CFB Zeitgeist Score
39
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by yards / att at the 60th percentile.
Ethan Vasko
Filling the Shoesas of 2026-06-22
Ethan Vasko arrives at Liberty with a new fit to prove and an old chapter behind him.
1,961PASS YDS10PASS TD258RUSH YDS
PRODUCES ABOVE PERCEPTION · PCTL GAP
+34
perception vs production percentile · 2025
Read the story so far
AI narrative · updated 2026-06-22 · compiled from CFB Zeitgeist data
2026 Outlook
Returning to Liberty for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Quarterback · Liberty
Returning around him
- 100% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
- Transfer portal: +7 net (26 in / 19 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Liberty · Last season: 4-8 · Talent rank #84 · 2026 recruiting class #86
QB · LIBERTY · CONFERENCE USA
Ethan Vasko
- 3
- #15
- 6-3 | 220 lb
- Chesapeake, VA
Heisman Heat
#1305
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP QB AWARD
Davey O'Brien
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · passing yards
2022–2025+14985%
Up 14985% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
3 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 3-star | 0.8370 | No. 1561 recruit | HighSchool | Kansas |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Coastal Carolina -> Liberty | 3-star | 0.8400 | Immediate |
| 2023 | Kansas -> Coastal Carolina | 3-star | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
- Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in passing yards (1961).
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Kansas
Composite
0.8370
#1561 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Ethan Vasko
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Ethan Vasko
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the passing totals stand
Through 10g
1,961Pass yards
10Pass TDs
12INT
Per game
196.1Pass yards
1Pass TDs
1INT
Projected (13g)
2,549Pass yards
13Pass TDs
16INT
To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 1,961): needs 346.3/game over remaining 3.
To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 1,961): needs 679.7/game over remaining 3.
To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 10): needs 5/game over remaining 3.
To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 10): needs 6.7/game over remaining 3.
To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 10): needs 8.3/game over remaining 3.
Why this is a two-channel quarterback case
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
The unusual part of Ethan Vasko's case is that the production comes in two channels, not one. For Liberty, he has 1,961 passing yards and 10 touchdown passes, but he also adds 258 rushing yards and 5 rushing scores. That kind of dual-threat load tends to create a more resilient Heisman case because the offense can tilt the game in multiple ways.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
QB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Steady volume | Dual-threat against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Passing Efficiency
CMP
151 73rd
ATT
266 77th
CMP%
56.8% 31st
Y/A
7.4 64th
Passing Production
YDS
1,961 76th
TD
10 74th
INT
12 3rd
Rushing
CAR
100 88th
YDS
258 83rd
YPC
2.6 46th
TD
5 86th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 10 games
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 28-7vs Maine | 19/33 | 197 | 3 | 0 | 6.0 | 39.7 | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 2 | L 24-34@ Jacksonville State | 19/29 | 335 | 2 | 1 | 11.6 | 47.2 | Season-high 335 yds |
| Wk 3 | L 13-23@ Bowling Green | 13/24 | 194 | 1 | 2 | 8.1 | 37.0 | |
| Wk 4 | L 13-31vs James Madison | 4/10 | 37 | 0 | 0 | 3.7 | 48.6 | |
| Wk 7 | W 19-8@ UTEP | 19/33 | 243 | 0 | 0 | 7.4 | 69.2 | |
| Wk 8 | W 30-27vs New Mexico State | 20/30 | 179 | 0 | 2 | 6.0 | 15.6 | |
| Wk 10 | W 59-30vs Delaware | 14/20 | 221 | 2 | 0 | 11.1 | 93.2 | |
| Wk 11 | L 17-21vs Missouri State | 18/35 | 196 | 0 | 1 | 5.6 | 33.4 | |
| Wk 12 | L 27-34@ Florida International | 17/31 | 218 | 1 | 2 | 7.0 | 39.9 | |
| Wk 13 | L 28-34@ Louisiana Tech | 8/21 | 141 | 1 | 4 | 6.7 | 37.5 | 4 INTs — rough day |
| Total | 151/266 | 1961 | 10 | 12 | 7.3 | 46.1 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2022Kansas6-7HC: Lance Leipold · Run-leaning, slow tempo
2023Coastal Carolina8-5HC: Tim Beck · Balanced
2025Liberty4-8HC: Jamey Chadwell · Run-heavy
| Season | Team | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Liberty | 151 | 266 | 56.8% | 1,961 | 7.4 | 10 | 12 | 122.1 | -- | -- |
| 2023 | Coastal Carolina | 76 | 122 | 62.3% | 779 | 6.4 | 7 | 1 | 133.2 | -- | -- |
| 2022 | Kansas | 3 | 5 | 60.0% | 13 | 2.6 | 0 | 0 | 81.8 | -- | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 230 | 393 | 58.5% | 2,753 | 7.0 | 17 | 13 | 125.0 | -- | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Liberty | 100 | 258 | 2.6 | 5 | -- |
| 2023 | Coastal Carolina | 63 | 368 | 5.8 | 2 | -- |
| 2022 | Kansas | 2 | 6 | 3.0 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 165 | 632 | 3.8 | 7 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.
How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Passing yards | 1,961 | #93/382 | 76th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Pass TD | 10 | #105/407 | 74th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completions | 151 | #103/383 | 73rd pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completion % | 56.8% | #264/383 | 31st pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Yards / attempt | 7.4 | #140/382 | 64th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 258 | #72/408 | 83rd pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Value | Passing WEPA | +0.28 | #92/200 | 55th pct | Opponent-adjusted passing value | 181 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Role share | 49.1% | #90/428 | 79th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Attempts | 266 | #96/407 | 77th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Interceptions | 12 | #395/407 | 3rd pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Carries | 100 | #51/408 | 88th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 24 | #145/391 | 63rd pct | Metricvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 5 | #59/408 | 86th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 2.6 | #219/407 | 46th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Pass share | 91.2% | #50/428 | 89th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 66.9% | #63/428 | 86th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 61.8% | #90/428 | 79th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 51.0% | #69/428 | 84th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 41.9% | #99/428 | 77th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 39.7% | #108/428 | 75th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Rush share | 19.7% | #67/428 | 85th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.25 | #70/140 | 51st pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 55 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 3 | #213/258 | 18th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 10 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home5g | 166 | 1.0 | 6.5 | 0.6 |
| Road5g | 226 | 1.0 | 8.2 | 1.8 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins4g | 210 | 1.2 | 7.6 | 0.5 |
| Losses6g | 187 | 0.8 | 7.1 | 1.7 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-75g | 201 | 1.2 | 7.4 | 0.6 |
| Weeks 8+5g | 191 | 0.8 | 7.3 | 1.8 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort
39Mid-pack
Concern: interceptions (4th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Pass Profile · Completion depth (PBP)
Where the throws are landing
Short
0–9 yds38%of completions
26 comp6.3 yds avg1 TD
Middle
10–19 yds44%of completions
30 comp14.0 yds avg1 TD
Deep
20+ yds18%of completions
12 comp33.4 yds avg4 TD
Overall 56.2% completion on 121 attempts · 12 deep completions averaging 33.4 yds.
Advanced Savant · QB · 2024
Percentile Card
Reads as a mid-tier profile across the board..
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_passing0.28Low (p25–p50) (n=94)
wepa_rushing0.25Low (p25–p50) (n=72)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Ethan VaskoLibertyRyan BrownePurdue· 85% simTa'Quan RobersonBuffalo· 84% simNoah KimEastern Michigan· 82% sim
Rush TDs
Rush yards
Yards / att
Pass yards
Pass TDs
Fumbles lost
Completion %
Interceptions
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Pocket Passer
Balanced passer who operates within the system. Profile sits near league average across dimensions.
QB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Brock Vandagriff’s 2024 season.
Brock Vandagriff
67%match
#2
Gavin Hardison
67%
#3
Dylan Hopkins
67%
#4
Athan Kaliakmanis
NFL Rd 7
64%
#5
Jase Bauer
63%
Matches Brock on
Total pass EPA (college ability)
Rush yards / carry
Differs from Brock on
Recruiting rating (lower)
Class year (higher)
INT rate (higher)
Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Rocky Lombardi’s path through Northern Illinois.
Rocky Lombardi
93%match
#2
Jason Brown
86%
#3
Zach Smith
86%
#4
Nick Starkel
All-Mountain West
84%
#5
Roman Gagliano
83%
Matches Rocky on
Height
Yards per attempt
Completion %
As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Brock Vandagriff's senior season at Kentucky (2024).
Brock Vandagriff
66%match
#2
Gavin Hardison
56%
#3
Robby Ashford
48%
#4
AJ Swann
47%
#5
Payton Thorne
47%
Matches Brock on
Completion %
TD rate
Rush yards / carry
Differs from Brock on
Recruiting rating (lower)
INT rate (higher)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Jamey Chadwell
Pass share
38.7%
314 pass / 498 run
Plays / game
67.7
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
8.4%
249 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-heavy.
Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025
2 coaches2022
Hugh Freeze
Liberty
2023era →
Jamey Chadwell
Liberty
2025
Jamey Chadwell
Liberty
Coaching transition mid-career: Hugh Freeze → Jamey Chadwell. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownChesapeake, VA
Height6'3"
Weight220 lb
Class3
PositionQB
Jersey15
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamLiberty
ConferenceConference USA
Joined2025
Career arc4 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Coastal Carolina | QB3 | #1305 | #1329 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Sun Belt |
| 2023 | Coastal Carolina | QB3 | #400 | #485 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Sun Belt |
| 2022 | Kansas | QB3 | #1084 | #1023 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Big 12 |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Liberty | Conference USA | QB | 3 | No. 15 | 6-3 | 220 lb | Chesapeake, VA |
| 2024 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | QB | 3 | No. 15 | 6-3 | 220 lb | Chesapeake, VA |
| 2023 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | QB | 3 | No. 15 | 6-3 | 220 lb | Chesapeake, VA |
| 2022 | Kansas | Big 12 | QB | 3 | No. 15 | 6-3 | 220 lb | Chesapeake, VA |