The Zeitgeist List · coaching

Chris Creighton

Followed Ron English. Chris Creighton moved Eastern Michigan from Regional Program VI to Regional Program IV in 13 seasons.

61–83
2014–now · 1 stint
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In his own words

Awaiting signal — no quotes collected from this staff yet this cycle.

Career arc

His real stature score, season by season, across every program he’s coached — so a stretch that stays in one tier the whole way can still climb or sink on the line, not just flatten out. Node color marks the tier reached. Which program a stretch belongs to is carried by the shaded lane behind it.

Reached Regional Program in his 1st career season — faster than 20% of the 925 FBS coaches who have ever reached Regional Program (rank #1 of 925 by seasons-to-arrival).

Eastern Michigan, 13 seasons (active)
+7.7
Regional Program VI → Regional Program V.

Style position and drift

Where each stint’s offense sat between run-first and pass-first, and how far it moved from one season to the next. The band is that stint’s real season-to-season range, not a fixed-width box.

40%50%60%Eastern Michigan2014–2026▲ 15.1pt
Pass rate — share of offensive plays that were pass attemptsfirst covered seasonmost recent covered seasonfull season-to-season range (3+ covered seasons)
How much that is, against every other stint

Season-to-season pass-rate range for all 258 FBS coaching stints with at least three covered seasons, 2014–2025.

Typical stint7.010.2 median13.9middle half of all stints
Eastern Michigan15.1pt#53 of 258 · more than most

The big-game ledger

How he does in the games that matter most — rivalry record, performance broken out by real opponent tier, one-score games, and his toughest historical matchup.

8–16 against his rivals. Winless in 5 tries against Rod Carey.

Rivalry record
8–16
33.3% · 2 rivals
One-score games
29–33
46.8% · margin ≤8
vs. Blue Blood or better
0–1
0.0%
Buyout owed
$1,500,000 (est.)
bigger than 7% of FBS buyouts
Rivalry ledger
The toughest matchup
vs. Rod Carey0–5
5 meetings, 2014–2018
’14 L · blew a 3-pt lead’15 L’16 L · blew a 21-pt lead’17 L · blew a 14-pt lead’18 L · blew a 10-pt lead
0% win rate across a real, 5-meeting series — short of the bar this site uses before badging a series “Nemesis.” Shown here as the toughest matchup on record, not an algorithmic crown.
Performance by opponent class
Blue Blood
0–1 0.0%
Power Program
0–3 0.0%
National Program
2–19 9.5%
Regional Program
48–57 45.7%

His own effect, isolated

A statistical estimate of this coach’s contribution to team performance, separated from that season’s roster talent, returning production, and his coordinators — pooled across his whole head-coaching career.

Offense marginal impact
+0.11
#103 of 319 · a typical amount
Defense marginal impact
-0.27
#285 of 325 · less than most

Model fit as of 2026-09-04.

Coaching career

2014–now
Eastern Michigancaretaker
Regional Program VI → Regional Program IV
Chris Creighton moved Eastern Michigan from Regional Program VI to Regional Program IV in 13 seasons.

6th-best Eastern Michigan tenure of 13 by the numbers.

Recruiter or developer?

Performs about as expected for his recruiting talent, on both sides of the ball.

Offense vs. talent
+6.9 pts
#76 of 208 · a typical amount
Defense vs. talent
-9.0 pts
#141 of 208 · a typical amount
Recruiting talent is team-wide (no offense/defense split exists in the source data) -- both sides are scored against the same talent input, only the outcome is side-specific.

Followed Ron English (2009–2013).

Season2014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026Trend
Record & result
Record2–101–117–65–77–66–72–47–69–46–75–74–80–0
PostseasonL bowlL bowlL bowlL bowlW bowlL bowl
Recruiting rank#123#115#121#123#110#122#115#111#123#87#93#97#106
Style — pass rate
Pass rate41.849.352.050.844.152.747.650.043.945.546.850.956.9
Coordinators
OCKalen DeBoerKalen DeBoerKalen DeBoerAaron KeenAaron KeenAaron KeenChris CreightonChris CreightonChris CreightonMike PiatkowskiMike PiatkowskiMike PiatkowskiMike Piatkowski
DCBrad McCaslinBrad McCaslinNeal NeatheryNeal NeatheryNeal NeatheryNeal NeatheryNeal NeatheryNeal NeatheryNeal NeatheryBen NeedhamBen NeedhamBen NeedhamTate Omli / Kasey Teegardin
Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile
Offense33757243382623473512661
Defense311959841215192316423130
Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script (2021+ only)
1st-down pass%33.337.845.746.239.850.845.652.539.639.648.544.856.0
Red-zone pass%38.246.743.943.439.840.036.240.531.030.933.940.030.8
4th-down go%opp. territory20.829.216.329.242.331.729.637.545.917.633.324.3
Roster construction · portal era

A typical amount of portal roster-building.

Portal arrivals
66
2.9★ avg rating
Portal departures
117
left via the portal
Net portal flow
-51
#112 of 187 FBS stints
Who they bring in

Brings in smaller-than-position-typical players than most.

A typical class-year mix of incoming transfers.

Avg. size (raw)
6′2″, 242 lbs
across 47 of 66 arrivals — unadjusted for position mix
Size vs. position-typical
+0.1 lbs
#229 of 255 · less than most
Avg. class year
Jr
#97 of 255 · a typical amount
Top states: MI (10), FL (4), GA (3), OH (3), VA (3)
Who won the portal our read
Talent added
52.4
position-weighted
Talent lost
54.1
position-weighted
Net
-1.7
arrivals minus departures
Best addition: Cole Snyder (QB) from Buffalo
Biggest loss: Jairus Grissom (QB) to the portal
Position-value-weighted (QB/CB weighted highest, depth-decayed within each position) — the same scoring engine as the Portal Heat feed, not a separate grade.
Does the system survive a coordinator change?
OC: Kalen DeBoer → Aaron Keen · 2017the offense slipped
47th pct28th pct0th100th
2-season window either side.
1st-down pass rate: 41.8% → 43.0% (+1.2 pts)
Confound, shown not hidden: only 81% of offensive production returned the year the coordinator changed — the roster turned over at the same time, not just the play-caller.
OC: Aaron Keen → Chris Creighton · 2020the system held
57th pct48th pct0th100th
2-season window either side.
1st-down pass rate: 45.3% → 49.0% (+3.7 pts)
Confound, shown not hidden: only 36% of offensive production returned the year the coordinator changed — the roster turned over at the same time, not just the play-caller.
OC: Chris Creighton → Mike Piatkowski · 2023the offense collapsed across the change
54th pct8th pct0th100th
2-season window either side.
1st-down pass rate: 46.1% → 44.1% (-2.0 pts)
Confound, shown not hidden: only 50% of offensive production returned the year the coordinator changed — the roster turned over at the same time, not just the play-caller.
DC: Brad McCaslin → Neal Neathery · 2016the defense leveled up
2nd pct39th pct0th100th
2-season window either side.
DC: Neal Neathery → Ben Needham · 2023the system held
21st pct29th pct0th100th
2-season window either side.
DC: Ben Needham → co-Tate Omli / co-Kasey Teegardin · 2026
31st pct30th pct0th100th
1-season window either side — numbers shown, not enough to badge a verdict.
Roster size, by position
Skill positions · usage-weighted (real participation)
Quarterback
208 lbs
6′2″ avg · #520 of 767 · a typical amount
Running back
205 lbs
5′10″ avg · #507 of 791 · a typical amount
Wide receiver
186 lbs
5′11″ avg · #679 of 791 · less than most
Tight end
248 lbs
6′4″ avg · #276 of 731 · a typical amount
Trench & secondary · recruited roster, not confirmed starters
Interior line
301 lbs
6′5″ avg · #683 of 779 · less than most
D-line
265 lbs
6′2″ avg · #717 of 753 · less than most
Linebacker
225 lbs
6′1″ avg · #542 of 772 · a typical amount
Cornerback
186 lbs
6′0″ avg · #583 of 771 · less than most
Offensive-line size is one undifferentiated bucket — the source data almost never distinguishes tackle from guard from center, so we can't split them out.
Where the roster comes from, by position
Buys Quarterback via the portal
67%
#16 of 206 stints
Grows LS from high school
80%
#12 of 12 stints
Grows K from high school
78%
#52 of 56 stints
Postseason detail2016: Lost to Old Dominion 20–24 Popeyes Bahamas Bowl2018: Lost to Georgia Southern 21–23 Raycom Media Camellia Bowl2019: Lost to Pittsburgh 30–34 Quick Lane Bowl2021: Lost to Liberty 20–56 LendingTree Bowl2022: Beat San José State 41–27 Famous Idaho Potato Bowl2023: Lost to South Alabama 10–59 68 Ventures Bowl

5 NFL Draft picks: Darius Jackson (2016), Pat O'Connor (2017), Maxx Crosby (2019), Sidy Sow (2023), Jose Ramirez (2023)

AI Narratives — “Eastern Michigan — stat check”.

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