Market swing2026-10-19new
Eastern Michigan MAC championship odds lengthened, from 9.5% to 5.1% (down 4.4 points) between Oct 18 and Oct 19, 2026.
Statusbackground
Standing6th in the Mid-American · 3-3 in conference play · All standings
LeadersPassing Noah Kim 1,678 · Rushing Amareon Blue 447 · Receiving Harold Mack 392 All player stats
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The model#129 CFB ZeitgeistPublic ratings: SP+ #123 (-14.6) · FPI #126
The marketno line yetBetting line at Western Michigan · our model 11% Eastern Michigan
Updated Thu Nov 5 · through week 10
Follow Eastern Michigan:athletics siteYouTube
Eastern Michigan · 2026 schedule and results4-6Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 46% · 0 opponents played so far are in the AP top 25 now.Our rank entering each game: #92 to #135
Wednesday vs Central Michigan: L 7-35
Eastern Michigan never had better than a 48% chance.
Final
Eastern Michigan 7-35 Central Michigan
Eastern Michigan lostMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.
Eastern Michigan 7-35 Central MichiganEastern Michigan lostMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.The two plays that swung it
- 1Q2 10:26Woodford 11-yd TD run, Central Michigan leads 14-0Eastern Michigan 19% → 38% (+19)
- 2Q2 1:48Woodford 2-yd TD run, Central Michigan leads 21-0Eastern Michigan 24% → 8% (−16)
How to read this chart
Starts from the pregame line (Central Michigan -2.5), at 48% for Eastern Michigan (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores.| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 29 | #92 | #131 | −9.5✓ +1.5 | Sacramento State | W 28-17 131 | 1-0 | 1-0 | Pass Kim 279 · Rush Blue 55 · Rec Prosper 81 |
| 1 | Sep 4 | #92 | #151 | −1.5✗ −7.5 | San José State | L 21-27 145 | 1-1 | 1-0 | Pass Kim 174 · Rush Blue 81 · Rec Mack 72 |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #101 | #157 | +17.5✗ −10.5 | @Michigan State | L 7-35 123 | 1-2 | 1-0 | Pass Kim 118 · Rush Bennett 56 · Rec Mack 49 |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #122 | #89 | +23.5✗ −20.5 | @Wisconsin | L 10-54 123 Roaring | 1-3 | 1-0 | Pass Kim 140 · Rush Mattord 36 · Rec Devereaux 38 |
| 4 | Sep 26 | #142 | #188 | −24.5✓ +1.5 | Lindenwood | W 29-3 121 | 2-3 | 1-0 | Pass Kim 257 · Rush Blue 58 · Rec Prosper 109 |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #147 | #135 | +5.5✓ +29.5 | @Massachusetts | W 38-14 121 | 3-3 | 2-0 | Pass Kim 219 · Rush Blue 66 · Rec Mack 49 |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #127 | #116 | −4.5✗ −2.5 | @Akron | W 25-23 137 | 4-3 | 3-0 | Pass Kim 277 · Rush Mattord 73 · Rec Long 114 |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #120 | #51 | +7.5✗ −12.5 | Toledo | L 14-34 141 | 4-4 | 3-1 | Pass Kim 214 · Rush Blue 23 · Rec Long 84 |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #143 | #55 | +11.5✓ +7.5 | @Ohio | L 20-24 121 | 4-5 | 3-2 | Pass McCaughey 197 · Rush Blue 67 · Rec Mattord 55 |
| 9 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 10 | Nov 4 | #135 | #127 | +2.5✗ −25.5 | Central Michigan (N) | L 7-35 119 | 4-6 | 3-3 | Pass McCaughey 59 · Rush Blue 42 · Rec Mattord 33 |
| 11 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 12 | Nov 17 | @Western Michigan | 7 pm ET11% to win | ||||||
| 13 | Nov 24 | Kent State | 7 pm ET60% to win | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Eastern Michigan, through 10 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
The small line beside each score is the team's win chance through the game, drawn on one scale for every game. The small number is total plays.
Line is the closing point spread for Eastern Michigan: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, big plays)▼
| Date | Opp | Result | Yds | TO | TOP | EPA/play | Success% | Big plays (IsoPPP) | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | Central Michigan | L 7-35 | 177 | 1 | 19:04 | -0.084 | 36.4% | 0.85 | Blowout loss |
| Oct 24 | @Ohio | L 20-24 | 307 | 1 | 32:32 | -0.094 | 34.3% | 1.09 | One-score loss |
| Oct 17 | Toledo | L 14-34 | 276 | 2 | 26:25 | -0.229 | 27.8% | 1.53 | Most explosive |
| Oct 10 | @Akron | W 25-23 | 413 | 2 | 35:35 | +0.137 | 45.6% | 1.04 | One-score win |
| Oct 3 | @Massachusetts | W 38-14 | 411 | 0 | 34:35 | +0.338 | 53.5% | 1.16 | Season-high EPA/play |
| Sep 26 | Lindenwood | W 29-3 | 396 | 0 | 31:28 | +0.288 | 44.3% | 1.28 | Best defensive stand |
| Sep 19 | @Wisconsin | L 10-54 | 216 | 3 | 28:43 | -0.305 | 28.1% | 1.13 | Season-low EPA/play |
| Sep 12 | @Michigan State | L 7-35 | 219 | 1 | 28:39 | +0.045 | 43.4% | 0.85 | Blowout loss |
| Sep 4 | San José State | L 21-27 | 281 | 1 | 30:08 | -0.028 | 29.0% | 1.10 | One-score loss |
| Aug 29 | Sacramento State | W 28-17 | 348 | 1 | 32:28 | +0.055 | 41.4% | 1.26 | |
| Season average (10 games) | 304 | 1.2 | +0.012 | 38.4% | 1.13 | ||||
Eastern Michigan's wildest games since 2013: comebacks, long shots, line misses
What’s ahead
Off this week
13 days
until kickoff · at Western Michigan · Tue Nov 17 · 7 pm ET
The forecast
Offense poorPass-first, spreadDefense poor
Season expectations
MAC title#6 in market+2,793
Median odds across sportsbooks · Nov 5. A number with a minus is the favorite: −130 means $130 wins $100. A plus is the underdog: +170 means $100 wins $170.
What fans said
What fans said
Eastern Michigan fans
Eastern Michigan fans
Ohio fans on Eastern Michigan
Real posts about each game (they name the opponent, a player or a play), chosen by community score · usernames not shown
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Eastern Michigan has won two of its last five.
4-6 over the last 10, and lost the last three.
Streak L3Last 5 · 2-3Last 10 · 4-6
1 storyline developing
What Eastern Michigan’s season is really about
The open questionwhere does it go from here?
Range of outcomes · Eastern Michigan · 2026
Range of outcomes · Eastern Michigan · 2026Eastern Michigan’s most likely season is 6-7, a bowl game. The floor is 5-7; the ceiling is 7-6.
Floor 5-7Ceiling 7-6Base 6-7
4 wins13 wins
What each outcome looks like
Floor5-7No postseason.
Base6-7A bowl game.
Ceiling7-6A bowl game, 1 more win.
Floor, base and ceiling come from the season-path projection, which plays out conference title games and the CFP, so a ceiling can run past 12 games. Every scenario starts from the 4-6 record so far.
More in this tab
This week and this season
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 4-6
Game feel46even gamescombined pts / game9th highest-scoring of 13 in the Mid-American
Heart rate1-2some dramain one-score games (3 of 10)9th most one-score games of 13 in the Mid-American
Margin-6.7competitiveavg scoring margin8th best margin of 13 in the Mid-American
Tempo65average paceoffensive plays / game4th fastest of 13 in the Mid-American
Big plays1.13grind it outexplosiveness (IsoPPP)11th most explosive of 13 in the Mid-American
Home crowd7,882avg attendance11th biggest crowds of 13 in the Mid-American
Measured from 10 games · ranks are among Mid-American teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind·Written July 2026
Eastern Michigan has never reached a MAC Championship Game and hasn't won a title since 1987 -- and produced a two-time Super Bowl champion and a five-time Pro Bowler who became the first active NFL player ever named a college football assistant GM, at his own alma mater.
Title DroughtSince 1987 · 39 yrs
Eastern Michigan gets talked about as one of the toughest jobs in college football, a program that can't break through -- while quietly producing a two-time Super Bowl champion and a $106.5 million…
Game-day weather
Eastern Michigan · Game-day weather
Typical at Rynearson Stadium: noon Saturdays score 89, 7:30 pm Saturdays 84
- noon: 89, Mixed
- 3:30 pm: 86, Mixed
- 7:30 pm: 84, Mixed
Typical weather score at each kickoff time.
Tap a dot to read it.
At kickoff, regular-season Saturdays, 2018 to 2025: 110 at noon, 111 at 3:30 pm, 110 at 7:30 pm. Typical means the average of those Saturdays. It is not a forecast.
Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.
Game day
The experience
Eastern Michigan hasn't won a MAC title since 1987 and has never once reached the MAC Championship Game -- but it produced Charlie Batch (15 NFL seasons, two Super Bowl rings) and Maxx Crosby, who in 2025 became the first active NFL player ever named assistant general manager of a college football program, at his own alma mater.
Offense: PoorRun/Pass: Pass-first, spreadDefense: Poor
Open questions
The story
Roster and recruiting
Roster
Roster reload: Eastern Michigan
2026 snapshot, Nov 5Returning Production72%High continuity
Talent Composite#103 nationally247 composite 580.6
Portal Additions12Primary repair: OT
Portal Losses26Primary pressure: CB
Draft Loss0No NFL Draft departures recorded
Recruiting Reload#106Depth class
RBin 3 - Braydon Bennettout 2 - James JointerEven
current room: 207 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Balanced Backdoes a little of everything without one standout trait
Third program
Full roster (115 players)
DBAntonio Solares-Vitti, Bryce Llewellyn, Caleb Coley, Caleb Dobbs, Davion Williams, Davontey Oliver, Dior Boyd, Donmiel Rogers, Eli Lovett, Fa'Rel Carter, Horace Glenn III, Jabari Monds, Jaivian Norman, Jason Marshall, Jonnie Carter, Jordan Toney, Juan Salas, Marty Collins, Ray Hester, Rayquan Adkins, Tylan Boykin
DLAlijah Lacey, Antoniyo Smith, Brandon Simmons Jr., CJ McCoy, Carter Evans, Hector Gonzalez, Jahbarri Frost, Javon Thomas, Jefferson Adam, Joseph Oluwayemi, Kevin Wojciechowski, Makhi Gilbert, Mark Debiak, Marvell Eggleston, Milan Colvin, Noah Patterson, Owen Edlen, Peyton Christian, Quincy Byas, RJ Alphonse, Reggie Gardner, Ronn Hardin, Warren-Stevens Tayou
LBAaron Kearse, Barry Manning, Bryce Eliuk, Colin Main, Elgin McDuffey, Jonah Flowers, Kadin Bailey, Kijon Braxton, Noah Knigga, Solomon Bell, Zach Mowchan
OLAdham Abouraya, Andrew Trahin, Carter Miculka, Chad Troxler, Cole Dellinger, Cole Powell, Dennis Strey Jr., Elijha Payne, Guzzy Kayed, Jackson Higgins, Joshua Anderson, Nathan Henry, Nicholas Gallegos, Nily Taylor, Richardo Wourman, Samuel Adjin, Tyler Brumfield, Tyler McMillan
RBAmareon Blue, Braydon Bennett, Decorie Johnson, Joey Mattord, Malachi James, Nazir Jones-Davis, XaVior Tyus
Top commits
Top 1 commits
2027 class
★★★☆☆
Ben Peterson
#1839 national
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
Fans and ratings
Mood vs. history
↑
Fan confidence higher than any point since 2020
93rd percentile among FBS programs
Fans vs. the line
Fan vs. market↑
93rd
Fan mood
(percentile among FBS)
(percentile among FBS)
5.5
Sportsbook win total
(28th among FBS)
(28th among FBS)
Fans 65pp more bullish than market implies
Win total consensus · 3 books
Rivals
Rival pulse
Western Michigan
Mixed+4
Michigan MAC Trophy (WMU-EMU)
Central Michigan
Uneasy-13
Michigan MAC Trophy (EMU-CMU)
Fan mood index · most recent r/CFB data
More
Follow
Follow Eastern Michigan
- Athletics siteEastern Michigan Athletics
- Athletics siteEastern Michigan football on the athletics site
- On YouTubeEastern Michigan Athletics on YouTube
Each link was checked against two outside sites.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site