cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Dalton Stroman /App State

Dalton Stroman

WR · App State · Sr · #8

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

665 REC YDS · 35 REC · 4 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to App State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to App State for 2026

Updated May 27

2026 Depth chart

Returning starter

Wide receiver · App State

Returning around him

  • 14% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • Transfer portal: -3 net (38 in / 41 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

App State · Last season: 5-8 · Talent rank #79 · 2026 recruiting class #116

WR · APP STATE · SUN BELT

Dalton Stroman

  • 4
  • #8
  • 6-4 | 210 lb
  • Rockingham, NC

CFB Zeitgeist Score

75

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 79th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#4586

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

4 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2025

2021

App State · WR

2022

App State · WR

2023

App State · WR

2025

App State · WR

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2021–2025
10.02021
3652022
3902023
6652025

+6550%

Up 6550% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1250 national
CFB
College
App State
2021–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey8
Measurements6-4 | 210 lb
HometownRockingham, NC
Primary teamApp State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1250 recruit
Composite rating 0.8478 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2021
Origin Richmond Rockingham, NC, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 3-star | 0.8478 No. 1250 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#4586Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#4945Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in receiving yards (665).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8478

#1250 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Dalton Stroman

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

Awaiting per-cohort signal

Sample 0 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmNational: 2 mentions · belief +0 · "The cumulative link to the preseason rankings can be found [here]( https://www.r"National
  • National · n=2

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Dalton Stroman

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Yards per reception

19.0

yds

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #13 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 98th

Why it matters

#13 of 531 All FBS WRs at 19.0 yards per reception (35 catches).

Vs cohort

This player 19.0 (98th)

HIGH · n=35 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Receiving yards (total)#109 / 531
  • Receiving TDs#161 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 2 vs Lindenwood — 141 ypr

Result W 20-13

The week the volume broke through — put up 141 yds vs Lindenwood.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

final
Through 13g
665Rec yards
35Receptions
4Rec TDs
Per game
51.2Rec yards
3Receptions
0Rec TDs
Final
665Rec yards
35Receptions
4Rec TDs

Why the honors trail matters

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Dalton Stroman already has 1 loaded recognition item, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.

Current place #4586 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 6.7% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Honors spine 1 honors loaded

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 35 4 rec TD | #230/1110 (79th pct)
Receiving yards 665 19.0 per catch | #116/1107 (90th pct)
Scrimmage yards 665 Total offensive yardage | #116/1107 (90th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Big-play receiver against FBS receiving peers.

Big-play receiver

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
35 79th
YDS
665 90th
YPR
19.0 92nd
TD
4 86th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 13 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 34-11@ Charlotte88811.0017
Wk 2W 20-13vs Lindenwood314147.0172Season-high 141 yds
Wk 3L 22-38@ Southern Miss46516.3027
Wk 5L 14-47@ Boise State177.017
Wk 6W 27-23vs Oregon State24824.0035
Wk 7W 41-20@ Georgia State3196.317
Wk 8L 37-45vs Coastal Carolina22412.0016
Wk 9L 21-24@ Old Dominion11717.0017
Wk 11L 23-25vs Georgia Southern11414.0014
Wk 12L 10-58@ James Madison37424.7038
Wk 13W 26-24vs Marshall188.008
Wk 14L 29-30vs Arkansas State36421.3137
BowlL 10-29vs Georgia Southern39632.0042
Total3566518.5472
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021App State10-3HC: Shawn Clark · Run-heavy, slow tempo
2022App State6-6HC: Shawn Clark · Run-leaning
2023App State9-5HC: Shawn Clark · Balanced
2025App State5-8HC: Dowell Loggains · Pass-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025App State3566519.04--
2023App State2039019.53--
2022App State1936519.24--
2021App State11010.00--
Career4 loaded seasons751,43019.111--
SeasonTeam
2025App State----------
2023App State16------
2022App State----------
2021App State----------
Career4 loaded seasons16------
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 6.7% 12.2% pass-game share | #369/1137 (68th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 4 Across offense and returns | #152/1111 (86th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 35 #230/1110 79th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 665 #116/1107 90th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 4 #152/1111 86th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 19.0 #88/1106 92nd pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 12.2% #369/1137 68th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 72 #83/1105 93rd pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 8.9% #317/1137 72nd pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 7.7% #243/1137 79th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 7.5% #419/1137 63rd pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 6.7% #300/1137 74th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 5.6% #362/1137 68th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 5.6% #324/1137 72nd pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.0% #391/1137 66th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR
Ball Security Fumbles lost 1 #131/302 57th pct Turnoversvs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

ALL-CONF HM

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16

Why he’s here

All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.

What moves him up

A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.

What moves him down

A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 13 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home7g2.156.422.60.3
Road6g3.345.013.70.3

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins5g3.460.819.30.4
Losses8g2.245.118.00.2

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-77g3.466.320.50.4
Weeks 8+6g1.833.516.20.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

75Solid starter
6 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: yards / catch (96th). Strength: long catch (85th).

Yards / catch#18 / 558 · 97th pct
19.0rece
Long catch#77 / 558 · 86th pct
72rece
Rec yards#116 / 558 · 79th pct
665rece
Rec TDs#152 / 558 · 68th pct
4rece
Receptions#230 / 558 · 58th pct
35rece
Fumbles lost#86 / 218 · 36th pct
1fumb

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Dalton StromanApp StateChris Dawn Jr.Texas State· 82% simHarrison Wallace IIIOle Miss· 82% simAnthony SmithEast Carolina· 81% sim
Yards / catch
97
Stroman
80
Jr.
78
III
87
Smith
Long catch
86
Stroman
96
Jr.
65
III
86
Smith
Rec yards
79
Stroman
96
Jr.
94
III
98
Smith
Rec TDs
68
Stroman
68
Jr.
68
III
92
Smith
Receptions
58
Stroman
93
Jr.
90
III
93
Smith
Fumbles lost
36
Stroman
36
Jr.
36
III
36
Smith

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Deep Threat

Stretches the field vertically. Every snap is a potential big play.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Reed Harris’s 2025 season.

Reed Harris

73%match

Boston College · 2025

#2

Devin Carter

West Virginia · 2023

73%
#3

J.Michael Sturdivant

UCLA · 2023

71%
#4

Joseph Ngata

Clemson · 2021

69%
#5

Quentin Skinner

Kansas · 2023

69%

Matches Reed on

Yards / reception
Height
Weight

Differs from Reed on

Class year (higher)
Recruiting rating (lower)

Through 4 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Brad Rozner’s path through NC State.

Brad Rozner

94%match

NC State · 2023

#2

Dennis Houston

Western Illinois · 2021

92%
#3

Jeremy Scott

South Alabama · 2025

88%
#4

Prince Strachan

Boise State · 2024

86%
#5

Isaiah Alston

James Madison · 2025

85%

Matches Brad on

Height
Yards per reception
Weight

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Devin Carter's senior season at West Virginia (2023).

Devin Carter

67%match

West Virginia · 2023

#2

J.Michael Sturdivant

UCLA · 2024

66%
#3

Umari Hatcher

Syracuse · 2024

62%
#4

Shaleak Knotts

Maryland · 2025

61%
#5

Dae'Quan Wright

Ole Miss · 2025

61%

Matches Devin on

Height
Total EPA (college ability)
Yards / reception

Differs from Devin on

EPA / play (adj) (lower)
TD rate (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Dowell Loggains

Pass share

55.6%

508 pass / 405 run

Plays / game

70.2

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.7%

389 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Pass-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025

2 coaches
2021
Shawn Clark
App State
2022
Shawn Clark
App State
2023
Shawn Clark
App State
2025
Dowell Loggains
App State
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Shawn Clark → Dowell Loggains. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownRockingham, NC
Height6'4"
Weight210 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey8

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2025)

All-Sun Belt

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2025 All-Sun Belt all_conference Sun Belt WR

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 App State WR4 #4586 #4945 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Sun Belt
2023 App State WR4 #790 #853 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Sun Belt
2022 App State WR4 #1019 #1242 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Sun Belt
2021 App State WR4 #2467 #2298 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Sun Belt

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 App State Sun Belt WR 4 No. 8 | 6-4 | 210 lb | Rockingham, NC
2024 App State Sun Belt WR 4 No. 8 | 6-4 | 210 lb | Rockingham, NC
2023 App State Sun Belt WR 4 No. 8 | 6-4 | 210 lb | Rockingham, NC
2022 App State Sun Belt WR 4 No. 8 | 6-4 | 210 lb | Rockingham, NC
2021 App State Sun Belt WR 4 No. 8 | 6-4 | 210 lb | Rockingham, NC