The Zeitgeist List · coaching

Mark Carney

5–7
2025–now · 1 stint
← all coaches

In his own words

South Carolina is a really good football team
Kentstater · · the day after Kent State's 2026 opener
I thought Dru played well
Kentstaterthe day after the 0–57 opener
Second down was our bugaboo
Kentstaterthe day after the 0–57 opener
Tackling on defense
Kentstaterthe day after the 0–57 opener
He’s earned it, he wants it
Kentstater2 days before the opener
It’s like you’re teaching a different level course
Kentstater2 days before the opener
Just their overall physicality and athleticism
Kentstater2 days before the opener

Career arc

His real stature score, season by season, across every program he’s coached — so a stretch that stays in one tier the whole way can still climb or sink on the line, not just flatten out. Node color marks the tier reached. Which program a stretch belongs to is carried by the shaded lane behind it.

Stature score reached, by season of his head-coaching careerKENT STATERegional Programthe building-block levelKent State, 2025: 5-7, Regional Program VI2025Kent State, 2026: in progress, Regional Program VI2026-0.1One point per coached season, in career order; dashed segments are program changes — spacing is not proportional to calendar time

Reached Regional Program in his 1st career season — faster than 20% of the 925 FBS coaches who have ever reached Regional Program (rank #1 of 925 by seasons-to-arrival).

Kent State, 2 seasons (active)
−0.1
Regional Program VI → Regional Program VI.

Style position and drift

Where each stint’s offense sat between run-first and pass-first, and how far it moved from one season to the next. The band is that stint’s real season-to-season range, not a fixed-width box.

40%Kent State2025–2026– 0.1pt
Pass rate — share of offensive plays that were pass attemptsfirst covered seasonmost recent covered seasonfull season-to-season range (3+ covered seasons)

The big-game ledger

How he does in the games that matter most — rivalry record, performance broken out by real opponent tier, one-score games, and his toughest historical matchup.

1–0 against his rivals.

Rivalry record
1–0
100.0% · 1 rival
One-score games
3–2
60.0% · margin ≤8
Rivalry ledger
Akron1–0100%
Performance by opponent class
Power Program
0–4 0.0%
Regional Program
4–3 57.1%

His own effect, isolated

A statistical estimate of this coach’s contribution to team performance, separated from that season’s roster talent, returning production, and his coordinators — pooled across his whole head-coaching career.

Offense marginal impact
+0.06
#124 of 319 · a typical amount
Defense marginal impact
+0.03
#128 of 325 · a typical amount

Model fit as of 2026-09-04.

Coaching career

2025–now
Kent State
too new to grade yet

19th-best Kent State tenure of 19 by the numbers.

Recruiter or developer?

Performs about as expected for his recruiting talent, on both sides of the ball.

Offense vs. talent
-1.3 pts
#117 of 208 · a typical amount
Defense vs. talent
+4.6 pts
#84 of 208 · a typical amount
Recruiting talent is team-wide (no offense/defense split exists in the source data) -- both sides are scored against the same talent input, only the outcome is side-specific.

Followed Kenni Burns (2023–2024).

Season20252026Trend
Record & result
Record5–70–0
Postseason
Recruiting rank#93#122
Style — pass rate
Pass rate42.642.5
Coordinators
OCClay PattersonClay Patterson
DCCherokee ValeriaCherokee Valeria
Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile
Offense3128
Defense382
Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script (2021+ only)
1st-down pass%36.226.3
Red-zone pass%36.5
4th-down go%opp. territory53.3
Roster construction · portal era

A typical amount of portal roster-building.

Portal arrivals
23
2.8★ avg rating
Portal departures
45
left via the portal
Net portal flow
-22
#108 of 187 FBS stints
Who they bring in

Brings in smaller-than-position-typical players than most.

Recruits younger transfers than most — more of a development bet.

Avg. size (raw)
6′2″, 230 lbs
across 16 of 23 arrivals — unadjusted for position mix
Size vs. position-typical
+0.1 lbs
#230 of 255 · less than most
Avg. class year
Jr
#254 of 255 · less than most
Top states: OH (5), IL (3), MO (2), KY (2), PA (2)
Who won the portal our read
Talent added
43.6
position-weighted
Talent lost
53.4
position-weighted
Net
-9.8
arrivals minus departures
Best addition: Ethan Thanthanavong (QB) from Defiance College
Biggest loss: JD Sherrod (QB) to Southeast Missouri State
Position-value-weighted (QB/CB weighted highest, depth-decayed within each position) — the same scoring engine as the Portal Heat feed, not a separate grade.
Where the roster comes from, by position
Buys Tight end via the portal
67%
#23 of 188 stints
Grows Tackle from high school
100%
#198 of 223 stints
Grows D-line from high school
86%
#202 of 239 stints

AI Narratives — “Kent State — stat check”.

5–7
How to read this. Bands and archetypes come from the Zeitgeist List’s season-by-season stature model, and only apply once a stint clears 3 coached seasons in our ledger — a newer stint shows its real record with no stature judgment yet.