CFB Zeitgeist Score
63
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rush yards at the 84th percentile.
Rashod Dubinion
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
868 RUSH YDS · 4 RUSH TD · 174 CARRIES
2026 Outlook
Returning to App State for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Returning starter
Running back · App State
Returning around him
- 14% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
- Transfer portal: -3 net (38 in / 41 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
App State · Last season: 5-8 · Talent rank #79 · 2026 recruiting class #116
RB · APP STATE · SUN BELT
Rashod Dubinion
- 4
- #7
- 5-10 | 210 lb
- Ellenwood, GA
Heisman Heat
#241
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career arc · Season-by-season Standing
4 seasons on the ladder
2022
Arkansas · RB
—
2023
Arkansas · RB
—
2024
Arkansas · RB
—
★
2025
App State · RB
R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team
Recognized
Development Trajectory · rushing yards
2022–2025+196%
Up 196% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★★
CFB
College
2 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 4-star | 0.8924 | No. 399 recruit | HighSchool | Arkansas |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
- Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in rushing yards (868).
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★★☆
to Arkansas
Composite
0.8924
#399 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Rashod Dubinion
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
—
Awaiting per-cohort signal
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- National · n=2
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Rashod Dubinion
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
Receiving TDs
0
count
All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions
National rank #476 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 10th
Why it matters
#476 of 531 All FBS WRs in receiving TDs — 0 TDs on 27 receptions.
Vs cohort
This player 0 (10th)
MODERATE · n=27 cohort 531
- Also strong
- Receiving yards (total)#516 / 531
- Yards per reception#523 / 531
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
Through 12g
868Rush yards
174Carries
4Rush TDs
Per game
72.3Rush yards
14Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
940.3Rush yards
188Carries
4Rush TDs
✓ Hit 750-yard season · finished with 868.
To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 868): needs 132/game over remaining 1.
To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 868): needs 632/game over remaining 1.
To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 4): needs 6/game over remaining 1.
To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 4): needs 11/game over remaining 1.
To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 4): needs 16/game over remaining 1.
Why this is more than a rushing profile
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Rashod Dubinion is not a one-lane back. The profile is interesting because the workload spills beyond pure rushing volume: 868 rushing yards, 27 catches, and 0 return yards for App State. That kind of all-purpose footprint gives the card a much richer story than a basic carry total.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
RB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Workhorse | Passing-game back against FBS RB peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
CAR
174 94th
YDS
868 92nd
YPC
5.0 62nd
TD
4 79th
Receiving
REC
27 92nd
YDS
170 85th
YPR
6.3 42nd
TD
0 70th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 12 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 34-11@ Charlotte | 22 | 111 | 5.0 | 1 | 13 | |
| Wk 2 | W 20-13vs Lindenwood | 25 | 194 | 7.8 | 0 | 26 | Season-high 194 yds |
| Wk 3 | L 22-38@ Southern Miss | 24 | 95 | 4.0 | 1 | 17 | |
| Wk 5 | L 14-47@ Boise State | 17 | 113 | 6.6 | 0 | 39 | |
| Wk 6 | W 27-23vs Oregon State | 19 | 98 | 5.2 | 1 | 29 | |
| Wk 7 | W 41-20@ Georgia State | 12 | 56 | 4.7 | 0 | 21 | |
| Wk 8 | L 37-45vs Coastal Carolina | 10 | 38 | 3.8 | 1 | 12 | |
| Wk 9 | L 21-24@ Old Dominion | 9 | 51 | 5.7 | 0 | 13 | |
| Wk 11 | L 23-25vs Georgia Southern | 12 | 40 | 3.3 | 0 | 12 | |
| Wk 12 | L 10-58@ James Madison | 10 | 25 | 2.5 | 0 | 11 | |
| Wk 13 | W 26-24vs Marshall | 3 | 7 | 2.3 | 0 | 3 | |
| Wk 14 | L 29-30vs Arkansas State | 11 | 40 | 3.6 | 0 | 10 | |
| Total | 174 | 868 | 4.5 | 4 | 39 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2022Arkansas7-6HC: Sam Pittman · Run-heavy
2023Arkansas4-8HC: Sam Pittman · Run-leaning
2024Arkansas7-6HC: Sam Pittman · Run-leaning
2025App State5-8HC: Dowell Loggains · Pass-leaning
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 868 | #58/735 | 92nd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 4 | #154/739 | 79th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 5.0 | #280/735 | 62nd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receptions | 27 | #46/552 | 92nd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 170 | #81/548 | 85th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.14 | #141/362 | 61st pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 152 weighted playsvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 25.0% | #47/738 | 94th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 174 | #45/739 | 94th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 39 | #240/733 | 67th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 25 | #166/540 | 69th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 6.3 | #320/548 | 42nd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 0 | #169/552 | 70th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 48.7% | #19/738 | 98th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 32.9% | #20/738 | 97th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 30.6% | #35/738 | 95th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 22.1% | #73/738 | 90th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 14.1% | #90/738 | 88th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 14.0% | #88/738 | 88th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 7.5% | #70/738 | 91st pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 2 | #205/256 | 20th pct | Turnoversvs FBS RB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
ALL-CONF HM
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16
Why he’s here
All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.
What moves him up
A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.
What moves him down
A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 12 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home6g | 69.5 | 4.3 | 0.3 |
| Road6g | 75.2 | 4.8 | 0.3 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins5g | 93.2 | 5.0 | 0.4 |
| Losses7g | 57.4 | 4.2 | 0.3 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 111 | 5.5 | 0.5 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 33.5 | 3.5 | 0.2 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
63Solid starter
Elite: carries (87th). Strength: receptions (86th). Concern: fumbles lost (13th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_rushing0.14Mid (p50–p75) (n=178)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Rashod DubinionApp StateColeman BennettKennesaw State· 91% simKamari MoultonIowa· 86% simAl-Jay HendersonBuffalo· 85% sim
Carries
Receptions
Rush yards
Rec yards
Yards / carry
Rush TDs
Long run
Fumbles lost
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Balanced Back
Plays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension.
RB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jevyon Ducker’s 2025 season.
Jevyon Ducker
80%match
#2
Harrison Waylee
All-MAC
75%
#3
Nelson Smith
65%
#4
Caleb Ramseur
72%
#5
Jalen John
72%
Matches Jevyon on
Total rush EPA (college ability)
Yards / carry
EPA / carry (adj)
Differs from Jevyon on
Rush TD rate (lower)
Not enough data yet for this comparison.
As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Jevon Jackson's senior season at UAB (2025).
Jevon Jackson
78%match
#2
Demie Sumo
77%
#3
Michel Dukes
77%
#4
Jabari Small
All-SEC
76%
#5
Larry McCammon III
All-Conference USA
76%
Matches Jevon on
Yards / carry
Rush TD rate
Receiving share
Differs from Jevon on
Recruiting rating (higher)
Height (higher)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Dowell Loggains
Pass share
55.6%
508 pass / 405 run
Plays / game
70.2
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
6.7%
389 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Pass-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025
2 coaches2022
Shawn Clark
App State
2023
Shawn Clark
App State
2024
Shawn Clark
App State
2025era →
Dowell Loggains
App State
Coaching transition mid-career: Shawn Clark → Dowell Loggains. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownEllenwood, GA
Height5'10"
Weight210 lb
Class4
PositionRB
Jersey7
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamApp State
ConferenceSun Belt
Joined2025
Career arc4 season(s)
Trophy Case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
🎖
ALL-CONFERENCE
All-Conf mention (2025)
All-Sun Belt
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
1 all-conference honor
Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | All-Sun Belt | all_conference | Sun Belt | RB |
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.