Texas A&M

2-1AP #23

SEC · Mike Elko, year 3 (21-8) · Kyle Field · 102,733 · 106,830 avg in 2026

The nationAP #23 · Coaches #20down 14 from last week
The model#10 CFB ZeitgeistSP+ #14 (+18.3) · FPI #12
The marketLSU by 9at LSU · our model 47% Texas A&M · a number, not a pick

LastL 21–31 vs Kentucky · Sat Sep 19 · Marcel Reed 236 pass yds, 1 TD, 2 INT

Nextat LSU · Sat Sep 26 · 7:30 pm ET · Tiger Stadium (LA) · LSU by 9 · series 24-36-3, won the last 2 · Game preview

Updated Tue Sep 22 · through week 3

Texas A&M · 2026 schedule & results2-1
WkDateUsOppLineOpponentResultRecordConf
1Sep 5#6#94-38.5Missouri StateW 50–0 1251-00-0
2Sep 12#6#52-15.5Arizona StateW 48–20 1232-00-0
3Sep 19#6#97-16.5KentuckyL 21–31 1382-10-1
4Sep 26#9#20+9@LSU
5Oct 3#10#135Arkansas
6Oct 10@Missouri
7Oct 17The Citadel
8Oct 24@Alabama
10Nov 7@South Carolina
11Nov 14Tennessee
12Nov 21@Oklahoma
13Nov 28Texas
Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, explosiveness)
DateOppResultYdsTOTOPEPA/playSuccess%Explosive%Note
Sep 19KentuckyL 21–31423230:25-0.05142.4%116.4%Season-low EPA/play
Sep 12Arizona StateW 48–20255129:56-0.00437.1%102.7%Best defensive stand
Sep 5Missouri StateW 50–0505143:03+0.35158.4%107.6%Season-high EPA/play
Season average (3 games)3941.3+0.09946.0%108.9%
Verdict Begins·Live

Texas A&M built the loudest, most ritual-heavy program in the sport and spent decades watching the wins not match the cathedral — until 2025, when an 11-0 start and the program's first-ever Playoff berth finally made the football worthy of the tradition.

AP Top 25#23 AP

Fans heard the program written off as all pageantry and no payoff — the place with the best traditions and the most overrated football in America — for a generation. The 2025 Playoff berth was the…

moderate signal
Read the full program story ↓

The season in chapters

Weeks 1–22-0, all at homeW 50–0 vs Missouri State · Sat Sep 5
Ahead
Sat Sep 26LSU-Texas A&Mat AP #10 LSU · on the road
Sat Oct 24AP #8 Alabamaat Alabama · on the road
Fri Nov 27Lone Star Showdownvs AP #1 Texas · at home

What fans said

Real posts from the day of the game, chosen by community score · usernames not shown

What it is like to watch them2025 · 11-2 · last season

Game feel55even gamescombined pts / game6th highest-scoring of 16 in the SEC
Heart rate4-1some dramain one-score games (5 of 13)7th most one-score games of 16 in the SEC
Margin+12.8comfortableavg scoring margin4th best margin of 16 in the SEC
Tempo69average paceoffensive plays / game6th fastest of 16 in the SEC
Big plays1.24some popexplosiveness (IsoPPP)10th most explosive of 16 in the SEC
Home crowd105,904avg attendance1st biggest crowds of 16 in the SEC

✓ measured from 13 games · ranks are among SEC teams the same season

Recent form · last 10 games · incl. 2025

Texas A&M has won two of its last five.

Cooling. 7-3 over the last 10, and lost the last one.

Streak L1Last 5 · 2-3Last 10 · 7-3
He wasn’t able to finish. Nothing from an injury standpoint. It just wasn’t able to go at the end there in the fourth quarter, which is disappointing
Shane Beamer · On33 days after Texas A&M's 2026 game against Kentucky
The forecast

Next Sep 26

vs LSU · away

Season line7.5 winsover +130
SoftMethodical, ball-controlStrong

✓ fact on line · ~ our read on style

Market outlook

Season expectations

Win total1 booksO/U 7.5
CFP championship#11 in field+2500
SEC title#7 in market+1400

Sportsbook consensus · best odds across multiple books · 2026-09-22

Texas A&M · the story right now 9 storylines developing

What Texas A&M's recruiting class is really about

the open questiondoes the recruiting haul translate on the field?

recruitingthis cycle~readnew

With Brandon Arrington (ATH, #34 nationally) joining, Mike Elko's eighth straight top-20 class faces the challenge of matching Texas' top-7 haul while maintaining 75% production returning in a program still.

what happenedTexas A&M signed a top-10 recruiting class. ✓ fact
the contexteighth consecutive top-20 recruiting class

our readfront page

program_outlookthis cycle~readnew

Texas A&M enters 2026 rated No. 9 in SP+ — the gap between the ranking and its 11-2 record is the story Mike Elko has to answer in the SEC this year.

what happenedTexas A&M enters 2026 rated No. 9 in 2025 SP+ (+20.7). ✓ fact

our readbackground

garbage time2025 cycle✓ factnew

Jamarion Morrow sees a real spike in usage once the game is out of reach, and his efficiency in competitive snaps sits below the position baseline -- the numbers lean on the opponent giving up.

our readdeveloping

playoff paththis cycle~readnew

Mike Elko begins his third season at Texas A&M with an 11-2 record and a #7 AP finish, but the program's identity remains unfulfilled despite its upper-tier status.

what happenedTexas A&M: the playoff path shifting. ✓ fact

our readdeveloping

deep threat2025 cycle~attributednew

Ashton Bethel-Roman is used almost exclusively underneath -- a low share of his targets are downfield shots.

our readbackground

closer2025 cycle~attributednew

E.J. Smith: a closer signal screened this season.

our readbackground

garbage time2025 cycle~attributednew

E.J. Smith: a garbage time merchant signal screened this season.

our readbackground

deep threat2025 cycle~attributednew

Mario Craver is used almost exclusively underneath -- a low share of his targets are downfield shots.

our readbackground

marketthis cycle~readnew

Mike Elko's third season at Texas A&M begins with a 11-2 record and #7 talent rank, yet fan belief remains uneasy as the program waits to fulfill its cathedral-sized promise.

what happenedTexas A&M: the betting market's belief swinging. ✓ fact

our readfront page

How past storylines here turned out

AnsweredTexas A&M's climb into dynasty-caliber territory didn't last — it slipped back out.
AnsweredTexas A&M's head-coaching hire held for another season.
Died downTexas A&M's defensive coordinator change has died down — no clear next chapter yet.
Died downTexas A&M's offensive coordinator change has died down — no clear next chapter yet.

Outcome band · Texas A&M · 2026

Texas A&M's most likely season is 10-3 — the CFP first round. The floor is 8-5; the ceiling is 16-0.

Floor8-5A bowl game.
Base10-3The CFP first round.
Ceiling16-0A conference title and a national title.

Floor, base and ceiling come from the season-path projection, which plays out conference title games and the CFP — so a ceiling can run past 12 games.

How the room reactedreal evidence · tap rooms to explore
Following now · Texas A&M · Season outlook Confidence

Texas A&M is in the national conversation. The model has receipts.

Texas A&M enters 2026 rated No. 9 in 2025 SP+ (+20.7). An efficiency model in the top 10 means three straight years of elite tape. The schedule decides whether the field keeps agreeing. Preview coverage is split — believers and skeptics are reading the same data differently.

the room is genuinely split where the takes land · dot = how loud
DOUBTBELIEF
Skeptics3 doubt takes
Believers2 bull takes
💬 fans: 6% volume · negative overall
Developing1 new this week
2 days agoSEC title odds: +1300 → +3750 (▼4.5pp implied)
last weekSEC title odds: +825 → +1250 (▼3.4pp implied)
last weekSEC title odds: +1250 → +825 (▲3.4pp implied)
3 weeks agoTexas A&M releases new depth chart — Reported
3 weeks agoWin total (line at 8.5) still unmoved 13d after "Chase Bisontis on season-ending IR"
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
Texas A&M enters 2026 rated No. 9 in SP+ — the gap between the ranking and its 11-2 record is the story Mike Elko has to answer in the SEC this year.
Source of record: Texas A&M enters 2026 rated No. 9 in 2025 SP+ (+20.7).
How each room is reacting — tap to expand
Believers bullishSkeptics dissentThe Boards quiet
📣Believers2 bullish items -- the case it's working.

The 'the projection is underselling us' read -- fans betting the season beats the preview number.

“Will Stein earns national award for upset win at Texas A&M”
Saturday Down South · 2026-09-21 · read ↗
“Texas A&M commits shine in Week 4 of high school football season”
247Sports · 2026-09-21 · read ↗
“Texas A&M WR Bussey out remainder of season”
Espn CFB · 2026-09-22 · read ↗
🧐Skeptics“Examining why Texas A&M football’s ‘non-blitzing, aggressive…” — the real counter.

The 'the model has seen the tape' counter -- efficiency ratings reward what a program has actually done, not hope.

“Examining why Texas A&M football’s ‘non-blitzing, aggressive defense’ has struggled to get to the QB in 2026”
On3 CFB · 2026-09-22 · read ↗
“LSU Football Defense Must Solve Marcel Reed Problem Against Texas A&M”
TigerRag.com | · 2026-09-21 · read ↗
💬The boards6% of recent board volume — quieter than the headlines. Board mood this week: negative overall · anger notable (95%).

This event was in 470 of 8544 board posts (6%) over the last 60 days — engaged but not consumed. Fan text shown verbatim, attributed to the community not the individual poster.

"Texas A&M is the largest senior military college in the country. Regardless of whether you like that dumbass or not, you have to take his visit for several reasons (the most import"
r/aggies ~ fan take
"I clawed & scratched all season long last year fighting back that we weren’t a product of our schedule. But once you get embarrassed at home by not even scoring a touchdown… the ha"
r/aggies ~ fan take

Board health this week (175 posts): 9% positive · 36% neutral · 55% negative. Team-level weekly mood — not specific to this event. The boards ≠ the fanbase: a self-selected vocal slice.

Rival pulse

Texas
Mixed
-3
Lone Star Showdown
Face-off →
LSU
Uneasy
-20
LSU-Texas A&M

Fan mood index · most recent r/cfb data

More in this tab

Game dayWhat a Saturday in this stadium actually feels like.
The experience

Texas A&M is the program with the country's largest cathedral and the longest wait for what it was built for.

Offense: SoftTempo: Methodical, ball-controlDefense: Strong
Open questionsThe unresolved questions this season keeps asking.
Program ledgerEvery dated move on this program's record, newest first.

The program ledger

since 2025
  • 2026 · Wk 4Fell to No. 23 in the AP Top 25Week 3 · Lost 21-31 at home to Kentucky14 · from No. 9
  • 2025 · Wk 15Fell to No. 7 in both the AP Top 25 and the CFP rankingsWeek 14 · Lost 17-27 at Texas4 · from No. 3
  • 2025 · Wk 4Climbed to No. 10 in the AP Top 25Week 3 · Won 41-40 at Notre Dame6 · from No. 16
RosterWho's gone, who's back, who replaces them.

Roster Reload - Texas A&M

2026 snapshot - 2026-09-22
Returning Production73%High continuity
Talent Composite#7 nationally247 composite 933.0
Portal Additions19Primary repair: IOL
Portal Losses21Primary pressure: CB
Draft Loss10Heavy NFL Draft loss (10) — 1 with a next man up identified below
Recruiting Reload#10Top-10 recruiting class
DLin 3 - C.J. Mims3.80out 2 - Dealyn Evans4.00Upgrade
current room: 302 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Two-Gap Base2025 profilewins his gap play after play
Sin 1 - Tawfiq Byard3.80out 3 - Bryce Anderson4.28Starter Risk
current room: 195 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Box Safety2025 profileplays like an extra linebacker near the line
Transferred in
CBin 1 - Rickey Gibson III4.38out 3 - Jayvon Thomas3.60Starter Risk
current room: 185 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Hybrid Nickel2024 profilemoves between deep coverage and the slot
TEin 2 - Richie Anderson3.60out 2 - Amari Niblack4.28Even
current room: 251 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Complete TE2025 profileshows up in the passing game from any alignment
WRin 1 - Isaiah Horton4.75out 3 - Izaiah Williams3.60Starter Risk
current room: 181 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Jump-Ball Targetwins the 50-50 ball at the goal line
EDGEin 2 - Anto Saka4.25out 2 - Solomon Williams3.70Even
current room: 253 lbs avg (2025 roster)
3-Tech Penetrator2025 profiledisrupts the pocket from the interior
Homegrown
Next man up
TE · departedNate BoerkircherRd 2, Pk 24
nowKiotti Armstrong4★ · FR
Next man up
Full roster (123 players)
Offseason movesEvery addition and subtraction since the last snap.

The Offseason Ledger · Texas A&M

6 verified updates · portal · recruiting · staff · news
  1. News

    Chase Bisontis on season-ending IR

    Ten drafted out the door, a top-10 class supposed to patch the holes — and now Bisontis is gone before a snap, which is the kind of depth math that turns an offseason narrative into a genuine problem.

    Aug 16Reported
  2. News

    Texas A&M releases new depth chart

    Ten players gone to the NFL and CB still looks thin on paper — Elko's first real depth chart is the receipts on whether a top-10 class actually filled the holes or just papered them.

  3. News

    Player plans to use eligibility ruling

    Ten drafted out the door and the CB room still has question marks — an eligibility ruling that keeps even one veteran in College Station is the kind of roster math Elko can't afford to ignore right now.

  4. News

    Eligibility ruling could return players

    Ten drafted out the door and a CB room already under pressure — if Elko gets even two of these eligibility rulings to break right, that's the difference between patching holes and actually competing in the SEC West this fall.

  5. News

    Bryson Warren eligibility update given

    Warren's eligibility getting sorted matters because Elko already burned a roster spot counting on him — with 10 players gone to the draft, every healthy body on the depth chart is load-bearing right now.

    Jun 26Reported
  6. Portal

    RB DD Murray transfer commits from Arkansas State

    Ronnie Crosby III's departure left a gap in the RB room that two portal adds hadn't fully addressed — Murray's Sun Belt production jumps a full tier, and Elko needed a back who can carry a load behind a line still absorbing 10 draft exits.

    May 7CFBD /player/portal
Who's movedWho's transferring in and out, right now.

Transfer portal snapshot

-0.7 net portal points
(raw ledger: +10.2 — unweighted, no position adjustment)
IOL
+7.2
need filled
S
-7.0
starter risk
DL
+6.2
OT
+4.4
CB
-3.8
starter risk
QB
-3.6
low confidence
LB
+3.5
K
+2.5
RB
+2.4
TE
-1.2
LS
+1.0
low confidence
P
-1.0
low confidence
WR
-0.8
starter risk
EDGE
+0.5
Top commits

Top 3 commits

2026 class
★★★★★
Brandon Arrington
CB · San Diego, CA
#8 national
★★★★☆
KJ Edwards
RB · Carthage, TX
#50 national
★★★★☆
Bryce Perry-Wright
DL · Buford, GA
#66 national
Where they're fromWhere this class actually comes from, on the map.

Recruiting Footprint · 2026

27
TX · 9GA · 4CA · 3AZ · 2OH · 2FL · 1IA · 1LA · 1+4 more

TX leads the 2026 class with 9 commits. National footprint reaching 12 states.

Where they recruit · 2023-2026

89 signees across 19 states, 2023-2026. TX leads the pull.

MEVTNHWA1IDMTNDMNWIMINYMA1ORNVWYSDIA1IL1INOH2PA1NJ2CTCA7UT2CONEMOKYWVVAMDDERIAZ3NMKSARTN3NCSC1DCOK1LA1MS2AL1GA4AKHITX47FL8
Source CFB Zeitgeist · player_recruiting_profiles
Miles from homeHow far this roster travelled to get here.

Miles from home · 2026 roster

The median Texas A&M player grew up 186 miles from campus.

Half this roster came from closer than that; half came from farther.

18th-closest to home in FBS of 135 ranked →
Closest to homeFarthest from home
Middle 50%84–900 miquartile spread
Within 100 mi30%36 of 121 players
Farthest1,814 miMark Nabou Jr. · Lynnwood, WA
Closest2 miHouston Thomas · College Station, TX

Straight-line distance from each player's listed hometown to Kyle Field. Hometowns are placed at city-centroid precision, not street address — fine at this scale, but a player's true door-to-door number can differ by a few miles. 121 of 123 listed players have a geocoded hometown. Source: CFBD roster hometowns.

In-state shareHow much of this roster is home-grown.

Who owns TX · 2026 roster

51% of the Texas A&M roster grew up in TX.

63 of 123 players, drawn from 24 states in all. That is the 28th-highest in-state share of 135 ranked FBS programs.

TX · 63CA · 11FL · 7GA · 7AL · 4OH · 4TN · 4AZ · 2+16 more

Where the 2026 roster is from

123 players across 24 states. Biggest pull outside TX: CA (11).

MEVTNHWA2IDMTNDMNWIMI2NYMAOR1NV1WYSDIA1IL2INOH4PANJCTCA11UT1CONE1MO1KYWVVA1MD2DERIAZ2NMKSARTN4NC1SC1DCOKLA2MS1AL4GA7AKHI1TX63FL7
Source CFB Zeitgeist · roster_entries (CFBD hometowns)
Every FBS roster ranked by in-state share →

Home state as listed on the CFBD roster. Every listed player has a home state inside the 50 states or DC. Source: CFBD roster hometowns.

Recruiting buzzWhat fans say about the incoming class right now.

Recruiting & portal buzz

2027 5* LB Kaden Henderson commits to Texas A&M
123 upvotes · Jun 2026
2027 4* WR Damani Warren commits to Texas A&M
21 upvotes · Jun 2026

Top r/cfb community posts · last 12 months

How it turned outHow an old class actually turned out, years on.
Class Autopsy
The 2023 class: 1 drafted so far, 60% never transferred. A
See the class →
Belief historyHow today's fan mood compares to the program's past.

Fan confidence a bit lower than recent years

22nd percentile among FBS programs

Fans vs. marketWhere fans and the betting market read this team differently.
Fan vs. market
22nd
Fan percentile
(FBS mood rank)
7.5
Vegas O/U wins
(65th among FBS)
Market 43pp more optimistic than fan mood
Win total consensus · 1 book
Pollster gapPollsters don't agree -- here's how far apart.
Voter spread

68 of 68 AP voters have them ranked, AP ballot, week 3 (2026) — from #4, Brian Fonseca (NJ Advance Media / Star-Ledger), to #12, Koki Riley (The (Baton Rouge) Advocate).

Individual AP Top 25 ballots, AP ballot, week 3, 2026 — 68 voters tracked.

Turnover luckHow much of the margin was skill vs. the bounce.
Fumble luck

Recovering 71% of the fumbles they've forced — running hot vs. the ~48% league rate.

5 of 7 forced fumbles recovered, 2026 only.

PenaltiesWhether flags are costing this team games.
Penalty battle

Winning the penalty battle: 11 penalties committed vs. 24 drawn on opponents, a 72-yard edge.

90 penalty yards committed vs. 162 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.

This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. AI-generated content is labeled and may contain factual errors. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site