cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Antonio Martin /Kansas State

Antonio Martin

RB · Kansas State · Jr · #22

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

129 RUSH YDS · 1 RUSH TD · 19 CARRIES

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Kansas State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Kansas State for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Running back · Kansas State

Returning around him

  • 69% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • 2 Kansas State players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -7 net (26 in / 33 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Kansas State · Last season: 6-6 (AP #17) · Talent rank #47 · 2026 recruiting class #35

RB · KANSAS STATE · BIG 12

Antonio Martin

  • 3
  • #22
  • 5-9 | 222 lb
  • Atlanta, GA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

33

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / carry at the 95th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#3324

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#349 national
CFB
College
Kansas State
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class3
Jersey22
Measurements5-9 | 222 lb
HometownAtlanta, GA
Primary teamKansas State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 349 recruit
Composite rating 0.8976 HighSchool
Signed with Georgia Tech 2022
Origin Langston Hughes Fairburn, GA, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 4-star | 0.8976 No. 349 recruit | HighSchool | Georgia Tech

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination -- 2023
Transfer stars 4-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Apr 19, 2023
Season Move Context
2023 Georgia Tech -> -- 4-star | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2022 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 20
Current nowcast#3324Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#3447Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Georgia Tech

Composite

0.8976

#349 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Antonio Martin

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

62

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 4 mentions
Confidence LOW

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 4 mentions · belief +25 · "Kansas State Wildcats light up the offseason with the hire of Cory Patterson as "Own fans
  • Own fans · n=4

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Antonio Martin

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 5g
129Rush yards
19Carries
1Rush TDs
Per game
25.8Rush yards
4Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
335.4Rush yards
49Carries
3Rush TDs

To hit 750-yard season (currently 129): needs 77.6/game over remaining 8.

To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 129): needs 108.9/game over remaining 8.

To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 129): needs 171.4/game over remaining 8.

To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 1.1/game over remaining 8.

To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 1.8/game over remaining 8.

To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 2.4/game over remaining 8.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Antonio Martin's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Kansas State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #3324 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 7.3% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 349 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 129 129 rush | -- rec | #400/735 (46th pct)
Rush TD 1 19 carries | #323/739 (56th pct)
Yards/carry 6.8 Per-rush efficiency | #65/735 (91st pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Efficient runner against FBS RB peers.

Efficient runner

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
19 39th
YDS
129 46th
YPC
6.8 91st
TD
1 56th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 5 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 3L 17-23@ Arizona5173.405
Wk 9W 42-17@ Kansas122.002
Wk 12W 14-6@ Oklahoma State4123.0011
Wk 13L 47-51@ Utah58917.8137Season-high 89 yds
Wk 14W 24-14vs Colorado492.308
Total191295.7137
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025Kansas State6-6HC: Chris Klieman · Run-leaning, slow tempo
SeasonTeam
2025Kansas State191296.81--
Career1 loaded season191296.81--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work -- -- rec yds
Usage 7.3% 12.8% rush share | #416/738 (44th pct)
Rushing WEPA -- Adjusted value feed still loading
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 129 #400/735 46th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 1 #323/739 56th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 6.8 #65/735 91st pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 7.3% #416/738 44th pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 37 #253/733 66th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 19 #454/739 39th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 12.8% #403/738 46th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 9.0% #385/738 48th pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 8.5% #411/738 44th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 8.1% #424/738 43rd pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 5.9% #405/738 45th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 3.9% #503/738 32nd pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 1.0% #506/738 32nd pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 5 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home1g9.02.30.0
Road4g30.06.50.2

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins3g7.72.40.0
Losses2g53.010.60.5

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-71g17.03.40.0
Weeks 8+4g28.06.30.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

33Below cohort
5 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: yards / carry (94th). Concern: carries (0th).

Yards / carry#18 / 349 · 95th pct
6.8rush
Long run#219 / 349 · 37th pct
37rush
Rush TDs#284 / 349 · 13th pct
1rush
Rush yards#347 / 349 · 1st pct
129rush
Carries#350 / 349 · 0th pct
19rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2022

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Antonio MartinKansas StateRashod DubinionApp State· 41% simKamari MoultonIowa· 40% simDontae McMillanEastern Michigan· 40% sim
Yards / carry
95
Martin
53
Dubinion
62
Moulton
79
McMillan
Long run
37
Martin
39
Dubinion
33
Moulton
64
McMillan
Rush TDs
13
Martin
50
Dubinion
62
Moulton
50
McMillan
Rush yards
1
Martin
84
Dubinion
84
Moulton
89
McMillan
Carries
0
Martin
87
Dubinion
86
Moulton
88
McMillan

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Chris Klieman

Pass share

46.4%

342 pass / 395 run

Plays / game

61.4

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

4.5%

288 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning, slow tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Chris Klieman
Kansas State

Played his entire career under Chris Klieman.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownAtlanta, GA
Height5'9"
Weight222 lb
Class3
PositionRB
Jersey22

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2022 Georgia Tech RB3 #3324 #3447 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | ACC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Kansas State Big 12 RB 3 No. 22 | 5-9 | 222 lb | Atlanta, GA
2022 Georgia Tech ACC RB 3 No. 22 | 5-9 | 222 lb | Atlanta, GA