CFB Zeitgeist Score
48
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by interceptions at the 99th percentile.
Roman Gagliano
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
1,011 PASS YDS · 7 PASS TD · 160 RUSH YDS
2026 Outlook
Returning to Middle Tennessee for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Quarterback · Middle Tennessee
Returning around him
- 99% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
- 1 Middle Tennessee player drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: +1 net (19 in / 18 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Middle Tennessee · Last season: 3-9 · Talent rank #110 · 2026 recruiting class #98
QB · MIDDLE TENNESSEE · CONFERENCE USA
Roman Gagliano
- 1
- #16
- 6-2 | 220 lb
- Opelika, AL
Heisman Heat
#2992
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP QB AWARD
Davey O'Brien
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR06 · Starter
Starter. A locked-in starting role.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
—
CFB
College
Middle Tennessee
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No recruiting profile is on file for this player. | ||
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Roman Gagliano
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Roman Gagliano
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the passing totals stand
Through 5g
1,011Pass yards
7Pass TDs
0INT
Per game
202.2Pass yards
1Pass TDs
0INT
Projected (13g)
2,629Pass yards
18Pass TDs
0INT
To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 1,011): needs 248.6/game over remaining 8.
To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 1,011): needs 373.6/game over remaining 8.
To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 7): needs 2.2/game over remaining 8.
To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 7): needs 2.9/game over remaining 8.
To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 7): needs 3.5/game over remaining 8.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Roman Gagliano's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Middle Tennessee, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
QB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Dual-threat against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Passing Efficiency
CMP
78 62nd
ATT
135 64th
CMP%
57.8% 35th
Y/A
7.5 68th
Passing Production
YDS
1,011 63rd
TD
7 67th
INT
0 100th
Rushing
CAR
38 62nd
YDS
160 76th
YPC
4.2 68th
TD
2 73rd
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 5 games
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 14-34vs Austin Peay | 1/1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5.0 | 0.5 | |
| Wk 11 | L 30-56vs Florida International | 7/16 | 89 | 1 | 0 | 5.6 | 0.9 | |
| Wk 12 | L 26-42@ Western Kentucky | 25/42 | 389 | 2 | 0 | 9.3 | 62.2 | Season-high 389 yds |
| Wk 13 | W 31-17vs Sam Houston | 21/34 | 268 | 1 | 0 | 7.9 | 54.4 | |
| Wk 14 | W 31-24@ New Mexico State | 24/42 | 260 | 3 | 0 | 6.2 | 61.8 | 3 TD passes |
| Total | 78/135 | 1011 | 7 | 0 | 6.8 | 36.0 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2025Middle Tennessee3-9HC: Derek Mason · Pass-leaning
| Season | Team | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Middle Tennessee | 78 | 135 | 57.8% | 1,011 | 7.5 | 7 | 0 | 137.8 | -- | -- |
| Career | 1 loaded season | 78 | 135 | 57.8% | 1,011 | 7.5 | 7 | 0 | 137.8 | -- | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Middle Tennessee | 38 | 160 | 4.2 | 2 | -- |
| Career | 1 loaded season | 38 | 160 | 4.2 | 2 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.
How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Passing yards | 1,011 | #144/382 | 63rd pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Pass TD | 7 | #135/407 | 67th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completions | 78 | #146/383 | 62nd pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completion % | 57.8% | #251/383 | 35th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Yards / attempt | 7.5 | #125/382 | 68th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 160 | #97/408 | 76th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Value | Passing WEPA | +0.21 | #139/200 | 31st pct | Opponent-adjusted passing value | 140 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Role share | 47.7% | #97/428 | 78th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Attempts | 135 | #147/407 | 64th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Interceptions | 0 | #1/407 | 100th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 64 | #14/391 | 97th pct | Metricvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Carries | 38 | #157/408 | 62nd pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 4.2 | #132/407 | 68th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 2 | #113/408 | 73rd pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Pass share | 62.9% | #162/428 | 62nd pct | Air-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 58.7% | #112/428 | 74th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 57.1% | #118/428 | 73rd pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 53.4% | #56/428 | 87th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 43.0% | #90/428 | 79th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 37.6% | #122/428 | 72nd pct | Early-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Rush share | 22.2% | #50/428 | 89th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 0 | #1/258 | 100th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 5 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home3g | 121 | 0.7 | 6.2 | 0.0 |
| Road2g | 324 | 2.5 | 7.8 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins2g | 264 | 2.0 | 7.1 | 0.0 |
| Losses3g | 161 | 1.0 | 6.6 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-71g | 5.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 |
| Weeks 8+4g | 252 | 1.8 | 7.2 | 0.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort
48Mid-pack
Elite: interceptions (99th). Strength: fumbles lost (91st). Concern: completion % (21st).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · QB · 2024
Percentile Card
Concerns: EPA / dropback.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_passing0.21Below (<p25) (n=94)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Roman GaglianoMiddle TennesseeAvery JohnsonKansas State· 67% simNick VattiatoMiddle Tennessee· 64% simCade KlubnikClemson· 64% sim
Interceptions
Fumbles lost
Yards / att
Rush yards
Rush TDs
Pass TDs
Pass yards
Completion %
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Scrambler
Makes plays with feet when the pocket collapses. Efficiency still on the rise.
QB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Conner Weigman’s 2022 season.
Conner Weigman
74%match
#2
Braylon Braxton
66%
#3
Treyson Bourguet
64%
#4
CJ Ogbonna
59%
#5
Sam Leavitt
All-Big 12
61%
Matches Conner on
TD rate
Total pass EPA (college ability)
Yards / attempt
Differs from Conner on
Weight (higher)
Through 1 college season, his career arc tracks closest to Jason Brown’s path through Jackson State.
Jason Brown
89%match
#2
Braxton Burmeister
87%
#3
AJ Padgett
86%
#4
Robby Ashford
86%
#5
AJ Swann
85%
Matches Jason on
Height
Yards per attempt
Completion %
As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Treyson Bourguet's sophomore season at Western Michigan (2023).
Treyson Bourguet
59%match
#2
CJ Harris
57%
#3
Braylon Braxton
All-Sun Belt
56%
#4
Ethan Vasko
54%
#5
Jordon Brookshire
53%
Differs from Treyson on
Class year (lower)
Weight (higher)
Rush yards / carry (higher)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Derek Mason
Pass share
61.3%
495 pass / 313 run
Plays / game
67.3
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
8.6%
373 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Pass-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2025
1 coach2025
Derek Mason
Middle Tennessee
Played his entire career under Derek Mason.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownOpelika, AL
Height6'2"
Weight220 lb
Class1
PositionQB
Jersey16
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamMiddle Tennessee
ConferenceConference USA
Joined2025
Career arc2 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Middle Tennessee | QB1 | #2992 | #3454 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Conference USA |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | QB | 1 | No. 16 | 6-2 | 220 lb | Opelika, AL |
| 2024 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | QB | 1 | No. 16 | 6-2 | 220 lb | Opelika, AL |