Colorado

2-1

Big 12 · Deion Sanders, year 4 (18-22) · Folsom Field · 50,183 · 49,363 avg in 2026

The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The model#112 CFB ZeitgeistSP+ #72 (-1.2) · FPI #70
The marketBaylor by 10at Baylor · our model 12% Colorado · a number, not a pick

LastL 7–41 at Northwestern · Sat Sep 19 · Joseph Williams 88 rec yds, 1 TD, 1 tackles

Nextat Baylor · Sat Sep 26 · 12 pm ET · McLane Stadium · Baylor by 10 · series 10-7 · Game preview

Updated Tue Sep 22 · through week 3

Colorado · 2026 schedule & results2-1
WkDateUsOppLineOpponentResultRecordConf
1Sep 4#163#74+6.5@Georgia TechW 14–13 1301-00-0
2Sep 12#156#241-38.5Weber StateW 52–21 1542-00-0
3Sep 19#142#11+3.5@NorthwesternL 7–41 1352-10-0
4Sep 26#125#35+10@Baylor
5Oct 3#125#7Texas Tech
7Oct 17Utah
8Oct 24@Oklahoma State
9Oct 31Kansas State
10Nov 7@Arizona State
11Nov 14Houston
12Nov 21@Cincinnati
13Nov 28UCF
Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, explosiveness)
DateOppResultYdsTOTOPEPA/playSuccess%Explosive%Note
Sep 19@NorthwesternL 7–41348423:07-0.14341.0%109.3%Season-low EPA/play
Sep 12Weber StateW 52–21578230:05+0.46745.9%159.3%Season-high EPA/play
Sep 4@Georgia TechW 14–13307034:09+0.05237.7%112.5%One-score win
Season average (3 games)4112.0+0.12641.5%127.0%
Verdict Begins·Live

Colorado is the program that turned a head-coaching hire into appointment television — and is now finding out what the lights look like when the wins stop following them.

Title DroughtSince 2001 · 25 yrs

Every Buffs fan knows the deal: the same cameras that made Boulder the center of the sport are the ones counting down to the day they can call it a circus that fell apart. The fanbase loves the…

low signal
Read the full program story ↓

The season in chapters

Ahead
Sat Oct 3AP #11 Texas Techvs Texas Tech · at home
Sat Oct 17Rumble in the Rockiesvs AP #15 Utah · at home
Fri Nov 13AP #25 Houstonvs Houston · at home

What fans said

Real posts from the day of the game, chosen by community score · usernames not shown

What it is like to watch them2025 · 3-9 · last season

Game feel51even gamescombined pts / game9th highest-scoring of 16 in the Big 12
Heart rate1-3some dramain one-score games (4 of 12)11th most one-score games of 16 in the Big 12
Margin-9.6outgunnedavg scoring margin15th best margin of 16 in the Big 12
Tempo65average paceoffensive plays / game12th fastest of 16 in the Big 12
Big plays1.40highlight reelexplosiveness (IsoPPP)2nd most explosive of 16 in the Big 12
Home crowd50,469avg attendance8th biggest crowds of 16 in the Big 12

✓ measured from 12 games · ranks are among Big 12 teams the same season

Recent form · last 10 games · incl. 2025

Colorado has won two of its last five.

Cooling. 3-7 over the last 10, and lost the last one.

Streak L1Last 5 · 2-3Last 10 · 3-7
I haven’t seen, since I’ve been here, a safety with that type of range that he showed on the one he barely dropped
McDonald · On3the day before Colorado's 2026 game against Northwestern
The forecast

Next Sep 26

vs Baylor · away

Season line4.5 winsover -120
SoftSolid

✓ fact on line · ~ our read on style

Market outlook

Season expectations

Win total2 booksO/U 4.5
CFP championship#48 in field+50000
Big 12 title#13 in market+6000

Sportsbook consensus · best odds across multiple books · 2026-09-22

Colorado · the story right now 8 storylines developing

What Colorado's transfer portal class is really about

the open questionis the portal class enough to move the needle?

portal2026-01-18~readnew

Colorado's top-3 Big 12 portal class arrives with just 7% production returning — Sanders' third straight extreme rebuild, now restocking DL and WR after losing Tyrecus Davis.

what happenedColorado signed a top-14 transfer-portal class — 42 additions headlined by Isaac Wilson (QB) from Utah and Cree Thomas (CB) from Notre Dame. ✓ fact
the contexta top-3 portal class in the Big 12 this cycle

our readfront page

portal2025-06-12~readnew

Deion Sanders' third consecutive top-15 portal class rebuilds Colorado from a 3-9 losing season, but with just 7% returning production, nearly everything is being overhauled at once.

what happenedColorado signed a top-13 transfer-portal class — 33 additions headlined by Kaidon Salter (QB) from Liberty and Noah King (CB) from Kansas State. ✓ fact
the contextthird consecutive top-15 portal class

our readdeveloping

power broker conflictthis cycle✓ factnew

Colorado: an off-field feud following the program.

our readdeveloping

deep threat2025 cycle~attributednew

Joseph Williams is used almost exclusively underneath -- a low share of his targets are downfield shots.

our readbackground

garbage time2025 cycle~attributednew

Micah Welch sees a real spike in usage once the game is out of reach.

our readbackground

deep threat2025 cycle~attributednew

Omarion Miller is a real deep-ball threat -- a high share of his targets come on throws past the sticks.

our readbackground

garbage time2025 cycle~attributednew

Omarion Miller: a garbage time merchant signal screened this season.

our readbackground

deep threat2025 cycle~attributednew

Zach Atkins is used almost exclusively underneath -- a low share of his targets are downfield shots.

our readbackground

How past storylines here turned out

Died downColorado's defensive coordinator change has died down — no clear next chapter yet.
Died downColorado's offensive coordinator change has died down — no clear next chapter yet.

Outcome band · Colorado · 2026

Colorado's most likely season is 7-6 — a bowl game. The floor is 4-8; the ceiling is 9-4.

Floor4-8No postseason.
Base7-6A bowl game.
Ceiling9-4A bowl game, 2 more wins.

Floor, base and ceiling come from the season-path projection, which plays out conference title games and the CFP — so a ceiling can run past 12 games.

How the room reactedreal evidence · tap rooms to explore
Following now · Colorado · Transfer portal Confidence

Colorado's top-14 portal class: the window closed in their favor. The snaps decide who actually matters.

Colorado signed a top-14 transfer-portal class — 42 additions headlined by Isaac Wilson (QB) from Utah and Cree Thomas (CB) from Notre Dame. It is a top-3 portal class in the Big 12 this cycle. Portal pickups don't redshirt. The coverage sees this as a targeted, ready-to-contribute class built for snap competition, not depth-chart filler. The coverage reads this as a credible, targeted haul.

skeptical — but there's a bull case where the takes land · dot = how loud
DOUBTBELIEF
Skeptics4 doubt takes
Believers1 bull take
🎪 drama: simmering💬 fans: 2% volume
Developing3 new this week
4 days agoOne Colorado Player Who Needs a Bigger Role to Avoid Future Transfer Questions — Sports Illustrated
5 days agoColorado football: NDSU transfer Toby Anene off to good start with Buffs — On3
6 days ago'My Life Changed': Chase Sowell Fulfills College Football Dream Through Transfer Portal Success — Onward State
2 weeks agoLamont Lester Jr.: 5 tackles · 3.5 TFL · 3 sacks at Georgia Tech
3 weeks agoWin total (line at 4.5) still unmoved 13d after "CU transfer dismissed from SEC program"
The cast who's driving the story · latest headline on each, attributed
Isaac Wilson QB · Utah
Cree Thomas CB · Notre Dame
“Cree Thomas grateful for chance to work with Colorado coach Deion Sanders” — Daily Camera · 2026-08-20
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
Colorado's top-3 Big 12 portal class arrives with just 7% production returning — Sanders' third straight extreme rebuild, now restocking DL and WR after losing Tyrecus Davis.
Source of record: Colorado signed a top-14 transfer-portal class — 42 additions headlined by Isaac Wilson (QB) from Utah and Cree Thomas (CB) from Notre Dame — a top-3 portal class in the Big 12 this cycle.
How each room is reacting — tap to expand
The Circus dramaBelievers bullishSkeptics dissentThe Boards quiet
🎪The circus“Georgia Tech's Tawfiq Thomas Sends Strong Message to Colorado…” — the saga that won't quit.

The off-field storyline driving the noise right now. Not analysis — the soap opera, and that's the point.

“Georgia Tech's Tawfiq Thomas Sends Strong Message to Colorado Before Facing Former Team”
Sports Illustrated · 2026-09-03 · read ↗
📣Believers1 bullish/portal items -- the case it's working.

The 'portal class fills the gaps' believers -- upgrades at real positions of need.

“Pomona football grabs win in ‘Get Back Game’ versus Thomas Jefferson at NAAC”
Colorado Preps · 2026-08-28 · read ↗
“Colorado football: NDSU transfer Toby Anene off to good start with Buffs”
On3 · 2026-09-17 · read ↗
“'My Life Changed': Chase Sowell Fulfills College Football Dream Through Transfer Portal Success”
Onward State · 2026-09-16 · read ↗
🧐Skeptics“One Colorado Player Who Needs a Bigger Role to Avoid Future…” — the real counter.

The 'portal is a gamble' counter -- departure losses and the 'plug-and-play doesn't work' read.

“One Colorado Player Who Needs a Bigger Role to Avoid Future Transfer Questions”
Sports Illustrated · 2026-09-18 · read ↗
“One Colorado Player Who Needs Bigger Role to Avoid Future Transfer Questions”
Sports Illustrated · 2026-09-12 · read ↗
💬The boards2% of recent board volume — quieter than the headlines.

This event was in 41 of 2491 board posts (2%) over the last 60 days — engaged but not consumed. Fan text shown verbatim, attributed to the community not the individual poster.

"Kinda funny that in the age of the transfer portal that Deion “Imma bring my Louis” Sanders is running the “let’s play an 18 year old who’s basically a freshman” gimmick."
r/CFB ~ fan take
"hi all! i submitted an app to transfer in for the spring semester around 4 weeks ago as an intl affairs major. i’d love to hear any advice anyone has on housing, financial aid, etc"
r/cuboulder ~ fan take

The boards ≠ the fanbase: a vocal, self-selected slice.

Following now · Colorado · Transfer portal Confidence

Colorado's top-13 portal class: the window closed in their favor. The snaps decide who actually matters.

Colorado signed a top-13 transfer-portal class — 33 additions headlined by Kaidon Salter (QB) from Liberty and Noah King (CB) from Kansas State. It is third consecutive top-15 portal class. Portal pickups are proven college players — the split isn't about development, it's about whether they fit the scheme and win their position battles. Coverage is split on whether volume or positional fit is the bigger story.

the room is genuinely split where the takes land · dot = how loud
DOUBTBELIEF
Skeptics2 doubt takes
Believers3 bull takes
💬 fans: 13% volume
Developing3 new this week
yesterdayBig 12 power rankings shift after Week 3: A new No. 1 team — coloradobuffaloeswire.usatoday.com
yesterdayColorado’s Lopsided Loss Sparks Big 12 Power Ranking Dive — Sports Illustrated
yesterdayBig 12 Football Power Rankings After Week 3 — news
2 weeks agoLamont Lester Jr.: 5 tackles · 3.5 TFL · 3 sacks at Georgia Tech
3 weeks agoWin total (line at 4.5) still unmoved 13d after "CU transfer dismissed from SEC program"
The cast who's driving the story · latest headline on each, attributed
Kaidon Salter QB · Liberty
Noah King CB · Kansas State
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
Deion Sanders' third consecutive top-15 portal class rebuilds Colorado from a 3-9 losing season, but with just 7% returning production, nearly everything is being overhauled at once.
Source of record: Colorado signed a top-13 transfer-portal class — 33 additions headlined by Kaidon Salter (QB) from Liberty and Noah King (CB) from Kansas State — third consecutive top-15 portal class.
How each room is reacting — tap to expand
Believers bullishSkeptics dissentThe Boards loud
📣Believers3 bullish/portal items -- the case it's working.

The 'portal class fills the gaps' believers -- upgrades at real positions of need.

“Colorado football: NDSU transfer Toby Anene off to good start with Buffs”
On3 · 2026-09-17 · read ↗
“'My Life Changed': Chase Sowell Fulfills College Football Dream Through Transfer Portal Success”
Onward State · 2026-09-16 · read ↗
“Defensive returners making impact for CSU Rams - Loveland Reporter-Herald”
news · 2026-09-18 · read ↗
🧐Skeptics“One Colorado Player Who Needs a Bigger Role to Avoid Future…” — the real counter.

The 'portal is a gamble' counter -- departure losses and the 'plug-and-play doesn't work' read.

“One Colorado Player Who Needs a Bigger Role to Avoid Future Transfer Questions”
Sports Illustrated · 2026-09-18 · read ↗
“Big 12 Football Hot Seat Rankings Entering Week 3”
Heartland College Sports · 2026-09-18 · read ↗
💬The boards13% of recent board volume — the fanbase is locked in.

This event was in 332 of 2491 board posts (13%) over the last 60 days — a fanbase consumed by it. Fan text shown verbatim, attributed to the community not the individual poster.

"am i being gaslit? i feel like im going insane. what is this commentator talking about"
r/CFB ~ fan take
"Man yall squeaking by because the offense is turning the ball over. The defense is holding it down with the circumstances they’ve been put in."
r/CFB ~ fan take

The boards ≠ the fanbase: a vocal, self-selected slice.

Rival pulse

Utah
Bullish
+30
Rumble in the Rockies
Colorado State
Bullish
+25
Rocky Mountain Showdown

Fan mood index · most recent r/cfb data

More in this tab

Game dayWhat a Saturday in this stadium actually feels like.
The experience

Colorado is the program with a 1990 national title and the most-watched college football story of the 2020s thanks to Coach Prime.

Offense: SoftDefense: Solid
RosterWho's gone, who's back, who replaces them.

Roster Reload - Colorado

2026 snapshot - 2026-09-22
Returning Production14%Low continuity / heavy reload
Talent Composite#39 nationally247 composite 731.6
Portal Additions42Primary repair: EDGE
Portal Losses38Primary pressure: CB
Draft Loss0No NFL Draft departures recorded
Recruiting Reload#67Depth class
DLin 6 - Sedrick Smith3.70out 6 - Jehiem Oatis3.70Upgrade
current room: 306 lbs avg (2025 roster)
CBin 5 - Cree Thomas3.70out 7 - DJ McKinney4.12Starter Risk
current room: 191 lbs avg (2025 roster)
EDGEin 6 - Toby Anene3.70out 4 - London Merritt3.70Need Filled
current room: 256 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Sin 5 - Boo Carter4.38out 5 - Tawfiq Byard3.80Even
current room: 197 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Hybrid Nickel2025 profilemoves between deep coverage and the slot
Former four-star
WRin 4 - DeAndre Moore Jr.4.50out 4 - Omarion Miller4.62Even
current room: 193 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Possession ReceiverBoom-or-bustmoves the chains on third down his yards come in chunks — feast or famine
OTin 4 - Leon Bell3.90out 3 - Jordan Seaton5.00Upgrade
Full roster (106 players)
Offseason movesEvery addition and subtraction since the last snap.

The Offseason Ledger · Colorado

6 verified updates · portal · recruiting · staff · news
  1. News

    Lamont Lester Jr.: 5 tackles · 3.5 TFL · 3 sacks at Georgia Tech

    Top 1% tackles for loss game since 2021. at Georgia Tech (FBS) W 14-13.

    Sep 4
  2. News

    Colorado DT Christensen denied eligibility

    Sanders is already addressing court cases in camp — now the NCAA adds a DT eligibility denial to a D-line room that can't afford attrition with a #67 class and pressure already thin at CB.

    Aug 24Official
  3. Portal

    CU transfer dismissed from SEC program

    Boo Carter lands in Boulder after getting cut loose from the SEC — with CB depth already thin and the class sitting 67th nationally, Sanders needed attitude answers as much as talent ones, and he's gone on record praising Carter's buy-in.

    Aug 15Reported
  4. News

    Eligibility ruling expected soon

    CB depth was already thin at #67 nationally — an eligibility ruling here could flip a genuine pressure point before fall camp locks in the two-deep.

    Aug 12Reported
  5. News

    Colorado releases two-deep offensive depth chart

    Two-deep is public now — with CB depth ranked 67th nationally and pressure at corner baked in, who's actually behind the starters matters more than the top line.

  6. News

    Colorado announces offensive line depth chart

    The O-line depth chart is out and that's the real story — Rothstein's not buying the Big 12 surge yet, but if Sanders can protect the quarterback in a conference this deep, the rankings catch up.

    Jul 22Reported
Who's movedWho's transferring in and out, right now.

Transfer portal snapshot

-1.2 net portal points
(raw ledger: +27.0 — unweighted, no position adjustment)
EDGE
+9.6
need filled
IOL
+7.1
need filled
OT
+5.5
RB
+3.3
DL
+2.8
CB
-2.5
starter risk
S
+0.8
LB
+0.4
QB
+0.1
WR
-0.0
TE
+0.0
Top commits

Top 3 commits

2026 class
★★★★☆
Preston Ashley
S · Brandon, MS
#338 national
Projects: Hybrid Nickel — 13 of his 25 closest recruiting profiles since 2018 shared the Hybrid Nickel archetype.~our read · projection from recruiting profile — no college snaps yet
★★★★☆
Carson Crawford
LB · Carthage, TX
#362 national
Profiles like a typical incoming linebacker — 11 of his 25 closest recruiting profiles since 2018 shared the Balanced Linebacker archetype.~our read · projection from recruiting profile — no college snaps yet
★★★☆☆
Alex Ward
ATH · Bradenton, FL
#487 national
Where they're fromWhere this class actually comes from, on the map.

Recruiting Footprint · 2026

19
FL · 4TX · 4CA · 3GA · 2CO · 1LA · 1MS · 1NJ · 1+2 more

FL leads the 2026 class with 4 commits. National footprint reaching 10 states.

Where they recruit · 2023-2026

69 signees across 17 states, 2023-2026. FL leads the pull.

MEVTNHWA2IDMTNDMNWIMI2NYMAORNVWYSDIA1ILINOHPANJ1CTCA7UT1CO3NEMOKYWVVAMDDERIAZNMKS1ARTN4NCSCDCOK2LA2MS3AL1GA11AKHITX10FL17
Source CFB Zeitgeist · player_recruiting_profiles
Miles from homeHow far this roster travelled to get here.

Miles from home · 2026 roster

The median Colorado player grew up 984 miles from campus.

Half this roster came from closer than that; half came from farther.

3rd-farthest from home in FBS of 135 ranked →
Closest to homeFarthest from home
Middle 50%694–1,254 miquartile spread
Within 100 mi6%6 of 102 players
Farthest3,317 miLiona Lefau · Kahuku, HI
Closest0 miDaniel Gerlach · Boulder, CO

Straight-line distance from each player's listed hometown to Folsom Field. Hometowns are placed at city-centroid precision, not street address — fine at this scale, but a player's true door-to-door number can differ by a few miles. 102 of 106 listed players have a geocoded hometown. Source: CFBD roster hometowns.

In-state shareHow much of this roster is home-grown.

Who owns CO · 2026 roster

7.8% of the Colorado roster grew up in CO.

8 of 102 players, drawn from 26 states in all. That is the 132nd-highest in-state share of 135 ranked FBS programs.

TX · 24GA · 17CA · 8CO · 8FL · 7TN · 5LA · 3NJ · 3+18 more

Where the 2026 roster is from

102 players across 26 states. Biggest pull outside CO: TX (24).

MEVTNHWA1IDMTNDMN1WIMI1NY1MAOR1NV1WYSDIAIL1INOH2PA3NJ3CTCA8UT3CO8NEMOKYWVVA1MD2DERIAZ2NM1KS1ARTN5NC2SCDCOKLA3MS2ALGA17AKHI1TX24FL7
Source CFB Zeitgeist · roster_entries (CFBD hometowns)
Every FBS roster ranked by in-state share →

Home state as listed on the CFBD roster. 4 listed players fall outside the 50 states and DC (international hometowns, or no state listed) and are excluded from the denominator. Source: CFBD roster hometowns.

Recruiting buzzWhat fans say about the incoming class right now.

r/cfb this year

[Postgame Thread] BYU Defeats Colorado 24-21
1,310 upvotes · Sep 2025
[Postgame Thread] TCU Defeats Colorado 35-21
698 upvotes · Oct 2025
[Game Thread] BYU @ Colorado (10:15 PM ET)
69 upvotes · Sep 2025

Top community posts · last 12 months · r/cfb

How it turned outHow an old class actually turned out, years on.
Class Autopsy
The 2023 class: 0 drafted so far, 6% never transferred. C
See the class →
Belief historyHow today's fan mood compares to the program's past.

Fan confidence lower than any point since 2020

3rd percentile among FBS programs

Fans vs. marketWhere fans and the betting market read this team differently.
Fan vs. market
3rd
Fan percentile
(FBS mood rank)
4.5
Vegas O/U wins
(12th among FBS)
Fan mood aligned with market consensus
Win total consensus · 2 books
Turnover luckHow much of the margin was skill vs. the bounce.
Fumble luck

The bounces haven't gone their way on their own fumbles: 33% recovered, vs. ~52% expected.

2 of 6 own fumbles recovered themselves; 3 of 6 forced fumbles recovered, 2026 only.

TakeawaysWhat this defense does once it gets the ball.
Takeaway conversion

Deflections without payoff: 8% of disrupted passes intercepted, vs. ~19% league-wide.

1 interceptions of 12 disrupted passes (11 deflected, 1 intercepted), 2026 only.

PenaltiesWhether flags are costing this team games.
Penalty battle

The flags haven't favored them: 28 penalties committed vs. 23 drawn on opponents, 83 yards behind.

247 penalty yards committed vs. 164 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.

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