1portal class
App State's top-64 transfer portal class shakes Sun Belt.
Loggains' top-6 portal class arrives with just 14% production returning and zero holdovers from last year's 5-8 record — a full rebuild for App State.
App State5-8Latest
The Charlotte rivalryDavion Dozier is a real deep-ball threat -- a high share of his targets come on throws past the sticks, and he catches those deep shots at a plus rate.our read
The App State faithful are all the way in.
belief warmed ↑ 4.5vs prior week
Fanbase belief
Bullish
64/100 · 26 mentions · top 7% of FBS
~ our readVolatility
Chaotic
σ 35 pts
Credible bullish
~ our readThe model
#125
CFB Zeitgeist · -6.5
✓ measured1Hope-Doping·Offseason
App State is the mountain program that walked into the Big House and beat Michigan — and has spent every year since insisting the giant-killer belongs.
Title DroughtSince 2019 · 6 yrs
Fans here believe the chip is one game wide and forty years deep: App State walked into Michigan Stadium in 2007 and won, and the blue bloods have spent every year since pretending it was an accident.…
offseason · quiet
Roster Reload - App State
2026 snapshot - 2026-08-06Returning Production14%Low continuity / heavy reload
Talent Composite#79 nationally247 composite 611.3
Portal Additions38Primary repair: CB
Portal Losses41Primary pressure: IOL
Draft Loss0No NFL Draft departures recorded
Recruiting Reload#59Development class
WRin 5 - Semaj Flemingout 6 - Jaden BarnesDowngrade
current room: 194 lbs avg (2025 roster)
DLin 4 - Ki'Shawn Harveyout 6 - Saint FarriorStarter Risk
current room: 272 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Sin 5 - Devin Hendersonout 5 - DJ BurksEven
CBin 5 - Ja'Cari Hendersonout 3 - Emory FloydNeed Filled
current room: 193 lbs avg (2025 roster)
LBin 4 - Keshawn Thomasout 3 - Brayshawn LittlejohnUpgrade
current room: 225 lbs avg (2025 roster)
OTin 4 - Devon Manuelout 2 - Denell Nix Jr.Need Filled
Belief EKG
WinLoss · hover for score
Approaching
30 days
until kickoff · vs Maine · Sat Sep 5 · 19:30 UTC
The experience
App State is the Sun Belt program whose 2007 Michigan upset + back-to-back FCS national titles + sustained FBS conference success define what G5-disruptor looks like.
Offense: PoorRun/Pass: Pass-first, spreadDefense: Soft
App State faces a high-reload season with limited continuity and a balanced portal churn
The team returns only 14% of its roster, with significant transfers in and out, and a development-class recruiting effort ranked #59 nationally. Fan intel is ready, indicating a clear understanding of the team's challenges ahead.
- Roster reloadApp State returns only 14% of its roster, with significant transfers in and out, and a development-class recruiting effort ranked #59 nationally.
- Fan sentimentFan intel is ready, indicating a clear understanding of the team's challenges ahead.
Data as of 2026-08-01
·
Validated against program evidence
Yosef the Mountaineer is patient.
App State · the story right now
6 storylines developing
What App State's offseason is really about
the open questionwhere does it go from here?
deep threatthis cycle✓ factnew
Davion Dozier is a real deep-ball threat -- a high share of his targets come on throws past the sticks, and he catches those deep shots at a plus rate.
narrative tension · our read
coordinatorsthis cycle~readnew
Dowell Loggains inherits a 5-8 losing record and a program defined by its 2007 Michigan upset, raising questions about whether this coordinator-driven rebuild can reclaim Sun Belt relevance.
what happenedApp State: coordinator change reshaping a unit. ✓ fact
narrative tension · our read
deep threatthis cycle~attributednew
David Larkins is used almost exclusively underneath -- a low share of his targets are downfield shots.
narrative tension · our read
deep threatthis cycle~attributednew
Jaden Barnes is a real deep-ball threat -- a high share of his targets come on throws past the sticks.
narrative tension · our read
portal2026-06-01~readnew
Loggains' top-6 portal class arrives with just 14% production returning and zero holdovers from last year's 5-8 record — a full rebuild for App State.
what happenedApp State signed a top-64 transfer-portal class — 38 additions headlined by Malachi Singleton (QB) from Purdue and Tommy Ulatowski (QB) from Kennesaw State. ✓ fact
the contextprogram's highest-ranked portal class on record
narrative tension · our read
coachingthis cycle~readnew
Loggains begins his first season with 14% production returning and a 247 composite talent ranking of #79 nationally, inheriting a 5-8 roster from Shawn Clark's five-year run.
what happenedDowell Loggains took over as App State's head coach, replacing Shawn Clark. ✓ fact
the contextreplaces 5-year head coach Shawn Clark (37-23)
narrative tension · our read
How past storylines here turned out
AnsweredApp State's head-coaching hire held for another season.
The story
The Offseason Ledger · App State
3 verified updates · portal · recruiting · staff · news- Portal
DL Siolaa Lolohea transfer commits from Oklahoma
Farrior's gone and the DL room bled 12 out the door — Lolohea dropping from Big 12 competition to fill that starter gap is exactly the kind of portal math that keeps App State's Sun Belt ceiling intact.
- Portal
RB Ja'Quez Cross transfer commits from Arkansas State
Six in, six out in the RB room and Khalifa Keith gone — Cross isn't just a number replacement, he's the Sun Belt tape Loggains needed to stabilize a depth chart that was rotating on fumes.
- News
Kentucky adds App State to schedule
Kentucky penciling in App State is a road game for Loggains's rebuild crew — a P4 payday that tests whether a top-63 transfer class actually translates against a step up in competition.
Transfer portal snapshot
-4.1 net portal points
(raw ledger: -22.3 — unweighted, no position adjustment)IOL-10.3
starter risk
DL-7.6
starter risk
EDGE-7.1
starter risk
WR-6.3
OT+6.1
need not filled
CB+3.7
need not filled
LB+3.4
S-2.3
P-2.0
TE-1.5
LS+1.0
RB+0.9
QB-0.4
K+0.0
Top 3 commits
2026 class
★★★★☆
Jordan Harris
#454 national
★★★☆☆
Jamel Howse
#554 national
Profiles like a typical incoming tight end — 19 of his 25 closest recruiting profiles since 2018 shared the Complete TE archetype.~our read · projection from recruiting profile — no college snaps yet
★★★☆☆
Micah Williams
#731 national
Projects: Hybrid Nickel — 11 of his 25 closest recruiting profiles since 2018 shared the Hybrid Nickel archetype.~our read · projection from recruiting profile — no college snaps yet
Market outlook
Season expectations
Win total3 booksO/U 5.5
CFP championship#110 in field+100000
Sun Belt title#9 in market+1300
Sportsbook consensus · best odds across multiple books · 2026-08-06
App State · Next-Season Outcome Band
App State · Next-Season Outcome BandFloor / Base / Ceiling
Floor 4-8
Base 7-6
Ceiling 9-4
floor4-8No postseason.
base7-6Bowl game.
ceiling9-4Bowl game.
Final-season-aware projection: floor / base / ceiling include conference title and CFP games where the model supports them, so a ceiling can exceed a 12-game regular season.
How the room reacted
Following now · App State · Developing Confidence
App State: coordinator change reshaping a unit.
App State: coordinator change reshaping a unit.
near-unanimous belief
where the takes land · dot = how loud
DOUBTBELIEF
Believers8 bull takes
💬 fans: 20% volume
The saga so far~3 months old
Jun 1RB Ja'Quez Cross transfer commits from Arkansas State — CFBD /player/portal
Jun 1RB Ja'Quez Cross transfers from Arkansas State to App State — Portal-moves table (verified)
May 14DL Siolaa Lolohea transfer commits from Oklahoma — CFBD /player/portal
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
Dowell Loggains inherits a 5-8 losing record and a program defined by its 2007 Michigan upset, raising questions about whether this coordinator-driven rebuild can reclaim Sun Belt relevance.
Source of record: App State: coordinator change reshaping a unit.
How each room is reacting — tap to expand
📣Believers8 bullish items -- the case it's working.›
The optimistic read: momentum, and the 'this is real' takes.
“App State AD Gillin to CFP selection committee”
Espn CFB · 2026-08-05 · read ↗
“App State’s Gillin Appointed to CFP Selection Committee”
WataugaOnline.com · 2026-08-04 · read ↗
“CFP adds App State AD Doug Gillin to selection committee”
ESPN · 2026-08-04 · read ↗
🧐SkepticsNo prominent dissent — the coverage runs one way.›
The analytical counter: rankings, results, and 'the hype is ahead of the tape' takes.
Nothing in our corpus yet — this door stays open for when there is.
💬The boards20% of recent board volume — the fanbase is locked in.›
This event was in 132 of 646 board posts (20%) over the last 60 days — a fanbase consumed by it. Fan text shown verbatim, attributed to the community not the individual poster.
"Yes price certainly affected my daughter’s decision. We wouldn’t really consider private. And she was accepted at the 2 out of state schools she would have preferred to be at but t"
Yosef's Cabin ~ fan take
"Meanwhile, Arizona State is adding a program for social media content creation and influencing. ... -creation/ Statistics: Posted by wb247 — Wed Aug 05, 2026 3:38 pm"
Yosef's Cabin ~ fan take
The boards ≠ the fanbase: a vocal, self-selected slice.
Developing · App State · Transfer portal Confidence
App State went deep in the portal this cycle. Portal volume is the start of the story, not the verdict.
App State signed a top-64 transfer-portal class — 38 additions headlined by Malachi Singleton (QB) from Purdue and Tommy Ulatowski (QB) from Kennesaw State. It is program's highest-ranked portal class on record. Portal pickups don't redshirt. The coverage sees this as a targeted, ready-to-contribute class built for snap competition, not depth-chart filler. The coverage reads this as a credible, targeted haul.
near-unanimous belief
where the takes land · dot = how loud
DOUBTBELIEF
Believers11 bull takes
💬 fans: 14% volume
The saga so far~4 months old
Jun 27Appalachian State Mountaineers 2026 College Football Transfer Portal Position Rankings — 247Sports
Jun 1RB Ja'Quez Cross transfer commits from Arkansas State — CFBD /player/portal
Jun 1RB Ja'Quez Cross transfers from Arkansas State to App State — Portal-moves table (verified)
May 14DL Siolaa Lolohea transfer commits from Oklahoma — CFBD /player/portal
Apr 30App State football: Ins and outs of the transfer portal — theappalachianonline.com
The cast who's driving the story · latest headline on each, attributed
Malachi Singleton QB · Purdue
Tommy Ulatowski QB · Kennesaw State
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
Loggains' top-6 portal class arrives with just 14% production returning and zero holdovers from last year's 5-8 record — a full rebuild for App State.
Next · what to watch
The non-obvious question after any portal class isn't who signed — it's who just lost their job. Depth-chart displacement is the untold second chapter: one starter-level arrival means a returning contributor is now competing or transferring out. Watch depth-chart competition in fall camp — that's where portal classes win or lose their billing. The boards are already there — one thread raises exactly this.
Source of record: App State signed a top-64 transfer-portal class — 38 additions headlined by Malachi Singleton (QB) from Purdue and Tommy Ulatowski (QB) from Kennesaw State — program's highest-ranked portal class on record.
How each room reacted — tap to expand
📣Believers11 bullish/portal items -- the case it's working.›
The 'portal class fills the gaps' believers -- upgrades at real positions of need.
“‘Dom the Bomb,’ new coordinator Jeff Crosby head App State transfer haul that will power UNT’s special teams - Denton Record-Chronicle”
news · 2026-03-29 · read ↗
“Alabama adds App State, Tennessee RB via NCAA transfer portal, per reports”
Yahoo Sports · 2026-01-31 · read ↗
“Appalachian State transfer, former Tennessee RB Khalifa Keith commits to Alabama”
Yahoo Sports · 2026-01-31 · read ↗
🧐SkepticsNo prominent dissent — the coverage runs one way.›
The 'portal is a gamble' counter -- departure losses and the 'plug-and-play doesn't work' read.
Nothing in our corpus yet — this door stays open for when there is.
💬The boards14% of recent board volume — the fanbase is locked in.›
This event was in 93 of 646 board posts (14%) over the last 60 days — a fanbase consumed by it. Fan text shown verbatim, attributed to the community not the individual poster.
"Semi loaded in the backfield. We’ve got returning production and what were some high rated prospects. Do we have"
Yosef's Cabin ~ fan take
"So I am an incoming transfer to app, I applied for housing as a transfer because I didn’t have anywhere else to stay and it was not guaranteed. I signed my housing agreement on the"
r/appstate ~ fan take
The boards ≠ the fanbase: a vocal, self-selected slice.
Recent Form · last 10 games
Cold
One of five. The film room is busy this week.
Streak L2Last 5 · 1-4Last 10 · 3-7
The forecast
Opens Sep 5
vs Maine · at home
PoorPass-first, spreadSoft
~ our read on style
Rival pulse
Charlotte
Hopeful+7
Charlotte-App State
Coastal Carolina
Hopeful+7
Coastal-App State
Fan mood index · most recent r/cfb data
Recruiting Footprint · 2026
Recruiting Footprint · 2026
27
SC · 7GA · 6NC · 6FL · 4AR · 3TN · 1
SC leads the 2026 class with 7 commits. National footprint reaching 6 states.
Where they recruit · 2023-2026
82 signees across 12 states, 2023-2026. GA leads the pull.
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
National spotlight
5 games with TV coverage: 2 ESPN, 1 cable, 2 streaming
Kickoff windows: 1 noon, 1 afternoon, 3 primetime
Fumble luck
The bounces have gone their way on the fumbles they've forced: 56% recovered, vs. ~49% expected.
5 of 9 forced fumbles recovered; 3 of 6 own fumbles recovered themselves, 2025 only.
Takeaway conversion
Cashing in at a normal clip: 19% of disrupted passes intercepted, close to ~19% league-wide.
9 interceptions of 47 disrupted passes (38 deflected, 9 intercepted), 2025 only.
Penalty battle
The flags haven't favored them: 88 penalties committed vs. 67 drawn on opponents, 171 yards behind.
816 penalty yards committed vs. 645 drawn on opponents, 2025 season total.
The Pulse on App State
64
Δ +4.5 vs last wk
26
mentions this week · conversation velocity
What moved it — fall camp · last 14 days
Camp
Fall camp open — install + scrimmage cycle
ongoing
Kickoff
Season opener in 16 days
kickoff
"Mountaineers"
— App State fanbase · recurring line
Fanbase Signals
Cohort Divergence1 pctSpread between sub-fanbase cohorts in the Pulse window.
The Fever Year
Position = mood · width = volume · color = the kind of feeling
Cr/CFB
GGoogle News
UUnderdog Dynasty
CCampus paper
YYosef's Cabin
BBluesky
YYouTube
What little we hear
Only 3 cohort(s) cleared the signal floor this week, so we won’t stage a split we can’t back. Here’s the honest read:
Millennials+0.22
Analytics crowd+0.22
National take+0.21
112 mentions · 7 sources · week 2026-01. Counts, sources and the divergence rank are measured (fact). Cohort labels and sentiment are a source-weighted model read (our read) — never a quote attributed to a person.
Belief checklow signal
~ our readNot enough App State chatter this week to read the room.
We read 26 App State posts this week — not enough to call the room. Check back during the season.
What fans are saying
Fan claims · every quote verified verbatim
program directionEarly signal — few voices
App State has previously dominated the Sun Belt
Appalachian State has endured a few down years lately but this is a program we are used to seeing at the top of the Sun Belt.
Based on 1 comment from 1 poster across 1 thread · Jul 28, 2026 · via appstate
Five Lenses
What people are saying right now
Radio, beat writers & editorial15 posts
Diehard fan boards16 posts
News & campus coverage10 posts
Fanbase Health Index · App State · high confidence
Fanbase Health Index · App State · high confidenceGrowing (55)
DecliningStableGrowingSurging
On-Field — 5-8 (38% win rate)50
Volume — 296 effective signal-N79
Cohort Engagement — Divergence 0.01 — quiet35
Fanbase Voice
311 fan mentions
Believers
vs the 28 highest-volume fanbases - 2026 season
Key stats — 2025 — FBS rank
Points/game#89 / 138 · 36th pct24.2
Pts allowed/game#98 / 138 · 30th pct29.8
Total yards/gm#63 / 136 · 54th pct384.9
Rush yards/gm#95 / 136 · 31st pct128.4
Pass yards/gm#38 / 136 · 73rd pct256.5
Yards allowed/gm#127 / 136 · 7th pct417.1
Rush yds allowed/gm#75 / 136 · 46th pct149.5
Sacks#50 / 136 · 64th pct29
Interceptions#34 / 136 · 76th pct13
3rd-down conv#123 / 136 · 10th pct32.8%
All 98 stats
Offense / Defense
Total yards
Team5004384.9/gm5.45/play#63 / 136 · 54th pct#38 / 70 · 47th pct#5 / 14 · 71st pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct
Opp5422417.1/gm5.79/play#127 / 136 · 7th pct#68 / 70 · 4th pct#12 / 14 · 21st pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct
Rush yards
Team1669128.4/gm1.82/play#95 / 136 · 31st pct#51 / 70 · 29th pct#11 / 14 · 29th pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct
Opp1944149.5/gm2.08/play#75 / 136 · 46th pct#48 / 70 · 33rd pct#5 / 14 · 71st pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct
Rush carries
Team41031.5/gm#96 / 136 · 30th pct#48 / 70 · 33rd pct#13 / 14 · 14th pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct
Opp46936.1/gm#89 / 136 · 35th pct#53 / 70 · 26th pct#6 / 14 · 64th pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct
Rush TDs
Team120.9/gm#111 / 136 · 19th pct#59 / 70 · 17th pct#12 / 14 · 21st pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct
Opp231.8/gm#93 / 136 · 32nd pct#55 / 70 · 23rd pct#6 / 14 · 64th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct
Net pass yards
Team3335256.5/gm3.63/play#38 / 136 · 73rd pct#23 / 70 · 69th pct#3 / 14 · 86th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
Opp3478267.5/gm3.72/play#132 / 136 · 4th pct#67 / 70 · 6th pct#14 / 14 · 7th pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct
Pass attempts
Team50839.1/gm#7 / 136 · 96th pct#4 / 70 · 96th pct#1 / 14 · 100th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct
Opp46735.9/gm#125 / 136 · 9th pct#64 / 70 · 10th pct#13 / 14 · 14th pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct
Completions
Team29923.0/gm#21 / 136 · 85th pct#15 / 70 · 80th pct#2 / 14 · 93rd pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct
Opp29622.8/gm#130 / 136 · 5th pct#65 / 70 · 9th pct#14 / 14 · 7th pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct
Pass TDs
Team231.8/gm#42 / 136 · 70th pct#27 / 70 · 63rd pct#4 / 14 · 79th pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct
Opp221.7/gm#100 / 136 · 27th pct#53 / 70 · 26th pct#11 / 14 · 29th pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct
Passer rating
Team123.8123.8#102 / 136 · 26th pct#59 / 70 · 17th pct#10 / 14 · 36th pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct
Opp135.1135.1#77 / 136 · 44th pct#41 / 70 · 43rd pct#7 / 14 · 57th pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct
Interceptions thrown
Team151.2/gm#7 / 136 · 96th pct#1 / 70 · 100th pct#1 / 14 · 100th pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct
Opp131.0/gm#96 / 136 · 30th pct#49 / 70 · 31st pct#9 / 14 · 43rd pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct
Sacks (def)
Team292.2/gm#50 / 136 · 64th pct#32 / 70 · 56th pct#6 / 14 · 64th pct#6 / 10 · 50th pct
Opp282.2/gm#95 / 136 · 31st pct#46 / 70 · 36th pct#11 / 14 · 29th pct#10 / 10 · 10th pct
Tackles for loss
Team755.8/gm#49 / 136 · 65th pct#28 / 70 · 61st pct#7 / 14 · 57th pct#7 / 10 · 40th pct
Opp594.5/gm#35 / 136 · 75th pct#20 / 70 · 73rd pct#3 / 14 · 86th pct#4 / 10 · 70th pct
First downs
Team27421.1/gm#51 / 136 · 63rd pct#30 / 70 · 59th pct#6 / 14 · 64th pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct
Opp29622.8/gm#130 / 136 · 5th pct#69 / 70 · 3rd pct#13 / 14 · 14th pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct
3rd-down conv
Team614.7/gm#100 / 136 · 27th pct#53 / 70 · 26th pct#12 / 14 · 21st pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct
Opp786.0/gm#122 / 136 · 11th pct#65 / 70 · 9th pct#12 / 14 · 21st pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct
3rd-down att
Team18614.3/gm#31 / 136 · 78th pct#12 / 70 · 84th pct#7 / 14 · 57th pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct
Opp18414.2/gm#93 / 136 · 32nd pct#49 / 70 · 31st pct#8 / 14 · 50th pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct
4th-down conv
Team201.5/gm#15 / 136 · 90th pct#7 / 70 · 91st pct#1 / 14 · 100th pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct
Opp110.8/gm#32 / 136 · 77th pct#14 / 70 · 81st pct#5 / 14 · 71st pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct
4th-down att
Team322.5/gm#26 / 136 · 82nd pct#10 / 70 · 87th pct#4 / 14 · 79th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
Opp201.5/gm#27 / 136 · 81st pct#15 / 70 · 80th pct#2 / 14 · 93rd pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
Time of possession
Team367:4228:17/gm#84 / 136 · 39th pct#44 / 70 · 39th pct#9 / 14 · 43rd pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct
Opp412:1131:42/gm#116 / 136 · 15th pct#60 / 70 · 16th pct#11 / 14 · 29th pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct
Kicking & Punting
Field goals#66 / 135 · 52nd pct20/26 (76.9%)
Extra points31/31
Punting#59 / 136 · 57th pct43.8 avg · 56 punts
Turnovers & special teams
Turnovers
Team221.7/gm#13 / 136 · 91st pct#4 / 70 · 96th pct#3 / 14 · 86th pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct
Opp191.5/gm#89 / 136 · 35th pct#46 / 70 · 36th pct#8 / 14 · 50th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
Fumbles lost
Team70.5/gm#51 / 136 · 63rd pct#22 / 70 · 70th pct#5 / 14 · 71st pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct
Opp60.5/gm#49 / 136 · 65th pct#23 / 70 · 69th pct#5 / 14 · 71st pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
INT return TDs
Team00.0/gm#76 / 135 · 44th pct#39 / 70 · 46th pct#8 / 14 · 50th pct#9 / 10 · 20th pct
Opp30.2/gm#129 / 136 · 6th pct#66 / 70 · 7th pct#14 / 14 · 7th pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct
INT return yards
Team997.6/gm#82 / 136 · 40th pct#41 / 70 · 43rd pct#7 / 14 · 57th pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct
Opp17413.4/gm#104 / 136 · 24th pct#53 / 70 · 26th pct#12 / 14 · 21st pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct
Punt ret yds
Team19715.2/gm#40 / 136 · 71st pct#26 / 70 · 64th pct#4 / 14 · 79th pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct
Opp1289.8/gm#80 / 136 · 42nd pct#45 / 70 · 37th pct#7 / 14 · 57th pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct
Punt ret TDs
Team10.1/gm#14 / 135 · 90th pct#11 / 70 · 86th pct#1 / 14 · 100th pct#2 / 10 · 90th pct
Opp00.0/gm#1 / 135 · 100th pct#1 / 70 · 100th pct#1 / 14 · 100th pct#1 / 10 · 100th pct
Kick ret yds
Team55242.5/gm#37 / 136 · 74th pct#15 / 70 · 80th pct#7 / 14 · 57th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct
Opp28822.2/gm#33 / 136 · 76th pct#23 / 70 · 69th pct#4 / 14 · 79th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct
Kick ret TDs
Team00.0/gm#40 / 136 · 71st pct#17 / 70 · 77th pct#7 / 14 · 57th pct#7 / 10 · 40th pct
Opp00.0/gm#1 / 135 · 100th pct#1 / 70 · 100th pct#1 / 14 · 100th pct#1 / 11 · 100th pct
Penalty yards
Team81662.8/gm#20 / 136 · 86th pct#10 / 70 · 87th pct#3 / 14 · 86th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
Opp64549.6/gm#62 / 136 · 55th pct#37 / 70 · 49th pct#4 / 14 · 79th pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct
Other
Kick returns#22 / 136 · 85th pct#6 / 70 · 93rd pct#5 / 14 · 71st pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct292.2/gm
Red zone pass rate#25 / 154 · 84th pct#9 / 70 · 89th pct#1 / 14 · 100th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct0.50.0/gm
Interceptions (def)#34 / 136 · 76th pct#19 / 70 · 74th pct#5 / 14 · 71st pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct131.0/gm
Penalties (opp)#37 / 136 · 74th pct#22 / 70 · 70th pct#3 / 14 · 86th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct675.2/gm
Penalties#37 / 136 · 74th pct#20 / 70 · 73rd pct#6 / 14 · 64th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct886.8/gm
Kick ret (opp)#40 / 136 · 71st pct#26 / 70 · 64th pct#5 / 14 · 71st pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct151.2/gm
Fourth down go rate#45 / 138 · 68th pct#19 / 70 · 74th pct#5 / 14 · 71st pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct0.40.0/gm
Punt returns#51 / 136 · 63rd pct#31 / 70 · 57th pct#8 / 14 · 50th pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct181.4/gm
H2 epa per play#59 / 142 · 59th pct#32 / 70 · 56th pct#5 / 14 · 71st pct0.20.0/gm
Fumbles recovered#70 / 136 · 49th pct#33 / 70 · 54th pct#9 / 14 · 43rd pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct60.5/gm
Fumbles rec (def)#71 / 136 · 49th pct#44 / 70 · 39th pct#9 / 14 · 43rd pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct70.5/gm
H1 epa per play opponent#74 / 167 · 56th pct#39 / 70 · 46th pct#6 / 14 · 64th pct0.20.0/gm
H2 epa per play opponent#74 / 143 · 49th pct#39 / 70 · 46th pct#7 / 14 · 57th pct0.20.0/gm
First down pass rate#88 / 215 · 60th pct#31 / 70 · 57th pct#4 / 14 · 79th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct0.50.0/gm
Punt ret (opp)#94 / 136 · 32nd pct#57 / 70 · 20th pct#8 / 14 · 50th pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct181.4/gm
H1 epa per play#97 / 162 · 41st pct#53 / 70 · 26th pct#10 / 14 · 36th pct0.20.0/gm
Recruiting rating#116 / 138 · 17th pct#70 / 70 · 1st pct#12 / 14 · 21st pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct125.99.7/gm
Passes intercepted opponent#126 / 136 · 8th pct#67 / 70 · 6th pct#14 / 14 · 7th pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct151.2/gm
Situational
3rd-down conversion
Off32.8%#123 / 136 · 10th pct#66 / 70 · 7th pct#13 / 14 · 14th pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct
Def42.4%#106 / 136 · 23rd pct#60 / 70 · 16th pct#9 / 14 · 43rd pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct
4th-down conversion
Off62.5%#27 / 136 · 81st pct#19 / 70 · 74th pct#1 / 14 · 100th pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct
Def55.0%#76 / 136 · 45th pct#38 / 70 · 47th pct#10 / 14 · 36th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct
Turnover margin#86 / 136 · 38th pct#46 / 70 · 36th pct#11 / 14 · 29th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct-0.23/gm
Sack rate (def)#83 / 136 · 40th pct#50 / 70 · 30th pct#8 / 14 · 50th pct#10 / 10 · 10th pct6.2%
Red Zone & Drive Efficiency (2014– , play-by-play derived)
Red zone trips
Team453.5/gm#61 / 167 · 64th pct#37 / 70 · 49th pct#6 / 14 · 64th pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct
Opp524.0/gm#149 / 166 · 11th pct#63 / 70 · 11th pct#11 / 14 · 29th pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct
Red zone score %
Team88.9%88.9%#16 / 167 · 91st pct#6 / 70 · 93rd pct#1 / 14 · 100th pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct
Opp80.8%80.8%#102 / 166 · 39th pct#50 / 70 · 30th pct#11 / 14 · 29th pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct
Points / drive
Team1.90.1/gm#86 / 167 · 49th pct#49 / 70 · 31st pct#7 / 14 · 57th pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct
Opp2.10.2/gm#105 / 166 · 37th pct#59 / 70 · 17th pct#9 / 14 · 43rd pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct
Yards / drive
Team40.93.1/gm#75 / 167 · 56th pct#45 / 70 · 37th pct#6 / 14 · 64th pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct
Opp43.83.4/gm#131 / 166 · 22nd pct#62 / 70 · 13th pct#12 / 14 · 21st pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct
Plays / drive
Team6.70.5/gm#54 / 167 · 68th pct#30 / 70 · 59th pct#4 / 14 · 79th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
Opp6.90.5/gm#128 / 166 · 23rd pct#54 / 70 · 24th pct#12 / 14 · 21st pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct
Three-and-out rate
Team20.3%20.3%#140 / 167 · 17th pct#67 / 70 · 6th pct#14 / 14 · 7th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct
Opp12.2%12.2%#102 / 166 · 39th pct#51 / 70 · 29th pct#7 / 14 · 57th pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct
Scheme Identity (2014– , play-by-play derived)
Rush rate over expected#122 / 145 · 17th pct#60 / 70 · 16th pct#13 / 14 · 14th pct-6.3%-6.3%
Havoc rate
Team17.3%17.3%#40 / 140 · 72nd pct#27 / 70 · 63rd pct#4 / 14 · 79th pct
Opp17.4%17.4%#109 / 140 · 23rd pct#57 / 70 · 20th pct#10 / 14 · 36th pct
Standard-downs success
Team46.7%46.7%#89 / 154 · 43rd pct#49 / 70 · 31st pct#8 / 14 · 50th pct
Opp50.8%50.8%#122 / 172 · 30th pct#58 / 70 · 19th pct#11 / 14 · 29th pct
Passing-downs success
Team35.0%35.0%#31 / 153 · 80th pct#20 / 70 · 73rd pct#2 / 14 · 93rd pct
Opp33.9%33.9%#120 / 149 · 20th pct#58 / 70 · 19th pct#12 / 14 · 21st pct
Line yards / carry
Team3.13.1#42 / 143 · 71st pct#24 / 70 · 67th pct#4 / 14 · 79th pct
Opp2.82.8#61 / 155 · 61st pct#36 / 70 · 50th pct#6 / 14 · 64th pct
Stuff rate
Team15.4%15.4%#24 / 143 · 84th pct#13 / 70 · 83rd pct#2 / 14 · 93rd pct
Opp17.2%17.2%#96 / 155 · 39th pct#50 / 70 · 30th pct#10 / 14 · 36th pct
Power success rate
Team62.9%62.9%#109 / 137 · 21st pct#58 / 70 · 19th pct#11 / 14 · 29th pct
Opp70.3%70.3%#76 / 141 · 47th pct#39 / 70 · 46th pct#10 / 14 · 36th pct
Efficiency
Completion %
Off58.9%#103 / 136 · 25th pct#61 / 70 · 14th pct#8 / 14 · 50th pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct
Def63.4%#88 / 136 · 36th pct#46 / 70 · 36th pct#10 / 14 · 36th pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct
Yards / attempt
Off6.6#101 / 136 · 26th pct#57 / 70 · 20th pct#10 / 14 · 36th pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct
Def7.4#89 / 136 · 35th pct#52 / 70 · 27th pct#8 / 14 · 50th pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct
Yards / completion
Off11.2#84 / 136 · 39th pct#48 / 70 · 33rd pct#9 / 14 · 43rd pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct
Def11.8#85 / 136 · 38th pct#53 / 70 · 26th pct#6 / 14 · 64th pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct
Yards / carry#90 / 136 · 35th pct#47 / 70 · 34th pct#10 / 14 · 36th pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct4.1
Yards / play#91 / 136 · 34th pct#52 / 70 · 27th pct#8 / 14 · 50th pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct5.45
Scoring margin#105 / 136 · 24th pct#60 / 70 · 16th pct#11 / 14 · 29th pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct-5.6/gm
FBS rankings · 2025 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs
Player stats — 2025 season
Quarterbacks
| Player | # | G | Cmp/Att | Pct | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT | Rate | QBR | Adj ANY/A | Sack% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pocket Passer · +0.05 EPA/play | 5 | 7 | 130 / 222 | 58.6 | 1494 | 6.7 | 10 | 8 | 122.7 | 38.2 | 5.6 | 3.5 | |
Yards by week → Pocket PasserBalanced passer who operates within the system, without one standout number carrying the profile. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. The most common profile in its group this season — 97 of 183 classified this way. Played in 7 of 21 games this season · junior View AJ Swann's full player page | |||||||||||||
| Pocket Passer · +0.36 EPA/play | 17 | 8 | 133 / 216 | 61.6 | 1465 | 6.8 | 12 | 2 | 135.0 | 59.9 | 7.0 | 3.6 | |
Yards by week → Pocket Passer· Money-downBalanced passer who operates within the system, without one standout number carrying the profile. saves his best for the money downs Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 97 of 183 QBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / attempt6.5 bottom 18th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts INT rate0.9% 91th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Trait fingerprint Plays like View JJ Kohl's full player page | |||||||||||||
| -0.51 EPA/play | 11 | 4 | 17 / 39 | 43.6 | 175 | 4.5 | 0 | 2 | 71.0 | 3.0 | — | — | |
Yards by week → | |||||||||||||
| -0.10 EPA/play | 6 | 1 | 12 / 22 | 54.5 | 128 | 5.8 | 0 | 2 | 85.2 | 59.5 | — | — | |
Yards by week → | |||||||||||||
Running Backs
| Player | # | G | Car | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | 3rd Dn Use | Pass Dn Use | Stuff% | 10+% | Tgt Share | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Back · +0.08 EPA/play | 7 | 12 | 174 | 868 #67 FBS | 5.0 | 4 | 39 | 14.1 | 14.0 | 13.2 | 13.8 | 8.9% (40/451) | |
Yards by week → Balanced BackPlays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension. All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started. The most common profile in its group this season — 186 of 349 classified this way. Played in 12 of 21 games this season · senior View Rashod Dubinion's full player page | |||||||||||||
| Satellite Back · +0.04 EPA/play | 22 | 13 | 140 | 618 | 4.4 | 6 | 27 | 10.6 | 13.4 | 14.7 | 13.2 | 7.8% (35/451) | |
Yards by week → Satellite BackDeployed as a receiver as much as a runner. Value is in space, not between the tackles. Starter — over 60% of the snaps, holding the job. 50 of 349 RBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Receiving share18.6% 86th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Yards / carry4.3 bottom 19th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Trait fingerprint Plays like View Jaquari Lewis's full player page | |||||||||||||
Receivers
| Player | # | G | Rec | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | 3rd Dn Use | Pass Dn Use | Tgt Share | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Threat · +0.54 EPA/play | 8 | 13 | 35 | 665 | 19 | 4 | 72 | 7.5 | 8.9 | 13.3% (60/451) | |
Yards by week → Deep ThreatStretches the field vertically. Every snap is a potential big play. All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started. 100 of 558 WRs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / reception20.1 97th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions TD rate11.4% 68th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like our readAscending: his CFB Index score climbed from the 38th percentile to the 73rd among FBS WRs | |||||||||||
| Slot Technician · +0.36 EPA/play | 15 | 9 | 55 | 608 | 11.1 | 7 #38 FBS | 59 | 17.8 | 13.3 | 18.0% (81/451) | |
Yards by week → Slot Technician· Return threatRuns precise routes in tight quarters. Volume player who keeps chains moving. a house-call threat every time he fields it Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 97 of 558 WRs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Reception volume55 86th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions TD rate12.7% 75th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Jaden Barnes's full player page | |||||||||||
| Deep Threat · +0.87 EPA/play | 1 | 8 | 20 | 448 | 22.4 | 5 | 68 | 13.7 | 14.7 | 10.0% (45/451) | |
Yards by week → Deep Threat· Money-downStretches the field vertically. Every snap is a potential big play. lives on the sticks and moves the chains 100 of 558 WRs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / reception23.2 100th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions TD rate25.0% 100th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Davion Dozier's full player page | |||||||||||
| Complete TE · +0.57 EPA/play | 4 | 8 | 37 | 374 | 10.1 | 1 | 30 | 6.8 | 7.6 | 9.8% (44/451) | |
Yards by week → Complete TENo single go-to route — the receiving numbers show up inline and split out alike. All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started. The most common profile in its group this season — 177 of 223 classified this way. Played in 8 of 21 games this season · senior View Izayah Cummings's full player page | |||||||||||
| Complete TE · +0.32 EPA/play | 85 | 10 | 25 | 218 | 8.7 | 2 | 40 | 5.3 | 6.6 | 6.4% (29/451) | |
Yards by week → Complete TENo single go-to route — the receiving numbers show up inline and split out alike. The most common profile in its group this season — 177 of 223 classified this way. Played in 10 of 21 games this season · senior · 3-star, 2021 class View David Larkins's full player page | |||||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.18 EPA/play | 3 | 7 | 24 | 207 | 8.6 | 1 | 24 | 14.0 | 10.6 | 8.4% (38/451) | |
Yards by week → Possession ReceiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. 332 of 558 WRs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / reception7.0 bottom 5th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions EPA / play (adj)0.2 bottom 12th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Sam Mbake's full player page | |||||||||||
| Complete TE · +0.16 EPA/play | 86 | 7 | 13 | 142 | 10.9 | 2 | 35 | 1.2 | 2.3 | 4.7% (21/451) | |
Yards by week → Complete TENo single go-to route — the receiving numbers show up inline and split out alike. The most common profile in its group this season — 177 of 223 classified this way. Played in 7 of 21 games this season · junior · 3-star, 2022 class View Kanen Hamlett's full player page | |||||||||||
| +0.21 EPA/play | 16 | 6 | 9 | 91 | 10.1 | 1 | 18 | 3.5 | 4.2 | 4.0% (18/451) | |
Yards by week → | |||||||||||
| +0.20 EPA/play | 12 | 4 | 6 | 86 | 14.3 | 0 | 19 | 9.8 | 8.4 | 3.3% (15/451) | |
Yards by week → | |||||||||||
Defensive Line
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | TFL | Sack | Hur |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 97 | 12 | 43 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 5 |
3-Tech PenetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. Starter — over 60% of the snaps, holding the job. 269 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate16.3% 57th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like our readTwo-star recruit — top-quartile production against his own recruiting profile | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 44 | 12 | 39 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
Two-Gap BaseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. Starter — over 60% of the snaps, holding the job. 388 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate12.8% bottom 43th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like our readUnranked recruit — top-quartile production against his own recruiting profile | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 33 | 12 | 38 | 12 | 5 | 4.5 | 8 |
3-Tech PenetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. Starter — over 60% of the snaps, holding the job. 269 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate13.2% bottom 44th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Aiden Benton's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 9 | 12 | 37 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 5 |
Two-Gap BaseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. Starter — over 60% of the snaps, holding the job. 388 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate18.9% 67th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like our readUnranked recruit — top-quartile production against his own recruiting profile | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 15 | 8 | 25 | 12 | 5.5 | 3 | 2 |
3-Tech PenetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. 269 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate22.0% 78th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Thomas Davis's full player page | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 93 | 12 | 23 | 9 | 1 | 0.5 | 5 |
3-Tech PenetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. 269 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate4.3% bottom 14th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View DeNigel Cooper's full player page | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 41 | 10 | 22 | 11 | 4 | 3.5 | 3 |
3-Tech PenetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. 269 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate18.2% 64th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Caleb Sandstrom's full player page | |||||||
| Nose Anchor | 96 | 6 | 14 | 7 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0 |
Nose AnchorThe heaviest frame on the interior. Sack production is intentionally not the point of this profile. 152 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Weight335 lb 97th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Saint Farrior's full player page | |||||||
| 45 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 2.5 | 1 | 0 | |
| 94 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 99 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 | |
Linebackers
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | Ast | TFL | Sack | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Linebacker | 10 | 13 | 101 | 43 | 58 | 9.5 | 2 | 3 | 3 #56 FBS |
Balanced LinebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started. 362 of 660 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume101 96th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Sack rate2.0% bottom 38th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Colton Phares's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 56 | 12 | 56 | 18 | 38 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
Balanced LinebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 362 of 660 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume56 57th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles TFL rate1.8% bottom 14th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Kyle Arnholt's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | — | 12 | 39 | 16 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Balanced LinebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. The most common profile in its group this season — 362 of 660 classified this way. Played in 12 of 21 games this season · senior View Jaelin Willis's full player page | |||||||||
| Coverage 'Backer | 12 | 11 | 32 | 14 | 18 | 4.5 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
Coverage 'BackerCarries tight ends and patrols the middle of the field in coverage. The rare part: he covers, too — and he gets home, too 99 of 660 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate6.2% 90th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Hurry rate0.2 97th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles — the part the label misses Trait fingerprint Plays like View Brayshawn Littlejohn's full player page | |||||||||
| Coverage 'Backer | 22 | 9 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 0.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Coverage 'BackerCarries tight ends and patrols the middle of the field in coverage. 99 of 660 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate6.7% 93th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Tackle volume15 bottom 10th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Ronnie Porter's full player page | |||||||||
Defensive Backs
| Player | # | G | Tot | PD | INT | TFL | Sack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Box Safety | 21 | 11 | 73 | 5 | 2 | 1.5 | 0 |
Box SafetyLives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker. 166 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume73 93th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like our readAscending: his CFB Index score now sits at the 88th percentile among FBS Ss, up from the 47th | |||||||
| Box Safety | 5 | 11 | 72 | 4 | 2 | 3.5 | 0 |
Box SafetyLives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker. Impact starter — above-average production for the conference. 166 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume72 92th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Zyeir Gamble's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 13 | 11 | 52 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
Hybrid NickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. The most common profile in its group this season — 419 of 801 classified this way. Played in 11 of 21 games this season · junior our readBreakout: his CFB Index score went from the 1st percentile among FBS Ss to the 69th | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 6 | 12 | 49 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Hybrid NickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. The most common profile in its group this season — 419 of 801 classified this way. Played in 12 of 21 games this season · junior View Emory Floyd's full player page | |||||||
| Rover | 2 | 13 | 44 | 11 #12 FBS | 1 | 2 | 0 |
RoverHits like a linebacker and still takes the ball away. All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started. 83 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate25.0% 99th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like our readUnranked recruit — top-quartile production against his own recruiting profile our readReinvented: changed shape entirely — Centerfielder to Rover, his CFB Index score went from the 8th percentile among FBS Ss to the 82nd | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 8 | 9 | 32 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
Hybrid NickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. The most common profile in its group this season — 419 of 801 classified this way. Played in 9 of 21 games this season · junior View Dylan Hasz's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 7 | 9 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Hybrid NickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. The most common profile in its group this season — 419 of 801 classified this way. Played in 9 of 21 games this season · senior · 3-star, 2021 class View Jordan Favors's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 27 | 6 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 |
Hybrid NickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. The most common profile in its group this season — 419 of 801 classified this way. Played in 6 of 21 games this season · sophomore View Cam Fleming's full player page | |||||||
| 18 | 2 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| 11 | 7 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| 4 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 | |
Kicking
| Player | # | G | FG M/A | FG% | XP M/A | Pts | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steady | 90 | 12 | 20/26 | 76.9 | 31/31 | 91 | 49 |
Punting
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | Long | In20 | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steady | 37 | 13 | 56 | 2454 | 43.8 | 70 | 10 | 1 |
Net average is unavailable — CFBD's punting feed carries gross yards only, with no return-yardage or touchback deduction.
Kick Returns
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +0.26 EPA/play | 26 | 11 | 18 | 359 | 19.9 | 0 | 28 |
Punt Returns
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slot Technician · +0.36 EPA/play | 15 | 9 | 16 | 154 | 9.6 | 1 | 77 |
2025 stat leaders
final
2025 stat leaders
1.
Colton Phares
LB
101 tot (def)
2.
DJ Burks
DB
73.0 tot (def)
3.
Zyeir Gamble
DB
72.0 tot (def)
4.
Rashod Dubinion
RB
868 yds (rush)
5.
Kyle Arnholt
LB
56.0 tot (def)
Roster
2025
27
players carry a qualified CFB Index Score this season.
Colton Phares
LB
#25 of 583
DJ Burks
S
#65 of 544
Zyeir Gamble
S
#69 of 544
Ethan Johnson
CB
#80 of 364
Kevin Abrams-Verwayne
EDGE
#95 of 420
Jaden Barnes
WR
#122 of 485
+21 more
App State · 2025 schedule & results5-8Hard slateAverage opponent win rate 46% · 2 AP top-25 opponents on the schedule.
| Wk | Date | Us | Opp | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 29 | #121 | #240 | -3 | Charlotte (N) | W 34–11 88 | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| 2 | Sep 6 | #150 | #214 | -29.5 | Lindenwood | W 20–13 67 | 2-0 | 0-0 |
| 3 | Sep 13 | #135 | #218 | -2.5 | @Southern Miss | L 22–38 146 | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| 5 | Sep 27 | #142 | #33 | +17.5 | @Boise State | L 14–47 139 | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| 6 | Oct 4 | #146 | #94 | -2.5 | Oregon State | W 27–23 134 | 3-2 | 0-1 |
| 7 | Oct 11 | #144 | #148 | -2.5 | @Georgia State | W 41–20 155 | 4-2 | 1-1 |
| 8 | Oct 18 | #132 | #133 | -10.5 | Coastal Carolina | L 37–45 139 | 4-3 | 1-2 |
| 9 | Oct 25 | #141 | #53 | +13.5 | @Old Dominion | L 21–24 150 | 4-4 | 1-3 |
| 11 | Nov 7 | #131 | #121 | -5 | Georgia Southern | L 23–25 149 | 4-5 | 1-4 |
| 12 | Nov 15 | #143 | #23 | +19.5 | @James Madison | L 10–58 141 | 4-6 | 1-5 |
| 13 | Nov 22 | #158 | #73 | +3.5 | Marshall | W 26–24 140 | 5-6 | 2-5 |
| 14 | Nov 29 | #158 | #154 | +1.5 | Arkansas State | L 29–30 156 | 5-7 | 2-6 |
| Bowl Season | ||||||||
| 18 | Dec 29 | #152 | #118 | +10 | Georgia Southern (N) | L 10–29 | 5-8 | 2-7 |
Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, explosiveness)▼
| Date | Opp | Result | Yds | TO | TOP | EPA/play | Success% | Explosive% | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29 | Georgia Southern | L 10–29 | — | — | — | -0.030 | 48.4% | 94.7% | |
| Nov 29 | Arkansas State | L 29–30 | 453 | 1 | 29:29 | +0.172 | 43.6% | 117.4% | One-score loss |
| Nov 22 | Marshall | W 26–24 | 276 | 0 | 29:51 | +0.135 | 41.7% | 89.0% | One-score win |
| Nov 15 | @James Madison | L 10–58 | 146 | 1 | 17:42 | -0.143 | 19.2% | 176.1% | Most explosive |
| Nov 7 | Georgia Southern | L 23–25 | 425 | 1 | 27:40 | +0.177 | 43.6% | 151.0% | One-score loss |
| Oct 25 | @Old Dominion | L 21–24 | 374 | 2 | 24:41 | +0.033 | 33.8% | 152.8% | One-score loss |
| Oct 18 | Coastal Carolina | L 37–45 | 410 | 1 | 31:28 | +0.302 | 46.7% | 118.4% | Season-high EPA/play |
| Oct 11 | @Georgia State | W 41–20 | 445 | 0 | 31:47 | +0.164 | 40.0% | 125.6% | |
| Oct 4 | Oregon State | W 27–23 | 354 | 0 | 28:30 | +0.211 | 34.4% | 165.9% | One-score win |
| Sep 27 | @Boise State | L 14–47 | 184 | 4 | 21:50 | -0.231 | 24.1% | 118.7% | Season-low EPA/play |
| Sep 13 | @Southern Miss | L 22–38 | 470 | 3 | 36:29 | -0.062 | 40.9% | 123.7% | Defense's roughest night |
| Sep 6 | Lindenwood | W 20–13 | 502 | 4 | 24:52 | +0.169 | 48.5% | 89.1% | Best defensive stand |
| Aug 29 | Charlotte | W 34–11 | 586 | 1 | 33:58 | +0.209 | 53.3% | 96.8% | Best success rate |
| Season average (13 games) | 385 | 1.5 | +0.085 | 39.9% | 124.6% | ||||
How They Play · 2025
How They Play · 2025App State fields a struggling pass-first offense behind a leaky, bend-don't-break defense.
Opponent-adjusted percentiles vs all FBS. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.
Team identity · competitive snaps only
How App State actually scores
35th percentile quality, 47th percentile boom-dependency. Garbage time excluded from both axes — the same correction that changes the Q4 story below.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Quality percentile | Boom-share percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 86th | 11th |
| Akron | 12th | 89th |
| Alabama | 58th | 17th |
| App State | 35th | 47th |
| Arizona | 64th | 37th |
| Arizona State | 41st | 62nd |
| Arkansas | 90th | 12th |
| Arkansas State | 17th | 66th |
| Army | 57th | 43rd |
| Auburn | 47th | 53rd |
| BYU | 78th | 19th |
| Baylor | 69th | 25th |
| Boise State | 66th | 20th |
| Boston College | 37th | 54th |
| Bowling Green | 2nd | 98th |
| Buffalo | 11th | 88th |
| California | 28th | 48th |
| Central Michigan | 52nd | 64th |
| Cincinnati | 89th | 16th |
| Clemson | 51st | 48th |
| Coastal Carolina | 17th | 83rd |
| Colorado | 18th | 84th |
| Colorado State | 16th | 83rd |
| Delaware | 38th | 58th |
| Duke | 80th | 14th |
| East Carolina | 63rd | 36th |
| Eastern Michigan | 49th | 42nd |
| Florida | 30th | 67th |
| Florida Atlantic | 62nd | 59th |
| Florida International | 42nd | 50th |
| Florida State | 83rd | 32nd |
| Fresno State | 26th | 73rd |
| Georgia | 81st | 3rd |
| Georgia Southern | 73rd | 21st |
| Georgia State | 36th | 70th |
| Georgia Tech | 84th | 5th |
| Hawai'i | 64th | 41st |
| Houston | 27th | 65th |
| Illinois | 75th | 26th |
| Indiana | 95th | 1st |
| Iowa | 44th | 40th |
| Iowa State | 68th | 22nd |
| Jacksonville State | 54th | 38th |
| James Madison | 65th | 44th |
| Kansas | 85th | 28th |
| Kansas State | 71st | 49th |
| Kennesaw State | 56th | 30th |
| Kent State | 21st | 86th |
| Kentucky | 15th | 85th |
| LSU | 14th | 81st |
| Liberty | 43rd | 56th |
| Louisiana | 19th | 73rd |
| Louisiana Tech | 39th | 61st |
| Louisville | 48th | 64th |
| Marshall | 55th | 39th |
| Maryland | 30th | 74th |
| Memphis | 80th | 24th |
| Miami | 76th | 5th |
| Miami (OH) | 34th | 67th |
| Michigan | 67th | 33rd |
| Michigan State | 27th | 75th |
| Middle Tennessee | 39th | 52nd |
| Minnesota | 29th | 77th |
| Mississippi State | 22nd | 77th |
| Missouri | 61st | 30th |
| Missouri State | 55th | 46th |
| NC State | 86th | 23rd |
| Navy | 94th | 17th |
| Nebraska | 48th | 57th |
| Nevada | 3rd | 97th |
| New Mexico | 58th | 60th |
| New Mexico State | 9th | 87th |
| North Carolina | 13th | 89th |
| North Texas | 98th | 7th |
| Northern Illinois | 8th | 92nd |
| Northwestern | 52nd | 36th |
| Notre Dame | 99th | 20th |
| Ohio | 67th | 18th |
| Ohio State | 93rd | 4th |
| Oklahoma | 20th | 80th |
| Oklahoma State | 5th | 95th |
| Old Dominion | 83rd | 45th |
| Ole Miss | 89th | 2nd |
| Oregon | 91st | 10th |
| Oregon State | 2nd | 98th |
| Penn State | 73rd | 33rd |
| Pittsburgh | 60th | 39th |
| Purdue | 25th | 78th |
| Rice | 6th | 94th |
| Rutgers | 70th | 27th |
| SMU | 74th | 42nd |
| Sam Houston | 4th | 96th |
| San Diego State | 24th | 76th |
| San José State | 45th | 69th |
| South Alabama | 36th | 58th |
| South Carolina | 23rd | 86th |
| South Florida | 87th | 23rd |
| Southern Miss | 40th | 55th |
| Stanford | 10th | 90th |
| Syracuse | 5th | 95th |
| TCU | 72nd | 35th |
| Temple | 70th | 34th |
| Tennessee | 96th | 11th |
| Texas | 45th | 55th |
| Texas A&M | 82nd | 14th |
| Texas State | 92nd | 8th |
| Texas Tech | 77th | 31st |
| Toledo | 50th | 61st |
| Troy | 14th | 80th |
| Tulane | 79th | 15th |
| Tulsa | 20th | 70th |
| UAB | 61st | 45th |
| UCF | 33rd | 82nd |
| UCLA | 23rd | 79th |
| UConn | 95th | 13th |
| UL Monroe | 11th | 92nd |
| UNLV | 88th | 9th |
| USC | 98th | 2nd |
| UTEP | 1st | 99th |
| UTSA | 77th | 51st |
| Utah | 97th | 6th |
| Utah State | 46th | 63rd |
| Vanderbilt | 100th | 0th |
| Virginia | 59th | 27th |
| Virginia Tech | 32nd | 71st |
| Wake Forest | 42nd | 72nd |
| Washington | 92nd | 8th |
| Washington State | 33rd | 52nd |
| West Virginia | 7th | 93rd |
| Western Kentucky | 53rd | 29th |
| Western Michigan | 31st | 68th |
| Wisconsin | 0th | 100th |
| Wyoming | 8th | 91st |
Fourth-quarter reliability, corrected
App State's 4th-quarter offense, before and after garbage time
Raw Q4 EPA/play ranks 10th percentile in FBS. Strip out snaps taken with a blowout margin and it climbs to the 43rd — the correction is the finding, not a footnote.
Standard downs vs. passing downs
Does App State hold up once the down-and-distance turns against them?
41st percentile success on standard downs, 80th on passing downs — a 39-point gap between the two.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Standard-downs percentile | Passing-downs percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 82nd | 69th |
| Akron | 20th | 36th |
| Alabama | 47th | 76th |
| App State | 41st | 80th |
| Arizona | 54th | 54th |
| Arizona State | 40th | 37th |
| Arkansas | 90th | 97th |
| Arkansas State | 51st | 40th |
| Army | 37th | 44th |
| Auburn | 73rd | 24th |
| Austin Peay | 56th | 13th |
| BYU | 91st | 46th |
| Ball State | 5th | 3rd |
| Baylor | 70th | 77th |
| Boise State | 42nd | 63rd |
| Boston College | 56th | 54th |
| Bowling Green | 10th | 17th |
| Bryant | 7th | 2nd |
| Buffalo | 29th | 20th |
| California | 25th | 66th |
| Central Michigan | 57th | 11th |
| Charlotte | 7th | 7th |
| Cincinnati | 89th | 65th |
| Clemson | 49th | 34th |
| Coastal Carolina | 16th | 22nd |
| Colorado | 8th | 48th |
| Colorado State | 29th | 35th |
| Delaware | 66th | 31st |
| Duke | 82nd | 63rd |
| East Carolina | 63rd | 91st |
| Eastern Michigan | 46th | 67th |
| Florida | 52nd | 45th |
| Florida Atlantic | 44th | 61st |
| Florida International | 50th | 26th |
| Florida State | 65th | 90th |
| Fresno State | 22nd | 71st |
| Georgia | 95th | 69th |
| Georgia Southern | 64th | 84th |
| Georgia State | 22nd | 75th |
| Georgia Tech | 92nd | 89th |
| Hawai'i | 33rd | 87th |
| Houston | 61st | 29th |
| Idaho | 30th | 78th |
| Idaho State | 93rd | 14th |
| Illinois | 79th | 95th |
| Indiana | 97th | 98th |
| Iowa | 74th | 19th |
| Iowa State | 80th | 58th |
| Jacksonville State | 59th | 56th |
| James Madison | 77th | 52nd |
| Kansas | 99th | 82nd |
| Kansas State | 37th | 59th |
| Kennesaw State | 44th | 67th |
| Kent State | 15th | 5th |
| Kentucky | 62nd | 29th |
| LSU | 18th | 52nd |
| Lafayette | 0th | 12th |
| Liberty | 65th | 53rd |
| Lindenwood | 4th | 1st |
| Long Island University | 24th | 78th |
| Louisiana | 24th | 23rd |
| Louisiana Tech | 41st | 24th |
| Louisville | 84th | 32nd |
| Maine | 3rd | 18th |
| Marshall | 71st | 62nd |
| Maryland | 11th | 86th |
| Massachusetts | 5th | 9th |
| Memphis | 75th | 68th |
| Merrimack | 1st | 83rd |
| Miami | 80th | 64th |
| Miami (OH) | 33rd | 39th |
| Michigan | 73rd | 74th |
| Michigan State | 48th | 39th |
| Middle Tennessee | 69th | 47th |
| Minnesota | 35th | 33rd |
| Mississippi State | 52nd | 35th |
| Missouri | 76th | 50th |
| Missouri State | 32nd | 50th |
| Murray State | 1st | 6th |
| NC State | 58th | 71st |
| Navy | 95th | 72nd |
| Nebraska | 78th | 51st |
| Nevada | 17th | 16th |
| New Mexico | 38th | 60th |
| New Mexico State | 16th | 33rd |
| North Carolina | 14th | 30th |
| North Texas | 100th | 97th |
| Northern Illinois | 9th | 5th |
| Northwestern | 48th | 88th |
| Notre Dame | 88th | 99th |
| Ohio | 69th | 76th |
| Ohio State | 99th | 99th |
| Oklahoma | 39th | 41st |
| Oklahoma State | 14th | 7th |
| Old Dominion | 72nd | 79th |
| Ole Miss | 83rd | 95th |
| Oregon | 93rd | 55th |
| Oregon State | 54th | 25th |
| Penn State | 76th | 73rd |
| Pittsburgh | 35th | 56th |
| Purdue | 46th | 88th |
| Rice | 20th | 0th |
| Rutgers | 71st | 84th |
| SMU | 50th | 57th |
| Sam Houston | 26th | 4th |
| San Diego State | 84th | 1st |
| San José State | 68th | 70th |
| South Alabama | 53rd | 28th |
| South Carolina | 31st | 8th |
| South Carolina State | 10th | 3rd |
| South Florida | 86th | 46th |
| Southern Miss | 27th | 38th |
| Stanford | 12th | 12th |
| Syracuse | 19th | 10th |
| TCU | 63rd | 82nd |
| Temple | 85th | 22nd |
| Tennessee | 97th | 81st |
| Texas | 27th | 61st |
| Texas A&M | 88th | 59th |
| Texas State | 60th | 93rd |
| Texas Tech | 45th | 65th |
| Toledo | 67th | 42nd |
| Troy | 18th | 27th |
| Tulane | 81st | 86th |
| Tulsa | 43rd | 43rd |
| UAB | 34th | 94th |
| UCF | 39th | 20th |
| UCLA | 28th | 48th |
| UConn | 96th | 37th |
| UL Monroe | 13th | 14th |
| UNLV | 78th | 85th |
| USC | 94th | 90th |
| UT Martin | 2nd | 41st |
| UTEP | 3rd | 10th |
| UTSA | 67th | 92nd |
| Utah | 87th | 96th |
| Utah State | 31st | 49th |
| Vanderbilt | 90th | 100th |
| Virginia | 36th | 73rd |
| Virginia Tech | 59th | 21st |
| Wake Forest | 21st | 31st |
| Washington | 98th | 93rd |
| Washington State | 61st | 44th |
| West Virginia | 12th | 18th |
| Western Kentucky | 55th | 80th |
| Western Michigan | 86th | 16th |
| Wisconsin | 6th | 27th |
| Wyoming | 23rd | 15th |
Halftime identity
App State by half
1st-half offense ranks 41st percentile in FBS; 2nd-half, 59th — competitive snaps only, garbage time excluded from both halves.
Schedule mirage
How much of App State's number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 21 is 0.09; 32nd percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's 0.01. The widest gap came in week 1: 0.21 raw vs. 0.02 adjusted.
App State reads strongest in explosive plays allowed (top 30%) and rushing epa allowed (top 43%); the crux lives in success rate allowed, where App State sits at the 10th percentile.
offense · strengths lead
defense · higher bar = harder to play against
hidden math · special situations
ELITE · 90+STRONG · 70+AVERAGE · 40-70CONCERN · 10-40BOTTOM · <10
Most Similar Programs · App State
Most Similar Programs · App StateReads Like
AkronTier 3 · Prestige T3 · Similarly-sized rosters up frontArizonaTier 3 · Prestige T3 · Similarly-sized rosters up frontArkansasTier 3 · Prestige T3 · Similarly-sized rosters up front
Static-attribute similarity across tier, archetype, conference, and voice. Not a prediction — a calibration.
Home-Field Advantage · App State · 2018-present
Elite
82% home win rate vs 47% on the road. margin runs +14.3 better at home. Kidd Brewer Stadium seats 30,000, averaging 112% full (33,639 attendance, 24 games reported).
Home41-9Away22-24
Positional competition · RB room
The carries are split. The job isn’t.
Rashod Dubinion and Jaquari Lewis split the carries (171/310 vs 139/310) -- but the job isn't split the same way.
Rashod DubinionJaquari Lewis
Carries
the baseline -- every row below is tested against this split, not a flat 50/50
Inside the 5
shared -- dots touch, this room really is a committee here
Q4, leading (competitive)
shared -- dots touch, this room really is a committee here
Targets
shared -- dots touch, this room really is a committee here
Top-5-carry share
concentration alone -- EPA/carry doesn't corroborate, read with caution
Screened 4 claims, 0 survived, 4 falsified
Positional competition · WR/TE room
The targets are split. The job isn’t.
Jaden Barnes (WR) and Izayah Cummings (TE) split the targets (76/118 vs 42/118) -- but the job isn't split the same way. Jaden Barnes produces in bigger chunks.
Jaden BarnesIzayah Cummings
Targets
the baseline -- every row below is tested against this split, not a flat 50/50
3rd-down targets
shared -- dots touch, this room really is a committee here
Top-5-catch share
concentration and EPA/target agree -- a real boom/bust split
Screened 2 claims, 1 survived, 1 falsified
What changed
App State’s play-calling, before and after the change
Offense: Kevin Barbay (2022) → Frank Ponce (2023–2024)
The biggest shift: red-zone pass rate moved up 10 points. The rest held closer to steady.
1st-down pass rate
Red-zone pass rate
Defense: Scot Sloan (2023–2024) → D. J. Smith (2025)
The biggest shift: red-zone pass rate moved up 5 points. The rest held closer to steady.
1st-down pass rate
Red-zone pass rate
Season by season
How App State’s current staff calls plays, year over year
Offense: Frank Ponce (2023–2024)
1st-down pass rate
2023: 43% → 2024: 42% · 1-pt range · #171 of 171 · less than most
Red-zone pass rate
2023: 44% → 2024: 43% · 1-pt range · #171 of 171 · less than most
4th-down go rate
2023: 46% → 2024: 51% · 5-pt range · #160 of 171 · less than most
Defensive identity · pass zones
What this defense gives up, by zone.
On short passes, App State’s defense allows a completion rate above the FBS mean (68.7% vs 65.9% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 181-play sample) — mid-pack, 113 of 133 qualifying defenses.
We won’t show a deep-ball leaderboard here: at the defense level, most teams face well under 30 rich-feed deep targets all season — too thin to tell a real tendency from noise, so we won’t guess.
Screened 133 claims, 133 survived · 2025 only, in the 399 games with the detailed play-text feed; n=181 short-zone plays faced, raw rate 70.7%
Historical echo
App State’s slide has precedent — and 2 of the 4 closest kept falling.
Programs whose stature fell in the same shape. The grey line is their decline; the color is what came next for them.
Indiana 1953–1958
clawed back
Utah State 1970–1975
kept sliding
California 2009–2014
kept sliding
LSU 1952–1957
clawed back
An analogy on the shape of a program’s Zeitgeist stature arc — not a prediction. Interim calibration, medium confidence; matched among current FBS programs at a comparable level.
Venue texture
58°F average kickoff temp; 15% of games had measurable precipitation; 7 mph average wind.
Based on 74 home games with weather data.
The CFP Era
12 seasons inside the CFP era, no bids yet — the era the program is still trying to break into.
TRAJECTORY · quality-score line · AP rank dotted · CFP bids marked · coach regimes ribboned
Program Quality
AP Rank (inverted)
CFP Appearance
App State's 2014–2025 record is 104-48. The era is still being written; the CFP line is the one the program is arguing for.
All-Time Record
259-169-7
since 1932 · 57 seasons · .595 win rate
HOME
153-44-4
AWAY
97-119-3
NEUTRAL
9-6
1930s
1940s
1970s
1980s
1990s
2000s
2010s
2020s
The program, in full — read the essay
App State walked into the Big House in 2007 and beat the fifth-ranked team in the country. Nineteen years later, the Mountaineers went 5-8, and Dowell Loggains is rebuilding with 66 newcomers and a mandate to make the giant-killer climb again.
The 2007 Michigan upset is not nostalgia in Boone — it is the argument, still active. App State is the small mountain school that proved a right Saturday in Kidd Brewer Stadium can bend any roster, that the gap between a G5 program and the giants is a scheduling quirk before kickoff. Three consecutive FCS national championships from 2005 to 2007, capped by a 34-32 win in Ann Arbor against a top-five Michigan team: that is the canon the Mountaineers carry into every season. Jerry Moore built it. Armanti Edwards quarterbacked it. The chip has been sharp and forty years wide ever since.
The 2025 season was a difficult chapter. A 4-2 start collapsed into six losses in seven games and a 5-8 finish — Loggains' first year exposed an offense that managed 5.2 yards per play and a roster that ran thin when the schedule turned hard. The offseason answer was 66 newcomers, 35 from the portal, and a new quarterback in Malachi Singleton, a Purdue and Arkansas transfer. The question in Boone is whether the rebuild is a return to Sun Belt relevance or the confirmation of a longer slide.
The 2026 Sun Belt race is what answers it. App State's standard is not a conference-title banner — though the program has won the league and knows what that looks like. The standard is punching up. A bowl game, a marquee scalp, a Saturday where Kidd Brewer does what it did in 2007 to a roster that showed up with more stars. That is still the measure. Loggains needs Singleton under center and this rebuilt roster to prove the mountain is loud again.
How they play
Historically built on physical option-adjacent run games and defensive toughness rooted in the mountain-FCS dynasty years — App State football at its best is assignment-sound, downhill, and conditioning-driven by the fourth quarter. Loggains brings a more pass-friendly spread sensibility, which the Singleton addition reinforces; the 2026 identity will be decided by whether the new quarterback can run a spread attack that lets the rebuilt roster punch above its recruiting rank the way Jerry Moore's teams did on pure execution.
Declining
App State 2016–2025. Slipping -1.4 rungs across the last 10 seasons. Slope -0.25 rungs / year — moving down the prestige scale.
CFP Era · App State
12 seasons on file
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
down middle peak CFP year
Season Standing · 2025 · 5-8
Season Standing · 2025 · 5-8FBS sub-.500
App State: Below .500 in FBS play. The rebuild bar.
R0R1R2R3R4R5R6R7R8R9
Sub-FBSBuildingBowlRankedContenderPlayoff
Sun Belt Standing · 2025
12th in the Sun Belt
App State is 12th of 14 in the Sun Belt at 2-7. The path to the title is steep — the focus is on bowl access and rivalry wins.
| # | Program | Record |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | James Madison | 8-0 |
| 2 | Old Dominion | 6-2 |
| 3 | Southern Miss | 5-3 |
| 4 | Troy | 5-3 |
| 5 | Coastal Carolina | 5-4 |
| 6 | Georgia Southern | 5-4 |
| 7 | Arkansas State | 4-3 |
| 8 | Louisiana | 4-3 |
| 9 | South Alabama | 3-4 |
| 10 | Louisiana Tech | 2-0 |
| 11 | Marshall | 2-5 |
| 12 | App State | 2-7 |
| 13 | UL Monroe | 1-6 |
| 14 | Georgia State | 0-8 |
Coaching Era · App State
Coaching Era · App StateDowell Loggains
Dowell Loggains in year 2 of the rebuild. The methodology is taking shape.
Era Dowell Loggains · 2025–presentPrev: Shawn Clark (2020–2024)OC: Mike AnthonyDC: D. J. SmithPrev DC: Scot Sloan (2023–2024)
2
years · era
Rituals
Three gameday rituals — the ones outsiders never quite catch.
2007 Michigan Upset
since 2007
App State's 34-32 win over #5 Michigan at the Big House on September 1, 2007 — the FCS Mountaineers beating a top-5 FBS opponent in the season opener — is one of CFB's most-iconic upsets. Armanti Edwards QB + Corey Lynch CB (game-winning blocked field goal) drove the win. The 'Apocalypse Now' headline + Michigan never recovering culturally cemented the moment.
Take the Stairs
since 2010s
'Take the Stairs' — the program's defiance-rooted mantra — captures the Mountaineer ethos: there are no shortcuts, the mountain has to be climbed. The two-word phrase + the Boone-mountain geography + the FCS-to-FBS-to-conference-champion ascent narrative + the 2007 Michigan win combine into permanent identity.
Three Straight FCS Championships (2005-2007)
since 2005
Jerry Moore's 2005-2007 run produced three consecutive FCS national championships — only the second program ever to achieve three-peat. The 2007 Michigan upset came IN BETWEEN the 2006 and 2007 FCS title games. The legacy + the eventual 2014 FBS reclassification + 2018 Sun Belt championship continued the ascent.
Program memory
What this program never forgets
Most weeks vanish. These didn’t.
The 2007 Michigan upset
App State beats #5 Michigan 34-32 in Ann Arbor — the biggest upset in the sport's history
2007
Three straight FCS titles
The 2005-2007 dynasty under Jerry Moore
Moment of the Year · App State · 2025
Moment of the Year · App State · 2025Postseason · Lost 10-29 vs Georgia Southern
Week 18 of 2025. The single game that defined the season's arc.
Bowl / Postseason Ledger
Bowl / Postseason LedgerRecent postseason (2015-2025): 7-2
Most recent: 2025 — loss 10-29 (home). Last 5 postseason: 3-2.
20252023202120202019
NFL Draft Pipeline
2022–2023
NFL Draft PipelineDeveloping
3 picks last 5 cycles. Pipeline emerging.
3
picks · 0 R1
#161
D'Marco Jackson
Inside Linebacker · 2022 · New Orleans · #3/578 final season
#161
Nick Hampton
Outside Linebacker · 2023 · Los Angeles · #66/548 final season
#226
Cooper Hodges
Offensive Guard · 2023 · Jacksonville
#165 all-time in draft picksthe talent factory →
Unit lineage
App State’s offense and defense, by coordinator
FBS-relative efficiency percentile per season (2014–2025), same population as the Coordinator Mirror board. Dashed vertical lines mark a coordinator change.
Offense2014–2025
2014–2015 · co-Frank Ponce / co-Dwayne Ledford2016–2018 · co-Frank Ponce / co-Shawn Clark2020 · Tony Petersen2021 · Frank Ponce2022 · Kevin Barbay2023–2024 · Frank Ponce
Hired for 2026: Mike Anthony — not yet reflected in on-field data.
Defense2014–2025
2014–2017 · Nate Woody2018 · Bryan Brown2019 · Ted Roof2020–2022 · Dale Jones2023–2024 · Scot Sloan2025 (ongoing) · D. J. Smith
Elite (≥70th pct)AveragePoor (≤30th pct)
Chronicle Visuals
A heavy-turnover 2025: 14% returning (below average), with the offense the biggest question.
The portal upgraded the LS room but opened a hole at WR.
App State sits where recruit talent and draft yield largely match.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. AI-generated content is labeled and may contain factual errors. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site