineering-school identity can sustain a top-25 AP finish.
Replaced
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Florida International
Program outlook
Willie Simmons begins his tenure at Florida International with a 7-6 record, signaling a shift in identity for a program defined by its 2002 founding and Riccardo Silva Stadium legacy.
Answered
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New Mexico State
Program outlook
No. 123
SP+
New Mexico State enters 2026 — the 4-8 record and #130 talent rank contrast sharply with the 2023 10-5 season that defined its historic Southwest-borderland identity under Jerry Kill.
Answered
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Missouri State
Program outlook
No. 108
SP+
Missouri State enters 2026 — a 7-6 record and 129th talent rank create a split screen between momentum and skepticism for Ryan Beard’s first season in a program that hasn’t.
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Sam Houston
Program outlook
No. 135
SP+
Sam Houston collapsed 37 spots in SP+ — the 2-10 record and 1% returning production highlight a stark contrast to the program's FCS-to-FBS ascent, testing Phil Longo's ability to stabilize.
Answered
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Middle Tennessee
Program outlook
No. 127
SP+
Middle Tennessee enters 2026 — the program's top-quintile returning production contrasts sharply with its 3-9 record, and Derek Mason's second season will determine if historic-Tennessee-G5-football can be rekindled.
Answered
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South Alabama
Program outlook
No. 114
SP+
South Alabama collapsed 53 spots in SP+ — the 4-8 record and 102nd talent rank highlight the steep climb Major Applewhite faces in his second season to reverse the slide.
Replaced
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Kennesaw State
Program outlook
No. 89
SP+
Kennesaw State leaped 43 spots in SP+ — the 10-4 record and Jerry Mack's first season create a split screen between rising expectations and the challenge of sustaining momentum in the Big South.
Answered
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Kent State
Program outlook
No. 130
SP+
Kent State enters 2026 — the 5-7 record and bottom-quintile returning production highlight the steep climb ahead for Mark Carney in his first season at the helm.
Answered
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Nevada
Program outlook
No. 116
SP+
Nevada enters 2026 — the 3-9 record and 119th talent rank highlight a program that hasn't been this low since the early 2000s, and Choate's second season is the first.
Answered
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Arkansas
Coaching
Silverfield, who went 2-10 at Memphis, inherits a 36% production return and a program that hasn't won an SEC game since 2021 — the stakes are clear, the margin for error narrow.
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Georgia
Program outlook
No. 6
SP+
Georgia enters 2026 — the No. 6 SP+ ranking and 12-2 record contrast with the program's refusal to let the 'chased the sentence' identity fade, even as Kirby Smart enters his 8th season.
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Northwestern
Program outlook
No. 51
SP+
Northwestern leaped 50 spots in SP+ — the 7-6 record and Lake Michigan stadium era signal a program reborn, but David Braun’s third season must prove if academic-elite identity can.
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Auburn
Coaching
Golesh inherits a 5-7 roster and a 22% production return at Auburn, where the program's third head coach in five years must prove the SEC West's scheduling dilemma isn't a recurring crisis.
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