3identity shift
Miami (OH) shifts fanbase identity, redefining program.
Chuck Martin's 10th season opens with a 7-7 even record, highlighting the tension of maintaining relevance in a conference where legacy meets modern expectations.
Miami (OH)7-7Cautious optimism is building around Miami (OH).
belief cooled ↓ 21.2vs prior week
Fanbase belief
Leaning up
56/100 · 34 mentions · top 33% of FBS
~ our readGrounding
running on emotion
5% cite a stat · 8% typical ✓ counted
~ our readVolatility
Chaotic
σ 37 pts
~ our readThe model
#66
CFB Zeitgeist · +1.4
✓ measured3Hope-Doping·Offseason
Miami is the Cradle of Coaches — the small Ohio school that taught the sport its giants, from Paul Brown to Woody Hayes to Bo Schembechler — and a program whose history runs deeper than the conference it now keeps falling one game short in.
Title DroughtSince 2019 · 6 yrs
The fanbase points to the names Oxford gave the sport — and watches the program get filed as just another MAC team, as if the place that produced college football's great coaches were a footnote inste…
offseason · quiet
Roster Reload - Miami (OH)
2026 snapshot - 2026-08-06Returning Production48%Moderate continuity
Talent Composite#87 nationally247 composite 592.1
Portal Additions16Primary repair: OT
Portal Losses14Primary pressure: EDGE
Draft Loss1NFL Draft departures (1)
Recruiting Reload#105Depth class
CBin 2 - Mason Ellensout 3 - Mychal YharbroughDowngrade
current room: 190 lbs avg (2025 roster)
WRin 2 - Damarion Wittenout 3 - Cordale RussellDowngrade
current room: 190 lbs avg (2025 roster)
EDGEin 1 - Mikah Colemanout 3 - Adam TrickStarter Risk
OTin 3 - Evan Malcoreout 1 - Drew TerrillNeed Filled
Sin 2 - Ben Minichout 1 - Koy BeasleyUpgrade
RBin 2 - Cade Yacamelliout 1 - Tito Glass Jr.Even
current room: 228 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Belief EKG
WinLoss · hover for score
Approaching
30 days
until kickoff · at Pittsburgh · Sat Sep 5 · 16:00 UTC
The experience
Miami (OH) is the MAC program whose 'Cradle of Coaches' legacy + Paul Brown / Woody Hayes / Bo Schembechler coaching pipeline + 2024 9-4 Sun Bowl appearance define what historic-football-coaching-lineage looks like.
Offense: PoorDefense: StrongDefensive shape: Bend-don't-break
Miami (OH) Faces Roster Volatility but Holds Bowl Game Potential
With a moderate continuity rate and balanced portal churn, Miami (OH) projects to finish with a 7-6 record and qualify for a bowl game. The team's transfer additions, particularly at offensive tackle, may offset key departures.
- Roster reloadMiami (OH) has a returning_total_pct of 48% and a reload_score of "Moderate continuity", indicating moderate roster continuity.
- ScheduleMiami (OH) is projected to finish with a base scenario of 7-6 and a ceiling of 9-4, both leading to a bowl game.
Data as of 2026-08-03
·
Validated against program evidence
Swoop the RedHawk is at his perch.
Miami (OH) · the story right now
11 storylines developing
What Miami (OH)'s offseason is really about
the open questionwhere does it go from here?
program_outlookthis cycle✓ factnew
Miami (OH) enters 2026 rated No. 82 in 2025 SP+ (-3.4), down 14 spots from 2024.
narrative tension · our read
identitythis cycle~readnew
Chuck Martin's 10th season opens with a 7-7 even record, highlighting the tension of maintaining relevance in a conference where legacy meets modern expectations.
what happenedMiami (OH): the fanbase's identity shifting. ✓ fact
narrative tension · our read
coordinatorsthis cycle~readnew
Miami (OH) is the MAC program whose 'Cradle of Coaches' legacy defines its identity — a 7-7 season marks a rare even record, not a step toward its historic football coaching pipeline peak.
what happenedMiami (OH): coordinator change reshaping a unit. ✓ fact
narrative tension · our read
underdogthis cycle✓ factnew
Cole Weaver produces at a notably LOWER rate when his team is an underdog than when favored -- he fades when the pressure is on, and his per-target value drops too.
narrative tension · our read
short yardagethis cycle✓ factnew
Jordan Brunson converts 3rd/4th-and-short at a below-average rate, though he isn't trusted with much of the goal-line work either.
narrative tension · our read
deep threatthis cycle✓ factnew
Kamryn Perry is a real deep-ball threat -- a high share of his targets come on throws past the sticks, and he catches those deep shots at a plus rate.
narrative tension · our read
program_outlookthis cycle~readnew
Miami (OH) dropped 14 spots in SP+ — Chuck Martin's sixth season opens with the steepest SP+ collapse in the MAC this cycle.
what happenedMiami (OH) enters 2025 rated No. 82 in SP+ (-3.4), down 14 spots from 2024. ✓ fact
narrative tension · our read
deep threatthis cycle~attributednew
Cole Weaver is a real deep-ball threat -- a high share of his targets come on throws past the sticks.
narrative tension · our read
garbage timethis cycle~attributednew
Cole Weaver sees a real spike in usage once the game is out of reach.
narrative tension · our read
closerthis cycle~attributednew
D'Shawntae Jones: a closer signal screened this season.
narrative tension · our read
garbage timethis cycle~attributednew
Jordan Brunson sees a real spike in usage once the game is out of reach.
narrative tension · our read
The Offseason Ledger · Miami (OH)
1 verified update · portal · recruiting · staff · news- Portal
CB Amariyun Knighten transfer commits from Indiana
Big Ten corner falls to the MAC for snaps — Knighten was buried, RedHawks get a starter on day one.
Transfer portal snapshot
-0.6 net portal points
(raw ledger: +4.4 — unweighted, no position adjustment)EDGE-7.3
starter risk
OT+6.6
need not filled
CB-5.9
S+5.0
WR-4.4
IOL+3.6
low confidence
DL+3.5
low confidence
RB+3.4
LB-0.1
QB+0.0
Top 3 commits
2026 class
★★★☆☆
Dominik Kosznicki
#1336 national
★★★☆☆
Will Pressley
#1438 national
Profiles like a typical incoming wide receiver — 16 of his 25 closest recruiting profiles since 2018 shared the Possession Receiver archetype.~our read · projection from recruiting profile — no college snaps yet
★★★☆☆
Drew Bellisari
#1474 national
Profiles like a typical incoming quarterback — 16 of his 25 closest recruiting profiles since 2018 shared the Pocket Passer archetype.~our read · projection from recruiting profile — no college snaps yet
→
Fan confidence in a typical range for this program right now
67th percentile among FBS programs
Fan vs. market≈
67th
Fan percentile
(FBS mood rank)
(FBS mood rank)
7.5
Vegas O/U wins
(60th among FBS)
(60th among FBS)
Fan mood aligned with market consensus
Win total consensus · 3 books
Market outlook
Season expectations
Win total3 booksO/U 7.5
CFP championship#101 in field+100000
MAC title#2 in market+340
Sportsbook consensus · best odds across multiple books · 2026-08-06
Miami (OH) · Next-Season Outcome Band
Miami (OH) · Next-Season Outcome BandFloor / Base / Ceiling
Floor 4-8
Base 7-6
Ceiling 9-4
floor4-8No postseason.
base7-6Bowl game.
ceiling9-4Bowl game.
Final-season-aware projection: floor / base / ceiling include conference title and CFP games where the model supports them, so a ceiling can exceed a 12-game regular season.
How the room reacted
Following now · Miami (OH) · Season outlook Confidence
Miami (OH) enters the season in the middle of the pack. That's the whole tension.
Miami (OH) enters 2026 rated No. 82 in 2025 SP+ (-3.4), down 14 spots from 2024. SP+ describes what the program HAS done, not what it will do. The season is the field test. The preview consensus leans in — but preseason ratings reward the recent past, not the season ahead.
near-unanimous belief
where the takes land · dot = how loud
DOUBTBELIEF
Believers4 bull takes
💬 fans: 29% volume
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
Near-consensus preview optimism means the expectations bar just moved. A season that matches the rating reads as meeting a floor, not a breakthrough.
Next · what to watch
The non-obvious read on this rating isn't the number — it's the schedule. A team at this level has 2-3 games where the model says they're overmatched, and those are the games that define the narrative. Watch whether the model holds through the first month of the schedule.
Source of record: Miami (OH) enters 2026 rated No. 82 in 2025 SP+ (-3.4), down 14 spots from 2024.
How each room is reacting — tap to expand
📣Believers4 bullish items -- the case it's working.›
The 'the projection is underselling us' read -- fans betting the season beats the preview number.
“Malcore Named to Outland Trophy Watch List”
Miami University RedHawks · 2026-08-04 · read ↗
“RedHawk Rewind on the Road: MAC Football Media Day”
Miami University RedHawks · 2026-07-23 · read ↗
“Miami (OH) commit Tommy Carr totals 9 TDs in record-setting win”
On3 · 2026-07-16 · read ↗
🧐SkepticsNo prominent dissent — the coverage runs one way.›
The 'the model has seen the tape' counter -- efficiency ratings reward what a program has actually done, not hope.
Nothing in our corpus yet — this door stays open for when there is.
💬The boards29% of recent board volume — the fanbase is locked in.›
This event was in 33 of 112 board posts (29%) over the last 60 days — a fanbase consumed by it. Fan text shown verbatim, attributed to the community not the individual poster.
"What actually happened to the giant leather "Bladderballs" after universities banned the sport? Brief History: From the early 1900s through the mid-to-late 20th century, a hyper-vi"
r/miamioh ~ fan take
"Good Trouble Lives On: Oxford, OH Community Event · Volunteer organized Saturday, July 18 10am – 3pm EDT Holy Trinity Episcopal Church 25 E Walnut St [**Ox"
r/miamioh ~ fan take
The boards ≠ the fanbase: a vocal, self-selected slice.
Following now · Miami (OH) · Developing Confidence
Miami (OH): the fanbase's identity shifting.
Miami (OH): the fanbase's identity shifting.
near-unanimous belief
where the takes land · dot = how loud
DOUBTBELIEF
Believers4 bull takes
💬 fans: 29% volume
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
Chuck Martin's 10th season opens with a 7-7 even record, highlighting the tension of maintaining relevance in a conference where legacy meets modern expectations.
Source of record: Miami (OH): the fanbase's identity shifting.
How each room is reacting — tap to expand
📣Believers4 bullish items -- the case it's working.›
The optimistic read: momentum, and the 'this is real' takes.
“Malcore Named to Outland Trophy Watch List”
Miami University RedHawks · 2026-08-04 · read ↗
“RedHawk Rewind on the Road: MAC Football Media Day”
Miami University RedHawks · 2026-07-23 · read ↗
“Miami (OH) commit Tommy Carr totals 9 TDs in record-setting win”
On3 · 2026-07-16 · read ↗
🧐SkepticsNo prominent dissent — the coverage runs one way.›
The analytical counter: rankings, results, and 'the hype is ahead of the tape' takes.
Nothing in our corpus yet — this door stays open for when there is.
💬The boards29% of recent board volume — the fanbase is locked in.›
This event was in 33 of 112 board posts (29%) over the last 60 days — a fanbase consumed by it. Fan text shown verbatim, attributed to the community not the individual poster.
"What actually happened to the giant leather "Bladderballs" after universities banned the sport? Brief History: From the early 1900s through the mid-to-late 20th century, a hyper-vi"
r/miamioh ~ fan take
"Good Trouble Lives On: Oxford, OH Community Event · Volunteer organized Saturday, July 18 10am – 3pm EDT Holy Trinity Episcopal Church 25 E Walnut St [**Ox"
r/miamioh ~ fan take
The boards ≠ the fanbase: a vocal, self-selected slice.
Recent Form · last 10 games
Cooling
Two of five. Schedule has caught up.
Streak L2Last 5 · 2-3Last 10 · 6-4
The forecast
Opens Sep 5
vs Pittsburgh · away
Season line7.5 winsover +110
PoorStrongBend-don't-break
✓ fact on line · ~ our read on style
Rival pulse
Cincinnati
Hopeful+9
Battle for the Victory Bell (OH)
Ohio
Hopeful+19
Battle of the Bricks
Fan mood index · most recent r/cfb data
Recruiting Footprint · 2026
Recruiting Footprint · 2026
19
OH · 6MI · 5IL · 2PA · 2TN · 2AL · 1IN · 1
OH leads the 2026 class with 6 commits. National footprint reaching 7 states.
Where they recruit · 2023-2026
82 signees across 13 states, 2023-2026. OH leads the pull.
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
National spotlight
8 games with TV coverage: 4 ESPN, 1 cable, 1 conference network, 2 streaming
Kickoff windows: 3 noon, 1 afternoon, 4 primetime
Fumble luck
35% recovery rate on the fumbles they've forced — below the ~49% league baseline.
6 of 17 forced fumbles recovered; 3 of 6 own fumbles recovered themselves, 2025 only.
Takeaway conversion
21% of tipped/broken-up passes have turned into picks — about the ~19% league average.
12 interceptions of 57 disrupted passes (45 deflected, 12 intercepted), 2025 only.
Penalty battle
78 penalties committed, 76 drawn on opponents — ceding 133 yards of field position.
688 penalty yards committed vs. 555 drawn on opponents, 2025 season total.
The Pulse on Miami (OH)
56
Δ -21.2 vs last wk
34
mentions this week · conversation velocity
What moved it — fall camp · last 14 days
Camp
Fall camp open — install + scrimmage cycle
ongoing
Kickoff
Season opener in 16 days
kickoff
"Love and Honor"
— Miami (OH) fanbase · recurring line
Fanbase Signals
Cohort Divergence0 pctSpread between sub-fanbase cohorts in the Pulse window.
The Fever Year
Position = mood · width = volume · color = the kind of feeling
Cr/CFB
GGoogle News
HHustle Belt
BBluesky
YYouTube
What little we hear
Only 4 cohort(s) cleared the signal floor this week, so we won’t stage a split we can’t back. Here’s the honest read:
Millennials+0.07
Analytics crowd+0.07
National take+0.07
Gen Z+0.07
How Miami (OH) fans actually talk real · top-upvoted
Rr/CFBthe room
“This freak of nature always misses class the day before the football team plays an away game. Must be a superfan”
▲ 175 ▼open ↗
The crowd’s loudest take by upvotes — read for mood, not as a side. The cohort read is the measured part.
What this fanbase keeps coming back to our read · topic model
Topics are model-labeled from Reddit — a rough signal of what this fanbase is circling right now.
132 mentions · 5 sources · week 2026-01. Counts, sources and the divergence rank are measured (fact). Cohort labels and sentiment are a source-weighted model read (our read) — never a quote attributed to a person.
Belief checklight on evidence
~ our readMiami (OH) fans are split right down the middle, but it's more feel than fact right now.
backed by facts
the mood
✓ counted We read 89 posts from Miami (OH) fans this week.
Season storylines
Week 4
Week 13
“Hey everyone, glad to be here on this fine Saturday with no other football happening in the Midwest. Go Hawks, Gotkowski is the dude”— r/CFB
Week 15
Week 1
“Defense has done everything they needed to do and more to keep us in this. Uninspired and predictable offense has left them out to dry”— r/CFB
Week 18
Fanbase Health Index · Miami (OH) · high confidence
Fanbase Health Index · Miami (OH) · high confidenceGrowing (57)
DecliningStableGrowingSurging
On-Field — 7-7 (50% win rate)55
Volume — 337 effective signal-N81
Cohort Engagement — Divergence 0.00 — quiet35
Key stats — 2025 — FBS rank
Points/game#92 / 138 · 34th pct23.5
Pts allowed/game#38 / 138 · 73rd pct21.7
Total yards/gm#76 / 136 · 45th pct338.1
Rush yards/gm#63 / 136 · 54th pct150.8
Pass yards/gm#88 / 136 · 36th pct187.3
Yards allowed/gm#70 / 136 · 49th pct334.6
Rush yds allowed/gm#68 / 136 · 51st pct134.2
Sacks#6 / 136 · 96th pct41
Interceptions#22 / 136 · 85th pct14
3rd-down conv#109 / 136 · 21st pct34.7%
All 98 stats
Offense / Defense
Total yards
Team4733338.1/gm5.50/play#76 / 136 · 45th pct#43 / 70 · 40th pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct
Opp4684334.6/gm5.00/play#70 / 136 · 49th pct#47 / 70 · 34th pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct
Rush yards
Team2111150.8/gm2.45/play#63 / 136 · 54th pct#31 / 70 · 57th pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct
Opp1879134.2/gm2.01/play#68 / 136 · 51st pct#47 / 70 · 34th pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct
Rush carries
Team49235.1/gm#44 / 136 · 68th pct#19 / 70 · 74th pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
Opp50135.8/gm#118 / 136 · 14th pct#64 / 70 · 10th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct
Rush TDs
Team171.2/gm#85 / 136 · 38th pct#49 / 70 · 31st pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct
Opp120.9/gm#15 / 136 · 90th pct#11 / 70 · 86th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct
Net pass yards
Team2622187.3/gm3.05/play#88 / 136 · 36th pct#51 / 70 · 29th pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct
Opp2805200.4/gm2.99/play#72 / 136 · 48th pct#41 / 70 · 43rd pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct
Pass attempts
Team36826.3/gm#92 / 136 · 33rd pct#50 / 70 · 30th pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct
Opp43631.1/gm#109 / 136 · 21st pct#53 / 70 · 26th pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct
Completions
Team18313.1/gm#120 / 136 · 12th pct#67 / 70 · 6th pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct
Opp24717.6/gm#82 / 136 · 40th pct#40 / 70 · 44th pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct
Pass TDs
Team171.2/gm#82 / 136 · 40th pct#47 / 70 · 34th pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct
Opp221.6/gm#100 / 136 · 27th pct#53 / 70 · 26th pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct
Passer rating
Team117.2117.2#122 / 136 · 11th pct#67 / 70 · 6th pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct
Opp122.3122.3#35 / 136 · 75th pct#21 / 70 · 71st pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct
Interceptions thrown
Team110.8/gm#41 / 136 · 71st pct#16 / 70 · 79th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
Opp141.0/gm#104 / 136 · 24th pct#52 / 70 · 27th pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct
Sacks (def)
Team412.9/gm#6 / 136 · 96th pct#5 / 70 · 94th pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct#2 / 10 · 90th pct
Opp261.9/gm#81 / 136 · 41st pct#42 / 70 · 41st pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct#6 / 10 · 50th pct
Tackles for loss
Team815.8/gm#30 / 136 · 79th pct#19 / 70 · 74th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct#3 / 10 · 80th pct
Opp543.9/gm#17 / 136 · 88th pct#10 / 70 · 87th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct#3 / 10 · 80th pct
First downs
Team24717.6/gm#81 / 136 · 41st pct#46 / 70 · 36th pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct
Opp26118.6/gm#91 / 136 · 34th pct#52 / 70 · 27th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct
3rd-down conv
Team614.4/gm#100 / 136 · 27th pct#53 / 70 · 26th pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct
Opp866.1/gm#134 / 136 · 2nd pct#70 / 70 · 1st pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct
3rd-down att
Team17612.6/gm#48 / 136 · 65th pct#23 / 70 · 69th pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct
Opp20214.4/gm#124 / 136 · 10th pct#63 / 70 · 11th pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct
4th-down conv
Team110.8/gm#90 / 136 · 35th pct#49 / 70 · 31st pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct
Opp110.8/gm#32 / 136 · 77th pct#14 / 70 · 81st pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct
4th-down att
Team261.9/gm#55 / 136 · 60th pct#30 / 70 · 59th pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct
Opp231.6/gm#46 / 136 · 67th pct#23 / 70 · 69th pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct
Time of possession
Team417:1529:48/gm#28 / 136 · 80th pct#14 / 70 · 81st pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct
Opp422:4530:12/gm#123 / 136 · 10th pct#61 / 70 · 14th pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct
Kicking & Punting
Field goals#24 / 135 · 83rd pct18/21 (85.7%)
Extra points33/34
Punting#94 / 136 · 32nd pct42.2 avg · 63 punts
Turnovers & special teams
Turnovers
Team151.1/gm#75 / 136 · 46th pct#31 / 70 · 57th pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct
Opp201.4/gm#95 / 136 · 31st pct#48 / 70 · 33rd pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct
Fumbles lost
Team40.3/gm#112 / 136 · 18th pct#53 / 70 · 26th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct
Opp60.4/gm#49 / 136 · 65th pct#23 / 70 · 69th pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct
INT return TDs
Team10.1/gm#36 / 135 · 74th pct#19 / 70 · 74th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct#3 / 10 · 80th pct
Opp10.1/gm#61 / 136 · 56th pct#30 / 70 · 59th pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct#5 / 11 · 64th pct
INT return yards
Team14810.6/gm#49 / 136 · 65th pct#26 / 70 · 64th pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct
Opp19013.6/gm#112 / 136 · 18th pct#59 / 70 · 17th pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct
Punt ret yds
Team19413.9/gm#44 / 136 · 68th pct#27 / 70 · 63rd pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
Opp997.1/gm#56 / 136 · 60th pct#36 / 70 · 50th pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct
Punt ret TDs
Team10.1/gm#14 / 135 · 90th pct#11 / 70 · 86th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct#1 / 9 · 100th pct
Opp00.0/gm#1 / 135 · 100th pct#1 / 70 · 100th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct#1 / 9 · 100th pct
Kick ret yds
Team55539.6/gm#35 / 136 · 75th pct#14 / 70 · 81st pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct
Opp68148.6/gm#119 / 136 · 13th pct#64 / 70 · 10th pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct
Kick ret TDs
Team10.1/gm#7 / 136 · 96th pct#3 / 70 · 97th pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct#1 / 9 · 100th pct
Opp10.1/gm#97 / 135 · 29th pct#53 / 70 · 26th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct#7 / 10 · 40th pct
Penalty yards
Team68849.1/gm#63 / 136 · 54th pct#30 / 70 · 59th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct
Opp55539.6/gm#27 / 136 · 81st pct#15 / 70 · 80th pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct
Other
H2 epa per play opponent#10 / 143 · 94th pct#7 / 70 · 91st pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct0.00.0
Fumbles rec (def)#13 / 136 · 91st pct#9 / 70 · 89th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct40.3/gm
Interceptions (def)#22 / 136 · 85th pct#14 / 70 · 81st pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct141.0/gm
Punt ret (opp)#31 / 136 · 78th pct#21 / 70 · 71st pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct100.7/gm
Punt returns#36 / 136 · 74th pct#21 / 70 · 71st pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct201.4/gm
H1 epa per play opponent#39 / 167 · 77th pct#24 / 70 · 67th pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct0.10.0/gm
Penalties#61 / 136 · 56th pct#28 / 70 · 61st pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct785.6/gm
H2 epa per play#67 / 142 · 54th pct#36 / 70 · 50th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct0.20.0/gm
Kick returns#68 / 136 · 51st pct#26 / 70 · 64th pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct211.5/gm
Penalties (opp)#70 / 136 · 49th pct#41 / 70 · 43rd pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct765.4/gm
Fumbles recovered#70 / 136 · 49th pct#33 / 70 · 54th pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct60.4/gm
Red zone pass rate#81 / 154 · 48th pct#39 / 70 · 46th pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct0.40.0/gm
Passes intercepted opponent#82 / 136 · 40th pct#48 / 70 · 33rd pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct110.8/gm
Recruiting rating#83 / 138 · 41st pct#68 / 70 · 4th pct#2 / 13 · 92nd pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct164.211.7/gm
First down pass rate#84 / 215 · 61st pct#30 / 70 · 59th pct#2 / 13 · 92nd pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct0.50.0/gm
Kick ret (opp)#97 / 136 · 29th pct#57 / 70 · 20th pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct261.9/gm
H1 epa per play#105 / 162 · 36th pct#57 / 70 · 20th pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct0.10.0/gm
Fourth down go rate#107 / 138 · 23rd pct#53 / 70 · 26th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct#6 / 11 · 55th pct0.30.0/gm
Situational
3rd-down conversion
Off34.7%#109 / 136 · 21st pct#61 / 70 · 14th pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct
Def42.6%#107 / 136 · 22nd pct#60 / 70 · 16th pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct
4th-down conversion
Off42.3%#118 / 136 · 14th pct#64 / 70 · 10th pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct
Def47.8%#45 / 136 · 68th pct#22 / 70 · 70th pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct
Turnover margin#35 / 136 · 75th pct#20 / 70 · 73rd pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct+0.36/gm
Sack rate (def)#14 / 136 · 90th pct#9 / 70 · 89th pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct#4 / 10 · 70th pct9.4%
Red Zone & Drive Efficiency (2014– , play-by-play derived)
Red zone trips
Team412.9/gm#80 / 167 · 53rd pct#46 / 70 · 36th pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct
Opp372.6/gm#68 / 166 · 60th pct#25 / 70 · 66th pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct
Red zone score %
Team80.5%80.5%#69 / 167 · 59th pct#38 / 70 · 47th pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct
Opp73.0%73.0%#40 / 166 · 77th pct#17 / 70 · 77th pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
Points / drive
Team1.80.1/gm#90 / 167 · 47th pct#51 / 70 · 29th pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct
Opp1.50.1/gm#24 / 166 · 86th pct#17 / 70 · 77th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
Yards / drive
Team37.52.7/gm#114 / 167 · 32nd pct#63 / 70 · 11th pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct
Opp35.52.5/gm#22 / 166 · 87th pct#14 / 70 · 81st pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct
Plays / drive
Team6.20.4/gm#126 / 167 · 25th pct#63 / 70 · 11th pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct
Opp6.50.5/gm#63 / 166 · 63rd pct#24 / 70 · 67th pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct
Three-and-out rate
Team13.9%13.9%#88 / 167 · 48th pct#47 / 70 · 34th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct
Opp15.2%15.2%#52 / 166 · 69th pct#28 / 70 · 61st pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
Scheme Identity (2014– , play-by-play derived)
Rush rate over expected#50 / 145 · 66th pct#16 / 70 · 79th pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct+1.7%+1.7%
Havoc rate
Team18.7%18.7%#19 / 140 · 87th pct#13 / 70 · 83rd pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
Opp13.4%13.4%#41 / 140 · 71st pct#19 / 70 · 74th pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct
Standard-downs success
Team45.9%45.9%#101 / 154 · 35th pct#56 / 70 · 21st pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct
Opp44.3%44.3%#29 / 172 · 84th pct#19 / 70 · 74th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
Passing-downs success
Team29.2%29.2%#92 / 153 · 41st pct#50 / 70 · 30th pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct
Opp29.2%29.2%#56 / 149 · 63rd pct#30 / 70 · 59th pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct
Line yards / carry
Team3.23.2#25 / 143 · 83rd pct#15 / 70 · 80th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
Opp2.72.7#30 / 155 · 81st pct#15 / 70 · 80th pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct
Stuff rate
Team16.0%16.0%#35 / 143 · 76th pct#20 / 70 · 73rd pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
Opp20.3%20.3%#50 / 155 · 68th pct#29 / 70 · 60th pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct
Power success rate
Team67.4%67.4%#84 / 137 · 39th pct#44 / 70 · 39th pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct
Opp70.7%70.7%#78 / 141 · 45th pct#40 / 70 · 44th pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct
Efficiency
Completion %
Off49.7%#136 / 136 · 1st pct#70 / 70 · 1st pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct
Def56.7%#18 / 136 · 88th pct#7 / 70 · 91st pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct
Yards / attempt
Off7.1#71 / 136 · 49th pct#43 / 70 · 40th pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct
Def6.4#28 / 136 · 80th pct#19 / 70 · 74th pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct
Yards / completion
Off14.3#7 / 136 · 96th pct#2 / 70 · 99th pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct
Def11.4#63 / 136 · 54th pct#45 / 70 · 37th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct
Yards / carry#77 / 136 · 44th pct#41 / 70 · 43rd pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct4.3
Yards / play#85 / 136 · 38th pct#50 / 70 · 30th pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct5.50
Scoring margin#70 / 136 · 49th pct#45 / 70 · 37th pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct#5 / 11 · 64th pct+1.8/gm
FBS rankings · 2025 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs
Player stats — 2025 season
Quarterbacks
| Player | # | G | Cmp/Att | Pct | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT | Rate | QBR | Adj ANY/A | Sack% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scrambler · +0.29 EPA/play | 1 | 8 | 106 / 181 | 58.6 | 1451 | 8.0 | 9 | 6 | 135.7 | 57.2 | 6.8 | 5.2 | |
Yards by week → Scrambler· Money-downMakes plays with feet when the pocket collapses. Efficiency still on the rise. saves his best for the money downs Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 45 of 183 QBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Rush usage33.0% 84th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Plays like View Dequan Finn's full player page | |||||||||||||
| Pocket Passer · -0.03 EPA/play | 12 | 5 | 39 / 98 | 39.8 | 596 | 6.1 | 4 | 3 | 98.2 | 22.1 | 4.5 | 9.3 | |
Yards by week → Pocket PasserBalanced passer who operates within the system, without one standout number carrying the profile. 97 of 183 QBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / attempt7.1 bottom 29th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Completion %43.2% bottom 1th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Trait fingerprint Plays like View Henry Hesson's full player page | |||||||||||||
| Pocket Passer · +0.06 EPA/play | 13 | 5 | 38 / 86 | 44.2 | 575 | 6.7 | 4 | 1 | 113.4 | 41.4 | 6.4 | 5.5 | |
Yards by week → Pocket PasserBalanced passer who operates within the system, without one standout number carrying the profile. 97 of 183 QBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / attempt7.0 bottom 37th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Completion %45.2% bottom 1th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Trait fingerprint Plays like View Thomas Gotkowski's full player page | |||||||||||||
Running Backs
| Player | # | G | Car | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | 3rd Dn Use | Pass Dn Use | Stuff% | 10+% | Tgt Share | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Workhorse · +0.02 EPA/play | 6 | 13 | 164 | 767 | 4.7 | 4 | 60 | 12.5 | 12 | 15.8 | 10.5 | — | |
Yards by week → Workhorse· Boom-or-bustBuilt to take 20+ carries per game. Volume is the value. his yards come in chunks — feast or famine Starter — over 60% of the snaps, holding the job. 52 of 349 RBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Weight233 lb 96th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Receiving share0.6% bottom 5th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Plays like View Jordan Brunson's full player page | |||||||||||||
| Power Back · +0.22 EPA/play | 14 | 12 | 63 | 277 | 4.4 | 7 | 46 | 6.3 | 4.5 | 20 | 10 | — | |
Yards by week → Power BackShort-yardage and goal-line specialist. Carries the load, owns the red zone. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 10 of 349 RBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Rush TD rate11.1% 100th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Yards / carry5.3 53th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Plays like View D'Shawntae Jones's full player page | |||||||||||||
| Workhorse · +0.11 EPA/play | 9 | 5 | 49 | 272 | 5.6 | 1 | 21 | 7.3 | 13.1 | — | — | — | |
Yards by week → WorkhorseBuilt to take 20+ carries per game. Volume is the value. 52 of 349 RBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Weight223 lb 87th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Receiving share18.3% 85th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Trait fingerprint Plays like View Kenny Tracy's full player page | |||||||||||||
| -0.07 EPA/play | 30 | 10 | 20 | 53 | 2.6 | 0 | 7 | 7.3 | 5.4 | — | — | — | |
Yards by week → | |||||||||||||
Receivers
| Player | # | G | Rec | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | 3rd Dn Use | Pass Dn Use | Tgt Share | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Threat · +0.62 EPA/play | 8 | 13 | 43 | 976 #24 FBS | 22.7 | 6 #62 FBS | 66 | 13.3 | 12.9 | 27.6% (86/312) | |
Yards by week → Deep ThreatStretches the field vertically. Every snap is a potential big play. 100 of 558 WRs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / reception22.6 99th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions TD rate14.0% 81th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like our readBreakout: his CFB Index score moved from the 3rd to 91st percentile among FBS WRs | |||||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.43 EPA/play | 84 | 12 | 45 | 642 | 14.3 | 1 | 36 | 11.4 | 11 | 22.1% (69/312) | |
Yards by week → Possession ReceiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. 332 of 558 WRs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / reception14.5 64th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions TD rate2.2% bottom 15th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Cole Weaver's full player page | |||||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.06 EPA/play | — | 13 | 36 | 352 | 9.8 | 1 | 69 | 8.7 | 11.2 | 18.6% (58/312) | |
Yards by week → Possession Receiver· Return threatReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. a house-call threat every time he fields it Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 332 of 558 WRs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / reception8.6 bottom 11th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions EPA / play (adj)0.1 bottom 6th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like our readAscending: his CFB Index score went from the 0th percentile among FBS WRs to the 45th | |||||||||||
| +0.46 EPA/play | 4 | 9 | 11 | 178 | 16.2 | 1 | 44 | 9.7 | 9.2 | 8.7% (27/312) | |
Yards by week → | |||||||||||
| +0.63 EPA/play | 17 | 7 | 10 | 141 | 14.1 | 3 | 27 | 5.1 | 4.1 | — | |
Yards by week → | |||||||||||
| Complete TE · +0.73 EPA/play | 86 | 8 | 13 | 116 | 8.9 | 2 | 20 | 3.9 | 3.5 | 4.8% (15/312) | |
Yards by week → Complete TENo single go-to route — the receiving numbers show up inline and split out alike. 177 of 223 TEs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / reception13.1 72th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions TD rate15.4% 78th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Brian Shane's full player page | |||||||||||
| +0.05 EPA/play | 10 | 12 | 6 | 51 | 8.5 | 0 | 15 | 7.6 | 5.9 | — | |
Yards by week → | |||||||||||
Defensive Line
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | TFL | Sack | Hur |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 52 | 9 | 17 | 8 | 5.5 | 3.5 | 1 |
3-Tech PenetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. 269 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate32.4% 97th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Nasir Washington's full player page | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 92 | 9 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 |
3-Tech PenetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. 269 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate23.5% 83th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Roosevelt Andrews III's full player page | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 22 | 8 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 3.5 | 4 |
3-Tech PenetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. 269 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate26.7% 90th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Bai Jobe's full player page | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 32 | 8 | 14 | 7 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2 |
3-Tech PenetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. 269 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate17.9% 63th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View James Schott's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 2 | 8 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 0.5 | 1 |
Two-Gap BaseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. 388 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate15.4% 53th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Devin Bell's full player page | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 94 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 0.5 | 0 | 2 |
3-Tech PenetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. 269 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate4.5% bottom 15th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Joshua Lukusa's full player page | |||||||
| Nose Anchor | 99 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Nose AnchorThe heaviest frame on the interior. Sack production is intentionally not the point of this profile. 152 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Weight307 lb 80th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Oyeka Alexander's full player page | |||||||
| 97 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | |
Linebackers
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | Ast | TFL | Sack | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Linebacker | 33 | 13 | 101 | 44 | 57 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
Balanced LinebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started. 362 of 660 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume101 96th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles PD rate1.0% bottom 29th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like our readUnranked recruit — top-quartile production against his own recruiting profile our readBreakout: his CFB Index score climbed from the 0th percentile to the 92nd among FBS LBs | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 12 | 10 | 84 | 34 | 50 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 3 #56 FBS |
Balanced LinebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started. The most common profile in its group this season — 362 of 660 classified this way. Played in 10 of 21 games this season · senior · 3-star, 2021 class View Corban Hondru's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 3 | 11 | 66 | 28 | 38 | 6.5 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Balanced LinebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. The most common profile in its group this season — 362 of 660 classified this way. Played in 11 of 21 games this season · sophomore · 3-star, 2023 class our readBreakout: his CFB Index score moved from the 0th to 61st percentile among FBS LBs | |||||||||
| Thumper | 20 | 12 | 57 | 25 | 32 | 12 #51 FBS | 8 #27 FBS | 4 | 1 |
ThumperDownhill striker who fills the run lane and blitzes off the edge. All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started. 97 of 660 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate21.1% 95th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Sack rate14.0% 99th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like our readSustained Ascent: his CFB Index score shows two real climbs in a row — 0th to 76th to 99th percentile among FBS LBs | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 23 | 13 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 3 | 1.5 | 1 | 0 |
Balanced LinebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. The most common profile in its group this season — 362 of 660 classified this way. Played in 13 of 21 games this season · senior View Oscar McWood's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 18 | 10 | 29 | 10 | 19 | 2 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
Balanced LinebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. 362 of 660 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume29 bottom 22th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles PD rate0.0% bottom 18th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Brock Uihlein's full player page | |||||||||
| Sideline-to-Sideline | 26 | 9 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 #56 FBS |
Sideline-to-SidelineRanges from hash to hash and makes his own tackles. 102 of 660 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Solo tackle rate0.8 99th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles TFL rate0.0% bottom 10th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like our readBreakout: his CFB Index score moved from the 1st to 49th percentile among FBS LBs | |||||||||
| Thumper | 47 | 10 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 2.5 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
ThumperDownhill striker who fills the run lane and blitzes off the edge. 97 of 660 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate15.6% 81th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Sack rate12.5% 98th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Brach Rice's full player page | |||||||||
| 43 | 7 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 2.5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| 35 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| 50 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
Defensive Backs
| Player | # | G | Tot | PD | INT | TFL | Sack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Box Safety | 1 | 14 | 118 | 8 #45 FBS | 2 | 4.5 | 1 |
Box SafetyLives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker. All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started. 166 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume118 100th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like our readSustained Ascent: his CFB Index score shows two real climbs in a row — 19th to 78th to 99th percentile among FBS Ss | |||||||
| Rover | 29 | 11 | 71 | 7 | 3 #56 FBS | 2.5 | 1 |
RoverHits like a linebacker and still takes the ball away. All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started. 83 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate9.9% 60th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like our readUnranked recruit — top-quartile production against his own recruiting profile our readSustained Ascent: his CFB Index score shows two real climbs in a row — 24th to 65th to 97th percentile among FBS Ss | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 24 | 13 | 44 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Hybrid NickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. The most common profile in its group this season — 419 of 801 classified this way. Played in 13 of 21 games this season · junior · 3-star, 2023 class View Mychal Yharbrough's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 8 | 14 | 40 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Hybrid NickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 419 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate15.0% 83th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Koy Beasley's full player page | |||||||
| Centerfielder | 17 | 10 | 31 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
CenterfielderSingle-high range who erases the deep middle of the field. 133 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate22.6% 98th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Kaleb Martin's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 21 | 7 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Hybrid NickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. The most common profile in its group this season — 419 of 801 classified this way. Played in 7 of 21 games this season · sophomore · 3-star, 2024 class View Toney Coleman Jr.'s full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 6 | 10 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 |
Hybrid NickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. 419 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate10.0% 60th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Adrian Walker Jr.'s full player page | |||||||
| 5 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 10 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 28 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Kicking
| Player | # | G | FG M/A | FG% | XP M/A | Pts | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Automatic | 31 | 12 | 18/21 | 85.7 | 32/33 | 86 | 51 |
Punting
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | Long | In20 | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steady | 32 | 14 | 63 | 2661 | 42.2 | 65 | 21 | 3 |
Net average is unavailable — CFBD's punting feed carries gross yards only, with no return-yardage or touchback deduction.
Kick Returns
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Possession Receiver · +0.06 EPA/play | — | 13 | 16 | 456 | 28.5 | 1 | 100 |
Punt Returns
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +0.05 EPA/play | 10 | 12 | 18 | 166 | 9.2 | 0 | 42 |
2025 stat leaders
final
2025 stat leaders
1.
Eli Blakey
DB
118 tot (def)
2.
Corban Hondru
LB
84.0 tot (def)
3.
Kamryn Perry
WR
976 yds (rec)
4.
Silas Walters
DB
71.0 tot (def)
5.
Malcolm Mccain
LB
66.0 tot (def)
Roster
2025
24
players carry a qualified CFB Index Score this season.
Eli Blakey
S
#6 of 544
Adam Trick
LB
#9 of 583
Silas Walters
S
#15 of 544
Corban Hondru
LB
#30 of 583
Jackson Kuwatch
LB
#54 of 583
Kamryn Perry
WR
#52 of 485
+18 more
Miami (OH) · 2025 schedule & results7-7Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 49% · 0 AP top-25 opponents on the schedule.
| Wk | Date | Us | Opp | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 29 | #35 | #55 | +18 | @Wisconsin | L 0–17 115 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2 | Sep 6 | #32 | #64 | +15.5 | @Rutgers | L 17–45 122 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 4 | Sep 20 | #40 | #101 | +1.5 | UNLV | L 38–41 138 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 5 | Sep 27 | #56 | #198 | -22.5 | Lindenwood | W 38–0 68 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 6 | Oct 4 | #56 | #128 | -4.5 | @Northern Illinois | W 25–14 127 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 7 | Oct 11 | #56 | #169 | -12 | @Akron | W 20–7 129 | 3-3 | 1-0 |
| 8 | Oct 18 | #61 | #179 | -11.5 | Eastern Michigan | W 44–30 135 | 4-3 | 2-0 |
| 9 | Oct 25 | #76 | #67 | -2.5 | Western Michigan | W 26–17 130 | 5-3 | 3-0 |
| 11 | Nov 5 | #63 | #68 | +2.5 | @Ohio | L 20–24 118 | 5-4 | 3-1 |
| 12 | Nov 13 | #63 | #37 | +5.5 | Toledo | L 3–24 133 | 5-5 | 3-2 |
| 13 | Nov 20 | #70 | #143 | -2.5 | @Buffalo | W 37–20 147 | 6-5 | 4-2 |
| 14 | Nov 29 | #69 | #217 | -16.5 | Ball State | W 45–24 125 | 7-5 | 5-2 |
| Conference Championship | ||||||||
| 15 | Dec 6 | #65 | #66 | +2.5 | Western Michigan (N) | L 13–23 138 | 7-6 | 5-3 |
| Bowl Season | ||||||||
| 18 | Dec 27 | #63 | #93 | +5.5 | Fresno State (N) | L 3–18 | 7-7 | 5-3 |
Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, explosiveness)▼
| Date | Opp | Result | Yds | TO | TOP | EPA/play | Success% | Explosive% | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27 | Fresno State | L 3–18 | — | — | — | -0.153 | 31.2% | 76.6% | |
| Dec 6 | Western Michigan | L 13–23 | 272 | 1 | 24:43 | +0.041 | 28.6% | 142.2% | |
| Nov 29 | Ball State | W 45–24 | 458 | 0 | 32:34 | +0.281 | 50.0% | 115.5% | |
| Nov 20 | @Buffalo | W 37–20 | 347 | 0 | 29:25 | +0.039 | 38.2% | 115.7% | |
| Nov 13 | Toledo | L 3–24 | 222 | 3 | 29:51 | -0.239 | 25.0% | 124.8% | Season-low EPA/play |
| Nov 5 | @Ohio | L 20–24 | 303 | 1 | 32:50 | +0.120 | 34.1% | 161.1% | Most explosive |
| Oct 25 | Western Michigan | W 26–17 | 408 | 0 | 30:39 | +0.191 | 41.5% | 118.2% | |
| Oct 18 | Eastern Michigan | W 44–30 | 454 | 1 | 42:09 | +0.287 | 50.6% | 117.5% | Best success rate |
| Oct 11 | @Akron | W 20–7 | 353 | 1 | 34:12 | +0.148 | 39.4% | 136.9% | |
| Oct 4 | @Northern Illinois | W 25–14 | 367 | 0 | 39:06 | +0.174 | 40.8% | 117.2% | |
| Sep 27 | Lindenwood | W 38–0 | 476 | 0 | 36:53 | +0.224 | 47.9% | 108.2% | Best defensive stand |
| Sep 20 | UNLV | L 38–41 | 396 | 3 | 21:52 | +0.044 | 43.1% | 125.8% | One-score loss |
| Sep 6 | @Rutgers | L 17–45 | 368 | 1 | 20:54 | +0.324 | 47.7% | 140.4% | Season-high EPA/play |
| Aug 29 | @Wisconsin | L 0–17 | 117 | 2 | 20:47 | -0.192 | 28.2% | 85.0% | |
| Season average (14 games) | 349 | 1.0 | +0.092 | 39.0% | 120.4% | ||||
How They Play · 2025
How They Play · 2025Miami (OH) fields a struggling offense behind a strong, bend-don't-break defense.
Opponent-adjusted percentiles vs all FBS. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.
Team identity · competitive snaps only
How Miami (OH) actually scores
34th percentile quality, 67th percentile boom-dependency. Garbage time excluded from both axes — the same correction that changes the Q4 story below.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Quality percentile | Boom-share percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 86th | 11th |
| Akron | 12th | 89th |
| Alabama | 58th | 17th |
| App State | 35th | 47th |
| Arizona | 64th | 37th |
| Arizona State | 41st | 62nd |
| Arkansas | 90th | 12th |
| Arkansas State | 17th | 66th |
| Army | 57th | 43rd |
| Auburn | 47th | 53rd |
| BYU | 78th | 19th |
| Baylor | 69th | 25th |
| Boise State | 66th | 20th |
| Boston College | 37th | 54th |
| Bowling Green | 2nd | 98th |
| Buffalo | 11th | 88th |
| California | 28th | 48th |
| Central Michigan | 52nd | 64th |
| Cincinnati | 89th | 16th |
| Clemson | 51st | 48th |
| Coastal Carolina | 17th | 83rd |
| Colorado | 18th | 84th |
| Colorado State | 16th | 83rd |
| Delaware | 38th | 58th |
| Duke | 80th | 14th |
| East Carolina | 63rd | 36th |
| Eastern Michigan | 49th | 42nd |
| Florida | 30th | 67th |
| Florida Atlantic | 62nd | 59th |
| Florida International | 42nd | 50th |
| Florida State | 83rd | 32nd |
| Fresno State | 26th | 73rd |
| Georgia | 81st | 3rd |
| Georgia Southern | 73rd | 21st |
| Georgia State | 36th | 70th |
| Georgia Tech | 84th | 5th |
| Hawai'i | 64th | 41st |
| Houston | 27th | 65th |
| Illinois | 75th | 26th |
| Indiana | 95th | 1st |
| Iowa | 44th | 40th |
| Iowa State | 68th | 22nd |
| Jacksonville State | 54th | 38th |
| James Madison | 65th | 44th |
| Kansas | 85th | 28th |
| Kansas State | 71st | 49th |
| Kennesaw State | 56th | 30th |
| Kent State | 21st | 86th |
| Kentucky | 15th | 85th |
| LSU | 14th | 81st |
| Liberty | 43rd | 56th |
| Louisiana | 19th | 73rd |
| Louisiana Tech | 39th | 61st |
| Louisville | 48th | 64th |
| Marshall | 55th | 39th |
| Maryland | 30th | 74th |
| Memphis | 80th | 24th |
| Miami | 76th | 5th |
| Miami (OH) | 34th | 67th |
| Michigan | 67th | 33rd |
| Michigan State | 27th | 75th |
| Middle Tennessee | 39th | 52nd |
| Minnesota | 29th | 77th |
| Mississippi State | 22nd | 77th |
| Missouri | 61st | 30th |
| Missouri State | 55th | 46th |
| NC State | 86th | 23rd |
| Navy | 94th | 17th |
| Nebraska | 48th | 57th |
| Nevada | 3rd | 97th |
| New Mexico | 58th | 60th |
| New Mexico State | 9th | 87th |
| North Carolina | 13th | 89th |
| North Texas | 98th | 7th |
| Northern Illinois | 8th | 92nd |
| Northwestern | 52nd | 36th |
| Notre Dame | 99th | 20th |
| Ohio | 67th | 18th |
| Ohio State | 93rd | 4th |
| Oklahoma | 20th | 80th |
| Oklahoma State | 5th | 95th |
| Old Dominion | 83rd | 45th |
| Ole Miss | 89th | 2nd |
| Oregon | 91st | 10th |
| Oregon State | 2nd | 98th |
| Penn State | 73rd | 33rd |
| Pittsburgh | 60th | 39th |
| Purdue | 25th | 78th |
| Rice | 6th | 94th |
| Rutgers | 70th | 27th |
| SMU | 74th | 42nd |
| Sam Houston | 4th | 96th |
| San Diego State | 24th | 76th |
| San José State | 45th | 69th |
| South Alabama | 36th | 58th |
| South Carolina | 23rd | 86th |
| South Florida | 87th | 23rd |
| Southern Miss | 40th | 55th |
| Stanford | 10th | 90th |
| Syracuse | 5th | 95th |
| TCU | 72nd | 35th |
| Temple | 70th | 34th |
| Tennessee | 96th | 11th |
| Texas | 45th | 55th |
| Texas A&M | 82nd | 14th |
| Texas State | 92nd | 8th |
| Texas Tech | 77th | 31st |
| Toledo | 50th | 61st |
| Troy | 14th | 80th |
| Tulane | 79th | 15th |
| Tulsa | 20th | 70th |
| UAB | 61st | 45th |
| UCF | 33rd | 82nd |
| UCLA | 23rd | 79th |
| UConn | 95th | 13th |
| UL Monroe | 11th | 92nd |
| UNLV | 88th | 9th |
| USC | 98th | 2nd |
| UTEP | 1st | 99th |
| UTSA | 77th | 51st |
| Utah | 97th | 6th |
| Utah State | 46th | 63rd |
| Vanderbilt | 100th | 0th |
| Virginia | 59th | 27th |
| Virginia Tech | 32nd | 71st |
| Wake Forest | 42nd | 72nd |
| Washington | 92nd | 8th |
| Washington State | 33rd | 52nd |
| West Virginia | 7th | 93rd |
| Western Kentucky | 53rd | 29th |
| Western Michigan | 31st | 68th |
| Wisconsin | 0th | 100th |
| Wyoming | 8th | 91st |
Fourth-quarter reliability, corrected
Miami (OH)'s 4th-quarter offense, before and after garbage time
Raw Q4 EPA/play ranks 8th percentile in FBS. Strip out snaps taken with a blowout margin and it climbs to the 40th — the correction is the finding, not a footnote.
Standard downs vs. passing downs
Does Miami (OH) hold up once the down-and-distance turns against them?
33rd percentile success on standard downs, 39th on passing downs — little dropoff between the two — a schedule-independent identity.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Standard-downs percentile | Passing-downs percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 82nd | 69th |
| Akron | 20th | 36th |
| Alabama | 47th | 76th |
| App State | 41st | 80th |
| Arizona | 54th | 54th |
| Arizona State | 40th | 37th |
| Arkansas | 90th | 97th |
| Arkansas State | 51st | 40th |
| Army | 37th | 44th |
| Auburn | 73rd | 24th |
| Austin Peay | 56th | 13th |
| BYU | 91st | 46th |
| Ball State | 5th | 3rd |
| Baylor | 70th | 77th |
| Boise State | 42nd | 63rd |
| Boston College | 56th | 54th |
| Bowling Green | 10th | 17th |
| Bryant | 7th | 2nd |
| Buffalo | 29th | 20th |
| California | 25th | 66th |
| Central Michigan | 57th | 11th |
| Charlotte | 7th | 7th |
| Cincinnati | 89th | 65th |
| Clemson | 49th | 34th |
| Coastal Carolina | 16th | 22nd |
| Colorado | 8th | 48th |
| Colorado State | 29th | 35th |
| Delaware | 66th | 31st |
| Duke | 82nd | 63rd |
| East Carolina | 63rd | 91st |
| Eastern Michigan | 46th | 67th |
| Florida | 52nd | 45th |
| Florida Atlantic | 44th | 61st |
| Florida International | 50th | 26th |
| Florida State | 65th | 90th |
| Fresno State | 22nd | 71st |
| Georgia | 95th | 69th |
| Georgia Southern | 64th | 84th |
| Georgia State | 22nd | 75th |
| Georgia Tech | 92nd | 89th |
| Hawai'i | 33rd | 87th |
| Houston | 61st | 29th |
| Idaho | 30th | 78th |
| Idaho State | 93rd | 14th |
| Illinois | 79th | 95th |
| Indiana | 97th | 98th |
| Iowa | 74th | 19th |
| Iowa State | 80th | 58th |
| Jacksonville State | 59th | 56th |
| James Madison | 77th | 52nd |
| Kansas | 99th | 82nd |
| Kansas State | 37th | 59th |
| Kennesaw State | 44th | 67th |
| Kent State | 15th | 5th |
| Kentucky | 62nd | 29th |
| LSU | 18th | 52nd |
| Lafayette | 0th | 12th |
| Liberty | 65th | 53rd |
| Lindenwood | 4th | 1st |
| Long Island University | 24th | 78th |
| Louisiana | 24th | 23rd |
| Louisiana Tech | 41st | 24th |
| Louisville | 84th | 32nd |
| Maine | 3rd | 18th |
| Marshall | 71st | 62nd |
| Maryland | 11th | 86th |
| Massachusetts | 5th | 9th |
| Memphis | 75th | 68th |
| Merrimack | 1st | 83rd |
| Miami | 80th | 64th |
| Miami (OH) | 33rd | 39th |
| Michigan | 73rd | 74th |
| Michigan State | 48th | 39th |
| Middle Tennessee | 69th | 47th |
| Minnesota | 35th | 33rd |
| Mississippi State | 52nd | 35th |
| Missouri | 76th | 50th |
| Missouri State | 32nd | 50th |
| Murray State | 1st | 6th |
| NC State | 58th | 71st |
| Navy | 95th | 72nd |
| Nebraska | 78th | 51st |
| Nevada | 17th | 16th |
| New Mexico | 38th | 60th |
| New Mexico State | 16th | 33rd |
| North Carolina | 14th | 30th |
| North Texas | 100th | 97th |
| Northern Illinois | 9th | 5th |
| Northwestern | 48th | 88th |
| Notre Dame | 88th | 99th |
| Ohio | 69th | 76th |
| Ohio State | 99th | 99th |
| Oklahoma | 39th | 41st |
| Oklahoma State | 14th | 7th |
| Old Dominion | 72nd | 79th |
| Ole Miss | 83rd | 95th |
| Oregon | 93rd | 55th |
| Oregon State | 54th | 25th |
| Penn State | 76th | 73rd |
| Pittsburgh | 35th | 56th |
| Purdue | 46th | 88th |
| Rice | 20th | 0th |
| Rutgers | 71st | 84th |
| SMU | 50th | 57th |
| Sam Houston | 26th | 4th |
| San Diego State | 84th | 1st |
| San José State | 68th | 70th |
| South Alabama | 53rd | 28th |
| South Carolina | 31st | 8th |
| South Carolina State | 10th | 3rd |
| South Florida | 86th | 46th |
| Southern Miss | 27th | 38th |
| Stanford | 12th | 12th |
| Syracuse | 19th | 10th |
| TCU | 63rd | 82nd |
| Temple | 85th | 22nd |
| Tennessee | 97th | 81st |
| Texas | 27th | 61st |
| Texas A&M | 88th | 59th |
| Texas State | 60th | 93rd |
| Texas Tech | 45th | 65th |
| Toledo | 67th | 42nd |
| Troy | 18th | 27th |
| Tulane | 81st | 86th |
| Tulsa | 43rd | 43rd |
| UAB | 34th | 94th |
| UCF | 39th | 20th |
| UCLA | 28th | 48th |
| UConn | 96th | 37th |
| UL Monroe | 13th | 14th |
| UNLV | 78th | 85th |
| USC | 94th | 90th |
| UT Martin | 2nd | 41st |
| UTEP | 3rd | 10th |
| UTSA | 67th | 92nd |
| Utah | 87th | 96th |
| Utah State | 31st | 49th |
| Vanderbilt | 90th | 100th |
| Virginia | 36th | 73rd |
| Virginia Tech | 59th | 21st |
| Wake Forest | 21st | 31st |
| Washington | 98th | 93rd |
| Washington State | 61st | 44th |
| West Virginia | 12th | 18th |
| Western Kentucky | 55th | 80th |
| Western Michigan | 86th | 16th |
| Wisconsin | 6th | 27th |
| Wyoming | 23rd | 15th |
Halftime identity
Miami (OH) by half
1st-half offense ranks 36th percentile in FBS; 2nd-half, 54th — competitive snaps only, garbage time excluded from both halves.
Schedule mirage
How much of Miami (OH)'s number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 21 is 0.09; 38th percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's 0.02. The widest gap came in week 1: -0.19 raw vs. -0.01 adjusted.
Miami (OH) reads strongest in epa allowed (top 24%) and success rate allowed (top 31%); the crux lives in success rate, where Miami (OH) sits at the 20th percentile.
offense · strengths lead
defense · higher bar = harder to play against
hidden math · special situations
ELITE · 90+STRONG · 70+AVERAGE · 40-70CONCERN · 10-40BOTTOM · <10
Most Similar Programs · Miami (OH)
Most Similar Programs · Miami (OH)Reads Like
AkronTier 3 · Prestige T3 · Similarly-sized rosters up frontApp StateTier 3 · Prestige T3 · Similarly-sized rosters up frontArkansas StateTier 3 · Prestige T3 · Similarly-sized rosters up front
Static-attribute similarity across tier, archetype, conference, and voice. Not a prediction — a calibration.
Home-Field Advantage · Miami (OH) · 2018-present
Elite
76% home win rate vs 47% on the road. margin runs +15.2 better at home. Yager Stadium seats 24,286, averaging 53% full (12,972 attendance, 22 games reported).
Home30-9Away22-24
Positional competition · RB room
The carries are split. The job isn’t.
Jordan Brunson and D'Shawntae Jones split the carries (153/216 vs 63/216) -- but the job isn't split the same way. D'Shawntae Jones gets the goal line; Jordan Brunson gets the clock-killing work; D'Shawntae Jones produces in bigger chunks.
Jordan BrunsonD'Shawntae Jones
Carries
the baseline -- every row below is tested against this split, not a flat 50/50
Inside the 5
p = 0.016 -- real, not noise
Q4, leading (competitive)
p = 0.033 -- real, not noise
Top-5-carry share
concentration and EPA/carry agree -- a real boom/bust split
See it develop week by week
Inside-the-5 share, week by week (weeks both players actually played the role)
Screened 3 claims, 3 survived
Positional competition · WR/TE room
The targets are split. The job isn’t.
Kamryn Perry (WR) and Brian Shane (TE) split the targets (83/97 vs 14/97) -- but the job isn't split the same way.
Kamryn PerryBrian Shane
Targets
the baseline -- every row below is tested against this split, not a flat 50/50
3rd-down targets
shared -- dots touch, this room really is a committee here
Top-5-catch share
concentration alone -- EPA/target doesn't corroborate, read with caution
Screened 2 claims, 0 survived, 2 falsified
What changed
Miami (OH)’s play-calling, before and after the change
Offense: Eric Koehler (2021–2022) → Pat Welsh (2023–2025)
The biggest shift: 4th-down go rate moved down 6 points. The rest held closer to steady.
1st-down pass rate
Red-zone pass rate
4th-down go rate
Defense: co-Spence Nowinsky / co-John Hauser (2018–2021) → Bill Brechin (2022–2025)
The biggest shift: 4th-down go rate moved down 8 points. The rest held closer to steady.
1st-down pass rate
Red-zone pass rate
4th-down go rate
Season by season
How Miami (OH)’s current staff calls plays, year over year
Offense: Pat Welsh (2023–2025)
1st-down pass rate
2023: 35% → 2025: 46% · 14-pt range · #40 of 171 · more than most
Red-zone pass rate
2023: 39% → 2025: 37% · 22-pt range · #21 of 171 · more than most
4th-down go rate
2023: 22% → 2025: 31% · 17-pt range · #87 of 171 · a typical amount
Defense: Bill Brechin (2022–2025)
1st-down pass rate
2022: 42% → 2025: 46% · 14-pt range · #45 of 189 · more than most
Red-zone pass rate
2022: 44% → 2025: 37% · 22-pt range · #25 of 189 · more than most
4th-down go rate
2022: 26% → 2025: 31% · 17-pt range · #89 of 188 · a typical amount
Defensive identity · pass zones
What this defense gives up, by zone.
On short passes, Miami (OH)’s defense allows a completion rate below the FBS mean (63.2% vs 65.9% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 148-play sample) — mid-pack, 23 of 133 qualifying defenses.
We won’t show a deep-ball leaderboard here: at the defense level, most teams face well under 30 rich-feed deep targets all season — too thin to tell a real tendency from noise, so we won’t guess.
Screened 133 claims, 133 survived · 2025 only, in the 399 games with the detailed play-text feed; n=148 short-zone plays faced, raw rate 60.8%
Venue texture
63°F average kickoff temp; 13% of games had measurable precipitation; 7 mph average wind.
Based on 63 home games with weather data.
The CFP Era
12 seasons inside the CFP era, no bids yet — the era the program is still trying to break into.
TRAJECTORY · quality-score line · AP rank dotted · CFP bids marked · coach regimes ribboned
Program Quality
AP Rank (inverted)
CFP Appearance
Miami (OH)'s 2014–2025 record is 71-74. The era is still being written; the CFP line is the one the program is arguing for.
All-Time Record
427-344-18
since 1904 · 95 seasons · .541 win rate
HOME
208-107-11
AWAY
207-225-7
NEUTRAL
12-12
1900s
1910s
1920s
1930s
1940s
1950s
1960s
1970s
1980s
1990s
2000s
2010s
2020s
The program, in full — read the essay
Paul Brown went to college in Oxford, Ohio. So did Woody Hayes, Ara Parseghian, and Bo Schembechler. The Cradle of Coaches produced the men who built the sport — and the program they came from has now been to three straight MAC Championship Games and lost all three.
Miami University's contribution to football runs deeper than its conference record. Paul Brown went to Oxford and became the architect of modern pro football — the draft, the playbook, the practice structure. Woody Hayes went to Oxford and built Ohio State. Ara Parseghian went to Oxford and won Notre Dame national championships. Bo Schembechler went to Oxford and defined Michigan for two decades. No program of Miami's size has produced that concentration of coaching influence, and the program's identity — 'Love and Honor,' the Victory Bell, the Cradle of Coaches plaza — rests on a heritage that belongs to all of college football, not just the MAC.
The present-tense arc is Chuck Martin's run at the MAC title. Martin has the RedHawks in three straight championship games and has lost all three — including a 23-13 loss to Western Michigan in 2025, followed by an 18-3 bowl loss to Fresno State. The fanbase carries that ache with a specific mixture of pride and frustration: pride that the program is good enough to be there, frustration that the game that would hang hardware next to the Cradle of Coaches statues keeps ending just short. Martin returns for 2026. The roster returns largely intact. The MAC Championship Game will be there again.
The 2026 question is specific: what does Miami do differently on Championship Saturday? The program's roster quality is not the gap — three title game appearances in three years is not an accident. The question is whether the fourth trip produces the result the other three didn't, and whether the Cradle of Coaches name gets hardware added to its legacy in Martin's era.
How they play
Disciplined, fundamentals-first MAC football — the kind of program you'd expect from the school that trained the sport's great teaching coaches. Miami runs physical, gap-sound football on defense and a balanced offensive attack that doesn't ask the scheme to carry the roster. Martin's teams are consistent at winning regular-season games through execution and lose fewer games than they should on talent alone. The gap has shown up on championship Saturdays.
Steady
Miami (OH) 2016–2025. Holding the line. The 10-year slope (+0.09 rungs / yr) doesn't tilt either way — the program lives at roughly Tier 3.
CFP Era · Miami (OH)
12 seasons on file
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
down middle peak CFP year
Season Standing · 2025 · 7-7
Season Standing · 2025 · 7-7Bowl eligible
Miami (OH): 6+ wins, bowl access secured. The baseline of a successful FBS year.
R0R1R2R3R4R5R6R7R8R9
Sub-FBSBuildingBowlRankedContenderPlayoff
Mid-American Standing · 2025
5th in the Mid-American
Miami (OH) sits 5th of 13 in the Mid-American at 5-3. Mid-conference — moves up or down depend on rivalry results and the late-season closing run.
| # | Program | Record |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Western Michigan | 7-1 |
| 2 | Ohio | 5-2 |
| 3 | Toledo | 5-2 |
| 4 | Central Michigan | 5-3 |
| 5 | Miami (OH) | 5-3 |
| 6 | Akron | 4-4 |
| 7 | Buffalo | 4-4 |
| 8 | Ball State | 3-4 |
| 9 | Kent State | 3-4 |
| 10 | Eastern Michigan | 2-5 |
| 11 | Bowling Green | 2-6 |
| 12 | Sacramento State | 0-0 |
| 13 | Massachusetts | 0-7 |
Coaching Era · Miami (OH)
Coaching Era · Miami (OH)Chuck Martin
Chuck Martin into year 13 — a multi-decade era by modern CFB standards.
Era Chuck Martin · 2014–presentOC: Gus RaglandPrev OC: Pat Welsh (2023–2025)DC: Bill BrechinPrev DC: co-Spence Nowinsky / co-John Hauser (2018–2021)
13
years · era
Rituals
Three gameday rituals — the ones outsiders never quite catch.
Cradle of Coaches Lineage
since 1928
Miami (OH)'s 'Cradle of Coaches' identity — the coaching lineage that produced Paul Brown (Browns + Bengals), Woody Hayes (Ohio State + Big Ten), Ara Parseghian (Notre Dame + 2 national titles), Bo Schembechler (Michigan + 13 Big Ten titles), Carmen Cozza (Yale), John Pont (Yale + Northwestern), Sid Gillman (Chargers + Hall of Fame), and others — is one of CFB's most-storied historical anchors. Most coaching-tree lineage in CFB history.
Victory Bell (vs Cincinnati)
since 1888
Miami (OH)-Cincinnati plays for the Victory Bell — the oldest non-Ivy League rivalry in CFB at 130+ meetings since 1888. The bell trophy's annual home depends on the outcome. The In-State Ohio Battle of Southwest Ohio is the structural conference fixture across MAC era + Cincinnati's Big 12 entry.
Love and Honor (Alma Mater)
since 1908
'Love and Honor' — Miami's alma mater (composed 1908) — is sung after every game by both fans and players, win or lose. The tradition of singing alma mater post-game is universal in CFB, but the Love and Honor lyrics + the post-game ritual are uniquely Miami (OH). The tradition + the Cradle of Coaches legacy anchor program identity.
Program memory
What this program never forgets
Most weeks vanish. These didn’t.
Parseghian's 1955 unbeaten season
A 9-0 year and Tangerine Bowl, the on-field flower of the coaching dynasty
Roethlisberger's 2003 MAC title
A 13-1 season behind the program's signature QB
The 2025 MAC title game loss
A third straight Championship Game ends 23-13 short against Western Michigan
Heartbreak
Moment of the Year · Miami (OH) · 2025
Moment of the Year · Miami (OH) · 2025Postseason · Lost 3-18 at Fresno State
Week 18 of 2025. The single game that defined the season's arc.
Bowl / Postseason Ledger
Bowl / Postseason LedgerRecent postseason (2016-2025): 2-5
Most recent: 2025 — loss 18-3 (away). Last 5 postseason: 2-3.
20252024202320222021
NFL Draft Pipeline
2022–2026
NFL Draft PipelineThin
2 picks last 5 cycles. Roster development still maturing.
2
picks · 0 R1
#174
Dominique Robinson
Outside Linebacker · 2022 · Chicago · #293/370 final season
#227
Jackson Kuwatch
Linebacker · 2026 · Carolina · #54/583 final season
#102 all-time · 2 first-round picksthe talent factory →
Unit lineage
Miami (OH)’s offense and defense, by coordinator
FBS-relative efficiency percentile per season (2014–2025), same population as the Coordinator Mirror board. Dashed vertical lines mark a coordinator change.
Offense2014–2025
2014–2020 · co-Eric Koehler / co-George Barnett2021–2022 · Eric Koehler2023–2025 · Pat Welsh
Hired for 2026: Gus Ragland — not yet reflected in on-field data.
Defense2014–2025
2014–2015 · co-Matt Pawlowski2016–2017 · co-John Hauser / co-Matt Pawlowski2018–2021 · co-Spence Nowinsky / co-John Hauser2022–2025 (ongoing) · Bill Brechin
Elite (≥70th pct)AveragePoor (≤30th pct)
Chronicle Visuals
Average 2025 continuity (48% back) — offense anchors it, qb room is the stress point.
The portal upgraded the S room but opened a hole at WR.
1 player drafted in 2026; the reload runs through the portal and recruiting.
Miami (OH) sits where recruit talent and draft yield largely match.
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