CFB Zeitgeist Score
51
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by completion % at the 58th percentile.
Mark Gronowski
Filling the Shoesas of 2026-06-22
Mark Gronowski arrives at Iowa with a new fit to prove and an old chapter behind him.
1,741PASS YDS10PASS TD545RUSH YDS
RUSHING VALUE · WEPA
+0.47
via your WEPA model · 2025 · 109 plays
Read the story so far
AI narrative · updated 2026-06-22 · compiled from CFB Zeitgeist data
2026 Outlook
Returning to Iowa for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Quarterback · Iowa
Returning around him
- 49% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
- 7 Iowa players drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: +7 net (15 in / 8 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Iowa · Last season: 9-4 · Talent rank #42 · 2026 recruiting class #38
QB · IOWA · BIG TEN
Mark Gronowski
- 4
- #11
- 6-2 | 235 lb
- Naperville, IL
Heisman Heat
Awaiting
Not on the live Heisman board this week.
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
—
TOP QB AWARD
Davey O'Brien
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
—
CFB
College
Iowa
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No recruiting profile is on file for this player. | ||
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | South Dakota State -> Iowa | 3-star | 0.8700 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens
Where the model places this player relative to the rest of the Heisman field.
Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
- Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in rushing yards (545).
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
Today’s Hot-Take
+0.470 qb rushing weighted-epa — #3 in a 46-QB cohort, 96th percentile in the modern era.
Anti-Take
EFFICIENCYEfficiency rewards selectivity. Volume-adjusted rank in the same cohort almost always looks looser — call it elite, not unique.
The Room on Mark Gronowski
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
100
Grounded Optimism
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=3
- Rivals · n=1
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Mark Gronowski
Only 1 rival mention(s) — below the 4-mention floor for a defensible read.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
QB rushing weighted-EPA
+0.470
EPA
P4 + Notre Dame QBs, min 50 carries
National rank #3 of 46
Percentile vs P4 + Notre Dame QBs, min 50 carries 96th
Why it matters
#3 of 46 P4 + Notre Dame QBs among scrambling QBs by rushing weighted-EPA — +0.470 EPA per run on 109 carries.
Vs cohort
This player +0.470 (96th)
HIGH · n=109 cohort 46
- Also strong
- Combined WEPA per play (pass + rush)#34 / 57
- Completion %#40 / 72
- WEPA per dropback#51 / 58
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the passing totals stand
Through 13g
1,741Pass yards
10Pass TDs
7INT
Per game
133.9Pass yards
1Pass TDs
1INT
Final
1,741Pass yards
10Pass TDs
7INT
Why this is a two-channel quarterback case
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
The unusual part of Mark Gronowski's case is that the production comes in two channels, not one. For Iowa, he has 1,741 passing yards and 10 touchdown passes, but he also adds 545 rushing yards and 16 rushing scores. That kind of dual-threat load tends to create a more resilient Heisman case because the offense can tilt the game in multiple ways.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
QB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Steady volume | Dual-threat against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Passing Efficiency
CMP
166 75th
ATT
262 76th
CMP%
63.4% 60th
Y/A
6.6 42nd
Passing Production
YDS
1,741 73rd
TD
10 74th
INT
7 23rd
Rushing
CAR
130 93rd
YDS
545 93rd
YPC
4.2 68th
TD
16 100th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 13 games
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 34-7vs UAlbany | 8/15 | 44 | 1 | 0 | 2.9 | 24.5 | Season-high 212 yds |
| Wk 2 | L 13-16@ Iowa State | 13/24 | 83 | 0 | 1 | 3.5 | 29.2 | |
| Wk 3 | W 47-7vs Massachusetts | 16/24 | 179 | 2 | 0 | 7.5 | 70.3 | |
| Wk 4 | W 38-28@ Rutgers | 12/18 | 186 | 0 | 0 | 10.3 | 70.5 | |
| Wk 5 | L 15-20vs Indiana | 19/25 | 144 | 0 | 1 | 5.8 | 54.7 | |
| Wk 7 | W 37-0@ Wisconsin | 17/24 | 107 | 0 | 1 | 4.5 | 36.7 | |
| Wk 8 | W 25-24vs Penn State | 10/16 | 68 | 0 | 1 | 4.3 | 84.2 | |
| Wk 9 | W 41-3vs Minnesota | 12/19 | 135 | 1 | 0 | 7.1 | 70.5 | |
| Wk 11 | L 16-18vs Oregon | 10/18 | 138 | 1 | 0 | 7.7 | 88.3 | |
| Wk 12 | L 21-26@ USC | 12/19 | 132 | 1 | 1 | 6.9 | 68.7 | |
| Wk 13 | W 20-17vs Michigan State | 12/22 | 147 | 1 | 1 | 6.7 | 39.0 | |
| Wk 14 | W 40-16@ Nebraska | 9/16 | 166 | 1 | 0 | 10.4 | 93.2 | |
| Bowl | W 34-27@ Vanderbilt | 16/22 | 212 | 2 | 1 | 9.6 | 79.5 | |
| Total | 166/262 | 1741 | 10 | 7 | 6.7 | 62.3 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2025Iowa9-4HC: Kirk Ferentz · Run-heavy, slow tempo
| Season | Team | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Iowa | 166 | 262 | 63.4% | 1,741 | 6.6 | 10 | 7 | 126.4 | -- | -- |
| Career | 1 loaded season | 166 | 262 | 63.4% | 1,741 | 6.6 | 10 | 7 | 126.4 | -- | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Iowa | 130 | 545 | 4.2 | 16 | -- |
| Career | 1 loaded season | 130 | 545 | 4.2 | 16 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.
How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Passing yards | 1,741 | #105/382 | 73rd pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Pass TD | 10 | #105/407 | 74th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completions | 166 | #97/383 | 75th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completion % | 63.4% | #155/383 | 60th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Yards / attempt | 6.6 | #223/382 | 42nd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 545 | #29/408 | 93rd pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Value | Passing WEPA | +0.24 | #118/200 | 42nd pct | Opponent-adjusted passing value | 260 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Role share | 47.3% | #101/428 | 77th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Attempts | 262 | #98/407 | 76th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Interceptions | 7 | #316/407 | 23rd pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Carries | 130 | #30/408 | 93rd pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 67 | #13/391 | 97th pct | Metricvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 16 | #3/408 | 100th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 4.2 | #132/407 | 68th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Pass share | 90.0% | #60/428 | 86th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 75.5% | #17/428 | 96th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 57.2% | #117/428 | 73rd pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 43.7% | #84/428 | 81st pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 42.5% | #129/428 | 70th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 37.0% | #124/428 | 71st pct | Early-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Rush share | 22.1% | #51/428 | 88th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.47 | #3/140 | 99th pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 109 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 1 | #69/258 | 74th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 13 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home7g | 122 | 0.9 | 6.0 | 0.4 |
| Road6g | 148 | 0.7 | 7.5 | 0.7 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins9g | 138 | 0.9 | 7.0 | 0.4 |
| Losses4g | 124 | 0.5 | 6.0 | 0.8 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | 136 | 0.7 | 6.3 | 0.6 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 131 | 0.8 | 7.2 | 0.5 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort
51Mid-pack
Elite: rush tds (98th). Strength: rush yards (84th). Concern: yards / att (27th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Pass Profile · Completion depth (PBP)
Where the throws are landing
Short
0–9 yds65%of completions
60 comp4.7 yds avg2 TD
Middle
10–19 yds23%of completions
21 comp13.0 yds avg
Deep
20+ yds12%of completions
11 comp25.9 yds avg1 TD
Overall 64.8% completion on 142 attempts · 11 deep completions averaging 25.9 yds.
Advanced Savant · QB · 2025
Percentile Card
Concerns: EPA / dropback.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_passing0.24Low (p25–p50) (n=94)
wepa_rushing0.47Elite (≥p90) (n=72)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Mark GronowskiIowaAvery JohnsonKansas State· 81% simJohn MateerOklahoma· 78% simBrendon LewisMemphis· 77% sim
Rush TDs
Rush yards
Fumbles lost
Completion %
Interceptions
Pass yards
Pass TDs
Yards / att
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Scrambler
Makes plays with feet when the pocket collapses. Efficiency still on the rise.
QB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Chase Garbers’s 2021 season.
Chase Garbers
70%match
#2
Anthony Brown
68%
#3
Jalen Mayden
67%
#4
Kyron Drones
67%
#5
Brendan Sorsby
67%
Matches Chase on
Yards / attempt
EPA / dropback (adj)
Differs from Chase on
Class year (higher)
Weight (higher)
Rush usage (higher)
Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Ashton Daniels’s path through Auburn.
Ashton Daniels
93%match
All-ACC
#2
Cam Fancher
91%
#3
Tony Muskett
88%
#4
Tristan Gebbia
87%
#5
Derek Robertson
85%
Matches Ashton on
Height
Yards per attempt
Completion %
As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Jalen Mayden's junior season at San Diego State (2023).
Jalen Mayden
71%match
#2
Aidan Chiles
All-Big Ten
60%
#3
Brendan Sorsby
All-Big 12
60%
#4
Tai Lavatai
59%
#5
Billy Edwards
58%
Matches Jalen on
Yards / attempt
TD rate
Rush usage
Differs from Jalen on
Weight (higher)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Kirk Ferentz
Pass share
36.6%
286 pass / 495 run
Plays / game
60.1
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
7.9%
228 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-heavy, slow tempo.
Coaching Lineage · 2025
1 coach2025
Kirk Ferentz
Iowa
Played his entire career under Kirk Ferentz.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownNaperville, IL
Height6'2"
Weight235 lb
Class4
PositionQB
Jersey11
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamIowa
ConferenceBig Ten
Joined2025
Career arc1 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This player hasn’t appeared on a Heisman ballot tracked by the model. | |||||||||
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Iowa | Big Ten | QB | 4 | No. 11 | 6-2 | 235 lb | Naperville, IL |