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OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Skyler Locklear /UTEP

Skyler Locklear

QB · UTEP · Jr · #9

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

1,418 PASS YDS · 13 PASS TD · 396 RUSH YDS

2026 TRANSFERTransferred UTEP → Missouri State for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to Missouri State

2025UTEP
2026Missouri State

QB · UTEP · CONFERENCE USA

Skyler Locklear

  • 3
  • #9
  • 5-11 | 195 lb
  • Clayton, NC

CFB Zeitgeist Score

38

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by pass tds at the 55th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#402

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP QB AWARD

Davey O'Brien

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · passing yards

2024–2025
1,5912024
1,4182025

-11%

Down 11% — context-dependent (injury / role change?).

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
UTEP
2024–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionQB
Class3
Jersey9
Measurements5-11 | 195 lb
HometownClayton, NC
Primary teamUTEP

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 2 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Missouri State 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 16, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 UTEP -> Missouri State 3-star | 0.8400 | Immediate
2024 Austin Peay -> UTEP 3-star | 0.8200 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#402Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#680Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in rushing yards (396).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Skyler Locklear

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

Awaiting per-cohort signal

Sample 0 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmNational: 1 mentions · belief +0 · "The cumulative link to the preseason rankings can be found [here]( https://www.r"National
  • National · n=1

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Skyler Locklear

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the passing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 9g
1,418Pass yards
13Pass TDs
11INT
Per game
157.6Pass yards
1Pass TDs
1INT
Projected (13g)
2,048Pass yards
19Pass TDs
16INT

To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 1,418): needs 395.5/game over remaining 4.

To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 1,418): needs 645.5/game over remaining 4.

To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 13): needs 3/game over remaining 4.

To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 13): needs 4.2/game over remaining 4.

To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 13): needs 5.5/game over remaining 4.

Why this is a two-channel quarterback case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The unusual part of Skyler Locklear's case is that the production comes in two channels, not one. For UTEP, he has 1,418 passing yards and 13 touchdown passes, but he also adds 396 rushing yards and 8 rushing scores. That kind of dual-threat load tends to create a more resilient Heisman case because the offense can tilt the game in multiple ways.

Current place #402 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 49.4% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

QB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Pass yards 1,418 13 TD | 11 INT | #118/382 (69th pct)
Completion rate 55.5% 117/211 completions | #279/383 (27th pct)
Yards/attempt 6.7 Explosiveness through the air | #210/382 (45th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Steady volume | Dual-threat against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.

Steady volumeDual-threat

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Passing Efficiency

CMP
117 67th
ATT
211 71st
CMP%
55.5% 27th
Y/A
6.7 45th

Passing Production

YDS
1,418 69th
TD
13 81st
INT
11 5th

Rushing

CAR
103 88th
YDS
396 88th
YPC
3.8 63rd
TD
8 92nd

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 9 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCMP/ATTYDSTDINTYPAQBRNote
Wk 2W 42-17vs UT Martin1/30000.076.4
Wk 5L 11-30vs Louisiana Tech4/6741112.354.4
Wk 7L 8-19vs Liberty9/1790025.356.3
Wk 8W 35-17@ Sam Houston21/26236219.160.1
Wk 10L 20-33@ Kennesaw State14/29160205.529.3
Wk 11L 27-30vs Jacksonville State16/32244217.641.1
Wk 12L 24-38@ Missouri State14/29125004.344.8
Wk 13L 31-34vs New Mexico State16/30151215.032.6
Wk 14L 31-61@ Delaware22/39338458.736.3Season-high 338 yds · 5 INTs — rough day
Total117/211141813116.447.9
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2024UTEP3-9HC: Scotty Walden · Run-leaning
2025UTEP2-10HC: Scotty Walden · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025UTEP11721155.5%1,4186.71311121.8----
2024UTEP14923663.1%1,5916.7106128.7----
Career2 loaded seasons26644759.5%3,0096.72317125.4----
SeasonTeam
2025UTEP1033963.88--
2024UTEP802373.02--
Career2 loaded seasons1836333.510--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Passing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.

Role share

How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Rush impact 396 8 rush TD | #48/408 (88th pct)
Usage 49.4% 68.0% pass share | 28.9% rush share | #89/428 (79th pct)
Passing WEPA +0.07 Opponent-adjusted passing value | #195/200 (3rd pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Passing Passing yards 1,418 #118/382 69th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Pass TD 13 #80/407 81st pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Passing Completions 117 #126/383 67th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Completion % 55.5% #279/383 27th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Passing Yards / attempt 6.7 #210/382 45th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing yards 396 #48/408 88th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Value Passing WEPA +0.07 #195/200 3rd pct Opponent-adjusted passing value | 180 weighted playsvs FBS QB
Usage Role share 49.4% #89/428 79th pct Share of team offensevs FBS QB
Passing Attempts 211 #118/407 71st pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Interceptions 11 #386/407 5th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB
Rushing Carries 103 #50/408 88th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing LONG 63 #19/391 95th pct Metricvs FBS QB
Rushing Rush TD 8 #33/408 92nd pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Rushing Yards / carry 3.8 #153/407 63rd pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Usage Pass share 68.0% #143/428 67th pct Air-game usagevs FBS QB
Usage 3rd-down usage 57.0% #115/428 73rd pct Money-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Passing-down usage 55.5% #128/428 70th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS QB
Usage 2nd-down usage 47.3% #98/428 77th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage 1st-down usage 46.4% #55/428 87th pct Early-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Standard-down usage 46.1% #59/428 86th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS QB
Usage Rush share 28.9% #18/428 96th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS QB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.27 #58/140 59th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 66 weighted playsvs FBS QB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 1 #69/258 74th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 9 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Home5g1121.06.01.0
Road4g2152.06.91.5

Win vs Loss

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Wins2g1181.04.50.5
Losses7g1691.67.01.4

First half vs Second half

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Weeks 1-73g54.70.35.91.0
Weeks 8+6g2092.06.71.3

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

38Mid-pack
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: rush tds (81st). Concern: interceptions (9th).

Rush TDs#31 / 183 · 81st pct
8rush
Rush yards#43 / 183 · 77th pct
396rush
Fumbles lost#32 / 174 · 66th pct
1fumb
Pass TDs#80 / 183 · 55th pct
13pass
Pass yards#118 / 183 · 36th pct
1418pass
Yards / att#120 / 183 · 31st pct
6.7pass
Completion %#162 / 183 · 12th pct
55.5%pass
Interceptions#162 / 183 · 10th pct
11pass

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · QB · 2024

Percentile Card

Concerns: EPA / dropback.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback0.070
23th pct
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_passing0.07Below (<p25) (n=94)
wepa_rushing0.27Low (p25–p50) (n=72)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Skyler LocklearUTEPJohn MateerOklahoma· 79% simMalik WashingtonMaryland· 78% simAvery JohnsonKansas State· 78% sim
Rush TDs
81
Locklear
81
Mateer
59
Washington
81
Johnson
Rush yards
77
Locklear
79
Mateer
73
Washington
80
Johnson
Fumbles lost
66
Locklear
66
Mateer
38
Washington
66
Johnson
Pass TDs
55
Locklear
58
Mateer
68
Washington
72
Johnson
Pass yards
36
Locklear
76
Mateer
79
Washington
61
Johnson
Yards / att
31
Locklear
57
Mateer
21
Washington
46
Johnson
Completion %
12
Locklear
49
Mateer
20
Washington
33
Johnson
Interceptions
10
Locklear
10
Mateer
22
Washington
56
Johnson

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Scrambler

Makes plays with feet when the pocket collapses. Efficiency still on the rise.

QB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jiya Wright’s 2023 season.

Jiya Wright

58%match

UL Monroe · 2023

#2

Cooper Legas

Tulsa · 2024

52%
#3

Thomas Castellanos

Boston College · 2023

50%
#4

Isaac Wilson

Utah · 2024

49%
#5

McCae Hillstead

Utah State · 2023

46%

Matches Jiya on

Total pass EPA (college ability)
Weight

Differs from Jiya on

Height (lower)
INT rate (higher)
TD rate (higher)

Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Ross Bowers’s path through Northern Illinois.

Ross Bowers

92%match

Northern Illinois · 2020

#2

DJ Williams

Southern Illinois · 2025

92%
#3

Logan Fife

New Mexico State · 2025

86%
#4

McCae Hillstead

Utah State · 2023

85%
#5

Jacob Free

Troy · 2020

82%

Matches Ross on

Yards per attempt
Completion %

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Anthony Colandrea's sophomore season at Virginia (2024).

Anthony Colandrea

46%match

Virginia · 2024

All-Mountain West
#2

Thomas Castellanos

Boston College · 2023

All-ACC
44%
#3

Justin Tomlin

Georgia Southern · 2021

43%
#4

Tyler Buchner

Notre Dame · 2022

39%
#5

Brady McBride

Texas State · 2021

39%

Matches Anthony on

Height

Differs from Anthony on

INT rate (higher)
Completion % (lower)
TD rate (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Scotty Walden

Pass share

52.4%

410 pass / 372 run

Plays / game

65.2

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

8.2%

342 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025

1 coach
2024
Scotty Walden
UTEP
2025
Scotty Walden
UTEP

Played his entire career under Scotty Walden.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownClayton, NC
Height5'11"
Weight195 lb
Class3
PositionQB
Jersey9

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 UTEP QB3 #402 #680 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Conference USA

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 UTEP Conference USA QB 3 No. 9 | 5-11 | 195 lb | Clayton, NC
2024 UTEP Conference USA QB 3 No. 9 | 5-11 | 195 lb | Clayton, NC