CFB Zeitgeist Score
42
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by pass tds at the 64th percentile.
Nick Vattiato
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
2,157 PASS YDS · 16 PASS TD · 20 RUSH YDS
2026 Outlook
Returning to Middle Tennessee for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Returning starter
Quarterback · Middle Tennessee
Returning around him
- 99% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
- 1 Middle Tennessee player drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: +1 net (19 in / 18 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Middle Tennessee · Last season: 3-9 · Talent rank #110 · 2026 recruiting class #98
QB · MIDDLE TENNESSEE · CONFERENCE USA
Nick Vattiato
- 4
- #11
- 6-0 | 212 lb
- Plantation, FL
Heisman Heat
#2210
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP QB AWARD
Davey O'Brien
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · passing yards
2021–2025+106%
Up 106% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
Middle Tennessee
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 3-star | 0.8407 | No. 1459 recruit | HighSchool | Middle Tennessee |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
- Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in passing yards (2157).
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Middle Tennessee
Composite
0.8407
#1459 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Nick Vattiato
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Nick Vattiato
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the passing totals stand
Through 9g
2,157Pass yards
16Pass TDs
7INT
Per game
239.7Pass yards
2Pass TDs
1INT
Projected (13g)
3,116Pass yards
23Pass TDs
10INT
To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 2,157): needs 210.8/game over remaining 4.
To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 2,157): needs 460.8/game over remaining 4.
To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 16): needs 2.2/game over remaining 4.
To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 16): needs 3.5/game over remaining 4.
To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 16): needs 4.8/game over remaining 4.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Nick Vattiato's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Middle Tennessee, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
QB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
High-volume passer | Pocket-leaning against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Passing Efficiency
CMP
219 87th
ATT
357 88th
CMP%
61.3% 50th
Y/A
6.0 31st
Passing Production
YDS
2,157 79th
TD
16 85th
INT
7 23rd
Rushing
CAR
62 76th
YDS
20 39th
YPC
0.3 20th
TD
2 73rd
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 9 games
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 14-34vs Austin Peay | 15/36 | 104 | 2 | 0 | 2.9 | 3.6 | |
| Wk 2 | L 10-42@ Wisconsin | 20/31 | 197 | 1 | 1 | 6.4 | 69.9 | |
| Wk 3 | W 14-13@ Nevada | 27/44 | 247 | 1 | 1 | 5.6 | 40.4 | |
| Wk 4 | L 28-42vs Marshall | 19/32 | 299 | 2 | 1 | 9.3 | 35.7 | Season-high 299 yds |
| Wk 5 | L 16-24@ Kennesaw State | 28/42 | 285 | 0 | 1 | 6.8 | 17.8 | |
| Wk 7 | L 20-22vs Missouri State | 30/42 | 267 | 2 | 0 | 6.4 | 35.1 | Clean 2-TD game |
| Wk 9 | L 28-31@ Delaware | 31/48 | 281 | 3 | 1 | 5.9 | 41.4 | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 10 | L 21-24vs Jacksonville State | 23/45 | 235 | 2 | 1 | 5.2 | 31.2 | |
| Wk 11 | L 30-56vs Florida International | 26/37 | 242 | 3 | 1 | 6.5 | 50.6 | 3 TD passes |
| Total | 219/357 | 2157 | 16 | 7 | 6.1 | 36.2 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2021Middle Tennessee6-6HC: Rick Stockstill · Balanced, fast tempo
2022Middle Tennessee8-5HC: Rick Stockstill · Balanced
2023Middle Tennessee4-8HC: Rick Stockstill · Balanced
2025Middle Tennessee3-9HC: Derek Mason · Pass-leaning
| Season | Team | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Middle Tennessee | 219 | 357 | 61.3% | 2,157 | 6.0 | 16 | 7 | 123.0 | -- | -- |
| 2023 | Middle Tennessee | 286 | 428 | 66.8% | 3,087 | 7.2 | 23 | 13 | 139.1 | -- | -- |
| 2022 | Middle Tennessee | 30 | 46 | 65.2% | 293 | 6.4 | 0 | 1 | 114.4 | -- | -- |
| 2021 | Middle Tennessee | 115 | 171 | 67.3% | 1,047 | 6.1 | 7 | 6 | 125.2 | -- | -- |
| Career | 4 loaded seasons | 650 | 1,002 | 64.9% | 6,584 | 6.6 | 46 | 27 | 129.8 | -- | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Middle Tennessee | 62 | 20 | 0.3 | 2 | -- |
| 2023 | Middle Tennessee | 139 | 402 | 2.9 | 2 | -- |
| 2022 | Middle Tennessee | 24 | 13 | 0.5 | 0 | -- |
| 2021 | Middle Tennessee | 25 | 27 | 1.1 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 4 loaded seasons | 250 | 462 | 1.8 | 4 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.
How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Passing yards | 2,157 | #80/382 | 79th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Pass TD | 16 | #63/407 | 85th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completions | 219 | #52/383 | 87th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completion % | 61.3% | #194/383 | 50th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Yards / attempt | 6.0 | #265/382 | 31st pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 20 | #248/408 | 39th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Value | Passing WEPA | +0.20 | #146/200 | 28th pct | Opponent-adjusted passing value | 321 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Role share | 55.9% | #34/428 | 92nd pct | Share of team offensevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Attempts | 357 | #50/407 | 88th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Interceptions | 7 | #316/407 | 23rd pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Carries | 62 | #98/408 | 76th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 12 | #261/391 | 34th pct | Metricvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 2 | #113/408 | 73rd pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 0.3 | #326/407 | 20th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Pass share | 76.3% | #128/428 | 70th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 66.0% | #70/428 | 84th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 65.2% | #66/428 | 85th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 57.4% | #31/428 | 93rd pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 51.0% | #26/428 | 94th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 50.9% | #27/428 | 94th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Rush share | 18.8% | #72/428 | 83rd pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.08 | #131/140 | 7th pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 46 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 1 | #69/258 | 74th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 9 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home5g | 229 | 2.2 | 6.1 | 0.6 |
| Road4g | 252 | 1.2 | 6.2 | 1.0 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins1g | 247 | 1.0 | 5.6 | 1.0 |
| Losses8g | 239 | 1.9 | 6.2 | 0.8 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 233 | 1.3 | 6.2 | 0.7 |
| Weeks 8+3g | 253 | 2.7 | 5.9 | 1.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort
42Mid-pack
Concern: yards / att (12th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · QB · 2024
Percentile Card
Concerns: EPA / dropback.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_passing0.2Below (<p25) (n=94)
wepa_rushing0.08Below (<p25) (n=72)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Nick VattiatoMiddle TennesseeDrake LindseyMinnesota· 84% simPreston StoneNorthwestern· 81% simD.J. LagwayFlorida· 80% sim
Fumbles lost
Pass TDs
Pass yards
Interceptions
Completion %
Rush TDs
Rush yards
Yards / att
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Pocket Passer
Balanced passer who operates within the system. Profile sits near league average across dimensions.
QB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to E.J. Warner’s 2024 season.
E.J. Warner
74%match
#2
Devin Leary
All-ACCNFL Rd 6
73%
#3
Layne Hatcher
71%
#4
Drew Plitt
66%
#5
Ta'Quan Roberson
66%
Matches E.J. on
Class year
Differs from E.J. on
Weight (higher)
INT rate (lower)
Rush usage (higher)
Through 5 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Parker McKinney’s path through Eastern Kentucky.
Parker McKinney
92%match
#2
Trenton Bourguet
89%
#3
Chase Cunningham
84%
#4
Luke Anthony
82%
#5
Kadin Semonza
81%
Matches Parker on
Yards per attempt
Completion %
As a graduate, his production profile tracks closest to Preston Stone's graduate season at Northwestern (2025).
Preston Stone
59%match
All-Big Ten
#2
Cade McNamara
All-Big Ten
58%
#3
Ta'Quan Roberson
50%
#4
Stone Earle
47%
#5
Miller Moss
All-Big Ten
46%
Matches Preston on
Total pass EPA (college ability)
Height
Differs from Preston on
Recruiting rating (lower)
INT rate (lower)
Yards / attempt (lower)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Derek Mason
Pass share
61.3%
495 pass / 313 run
Plays / game
67.3
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
8.6%
373 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Pass-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025
2 coaches2021
Rick Stockstill
Middle Tennessee
2022
Rick Stockstill
Middle Tennessee
2023
Rick Stockstill
Middle Tennessee
2025era →
Derek Mason
Middle Tennessee
Coaching transition mid-career: Rick Stockstill → Derek Mason. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownPlantation, FL
Height6'0"
Weight212 lb
Class4
PositionQB
Jersey11
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamMiddle Tennessee
ConferenceConference USA
Joined2025
Career arc5 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Middle Tennessee | QB4 | #2210 | #2795 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Conference USA |
| 2023 | Middle Tennessee | QB4 | #220 | #384 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Conference USA |
| 2022 | Middle Tennessee | QB4 | #1548 | #1704 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Conference USA |
| 2021 | Middle Tennessee | QB4 | #702 | #901 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Conference USA |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | QB | 4 | No. 11 | 6-0 | 212 lb | Plantation, FL |
| 2024 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | QB | 4 | No. 11 | 6-0 | 212 lb | Plantation, FL |
| 2023 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | QB | 4 | No. 11 | 6-0 | 212 lb | Plantation, FL |
| 2022 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | QB | 4 | No. 11 | 6-0 | 212 lb | Plantation, FL |
| 2021 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | QB | 4 | No. 11 | 6-0 | 212 lb | Plantation, FL |