Eastern Michigan beats Lindenwood 29-3

Lindenwood1-33
Eastern Michigan2-329Final
Sat, Sep 26 · Rynearson Stadium, Ypsilanti, Mich. · Crowd 6,109ESPN+

Eastern Michigan beat Lindenwood 29-3.

We had Eastern Michigan favored. It won.

Next: Lindenwood lost to Southeast Missouri State 38-27, Sat Oct 10

Next: Eastern Michigan beat Massachusetts 38-14, Sat Oct 3

How it swung

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Eastern Michigan a 61% chance, and the closing betting line (Eastern Michigan was a 24.5-point favorite) put it at 98%.

Eastern Michigan led by 13 after the first quarter and by 19 at the half.

Q1Q2Q3Q40+26+26

Favored the whole way: Eastern Michigan never fell below 95%.

Lindenwood never had better than a 4% chance.

FinalEastern Michigan 29-3 LindenwoodEastern Michigan wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4Won29-3Scores
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4Won29-3Scores
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4Lowest 0%Lost3-29Scores
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4Lowest 0%Lost3-29Scores

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

Eastern Michigan’s chance to win after every play.
How to read this chartStarts from the pregame line (Eastern Michigan -24.5), at 96% for Eastern Michigan (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores.

Every drive

Eastern Michigan scored on 6 of its 8 drives; Lindenwood on 1 of its 9.

Eastern Michigan’s drives are teal, Lindenwood’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

own goalgoal lineQ1Lindenwood: Punt, from 75 yards out to 72PuntEastern Michigan: Touchdown, from 64 yards out to 0TouchdownLindenwood: Punt, from 75 yards out to 68PuntEastern Michigan: Touchdown, from 68 yards out to 0TouchdownLindenwood: Punt, from 75 yards out to 60PuntEastern Michigan: Field goal, from 79 yards out to 34Field goalQ2Lindenwood: Punt, from 75 yards out to 39PuntEastern Michigan: Punt, from 91 yards out to 77PuntLindenwood: Punt, from 68 yards out to 61PuntEastern Michigan: Field goal, from 81 yards out to 24Field goalLindenwood: Punt, from 80 yards out to 78PuntQ3Eastern Michigan: Missed field goal, from 75 yards out to 30Missed FGLindenwood: Field goal, from 70 yards out to 26Field goalEastern Michigan: Field goal, from 76 yards out to 10Field goalLindenwood: Turned over on downs, from 70 yards out to 33DownsQ4Eastern Michigan: Touchdown, from 67 yards out to 0TouchdownLindenwood: Turned over on downs, from 75 yards out to 10Downs

Box score

Eastern Michigan 29, Lindenwood 3

Eastern Michigan covered −24.5 by 1.5. The total, 32, stayed under 53.5.

LindenwoodEastern MichiganTotal yardsLindenwood 191Eastern Michigan 396191396Passing yardsLindenwood 55Eastern Michigan 25755257Rushing yardsLindenwood 136Eastern Michigan 139136139First downsLindenwood 11Eastern Michigan 251125TurnoversLindenwood 0Eastern Michigan 000Time of possessionLindenwood 28:12Eastern Michigan 31:2828:1231:28
Team totalsLindenwoodEastern Michigan
Total yards191396
Passing10 of 17, 55 yds23 of 38, 257 yds
Rushing35 for 136 yds31 for 139 yds
First downs1125
Third down2 of 138 of 14
Fourth down2 of 41 of 1
Turnovers00
Penalties6 for 70 yds5 for 55 yds
Time of possession28:1231:28

Lindenwood leaders

  • Passing Hoyt Gregory 8 of 12, 46 yds
  • Rushing Jared Rhodes 10 for 48 yds; Hoyt Gregory 13 for 36 yds
  • Receiving Aiden Grote 1 for 15 yds; Steve Hall 1 for 8 yds

Eastern Michigan leaders

  • Passing Noah Kim 23 of 38, 257 yds, 2 TD
  • Rushing Amareon Blue 14 for 58 yds, 1 TD; Joey Mattord 9 for 48 yds
  • Receiving Ben Prosper 10 for 109 yds, 1 TD; Harold Mack 6 for 80 yds, 1 TD

No rain through the game

no rain recorded

September game-day temperatures at Rynearson Stadium

Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Eastern Michigan favoredLindenwood favored100%Win chanceEastern MichiganRaininches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWindmph, average and gusts20 mph40 mphHourly wind only at this airport
Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Eastern Michigan favoredLindenwood favoredRain · inches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWind · miles per hour2040Hourly wind only at this airport

Drag along the chart, or step through the game.

First quarter, 14:50 left1:03 p.m.
Lindenwood 0, Eastern Michigan 0 · Eastern Michigan 96% to win
no rain
Hall 2-yd run
Where this weather comes fromMeasured at Ann Arbor airport, 5.2 miles away, and Detroit/willow airport, 6.1 miles away. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last three games

Lindenwood · 1-2

Rated 177th in our preseason ratings, 188th now.

1-2 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

L 32-36 @ Stony Brook #175 of 668

lost by 4 as a 4-point underdog

Lindenwood lost 32-36 at Stony Brook. Chance to win started at 31%, low under 1%, high 93%.

W 20-17 vs Charleston Southern #219 of 668

won by 3 as a 7.5-point favorite

Lindenwood won 20-17 vs Charleston Southern. Chance to win started at 75%, low 59%, high 98%.

Last 4 games

Eastern Michigan · 1-3

Rated 92nd in our preseason ratings, 142nd now.

1-3 in its last 4 — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

Week by week

Eastern Michigan

Wk 1: W 28-17 vs Sacramento State▲11Sacramento…Wk 1: L 21-27 vs San José State▼6San José St.Wk 2: L 7-35 at Michigan State▼28Michigan St.Wk 3: L 10-54 at Wisconsin▼44Wisconsin
  • Wk 1Wvs Sacramento State28-17
  • Wk 1Lvs San José State21-27
  • Wk 2Lat Michigan State7-35
  • Wk 3Lat Wisconsin10-54

Lindenwood

Wk 1: W 20-17 vs Charleston Southern▲3Charleston Sout…Wk 1: L 32-36 at Stony Brook▼4Stony BrookWk 2: L 14-48 at Missouri State▼34Missouri State
  • Wk 1Wvs Charleston Southern20-17
  • Wk 1Lat Stony Brook32-36
  • Wk 2Lat Missouri State14-48

Power rating by week

Eastern Michigan is rated 2.7 points ahead as of week 3. Our power rating by week; higher is better.

-2-5-9Wk 0Wk 2Wk 3Eastern MichiganLindenwood

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Our model and the betting line don’t fully agree on Eastern Michigan’s chances here.

50-50Model · 61%Line · 98%LindenwoodEastern Michigan

Eastern Michigan favored by 24.5 · Total 53.5

How games like this usually go

Eastern Michigan by 24.5, and it went to form

50%90%Q1Q2Q3Q450%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 411 games since 2025 with a favorite of 21.5 points or more.

The market

The spread moved 1 point toward Lindenwood.

opened −25.5now −24.5

The total rose 3 points.

opened 50.5now 53.5

Spread: −25.5 → −24.5 · Total: 50.5 → 53.5

The books’ cut: 3.7%, the margin built into the odds

Home field

Eastern Michigan has had no measurable home edge since 2018 — −0.1 points (±3.4), home against road — 1st percentile of FBS.

49% at home, 44% on the road against FBS opponents (20-21 home, 22-28 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads -7.4 at home vs. away over 99 games — outside the ±5.4 noise, one of the few buildings where results say more.

The visitors travel about 433 miles to get here.

Where next