The Zeitgeist List · coaching

Chris Klieman

Followed Bill Snyder. Chris Klieman held Kansas State at Power Program III for 7 seasons.

54–34
2019–now · 1 stint
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In his own words

Awaiting signal — no quotes collected from this staff yet this cycle.

Career arc

His real stature score, season by season, across every program he’s coached — so a stretch that stays in one tier the whole way can still climb or sink on the line, not just flatten out. Node color marks the tier reached. Which program a stretch belongs to is carried by the shaded lane behind it.

Stature score reached, by season of his head-coaching careerKANSAS STATEPower Programperennial contenderNational Programrespectable, streakyKansas State, 2019: 8-5, National Program I2019Kansas State, 2020: 4-6, National Program I2020Kansas State, 2021: 8-5, National Program I2021Kansas State, 2022: 10-4, Power Program III2022Kansas State, 2023: 9-4, Power Program III2023Kansas State, 2024: 9-4, Power Program III2024Kansas State, 2025: 6-6, Power Program III2025+3.9One point per coached season, in career order; dashed segments are program changes — spacing is not proportional to calendar time

Reached Power Program in his 4th career season — faster than 37% of the 395 FBS coaches who have ever reached Power Program (rank #215 of 395 by seasons-to-arrival).

Kansas State, 7 seasons (active)
+3.9
National Program I → Power Program III.

Style position and drift

Where each stint’s offense sat between run-first and pass-first, and how far it moved from one season to the next. The band is that stint’s real season-to-season range, not a fixed-width box.

40%50%Kansas State2019–2025▲ 10.3pt
Pass rate — share of offensive plays that were pass attemptsfirst covered seasonmost recent covered seasonfull season-to-season range (3+ covered seasons)
How much that is, against every other stint

Season-to-season pass-rate range for all 258 FBS coaching stints with at least three covered seasons, 2014–2025.

Typical stint7.010.2 median13.9middle half of all stints
Kansas State10.3pt#129 of 258 · a typical amount

The big-game ledger

How he does in the games that matter most — rivalry record, performance broken out by real opponent tier, one-score games, and his toughest historical matchup.

7–0 against his rivals. Winless in 3 tries against Steve Sarkisian.

Rivalry record
7–0
100.0% · 1 rival
One-score games
14–18
43.8% · margin ≤8
vs. Blue Blood or better
0–1
0.0%
Buyout owed
$29,625,000
bigger than 79% of FBS buyouts
Rivalry ledger
Kansas7–0100%
The toughest matchup
3 meetings, 2021–2023
’21 L · blew a 4-pt lead’22 L’23 L
0% win rate across a real, 3-meeting series — short of the bar this site uses before badging a series “Nemesis.” Shown here as the toughest matchup on record, not an algorithmic crown.
Performance by opponent class
Blue Blood
0–1 0.0%
Power Program
12–13 48.0%
National Program
18–15 54.5%
Regional Program
11–2 84.6%

His own effect, isolated

A statistical estimate of this coach’s contribution to team performance, separated from that season’s roster talent, returning production, and his coordinators — pooled across his whole head-coaching career.

Offense marginal impact
+0.36
#44 of 319 · more than most
Defense marginal impact
-0.08
#215 of 325 · a typical amount

Model fit as of 2026-09-04.

Coaching career

2019–now
Kansas Statecaretaker
Power Program III → Power Program III
Chris Klieman held Kansas State at Power Program III for 7 seasons.

3rd-best Kansas State tenure of 18 by the numbers.

Recruiter or developer?

Outperforms his recruiting talent on offense and performs about as expected for his recruiting talent on defense.

Offense vs. talent
+14.4 pts
#50 of 208 · more than most
Defense vs. talent
-3.4 pts
#118 of 208 · a typical amount
Recruiting talent is team-wide (no offense/defense split exists in the source data) -- both sides are scored against the same talent input, only the outcome is side-specific.

Followed Bill Snyder (1989–2018).

Season2019202020212022202320242025Trend
Record & result
Record8–54–68–510–49–49–46–6
PostseasonCFP lossW bowlL bowlW bowlW bowl
Recruiting rank#62#51#56#63#33#57#35
Style — pass rate
Pass rate36.041.241.640.544.545.846.2
Coordinators
OCCourtney MessinghamCourtney MessinghamCourtney MessinghamCollin KleinCollin KleinMatt Wells / Conor RileyMatt Wells
DCScottie HazeltonJoe KlandermanJoe KlandermanJoe KlandermanJoe KlandermanJoe KlandermanJoe Klanderman
Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile
Offense34356774798776
Defense37114353397967
Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script (2021+ only)
1st-down pass%30.333.936.637.744.244.340.8
Red-zone pass%35.633.734.039.136.144.133.3
4th-down go%opp. territory23.717.941.946.250.043.250.0
Roster construction · portal era

A typical amount of portal roster-building.

Portal arrivals
47
3.1★ avg rating
Portal departures
90
left via the portal
Net portal flow
-43
#133 of 187 FBS stints
Notable portal arrivals with a modeled NIL value
George Fitzpatrick On3 modeled · $1,200,000
On3’s modeled estimate (social reach / exposure), not money actually paid — shown per player, never totaled.
Who they bring in

Brings in bigger-than-position-typical players than most.

Recruits older, more experienced transfers than most.

Avg. size (raw)
6′2″, 228 lbs
across 38 of 47 arrivals — unadjusted for position mix
Size vs. position-typical
+7.4 lbs
#49 of 255 · more than most
Avg. class year
Sr
#21 of 255 · more than most
Top states: TX (5), IN (3), GA (3), AZ (2), KS (2)
Who won the portal our read
Talent added
57.0
position-weighted
Talent lost
57.0
position-weighted
Net
-0.0
arrivals minus departures
Best addition: Adrian Martinez (QB) from Nebraska
Biggest loss: Will Howard (QB) to Ohio State
Position-value-weighted (QB/CB weighted highest, depth-decayed within each position) — the same scoring engine as the Portal Heat feed, not a separate grade.
Does the system survive a coordinator change?
OC: Courtney Messingham → Collin Klein · 2022the offense improved
51st pct76th pct0th100th
2-season window either side.
1st-down pass rate: 35.3% → 41.0% (+5.7 pts)
Confound, shown not hidden: only 54% of offensive production returned the year the coordinator changed — the roster turned over at the same time, not just the play-caller.
OC: Collin Klein → co-Matt Wells / co-Conor Riley · 2024
79th pct87th pct0th100th
1-season window either side — numbers shown, not enough to badge a verdict.
1st-down pass rate: 44.2% → 44.3% (+0.1 pts)
Confound, shown not hidden: only 39% of offensive production returned the year the coordinator changed — the roster turned over at the same time, not just the play-caller.
OC: co-Matt Wells / co-Conor Riley → Matt Wells · 2025
87th pct76th pct0th100th
1-season window either side — numbers shown, not enough to badge a verdict.
1st-down pass rate: 44.3% → 40.8% (-3.5 pts)
Confound, shown not hidden: only 69% of offensive production returned the year the coordinator changed — the roster turned over at the same time, not just the play-caller.
DC: Scottie Hazelton → Joe Klanderman · 2020
37th pct11th pct0th100th
1-season window either side — numbers shown, not enough to badge a verdict.
Roster size, by position
Skill positions · usage-weighted (real participation)
Quarterback
217 lbs
6′3″ avg · #253 of 767 · a typical amount
Running back
195 lbs
5′9″ avg · #751 of 791 · less than most
Wide receiver
193 lbs
6′1″ avg · #404 of 791 · a typical amount
Tight end
245 lbs
6′5″ avg · #346 of 731 · a typical amount
Trench & secondary · recruited roster, not confirmed starters
Interior line
306 lbs
6′5″ avg · #500 of 779 · a typical amount
D-line
298 lbs
6′3″ avg · #112 of 753 · more than most
Edge
260 lbs
6′4″ avg · #56 of 188 · a typical amount
Linebacker
229 lbs
6′2″ avg · #348 of 772 · a typical amount
Cornerback
193 lbs
6′0″ avg · #220 of 771 · a typical amount
Safety
198 lbs
6′0″ avg · #156 of 346 · a typical amount
Offensive-line size is one undifferentiated bucket — the source data almost never distinguishes tackle from guard from center, so we can't split them out.
Where the roster comes from, by position
Grows Edge from high school
78%
#173 of 208 stints
Grows D-line from high school
78%
#183 of 239 stints
Postseason detail2019: Lost to Navy 17–20 CFP2021: Beat LSU 42–20 TaxAct Texas Bowl2022: Lost to Alabama 20–45 Allstate Sugar Bowl2023: Beat NC State 28–19 Pop-Tarts Bowl2024: Beat Rutgers 44–41 Rate Bowl

17 NFL Draft picks: Dalton Risner (2019), Duke Shelley (2019), Wyatt Hubert (2021), Skylar Thompson (2022), Russ Yeast (2022), Felix Anudike-Uzomah (2023), Julius Brents (2023), Josh Hayes (2023) + 9 more

5 player-seasons honored (All-America / national award): Deuce Vaughn (2021), Deuce Vaughn (2022), Felix Anudike-Uzomah (2022), Cooper Beebe (2022), Cooper Beebe (2023)

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