cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Barry Manning /Eastern Michigan

Barry Manning

DB · Eastern Michigan · Sr · #39

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

75 TACKLES · 2 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Eastern Michigan for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Eastern Michigan for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Defensive back · Eastern Michigan

Returning around him

  • 25% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • Transfer portal: -15 net (11 in / 26 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Eastern Michigan · Last season: 4-8 · Talent rank #94 · 2026 recruiting class #97

DB · EASTERN MICHIGAN · MID-AMERICAN

Barry Manning

  • 4
  • #39
  • 6-1 | 207 lb
  • Stone Mountain, GA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

71

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 80th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#12893

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DB AWARD

Jim Thorpe

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★
#2143 national
CFB
College
Eastern Michigan
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Heisman futures · live sportsbook odds

#1 in market ▲ from #2 · 5 books

+70012.5% implied▼ lengthened from +650

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDB
Class4
Jersey39
Measurements6-1 | 207 lb
HometownStone Mountain, GA
Primary teamEastern Michigan

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 2-star No. 2143 recruit
Composite rating 0.7944 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2022
Origin Tucker Tucker, GA, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 2-star | 0.7944 No. 2143 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#12893Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#12627Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★☆☆☆

to —

Composite

0.7944

#2143 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Barry Manning

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Barry Manning

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
75Tackles
5.5Tackles for loss
2Sacks
Per game
6Tackles
0.5Tackles for loss
0.2Sacks
Projected (13g)
81Tackles
6.0Tackles for loss
2.2Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 75): needs 5/game over remaining 1.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 75): needs 25/game over remaining 1.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 2): needs 4/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 2): needs 8/game over remaining 1.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Barry Manning is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Eastern Michigan's defense, with 2.0 sacks, 5.5 tackles for loss, and 1 interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #12893 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Defensive rarity 2.0 sacks | 5.5 TFL

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 75 30 solo | #207/4942 (96th pct)
TFL 5.5 Backfield disruption | #477/4972 (90th pct)
Sacks 2.0 Pass-rush finish | #491/4972 (90th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defenderHigh-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
75 96th
SOLO
30 89th
TFL
5.5 90th
SACK
2.0 90th
QBH
2 66th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
2 64th
INT
1 65th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1L 27-52@ Texas State430.00.00
Wk 2L 23-28vs Long Island University520.00.00
Wk 3L 23-48@ Kentucky310.50.00
Wk 4W 34-31vs Louisiana1031.00.00
Wk 5L 13-24@ Central Michigan740.00.00
Wk 6L 30-31@ Buffalo420.00.01
Wk 7W 16-10vs Northern Illinois510.00.00
Wk 8L 30-44@ Miami (OH)1240.00.00Season-high 12 tackles
Wk 9L 21-28vs Ohio842.01.00
Wk 11W 27-21vs Bowling Green620.00.010
Wk 12W 24-9@ Ball State632.01.01
Wk 14L 21-31vs Western Michigan510.00.00
Total75305.52.012
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Eastern Michigan6-7HC: Chris Creighton · Run-leaning, slow tempo
2025Eastern Michigan4-8HC: Chris Creighton · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Eastern Michigan75305.52.021--
2023Eastern Michigan1070.00.0------
Career2 loaded seasons85375.52.021--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT 1 0 pick-six TD | #308/869 (65th pct)
Pass breakups 2 Coverage disruption | #792/2184 (64th pct)
QB pressures 2 Quarterback hurries | #647/1878 (66th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 75 #207/4942 96th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 5.5 #477/4972 90th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 2.0 #491/4972 90th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Interceptions 1 #308/869 65th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 2 #792/2184 64th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 2 #647/1878 66th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 30 #515/4584 89th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense INT return avg 1.0 #543/578 6th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense INT return yards 1 #546/578 6th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home6g6.50.50.20.0
Road6g6.00.40.20.3

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins4g6.80.80.20.2
Losses8g6.00.30.10.1

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-77g5.40.20.00.1
Weeks 8+5g7.40.80.40.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DB cohort

71Solid starter
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: tackles (92nd). Strength: tackles for loss (82nd).

Tackles#207 / 2975 · 93rd pct
75defe
Tackles for loss#477 / 2975 · 83rd pct
5.5defe
Solo tackles#515 / 2975 · 82nd pct
30defe
Sacks#487 / 2975 · 80th pct
2.0defe
QB hurries#634 / 2975 · 72nd pct
2defe
Passes defended#777 / 2975 · 67th pct
2defe
Interceptions#304 / 817 · 31st pct
1inte

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Barry ManningEastern MichiganTreylin PayneTexas State· 93% simJordan CrookArizona State· 93% simRay ConeyTulsa· 91% sim
Tackles
93
Manning
98
Payne
98
Crook
100
Coney
Tackles for loss
83
Manning
87
Payne
93
Crook
90
Coney
Solo tackles
82
Manning
95
Payne
98
Crook
93
Coney
Sacks
80
Manning
80
Payne
80
Crook
80
Coney
QB hurries
72
Manning
82
Payne
72
Crook
88
Coney
Passes defended
67
Manning
67
Payne
67
Crook
67
Coney
Interceptions
31
Manning
31
Crook

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Box Safety

Lives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker.

S

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Isaac Gifford’s 2024 season.

Isaac Gifford

86%match

Nebraska · 2024

#2

Jonathan Lenard Jr.

San José State · 2021

86%
#3

Zeraun Daniel

Massachusetts · 2025

84%
#4

Isaac Gifford

Nebraska · 2022

83%
#5

Gage Kreski

Central Michigan · 2021

85%

Matches Isaac on

Height
Tackle volume
PD rate

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Scotty Edwards's junior season at Stanford (2024).

Scotty Edwards

90%match

Stanford · 2024

#2

Cole Pearce

Ball State · 2023

All-MAC
91%
#3

Isaac Gifford

Nebraska · 2022

88%
#4

JD Bertrand

Notre Dame · 2022

NFL Rd 5
86%
#5

Bryant Fitzgerald

Indiana · 2022

88%

Matches Scotty on

Class year
Height
PD rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Chris Creighton

Pass share

51.1%

403 pass / 385 run

Plays / game

65.7

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

2.9%

342 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
Chris Creighton
Eastern Michigan
2025
Chris Creighton
Eastern Michigan

Played his entire career under Chris Creighton.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownStone Mountain, GA
Height6'1"
Weight207 lb
Class4
PositionDB
Jersey39

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Eastern Michigan DB4 #12893 #12627 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Mid-American
2023 Eastern Michigan DB4 #13016 #13009 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Mid-American
2022 Eastern Michigan DB4 #12732 #12507 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Mid-American

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Eastern Michigan Mid-American DB 4 No. 39 | 6-1 | 207 lb | Stone Mountain, GA
2024 Eastern Michigan Mid-American DB 4 No. 39 | 6-1 | 207 lb | Stone Mountain, GA
2023 Eastern Michigan Mid-American DB 4 No. 39 | 6-1 | 207 lb | Stone Mountain, GA
2022 Eastern Michigan Mid-American DB 4 No. 39 | 6-1 | 207 lb | Stone Mountain, GA