cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Tommy Ulatowski /Kennesaw State

Tommy Ulatowski

QB · Kennesaw State · Jr · #14

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

9 PASS YDS · 0 PASS TD · 1 RUSH YDS

2026 TRANSFERTransferred Kennesaw State → App State for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to App State

2025Kennesaw State
2026App State

QB · KENNESAW STATE · CONFERENCE USA

Tommy Ulatowski

  • 3
  • #14
  • 6-1 | 196 lb
  • Chicago, IL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

23

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by interceptions at the 99th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#2531

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP QB AWARD

Davey O'Brien

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R03 · Backup

Backup. On the two-deep, pushing for snaps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · passing yards

2022–2025
1022022
7372023
9.02025

-91%

Sharp dropoff (-91%) — career inflection point.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
2 teams
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionQB
Class3
Jersey14
Measurements6-1 | 196 lb
HometownChicago, IL
Primary teamKennesaw State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination App State 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 19, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 Kennesaw State -> App State 3-star | 0.8300 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#2531Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#3122Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Tommy Ulatowski

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Tommy Ulatowski

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the passing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 2g
9Pass yards
0Pass TDs
0INT
Per game
4.5Pass yards
0Pass TDs
0INT
Projected (13g)
58.5Pass yards
0Pass TDs
0INT

To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 9): needs 271.9/game over remaining 11.

To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 9): needs 362.8/game over remaining 11.

To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 0): needs 2.3/game over remaining 11.

To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 0): needs 2.7/game over remaining 11.

To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 0): needs 3.2/game over remaining 11.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Tommy Ulatowski's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Kennesaw State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #2531 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 5.8% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 1 portal move

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

QB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Pass yards 9 0 TD | 0 INT | #368/382 (4th pct)
Completion rate 60.0% 3/5 completions | #208/383 (46th pct)
Yards/attempt 1.8 Explosiveness through the air | #375/382 (2nd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Pocket-leaning against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.

Pocket-leaning

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Passing Efficiency

CMP
3 16th
ATT
5 20th
CMP%
60.0% 46th
Y/A
1.8 2nd

Passing Production

YDS
9 4th
TD
0 30th
INT
0 100th

Rushing

CAR
1 10th
YDS
1 19th
YPC
1.0 26th
TD
0 44th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 2 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCMP/ATTYDSTDINTYPAQBRNote
Wk 2L 9-56@ Indiana2/37002.343.5Season-high 7 yds
Wk 5W 24-16vs Middle Tennessee1/22001.03.5
Total3/59001.623.5
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Kent State5-7HC: Sean Lewis · Run-leaning
2023Kent State1-11HC: Kenni Burns · Run-leaning
2025Kennesaw State10-4HC: Jerry Mack · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Kennesaw State3560.0%91.80075.1----
2023Kent State6012149.6%7376.172116.5----
2022Kent State61154.5%1029.310162.4----
Career3 loaded seasons6913750.4%8486.282118.7----
SeasonTeam
2025Kennesaw State111.00--
2023Kent State47891.91--
2022Kent State4215.20--
Career3 loaded seasons521112.11--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Passing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.

Role share

How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Rush impact 1 0 rush TD | #330/408 (19th pct)
Usage 5.8% 11.6% pass share | 1.6% rush share | #329/428 (23rd pct)
Passing WEPA -- Adjusted value feed still loading
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Passing Passing yards 9 #368/382 4th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Pass TD 0 #285/407 30th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Passing Completions 3 #321/383 16th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Completion % 60.0% #208/383 46th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Passing Yards / attempt 1.8 #375/382 2nd pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing yards 1 #330/408 19th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Usage Role share 5.8% #329/428 23rd pct Share of team offensevs FBS QB
Passing Attempts 5 #326/407 20th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Interceptions 0 #1/407 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB
Rushing Carries 1 #369/408 10th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing LONG 1 #387/391 1st pct Metricvs FBS QB
Rushing Yards / carry 1.0 #302/407 26th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rush TD 0 #230/408 44th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Usage Pass share 11.6% #293/428 32nd pct Air-game usagevs FBS QB
Usage Standard-down usage 6.1% #311/428 28th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS QB
Usage 2nd-down usage 5.6% #323/428 25th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Passing-down usage 5.3% #351/428 18th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS QB
Usage 3rd-down usage 4.8% #373/428 13th pct Money-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage 1st-down usage 4.3% #331/428 23rd pct Early-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Rush share 1.6% #377/428 12th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS QB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 2 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Home1g2.00.01.00.0
Road1g7.00.02.30.0

Win vs Loss

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Wins1g2.00.01.00.0
Losses1g7.00.02.30.0

First half vs Second half

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Weeks 1-72g4.50.01.60.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

23Below cohort
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: interceptions (99th). Concern: yards / att (0th).

Interceptions#1 / 183 · 99th pct
0pass
Completion %#120 / 183 · 34th pct
60.0%pass
Rush yards#145 / 183 · 21st pct
1rush
Rush TDs#150 / 183 · 9th pct
0rush
Pass yards#184 / 183 · 0th pct
9pass
Pass TDs#184 / 183 · 0th pct
0pass
Yards / att#184 / 183 · 0th pct
1.8pass

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · QB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Tommy UlatowskiKennesaw StateNick VattiatoMiddle Tennessee· 60% simDrake LindseyMinnesota· 55% simLogan FifeNew Mexico State· 53% sim
Interceptions
99
Ulatowski
44
Vattiato
56
Lindsey
5
Fife
Completion %
34
Ulatowski
41
Vattiato
56
Lindsey
13
Fife
Rush yards
21
Ulatowski
27
Vattiato
1
Lindsey
20
Fife
Rush TDs
9
Ulatowski
39
Vattiato
59
Lindsey
26
Fife
Pass yards
0
Ulatowski
57
Vattiato
61
Lindsey
58
Fife
Pass TDs
0
Ulatowski
64
Vattiato
72
Lindsey
45
Fife
Yards / att
0
Ulatowski
13
Vattiato
16
Lindsey
19
Fife

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Jerry Mack

Pass share

44.2%

422 pass / 533 run

Plays / game

68.2

14 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.4%

282 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

1 coach
2022
Kennesaw State
2023
Kennesaw State
2025
Jerry Mack
Kennesaw State
era →

Played his entire career under Jerry Mack.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownChicago, IL
Height6'1"
Weight196 lb
Class3
PositionQB
Jersey14

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Kent State QB3 #2531 #3122 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Mid-American
2023 Kent State QB3 #1404 #2105 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Mid-American
2022 Kent State QB3 #1062 #1186 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Mid-American

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Kennesaw State Conference USA QB 3 No. 14 | 6-1 | 196 lb | Chicago, IL
2024 Kent State Mid-American QB 3 No. 14 | 6-1 | 196 lb | Chicago, IL
2023 Kent State Mid-American QB 3 No. 14 | 6-1 | 196 lb | Chicago, IL
2022 Kent State Mid-American QB 3 No. 14 | 6-1 | 196 lb | Chicago, IL