CFB Zeitgeist Score
81
All-Conference in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 82nd percentile.
Jayce Brown
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
712 REC YDS · 41 REC · 5 REC TD
Where He Ended Up · Transfer
Transferred to LSU
2025Kansas State
2026LSU
WR · KANSAS STATE · BIG 12
Jayce Brown
- 3
- #1
- 6-0 | 179 lb
- Fort Walton Beach, FL
Heisman Heat
#2375
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP WR AWARD
Biletnikoff
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · receiving yards
2023–2025+63%
Up 63% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
Kansas State
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Heisman futures · live sportsbook odds
#20 in market ▼ from #17 · 6 books
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 3-star | 0.8500 | No. 1396 recruit | HighSchool | Kansas State |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Kansas State -> LSU | 4-star | 0.9200 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
- Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in receiving yards (712).
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Kansas State
Composite
0.8500
#1396 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Jayce Brown
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
64
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=21
- Rivals · n=2
- National · n=16
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Jayce Brown
Only 2 rival mention(s) — below the 4-mention floor for a defensible read.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
Yards per reception
17.4
yds
All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions
National rank #31 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 94th
Why it matters
#31 of 531 All FBS WRs at 17.4 yards per reception (41 catches).
Vs cohort
This player 17.4 (94th)
HIGH · n=41 cohort 531
- Also strong
- Receiving yards (total)#97 / 531
- Receiving TDs#98 / 531
Signature Moment
Week 9 at Kansas — 160 ypr
Result W 42-17
The week the volume broke through — put up 160 yds at Kansas.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the receiving totals stand
Through 9g
712Rec yards
41Receptions
5Rec TDs
Per game
79.1Rec yards
5Receptions
1Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
1,028Rec yards
59Receptions
7Rec TDs
✓ Hit 700-yard receiver · finished with 712.
To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 712): needs 72/game over remaining 4.
To hit 60-catch season (currently 41): needs 4.8/game over remaining 4.
To hit 80-catch season (currently 41): needs 9.8/game over remaining 4.
To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 5): needs 0.8/game over remaining 4.
To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 5): needs 1.2/game over remaining 4.
Why the profile pops beyond receiving
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
The most interesting thing about Jayce Brown is that he shows up in multiple game states. He is a receiver first, but the profile also includes designed touches and return-game juice, which means his value is not limited to a conventional route tree.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
WR season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Big-play receiver against FBS receiving peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Receiving
REC
41 84th
YDS
712 91st
YPR
17.4 88th
TD
5 91st
Rushing
CAR
7 84th
YDS
116 95th
YPC
16.6 96th
TD
1 96th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 9 games
| Wk | Opp | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 21-24vs Iowa State | 4 | 78 | 19.5 | 1 | 37 | |
| Wk 1 | W 38-35vs North Dakota | 12 | 109 | 9.1 | 1 | 44 | |
| Wk 2 | L 21-24vs Army | 3 | 29 | 9.7 | 0 | 17 | |
| Wk 3 | L 17-23@ Arizona | 6 | 68 | 11.3 | 0 | 31 | |
| Wk 6 | L 34-35@ Baylor | 4 | 106 | 26.5 | 1 | 48 | |
| Wk 7 | W 41-28vs TCU | 3 | 27 | 9.0 | 0 | 11 | |
| Wk 9 | W 42-17@ Kansas | 4 | 160 | 40.0 | 1 | 78 | Season-high 160 yds |
| Wk 10 | L 20-43vs Texas Tech | 2 | 53 | 26.5 | 0 | 56 | |
| Wk 12 | W 14-6@ Oklahoma State | 3 | 82 | 27.3 | 1 | 34 | |
| Total | 41 | 712 | 19.9 | 5 | 78 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2023Kansas State9-4HC: Chris Klieman · Run-leaning
2025Kansas State6-6HC: Chris Klieman · Run-leaning, slow tempo
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Kansas State | 41 | 712 | 17.4 | 5 | -- |
| 2023 | Kansas State | 27 | 437 | 16.2 | 3 | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 68 | 1,149 | 16.9 | 8 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Kansas State | 7 | 116 | -- | -- | -- |
| 2023 | Kansas State | 4 | 3 | -- | -- | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 11 | 119 | -- | -- | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.
A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 41 | #178/1110 | 84th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 712 | #103/1107 | 91st pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 5 | #96/1111 | 91st pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 17.4 | #129/1106 | 88th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Pass share | 23.6% | #36/1137 | 97th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 116 | #19/397 | 95th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 75 | #3/346 | 99th pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 16.6 | #16/393 | 96th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Carries | 7 | #65/407 | 84th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 1 | #19/411 | 96th pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 78 | #33/1105 | 97th pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 16.2% | #28/1137 | 98th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 14.7% | #12/1137 | 99th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 14.7% | #54/1137 | 95th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Role share | 13.5% | #19/1137 | 98th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 12.7% | #18/1137 | 99th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 10.3% | #100/1137 | 91st pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Rush share | 2.2% | #85/1137 | 93rd pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 1 | #131/302 | 57th pct | Turnoversvs FBS WR |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 9 games
Home vs Road
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home5g | 4.8 | 59.2 | 14.8 | 0.4 |
| Road4g | 4.2 | 104 | 26.3 | 0.8 |
Win vs Loss
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins4g | 5.5 | 94.5 | 21.4 | 0.8 |
| Losses5g | 3.8 | 66.8 | 18.7 | 0.4 |
First half vs Second half
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 5.3 | 69.5 | 14.2 | 0.5 |
| Weeks 8+3g | 3.0 | 98.3 | 31.3 | 0.7 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort
81All-Conference
Elite: long catch (94th). Strength: rush yards (94th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · WR · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Jayce BrownKansas StateAnthony SmithEast Carolina· 87% simChris Brazzell IITennessee· 84% simCamden BrownGeorgia Southern· 83% sim
Long catch
Rush yards
Yards / catch
Rush TDs
Rec yards
Rec TDs
Receptions
Fumbles lost
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Deep Threat
Stretches the field vertically. Every snap is a potential big play.
WR
His 2025 production profile sits closest to J.C. Santana’s 2022 season.
J.C. Santana
88%match
#2
Trevon Bradford
82%
#3
Skyler Bell
NFL Rd 4
77%
#4
Skyler Bell
NFL Rd 4
77%
#5
Dashawn Martin
77%
Matches J.C. on
Height
Yards / reception
Class year
Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Wyatt Young’s path through North Texas.
Wyatt Young
89%match
#2
Trevor Wilson
84%
#3
Perry Carter
82%
#4
JaQuae Jackson
82%
#5
Cam Vaughn
All-Conference USA
81%
Matches Wyatt on
Height
Yards per reception
Recruiting rating
Differs from Wyatt on
Weight (lower)
As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to DeAndre Moore Jr.'s junior season at Texas (2025).
DeAndre Moore Jr.
81%match
#2
Carlos Hernandez
79%
#3
Ontaria Wilson
77%
#4
Dylan Drummond
77%
#5
Jmariyae Robinson
76%
Matches DeAndre on
Total EPA (college ability)
TD rate
Yards / reception
Differs from DeAndre on
EPA / play (adj) (lower)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Chris Klieman
Pass share
46.4%
342 pass / 395 run
Plays / game
61.4
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
4.5%
288 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning, slow tempo.
Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025
1 coach2023
Chris Klieman
Kansas State
2025
Chris Klieman
Kansas State
Played his entire career under Chris Klieman.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownFort Walton Beach, FL
Height6'0"
Weight179 lb
Class3
PositionWR
Jersey1
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamKansas State
ConferenceBig 12
Joined2025
Career arc3 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Kansas State | WR3 | #2375 | #2105 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Big 12 |
| 2023 | Kansas State | WR3 | #487 | #499 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Big 12 |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Kansas State | Big 12 | WR | 3 | No. 1 | 6-0 | 179 lb | Fort Walton Beach, FL |
| 2024 | Kansas State | Big 12 | WR | 3 | No. 1 | 6-0 | 179 lb | Fort Walton Beach, FL |
| 2023 | Kansas State | Big 12 | WR | 3 | No. 1 | 6-0 | 179 lb | Fort Walton Beach, FL |