Kansas State

3-0

Big 12 · Collin Klein, year 1 (3-0) · Bill Snyder Family Stadium · 50,000 · 51,774 avg in 2026

The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The model#25 CFB ZeitgeistSP+ #24 (+14.4) · FPI #30
The marketKansas State by 6at Cincinnati · our model 71% Kansas State · a number, not a pick

LastW 31–20 vs Tulane · Sat Sep 19 · Avery Johnson 227 pass yds, 152 rush yds, 2 TD

Nextat Cincinnati · Sat Sep 26 · 7 pm ET · Nippert Stadium · Kansas State by 6 · series 3-4, won the last 3 · Game preview

Updated Tue Sep 22 · through week 3

Kansas State · 2026 schedule & results3-0
WkDateUsOppLineOpponentResultRecordConf
1Sep 5#32#204-41NichollsW 71–3 1291-00-0
2Sep 12#33#41-17.5Washington StateW 34–7 1242-00-0
3Sep 19#26#70-20.5TulaneW 31–20 1243-00-0
4Sep 26#27#102-6@Cincinnati
6Oct 10Houston
7Oct 17Kansas
8Oct 24@Arizona State
9Oct 31@Colorado
10Nov 7Oklahoma State
11Nov 14@TCU
12Nov 21Arizona
13Nov 28@Iowa State
Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, explosiveness)
DateOppResultYdsTOTOPEPA/playSuccess%Explosive%Note
Sep 19TulaneW 31–20428033:41+0.36047.8%133.5%Defense's roughest night
Sep 12Washington StateW 34–7487234:20+0.13346.1%136.4%Season-low EPA/play
Sep 5NichollsW 71–3559133:43+0.58865.3%124.1%Season-high EPA/play
Season average (3 games)4911.0+0.36053.0%131.3%
Verdict Begins·Live

Kansas State is the program Bill Snyder dragged out of the sport's deepest hole and built on patience — and after a sideways 6-6 year and Chris Klieman's retirement, it just handed the keys to one of its own, Collin Klein.

Title DroughtSince 2012 · 14 yrs

Fans have heard their program called a Snyder-only fluke for thirty years — that without one coach K-State reverts to the bottom. They believe the patience and the toughness are the program, not the…

low signal
Read the full program story ↓

The season in chapters

Weeks 1–33-0, all at homeW 71–3 vs Nicholls · Sat Sep 5
Ahead
Sat Oct 10AP #25 Houstonvs Houston · at home
Sat Oct 17Sunflower Showdownvs Kansas · at home

What fans said

Real posts from the day of the game, chosen by community score · usernames not shown

What it is like to watch them2025 · 6-6 · last season

Game feel56shootoutscombined pts / game3rd highest-scoring of 16 in the Big 12
Heart rate2-5white-knucklein one-score games (7 of 12)3rd most one-score games of 16 in the Big 12
Margin+2.8competitiveavg scoring margin9th best margin of 16 in the Big 12
Tempo62methodicaloffensive plays / game15th fastest of 16 in the Big 12
Big plays1.42highlight reelexplosiveness (IsoPPP)1st most explosive of 16 in the Big 12
Home crowd51,773avg attendance6th biggest crowds of 16 in the Big 12

✓ measured from 12 games · ranks are among Big 12 teams the same season

Recent form · last 10 games · incl. 2025

Kansas State has won four of its last five.

Warming. 7-3 over the last 10, and won the last four.

Streak W4Last 5 · 4-1Last 10 · 7-3
I would rather take a shot on a team with a lot of change, a lot of newness; maybe they end up being a really special team this year
Luca · Kstatecollegianthe day before Kansas State's 2026 game against Tulane
The forecast

Next Sep 26

vs Cincinnati · away

Season line8.5 winsover -110
EliteEliteGives up the big play

✓ fact on line · ~ our read on style

Market outlook

Season expectations

Win total3 booksO/U 8.5▲1 since Jun 2026
CFP championship#35 in field+20000
Big 12 title#4 in market+1100

Sportsbook consensus · best odds across multiple books · 2026-09-22

Kansas State · the story right now 9 storylines developing

What Kansas State's program standing is really about

the open questionis this a real, durable shift in the program's tier?

dynastythis cycle~readnew

Kansas State has slipped from elite-tier consistency — their first step below the top-14% tier since 2024 raises questions about sustaining a #17 AP finish with a 6-6 record.

what happenedKansas State has slipped from dynasty-caliber territory — down to the top 14% of FBS by three-year power rating, from the top 12%. ✓ fact
the contexta 26-11 record over the last three regular seasons

our readdeveloping

coordinatorsthis cycle~readnew

Collin Klein begins his first season at Kansas State with a 6-6 even record and an uneasy fanbase questioning if the coordinator-driven reshaping can sustain the program's legacy.

what happenedKansas State: coordinator change reshaping a unit. ✓ fact

our readdeveloping

coordinators2025 cycle~readnew

Collin Klein inherits a 6-6 even record and a program built on Bill Snyder's legacy, now reshaped by coordinator changes and the pressure to sustain its upper-tier status.

what happenedKansas State: coordinator change reshaping a unit. ✓ fact

our readdeveloping

market_swing2026-06-19~readnew

Klieman's 6-6 season defies the solo market signal of a win total bump — Snyder’s legacy still demands patience in Manhattan.

what happenedKansas State win total rose from 7.5 to 8.5 (+1 wins) between Jun 19 and Jun 19, 2026 (tier C). ✓ fact
the contextwin total up 1.0 — solo market signal, no peers moved the same direction

our readdeveloping

coachingthis cycle~readnew

Collin Klein inherits a 69% production returning roster after replacing Chris Klieman — the program's identity demands stability, not just a new name on the sideline.

what happenedCollin Klein took over as Kansas State's head coach, replacing Chris Klieman. ✓ fact
the contextreplaces 7-year head coach Chris Klieman (54-34)

our readdeveloping

deep threat2025 cycle~attributednew

Garrett Oakley is used almost exclusively underneath -- a low share of his targets are downfield shots.

our readbackground

deep threat2025 cycle~attributednew

Jaron Tibbs is a real deep-ball threat -- a high share of his targets come on throws past the sticks.

our readbackground

deep threat2025 cycle~attributednew

Jayce Brown is a real deep-ball threat -- a high share of his targets come on throws past the sticks.

our readbackground

dynastythis cycle~readnew

Kansas State has slipped from elite-tier consistency — the first time below the top-11% tier since 2024, and the gap from the #17 AP peak is structural, not just a roster rebuild.

what happenedKansas State has slipped from dynasty-caliber territory — down to the top 17% of FBS by three-year power rating, from the top 15%. ✓ fact
the contexta 22-14 record over the last three regular seasons

our readdeveloping

How past storylines here turned out

ReplacedKansas State's offensive coordinator spot turned over again the following season. See who's next →
AnsweredKansas State climbed back into dynasty-caliber territory the following season.
AnsweredKansas State's climb into dynasty-caliber territory held for another season.

Outcome band · Kansas State · 2026

Kansas State's most likely season is 9-4 — a bowl game. The floor is 6-7; the ceiling is 11-2.

Floor6-7A bowl game, 3 fewer wins.
Base9-4A bowl game.
Ceiling11-2A bowl game, 2 more wins.

Floor, base and ceiling come from the season-path projection, which plays out conference title games and the CFP — so a ceiling can run past 12 games.

How the room reactedreal evidence · tap rooms to explore
Following now · Kansas State · Program power Confidence

The arrow is pointing down for Kansas State — the numbers back it.

Kansas State has slipped from dynasty-caliber territory — down to the top 14% of FBS by three-year power rating, from the top 12%. It is a 26-11 record over the last three regular seasons. Three-year power readings show a slip — the room is split on whether this is a dip or a trend.

bullish — but with real dissent where the takes land · dot = how loud
DOUBTBELIEF
Skeptics2 doubt takes
Believers9 bull takes
The saga so far~3 months old
2 weeks agoWin total (line at 8.5) still unmoved 13d after "K-State loses two offensive linemen to season-ending absences"
3 weeks agoWin total (line at 8.5) still unmoved 12d after "K-State loses two offensive linemen to season-ending absences"
3 weeks agoWin total (line at 8.5) still unmoved 11d after "K-State loses two offensive linemen to season-ending absences"
3 weeks agoWin total (line at 8.5) still unmoved 10d after "K-State loses two offensive linemen to season-ending absences"
3 weeks agoWin total (line at 8.5) — no reprice yet on "K-State loses two offensive linemen to season-ending absences"
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
Kansas State has slipped from elite-tier consistency — their first step below the top-14% tier since 2024 raises questions about sustaining a #17 AP finish with a 6-6 record.
Source of record: Kansas State has slipped from dynasty-caliber territory — down to the top 14% of FBS by three-year power rating, from the top 12% — a 26-11 record over the last three regular seasons.
How each room is reacting — tap to expand
Believers bullishSkeptics dissent
📣Believers9 bullish/momentum items -- the case it's working.

The 'resurgence is real' read: the numbers are starting to back the hype.

“Kansas State Wildcats land 2028 football recruit Taylen Washington from Derby”
Wichita Eagle · 2026-09-22 · read ↗
“Kansas State Lands Commitment From Top In-State 2028 Prospect”
Heartland College Sports · 2026-09-22 · read ↗
“2028 prospect Taylen Washington commits to Kansas State”
247Sports · 2026-09-22 · read ↗
🧐Skeptics“Kansas State grades: Johnson & tight ends stand out, run game…” — the real counter.

The 'wait and see' counter -- power shifts often get overread before the season proves them.

“Kansas State grades: Johnson & tight ends stand out, run game becomes a concern”
On3 · 2026-09-21 · read ↗
“Do The Kansas State Wildcats Need To Lessen Load On QB Avery Johnson?”
roundtable.io · 2026-09-21 · read ↗
Following now · Kansas State · Developing Confidence

Kansas State: coordinator change reshaping a unit.

bullish — but with real dissent where the takes land · dot = how loud
DOUBTBELIEF
Skeptics2 doubt takes
Believers9 bull takes
💬 fans: 8% volume
The saga so far~3 months old
2 weeks agoWin total (line at 8.5) still unmoved 13d after "K-State loses two offensive linemen to season-ending absences"
3 weeks agoWin total (line at 8.5) still unmoved 12d after "K-State loses two offensive linemen to season-ending absences"
3 weeks agoWin total (line at 8.5) still unmoved 11d after "K-State loses two offensive linemen to season-ending absences"
3 weeks agoWin total (line at 8.5) still unmoved 10d after "K-State loses two offensive linemen to season-ending absences"
3 weeks agoWin total (line at 8.5) — no reprice yet on "K-State loses two offensive linemen to season-ending absences"
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
Collin Klein begins his first season at Kansas State with a 6-6 even record and an uneasy fanbase questioning if the coordinator-driven reshaping can sustain the program's legacy.
Source of record: Kansas State: coordinator change reshaping a unit.
How each room is reacting — tap to expand
Believers bullishSkeptics dissentThe Boards quiet
📣Believers9 bullish items -- the case it's working.

The optimistic read: momentum, and the 'this is real' takes.

“Kansas State Wildcats land 2028 football recruit Taylen Washington from Derby”
Wichita Eagle · 2026-09-22 · read ↗
“Kansas State Lands Commitment From Top In-State 2028 Prospect”
Heartland College Sports · 2026-09-22 · read ↗
“2028 prospect Taylen Washington commits to Kansas State”
247Sports · 2026-09-22 · read ↗
🧐Skeptics“Kansas State grades: Johnson & tight ends stand out, run game…” — the real counter.

The analytical counter: rankings, results, and 'the hype is ahead of the tape' takes.

“Kansas State grades: Johnson & tight ends stand out, run game becomes a concern”
On3 · 2026-09-21 · read ↗
“Do The Kansas State Wildcats Need To Lessen Load On QB Avery Johnson?”
roundtable.io · 2026-09-21 · read ↗
💬The boards8% of recent board volume — quieter than the headlines.

This event was in 192 of 2436 board posts (8%) over the last 60 days — engaged but not consumed. Fan text shown verbatim, attributed to the community not the individual poster.

"Did you get any Call Hall ice cream? In my opinion, a trip to K-State is incomplete without a scoop of Purple Pride."
r/CFB ~ fan take
"Psh I win the natty with KState on NCAA Football all the time why can't Klein? Hot seat?"
r/CFB ~ fan take

The boards ≠ the fanbase: a vocal, self-selected slice.

Belief EKG
2019 seasonL 31-35 vs Arkansas State (Wk 2)W 38-35 vs Oklahoma (Wk 4)W 31-21 vs Texas Tech (Wk 5)W 21-14 vs TCU (Wk 6)W 55-14 vs Kansas (Wk 8)L 10-37 vs West Virginia (Wk 9)L 18-20 vs Oklahoma State (Wk 10)L 0-45 vs Iowa State (Wk 12)L 31-32 vs Baylor (Wk 13)L 31-69 vs Texas (Wk 14)HIGHLOW
2020 seasonW 49-14 vs Nicholls (Wk 1)W 52-0 vs Bowling Green (Wk 2)W 31-24 vs Mississippi State (Wk 3)L 13-26 vs Oklahoma State (Wk 5)L 12-31 vs Baylor (Wk 6)W 24-17 vs TCU (Wk 8)W 48-41 vs Oklahoma (Wk 9)W 38-10 vs Kansas (Wk 10)L 24-27 vs Texas (Wk 11)L 20-24 vs West Virginia (Wk 12)W 30-27 vs Texas Tech (Wk 13)W 27-17 vs Iowa State (Wk 14)L 17-20 vs Navy (Wk 18)HIGHLOW
2020 offseason2019 offseasonWire: Pawloski's promotion signals Klieman is betting on internal continuity while the win total climbs…Wire: A full win jump off a #35 class and two NFL exits tells you the market is buying Klein's first…Story arc: Kansas State secures speedy wide receiver from Louisiana for 2027 classStory arc: Big Ten wrestling announces 2027 opponent rotationsStory arc: Big 12 reduces fines for Kansas State and Iowa State after skipping bowl gamesWk 40Wk 4367th9th
2020 season · 4W-6L2019 season · 8W-5L2025 offseason · fan confidence percentile
WinLoss · hover for scorePrior seasonsWire eventStory arc

Rival pulse

Kansas
Uneasy
-19
Sunflower Showdown

Fan mood index · most recent r/cfb data

More in this tab

Game dayWhat a Saturday in this stadium actually feels like.
The experience

Kansas State is the program Bill Snyder built from worst-in-FBS-history into Big 12 power — and the patience that legacy still rewards.

Offense: EliteDefense: EliteDefensive shape: Gives up the big play
Program ledgerEvery dated move on this program's record, newest first.

The program ledger

since 2025
  • 2026Hired Collin Klein
  • 2025 · Wk 2Fell out of the AP Top 25Week 1 · Won 38-35 at home over North Dakotawas No. 17
  • 2025Chris Klieman departs54-34
RosterWho's gone, who's back, who replaces them.

Roster Reload - Kansas State

2026 snapshot - 2026-09-22
Returning Production71%High continuity
Talent Composite#47 nationally247 composite 718.7
Portal Additions27Primary repair: IOL
Portal Losses33Primary pressure: EDGE
Draft Loss2NFL Draft departures (2)
Recruiting Reload#50Development class
EDGEin 3 - Wendell Gregory4.38out 5 - Tobi Osunsanmi4.50Starter Risk
current room: 253 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Power Rusherbull-rushes through contact at the point of attack
WRin 3 - Joshua Manning3.70out 4 - Jayce Brown4.25Downgrade
current room: 195 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Possession Receivermoves the chains on third down
CBin 3 - Kaleb Patterson3.70out 4 - Donovan McIntosh3.60Downgrade
current room: 191 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Hybrid Nickel2025 profilemoves between deep coverage and the slot
Junior-college recruit
RBin 3 - Jay Harris3.80out 4 - Dylan Edwards3.80Even
current room: 196 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Workhorse2025 profilejust keeps getting the ball, series after series
IOLin 4 - Keiton Jones3.60out 2 - Devin Vass3.60Need Filled
current room: 308 lbs avg (2025 roster)
LBin 2 - Mekhi Mason3.60out 4 - Austin Romaine3.70Starter Risk
current room: 230 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Coverage 'Backer2025 profilecarries tight ends down the field in coverage
Transferred in
Full roster (112 players)
Offseason movesEvery addition and subtraction since the last snap.

The Offseason Ledger · Kansas State

6 verified updates · portal · recruiting · staff · news
  1. Coaching

    Kansas State promotes Logan Pawloski to head coach

    Pawloski's promotion signals Klieman is betting on internal continuity while the win total climbs from 7.5 to 8.5 — the EDGE pressure and two draft departures make keeping the developmental pipeline intact a non-negotiable right now.

    Jun 26Official
  2. Portal

    CB Ben Osueke transfer commits from Temple

    CB room down 4 departures with McIntosh gone and only 2 added — Osueke steps out of the American into a Big 12 corner battle where the depth chart has a real hole, not a depth spot.

    Aug 28CFBD /player/portal
  3. News

    K-State loses two offensive linemen to season-ending absences

    Two O-line starters gone before kickoff — Klein's unit was already thin after two NFL Draft departures, and the depth chart just got tested 16 days early.

    Aug 20Reported
  4. News

    K-State releases Week 1 depth chart

    Depth chart out and EDGE is still the pressure point — two NFL exits, a #50 class, and a coordinator overhaul all collide on that one line before the Wildcats play a snap.

    Aug 31Reported
  5. News

    Win total (line at 8.5) still unmoved 13d after "K-State loses two offensive linemen to season-ending absences"

    The market hasn't budged since "K-State loses two offensive linemen to season-ending absences" broke on 2026-08-20 — either the books see it as already priced in, or this one's genuinely slipped past them.

    Sep 2
  6. News

    Win total (line at 8.5) still unmoved 12d after "K-State loses two offensive linemen to season-ending absences"

    The market hasn't budged since "K-State loses two offensive linemen to season-ending absences" broke on 2026-08-20 — either the books see it as already priced in, or this one's genuinely slipped past them.

    Sep 1
Who's movedWho's transferring in and out, right now.

Transfer portal snapshot

-2.0 net portal points
(raw ledger: -23.1 — unweighted, no position adjustment)
TE
-7.1
starter risk
IOL
+7.0
need filled
EDGE
-6.5
starter risk
LB
-4.6
starter risk
WR
-3.9
OT
-3.7
DL
+3.6
S
-3.6
CB
-3.3
RB
-3.1
K
+1.0
low confidence
P
+1.0
low confidence
Top commits

Top 3 commits

2026 class
★★★☆☆
Josiah Vilmael
CB · Richmond, TX
#524 national
Profiles like a typical incoming cornerback — 10 of his 25 closest recruiting profiles since 2018 shared the Cover Corner archetype.~our read · projection from recruiting profile — no college snaps yet
★★★☆☆
Max Lovett
WR · Englewood, CO
#554 national
Profiles like a typical incoming wide receiver — 21 of his 25 closest recruiting profiles since 2018 shared the Possession Receiver archetype.~our read · projection from recruiting profile — no college snaps yet
★★★☆☆
Keegan Collins
OT · Canyon, TX
#586 national
Where they're fromWhere this class actually comes from, on the map.

Recruiting Footprint · 2026

23
OK · 4TX · 4KS · 3MO · 3CO · 2AL · 1CA · 1FL · 1+4 more

OK leads the 2026 class with 4 commits. National footprint reaching 12 states.

Where they recruit · 2023-2026

99 signees across 26 states, 2023-2026. KS leads the pull.

MEVTNHWAID1MTNDMN2WIMINY1MA1ORNV1WYSD1IA4IL1INOH1PA1NJCTCA1UTCO5NE3MO10KYWVVAMDDERIAZ3NMKS24AR1TNNC1SC1DCOK5LA1MS1AL3GA2AKHITX16FL8
Source CFB Zeitgeist · player_recruiting_profiles

That is 26.7% of every high-school FBS signee KS produced over those cycles — the biggest share any program takes — Kansas is next. The full map →

Miles from homeHow far this roster travelled to get here.

Miles from home · 2026 roster

The median Kansas State player grew up 391 miles from campus.

Half this roster came from closer than that; half came from farther.

46th-farthest from home in FBS of 135 ranked →
Closest to homeFarthest from home
Middle 50%152–727 miquartile spread
Within 100 mi6%6 of 107 players
Farthest1,374 miOwen Harrington · San Jose, CA
Closest17 miJackson Hollie · Junction City, KS

Straight-line distance from each player's listed hometown to Bill Snyder Family Stadium. Hometowns are placed at city-centroid precision, not street address — fine at this scale, but a player's true door-to-door number can differ by a few miles. 107 of 112 listed players have a geocoded hometown. Source: CFBD roster hometowns.

In-state shareHow much of this roster is home-grown.

Who owns KS · 2026 roster

20% of the Kansas State roster grew up in KS.

22 of 110 players, drawn from 25 states in all. That is the 104th-highest in-state share of 135 ranked FBS programs.

KS · 22MO · 11FL · 9TX · 9OK · 8CO · 6IA · 6NE · 6+17 more

Where the 2026 roster is from

110 players across 25 states. Biggest pull outside KS: MO (11).

MEVTNHWAIDMTNDMN1WIMI1NY1MAORNVWYSD2IA6ILIN2OH4PA2NJ1CTCA5UTCO6NE6MO11KYWVVAMD1DERIAZ1NMKS22AR2TNNCSC2DCOK8LA1MS2AL1GA4AKHITX9FL9
Source CFB Zeitgeist · roster_entries (CFBD hometowns)
Every FBS roster ranked by in-state share →

Home state as listed on the CFBD roster. 2 listed players fall outside the 50 states and DC (international hometowns, or no state listed) and are excluded from the denominator. Source: CFBD roster hometowns.

Recruiting buzzWhat fans say about the incoming class right now.

r/cfb this year

[Postgame Thread] Kansas State Defeats UCF 34-20
412 upvotes · Sep 2025
[Postgame Thread] Kansas State Defeats TCU 41-28
266 upvotes · Oct 2025
[Game Thread] UCF @ Kansas State (12:00 PM ET)
68 upvotes · Sep 2025

Top community posts · last 12 months · r/cfb

How it turned outHow an old class actually turned out, years on.
Class Autopsy
The 2023 class: 0 drafted so far, 44% never transferred. D
See the class →
Belief historyHow today's fan mood compares to the program's past.

Fan confidence in a typical range for this program right now

43rd percentile among FBS programs

Fans vs. marketWhere fans and the betting market read this team differently.
Fan vs. market
43rd
Fan percentile
(FBS mood rank)
8.5
Vegas O/U wins
(79th among FBS)
Market 36pp more optimistic than fan mood
Win total consensus · 3 books
Pollster gapPollsters don't agree -- here's how far apart.
Voter spread

Just one AP voter, Greg Luca (San Antonio Express-News), has them ranked — at #25. The other 67 voters left them off entirely.

Individual AP Top 25 ballots, AP ballot, week 3, 2026 — 68 voters tracked.

TakeawaysWhat this defense does once it gets the ball.
Takeaway conversion

0% of tipped/broken-up passes have turned into picks — below the ~19% league average, and due for more.

0 interceptions of 10 disrupted passes (10 deflected, 0 intercepted), 2026 only.

PenaltiesWhether flags are costing this team games.
Penalty battle

8 penalties committed, 10 drawn on opponents — a near-even trade all season.

89 penalty yards committed vs. 71 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.

This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. AI-generated content is labeled and may contain factual errors. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site