Kent State

1-2

Mid-American · Mark Carney, year 2 (6-9) · Dix Stadium · 25,319 · 7,887 avg in 2026

The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The model#108 CFB ZeitgeistSP+ #137 (-24.8) · FPI #137
The marketKent State by 3vs Ball State · our model 64% Kent State · a number, not a pick

LastL 3–59 at Ohio State · Sat Sep 19 · Aiden Burgess 1 sacks, 1 TFL, 2 tackles

Nextvs Ball State · Sat Sep 26 · 12 pm ET · Dix Stadium · Kent State by 3 · series 8-25, lost the last 4 · Game preview

Updated Tue Sep 22 · through week 3

Kent State · 2026 schedule & results1-2
WkDateUsOppLineOpponentResultRecordConf
1Sep 5#122#16+35.5@South CarolinaL 0–57 1200-10-0
2Sep 12#114#197-10WoffordW 36–15 1251-10-0
3Sep 19#132#1+52.5@Ohio StateL 3–59 1211-20-0
4Sep 26#120#157-3Ball State
5Oct 3#121#60Ohio
6Oct 10@Western Michigan
7Oct 17@South Florida
8Oct 24Akron
9Oct 31@Sacramento State
11Nov 11@Bowling Green
12Nov 18Miami (OH)
13Nov 25@Eastern Michigan
Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, explosiveness)
DateOppResultYdsTOTOPEPA/playSuccess%Explosive%Note
Sep 19@Ohio StateL 3–59134329:39-0.45019.6%85.6%Season-low EPA/play
Sep 12WoffordW 36–15448337:22+0.12541.1%130.6%Season-high EPA/play
Sep 5@South CarolinaL 0–57179125:13-0.03826.5%146.1%Most explosive
Season average (3 games)2542.3-0.12129.1%120.8%
Verdict Begins·Live

Kent State went 1-23 across two seasons, fired its coach, and turned to the guy already on staff -- who won five games in one year and took the Wagon Wheel back from Akron in overtime to prove it.

Standard GapThe Dustin Crum era (2019-2021, first-ever bowl win, three straight…

Kent State fans have watched the program get written off as a MAC afterthought during the 1-23 stretch -- and answered with a coach promoted from the same staff that presided over it, turning the…

low signal
Read the full program story ↓

The season in chapters

What fans said

L 3–59 at Ohio State

Ohio State fans on Kent State

Real posts from the day of the game, chosen by community score · usernames not shown

What it is like to watch them2025 · 5-7 · last season

Game feel55shootoutscombined pts / game1st highest-scoring of 13 in the Mid-American
Heart rate4-2white-knucklein one-score games (6 of 12)3rd most one-score games of 13 in the Mid-American
Margin-12.3outgunnedavg scoring margin11th best margin of 13 in the Mid-American
Tempo57methodicaloffensive plays / game13th fastest of 13 in the Mid-American
Big plays1.38highlight reelexplosiveness (IsoPPP)1st most explosive of 13 in the Mid-American
Home crowd9,875avg attendance9th biggest crowds of 13 in the Mid-American

✓ measured from 12 games · ranks are among Mid-American teams the same season

Recent form · last 10 games · incl. 2025

Kent State has won two of its last five.

Cooling. 5-5 over the last 10, and lost the last one.

Streak L1Last 5 · 2-3Last 10 · 5-5
I think anytime you got a guy who can do it with both his arms and legs, the defense is always on notice
Carney · Kentstaterthe day before Kent State's 2026 game against Ohio State
The forecast

Next Sep 26

vs Ball State · at home

Season line4.5 winsover +125
PoorPoorBend-don't-break

✓ fact on line · ~ our read on style

Market outlook

Season expectations

Win total1 booksO/U 4.5
CFP championship#134 in field+100000
MAC title#11 in market+4000

Sportsbook consensus · best odds across multiple books · 2026-09-22

Kent State · the story right now 4 storylines developing

What Kent State's coaching hire is really about

the open questioncan a new staff change the trajectory?

coachingthis cycle~readnew

Carney, who led a 5-7 turnaround at Kent State, inherits an 11% production return and a program that’s been through three coaches in five years — the churn defines the challenge, not his credentials.

what happenedMark Carney took over as Kent State's head coach, replacing Kenni Burns. ✓ fact
the contextthe program's third head coach in five seasons

our readdeveloping

garbage time2025 cycle~attributednew

Gavin Garcia does NOT see a usage spike in garbage time -- his workload holds steady regardless of score.

our readbackground

coordinators2025 cycle✓ factnew

Kent State: coordinator change reshaping a unit.

our readbackground

identitythis cycle~readnew

Mark Carney's 5-7 turnaround capped by reclaiming the Wagon Wheel from Akron offers a rare spark for a program mired in a 1-23 slide across 2023-2024.

what happenedKent State: the fanbase's identity shifting. ✓ fact

our readdeveloping

How past storylines here turned out

AnsweredKent State's head-coaching hire held for another season.
Died downKent State's defensive coordinator change has died down — no clear next chapter yet.
Died downKent State's offensive coordinator change has died down — no clear next chapter yet.

Outcome band · Kent State · 2026

Kent State's most likely season is 7-6 — a bowl game. The floor is 4-8; the ceiling is 9-4.

Floor4-8No postseason.
Base7-6A bowl game.
Ceiling9-4A bowl game, 2 more wins.

Floor, base and ceiling come from the season-path projection, which plays out conference title games and the CFP — so a ceiling can run past 12 games.

How the room reactedreal evidence · tap rooms to explore
Following now · Kent State · Coaching Confidence

The Mark Carney story at Kent State won't sit still.

Mark Carney took over as Kent State's head coach, replacing Kenni Burns. It is the program's third head coach in five seasons. It's not the hire that's the story anymore — it's everything it set in motion. The room has bought in, but early believers have been wrong before.

near-unanimous belief where the takes land · dot = how loud
DOUBTBELIEF
Believers5 bull takes
💬 fans: 1% volume
Developing3 new this week
2 days agoWhat Kent State coach Mark Carney said about Ohio State postgame — Buckeyes Wire
5 days agoKent State football coach Mark Carney reacts to Golden Flashes overtime win over Akron — Yahoo Sports
6 days agoKent State football coach Mark Carney on win over Wofford | Video — Yahoo Sports
2 weeks agoKickoff specialist named starter — Official
The cast who's driving the story · latest headline on each, attributed
Mark Carney Head coach
“What Kent State coach Mark Carney said about Ohio State postgame” — Buckeyes Wire · 2026-09-20
Kenni Burns Out
Josh Cribbs
“Fall Camp Media Availability 8.15.26: Mark Carney, Cherokee Valeria, Clay Patterson, Josh Cribbs” — Kent State Golden Flashes · 2026-08-15
Cherokee Valeria
“Fall Camp Media Availability 8.15.26: Mark Carney, Cherokee Valeria, Clay Patterson, Josh Cribbs” — Kent State Golden Flashes · 2026-08-15
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
Carney, who led a 5-7 turnaround at Kent State, inherits an 11% production return and a program that’s been through three coaches in five years — the churn defines the challenge, not his credentials.
Source of record: Mark Carney took over as Kent State's head coach, replacing Kenni Burns — the program's third head coach in five seasons.
How each room is reacting — tap to expand
Believers bullishSkeptics no dissentThe Boards thinThe Dominoes active
📣Believers5 bullish/hire items -- the case it's working.

The 'this hire changes everything' takes -- new-era believers making the case early.

“Kent State football coach Mark Carney reacts to Golden Flashes overtime win over Akron”
Yahoo Sports · 2026-09-17 · read ↗
“Kent State football coach Mark Carney on win over Wofford | Video”
Yahoo Sports · 2026-09-16 · read ↗
“Coach Mark Carney on Kent State football's win over Wofford | Video”
Akron Beacon Journal · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
🧐SkepticsNo prominent dissent — the coverage runs one way.

The 'show me the body of work' counter -- resume gaps, scheme fits, and 'not that guy' reads.

Nothing in our corpus yet — this door stays open for when there is.

💬The boards1 board mentions — too thin to call a stance.

Only 1 of 85 board posts mention it — below our floor to call a community stance. Shown as texture, not a verdict.

Nothing in our corpus yet — this door stays open for when there is.

The boards ≠ the fanbase: a vocal, self-selected slice.

🔗The dominoes9 downstream moves — the hire's knock-on effects.

The second-order trail: commits, decommits, portal and staff knock-on from the hire.

“Ohio State’s win over Kent State shined a light on a former 5-star recruit that could be trending toward the transfer portal after the season”
A to Z Sports · 2026-09-19 · read ↗
“Kent State Pregame Picks: Staff Score Predictions, Picks Against the Spread and Eleven Warriors Prop Bets”
Eleven Warriors · 2026-09-19 · read ↗

Rival pulse

Akron
Uneasy
-7
Wagon Wheel

Fan mood index · most recent r/cfb data

More in this tab

Game dayWhat a Saturday in this stadium actually feels like.
The experience

Kent State went 1-23 across 2023-2024, fired Kenni Burns in April 2025, and turned to interim-then-permanent head coach Mark Carney -- who led a 5-7 turnaround with more wins in one season than the previous two combined, capped by reclaiming the Wagon Wheel from Akron in an overtime thriller.

Offense: PoorDefense: PoorDefensive shape: Bend-don't-break
Open questionsThe unresolved questions this season keeps asking.
Program ledgerEvery dated move on this program's record, newest first.

The program ledger

since 2025
  • 2025Hired Mark Carney
RosterWho's gone, who's back, who replaces them.

Roster Reload - Kent State

2026 snapshot - 2026-09-22
Returning Production64%Moderate continuity
Talent Composite#130 nationally247 composite 522.8
Portal Additions11Primary repair: LB
Portal Losses15Primary pressure: OT
Draft Loss0No NFL Draft departures recorded
Recruiting Reload#122Depth class
LBin 4 - Hayden Dawahare3.40out 2 - Nylan Brown3.50Need Filled
current room: 213 lbs avg (2025 roster)
RBin 3 - Jakorion Caffey3.30out 1 - Gavin Garcia3.49Need Filled
current room: 198 lbs avg (2025 roster)
WRin 1 - Javier Willis3.30out 2 - Cade Wolford4.00Downgrade
current room: 172 lbs avg (2025 roster)
CBin 1 - Davion Pritchard3.40out 2 - Jaire Rawlinson3.50Downgrade
current room: 177 lbs avg (2025 roster)
QBin 1 - Ethan Thanthanavong3.30out 2 - CJ Montes3.40Downgrade
current room: 204 lbs avg (2025 roster)
OTin 0out 2 - Junior Diallo3.40Starter Risk
Full roster (111 players)
Offseason movesEvery addition and subtraction since the last snap.

The Offseason Ledger · Kent State

2 verified updates · portal · recruiting · staff · news
  1. News

    Kickoff specialist named starter

    Beamer locks in Sanchez as the kicker for a #122-ranked class that can't afford dead weight at any spot — depth pressure at OT already, so getting a starter-tier answer on special teams without burning a scholarship matters more than it sounds.

  2. News

    Stephen Daley returns to Indiana football

    Daley's injunction win sends him back to Bloomington — Kent State loses a blocking anchor from a depth class already ranked #122 nationally and sweating OT pressure heading into 2026.

Who's movedWho's transferring in and out, right now.

Transfer portal snapshot

-14.7 net portal points
(raw ledger: -14.8 — unweighted, no position adjustment)
OT
-6.7
starter risk
LB
+6.3
need filled
WR
-4.4
IOL
-3.6
low confidence
CB
-3.6
EDGE
-3.4
low confidence
QB
-3.4
S
+3.2
low confidence
RB
+2.8
need filled
K
-1.0
low confidence
P
-1.0
low confidence
Top commits

Top 3 commits

2026 class
★★★☆☆
Daiveon Taylor
LB · Aliquippa, PA
#1474 national
★★★☆☆
Lennox Lemon
CB · Massillon, OH
#1654 national
★★★☆☆
Zymir Reed
WR · Middletown, OH
#1846 national
Profiles like a typical incoming wide receiver — 13 of his 25 closest recruiting profiles since 2018 shared the Possession Receiver archetype.~our read · projection from recruiting profile — no college snaps yet
Where they're fromWhere this class actually comes from, on the map.

Recruiting Footprint · 2026

18
OH · 13PA · 2IN · 1MD · 1MO · 1

OH leads the 2026 class with 13 commits. National footprint reaching 5 states.

Where they recruit · 2023-2026

79 signees across 14 states, 2023-2026. OH leads the pull.

MEVTNHWAIDMTNDMNWIMI1NYMAORNVWYSDIAIL7IN4OH40PA7NJ6CTCAUTCO1NEMO1KY1WV1VA2MD4DERIAZNMKS2ARTNNCSCDCOKLAMSALGA2AKHITXFL
Source CFB Zeitgeist · player_recruiting_profiles

That is 7.2% of every high-school FBS signee OH produced over those cycles — second only to Ohio State, 3 signees back. The full map →

Miles from homeHow far this roster travelled to get here.

Miles from home · 2026 roster

The median Kent State player grew up 167 miles from campus.

Half this roster came from closer than that; half came from farther.

11th-closest to home in FBS of 135 ranked →
Closest to homeFarthest from home
Middle 50%41–309 miquartile spread
Within 100 mi36%38 of 106 players
Farthest2,119 miEzekiel Castex · Sacramento, CA
Closest3 miGavin Peeps · Kent, OH

Straight-line distance from each player's listed hometown to Dix Stadium. Hometowns are placed at city-centroid precision, not street address — fine at this scale, but a player's true door-to-door number can differ by a few miles. 106 of 111 listed players have a geocoded hometown. Source: CFBD roster hometowns.

In-state shareHow much of this roster is home-grown.

Who owns OH · 2026 roster

54% of the Kent State roster grew up in OH.

59 of 110 players, drawn from 21 states in all. That is the 22nd-highest in-state share of 135 ranked FBS programs.

OH · 59PA · 10IL · 6MI · 5MD · 4NJ · 4KY · 3CA · 2+13 more

Where the 2026 roster is from

110 players across 21 states. Biggest pull outside OH: PA (10).

MEVTNHWAIDMTNDMN1WIMI5NY1MAORNVWYSDIA1IL6IN2OH59PA10NJ4CTCA2UTCO1NEMO1KY3WV2VA1MD4DE1RIAZ1NMKS1ARTNNCSCDCOKLAMSALGA2AKHITXFL2
Source CFB Zeitgeist · roster_entries (CFBD hometowns)
Every FBS roster ranked by in-state share →

Home state as listed on the CFBD roster. 1 listed player fall outside the 50 states and DC (international hometowns, or no state listed) and is excluded from the denominator. Source: CFBD roster hometowns.

Recruiting buzzWhat fans say about the incoming class right now.

r/cfb this year

[Postgame Thread] Kent State Defeats UMass 42-6
172 upvotes · Oct 2025
[Game Thread] UMass @ Kent State (2:30 PM ET)
23 upvotes · Oct 2025

Top community posts · last 12 months · r/cfb

How it turned outHow an old class actually turned out, years on.
Class Autopsy
The 2022 class: 0 drafted so far, 44% never transferred. D
See the class →
Fans vs. marketWhere fans and the betting market read this team differently.
Fan vs. market
95th
Fan percentile
(FBS mood rank)
4.5
Vegas O/U wins
(12th among FBS)
Fans 83pp more bullish than market implies
Win total consensus · 1 book
Turnover luckHow much of the margin was skill vs. the bounce.
Fumble luck

Recovering 40% of their own fumbles — running cold vs. the ~52% league rate.

2 of 5 own fumbles recovered themselves, 2026 only.

PenaltiesWhether flags are costing this team games.
Penalty battle

Losing the penalty battle: 26 penalties committed vs. 15 drawn on opponents, a 76-yard deficit.

190 penalty yards committed vs. 114 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.

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