4coaching hire
Casey Woods takes over at Missouri State
Casey Woods replaces Ryan Beard as Missouri State's head coach.
Missouri State7-6The Missouri State faithful are all the way in.
belief cooled ↓ 4.2vs prior week
Fanbase belief
Bullish
68/100 · 852 mentions
~ our readVolatility
Chaotic
σ 36 pts
Credible bullish
~ our readThe model
#116
CFB Zeitgeist · -5.5
✓ measured4Hope-Doping·Offseason
Missouri State ended a 30-year title drought under Bobby Petrino, watched him leave for UNLV, jumped to the FBS in 2025 under Ryan Beard, watched Beard leave for Coastal Carolina the moment the season ended, and played its first-ever bowl game under Bobby's son Nick Petrino instead.
Standard GapA 30-year conference title drought broken in 2020 and a first-ever FBS b…
Missouri State keeps building real, credentialed coaching success -- a 30-year title drought broken, an FBS jump that produced a bowl bid in year one -- and keeps losing the architect to a bigger job…
offseason · quiet
Roster Reload - Missouri State
2026 snapshot - 2026-08-06Returning ProductionNAContinuity signal unavailable
Talent Composite#129 nationally247 composite 426.1
Portal Additions19Primary repair: EDGE
Portal Losses11Primary pressure: DL
Draft Loss0No NFL Draft departures recorded
Recruiting Reload#131Depth class
EDGEin 4 - Dylan Brooksout 1 - DJ WesolakNeed Filled
DLin 2 - Markell Chapmanout 3 - Mitchell ToneyEven
current room: 278 lbs avg (2025 roster)
WRin 2 - Mekhi Millerout 2 - Tristian GardnerEven
current room: 180 lbs avg (2025 roster)
IOLin 1 - Isaiah Villanuevaout 2 - Cash HudsonDowngrade
current room: 304 lbs avg (2025 roster)
OTin 2 - William Dixonout 0Need Filled
QBin 2 - Skyler Locklearout 0Need Filled
current room: 196 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Belief EKG
WinLoss · hover for score
Approaching
30 days
until kickoff · at Texas A&M · Sat Sep 5 · 23:00 UTC
The experience
Missouri State ended a 30-year conference-title drought under Bobby Petrino in the COVID-delayed 2020 season, watched Petrino leave for UNLV in 2022, jumped to the FBS and Conference USA in 2025 under Ryan Beard -- who left for Coastal Carolina the moment the 7-6 debut season ended -- and played its first-ever bowl game under interim coach Nick Petrino, Bobby's son, before hiring first-time head coach Casey Woods.
Offense: SolidRun/Pass: Pass-first, spreadTempo: Explosive, big-play
Missouri State Faces High Volatility in 2026 with Transfer Influx and Weak Recruiting
Missouri State enters the 2026 season with a high volatility score of "above-average" and a recruiting rank of #131, indicating significant uncertainty in performance.
- Roster reloadThe team has added 19 transfers, including notable names like Dylan Brooks and Markell Chapman, but also lost 11 players, creating a net portal importer profile with a portal addition score of 48.753.
Data as of 2026-08-03
·
Validated against program evidence
Boomer waits quietly in the den.
Missouri State · the story right now
9 storylines developing
What Missouri State's offseason is really about
the open questionwhere does it go from here?
program_outlookthis cycle~readnew
Missouri State enters 2026 — a 7-6 record and 129th talent rank create a split screen between momentum and skepticism for Ryan Beard’s first season in a program that hasn’t.
what happenedMissouri State enters 2026 rated No. 108 in 2025 SP+ (-10.7). ✓ fact
narrative tension · our read
money downthis cycle✓ factnew
Jmariyae Robinson is a legitimate money-down target -- his 3rd-down conversion rate ranks among the position's best, and his per-target value holds up in that spot too.
narrative tension · our read
underdogthis cycle✓ factnew
Jmariyae Robinson produces at a notably LOWER rate when his team is an underdog than when favored -- he fades when the pressure is on, and his per-target value drops too.
narrative tension · our read
identitythis cycle~readnew
Casey Woods begins his first season at Missouri State, inheriting a 7-6 record and a program still finding its identity after a rapid succession of coaches and a historic bowl debut.
what happenedMissouri State: the fanbase's identity shifting. ✓ fact
narrative tension · our read
deep threatthis cycle~attributednew
Alred Luke is used almost exclusively underneath -- a low share of his targets are downfield shots.
narrative tension · our read
deep threatthis cycle~attributednew
James BlackStrain is used almost exclusively underneath -- a low share of his targets are downfield shots.
narrative tension · our read
program_outlookthis cycle~readnew
Missouri State enters 2025 at No. 108 in SP+ — Ryan Beard's first season opens with a winning 7-6 record, but #129 talent nationally raises questions about sustainability.
what happenedMissouri State enters 2025 rated No. 108 in SP+ (-10.7). ✓ fact
narrative tension · our read
coordinatorsthis cycle~readnew
Casey Woods begins his first season at Missouri State with a 7-6 record under his belt, but the program's fragile identity and recent coaching churn demand immediate results.
what happenedMissouri State: coordinator change reshaping a unit. ✓ fact
narrative tension · our read
coachingthis cycle✓ factnew
Casey Woods took over as Missouri State's head coach, replacing Ryan Beard.
narrative tension · our read
The story
The Offseason Ledger · Missouri State
6 verified updates · portal · recruiting · staff · news- News
NCAA denies sixth-year waiver for James BlackStrain
BlackStrain's sixth year is gone, and that's a real hit to a DL room already under pressure — Missouri State's depth class ranked 133rd nationally, and they can't afford to lose a veteran body up front.
- News
Win total (line at 4.5) still unmoved 13d after "NCAA denies sixth-year waiver for James BlackStrain"
The market hasn't budged since "NCAA denies sixth-year waiver for James BlackStrain" broke on 2026-07-11 — either the books see it as already priced in, or this one's genuinely slipped past them.
- News
Win total (line at 4.5) still unmoved 12d after "NCAA denies sixth-year waiver for James BlackStrain"
The market hasn't budged since "NCAA denies sixth-year waiver for James BlackStrain" broke on 2026-07-11 — either the books see it as already priced in, or this one's genuinely slipped past them.
- News
Win total (line at 4.5) still unmoved 11d after "NCAA denies sixth-year waiver for James BlackStrain"
The market hasn't budged since "NCAA denies sixth-year waiver for James BlackStrain" broke on 2026-07-11 — either the books see it as already priced in, or this one's genuinely slipped past them.
- News
Win total (line at 4.5) still unmoved 10d after "NCAA denies sixth-year waiver for James BlackStrain"
The market hasn't budged since "NCAA denies sixth-year waiver for James BlackStrain" broke on 2026-07-11 — either the books see it as already priced in, or this one's genuinely slipped past them.
- News
Win total (line at 4.5) — no reprice yet on "NCAA denies sixth-year waiver for James BlackStrain"
It's been 10d since "NCAA denies sixth-year waiver for James BlackStrain" and the line hasn't moved. Worth checking again in a few days to see if the books are just slow.
Transfer portal snapshot
+21.0 net portal points
(raw ledger: +35.5 — unweighted, no position adjustment)EDGE+10.4
need not filled
OT+7.0
need not filled
QB+6.7
need not filled
LB+3.4
low confidence
RB+3.4
low confidence
IOL-3.3
CB+2.4
S+2.3
TE+1.5
DL+1.0
LS+1.0
low confidence
WR-0.3
Top 3 commits
2026 class
★★★☆☆
Maurice Jones Jr.
#1474 national
★★★☆☆
Josiah Turner
#1523 national
Projects: Hybrid Nickel — 14 of his 25 closest recruiting profiles since 2018 shared the Hybrid Nickel archetype.~our read · projection from recruiting profile — no college snaps yet
★★★☆☆
Deion Thomas
#1566 national
Profiles like a typical incoming wide receiver — 13 of his 25 closest recruiting profiles since 2018 shared the Possession Receiver archetype.~our read · projection from recruiting profile — no college snaps yet
Fan vs. market↑
89th
Fan percentile
(FBS mood rank)
(FBS mood rank)
4.5
Vegas O/U wins
(11th among FBS)
(11th among FBS)
Fans 78pp more bullish than market implies
Win total consensus · 3 books
Market outlook
Season expectations
Win total3 booksO/U 4.5
CFP championship#124 in field+125000
C-USA title#8 in market+1800
Sportsbook consensus · best odds across multiple books · 2026-08-06
Missouri State · Next-Season Outcome Band
Missouri State · Next-Season Outcome BandFloor / Base / Ceiling
Floor 3-9
Base 5-7
Ceiling 8-5
floor3-9No postseason.
base5-7No postseason.
ceiling8-5Bowl game.
Final-season-aware projection: floor / base / ceiling include conference title and CFP games where the model supports them, so a ceiling can exceed a 12-game regular season.
How the room reacted
Following now · Missouri State · Season outlook Confidence
Missouri State enters the season in the middle of the pack. That's the whole tension.
Missouri State enters 2026 rated No. 108 in 2025 SP+ (-10.7). SP+ describes what the program HAS done, not what it will do. The season is the field test. The preview consensus leans in — but preseason ratings reward the recent past, not the season ahead.
near-unanimous belief
where the takes land · dot = how loud
DOUBTBELIEF
Believers6 bull takes
💬 fans: 45% volume
The saga so far4 weeks old
last weekWin total (line at 4.5) still unmoved 13d after "NCAA denies sixth-year waiver for James BlackStrain"
2 weeks agoWin total (line at 4.5) still unmoved 12d after "NCAA denies sixth-year waiver for James BlackStrain"
2 weeks agoWin total (line at 4.5) still unmoved 11d after "NCAA denies sixth-year waiver for James BlackStrain"
2 weeks agoWin total (line at 4.5) still unmoved 10d after "NCAA denies sixth-year waiver for James BlackStrain"
2 weeks agoWin total (line at 4.5) — no reprice yet on "NCAA denies sixth-year waiver for James BlackStrain"
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
Missouri State enters 2026 — a 7-6 record and 129th talent rank create a split screen between momentum and skepticism for Ryan Beard’s first season in a program that hasn’t.
Next · what to watch
The non-obvious read on this rating isn't the number — it's the schedule. A team at this level has 2-3 games where the model says they're overmatched, and those are the games that define the narrative. Watch whether the model holds through the first month of the schedule. The boards are already there — one thread raises exactly this.
Source of record: Missouri State enters 2026 rated No. 108 in 2025 SP+ (-10.7).
How each room is reacting — tap to expand
📣Believers6 bullish items -- the case it's working.›
The 'the projection is underselling us' read -- fans betting the season beats the preview number.
“Report: Missouri State football recruit charged in alleged attempted armored truck robbery in Texas”
Springfield Daily Citizen · 2026-08-06 · read ↗
“Missouri State football commit charged in Houston attempted armored truck robbery”
Click2Houston · 2026-08-05 · read ↗
“Oklahoma adds Missouri State to 2028 schedule”
Sooners Wire · 2026-08-01 · read ↗
🧐SkepticsNo prominent dissent — the coverage runs one way.›
The 'the model has seen the tape' counter -- efficiency ratings reward what a program has actually done, not hope.
Nothing in our corpus yet — this door stays open for when there is.
💬The boards14 board mentions — too thin to call a stance.›
Only 14 of 31 board posts mention it — below our floor to call a community stance. Shown as texture, not a verdict.
"Hi everyone, I've been admitted to the MBA program at Missouri State University for Spring 2027, and I'm currently looking into Graduate Assistantship (GA), Teaching Assistantship"
r/missouristate ~ fan take
"I'm pushing 50 and in my last year of a Bachelor's at MSU. I found a Facebook link to the Non-Traditional Student Organization, but it appears the last post on that page was in 202"
r/missouristate ~ fan take
The boards ≠ the fanbase: a vocal, self-selected slice.
Following now · Missouri State · Developing Confidence
Missouri State: the fanbase's identity shifting.
Missouri State: the fanbase's identity shifting.
near-unanimous belief
where the takes land · dot = how loud
DOUBTBELIEF
Believers6 bull takes
💬 fans: 32% volume
The saga so far4 weeks old
last weekWin total (line at 4.5) still unmoved 13d after "NCAA denies sixth-year waiver for James BlackStrain"
2 weeks agoWin total (line at 4.5) still unmoved 12d after "NCAA denies sixth-year waiver for James BlackStrain"
2 weeks agoWin total (line at 4.5) still unmoved 11d after "NCAA denies sixth-year waiver for James BlackStrain"
2 weeks agoWin total (line at 4.5) still unmoved 10d after "NCAA denies sixth-year waiver for James BlackStrain"
2 weeks agoWin total (line at 4.5) — no reprice yet on "NCAA denies sixth-year waiver for James BlackStrain"
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
Casey Woods begins his first season at Missouri State, inheriting a 7-6 record and a program still finding its identity after a rapid succession of coaches and a historic bowl debut.
Source of record: Missouri State: the fanbase's identity shifting.
How each room is reacting — tap to expand
📣Believers6 bullish items -- the case it's working.›
The optimistic read: momentum, and the 'this is real' takes.
“Report: Missouri State football recruit charged in alleged attempted armored truck robbery in Texas”
Springfield Daily Citizen · 2026-08-06 · read ↗
“Missouri State football commit charged in Houston attempted armored truck robbery”
Click2Houston · 2026-08-05 · read ↗
“Oklahoma adds Missouri State to 2028 schedule”
Sooners Wire · 2026-08-01 · read ↗
🧐SkepticsNo prominent dissent — the coverage runs one way.›
The analytical counter: rankings, results, and 'the hype is ahead of the tape' takes.
Nothing in our corpus yet — this door stays open for when there is.
💬The boards10 board mentions — too thin to call a stance.›
Only 10 of 31 board posts mention it — below our floor to call a community stance. Shown as texture, not a verdict.
"Hi everyone, I've been admitted to the MBA program at Missouri State University for Spring 2027, and I'm currently looking into Graduate Assistantship (GA), Teaching Assistantship"
r/missouristate ~ fan take
"2025 Grad Something I noticed at Missouri State and never quite shook is that the student atmosphere feels a little low effort and dated. Events run on what feels like an old templ"
r/missouristate ~ fan take
The boards ≠ the fanbase: a vocal, self-selected slice.
Recent Form · last 10 games
Cooling
Two of five. Schedule has caught up.
Streak L3Last 5 · 2-3Last 10 · 6-4
The forecast
Opens Sep 5
vs Texas A&M · away
Season line4.5 winsover +130
SolidPass-first, spreadExplosive, big-play
✓ fact on line · ~ our read on style
Recruiting Footprint · 2026
Recruiting Footprint · 2026
18
FL · 4GA · 4TX · 4KY · 2MO · 2OK · 1TN · 1
FL leads the 2026 class with 4 commits. National footprint reaching 7 states.
Where they recruit · 2023-2026
58 signees across 14 states, 2023-2026. TX leads the pull.
r/cfb this year
[Postgame Thread] USC Defeats Missouri State 73-13
[Postgame Thread] Missouri State Defeats FIU 28-21
[Postgame Thread] SMU Defeats Missouri State 28-10
Top community posts · last 12 months · r/cfb
National spotlight
6 games with TV coverage: 2 ESPN, 3 cable, 1 conference network
Kickoff windows: 1 afternoon, 5 primetime
Fumble luck
60% recovery rate on their own fumbles — well above the ~51% league baseline.
6 of 10 own fumbles recovered themselves; 5 of 9 forced fumbles recovered, 2025 only.
Takeaway conversion
13% of tipped/broken-up passes have turned into picks — below the ~19% league average, and due for more.
7 interceptions of 52 disrupted passes (45 deflected, 7 intercepted), 2025 only.
Penalty battle
99 penalties committed, 97 drawn on opponents — netting a 125-yard field-position edge.
864 penalty yards committed vs. 989 drawn on opponents, 2025 season total.
The Pulse on Missouri State
68
Δ -4.2 vs last wk
852
mentions this week · conversation velocity
What moved it — fall camp · last 14 days
Camp
Fall camp open — install + scrimmage cycle
ongoing
Kickoff
Season opener in 16 days
kickoff
"Missouri State"
— Missouri State fanbase · recurring line
Fanbase Signals
Cohort Divergence0 pctSpread between sub-fanbase cohorts in the Pulse window.
The Fever Year
Position = mood · width = volume · color = the kind of feeling
Cr/CFB
GGoogle News
UUnderdog Dynasty
CCampus paper
BBluesky
YYouTube
What little we hear
Only 2 cohort(s) cleared the signal floor this week, so we won’t stage a split we can’t back. Here’s the honest read:
National take+0.37
Millennials+0.36
How Missouri State fans actually talk real · top-upvoted
Rr/CFBthe room
EVERYONE GET IN HERE THIS IS NOT A DRILL MISSOURI STATE HAS 6 WINS IN FBS PLAY WE ARE (NOT) GOING BOWLING!!!!!!
▲ 535 ▼open ↗
The crowd’s loudest take by upvotes — read for mood, not as a side. The cohort read is the measured part.
71 mentions · 6 sources · week 2026-01. Counts, sources and the divergence rank are measured (fact). Cohort labels and sentiment are a source-weighted model read (our read) — never a quote attributed to a person.
Belief checklow signal
~ our readNot enough Missouri State chatter this week to read the room.
We read 17 Missouri State posts this week — not enough to call the room. Check back during the season.
Season storylines
Week 3
“So this is what being on this side of these FBS/FCS games feels like? I can get used to this”— r/CFB
Week 1
“Going to FBS did not make us magically good at football after 30+ years of being bad at football. News at 11.”— r/CFB
Week 2
“That was a respectable performance. I'll take that. Thanks for coming to Springfield for our first FCS home game and giving our PBP guy Art Haines (SMU grad) a proper sendoff into retirement.”— r/CFB
Week 10
“Heading into this week (two/thirds done) I think there were 90 teams at 4 wins already Any given season has 82 bowl teams on average So we need some help”— r/CFB
Week 7
Five Lenses
What people are saying right now
Radio, beat writers & editorial15 posts
News & campus coverage10 posts
Fanbase Health Index · Missouri State · high confidence
Fanbase Health Index · Missouri State · high confidenceGrowing (56)
DecliningStableGrowingSurging
On-Field — 7-6 (54% win rate)57
Volume — 185 effective signal-N75
Cohort Engagement — Divergence 0.00 — quiet35
Key stats — 2025 — FBS rank
Points/game#80 / 138 · 43rd pct25.6
Pts allowed/game#91 / 138 · 35th pct28.8
Total yards/gm#58 / 136 · 58th pct393.4
Rush yards/gm#113 / 136 · 18th pct113.7
Pass yards/gm#20 / 136 · 86th pct279.7
Yards allowed/gm#92 / 136 · 33rd pct383.8
Rush yds allowed/gm#82 / 136 · 40th pct154.3
Sacks#76 / 136 · 45th pct24
Interceptions#84 / 136 · 39th pct8
3rd-down conv#101 / 136 · 26th pct36.3%
All 98 stats
Offense / Defense
Total yards
Team5114393.4/gm6.04/play#58 / 136 · 58th pct#34 / 70 · 53rd pct#6 / 10 · 50th pct
Opp4989383.8/gm5.94/play#92 / 136 · 33rd pct#54 / 70 · 24th pct#4 / 10 · 70th pct
Rush yards
Team1478113.7/gm1.75/play#113 / 136 · 18th pct#58 / 70 · 19th pct#8 / 10 · 30th pct
Opp2006154.3/gm2.39/play#82 / 136 · 40th pct#50 / 70 · 30th pct#3 / 10 · 80th pct
Rush carries
Team41131.6/gm#95 / 136 · 31st pct#48 / 70 · 33rd pct#6 / 10 · 50th pct
Opp42832.9/gm#38 / 136 · 73rd pct#29 / 70 · 60th pct#1 / 10 · 100th pct
Rush TDs
Team120.9/gm#111 / 136 · 19th pct#59 / 70 · 17th pct#7 / 10 · 40th pct
Opp262.0/gm#116 / 136 · 15th pct#64 / 70 · 10th pct#9 / 10 · 20th pct
Net pass yards
Team3636279.7/gm4.30/play#20 / 136 · 86th pct#16 / 70 · 79th pct#2 / 10 · 90th pct
Opp2983229.5/gm3.55/play#94 / 136 · 32nd pct#50 / 70 · 30th pct#4 / 10 · 70th pct
Pass attempts
Team43533.5/gm#36 / 136 · 74th pct#20 / 70 · 73rd pct#5 / 10 · 60th pct
Opp41231.7/gm#91 / 136 · 34th pct#44 / 70 · 39th pct#5 / 10 · 60th pct
Completions
Team27721.3/gm#41 / 136 · 71st pct#26 / 70 · 64th pct#4 / 10 · 70th pct
Opp26520.4/gm#103 / 136 · 25th pct#52 / 70 · 27th pct#7 / 10 · 40th pct
Pass TDs
Team302.3/gm#12 / 136 · 92nd pct#9 / 70 · 89th pct#1 / 10 · 100th pct
Opp191.5/gm#74 / 136 · 46th pct#43 / 70 · 40th pct#3 / 10 · 80th pct
Passer rating
Team153.0153.0#19 / 136 · 87th pct#15 / 70 · 80th pct#1 / 10 · 100th pct
Opp135.0135.0#76 / 136 · 45th pct#41 / 70 · 43rd pct#7 / 10 · 40th pct
Interceptions thrown
Team110.8/gm#41 / 136 · 71st pct#16 / 70 · 79th pct#5 / 10 · 60th pct
Opp80.6/gm#44 / 136 · 68th pct#23 / 70 · 69th pct#2 / 10 · 90th pct
Sacks (def)
Team241.8/gm#76 / 136 · 45th pct#45 / 70 · 37th pct#5 / 10 · 60th pct
Opp524.0/gm#135 / 136 · 1st pct#70 / 70 · 1st pct#10 / 10 · 10th pct
Tackles for loss
Team534.1/gm#120 / 136 · 12th pct#65 / 70 · 9th pct#9 / 10 · 20th pct
Opp1128.6/gm#136 / 136 · 1st pct#70 / 70 · 1st pct#10 / 10 · 10th pct
First downs
Team26620.5/gm#59 / 136 · 57th pct#35 / 70 · 51st pct#6 / 10 · 50th pct
Opp26720.5/gm#100 / 136 · 27th pct#57 / 70 · 20th pct#4 / 10 · 70th pct
3rd-down conv
Team624.8/gm#96 / 136 · 30th pct#52 / 70 · 27th pct#9 / 10 · 20th pct
Opp705.4/gm#75 / 136 · 46th pct#45 / 70 · 37th pct#4 / 10 · 70th pct
3rd-down att
Team17113.2/gm#75 / 136 · 46th pct#33 / 70 · 54th pct#8 / 10 · 30th pct
Opp17413.4/gm#60 / 136 · 57th pct#30 / 70 · 59th pct#4 / 10 · 70th pct
4th-down conv
Team80.6/gm#116 / 136 · 15th pct#62 / 70 · 13th pct#7 / 10 · 40th pct
Opp90.7/gm#15 / 136 · 90th pct#6 / 70 · 93rd pct#2 / 10 · 90th pct
4th-down att
Team131.0/gm#133 / 136 · 3rd pct#68 / 70 · 4th pct#10 / 10 · 10th pct
Opp191.5/gm#18 / 136 · 88th pct#12 / 70 · 84th pct#3 / 10 · 80th pct
Time of possession
Team407:2831:21/gm#37 / 136 · 74th pct#18 / 70 · 76th pct#3 / 10 · 80th pct
Opp372:3228:39/gm#53 / 136 · 62nd pct#26 / 70 · 64th pct#4 / 10 · 70th pct
Kicking & Punting
Field goals#120 / 135 · 12th pct14/22 (63.6%)
Extra points37/38
Punting#103 / 136 · 25th pct41.6 avg · 60 punts
Turnovers & special teams
Turnovers
Team181.4/gm#43 / 136 · 69th pct#15 / 70 · 80th pct#6 / 10 · 50th pct
Opp151.2/gm#49 / 136 · 65th pct#29 / 70 · 60th pct#4 / 10 · 70th pct
Fumbles lost
Team70.5/gm#51 / 136 · 63rd pct#22 / 70 · 70th pct#6 / 10 · 50th pct
Opp70.5/gm#71 / 136 · 49th pct#41 / 70 · 43rd pct#5 / 10 · 60th pct
INT return TDs
Team00.0/gm#76 / 135 · 44th pct#39 / 70 · 46th pct#6 / 10 · 50th pct
Opp10.1/gm#61 / 136 · 56th pct#30 / 70 · 59th pct#4 / 10 · 70th pct
INT return yards
Team1098.4/gm#72 / 136 · 48th pct#37 / 70 · 49th pct#8 / 10 · 30th pct
Opp22917.6/gm#123 / 136 · 10th pct#66 / 70 · 7th pct#7 / 10 · 40th pct
Punt ret yds
Team977.5/gm#92 / 136 · 33rd pct#54 / 70 · 24th pct#5 / 10 · 60th pct
Opp25919.9/gm#125 / 136 · 9th pct#64 / 70 · 10th pct#10 / 10 · 10th pct
Punt ret TDs
Team00.0/gm#43 / 135 · 69th pct#23 / 70 · 69th pct#5 / 10 · 60th pct
Opp10.1/gm#97 / 135 · 29th pct#52 / 70 · 27th pct#9 / 10 · 20th pct
Kick ret yds
Team61947.6/gm#23 / 136 · 84th pct#9 / 70 · 89th pct#3 / 10 · 80th pct
Opp51339.5/gm#95 / 136 · 31st pct#58 / 70 · 19th pct#6 / 10 · 50th pct
Kick ret TDs
Team00.0/gm#40 / 136 · 71st pct#17 / 70 · 77th pct#4 / 10 · 70th pct
Opp10.1/gm#97 / 135 · 29th pct#53 / 70 · 26th pct#7 / 10 · 40th pct
Penalty yards
Team86466.5/gm#14 / 136 · 90th pct#7 / 70 · 91st pct#2 / 10 · 90th pct
Opp98976.1/gm#135 / 136 · 1st pct#70 / 70 · 1st pct#10 / 10 · 10th pct
Other
Kick returns#10 / 136 · 93rd pct#3 / 70 · 97th pct#1 / 10 · 100th pct322.5/gm
Penalties#11 / 136 · 93rd pct#4 / 70 · 96th pct#2 / 10 · 90th pct997.6/gm
Fumbles recovered#33 / 136 · 76th pct#17 / 70 · 77th pct#4 / 10 · 70th pct80.6/gm
Red zone pass rate#42 / 154 · 73rd pct#16 / 70 · 79th pct#6 / 10 · 50th pct#3 / 3 · 33rd pct0.40.0/gm
H2 epa per play#44 / 142 · 70th pct#27 / 70 · 63rd pct#2 / 10 · 90th pct0.20.0/gm
First down pass rate#55 / 215 · 75th pct#17 / 70 · 77th pct#5 / 10 · 60th pct#3 / 9 · 78th pct0.50.0/gm
H2 epa per play opponent#66 / 143 · 55th pct#38 / 70 · 47th pct#3 / 10 · 80th pct0.20.0/gm
Punt returns#68 / 136 · 51st pct#42 / 70 · 41st pct#4 / 10 · 70th pct161.2/gm
Fumbles rec (def)#71 / 136 · 49th pct#44 / 70 · 39th pct#3 / 10 · 80th pct70.5/gm
H1 epa per play#77 / 162 · 53rd pct#46 / 70 · 36th pct#3 / 10 · 80th pct0.20.0/gm
Passes intercepted opponent#82 / 136 · 40th pct#48 / 70 · 33rd pct#5 / 10 · 60th pct110.8/gm
Interceptions (def)#84 / 136 · 39th pct#44 / 70 · 39th pct#8 / 10 · 30th pct80.6/gm
Punt ret (opp)#108 / 136 · 21st pct#60 / 70 · 16th pct#7 / 10 · 40th pct201.5/gm
Kick ret (opp)#112 / 136 · 18th pct#62 / 70 · 13th pct#7 / 10 · 40th pct302.3/gm
Fourth down go rate#114 / 138 · 18th pct#59 / 70 · 17th pct#8 / 10 · 30th pct0.30.0/gm
Penalties (opp)#125 / 136 · 9th pct#67 / 70 · 6th pct#7 / 10 · 40th pct977.5/gm
Recruiting rating#133 / 138 · 4th pct#70 / 70 · 1st pct#8 / 10 · 30th pct#1 / 8 · 100th pct52.94.1/gm
H1 epa per play opponent#143 / 167 · 15th pct#67 / 70 · 6th pct#10 / 10 · 10th pct0.30.0/gm
Situational
3rd-down conversion
Off36.3%#101 / 136 · 26th pct#58 / 70 · 19th pct#8 / 10 · 30th pct
Def40.2%#82 / 136 · 40th pct#44 / 70 · 39th pct#7 / 10 · 40th pct
4th-down conversion
Off61.5%#31 / 136 · 78th pct#21 / 70 · 71st pct#1 / 10 · 100th pct
Def47.4%#43 / 136 · 69th pct#21 / 70 · 71st pct#4 / 10 · 70th pct
Turnover margin#86 / 136 · 38th pct#46 / 70 · 36th pct#7 / 10 · 40th pct-0.23/gm
Sack rate (def)#94 / 136 · 32nd pct#51 / 70 · 29th pct#6 / 10 · 50th pct5.8%
Red Zone & Drive Efficiency (2014– , play-by-play derived)
Red zone trips
Team413.2/gm#80 / 167 · 53rd pct#46 / 70 · 36th pct#7 / 10 · 40th pct
Opp413.2/gm#91 / 166 · 46th pct#39 / 70 · 46th pct#2 / 10 · 90th pct
Red zone score %
Team70.7%70.7%#128 / 167 · 24th pct#65 / 70 · 9th pct#7 / 10 · 40th pct
Opp78.0%78.0%#80 / 166 · 52nd pct#36 / 70 · 50th pct#7 / 10 · 40th pct
Points / drive
Team1.80.1/gm#97 / 167 · 43rd pct#56 / 70 · 21st pct#7 / 10 · 40th pct
Opp2.00.2/gm#89 / 166 · 47th pct#51 / 70 · 29th pct#7 / 10 · 40th pct
Yards / drive
Team44.63.4/gm#37 / 167 · 78th pct#24 / 70 · 67th pct#2 / 10 · 90th pct
Opp41.73.2/gm#99 / 166 · 41st pct#50 / 70 · 30th pct#7 / 10 · 40th pct
Plays / drive
Team6.30.5/gm#124 / 167 · 26th pct#63 / 70 · 11th pct#9 / 10 · 20th pct
Opp6.40.5/gm#62 / 166 · 63rd pct#24 / 70 · 67th pct#5 / 10 · 60th pct
Three-and-out rate
Team8.9%8.9%#31 / 167 · 82nd pct#17 / 70 · 77th pct#2 / 10 · 90th pct
Opp12.1%12.1%#104 / 166 · 38th pct#51 / 70 · 29th pct#7 / 10 · 40th pct
Scheme Identity (2014– , play-by-play derived)
Rush rate over expected#123 / 145 · 16th pct#60 / 70 · 16th pct#6 / 10 · 50th pct-6.3%-6.3%
Havoc rate
Team14.8%14.8%#89 / 140 · 37th pct#52 / 70 · 27th pct#8 / 10 · 30th pct
Opp24.0%24.0%#140 / 140 · 1st pct#70 / 70 · 1st pct#10 / 10 · 10th pct
Standard-downs success
Team45.7%45.7%#102 / 154 · 34th pct#56 / 70 · 21st pct#8 / 10 · 30th pct
Opp50.4%50.4%#115 / 172 · 34th pct#53 / 70 · 26th pct#9 / 10 · 20th pct
Passing-downs success
Team31.3%31.3%#76 / 153 · 51st pct#44 / 70 · 39th pct#5 / 10 · 60th pct
Opp28.1%28.1%#35 / 149 · 77th pct#20 / 70 · 73rd pct#2 / 10 · 90th pct
Line yards / carry
Team2.52.5#132 / 143 · 8th pct#69 / 70 · 3rd pct#9 / 10 · 20th pct
Opp2.82.8#45 / 155 · 72nd pct#28 / 70 · 61st pct#3 / 10 · 80th pct
Stuff rate
Team26.6%26.6%#139 / 143 · 4th pct#70 / 70 · 1st pct#10 / 10 · 10th pct
Opp19.6%19.6%#58 / 155 · 63rd pct#33 / 70 · 54th pct#5 / 10 · 60th pct
Power success rate
Team52.4%52.4%#133 / 137 · 4th pct#70 / 70 · 1st pct#10 / 10 · 10th pct
Opp75.9%75.9%#109 / 141 · 23rd pct#58 / 70 · 19th pct#9 / 10 · 20th pct
Efficiency
Completion %
Off63.7%#51 / 136 · 63rd pct#31 / 70 · 57th pct#2 / 10 · 90th pct
Def64.3%#104 / 136 · 24th pct#53 / 70 · 26th pct#8 / 10 · 30th pct
Yards / attempt
Off8.4#20 / 136 · 86th pct#13 / 70 · 83rd pct#1 / 10 · 100th pct
Def7.2#74 / 136 · 46th pct#46 / 70 · 36th pct#5 / 10 · 60th pct
Yards / completion
Off13.1#22 / 136 · 85th pct#11 / 70 · 86th pct#2 / 10 · 90th pct
Def11.3#54 / 136 · 61st pct#40 / 70 · 44th pct#2 / 10 · 90th pct
Yards / carry#115 / 136 · 16th pct#58 / 70 · 19th pct#9 / 10 · 20th pct3.6
Yards / play#39 / 136 · 72nd pct#25 / 70 · 66th pct#1 / 10 · 100th pct6.04
Scoring margin#94 / 136 · 32nd pct#56 / 70 · 21st pct#7 / 10 · 40th pct#6 / 11 · 55th pct-3.2/gm
FBS rankings · 2025 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs
Player stats — 2025 season
Quarterbacks
| Player | # | G | Cmp/Att | Pct | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT | Rate | QBR | Adj ANY/A | Sack% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vertical Passer · +0.25 EPA/play | 12 | 12 | 247 / 376 | 65.7 | 3244 #22 FBS | 8.6 | 28 #12 FBS | 11 | 156.9 | 54.1 | 7.4 | 9.6 | |
Yards by week → Vertical PasserElite arm talent, pushing downfield. Completion rate is the variable. All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started. 9 of 183 QBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / attempt8.7 82th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Rush yards / carry-0.2 bottom 19th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Trait fingerprint Plays like View Jacob Clark's full player page | |||||||||||||
| +0.15 EPA/play | 16 | 3 | 23 / 47 | 48.9 | 335 | 7.1 | 2 | 0 | 122.9 | 27.2 | — | — | |
Yards by week → | |||||||||||||
Running Backs
| Player | # | G | Car | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | 3rd Dn Use | Pass Dn Use | Stuff% | 10+% | Tgt Share | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Back · -0.13 EPA/play | 2 | 13 | 199 | 1021 #39 FBS | 5.1 | 7 | 70 | 14.0 | 14.9 | 27 | 14.5 | 6.4% (24/373) | |
Yards by week → Balanced Back· Boom-or-bustPlays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension. his yards come in chunks — feast or famine Starter — over 60% of the snaps, holding the job. 186 of 349 RBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / carry5.2 bottom 48th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Receiving share8.7% bottom 33th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Trait fingerprint Plays like View Shomari Lawrence's full player page | |||||||||||||
| Satellite Back · +0.31 EPA/play | 22 | 13 | 52 | 278 | 5.3 | 1 | 45 | 7.0 | 8.4 | — | — | 9.1% (34/373) | |
Yards by week → Satellite BackDeployed as a receiver as much as a runner. Value is in space, not between the tackles. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 50 of 349 RBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Receiving share35.8% 100th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Yards / reception15.4 99th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Trait fingerprint Plays like our readUnranked recruit — top-quartile production against his own recruiting profile | |||||||||||||
Receivers
| Player | # | G | Rec | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | 3rd Dn Use | Pass Dn Use | Tgt Share | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Possession Receiver · +0.42 EPA/play | 1 | 13 | 43 | 640 | 14.9 | 5 | 59 | 7.9 | 6.9 | 16.9% (63/373) | |
Yards by week → Possession ReceiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. 332 of 558 WRs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / reception16.5 67th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions TD rate11.6% 69th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Alred Luke's full player page | |||||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.61 EPA/play | — | 12 | 44 | 632 | 14.4 | 7 #38 FBS | 52 | 8.9 | 6.6 | 15.0% (56/373) | |
Yards by week → Possession Receiver· Money-downReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. lives on the sticks and moves the chains 332 of 558 WRs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / reception14.9 67th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions TD rate15.9% 88th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Jmariyae Robinson's full player page | |||||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.97 EPA/play | 15 | 12 | 30 | 465 | 15.5 | 6 #62 FBS | 42 | 12 | 10.1 | 9.9% (37/373) | |
Yards by week → Possession ReceiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. 332 of 558 WRs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / reception13.3 50th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions EPA / play (adj)1.0 97th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Tristian Gardner's full player page | |||||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.40 EPA/play | 9 | 11 | 35 | 463 | 13.2 | 2 | 35 | 7.1 | 10.4 | 13.9% (52/373) | |
Yards by week → Possession ReceiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. The most common profile in its group this season — 332 of 558 classified this way. Played in 11 of 21 games this season · junior View Ronnel Johnson's full player page | |||||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.37 EPA/play | 18 | 10 | 20 | 269 | 13.4 | 0 | 27 | 2.2 | 6.5 | 8.0% (30/373) | |
Yards by week → Possession Receiver· Money-downReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. lives on the sticks and moves the chains 332 of 558 WRs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / reception12.8 bottom 45th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions TD rate0.0% bottom 8th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Makai Cope's full player page | |||||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.29 EPA/play | 5 | 10 | 22 | 224 | 10.2 | 1 | 32 | 2.7 | 6.4 | 9.1% (34/373) | |
Yards by week → Possession ReceiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. 332 of 558 WRs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / reception8.2 bottom 9th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions EPA / play (adj)0.3 bottom 23th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View James BlackStrain's full player page | |||||||||||
| Complete TE · +0.40 EPA/play | 88 | 10 | 19 | 224 | 11.8 | 5 | 75 | 1.7 | 2 | 6.4% (24/373) | |
Yards by week → Complete TENo single go-to route — the receiving numbers show up inline and split out alike. All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started. 177 of 223 TEs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / reception11.4 55th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions TD rate26.3% 99th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Jeron Askren's full player page | |||||||||||
Defensive Line
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | TFL | Sack | Hur |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Two-Gap Base | 91 | 8 | 31 | 10 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 2 |
Two-Gap BaseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 388 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate4.8% bottom 15th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Tim Brantley Jr.'s full player page | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 7 | 11 | 30 | 16 | 5.5 | 4 | 5 |
3-Tech PenetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 269 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate18.3% 65th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View DJ Wesolak's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 55 | 12 | 28 | 15 | 3.5 | 1 | 1 |
Two-Gap BaseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 388 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate12.5% bottom 41th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like our readUnranked recruit — top-quartile production against his own recruiting profile | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 50 | 9 | 23 | 10 | 5 | 2.5 | 6 |
3-Tech PenetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. 269 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate21.7% 77th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Mitchell Toney's full player page | |||||||
| Nose Anchor | 90 | 12 | 22 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Nose AnchorThe heaviest frame on the interior. Sack production is intentionally not the point of this profile. 152 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Weight325 lb 93th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Sterling Smithson's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 17 | 9 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Two-Gap BaseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. 388 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate10.0% bottom 31th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Davon Townley Jr.'s full player page | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 43 | 10 | 19 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
3-Tech PenetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. 269 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate15.8% 55th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Caleb Dietlin's full player page | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 30 | 8 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
3-Tech PenetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. 269 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate20.0% 71th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Caden Wiest's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 99 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 1.5 | 1 | 1 |
Two-Gap BaseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. The most common profile in its group this season — 388 of 809 classified this way. Played in 6 of 21 games this season · senior View Ryan Williams's full player page | |||||||
| 98 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
Linebackers
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | Ast | TFL | Sack | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coverage 'Backer | 44 | 13 | 77 | 41 | 36 | 5.5 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
Coverage 'BackerCarries tight ends and patrols the middle of the field in coverage. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 99 of 660 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate5.2% 82th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Tackle volume77 82th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like our readUnranked recruit — top-quartile production against his own recruiting profile | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 6 | 13 | 76 | 33 | 43 | 4 | 1.5 | 2 | 0 |
Balanced LinebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. The most common profile in its group this season — 362 of 660 classified this way. Played in 13 of 21 games this season · junior View Jared Lloyd's full player page | |||||||||
| Coverage 'Backer | 9 | 12 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
Coverage 'BackerCarries tight ends and patrols the middle of the field in coverage. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 99 of 660 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate6.0% 89th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Sack rate2.0% bottom 38th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Dylan Dixson's full player page | |||||||||
| Sideline-to-Sideline | 19 | 10 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 0 |
Sideline-to-SidelineRanges from hash to hash and makes his own tackles. 102 of 660 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Solo tackle rate0.7 98th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles TFL rate3.1% bottom 19th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Jalen Brooks's full player page | |||||||||
| 31 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 3.5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| 21 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| 41 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 27 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| 11 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
Defensive Backs
| Player | # | G | Tot | PD | INT | TFL | Sack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hybrid Nickel | — | 13 | 63 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Hybrid Nickel· Takeaway threatMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. the kind of DB who takes it back the other way Starter — over 60% of the snaps, holding the job. The most common profile in its group this season — 419 of 801 classified this way. Played in 13 of 21 games this season · senior View Maguire Neal's full player page | |||||||
| Perimeter Tackler | 14 | 12 | 60 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Perimeter TacklerTargeted often and asked to tackle in space on the perimeter. Starter — over 60% of the snaps, holding the job. 42 of 270 CBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume60 99th percentile · FBS corners, min. 10 tackles Plays like our readUnranked recruit — top-quartile production against his own recruiting profile | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 29 | 12 | 47 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Hybrid NickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. The most common profile in its group this season — 419 of 801 classified this way. Played in 12 of 21 games this season · sophomore View Christian Ford's full player page | |||||||
| Ball Hawk | 12 | 11 | 21 | 11 #12 FBS | 2 | 1 | 0 |
Ball HawkReads the quarterback's eyes and takes the ball away. 44 of 270 CBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate52.4% 100th percentile · FBS corners, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Jordan Dunbar's full player page | |||||||
| 2 | 5 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 16 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | |
| 20 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 26 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Kicking
| Player | # | G | FG M/A | FG% | XP M/A | Pts | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steady | 36 | 13 | 14/22 | 63.6 | 37/38 | 79 | 49 |
Punting
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | Long | In20 | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 3 | 11 | 406 | 36.9 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
Net average is unavailable — CFBD's punting feed carries gross yards only, with no return-yardage or touchback deduction.
Kick Returns
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Possession Receiver · +0.42 EPA/play | 1 | 13 | 14 | 257 | 18.4 | 0 | 29 |
| Possession Receiver · +0.61 EPA/play | — | 12 | 13 | 252 | 19.4 | 0 | 28 |
Punt Returns
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Possession Receiver · +0.42 EPA/play | 1 | 13 | 12 | 87 | 7.3 | 0 | 22 |
| Possession Receiver · +0.40 EPA/play | 9 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 2.5 | 0 | 6 |
2025 stat leaders
final
2025 stat leaders
1.
Jacob Clark
QB
3,244 yds (pass)
2.
Kanye Young
LB
77.0 tot (def)
3.
Jared Lloyd
LB
76.0 tot (def)
4.
Shomari Lawrence
RB
1,021 yds (rush)
5.
Maguire Neal
S
63.0 tot (def)
Roster
2025
26
players carry a qualified CFB Index Score this season.
Jordan Dunbar
CB
#42 of 364
Davon Townley Jr.
IDL
#42 of 330
Ramone Green Jr.
RB
#65 of 326
Kanye Young
LB
#125 of 583
Jmariyae Robinson
WR
#118 of 485
Ahmad Poole
IDL
#82 of 330
+20 more
Missouri State · 2025 schedule & results7-6Hard slateAverage opponent win rate 49% · 2 AP top-25 opponents on the schedule.
| Wk | Date | Us | Opp | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | #145 | #37 | +36.5 | @USC | L 13–73 114 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2 | Sep 6 | #119 | #37 | +7.5 | @Marshall | W 21–20 127 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 3 | Sep 13 | #118 | #19 | +28.5 | SMU | L 10–28 135 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 4 | Sep 20 | #126 | #159 | -14.5 | UT Martin | W 42–10 58 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 5 | Sep 27 | #128 | #116 | +3.5 | Western Kentucky | L 22–27 134 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| 7 | Oct 8 | #139 | #167 | -3 | @Middle Tennessee | W 22–20 129 | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| 9 | Oct 23 | #145 | #198 | -2.5 | @New Mexico State | W 24–17 135 | 4-3 | 2-1 |
| 10 | Oct 30 | #138 | #148 | -3.5 | Florida International | W 28–21 135 | 5-3 | 3-1 |
| 11 | Nov 8 | #146 | #72 | +7.5 | @Liberty | W 21–17 135 | 6-3 | 4-1 |
| 12 | Nov 15 | #140 | #165 | -7.5 | UTEP | W 38–24 136 | 7-3 | 4-1 |
| 13 | Nov 22 | #133 | #128 | +6.5 | @Kennesaw State | L 34–41 141 | 7-4 | 4-2 |
| 14 | Nov 29 | #135 | #115 | -2.5 | Louisiana Tech | L 30–42 122 | 7-5 | 4-2 |
| Bowl Season | ||||||||
| 16 | Dec 19 | #147 | #141 | +1.5 | Arkansas State (N) | L 28–34 | 7-6 | 4-2 |
Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, explosiveness)▼
| Date | Opp | Result | Yds | TO | TOP | EPA/play | Success% | Explosive% | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19 | Arkansas State | L 28–34 | — | — | — | +0.246 | 38.4% | 172.2% | One-score loss |
| Nov 29 | Louisiana Tech | L 30–42 | 416 | 1 | 26:10 | +0.238 | 41.4% | 175.6% | Most explosive |
| Nov 22 | @Kennesaw State | L 34–41 | 535 | 2 | 29:21 | +0.290 | 50.8% | 128.8% | Best success rate |
| Nov 15 | UTEP | W 38–24 | 436 | 0 | 37:24 | +0.206 | 37.0% | 141.8% | |
| Nov 8 | @Liberty | W 21–17 | 332 | 1 | 26:35 | +0.107 | 42.4% | 139.2% | One-score win |
| Oct 30 | Florida International | W 28–21 | 369 | 1 | 27:59 | +0.099 | 30.4% | 145.4% | One-score win |
| Oct 23 | @New Mexico State | W 24–17 | 409 | 3 | 32:35 | +0.043 | 41.8% | 117.8% | Best defensive stand |
| Oct 8 | @Middle Tennessee | W 22–20 | 361 | 0 | 30:42 | +0.189 | 38.5% | 150.6% | One-score win |
| Sep 27 | Western Kentucky | L 22–27 | 414 | 0 | 28:32 | +0.136 | 39.4% | 131.1% | One-score loss |
| Sep 20 | UT Martin | W 42–10 | 420 | 1 | 30:28 | +0.457 | 45.8% | 172.1% | Season-high EPA/play |
| Sep 13 | SMU | L 10–28 | 328 | 3 | 31:30 | -0.031 | 34.9% | 143.2% | |
| Sep 6 | @Marshall | W 21–20 | 474 | 1 | 34:34 | +0.277 | 39.8% | 171.2% | One-score win |
| Aug 30 | @USC | L 13–73 | 224 | 3 | 32:31 | -0.055 | 31.5% | 150.8% | Season-low EPA/play |
| Season average (13 games) | 393 | 1.3 | +0.170 | 39.4% | 149.2% | ||||
How They Play · 2025
How They Play · 2025Missouri State fields a capable pass-first, explosive, big-play offense behind a porous, gives up the big play defense.
Opponent-adjusted percentiles vs all FBS. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.
Team identity · competitive snaps only
How Missouri State actually scores
55th percentile quality, 46th percentile boom-dependency. Garbage time excluded from both axes — the same correction that changes the Q4 story below.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Quality percentile | Boom-share percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 86th | 11th |
| Akron | 12th | 89th |
| Alabama | 58th | 17th |
| App State | 35th | 47th |
| Arizona | 64th | 37th |
| Arizona State | 41st | 62nd |
| Arkansas | 90th | 12th |
| Arkansas State | 17th | 66th |
| Army | 57th | 43rd |
| Auburn | 47th | 53rd |
| BYU | 78th | 19th |
| Baylor | 69th | 25th |
| Boise State | 66th | 20th |
| Boston College | 37th | 54th |
| Bowling Green | 2nd | 98th |
| Buffalo | 11th | 88th |
| California | 28th | 48th |
| Central Michigan | 52nd | 64th |
| Cincinnati | 89th | 16th |
| Clemson | 51st | 48th |
| Coastal Carolina | 17th | 83rd |
| Colorado | 18th | 84th |
| Colorado State | 16th | 83rd |
| Delaware | 38th | 58th |
| Duke | 80th | 14th |
| East Carolina | 63rd | 36th |
| Eastern Michigan | 49th | 42nd |
| Florida | 30th | 67th |
| Florida Atlantic | 62nd | 59th |
| Florida International | 42nd | 50th |
| Florida State | 83rd | 32nd |
| Fresno State | 26th | 73rd |
| Georgia | 81st | 3rd |
| Georgia Southern | 73rd | 21st |
| Georgia State | 36th | 70th |
| Georgia Tech | 84th | 5th |
| Hawai'i | 64th | 41st |
| Houston | 27th | 65th |
| Illinois | 75th | 26th |
| Indiana | 95th | 1st |
| Iowa | 44th | 40th |
| Iowa State | 68th | 22nd |
| Jacksonville State | 54th | 38th |
| James Madison | 65th | 44th |
| Kansas | 85th | 28th |
| Kansas State | 71st | 49th |
| Kennesaw State | 56th | 30th |
| Kent State | 21st | 86th |
| Kentucky | 15th | 85th |
| LSU | 14th | 81st |
| Liberty | 43rd | 56th |
| Louisiana | 19th | 73rd |
| Louisiana Tech | 39th | 61st |
| Louisville | 48th | 64th |
| Marshall | 55th | 39th |
| Maryland | 30th | 74th |
| Memphis | 80th | 24th |
| Miami | 76th | 5th |
| Miami (OH) | 34th | 67th |
| Michigan | 67th | 33rd |
| Michigan State | 27th | 75th |
| Middle Tennessee | 39th | 52nd |
| Minnesota | 29th | 77th |
| Mississippi State | 22nd | 77th |
| Missouri | 61st | 30th |
| Missouri State | 55th | 46th |
| NC State | 86th | 23rd |
| Navy | 94th | 17th |
| Nebraska | 48th | 57th |
| Nevada | 3rd | 97th |
| New Mexico | 58th | 60th |
| New Mexico State | 9th | 87th |
| North Carolina | 13th | 89th |
| North Texas | 98th | 7th |
| Northern Illinois | 8th | 92nd |
| Northwestern | 52nd | 36th |
| Notre Dame | 99th | 20th |
| Ohio | 67th | 18th |
| Ohio State | 93rd | 4th |
| Oklahoma | 20th | 80th |
| Oklahoma State | 5th | 95th |
| Old Dominion | 83rd | 45th |
| Ole Miss | 89th | 2nd |
| Oregon | 91st | 10th |
| Oregon State | 2nd | 98th |
| Penn State | 73rd | 33rd |
| Pittsburgh | 60th | 39th |
| Purdue | 25th | 78th |
| Rice | 6th | 94th |
| Rutgers | 70th | 27th |
| SMU | 74th | 42nd |
| Sam Houston | 4th | 96th |
| San Diego State | 24th | 76th |
| San José State | 45th | 69th |
| South Alabama | 36th | 58th |
| South Carolina | 23rd | 86th |
| South Florida | 87th | 23rd |
| Southern Miss | 40th | 55th |
| Stanford | 10th | 90th |
| Syracuse | 5th | 95th |
| TCU | 72nd | 35th |
| Temple | 70th | 34th |
| Tennessee | 96th | 11th |
| Texas | 45th | 55th |
| Texas A&M | 82nd | 14th |
| Texas State | 92nd | 8th |
| Texas Tech | 77th | 31st |
| Toledo | 50th | 61st |
| Troy | 14th | 80th |
| Tulane | 79th | 15th |
| Tulsa | 20th | 70th |
| UAB | 61st | 45th |
| UCF | 33rd | 82nd |
| UCLA | 23rd | 79th |
| UConn | 95th | 13th |
| UL Monroe | 11th | 92nd |
| UNLV | 88th | 9th |
| USC | 98th | 2nd |
| UTEP | 1st | 99th |
| UTSA | 77th | 51st |
| Utah | 97th | 6th |
| Utah State | 46th | 63rd |
| Vanderbilt | 100th | 0th |
| Virginia | 59th | 27th |
| Virginia Tech | 32nd | 71st |
| Wake Forest | 42nd | 72nd |
| Washington | 92nd | 8th |
| Washington State | 33rd | 52nd |
| West Virginia | 7th | 93rd |
| Western Kentucky | 53rd | 29th |
| Western Michigan | 31st | 68th |
| Wisconsin | 0th | 100th |
| Wyoming | 8th | 91st |
Fourth-quarter reliability, corrected
Missouri State's 4th-quarter offense, before and after garbage time
Raw Q4 EPA/play ranks 80th percentile in FBS. Strip out snaps taken with a blowout margin and it climbs to the 84th — the correction is the finding, not a footnote.
Standard downs vs. passing downs
Does Missouri State hold up once the down-and-distance turns against them?
32nd percentile success on standard downs, 50th on passing downs — a 18-point gap between the two.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Standard-downs percentile | Passing-downs percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 82nd | 69th |
| Akron | 20th | 36th |
| Alabama | 47th | 76th |
| App State | 41st | 80th |
| Arizona | 54th | 54th |
| Arizona State | 40th | 37th |
| Arkansas | 90th | 97th |
| Arkansas State | 51st | 40th |
| Army | 37th | 44th |
| Auburn | 73rd | 24th |
| Austin Peay | 56th | 13th |
| BYU | 91st | 46th |
| Ball State | 5th | 3rd |
| Baylor | 70th | 77th |
| Boise State | 42nd | 63rd |
| Boston College | 56th | 54th |
| Bowling Green | 10th | 17th |
| Bryant | 7th | 2nd |
| Buffalo | 29th | 20th |
| California | 25th | 66th |
| Central Michigan | 57th | 11th |
| Charlotte | 7th | 7th |
| Cincinnati | 89th | 65th |
| Clemson | 49th | 34th |
| Coastal Carolina | 16th | 22nd |
| Colorado | 8th | 48th |
| Colorado State | 29th | 35th |
| Delaware | 66th | 31st |
| Duke | 82nd | 63rd |
| East Carolina | 63rd | 91st |
| Eastern Michigan | 46th | 67th |
| Florida | 52nd | 45th |
| Florida Atlantic | 44th | 61st |
| Florida International | 50th | 26th |
| Florida State | 65th | 90th |
| Fresno State | 22nd | 71st |
| Georgia | 95th | 69th |
| Georgia Southern | 64th | 84th |
| Georgia State | 22nd | 75th |
| Georgia Tech | 92nd | 89th |
| Hawai'i | 33rd | 87th |
| Houston | 61st | 29th |
| Idaho | 30th | 78th |
| Idaho State | 93rd | 14th |
| Illinois | 79th | 95th |
| Indiana | 97th | 98th |
| Iowa | 74th | 19th |
| Iowa State | 80th | 58th |
| Jacksonville State | 59th | 56th |
| James Madison | 77th | 52nd |
| Kansas | 99th | 82nd |
| Kansas State | 37th | 59th |
| Kennesaw State | 44th | 67th |
| Kent State | 15th | 5th |
| Kentucky | 62nd | 29th |
| LSU | 18th | 52nd |
| Lafayette | 0th | 12th |
| Liberty | 65th | 53rd |
| Lindenwood | 4th | 1st |
| Long Island University | 24th | 78th |
| Louisiana | 24th | 23rd |
| Louisiana Tech | 41st | 24th |
| Louisville | 84th | 32nd |
| Maine | 3rd | 18th |
| Marshall | 71st | 62nd |
| Maryland | 11th | 86th |
| Massachusetts | 5th | 9th |
| Memphis | 75th | 68th |
| Merrimack | 1st | 83rd |
| Miami | 80th | 64th |
| Miami (OH) | 33rd | 39th |
| Michigan | 73rd | 74th |
| Michigan State | 48th | 39th |
| Middle Tennessee | 69th | 47th |
| Minnesota | 35th | 33rd |
| Mississippi State | 52nd | 35th |
| Missouri | 76th | 50th |
| Missouri State | 32nd | 50th |
| Murray State | 1st | 6th |
| NC State | 58th | 71st |
| Navy | 95th | 72nd |
| Nebraska | 78th | 51st |
| Nevada | 17th | 16th |
| New Mexico | 38th | 60th |
| New Mexico State | 16th | 33rd |
| North Carolina | 14th | 30th |
| North Texas | 100th | 97th |
| Northern Illinois | 9th | 5th |
| Northwestern | 48th | 88th |
| Notre Dame | 88th | 99th |
| Ohio | 69th | 76th |
| Ohio State | 99th | 99th |
| Oklahoma | 39th | 41st |
| Oklahoma State | 14th | 7th |
| Old Dominion | 72nd | 79th |
| Ole Miss | 83rd | 95th |
| Oregon | 93rd | 55th |
| Oregon State | 54th | 25th |
| Penn State | 76th | 73rd |
| Pittsburgh | 35th | 56th |
| Purdue | 46th | 88th |
| Rice | 20th | 0th |
| Rutgers | 71st | 84th |
| SMU | 50th | 57th |
| Sam Houston | 26th | 4th |
| San Diego State | 84th | 1st |
| San José State | 68th | 70th |
| South Alabama | 53rd | 28th |
| South Carolina | 31st | 8th |
| South Carolina State | 10th | 3rd |
| South Florida | 86th | 46th |
| Southern Miss | 27th | 38th |
| Stanford | 12th | 12th |
| Syracuse | 19th | 10th |
| TCU | 63rd | 82nd |
| Temple | 85th | 22nd |
| Tennessee | 97th | 81st |
| Texas | 27th | 61st |
| Texas A&M | 88th | 59th |
| Texas State | 60th | 93rd |
| Texas Tech | 45th | 65th |
| Toledo | 67th | 42nd |
| Troy | 18th | 27th |
| Tulane | 81st | 86th |
| Tulsa | 43rd | 43rd |
| UAB | 34th | 94th |
| UCF | 39th | 20th |
| UCLA | 28th | 48th |
| UConn | 96th | 37th |
| UL Monroe | 13th | 14th |
| UNLV | 78th | 85th |
| USC | 94th | 90th |
| UT Martin | 2nd | 41st |
| UTEP | 3rd | 10th |
| UTSA | 67th | 92nd |
| Utah | 87th | 96th |
| Utah State | 31st | 49th |
| Vanderbilt | 90th | 100th |
| Virginia | 36th | 73rd |
| Virginia Tech | 59th | 21st |
| Wake Forest | 21st | 31st |
| Washington | 98th | 93rd |
| Washington State | 61st | 44th |
| West Virginia | 12th | 18th |
| Western Kentucky | 55th | 80th |
| Western Michigan | 86th | 16th |
| Wisconsin | 6th | 27th |
| Wyoming | 23rd | 15th |
Halftime identity
Missouri State by half
1st-half offense ranks 53rd percentile in FBS; 2nd-half, 70th — competitive snaps only, garbage time excluded from both halves.
Schedule mirage
How much of Missouri State's number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 21 is 0.17; 74th percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's 0.05. The widest gap came in week 4: 0.16 raw vs. 0.04 adjusted.
Missouri State reads strongest in explosive plays (top 2%) and passing epa (top 34%); the crux lives in epa allowed, where Missouri State sits at the 11th percentile.
offense · strengths lead
defense · higher bar = harder to play against
hidden math · special situations
ELITE · 90+STRONG · 70+AVERAGE · 40-70CONCERN · 10-40BOTTOM · <10
Most Similar Programs · Missouri State
Most Similar Programs · Missouri StateReads Like
AkronTier 3 · Prestige T3 · Similarly-sized rosters up frontApp StateTier 3 · Prestige T3 · Similarly-sized rosters up frontArizonaTier 3 · Prestige T3 · Similarly-sized rosters up front
Static-attribute similarity across tier, archetype, conference, and voice. Not a prediction — a calibration.
Home-Field Advantage · Missouri State · 2018-present
Strong
53% home win rate vs 36% on the road. margin runs +9.1 better at home. Plaster Sports Complex seats 17,337, averaging 62% full (10,690 attendance, 11 games reported).
Home21-18Away16-28
Positional competition · RB room
The carries are split. The job isn’t.
Shomari Lawrence and Ramone Green Jr. split the carries (203/251 vs 48/251) -- but the job isn't split the same way. Ramone Green Jr. owns the receiving work.
Shomari LawrenceRamone Green Jr.
Carries
the baseline -- every row below is tested against this split, not a flat 50/50
Q4, leading (competitive)
shared -- dots touch, this room really is a committee here
Targets
p = 0.000 -- real, not noise
Top-5-carry share
concentration alone -- EPA/carry doesn't corroborate, read with caution
Screened 3 claims, 1 survived, 2 falsified
Positional competition · WR/TE room
The targets are split. The job isn’t.
Alred Luke (WR) and Jeron Askren (TE) split the targets (60/78 vs 18/78) -- but the job isn't split the same way.
Alred LukeJeron Askren
Targets
the baseline -- every row below is tested against this split, not a flat 50/50
3rd-down targets
shared -- dots touch, this room really is a committee here
Garbage-time share
shared -- dots touch, this room really is a committee here
Top-5-catch share
concentration alone -- EPA/target doesn't corroborate, read with caution
Screened 3 claims, 0 survived, 3 falsified
Defensive identity · pass zones
What this defense gives up, by zone.
On short passes, Missouri State’s defense allows a completion rate below the FBS mean (64.2% vs 65.9% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 175-play sample) — mid-pack, 31 of 133 qualifying defenses.
We won’t show a deep-ball leaderboard here: at the defense level, most teams face well under 30 rich-feed deep targets all season — too thin to tell a real tendency from noise, so we won’t guess.
Screened 133 claims, 133 survived · 2025 only, in the 399 games with the detailed play-text feed; n=175 short-zone plays faced, raw rate 62.9%
Venue texture
67°F average kickoff temp; 0% of games had measurable precipitation; 9 mph average wind.
Based on 28 home games with weather data.
The CFP Era
12 seasons inside the CFP era, no bids yet — the era the program is still trying to break into.
TRAJECTORY · quality-score line · AP rank dotted · CFP bids marked · coach regimes ribboned
Program Quality
AP Rank (inverted)
CFP Appearance
Missouri State's 2014–2025 record is 49-80. The era is still being written; the CFP line is the one the program is arguing for.
All-Time Record
103-178-1
since 1911 · 46 seasons · .365 win rate
HOME
56-58
AWAY
40-108-1
NEUTRAL
7-12
1910s
1920s
1980s
1990s
2000s
2010s
2020s
The program, in full — read the essay
Missouri State ended a 30-year title drought under Bobby Petrino, jumped to the FBS in 2025, and played its first-ever bowl game under his son — because the coach who got them there had already left for another job.
Bobby Petrino took over in January 2020 and, in the COVID-delayed season played that spring, ended a conference championship drought that had lasted 30 years, sharing the Missouri Valley Football Conference title and reaching the FCS Playoffs in back-to-back seasons. Then, like coaches at this level tend to do, he left — for the offensive coordinator job at UNLV, in December 2022.
Ryan Beard took the program the rest of the way, through the FCS-to-FBS transition and into Conference USA for 2025. The debut season went 7-6 (5-3 CUSA), good enough for the program's first-ever Division I-A bowl bid. And then, almost the moment the regular season ended, Beard left too — for the head coaching job at Coastal Carolina.
So when Missouri State played its first-ever bowl game, the 2025 Xbox Bowl against Arkansas State, the man on the sideline was Nick Petrino — Bobby's son — serving as interim head coach for a game the previous architect had already walked away from. The Bears lost 34-28, a close one that came down to the final possessions. Casey Woods, hired that December for his first-ever head coaching job after two decades as a coordinator across four different conferences, inherits a program that keeps building real things and keeps losing the builder right after. Whether he's the one who finally sticks around is the whole question for 2026.
How they play
A program mid-transition on the field as much as on the sideline — Petrino's disciplined FCS-era program-building gave way to Beard's FBS-transition roster reshaping, and Casey Woods now inherits a roster and identity still being defined heading into his first season.
Rising
Missouri State 2016–2025. Climbing +1.2 rungs across the last 10 seasons. Slope +0.21 rungs / year — moving up the prestige scale.
CFP Era · Missouri State
12 seasons on file
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
down middle peak CFP year
Season Standing · 2025 · 7-6
Season Standing · 2025 · 7-6Bowl eligible
Missouri State: 6+ wins, bowl access secured. The baseline of a successful FBS year.
R0R1R2R3R4R5R6R7R8R9
Sub-FBSBuildingBowlRankedContenderPlayoff
Conference USA Standing · 2025
5th in the Conference USA
Missouri State sits 5th of 10 in the Conference USA at 4-2. Mid-conference — moves up or down depend on rivalry results and the late-season closing run.
| # | Program | Record |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kennesaw State | 6-1 |
| 2 | Jacksonville State | 6-2 |
| 3 | Western Kentucky | 5-2 |
| 4 | Florida International | 5-3 |
| 5 | Missouri State | 4-2 |
| 6 | Delaware | 2-4 |
| 7 | Liberty | 2-4 |
| 8 | Middle Tennessee | 2-6 |
| 9 | New Mexico State | 1-5 |
| 10 | Sam Houston | 1-5 |
Coaching Era · Missouri State
Coaching Era · Missouri StateCasey Woods
Casey Woods took over from Ryan Beard for the 2026 season.
Era Casey Woods · 2026–presentPrev: Ryan Beard (2025)OC: Mark CalaPrev OC: Nick Petrino (2025)DC: Jack CurtisPrev DC: L. D. Scott (2025)
1
year · era
Rituals
Three gameday rituals — the ones outsiders never quite catch.
The Bobby Petrino Turnaround (2020-2022)
since 2020
Bobby Petrino was hired in January 2020 and immediately ended a 30-year conference championship drought, sharing the Missouri Valley Football Conference title in the COVID-delayed 2020 season (played spring 2021) and reaching the FCS Playoffs in back-to-back years. He left for the UNLV offensive coordinator job in December 2022 after three seasons.
The First-Ever Bowl Game (2025 Xbox Bowl)
since 2025
Missouri State's first-ever Division I-A bowl appearance came in its first FBS season -- a 34-28 loss to Arkansas State in the 2025 Xbox Bowl at Ford Center at The Star in Frisco, Texas. Head coach Ryan Beard, who had led the 7-6 (5-3 CUSA) regular season, had already left for the Coastal Carolina job by kickoff; Nick Petrino, son of former head coach Bobby Petrino, served as interim head coach for the game.
Boomer the Bear
since 1925
The Bears identity dates to 1925, when Southwest Missouri State Teachers College became Southwest Missouri State College and adopted a mascot with strength behind the new name. Boomer the Bear has represented the program ever since, through the school's 2005 rename to Missouri State.
Program memory
What this program never forgets
Most weeks vanish. These didn’t.
2020 MVFC title (played spring 2021)
Missouri State shares the Missouri Valley Football Conference title under Bobby Petrino, ending a 30-year drought
2022
Bobby Petrino leaves for UNLV
Petrino departs for the UNLV offensive coordinator job after three seasons
Wound
2025 Xbox Bowl
Missouri State's first-ever Division I-A bowl game ends in a 34-28 loss to Arkansas State, coached by interim Nick Petrino after Ryan Beard's departure for Coastal Carolina
Heartbreak
Moment of the Year · Missouri State · 2025
Moment of the Year · Missouri State · 2025Lost 10-28 vs SMU
Week 3 of 2025. The single game that defined the season's arc.
Bowl / Postseason Ledger
Bowl / Postseason LedgerRecent postseason (2025): 0-1
Most recent: 2025 — loss 34-28 (away). Last 5 postseason: 0-1.
2025
NFL Draft Pipeline
2022–2022
NFL Draft PipelineThin
1 picks last 5 cycles. Roster development still maturing.
1
picks · 0 R1
#159
Eric Johnson
Defensive Tackle · 2022 · Indianapolis
#191 all-time in draft picksthe talent factory →
r/cfb moments
431
[Postgame Thread] USC Defeats Missouri State 73-13
103
[Postgame Thread] Missouri State Defeats FIU 28-21
All-time top community posts · ranked by upvotes
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