Colorado3-9

No consensus around Colorado right now — the fanbase is genuinely divided.

belief cooled ↓ 6.4vs prior week
Fanbase belief
Mixed
52/100 · 154 mentions
~ our read
Grounding
about average
9% cite a stat · 7% typical ✓ counted
~ our read
Volatility
Reactive
σ 14 pts
~ our read
The model
#105
CFB Zeitgeist · -3.8
✓ measured
Explore all 12 corners of the fanbase ↓
2
portal class

Colorado signed a top-14 transfer-portal class — 42 additions headlined by Isaac Wilson (QB) from Utah and Cree Thomas (CB) from Notre Dame.

Colorado's top-3 Big 12 portal class arrives with just 7% production returning — Sanders' third straight extreme rebuild, now restocking DL and WR after losing Tyrecus Davis.

Hope-Doping·Offseason

Colorado is the program that turned a head-coaching hire into appointment television — and is now finding out what the lights look like when the wins stop following them.

Title DroughtSince 2001 · 24 yrs

Every Buffs fan knows the deal: the same cameras that made Boulder the center of the sport are the ones counting down to the day they can call it a circus that fell apart. The fanbase loves the attent…

offseason · quiet
Read the full program story ↓

Roster Reload - Colorado

2026 snapshot - 2026-08-06
Returning Production7%Low continuity / heavy reload
Talent Composite#30 nationally247 composite 755.2
Portal Additions42Primary repair: EDGE
Portal Losses38Primary pressure: CB
Draft Loss0No NFL Draft departures recorded
Recruiting Reload#67Depth class
DLin 6 - Sedrick Smith3.70out 6 - Jehiem Oatis3.70Upgrade
current room: 306 lbs avg (2025 roster)
CBin 5 - Cree Thomas3.70out 7 - DJ McKinney4.12Starter Risk
current room: 191 lbs avg (2025 roster)
EDGEin 6 - Toby Anene3.70out 4 - London Merritt3.70Need Filled
current room: 256 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Sin 5 - Boo Carter4.38out 5 - Tawfiq Byard3.80Even
current room: 197 lbs avg (2025 roster)
WRin 4 - DeAndre Moore Jr.4.50out 4 - Omarion Miller4.62Even
current room: 193 lbs avg (2025 roster)
OTin 4 - Leon Bell3.90out 3 - Jordan Seaton5.00Upgrade
Belief EKG
2019 seasonW 48-42 vs UCLA (Wk 10)W 35-32 vs Stanford (Wk 11)W 20-10 vs San Diego State (Wk 13)W 24-13 vs Arizona (Wk 14)L 21-38 vs Utah (Wk 15)L 23-55 vs Texas (Wk 18)HIGHLOW
2020 seasonW 52-31 vs Colorado State (Wk 1)W 34-31 vs Nebraska (Wk 2)L 23-30 vs Air Force (Wk 3)W 34-31 vs Arizona State (Wk 4)L 30-35 vs Arizona (Wk 6)L 3-45 vs Oregon (Wk 7)L 10-41 vs Washington State (Wk 8)L 31-35 vs USC (Wk 9)L 14-31 vs UCLA (Wk 10)W 16-13 vs Stanford (Wk 11)W 20-14 vs Washington (Wk 13)L 15-45 vs Utah (Wk 14)HIGHLOW
2020 offseason2019 offseasonWire: CB depth was already thin before spring ball — Ferdinand's commitment hits a pressure point in the…Story arc: Colorado reportedly paid Deion Sanders 'New Year's Six' bonus for Alamo Bowl…Story arc: The month that will present the most challenges on Georgia Tech's schedule -…Story arc: Ben'Jarvius Shumaker flips back to Ole Miss from ColoradoWk 41Wk 4453th24th
2020 season · 4W-2L2019 season · 5W-7L2025 offseason · fan confidence percentile
WinLoss · hover for scorePrior seasonsWire eventStory arc

Approaching

29 days

until kickoff · at Georgia Tech · Fri Sep 4 · 00:00 UTC

The experience

Colorado is the program with a 1990 national title and the most-watched college football story of the 2020s thanks to Coach Prime.

Offense: PoorTempo: Explosive, big-playDefense: Poor
2026 Preview Thesis 2026 Evidence-validated

Colorado faces a high-reload season with limited continuity

The team returns just 7% of its roster, relying heavily on 42 incoming transfers and a #67 recruiting class to rebuild. With significant turnover in key positions like CB and EDGE, the program's success will depend on integrating new talent quickly.

  • Roster reloadColorado returns only 7% of its roster, indicating a heavy reliance on incoming transfers and new recruits.
Data as of 2026-08-01 · Validated against program evidence

Ralphie waits in the paddock.

Colorado · the story right now 9 storylines developing

What Colorado's offseason is really about

the open questionwhere does it go from here?

program_outlookthis cycle~readnew

Colorado collapsed 57 spots in SP+ — the steepest drop in the Big 12, and Deion Sanders' third season opens with bottom-quintile production returning.

what happenedColorado enters 2025 rated No. 96 in SP+ (-8.3), down 57 spots from 2024. ✓ fact
the contextbottom-quintile returning production — heavy turnover entering the season
narrative tension · our read
portal2025-06-12~readnew

Deion Sanders' third consecutive top-15 portal class rebuilds Colorado from a 3-9 losing season, but with just 7% returning production, nearly everything is being overhauled at once.

what happenedColorado signed a top-13 transfer-portal class — 33 additions headlined by Kaidon Salter (QB) from Liberty and Noah King (CB) from Kansas State. ✓ fact
the contextthird consecutive top-15 portal class
narrative tension · our read
portal2026-01-18~readnew

Colorado's top-3 Big 12 portal class arrives with just 7% production returning — Sanders' third straight extreme rebuild, now restocking DL and WR after losing Tyrecus Davis.

what happenedColorado signed a top-14 transfer-portal class — 42 additions headlined by Isaac Wilson (QB) from Utah and Cree Thomas (CB) from Notre Dame. ✓ fact
the contexta top-3 portal class in the Big 12 this cycle
narrative tension · our read
coordinatorsthis cycle~readnew

Deion Sanders begins his third season at Colorado, where a 3-9 losing record and coordinator changes highlight the challenge of rebuilding a lower-tier program with a storied past.

what happenedColorado: coordinator change reshaping a unit. ✓ fact
narrative tension · our read
deep threatthis cycle~attributednew

Joseph Williams is used almost exclusively underneath -- a low share of his targets are downfield shots.

narrative tension · our read
garbage timethis cycle~attributednew

Micah Welch sees a real spike in usage once the game is out of reach.

narrative tension · our read
deep threatthis cycle~attributednew

Omarion Miller is a real deep-ball threat -- a high share of his targets come on throws past the sticks.

narrative tension · our read
garbage timethis cycle~attributednew

Omarion Miller: a garbage time merchant signal screened this season.

narrative tension · our read
deep threatthis cycle~attributednew

Zach Atkins is used almost exclusively underneath -- a low share of his targets are downfield shots.

narrative tension · our read

How past storylines here turned out

Died downColorado's defensive coordinator change has died down — no clear next chapter yet.
Died downColorado's offensive coordinator change has died down — no clear next chapter yet.

The Offseason Ledger · Colorado

6 verified updates · portal · recruiting · staff · news
  1. News

    Colorado releases two-deep offensive depth chart

    Two-deep is public now — with CB depth ranked 67th nationally and pressure at corner baked in, who's actually behind the starters matters more than the top line.

  2. News

    Colorado announces offensive line depth chart

    The O-line depth chart is out and that's the real story — Rothstein's not buying the Big 12 surge yet, but if Sanders can protect the quarterback in a conference this deep, the rankings catch up.

    Jul 22Reported
  3. News

    Eligibility battle heads to court

    Sanders takes the CB eligibility fight to court — with pressure already building at corner and a #37 class that can't paper over a starting-caliber gap, this isn't a roster footnote, it's a depth-need lawsuit.

    Jul 16Reported
  4. News

    Colorado receiver injury update

    Williams going down at receiver hurts a Big 12 roster already leaning on a #67 class to fill depth — Sanders can't afford attrition at a position where the two-deep was already thin heading into fall.

  5. Coaching

    Colorado assistant coach retires

    Staff continuity matters when you're mid-climb — a retirement in the CB room, already under pressure at #67 nationally, is a quiet hit Sanders can't afford while the portal class is still settling.

  6. News

    Colorado announces 2026 schedule

    The 2026 schedule is out, and Sanders isn't hiding from the moment — Big 12 road tests will either validate the transformation talk or expose that a #67 class isn't built for a gauntlet yet.

    Jul 22Reported

Transfer portal snapshot

-1.2 net portal points
(raw ledger: +27.0 — unweighted, no position adjustment)
EDGE
+9.6
need not filled
IOL
+7.1
need not filled
OT
+5.5
RB
+3.3
DL
+2.8
CB
-2.5
starter risk
S
+0.8
LB
+0.4
QB
+0.1
WR
-0.0
TE
+0.0

Top 3 commits

2026 class
★★★★☆
Preston Ashley
S · Brandon, MS
#338 national
Projects: Hybrid Nickel — 14 of his 25 closest recruiting profiles since 2018 shared the Hybrid Nickel archetype.~our read · projection from recruiting profile — no college snaps yet
★★★★☆
Carson Crawford
LB · Carthage, TX
#362 national
Profiles like a typical incoming linebacker — 10 of his 25 closest recruiting profiles since 2018 shared the Balanced Linebacker archetype.~our read · projection from recruiting profile — no college snaps yet
★★★☆☆
Alexander Ward
ATH · Bradenton, FL
#487 national

Fan confidence in a typical range for this program right now

42nd percentile among FBS programs

Fan vs. market
42nd
Fan percentile
(FBS mood rank)
4.5
Vegas O/U wins
(11th among FBS)
Fans 31pp more bullish than market implies
Win total consensus · 3 books

Market outlook

Season expectations

Win total3 booksO/U 4.5
CFP championship#49 in field+50000
Big 12 title#14 in market+5000

Sportsbook consensus · best odds across multiple books · 2026-08-06

Colorado · Next-Season Outcome Band

Floor / Base / Ceiling

floor4-8No postseason.
base7-6Bowl game.
ceiling9-4Bowl game.

Final-season-aware projection: floor / base / ceiling include conference title and CFP games where the model supports them, so a ceiling can exceed a 12-game regular season.

How the room reactedreal evidence · tap rooms to explore
Following now · Colorado · Season outlook Confidence

Colorado's numbers fell sharply. The model sees a program under real pressure.

Colorado enters 2025 rated No. 96 in SP+ (-8.3), down 57 spots from 2024. It is bottom-quintile returning production — heavy turnover entering the season. SP+ reflects three years of tape; a drop this steep is structural, not noise. The recovery window is open but the room knows it. The preview consensus leans in — but preseason ratings reward the recent past, not the season ahead.

Developing1 new this week
4 days agoColorado releases two-deep offensive depth chart — Reported
2 weeks agoColorado announces offensive line depth chart — Reported
3 weeks agoEligibility battle heads to court — Reported
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
Colorado collapsed 57 spots in SP+ — the steepest drop in the Big 12, and Deion Sanders' third season opens with bottom-quintile production returning.
Source of record: Colorado enters 2025 rated No. 96 in SP+ (-8.3), down 57 spots from 2024 — bottom-quintile returning production — heavy turnover entering the season.
How each room is reacting — tap to expand
The Circus dramaBelievers bullishSkeptics no dissentThe Boards quiet
🎪The circus“How Colorado's Ezra Christensen Impacted by Latest Eligibility L” — the saga that won't quit.

The off-field storyline driving the noise right now. Not analysis — the soap opera, and that's the point.

“How Colorado's Ezra Christensen Impacted by Latest Eligibility Lawsuit”
Sports Illustrated · 2026-08-06 · read ↗
📣Believers1 bullish items -- the case it's working.

The 'the projection is underselling us' read -- fans betting the season beats the preview number.

“Colorado Linebacker Gideon Lampron Offers First Impression of Buffaloes Defense”
Sports Illustrated · 2026-08-05 · read ↗
“The Reason Why Colorado is Deserving of Low Big 12 Preseason Ranking”
Sports Illustrated · 2026-08-06 · read ↗
“Colorado football fall camp key quotes from new OC Brennan Marion”
coloradobuffaloeswire.usatoday.com · 2026-08-06 · read ↗
🧐SkepticsNo prominent dissent — the coverage runs one way.

The 'the model has seen the tape' counter -- efficiency ratings reward what a program has actually done, not hope.

Nothing in our corpus yet — this door stays open for when there is.

💬The boards5% of recent board volume — quieter than the headlines. Board mood this week: mostly neutral · anger notable (53%).

This event was in 31 of 619 board posts (5%) over the last 60 days — engaged but not consumed. Fan text shown verbatim, attributed to the community not the individual poster.

"Dang it's been almost 20 years. Hard to believe. Colorado still has bragging rights from the last one though :-D"
r/CFB ~ fan take
"I've always felt like Colorado and BYU should be a rivalry because despite both being in the mountain west they're about as culturally different as you can get in the Big 12. I'm n"
r/CFB ~ fan take

Board health this week (164 posts): 16% positive · 61% neutral · 23% negative. Team-level weekly mood — not specific to this event. The boards ≠ the fanbase: a self-selected vocal slice.

Following now · Colorado · Transfer portal Confidence

Colorado's top-13 portal class: the window closed in their favor. The snaps decide who actually matters.

Colorado signed a top-13 transfer-portal class — 33 additions headlined by Kaidon Salter (QB) from Liberty and Noah King (CB) from Kansas State. It is third consecutive top-15 portal class. Portal pickups are proven college players — the split isn't about development, it's about whether they fit the scheme and win their position battles. Coverage is split on whether volume or positional fit is the bigger story.

bullish — but with real dissent where the takes land · dot = how loud
DOUBTBELIEF
Skeptics1 doubt take
Believers2 bull takes
💬 fans: 19% volume · mostly neutral
Developing4 new this week
todayThe Reason Why Colorado is Deserving of Low Big 12 Preseason Ranking — Sports Illustrated
yesterdayTransfer Receiver DeAndre Moore Jr. Compares Colorado With Texas — Sports Illustrated
yesterdayColorado high school flag football preseason rankings revealed — USA Today
4 days agoColorado releases two-deep offensive depth chart — Reported
2 weeks agoColorado announces offensive line depth chart — Reported
The cast who's driving the story · latest headline on each, attributed
Kaidon Salter QB · Liberty
Noah King CB · Kansas State
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
Deion Sanders' third consecutive top-15 portal class rebuilds Colorado from a 3-9 losing season, but with just 7% returning production, nearly everything is being overhauled at once.
Source of record: Colorado signed a top-13 transfer-portal class — 33 additions headlined by Kaidon Salter (QB) from Liberty and Noah King (CB) from Kansas State — third consecutive top-15 portal class.
How each room is reacting — tap to expand
Believers bullishSkeptics dissentThe Boards loud
📣Believers2 bullish/portal items -- the case it's working.

The 'portal class fills the gaps' believers -- upgrades at real positions of need.

“UNC Bears football’s new female coach breaking barriers again in Greeley - Loveland Reporter-Herald”
news · 2026-08-03 · read ↗
“Judge grants injunction for Class of '22 athletes seeking 5th NCAA season”
ESPN · 2026-08-01 · read ↗
“The Reason Why Colorado is Deserving of Low Big 12 Preseason Ranking”
Sports Illustrated · 2026-08-06 · read ↗
🧐Skeptics“Ranking Colorado football's 2026 opponents from easiest to tough” — the real counter.

The 'portal is a gamble' counter -- departure losses and the 'plug-and-play doesn't work' read.

“Ranking Colorado football's 2026 opponents from easiest to toughest”
Yahoo Sports · 2026-07-31 · read ↗
💬The boards19% of recent board volume — the fanbase is locked in. Board mood this week: mostly neutral · anger notable (53%).

This event was in 115 of 619 board posts (19%) over the last 60 days — a fanbase consumed by it. Fan text shown verbatim, attributed to the community not the individual poster.

"Hello! I’m a junior this year living in campus. I have only made one (non problematic) friend in my time at CU I’d love to make more but sororities and clubs scare me. How do I mak"
r/cuboulder ~ fan take
"I received a housing accommodation around three weeks ago for a shared bathroom instead of the communal bathroom which I am currently in. What are the chances I get moved from the"
r/cuboulder ~ fan take

Board health this week (164 posts): 16% positive · 61% neutral · 23% negative. Team-level weekly mood — not specific to this event. The boards ≠ the fanbase: a self-selected vocal slice.

Recent Form · last 10 games

Hibernating

Zero of five. Reset territory.

Streak L5Last 5 · 0-5Last 10 · 2-8
The forecast

Opens Sep 4

vs Georgia Tech · away

Season line4.5 winsover +130
PoorExplosive, big-playPoor

✓ fact on line · ~ our read on style

Rival pulse

Utah
Mixed
-1
Rumble in the Rockies
Colorado State
Hopeful
+19
Rocky Mountain Showdown

Fan mood index · most recent r/cfb data

Recruiting Footprint · 2026

19
FL · 4TX · 4CA · 3GA · 2CO · 1LA · 1MS · 1NJ · 1+2 more

FL leads the 2026 class with 4 commits. National footprint reaching 10 states.

Where they recruit · 2023-2026

69 signees across 17 states, 2023-2026. FL leads the pull.

MEVTNHWAIDMTNDMNWIMINYMAORNVWYSDIAILINOHPANJCTCAUTCONEMOKYWVVAMDDERIAZNMKSARTNNCSCDCOKLAMSALGAAKHITXFL
Source CFB Zeitgeist · player_recruiting_profiles

r/cfb this year

[Postgame Thread] BYU Defeats Colorado 24-21
1,310 upvotes · Sep 2025
[Postgame Thread] TCU Defeats Colorado 35-21
698 upvotes · Oct 2025
[Game Thread] BYU @ Colorado (10:15 PM ET)
69 upvotes · Sep 2025

Top community posts · last 12 months · r/cfb

Class Autopsy
The 2023 class: 0 drafted so far, 28% never transferred. C
See the class →
National spotlight

12 games with TV coverage: 2 national broadcast, 7 ESPN, 3 cable

Kickoff windows: 2 noon, 2 afternoon, 8 primetime

Fumble luck

The bounces have gone their way on the fumbles they've forced: 53% recovered, vs. ~49% expected.

9 of 17 forced fumbles recovered; 6 of 12 own fumbles recovered themselves, 2025 only.

Takeaway conversion

Deflections without payoff: 12% of disrupted passes intercepted, vs. ~19% league-wide.

6 interceptions of 48 disrupted passes (42 deflected, 6 intercepted), 2025 only.

Penalty battle

The flags have favored them: 72 penalties drawn on opponents vs. 68 committed, 81 yards to the good.

599 penalty yards committed vs. 680 drawn on opponents, 2025 season total.

This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. AI-generated content is labeled and may contain factual errors. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site