CFB Zeitgeist Score
75
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 79th percentile.
Dalton Stroman
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
665 REC YDS · 35 REC · 4 REC TD
2026 Outlook
Returning to App State for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Returning starter
Wide receiver · App State
Returning around him
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
App State · Last season: 5-8 · Talent rank #79 · 2026 recruiting class #116
WR · APP STATE · SUN BELT
CFB Zeitgeist Score
75
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 79th percentile.
Heisman Heat
#4586
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP WR AWARD
Biletnikoff
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterImpact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Career arc · Season-by-season Standing
4 seasons on the ladder
2021
App State · WR
—
2022
App State · WR
—
2023
App State · WR
—
2025
App State · WR
R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team
Recognized
Development Trajectory · receiving yards
2021–2025Up 6550% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 3-star | 0.8478 | No. 1250 recruit | HighSchool |
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
Selector Grid · 2025
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to —
Composite
0.8478
#1250 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
—
Awaiting per-cohort signal
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Rival Radar
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
19.0
yds
All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions
Why it matters
#13 of 531 All FBS WRs at 19.0 yards per reception (35 catches).
Vs cohort
HIGH · n=35 cohort 531
Signature Moment
Week 2 vs Lindenwood — 141 ypr
Result W 20-13
The week the volume broke through — put up 141 yds vs Lindenwood.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the receiving totals stand
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Dalton Stroman already has 1 loaded recognition item, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
2025 season snapshot | final
30-second read
Big-play receiver against FBS receiving peers.
2025 season snapshot | final
Receiving
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 13 games
| Wk | Opp | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 34-11@ Charlotte | 8 | 88 | 11.0 | 0 | 17 | |
| Wk 2 | W 20-13vs Lindenwood | 3 | 141 | 47.0 | 1 | 72 | Season-high 141 yds |
| Wk 3 | L 22-38@ Southern Miss | 4 | 65 | 16.3 | 0 | 27 | |
| Wk 5 | L 14-47@ Boise State | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | 1 | 7 | |
| Wk 6 | W 27-23vs Oregon State | 2 | 48 | 24.0 | 0 | 35 | |
| Wk 7 | W 41-20@ Georgia State | 3 | 19 | 6.3 | 1 | 7 | |
| Wk 8 | L 37-45vs Coastal Carolina | 2 | 24 | 12.0 | 0 | 16 | |
| Wk 9 | L 21-24@ Old Dominion | 1 | 17 | 17.0 | 0 | 17 | |
| Wk 11 | L 23-25vs Georgia Southern | 1 | 14 | 14.0 | 0 | 14 | |
| Wk 12 | L 10-58@ James Madison | 3 | 74 | 24.7 | 0 | 38 | |
| Wk 13 | W 26-24vs Marshall | 1 | 8 | 8.0 | 0 | 8 | |
| Wk 14 | L 29-30vs Arkansas State | 3 | 64 | 21.3 | 1 | 37 | |
| Bowl | L 10-29vs Georgia Southern | 3 | 96 | 32.0 | 0 | 42 | |
| Total | 35 | 665 | 18.5 | 4 | 72 |
Traditional history
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
Advanced metrics second
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.
A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 35 | #230/1110 | 79th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 665 | #116/1107 | 90th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 4 | #152/1111 | 86th pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 19.0 | #88/1106 | 92nd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Pass share | 12.2% | #369/1137 | 68th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 72 | #83/1105 | 93rd pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 8.9% | #317/1137 | 72nd pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 7.7% | #243/1137 | 79th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 7.5% | #419/1137 | 63rd pct | Money-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Role share | 6.7% | #300/1137 | 74th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 5.6% | #362/1137 | 68th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 5.6% | #324/1137 | 72nd pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Rush share | 0.0% | #391/1137 | 66th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 1 | #131/302 | 57th pct | Turnoversvs FBS WR |
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
ALL-CONF HM
ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16
Why he’s here
All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.
What moves him up
A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.
What moves him down
A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.
Accolade streams
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 13 games
Home vs Road
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home7g | 2.1 | 56.4 | 22.6 | 0.3 |
| Road6g | 3.3 | 45.0 | 13.7 | 0.3 |
Win vs Loss
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins5g | 3.4 | 60.8 | 19.3 | 0.4 |
| Losses8g | 2.2 | 45.1 | 18.0 | 0.2 |
First half vs Second half
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | 3.4 | 66.3 | 20.5 | 0.4 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 1.8 | 33.5 | 16.2 | 0.2 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort
Elite: yards / catch (96th). Strength: long catch (85th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · WR · 2024
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
Stretches the field vertically. Every snap is a potential big play.
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Reed Harris’s 2025 season.
Reed Harris
Devin Carter
J.Michael Sturdivant
Joseph Ngata
Quentin Skinner
Matches Reed on
Differs from Reed on
Through 4 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Brad Rozner’s path through NC State.
Brad Rozner
Dennis Houston
Jeremy Scott
Prince Strachan
Isaiah Alston
Matches Brad on
As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Devin Carter's senior season at West Virginia (2023).
Devin Carter
J.Michael Sturdivant
Umari Hatcher
Shaleak Knotts
Dae'Quan Wright
Matches Devin on
Differs from Devin on
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Dowell Loggains
Pass share
55.6%
508 pass / 405 run
Plays / game
70.2
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
6.7%
389 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Pass-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025
2 coachesCoaching transition mid-career: Shawn Clark → Dowell Loggains. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Trophy Case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
ALL-CONFERENCE
All-Conf mention (2025)
All-Sun Belt
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | All-Sun Belt | all_conference | Sun Belt | WR |
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | App State | WR4 | #4586 | #4945 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Sun Belt |
| 2023 | App State | WR4 | #790 | #853 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Sun Belt |
| 2022 | App State | WR4 | #1019 | #1242 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Sun Belt |
| 2021 | App State | WR4 | #2467 | #2298 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Sun Belt |
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | App State | Sun Belt | WR | 4 | No. 8 | 6-4 | 210 lb | Rockingham, NC |
| 2024 | App State | Sun Belt | WR | 4 | No. 8 | 6-4 | 210 lb | Rockingham, NC |
| 2023 | App State | Sun Belt | WR | 4 | No. 8 | 6-4 | 210 lb | Rockingham, NC |
| 2022 | App State | Sun Belt | WR | 4 | No. 8 | 6-4 | 210 lb | Rockingham, NC |
| 2021 | App State | Sun Belt | WR | 4 | No. 8 | 6-4 | 210 lb | Rockingham, NC |