Iowa is moving up in the ratings.
- Coverage leans skeptical, with a bull case
- Win total 8.5 — line up since open
- Ferentz's 26-11 run has Iowa in dynasty territory for the first time since 2021, but th…
How past storylines turned out
Iowa's offensive coordinator change has died down — no clear next chapter yet.
How it developed newest first
3 weeks ago
Iowa win total fell from 8.5 to 7.5 (−1 win) between Oct 13 and Oct 15, 2026 (tier B).
win total down 1.0 from 8.5 to 7.5
Why it mattersKirk Ferentz's 13th season opens with a win total down 1.0 from 8.5 to 7.5, raising questions about whether Iowa's defense and special teams can sustain its 8-10 win floor this year.
Iowa has climbed into dynasty-caliber territory — into the top 13% of FBS by power rating over the last three seasons, up from the top 23% a year ago.
a 26-11 record over the last three regular seasons
Why it mattersFerentz's 26-11 run has Iowa in dynasty territory for the first time since 2021, but the market's 7.5-win projection suggests skepticism about sustaining that grind.
Iowa enters 2025 rated No. 12 in SP+ (+19.7).
Why it mattersIowa enters 2025 at No. 12 in SP+ — the 9-4 record under Ferentz's sixth season suggests the ceiling is higher than fan unease implies.
Watch next
The non-obvious thing to track
Climbing the power tiers raises expectations: a season that would have been a breakout last year now reads as a disappointment. Watch whether the schedule lets the run actually show up on the field.
Our read of the beats above.
Rooms tap to switch
The 'resurgence is real' read: the numbers are starting to back the hype.
The range the bull case vs the counter
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