Washington State at Kansas State
Fan take
Washington State fans
Kansas State fans
How they got here
Last three games · 2025 season
Washington State · 7-6
Picked #42 in the preseason · now #28 — better than expected.
2-1 in its last three, capped by a 13-point win over Utah State as a 1.5-point underdog.
W 34–21 @ Utah State #108 of 668
won by 13 as a 1.5-point underdog
W 32–8 vs Oregon State #148 of 668
won by 24 as a 14.5-point favorite
L 20–24 @ James MadisonTop 25 #22 of 668
lost by 4 as a 15.5-point underdog
W 28–3 vs Louisiana Tech #127 of 668
won by 25 as a 10-point favorite
L 7–10 @ Oregon State #112 of 668
lost by 3 as a 3-point favorite
W 28–7 vs Toledo #51 of 668
won by 21 as a 2-point underdog
L 20–22 @ VirginiaTop 25 #46 of 668
lost by 2 as a 16.5-point underdog
L 21–24 @ Ole MissTop 25 #23 of 668
lost by 3 as a 32.5-point underdog
W 20–3 @ Colorado State #126 of 668
won by 17 as a 6.5-point underdog
L 24–59 vs WashingtonTop 25 #43 of 668
lost by 35 as a 20.5-point underdog
L 10–59 @ North TexasTop 25 #102 of 668
lost by 49 as a 6.5-point underdog
W 36–13 vs San Diego State #93 of 668
won by 23 as a 2.5-point favorite
W 13–10 vs Idaho #164 of 668
won by 3 as a 17-point favorite
Last three games · 2025 season
Kansas State · 6-6
Picked #33 in the preseason · now #42 — about right.
2-1 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.
W 24–14 vs Colorado #128 of 668
won by 10 as a 16.5-point favorite
L 47–51 @ UtahTop 25 #15 of 668
lost by 4 as a 17.5-point underdog
W 14–6 @ Oklahoma State #164 of 668
won by 8 as a 19.5-point favorite
L 20–43 vs Texas TechTop 25 #5 of 668
lost by 23 as a 7-point underdog
W 42–17 @ Kansas #59 of 668
won by 25 as a 3.5-point underdog
W 41–28 vs TCUTop 25 #36 of 668
won by 13 as a 2.5-point underdog
L 34–35 @ Baylor #26 of 668
lost by 1 as a 5-point underdog
W 34–20 vs UCF #72 of 668
won by 14 as a 6-point favorite
L 17–23 @ ArizonaTop 25 #68 of 668
lost by 6 as a 1.5-point favorite
L 21–24 vs Army #64 of 668
lost by 3 as a 16.5-point favorite
W 38–35 vs North Dakota #97 of 668
won by 3 as a 27.5-point favorite
L 21–24 vs Iowa StateTop 25 #35 of 668
lost by 3 as a 3-point favorite
What’s at stake
Make the CFP field
Win the conference
Win it all
CFP odds as of September 13, 2026
The series
Kansas State leads the series 1-0
1 meeting since 2026 · Kansas State won the last meeting
- 2026Kansas State 34–7
Best players
Washington State
- Keith Brown (LB) · 12 tackles
- Dylan Paine (RB) · 159 rushing yards
- DJ Warner (LB) · 10 tackles
Kansas State
- Rodney Fields Jr. (RB) · 206 rushing yards
- Joshua Manning (WR) · 130 receiving yards
- Avery Johnson (QB) · 391 passing yards — Heisman odds: 36th (+5000)
The line, and the room
Washington State fans are feeling better about their season (71st percentile) than Kansas State fans are (21st) — even with Kansas State favored here.
- Model · 72%
- Market · 92%
- Kansas State fans · 21st
- Washington State fans · 71st
Home −17.5 · O/U 48.5
Conditions
74°F · 8 mph wind · Cloudy
Kansas State is worth +5.5 points (±3.8) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top third of FBS, 73rd percentile.
65% at home, 45% on the road against FBS opponents (30–16 home, 18–22 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +4.4 at home vs. away over 72 games — inside the ±7.4 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
The visitors travel about 1,158 miles to get here.
Washington State 7 – Kansas State 34
Called it — picked Kansas State to win.
Recent games
Kansas State
- Wk 1Wvs Nicholls71-3
Washington State
- Wk 1Lat Washington10-24
Trajectory
Kansas State beat Washington State 34-7 — exactly what the pregame pick had.