CFB Zeitgeist Score
57
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by yards / att at the 81st percentile.
Blake Baker
sonnet prose (cached)
1,252 PASS YDS · 5 PASS TD · 260 RUSH YDS
2026 Outlook
Returning to Louisiana Tech for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Quarterback · Louisiana Tech
Returning around him
- 54% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
- Transfer portal: -13 net (11 in / 24 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Louisiana Tech · Last season: 8-5 · Talent rank #116 · 2026 recruiting class #111
QB · LOUISIANA TECH · CONFERENCE USA
Blake Baker
- 2
- #5
- 6-5 | 224 lb
- Cypress, TX
Heisman Heat
#2195
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP QB AWARD
Davey O'Brien
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
Louisiana Tech
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 3-star | 0.8417 | No. 1638 recruit | HighSchool | Louisiana Tech |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
- Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in passing yards (1252).
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Louisiana Tech
Composite
0.8417
#1638 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Blake Baker
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
59
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=22
- National · n=8
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Blake Baker
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the passing totals stand
Through 8g
1,252Pass yards
5Pass TDs
3INT
Per game
156.5Pass yards
1Pass TDs
0INT
Projected (13g)
2,034Pass yards
8Pass TDs
5INT
To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 1,252): needs 349.6/game over remaining 5.
To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 1,252): needs 549.6/game over remaining 5.
To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 5): needs 4/game over remaining 5.
To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 5): needs 5/game over remaining 5.
To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 5): needs 6/game over remaining 5.
Why this is a two-channel quarterback case
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
The unusual part of Blake Baker's case is that the production comes in two channels, not one. For Louisiana Tech, he has 1,252 passing yards and 5 touchdown passes, but he also adds 260 rushing yards and 3 rushing scores. That kind of dual-threat load tends to create a more resilient Heisman case because the offense can tilt the game in multiple ways.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
QB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Steady volume | Efficient | Dual-threat against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Passing Efficiency
CMP
102 65th
ATT
155 66th
CMP%
65.8% 69th
Y/A
8.1 78th
Passing Production
YDS
1,252 65th
TD
5 64th
INT
3 43rd
Rushing
CAR
73 79th
YDS
260 83rd
YPC
3.6 61st
TD
3 77th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 8 games
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 2 | L 7-23@ LSU | 3/8 | 46 | 1 | 0 | 5.8 | 85.7 | |
| Wk 3 | W 49-14vs New Mexico State | 8/16 | 182 | 1 | 0 | 11.4 | 78.9 | |
| Wk 4 | W 30-20vs Southern Miss | 15/21 | 239 | 0 | 0 | 11.4 | 67.8 | |
| Wk 5 | W 30-11@ UTEP | 18/26 | 137 | 1 | 1 | 5.3 | 26.2 | |
| Wk 7 | L 7-35@ Kennesaw State | 6/11 | 46 | 0 | 0 | 4.2 | 69.8 | |
| Wk 9 | L 27-28vs Western Kentucky | 31/45 | 340 | 1 | 1 | 7.6 | 50.6 | Season-high 340 yds |
| Wk 10 | W 55-14vs Sam Houston | 17/21 | 221 | 1 | 1 | 10.5 | 81.0 | |
| Wk 11 | L 24-25@ Delaware | 4/7 | 41 | 0 | 0 | 5.9 | 35.2 | |
| Total | 102/155 | 1252 | 5 | 3 | 7.8 | 61.9 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2025Louisiana Tech8-5HC: Sonny Cumbie · Run-heavy
| Season | Team | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Louisiana Tech | 102 | 155 | 65.8% | 1,252 | 8.1 | 5 | 3 | 140.4 | -- | -- |
| Career | 1 loaded season | 102 | 155 | 65.8% | 1,252 | 8.1 | 5 | 3 | 140.4 | -- | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Louisiana Tech | 73 | 260 | 3.6 | 3 | -- |
| Career | 1 loaded season | 73 | 260 | 3.6 | 3 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.
How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Passing yards | 1,252 | #133/382 | 65th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Pass TD | 5 | #149/407 | 64th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completions | 102 | #136/383 | 65th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completion % | 65.8% | #119/383 | 69th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Yards / attempt | 8.1 | #86/382 | 78th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 260 | #71/408 | 83rd pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Value | Passing WEPA | +0.35 | #42/200 | 80th pct | Opponent-adjusted passing value | 166 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Role share | 36.3% | #158/428 | 63rd pct | Share of team offensevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Attempts | 155 | #141/407 | 66th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Interceptions | 3 | #234/407 | 43rd pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Carries | 73 | #85/408 | 79th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 38 | #76/391 | 81st pct | Metricvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 3.6 | #161/407 | 61st pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 3 | #94/408 | 77th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Pass share | 63.0% | #161/428 | 63rd pct | Air-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 49.6% | #151/428 | 65th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 46.8% | #154/428 | 64th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 36.7% | #156/428 | 64th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 32.1% | #153/428 | 64th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 30.9% | #158/428 | 63rd pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Rush share | 18.8% | #72/428 | 83rd pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.20 | #93/140 | 34th pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 63 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 2 | #163/258 | 37th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 8 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home4g | 246 | 0.8 | 10.2 | 0.5 |
| Road4g | 67.5 | 0.5 | 5.3 | 0.2 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins4g | 195 | 0.8 | 9.7 | 0.5 |
| Losses4g | 118 | 0.5 | 5.9 | 0.2 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-75g | 130 | 0.6 | 7.6 | 0.2 |
| Weeks 8+3g | 201 | 0.7 | 8.0 | 0.7 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort
57Solid starter
Elite: interceptions (82nd). Strength: yards / att (80th). Concern: pass tds (18th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Pass Profile · Completion depth (PBP)
Where the throws are landing
Short
0–9 yds56%of completions
27 comp4.7 yds avg1 TD
Middle
10–19 yds27%of completions
13 comp13.6 yds avg
Deep
20+ yds17%of completions
8 comp39.1 yds avg1 TD
Overall 60.8% completion on 79 attempts · 8 deep completions averaging 39.1 yds.
Advanced Savant · QB · 2024
Percentile Card
Reads as a mid-tier profile across the board..
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_passing0.35Mid (p50–p75) (n=94)
wepa_rushing0.2Low (p25–p50) (n=72)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Blake BakerLouisiana TechCade KlubnikClemson· 70% simLuke AltmyerIllinois· 70% simBrendon LewisMemphis· 68% sim
Interceptions
Yards / att
Completion %
Rush yards
Rush TDs
Fumbles lost
Pass yards
Pass TDs
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Pocket Surgeon
High-percentage passer who protects the ball. Loses the matchup on improvisation.
QB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Doug Brumfield’s 2022 season.
Doug Brumfield
74%match
#2
Donovan Smith
70%
#3
Garrett Shrader
66%
#4
Kurtis Rourke
NFL Rd 7
64%
#5
Max Johnson
61%
Matches Doug on
Total pass EPA (college ability)
TD rate
Height
Differs from Doug on
Class year (higher)
Yards / attempt (higher)
Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Ian Book’s path through Notre Dame.
Ian Book
90%match
All-ACCNFL Rd 4
#2
Will Howard
All-Big TenNFL Rd 6
83%
#3
Joey Labas
79%
#4
Taylen Green
NFL Rd 6
77%
#5
Kenny Pickett
Unitas Golden Arm1st-team All-AmericanNFL Rd 1 · Pk 20
76%
Matches Ian on
Completion %
Yards per attempt
As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Kurtis Rourke's sophomore season at Ohio (2021).
Kurtis Rourke
61%match
All-Big TenNFL Rd 7
#2
Brendan Sullivan
55%
#3
Cutter Boley
54%
#4
Nico Iamaleava
All-Big Ten
52%
#5
Jayden Denegal
51%
Matches Kurtis on
Total pass EPA (college ability)
Differs from Kurtis on
Class year (lower)
Rush usage (higher)
Yards / attempt (higher)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Sonny Cumbie
Pass share
37.1%
311 pass / 527 run
Plays / game
64.5
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
9.4%
234 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-heavy.
Coaching Lineage · 2025
1 coach2025
Sonny Cumbie
Louisiana Tech
Played his entire career under Sonny Cumbie.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownCypress, TX
Height6'5"
Weight224 lb
Class2
PositionQB
Jersey5
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamLouisiana Tech
ConferenceConference USA
Joined2025
Career arc3 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Louisiana Tech | QB2 | #2195 | #2581 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Conference USA |
| 2023 | Louisiana Tech | QB2 | #3008 | #3423 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Conference USA |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | QB | 2 | No. 5 | 6-5 | 224 lb | Cypress, TX |
| 2024 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | QB | 2 | No. 5 | 6-5 | 224 lb | Cypress, TX |
| 2023 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | QB | 2 | No. 5 | 6-5 | 224 lb | Cypress, TX |