2Kennesaw State: the fanbase's identity shifting.
Jerry Mack's 1st season opens with a 10-4 record, but the program's uneven history and flat fan belief signal tension over whether this is a true turning point or a fleeting high.
2Jerry Mack's 1st season opens with a 10-4 record, but the program's uneven history and flat fan belief signal tension over whether this is a true turning point or a fleeting high.
Kennesaw State played its first football game in 2015, fired its only-ever head coach after a 1-8 start in 2024, and one year later won Conference USA outright -- the fastest worst-to-first turnaround most fans have ever seen.
A program that didn't play a single football game before 2015 just won a conference championship, and outsiders are still treating it as a fluke rather than the product of real program-building. Owls…
Approaching
28 days
until kickoff · vs West Georgia · Thu Sep 3 · 23:00 UTC
Kennesaw State fielded its first football team in 2015, fired its only-ever head coach Brian Bohannon after a 1-8 start in its first FBS season, hired Jerry Mack, and one year later went 9-3, won Conference USA, and beat Jacksonville State 19-15 in the title game -- before a 41-6 Myrtle Beach Bowl loss to Western Michigan brought the season back to earth.
The team enters the season with a recruiting rank of #120 and a net portal importer status, but faces challenges in key positions like QB and S.
Scrappy the Owl waits quietly on the perch.
the open questionwhere does it go from here?
Kennesaw State leaped 43 spots in SP+ — the 10-4 record and Jerry Mack's first season create a split screen between rising expectations and the challenge of sustaining momentum in the Big South.
Jerry Mack's 1st season opens with a 10-4 record, but the program's uneven history and flat fan belief signal tension over whether this is a true turning point or a fleeting high.
Chase Belcher: a closer signal screened this season.
Chase Belcher sees a real spike in usage once the game is out of reach.
Christian Moss is a real deep-ball threat -- a high share of his targets come on throws past the sticks.
Gabriel Benyard: a garbage time merchant signal screened this season.
Gerard Bullock is used almost exclusively underneath -- a low share of his targets are downfield shots.
Kennesaw State leaped 43 spots in SP+ — a 10-4 record is one fact; #132 talent ranking another under first-year coach Jerry Mack.
Jerry Mack's first season at Kennesaw State follows a 10-4 winning record, but the program's history of volatility raises questions about sustaining its early success.
Jerry Mack begins his first season at Kennesaw State with a 10-4 program, but only 46% of production returning means the rebuild starts again — the same challenge that defined.
Top 3 commits
Market outlook
Sportsbook consensus · best odds across multiple books · 2026-08-06
Kennesaw State · Next-Season Outcome Band
Final-season-aware projection: floor / base / ceiling include conference title and CFP games where the model supports them, so a ceiling can exceed a 12-game regular season.
Kennesaw State enters 2026 rated No. 89 in 2025 SP+ (-5.4), up 43 spots from 2024. One of the bigger model jumps in the country — the tape moved faster than the consensus noticed. The coverage is thin. Quiet preseasons end two ways.
The 'the projection is underselling us' read -- fans betting the season beats the preview number.
The 'the model has seen the tape' counter -- efficiency ratings reward what a program has actually done, not hope.
Nothing in our corpus yet — this door stays open for when there is.
This event was in 59 of 610 board posts (10%) over the last 60 days — engaged but not consumed. Fan text shown verbatim, attributed to the community not the individual poster.
Board health this week (92 posts): 11% positive · 82% neutral · 7% negative. Team-level weekly mood — not specific to this event. The boards ≠ the fanbase: a self-selected vocal slice.
Kennesaw State: the fanbase's identity shifting.
The optimistic read: momentum, and the 'this is real' takes.
The analytical counter: rankings, results, and 'the hype is ahead of the tape' takes.
Nothing in our corpus yet — this door stays open for when there is.
This event was in 59 of 610 board posts (10%) over the last 60 days — engaged but not consumed. Fan text shown verbatim, attributed to the community not the individual poster.
Board health this week (92 posts): 11% positive · 82% neutral · 7% negative. Team-level weekly mood — not specific to this event. The boards ≠ the fanbase: a self-selected vocal slice.
Recent Form · last 10 games
Three of five. Trending up, not yet hot.
Opens Sep 3
vs West Georgia · at home
✓ fact on line · ~ our read on style
Recruiting Footprint · 2026
GA leads the 2026 class with 8 commits. National footprint reaching 5 states.
Where they recruit · 2023-2026
62 signees across 12 states, 2023-2026. GA leads the pull.
Top community posts · last 12 months · r/cfb
9 games with TV coverage: 2 ESPN, 3 cable, 1 conference network, 3 streaming
Kickoff windows: 1 noon, 1 afternoon, 6 primetime
The bounces have gone their way on their own fumbles: 62% recovered, vs. ~51% expected.
8 of 13 own fumbles recovered themselves; 5 of 10 forced fumbles recovered, 2025 only.
Deflections without payoff: 14% of disrupted passes intercepted, vs. ~19% league-wide.
8 interceptions of 56 disrupted passes (48 deflected, 8 intercepted), 2025 only.
Roughly even on flags: 105 penalties committed vs. 103 drawn on opponents.
935 penalty yards committed vs. 934 drawn on opponents, 2025 season total.
What moved it — fall camp · last 14 days
Fanbase Signals
Position = mood · width = volume · color = the kind of feeling
Inside the fanbase — all 9 corners
One voice
Every cohort from the die-hards to the analytics crowd lands within 0.01 of each other — a rare consensus. The loudest voice in the room:
Ryder Burton looks to build on iconic upset as Uab’s QB1
underdogdynasty.com →How Kennesaw State fans actually talk real · top-upvoted
The crowd’s loudest take by upvotes — read for mood, not as a side. The cohort read is the measured part.
The room, end to end
Cohort sentiment is a source-weighted model read — never a quote pinned to a person.
What this fanbase keeps coming back to our read · topic model
Topics are model-labeled from Reddit — a rough signal of what this fanbase is circling right now.
~ our readKennesaw State fans are cautiously optimistic, with almost nothing concrete behind it yet.
✓ counted We read 92 posts from Kennesaw State fans this week.
“It’s been a bit weird but also kind of nice playing the past few Tuesdays. Being one of the few games on means we’re on a channel that people actually get. Definitely gotten a lot more eyes on us than we would normally have. Still have a few tough games left but I’m hopeful we…”— r/CFB
Five Lenses
What people are saying right now
Fanbase Health Index · Kennesaw State · high confidence
FBS rankings · 2025 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs
| Player | # | G | Cmp/Att | Pct | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT | Rate | QBR | Adj ANY/A | Sack% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vertical Passer · +0.26 EPA/play | 2 | 12 | 189 / 291 | 64.9 | 2594 #57 FBS | 8.9 | 19 #44 FBS | 8 | 155.9 | 56.7 | 8.2 | 5.2 | |
Yards by week → Vertical Passer· Money-downElite arm talent, pushing downfield. Completion rate is the variable. saves his best for the money downs All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started. 9 of 183 QBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / attempt9.0 89th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Rush usage29.2% 74th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Trait fingerprint Plays like View Amari Odom's full player page | |||||||||||||
| Pocket Passer · +0.11 EPA/play | 5 | 8 | 67 / 125 | 53.6 | 787 | 6.3 | 6 | 3 | 117.5 | 49.8 | 5.8 | 3.8 | |
Yards by week → Pocket PasserBalanced passer who operates within the system, without one standout number carrying the profile. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 97 of 183 QBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / attempt6.0 bottom 12th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Completion %53.3% bottom 6th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Trait fingerprint Plays like View Dexter Williams II's full player page | |||||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Car | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | 3rd Dn Use | Pass Dn Use | Stuff% | 10+% | Tgt Share | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Back · +0.10 EPA/play | — | 14 | 157 | 764 | 4.9 | 4 | 30 | 15.7 | 14.3 | 18.7 | 14.8 | 9.9% (34/342) | |
Yards by week → Balanced BackPlays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension. All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started. The most common profile in its group this season — 186 of 349 classified this way. Played in 14 of 21 games this season · senior View Coleman Bennett's full player page | |||||||||||||
| Balanced Back · +0.27 EPA/play | 4 | 12 | 107 | 566 | 5.3 | 2 | 46 | 9.7 | 11.4 | 16.8 | 17.8 | — | |
Yards by week → Balanced BackPlays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension. Starter — over 60% of the snaps, holding the job. 186 of 349 RBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / carry5.6 64th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Yards / reception14.9 99th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Trait fingerprint Plays like View Chase Belcher's full player page | |||||||||||||
| Balanced Back · +0.00 EPA/play | 3 | 10 | 72 | 281 | 3.9 | 2 | 25 | 11.8 | 12.4 | 15.3 | 6.9 | — | |
Yards by week → Balanced BackPlays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. The most common profile in its group this season — 186 of 349 classified this way. Played in 10 of 21 games this season · junior View Alexander Diggs's full player page | |||||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Rec | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | 3rd Dn Use | Pass Dn Use | Tgt Share | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slot Technician · +0.50 EPA/play | 1 | 14 | 60 | 949 #29 FBS | 15.8 | 9 #17 FBS | 54 | 8.1 | 10.1 | 22.2% (76/342) | |
Yards by week → Slot Technician· Return threatRuns precise routes in tight quarters. Volume player who keeps chains moving. a house-call threat every time he fields it All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started. 97 of 558 WRs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Reception volume60 92th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions TD rate15.0% 85th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like our readBreakout: his CFB Index score moved from the 6th to 96th percentile among FBS WRs | |||||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.92 EPA/play | 6 | 13 | 44 | 682 | 15.5 | 2 | 70 | 7.8 | 8.1 | 15.8% (54/342) | |
Yards by week → Possession Receiver· Money-downReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. lives on the sticks and moves the chains 332 of 558 WRs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / reception15.1 69th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions EPA / play (adj)0.9 96th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like our readAscending: his CFB Index score went from the 18th percentile among FBS WRs to the 80th | |||||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.31 EPA/play | 18 | 10 | 28 | 311 | 11.1 | 5 | 55 | 8.5 | 9.5 | 9.6% (33/342) | |
Yards by week → Possession Receiver· Boom-or-bustReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. his yards come in chunks — feast or famine 332 of 558 WRs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / reception10.1 bottom 29th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions TD rate17.9% 94th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Clayton Coppock's full player page | |||||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.33 EPA/play | 12 | 10 | 21 | 237 | 11.3 | 1 | 38 | 6.4 | 5.3 | 9.6% (33/342) | |
Yards by week → Possession Receiver· Money-downReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. lives on the sticks and moves the chains 332 of 558 WRs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / reception8.5 bottom 11th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Reception volume21 bottom 23th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Lyndon Ravare's full player page | |||||||||||
| +1.09 EPA/play | 15 | 6 | 9 | 236 | 26.2 | 1 | 82 | 5.9 | 1.4 | — | |
Yards by week → | |||||||||||
| Complete TE · +0.18 EPA/play | 17 | 12 | 23 | 157 | 6.8 | 1 | 19 | 7.1 | 5.8 | 8.5% (29/342) | |
Yards by week → Complete TENo single go-to route — the receiving numbers show up inline and split out alike. 177 of 223 TEs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / reception7.9 bottom 20th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions EPA / play (adj)0.2 bottom 18th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Gerard Bullock's full player page | |||||||||||
| +0.12 EPA/play | 9 | 9 | 9 | 106 | 11.8 | 0 | 40 | 4.8 | 4.7 | 4.4% (15/342) | |
Yards by week → | |||||||||||
| +0.22 EPA/play | 8 | 6 | 8 | 83 | 10.4 | 0 | 22 | 4.4 | 4.3 | — | |
Yards by week → | |||||||||||
| +0.68 EPA/play | 16 | 4 | 5 | 47 | 9.4 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 3.2 | — | |
Yards by week → | |||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | TFL | Sack | Hur |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Two-Gap Base | 97 | 13 | 42 | 16 | 5 | 0.5 | 2 |
Two-Gap BaseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. Starter — over 60% of the snaps, holding the job. 388 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate11.9% bottom 39th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like our readUnranked recruit — top-quartile production against his own recruiting profile our readAscending: his CFB Index score now sits at the 78th percentile among FBS IDLs, up from the 48th | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 5 | 13 | 40 | 25 | 10.5 | 5 | 1 |
3-Tech PenetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started. 269 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate26.2% 89th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like our readSustained Ascent: his CFB Index score shows two real climbs in a row — 13th to 38th to 89th percentile among FBS IDLs | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 14 | 13 | 35 | 14 | 5.5 | 4 | 1 |
3-Tech PenetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 269 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate15.7% 54th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Donovan Westmoreland's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 6 | 12 | 32 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 1 |
Two-Gap BaseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. The most common profile in its group this season — 388 of 809 classified this way. Played in 12 of 21 games this season · junior View Marcus Patterson's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 8 | 11 | 31 | 12 | 2 | 1.5 | 2 |
Two-Gap BaseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. The most common profile in its group this season — 388 of 809 classified this way. Played in 11 of 21 games this season · senior View Roderick Daniels's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 96 | 11 | 24 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Two-Gap BaseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. The most common profile in its group this season — 388 of 809 classified this way. Played in 11 of 21 games this season · sophomore · 3-star, 2024 class our readBreakout: his CFB Index score now sits at the 71st percentile among FBS IDLs, up from the 5th | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 56 | 14 | 22 | 11 | 11.5 #62 FBS | 9 #20 FBS | 6 |
3-Tech PenetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started. 269 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate52.3% 100th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Elijah Hill's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 55 | 12 | 21 | 9 | 2.5 | 1 | 1 |
Two-Gap BaseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. The most common profile in its group this season — 388 of 809 classified this way. Played in 12 of 21 games this season · junior our readUnranked recruit — top-quartile production against his own recruiting profile our readBreakout: his CFB Index score moved from the 5th to 73rd percentile among FBS IDLs | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 11 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Two-Gap BaseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. 388 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate10.0% bottom 31th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like our readFading: his CFB Index score went from the 68th percentile among FBS IDLs to the 10th | |||||||
| 95 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 53 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | Ast | TFL | Sack | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Linebacker | 44 | 14 | 139 | 67 | 72 | 10 | 0.5 | 6 | 1 |
Balanced LinebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. Impact starter — above-average production for the conference. 362 of 660 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume139 100th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Sack rate0.4% bottom 25th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Baron Hopson's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 46 | 13 | 81 | 37 | 44 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 1 |
Balanced LinebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. Starter — over 60% of the snaps, holding the job. 362 of 660 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume81 86th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles TFL rate5.6% bottom 30th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like our readTwo-star recruit — top-quartile production against his own recruiting profile | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 7 | 7 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Balanced LinebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. The most common profile in its group this season — 362 of 660 classified this way. Played in 7 of 21 games this season · senior our readFading: his CFB Index score climbed from the 73rd percentile to the 20th among FBS LBs | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 16 | 8 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Balanced LinebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. 362 of 660 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume18 bottom 12th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles PD rate0.0% bottom 18th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like our readFading: his CFB Index score now sits at the 13th percentile among FBS LBs, up from the 46th | |||||||||
| 18 | 4 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 0.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | PD | INT | TFL | Sack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hybrid Nickel | 9 | 12 | 57 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Hybrid NickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. Starter — over 60% of the snaps, holding the job. The most common profile in its group this season — 419 of 801 classified this way. Played in 12 of 21 games this season · sophomore · 3-star, 2023 class View Isaac Paul's full player page | |||||||
| Box Safety | 29 | 13 | 53 | 1 | 1 | 2.5 | 0 |
Box SafetyLives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 166 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume53 70th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Milon Jones's full player page | |||||||
| Rover | 2 | 12 | 47 | 12 #8 FBS | 1 | 7 | 0 |
RoverHits like a linebacker and still takes the ball away. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 83 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate25.5% 99th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Caleb Offord's full player page | |||||||
| Rover | 1 | 13 | 43 | 10 #20 FBS | 0 | 2 | 1 |
RoverHits like a linebacker and still takes the ball away. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 83 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate23.3% 98th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View JeRico Washington Jr.'s full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 15 | 11 | 38 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Hybrid NickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 419 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate5.3% bottom 36th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like our readAscending: his CFB Index score climbed from the 11th percentile to the 42nd among FBS Ss | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 3 | 10 | 32 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Hybrid NickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. 419 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate12.5% 73th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Antonio Stevens's full player page | |||||||
| Box Safety | 12 | 11 | 29 | 3 | 1 | 6.5 | 2 |
Box SafetyLives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker. 166 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume29 bottom 27th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Kody Jones's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 4 | 10 | 23 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Hybrid Nickel· Takeaway threatMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. the kind of DB who takes it back the other way The most common profile in its group this season — 419 of 801 classified this way. Played in 10 of 21 games this season · junior our readAscending: his CFB Index score now sits at the 20th percentile among FBS Ss, up from the 2nd | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 10 | 8 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Hybrid NickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. 419 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate0.0% bottom 14th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Ethan Tookes's full player page | |||||||
| 17 | 6 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 1.5 | 0 | |
| 21 | 7 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | FG M/A | FG% | XP M/A | Pts | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steady | 27 | 12 | 6/12 | 50 | 38/40 | 56 | 44 |
| 89 | 5 | 7/8 | 87.5 | 5/5 | 26 | 50 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | Long | In20 | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinner | 91 | 13 | 64 | 2611 | 40.8 | 61 | 27 | 2 |
Net average is unavailable — CFBD's punting feed carries gross yards only, with no return-yardage or touchback deduction.
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +0.12 EPA/play | 9 | 9 | 13 | 279 | 21.5 | 0 | 33 |
| Box Safety | 12 | 11 | 9 | 162 | 18 | 0 | 39 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slot Technician · +0.50 EPA/play | 1 | 14 | 25 | 234 | 9.4 | 1 | 57 |
2025 stat leaders
finalRoster
2025+24 more
| Wk | Date | Us | Opp | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 29 | #185 | #99 | +18.5 | @Wake Forest | L 9–10 151 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2 | Sep 6 | #151 | #33 | +35.5 | @Indiana | L 9–56 119 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 3 | Sep 13 | #144 | #231 | -17 | Merrimack | W 27–13 63 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 4 | Sep 20 | #153 | #138 | +4.5 | Arkansas State | W 28–21 149 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 5 | Sep 27 | #159 | #169 | -7.5 | Middle Tennessee | W 24–16 130 | 3-2 | 1-0 |
| 7 | Oct 9 | #158 | #104 | +4.5 | Louisiana Tech | W 35–7 138 | 4-2 | 1-0 |
| 9 | Oct 21 | #130 | #122 | -2.5 | @Florida International | W 45–26 131 | 5-2 | 2-0 |
| 10 | Oct 29 | #107 | #168 | -12.5 | UTEP | W 33–20 144 | 6-2 | 2-0 |
| 11 | Nov 8 | #109 | #205 | -11.5 | @New Mexico State | W 24–21 156 | 7-2 | 3-0 |
| 12 | Nov 16 | #114 | #92 | -3.5 | @Jacksonville State | L 26–35 146 | 7-3 | 3-1 |
| 13 | Nov 22 | #128 | #133 | -6.5 | Missouri State | W 41–34 141 | 8-3 | 4-1 |
| 14 | Nov 29 | #116 | #96 | -2.5 | @Liberty | W 48–42 146 | 9-3 | 5-1 |
| Conference Championship | ||||||||
| 15 | Dec 6 | #107 | #95 | +1.5 | @Jacksonville State | W 19–15 130 | 10-3 | 6-1 |
| Bowl Season | ||||||||
| 16 | Dec 19 | #106 | #68 | +3.5 | Western Michigan (N) | L 6–41 | 10-4 | 6-1 |
| Date | Opp | Result | Yds | TO | TOP | EPA/play | Success% | Explosive% | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19 | Western Michigan | L 6–41 | — | — | — | -0.238 | 37.5% | 114.3% | Season-low EPA/play |
| Dec 6 | @Jacksonville State | W 19–15 | 318 | 1 | 31:12 | +0.115 | 44.3% | 110.6% | One-score win |
| Nov 29 | @Liberty | W 48–42 | 452 | 0 | 27:03 | +0.477 | 41.2% | 189.5% | Season-high EPA/play |
| Nov 22 | Missouri State | W 41–34 | 500 | 0 | 30:39 | +0.390 | 42.0% | 159.4% | One-score win |
| Nov 16 | @Jacksonville State | L 26–35 | 579 | 4 | 34:22 | +0.142 | 46.7% | 119.2% | |
| Nov 8 | @New Mexico State | W 24–21 | 427 | 2 | 29:16 | +0.037 | 41.6% | 112.4% | One-score win |
| Oct 29 | UTEP | W 33–20 | 304 | 1 | 29:03 | -0.075 | 28.8% | 132.3% | Best defensive stand |
| Oct 21 | @Florida International | W 45–26 | 498 | 0 | 25:39 | +0.395 | 51.7% | 134.5% | |
| Oct 9 | Louisiana Tech | W 35–7 | 400 | 0 | 30:51 | +0.304 | 41.3% | 142.8% | Blowout win |
| Sep 27 | Middle Tennessee | W 24–16 | 334 | 1 | 21:01 | +0.255 | 45.1% | 120.2% | One-score win |
| Sep 20 | Arkansas State | W 28–21 | 507 | 2 | 32:25 | +0.154 | 54.1% | 112.0% | Best success rate |
| Sep 13 | Merrimack | W 27–13 | 369 | 1 | 23:47 | +0.154 | 41.0% | 136.7% | |
| Sep 6 | @Indiana | L 9–56 | 271 | 2 | 27:30 | +0.025 | 26.4% | 197.1% | Most explosive |
| Aug 29 | @Wake Forest | L 9–10 | 307 | 0 | 24:59 | +0.074 | 29.7% | 138.3% | One-score loss |
| Season average (14 games) | 405 | 1.1 | +0.158 | 40.8% | 137.1% | ||||
Kennesaw State fields a limited explosive, big-play offense behind a leaky defense.
Opponent-adjusted percentiles vs all FBS. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.
Team identity · competitive snaps only
56th percentile quality, 30th percentile boom-dependency. Garbage time excluded from both axes — the same correction that changes the Q4 story below.
| Team | Quality percentile | Boom-share percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 86th | 11th |
| Akron | 12th | 89th |
| Alabama | 58th | 17th |
| App State | 35th | 47th |
| Arizona | 64th | 37th |
| Arizona State | 41st | 62nd |
| Arkansas | 90th | 12th |
| Arkansas State | 17th | 66th |
| Army | 57th | 43rd |
| Auburn | 47th | 53rd |
| BYU | 78th | 19th |
| Baylor | 69th | 25th |
| Boise State | 66th | 20th |
| Boston College | 37th | 54th |
| Bowling Green | 2nd | 98th |
| Buffalo | 11th | 88th |
| California | 28th | 48th |
| Central Michigan | 52nd | 64th |
| Cincinnati | 89th | 16th |
| Clemson | 51st | 48th |
| Coastal Carolina | 17th | 83rd |
| Colorado | 18th | 84th |
| Colorado State | 16th | 83rd |
| Delaware | 38th | 58th |
| Duke | 80th | 14th |
| East Carolina | 63rd | 36th |
| Eastern Michigan | 49th | 42nd |
| Florida | 30th | 67th |
| Florida Atlantic | 62nd | 59th |
| Florida International | 42nd | 50th |
| Florida State | 83rd | 32nd |
| Fresno State | 26th | 73rd |
| Georgia | 81st | 3rd |
| Georgia Southern | 73rd | 21st |
| Georgia State | 36th | 70th |
| Georgia Tech | 84th | 5th |
| Hawai'i | 64th | 41st |
| Houston | 27th | 65th |
| Illinois | 75th | 26th |
| Indiana | 95th | 1st |
| Iowa | 44th | 40th |
| Iowa State | 68th | 22nd |
| Jacksonville State | 54th | 38th |
| James Madison | 65th | 44th |
| Kansas | 85th | 28th |
| Kansas State | 71st | 49th |
| Kennesaw State | 56th | 30th |
| Kent State | 21st | 86th |
| Kentucky | 15th | 85th |
| LSU | 14th | 81st |
| Liberty | 43rd | 56th |
| Louisiana | 19th | 73rd |
| Louisiana Tech | 39th | 61st |
| Louisville | 48th | 64th |
| Marshall | 55th | 39th |
| Maryland | 30th | 74th |
| Memphis | 80th | 24th |
| Miami | 76th | 5th |
| Miami (OH) | 34th | 67th |
| Michigan | 67th | 33rd |
| Michigan State | 27th | 75th |
| Middle Tennessee | 39th | 52nd |
| Minnesota | 29th | 77th |
| Mississippi State | 22nd | 77th |
| Missouri | 61st | 30th |
| Missouri State | 55th | 46th |
| NC State | 86th | 23rd |
| Navy | 94th | 17th |
| Nebraska | 48th | 57th |
| Nevada | 3rd | 97th |
| New Mexico | 58th | 60th |
| New Mexico State | 9th | 87th |
| North Carolina | 13th | 89th |
| North Texas | 98th | 7th |
| Northern Illinois | 8th | 92nd |
| Northwestern | 52nd | 36th |
| Notre Dame | 99th | 20th |
| Ohio | 67th | 18th |
| Ohio State | 93rd | 4th |
| Oklahoma | 20th | 80th |
| Oklahoma State | 5th | 95th |
| Old Dominion | 83rd | 45th |
| Ole Miss | 89th | 2nd |
| Oregon | 91st | 10th |
| Oregon State | 2nd | 98th |
| Penn State | 73rd | 33rd |
| Pittsburgh | 60th | 39th |
| Purdue | 25th | 78th |
| Rice | 6th | 94th |
| Rutgers | 70th | 27th |
| SMU | 74th | 42nd |
| Sam Houston | 4th | 96th |
| San Diego State | 24th | 76th |
| San José State | 45th | 69th |
| South Alabama | 36th | 58th |
| South Carolina | 23rd | 86th |
| South Florida | 87th | 23rd |
| Southern Miss | 40th | 55th |
| Stanford | 10th | 90th |
| Syracuse | 5th | 95th |
| TCU | 72nd | 35th |
| Temple | 70th | 34th |
| Tennessee | 96th | 11th |
| Texas | 45th | 55th |
| Texas A&M | 82nd | 14th |
| Texas State | 92nd | 8th |
| Texas Tech | 77th | 31st |
| Toledo | 50th | 61st |
| Troy | 14th | 80th |
| Tulane | 79th | 15th |
| Tulsa | 20th | 70th |
| UAB | 61st | 45th |
| UCF | 33rd | 82nd |
| UCLA | 23rd | 79th |
| UConn | 95th | 13th |
| UL Monroe | 11th | 92nd |
| UNLV | 88th | 9th |
| USC | 98th | 2nd |
| UTEP | 1st | 99th |
| UTSA | 77th | 51st |
| Utah | 97th | 6th |
| Utah State | 46th | 63rd |
| Vanderbilt | 100th | 0th |
| Virginia | 59th | 27th |
| Virginia Tech | 32nd | 71st |
| Wake Forest | 42nd | 72nd |
| Washington | 92nd | 8th |
| Washington State | 33rd | 52nd |
| West Virginia | 7th | 93rd |
| Western Kentucky | 53rd | 29th |
| Western Michigan | 31st | 68th |
| Wisconsin | 0th | 100th |
| Wyoming | 8th | 91st |
Fourth-quarter reliability, corrected
Raw Q4 EPA/play ranks 16th percentile in FBS. Strip out snaps taken with a blowout margin and it climbs to the 19th — the correction is the finding, not a footnote.
Standard downs vs. passing downs
44th percentile success on standard downs, 67th on passing downs — a 23-point gap between the two.
| Team | Standard-downs percentile | Passing-downs percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 82nd | 69th |
| Akron | 20th | 36th |
| Alabama | 47th | 76th |
| App State | 41st | 80th |
| Arizona | 54th | 54th |
| Arizona State | 40th | 37th |
| Arkansas | 90th | 97th |
| Arkansas State | 51st | 40th |
| Army | 37th | 44th |
| Auburn | 73rd | 24th |
| Austin Peay | 56th | 13th |
| BYU | 91st | 46th |
| Ball State | 5th | 3rd |
| Baylor | 70th | 77th |
| Boise State | 42nd | 63rd |
| Boston College | 56th | 54th |
| Bowling Green | 10th | 17th |
| Bryant | 7th | 2nd |
| Buffalo | 29th | 20th |
| California | 25th | 66th |
| Central Michigan | 57th | 11th |
| Charlotte | 7th | 7th |
| Cincinnati | 89th | 65th |
| Clemson | 49th | 34th |
| Coastal Carolina | 16th | 22nd |
| Colorado | 8th | 48th |
| Colorado State | 29th | 35th |
| Delaware | 66th | 31st |
| Duke | 82nd | 63rd |
| East Carolina | 63rd | 91st |
| Eastern Michigan | 46th | 67th |
| Florida | 52nd | 45th |
| Florida Atlantic | 44th | 61st |
| Florida International | 50th | 26th |
| Florida State | 65th | 90th |
| Fresno State | 22nd | 71st |
| Georgia | 95th | 69th |
| Georgia Southern | 64th | 84th |
| Georgia State | 22nd | 75th |
| Georgia Tech | 92nd | 89th |
| Hawai'i | 33rd | 87th |
| Houston | 61st | 29th |
| Idaho | 30th | 78th |
| Idaho State | 93rd | 14th |
| Illinois | 79th | 95th |
| Indiana | 97th | 98th |
| Iowa | 74th | 19th |
| Iowa State | 80th | 58th |
| Jacksonville State | 59th | 56th |
| James Madison | 77th | 52nd |
| Kansas | 99th | 82nd |
| Kansas State | 37th | 59th |
| Kennesaw State | 44th | 67th |
| Kent State | 15th | 5th |
| Kentucky | 62nd | 29th |
| LSU | 18th | 52nd |
| Lafayette | 0th | 12th |
| Liberty | 65th | 53rd |
| Lindenwood | 4th | 1st |
| Long Island University | 24th | 78th |
| Louisiana | 24th | 23rd |
| Louisiana Tech | 41st | 24th |
| Louisville | 84th | 32nd |
| Maine | 3rd | 18th |
| Marshall | 71st | 62nd |
| Maryland | 11th | 86th |
| Massachusetts | 5th | 9th |
| Memphis | 75th | 68th |
| Merrimack | 1st | 83rd |
| Miami | 80th | 64th |
| Miami (OH) | 33rd | 39th |
| Michigan | 73rd | 74th |
| Michigan State | 48th | 39th |
| Middle Tennessee | 69th | 47th |
| Minnesota | 35th | 33rd |
| Mississippi State | 52nd | 35th |
| Missouri | 76th | 50th |
| Missouri State | 32nd | 50th |
| Murray State | 1st | 6th |
| NC State | 58th | 71st |
| Navy | 95th | 72nd |
| Nebraska | 78th | 51st |
| Nevada | 17th | 16th |
| New Mexico | 38th | 60th |
| New Mexico State | 16th | 33rd |
| North Carolina | 14th | 30th |
| North Texas | 100th | 97th |
| Northern Illinois | 9th | 5th |
| Northwestern | 48th | 88th |
| Notre Dame | 88th | 99th |
| Ohio | 69th | 76th |
| Ohio State | 99th | 99th |
| Oklahoma | 39th | 41st |
| Oklahoma State | 14th | 7th |
| Old Dominion | 72nd | 79th |
| Ole Miss | 83rd | 95th |
| Oregon | 93rd | 55th |
| Oregon State | 54th | 25th |
| Penn State | 76th | 73rd |
| Pittsburgh | 35th | 56th |
| Purdue | 46th | 88th |
| Rice | 20th | 0th |
| Rutgers | 71st | 84th |
| SMU | 50th | 57th |
| Sam Houston | 26th | 4th |
| San Diego State | 84th | 1st |
| San José State | 68th | 70th |
| South Alabama | 53rd | 28th |
| South Carolina | 31st | 8th |
| South Carolina State | 10th | 3rd |
| South Florida | 86th | 46th |
| Southern Miss | 27th | 38th |
| Stanford | 12th | 12th |
| Syracuse | 19th | 10th |
| TCU | 63rd | 82nd |
| Temple | 85th | 22nd |
| Tennessee | 97th | 81st |
| Texas | 27th | 61st |
| Texas A&M | 88th | 59th |
| Texas State | 60th | 93rd |
| Texas Tech | 45th | 65th |
| Toledo | 67th | 42nd |
| Troy | 18th | 27th |
| Tulane | 81st | 86th |
| Tulsa | 43rd | 43rd |
| UAB | 34th | 94th |
| UCF | 39th | 20th |
| UCLA | 28th | 48th |
| UConn | 96th | 37th |
| UL Monroe | 13th | 14th |
| UNLV | 78th | 85th |
| USC | 94th | 90th |
| UT Martin | 2nd | 41st |
| UTEP | 3rd | 10th |
| UTSA | 67th | 92nd |
| Utah | 87th | 96th |
| Utah State | 31st | 49th |
| Vanderbilt | 90th | 100th |
| Virginia | 36th | 73rd |
| Virginia Tech | 59th | 21st |
| Wake Forest | 21st | 31st |
| Washington | 98th | 93rd |
| Washington State | 61st | 44th |
| West Virginia | 12th | 18th |
| Western Kentucky | 55th | 80th |
| Western Michigan | 86th | 16th |
| Wisconsin | 6th | 27th |
| Wyoming | 23rd | 15th |
Halftime identity
1st-half offense ranks 65th percentile in FBS; 2nd-half, 51st — competitive snaps only, garbage time excluded from both halves.
Schedule mirage
Raw EPA/play through week 21 is 0.16; 70th percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's 0.05. The widest gap came in week 9: 0.19 raw vs. 0.07 adjusted.
Kennesaw State reads strongest in explosive plays (top 10%) and passing epa (top 32%); the crux lives in rushing epa allowed, where Kennesaw State sits at the 26th percentile.
offense · strengths lead
defense · higher bar = harder to play against
hidden math · special situations
Most Similar Programs · Kennesaw State
Static-attribute similarity across tier, archetype, conference, and voice. Not a prediction — a calibration.
Home-Field Advantage · Kennesaw State · 2018-present
76% home win rate vs 47% on the road. margin runs +9.8 better at home. Fifth Third Stadium seats 11,040, averaging 89% full (9,789 attendance, 11 games reported).
Positional competition · RB room
Coleman Bennett and Chase Belcher split the carries (156/263 vs 107/263) -- but the job isn't split the same way. Chase Belcher produces in bigger chunks.
Positional competition · WR/TE room
Gabriel Benyard (WR) and Gerard Bullock (TE) split the targets (69/97 vs 28/97) -- but the job isn't split the same way.
What changed
The biggest shift: red-zone pass rate moved up 12 points. The rest held closer to steady.
The biggest shift: red-zone pass rate moved up 12 points. The rest held closer to steady.
Defensive identity · pass zones
On short passes, Kennesaw State’s defense allows a completion rate below the FBS mean (64.0% vs 65.9% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 185-play sample) — mid-pack, 30 of 133 qualifying defenses.
We won’t show a deep-ball leaderboard here: at the defense level, most teams face well under 30 rich-feed deep targets all season — too thin to tell a real tendency from noise, so we won’t guess.
69°F average kickoff temp; 7% of games had measurable precipitation; 7 mph average wind.
Based on 29 home games with weather data.
10 seasons inside the CFP era, no bids yet — the era the program is still trying to break into.
Kennesaw State's 2015–2025 record is 79-43. The era is still being written; the CFP line is the one the program is arguing for.
All-Time Record
since 2015 · 10 seasons · .647 win rate
Kennesaw State played its first football game in 2015. Ten years later, it fired its only-ever head coach mid-season, hired his replacement, and won a conference championship the very next year.
There was no Kennesaw State football before 2015. Brian Bohannon built the program from that starting point into a real FCS power — 62 wins against 18 losses across seven seasons, four FCS Playoff trips, three Big South titles — including a moment that still gets told at Owls tailgates: in just the program's third year of existence, an unseeded Kennesaw State team upset third-ranked Jacksonville State in the FCS Playoffs.
The move to the FBS in 2024 was brutal. A 2-10 debut season bottomed out at 1-8 after a double-overtime loss to UTEP, and the university fired Bohannon the next day — the first coaching change in program history. Jerry Mack took over that December, and what happened next is one of the fastest turnarounds college football has seen in years: a 9-3 record in 2025, 7-1 in Conference USA, CUSA Coach of the Year honors, and a 19-15 win over Jacksonville State in the conference title game — the same program Kennesaw State had upset in the FCS playoffs eight years earlier, in a rematch of a regular-season meeting.
Then the Myrtle Beach Bowl happened: Western Michigan 41, Kennesaw State 6. A jarring gut-check right after the biggest win in program history, and a real question mark heading into 2026 for a program that just signed Mack to a six-year extension after Tulane came calling. Worst-to-first is a real story either way — the bowl score is just the reminder that the story isn't finished being written.
A program still discovering its FBS-level identity — Jerry Mack's 2025 turnaround was built on a completely reshaped roster installed in waves through spring practice and the summer, with the on-field system still being proven against a full slate of Conference USA competition.
Kennesaw State 2015–2025. Slipping -1.2 rungs across the last 10 seasons. Slope -0.18 rungs / year — moving down the prestige scale.
10 seasons on file
down middle peak CFP year
Season Standing · 2025 · 10-4
Kennesaw State: 6+ wins, bowl access secured. The baseline of a successful FBS year.
Conference USA Standing · 2025
Kennesaw State sits at the top of the Conference USA at 6-1. Everyone else is chasing.
| # | Program | Record |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kennesaw State | 6-1 |
| 2 | Jacksonville State | 6-2 |
| 3 | Western Kentucky | 5-2 |
| 4 | Florida International | 5-3 |
| 5 | Missouri State | 4-2 |
| 6 | Delaware | 2-4 |
| 7 | Liberty | 2-4 |
| 8 | Middle Tennessee | 2-6 |
| 9 | New Mexico State | 1-5 |
| 10 | Sam Houston | 1-5 |
Coaching Era · Kennesaw State
Jerry Mack in year 2 of the rebuild. The methodology is taking shape.
Three gameday rituals — the ones outsiders never quite catch.
since 2024
Kennesaw State fired founding head coach Brian Bohannon the day after dropping to 1-8 in a double-overtime loss to UTEP during its rocky first FBS season (finishing 2-10). Jerry Mack was hired that December, and in his first season, 2025, the Owls went 9-3 (7-1 CUSA), won Conference USA Coach of the Year, and beat Jacksonville State 19-15 in the CUSA Championship Game -- before a 41-6 Myrtle Beach Bowl loss to Western Michigan closed the season at 10-4.
since 2015
Brian Bohannon was the program's first-ever head coach, building a 62-18 record across the Owls' first seven FCS seasons (2015-2021), four FCS Playoff appearances, and three Big South Championships (2017, 2018, 2021). In 2017 -- just the program's third season of existence -- an unseeded Kennesaw State team upset third-ranked Jacksonville State in the FCS Playoffs.
Program memory
Most weeks vanish. These didn’t.
In just its third season of existence, an unseeded Kennesaw State team upsets third-ranked Jacksonville State in the FCS Playoffs
2024
The program's only-ever head coach is dismissed the day after a double-overtime loss to UTEP drops Kennesaw State to 1-8 in its first FBS season
Wound
Kennesaw State beats Jacksonville State 19-15 to complete a worst-to-first turnaround from 2-10 the year before
2025
Western Michigan routs Kennesaw State 41-6, a jarring comedown immediately after the CUSA title
Heartbreak
Moment of the Year · Kennesaw State · 2025
Week 16 of 2025. A reckoning loss — the data point the next season must answer.
Bowl / Postseason Ledger
Most recent: 2025 — loss 41-6 (away). Last 5 postseason: 0-1.
NFL Draft Pipeline
2023–20231 picks last 5 cycles. Roster development still maturing.
Unit lineage
FBS-relative efficiency percentile per season (2014–2025), same population as the Coordinator Mirror board. Dashed vertical lines mark a coordinator change.
All-time top community posts · ranked by upvotes