cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Carter Stoutmire /Colorado

Carter Stoutmire

S · Colorado · Jr · #23

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

33 TACKLES · 0 SACKS

2026 TRANSFERTransferred Colorado → Arkansas for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to Arkansas

2025Colorado
2026Arkansas

S · COLORADO · BIG 12

Carter Stoutmire

  • 3
  • #23
  • 5-11 | 210 lb
  • Plano, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

47

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by passes defended at the 91st percentile.

Heisman Heat

#7475

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DB AWARD

Jim Thorpe

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#733 national
CFB
College
Colorado
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionS
Class3
Jersey23
Measurements5-11 | 210 lb
HometownPlano, TX
Primary teamColorado

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 733 recruit
Composite rating 0.8744 HighSchool
Signed with Colorado 2023
Origin Prestonwood Christian Plano, TX, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 3-star | 0.8744 No. 733 recruit | HighSchool | Colorado

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Arkansas 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 16, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 Colorado -> Arkansas 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#7475Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#7607Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Colorado

Composite

0.8744

#733 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Carter Stoutmire

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Carter Stoutmire

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 8g
33Tackles
0Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
4Tackles
0Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Projected (13g)
54Tackles
0Tackles for loss
0Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 33): needs 9.4/game over remaining 5.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 33): needs 13.4/game over remaining 5.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 0): needs 1.2/game over remaining 5.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 0): needs 2/game over remaining 5.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Carter Stoutmire is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Colorado's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 0.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #7475 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Defensive rarity 0.0 sacks | 0.0 TFL

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 33 23 solo | #1194/4942 (76th pct)
TFL 0.0 Backfield disruption | #3020/4972 (39th pct)
Sacks 0.0 Pass-rush finish | #1762/4972 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Coverage splash against FBS defenders.

Coverage splash

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
33 76th
SOLO
23 82nd
TFL
0.0 39th
SACK
0.0 65th
QBH
1 44th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
5 90th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 8 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1L 20-27vs Georgia Tech630.00.01
Wk 2W 31-7vs Delaware430.00.02
Wk 3L 20-36@ Houston330.00.00
Wk 4W 37-20vs Wyoming220.00.00
Wk 5L 21-24vs BYU740.00.02Season-high 7 tackles
Wk 6L 21-35@ TCU540.00.00
Wk 10L 17-52vs Arizona430.00.00
Wk 11L 22-29@ West Virginia210.00.00
Total33230.00.05
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Colorado4-8HC: Deion Sanders · Pass-leaning
2024Colorado9-4HC: Deion Sanders · Pass-leaning
2025Colorado3-9HC: Deion Sanders · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Colorado33230.00.05----
2024Colorado42330.50.07----
2023Colorado11111.00.0------
Career3 loaded seasons86671.50.012----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 5 Coverage disruption | #218/2184 (90th pct)
QB pressures 1 Quarterback hurries | #1051/1878 (44th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 33 #1194/4942 76th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 0.0 #3020/4972 39th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.0 #1762/4972 65th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 5 #218/2184 90th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 1 #1051/1878 44th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 23 #839/4584 82nd pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 8 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home5g4.60.00.01.0
Road3g3.30.00.00.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins2g3.00.00.01.0
Losses6g4.50.00.00.5

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-76g4.50.00.00.8
Weeks 8+2g3.00.00.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the S cohort

47Mid-pack
6 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: passes defended (90th). Concern: tackles for loss (7th).

Passes defended#218 / 2975 · 91st pct
5defe
Solo tackles#839 / 2975 · 71st pct
23defe
Tackles#1194 / 2975 · 59th pct
33defe
QB hurries#1007 / 2975 · 55th pct
1defe
Sacks#1575 / 2975 · 24th pct
0.0defe
Tackles for loss#2548 / 2975 · 7th pct
0.0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · S · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Carter StoutmireColoradoBlake FletcherAir Force· 73% simTahj Ra-ElPurdue· 69% simDalton JohnsonArizona· 67% sim
Passes defended
91
Stoutmire
67
Fletcher
91
Ra-El
96
Johnson
Solo tackles
71
Stoutmire
91
Fletcher
100
Ra-El
97
Johnson
Tackles
59
Stoutmire
99
Fletcher
99
Ra-El
98
Johnson
QB hurries
55
Stoutmire
92
Fletcher
22
Ra-El
22
Johnson
Sacks
24
Stoutmire
24
Fletcher
24
Ra-El
63
Johnson
Tackles for loss
7
Stoutmire
28
Fletcher
56
Ra-El
47
Johnson

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Centerfielder

Single-high range who erases the deep middle of the field.

S

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Patrick Peek’s 2021 season.

Patrick Peek

86%match

New Mexico · 2021

#2

Donavon Platt

Virginia · 2025

76%
#3

Carter Stoutmire

Colorado · 2024

76%
#4

Ayden Hector

Colorado State · 2022

76%
#5

Jordan Young

Cincinnati · 2024

74%

Matches Patrick on

Height
Weight
Tackle volume

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Kobe McCloud's junior season at Clemson (2025).

Kobe McCloud

85%match

Clemson · 2025

#2

Kent Robinson

Western Kentucky · 2025

83%
#3

Malik Muhammad

Texas · 2025

All-SECNFL Rd 4
79%
#4

Travis Franklin Jr.

Jacksonville State · 2025

79%
#5

Antonio Kite

Ole Miss · 2025

79%

Matches Kobe on

Class year
Height
PD rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Deion Sanders

Pass share

45.6%

356 pass / 424 run

Plays / game

65.0

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

12.5%

320 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
Deion Sanders
Colorado
2024
Deion Sanders
Colorado
2025
Deion Sanders
Colorado

Played his entire career under Deion Sanders.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownPlano, TX
Height5'11"
Weight210 lb
Class3
PositionS
Jersey23

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Colorado S3 #7475 #7607 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big 12
2023 Colorado S3 #14273 #14346 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Pac-12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Colorado Big 12 S 3 No. 23 | 5-11 | 210 lb | Plano, TX
2024 Colorado Big 12 S 3 No. 23 | 5-11 | 210 lb | Plano, TX
2023 Colorado Pac-12 S 3 No. 23 | 5-11 | 210 lb | Plano, TX