Kennesaw State

1-1

Conference USA · Jerry Mack, year 2 (11-5) · Fifth Third Stadium · 11,040 · 11,040 avg in 2026

The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The model#126 CFB ZeitgeistSP+ #95 (-7.4) · FPI #114
The marketTennessee by 35.5at Tennessee · our model 7% Kennesaw State · a number, not a pick

LastL 17–31 vs Georgia State · Sat Sep 12 · Rickie Collins 260 pass yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

Nextat Tennessee · Sat Sep 19 · 7:45 pm ET · Neyland Stadium · Tennessee by 35.5 · Game preview

Updated Tue Sep 15 · through week 2

Key stats — 2026 — FBS rank
Points/game
32.0
Pts allowed/game
15.5
Total yards/gm#66 / 138 · 53rd pct
420.0
Rush yards/gm#59 / 138 · 58th pct
184.5
Pass yards/gm#67 / 138 · 52nd pct
235.5
Yards allowed/gm#66 / 138 · 53rd pct
321.5
Rush yds allowed/gm#88 / 138 · 37th pct
139.5
SacksT-#106 / 138 · 16th pct
2
InterceptionsT-#63 / 115 · 23rd pct
1
3rd-down convT-#79 / 138 · 42nd pct
39.1%
All 83 stats
Offense / Defense
Total yards
Team
840420.0/gm6.13/play#66 / 138 · 53rd pct#42 / 70 · 41st pct#5 / 10 · 55th pct#3 / 3 · 33rd pct
Opp
643321.5/gm5.31/play#66 / 138 · 53rd pct#48 / 70 · 32nd pct#5 / 10 · 55th pct#1 / 3 · 100th pct
Rush yards
Team
369184.5/gm2.69/play#59 / 138 · 58th pct#32 / 70 · 55th pct#3 / 10 · 75th pct#3 / 3 · 33rd pct
Opp
279139.5/gm2.31/play#88 / 138 · 37th pct#58 / 70 · 18th pct#4 / 10 · 65th pct#1 / 3 · 100th pct
Rush carries
Team
6834.0/gmT-#88 / 138 · 35th pctT-#45 / 70 · 36th pct#6 / 10 · 45th pct#3 / 3 · 33rd pct
Opp
7236.0/gmT-#84 / 138 · 38th pctT-#50 / 70 · 28th pct#5 / 10 · 55th pct#1 / 3 · 100th pct
Rush TDs
Team
73.5/gmT-#17 / 138 · 85th pctT-#12 / 70 · 79th pct#1 / 10 · 95th pct#3 / 3 · 33rd pct
Opp
31.5/gmT-#86 / 138 · 31st pctT-#57 / 70 · 16th pctT-#4 / 10 · 55th pct#1 / 3 · 100th pct
Net pass yards
Team
471235.5/gm3.44/play#67 / 138 · 52nd pct#43 / 70 · 39th pct#6 / 10 · 45th pct#3 / 3 · 33rd pct
Opp
364182.0/gm3.01/play#54 / 138 · 61st pct#38 / 70 · 46th pct#6 / 10 · 45th pct#1 / 3 · 100th pct
Pass attempts
Team
6934.5/gmT-#39 / 138 · 71st pctT-#19 / 70 · 73rd pct#8 / 10 · 25th pct#3 / 3 · 33rd pct
Opp
4924.5/gmT-#25 / 138 · 80th pctT-#15 / 70 · 76th pct#3 / 10 · 75th pct#1 / 3 · 100th pct
Completions
Team
4824.0/gmT-#31 / 138 · 76th pctT-#15 / 70 · 78th pct#5 / 10 · 55th pct#3 / 3 · 33rd pct
Opp
3115.5/gmT-#38 / 138 · 71st pctT-#24 / 70 · 65th pct#5 / 10 · 55th pct#1 / 3 · 100th pct
Pass TDs
Team
21.0/gmT-#94 / 138 · 25th pctT-#54 / 70 · 19th pct#8 / 10 · 25th pct#3 / 3 · 33rd pct
Opp
00.0/gmT-#1 / 138 · 96th pctT-#1 / 70 · 92nd pct#1 / 10 · 95th pct#1 / 3 · 100th pct
Passer rating
Team
133.6133.6#74 / 115 · 36th pct#44 / 60 · 28th pct#2 / 3 · 67th pct
Opp
117.5117.5#35 / 91 · 62nd pct#25 / 42 · 42nd pct#1 / 3 · 100th pct
Interceptions thrown
Team
21.0/gmT-#23 / 138 · 74th pctT-#8 / 70 · 77th pctT-#3 / 10 · 60th pct#3 / 3 · 33rd pct
Opp
10.5/gmT-#24 / 138 · 64th pctT-#11 / 70 · 64th pctT-#3 / 10 · 55th pct#1 / 3 · 100th pct
Sacks (def)
Team
21.0/gmT-#106 / 138 · 16th pctT-#61 / 70 · 9th pctT-#7 / 10 · 30th pct#3 / 3 · 33rd pct
Opp
21.0/gmT-#33 / 138 · 67th pctT-#20 / 70 · 61st pctT-#3 / 10 · 70th pct#1 / 3 · 100th pct
Tackles for loss
Team
73.5/gmT-#111 / 138 · 16th pctT-#61 / 70 · 11th pct#8 / 10 · 25th pct#3 / 3 · 33rd pct
Opp
105.0/gmT-#66 / 138 · 47th pctT-#42 / 70 · 37th pctT-#3 / 10 · 65th pct#1 / 3 · 100th pct
First downs
Team
4723.5/gmT-#52 / 138 · 61st pctT-#35 / 70 · 49th pct#3 / 10 · 75th pct#3 / 3 · 33rd pct
Opp
3015.0/gmT-#38 / 138 · 72nd pctT-#31 / 70 · 56th pctT-#2 / 10 · 80th pct#1 / 3 · 100th pct
3rd-down conv
Team
94.5/gmT-#85 / 138 · 32nd pctT-#50 / 70 · 24th pctT-#6 / 10 · 35th pct#3 / 3 · 33rd pct
Opp
63.0/gmT-#12 / 138 · 86th pctT-#10 / 70 · 79th pct#1 / 10 · 95th pct#1 / 3 · 100th pct
3rd-down att
Team
2311.5/gmT-#91 / 138 · 30th pctT-#43 / 70 · 34th pctT-#8 / 10 · 20th pct#3 / 3 · 33rd pct
Opp
2512.5/gmT-#33 / 138 · 73rd pctT-#14 / 70 · 76th pct#4 / 10 · 65th pct#1 / 3 · 100th pct
4th-down conv
Team
10.5/gmT-#85 / 138 · 29th pctT-#44 / 70 · 32nd pctT-#8 / 10 · 20th pct#3 / 3 · 33rd pct
Opp
10.5/gmT-#26 / 138 · 66th pctT-#15 / 70 · 61st pct#2 / 10 · 85th pct#1 / 3 · 100th pct
4th-down att
Team
31.5/gmT-#66 / 138 · 41st pctT-#35 / 70 · 44th pctT-#6 / 10 · 25th pct#3 / 3 · 33rd pct
Opp
31.5/gmT-#54 / 138 · 52nd pctT-#30 / 70 · 49th pctT-#4 / 10 · 50th pct#1 / 3 · 100th pct
Time of possession
Team
56:1928:10/gm#107 / 138 · 23rd pct#56 / 70 · 21st pct#9 / 10 · 15th pct#3 / 3 · 33rd pct
Opp
63:4131:50/gm#97 / 138 · 30th pct#56 / 70 · 21st pct#7 / 10 · 35th pct#1 / 3 · 100th pct

FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs

Player stats — 2026 season
Quarterbacks
Player#GCmp/AttPctYdsY/ATDINTRateZPRQBRAdj ANY/ASack%
+0.11 EPA/play1240 / 5869.0416
#71 FBS
7.221137.15158.36.91.7
Receivers
Player#GRecYdsAvgTDLong
+0.48 EPA/play152512925.8046
+0.59 EPA/play11257214.4044
+0.11 EPA/play4210686.8014
-0.26 EPA/play1317527.4116
+0.19 EPA/play7255110.2020

2026 stat leaders · Kennesaw State

through 2 games

Baron Hopson leads Kennesaw State with 12 tackles through 2 games.

1. Baron Hopson LB 12 tackles
2. Javon Rogers WR 129 receiving yards
3. Rickie Collins QB 416 passing yards
4. Marcus Patterson DL 9 tackles
5. Isaac Paul DB 9 tackles
How They Play · 2025

Kennesaw State fields a limited explosive, big-play offense behind a leaky defense.

Offense
42nd pct EPA/play
Tempo
91st pct explosiveness
Defense
38th pct EPA allowed

Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.

The Savant Card · Kennesaw State · 2025

Kennesaw State reads strongest in explosive plays (top 10%) and passing epa (top 32%); the crux lives in rushing epa allowed, where Kennesaw State sits at the 26th percentile.

offense · strengths lead

EPA / play +0.16
42nd
Success Rate +0.41
36th
Explosive Plays +1.37
91st
Rushing EPA +0.11
49th

defense · higher bar = harder to play against

EPA Allowed +0.18
38th
Success Rate Allowed +0.42
35th
Explosive Plays Allowed +1.24
64th
Passing EPA Allowed +0.27
40th

hidden math · special situations

Passing EPA +0.33
68th
Rushing EPA Allowed +0.14
26th
Elite · 90+Strong · 70+Average · 40-70Concern · 10-40Bottom · <10
Sources · CFBD tier-2 advanced stats · per-game production · 14 games this season · percentiles vs. up to 136 FBS peers

Home-field advantage · Kennesaw State · 2018–present · FBS opponents

Kennesaw State is worth +10.4 points more at home than on the road.

Top tenth of FBS, 100th percentile of 133 programs

75% at home, 25% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (12–4 home, 5–15 away). Interval ±7.3.

95% intervalmodel 2.3 · books ~3Weakest home edge in FBSStrongest

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge — per-team modelling was tested and did not survive scrutiny (why) — and the books use about 3.

Fifth Third Stadium seats 11,040 and has averaged 90% full (9,981, 13 games reported). Visitors get here easily: a median 234 miles trip since 2018, the 14th-shortest of 135 FBS venues. Whatever the band above is picking up, it isn't the flight. For the home side it is genuinely home ground: 42% of the 2026 roster (44 of 104 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.

Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across 39 of 44 home games since 2018.

Home12–4Away5–15Edge+10.4 ±7.3Visitor trip234 mi

More in this tab

Tendency driftHow this coordinator's calls have drifted since arriving.

Season by season

How Kennesaw State’s current staff calls plays, year over year

Offense: Mitch Militello (2025–2026)
1st-down pass rate
2025: 44% → 2026: 51% · 7-pt range · #120 of 184 · a typical amount
Defense: Marc Mattioli (2025–2026)
1st-down pass rate
2025: 44% → 2026: 51% · 7-pt range · #141 of 203 · a typical amount
Pass defense by zoneThe part of the field opponents keep attacking.

Pass-depth identity

What this team throws, and gives up, by depth.

On short throws (≤19 air yards), Kennesaw State’s passing game completes a completion rate above the FBS mean (70.9% vs 68.3% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 62-play sample) — mid-pack, 34 of 41 qualifying offenses.

We won’t show a deep-ball (20+ air yards) leaderboard here, on either side of the ball: even a full season of charted plays gives most teams well under 30 deep attempts — too thin to tell a real tendency from noise, so we won’t guess. Same refusal for yards-after-catch allowed and where a team’s attempts land by zone: both measured and both came back statistically indistinguishable from season-to-season noise.

Screened 59 claims, 59 survived · 2025+ only, charted plays (parse_status='complete'); n=62 short-zone plays, raw rate 74.2%
RatingsWhere the public rating systems put this team.

Model Consensus

Where the Models Rank Kennesaw State

CFB Zeitgeist

#126

-6.0

SP+

#95

-7.4

FPI

#114

-10.7

Elo

#104

1327

The national models put Kennesaw State between 95th and 114th nationally — CFB Zeitgeist is more skeptical, at 126th.

National rank of 138 FBS teams · 2026 season. SP+/FPI/SRS published; Elo & CFB Zeitgeist ranked by rating.

Comparable teamsPrograms built like this one — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, roster size. Not a stat match.

Most similar programs · Kennesaw State

Reads like

Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.

ConditionsThe weather and altitude visitors have to deal with.
Venue texture

70°F average kickoff temp; 10% of games had measurable precipitation; 7 mph average wind.

Based on 31 home games with weather data.

This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. AI-generated content is labeled and may contain factual errors. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site