CFB Zeitgeist

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VERDICT BEGINS · 2026

SEC

The Standard

The 2026 SEC season is underway — Georgia holds the early power lead, but the picture is still open.

SEC carries real selection-room weight with 10 teams inside the top 25 and Georgia driving a legitimate national ceiling.

#1overall
#1in FBS
+23.0RR50
+27.1upper strength
16teams
10top-25 teams
Power snapshot Projected 2026 standing

The Standard

The SEC has placed five or more teams in the CFP field every year since the bracket expanded to 12 — but in 2025, Indiana (Big Ten) ended the conference's title run. The SEC still dominates the bracket depth chart. It just doesn't own the trophy anymore.

10 top-25 teams.

The depth argument for this conference rests on how many credible opponents are clustered behind the leader. The gap between the top and bottom is narrow — a sign of genuine parity.

Where things stand right now.

The 2026 SEC season is underway — Georgia holds the early power lead, but the picture is still open.

Tools Matchup Simulator Compare Teams Playoff Forecast Style map Head to head Power map

Georgia Is Built to Win It Back

Georgia won back-to-back CFP titles in 2022-23 and still holds the SEC's highest power rating entering 2026. They didn't lose the conference because of talent — they lost the bracket because the schedule caught up with them. Georgia's 2026 schedule includes the games that could define whether this program is a dynasty or a window that's closing.

Why it matters →

Vanderbilt's Rise Has Changed What's Possible

Vanderbilt went 10-3 in 2025 with a recruiting class ranked #76 nationally — the biggest coaching premium in the conference. Clark Lea's program has gone from conference doormat to legitimate nine-win contender in three seasons. What they do against Georgia and Alabama in 2026 will tell us whether it's a trend or a year.

Why it matters →

Can Alabama Find Its Ceiling Again?

Alabama finished 2025 with an 11-4 record and an SP+ rank (#31) that doesn't match a recruiting class ranked #3 nationally. The gap between raw talent and on-field production is the defining question for the program in the post-Saban era. If the coaching catches up to the talent in 2026, the SEC reclaims the conversation.

Why it matters →

Active arcs our read

All arcs →
Fan pulse Last 30 days · 40,922 mentions
17% positive 44% neutral 39% negative
Texas
6,297
↓ negative
LSU
6,267
↓ negative
Florida
5,304
↓ negative
Georgia
4,163
↓ negative
Texas A&M
3,236
↓ negative
Tennessee
3,018
↓ negative
Fan confidence — FBS percentile

Where each SEC program stands nationally in fan sentiment (100th = most positive in FBS, 0 = least). Conference median: 25th percentile.

Kentucky
Leaning+5
Auburn
Leaning+3
Florida
Leaning-2
Texas
Mixed-5
Alabama
Mixed+7
Ole Miss
Mixed+2
Georgia
Mixed-6
Vanderbilt
Mixed-4
Texas A&M
Souring
Tennessee
Souring-6
LSU
Souring+10
Missouri
Souring-4
Oklahoma
Souring-12
Arkansas
Souring-15

Most volatile: Florida

Fan confidence has swung 51 percentile points in the last 8 weeks — currently at the 51st percentile nationally.

Rivalry face-offs

The coaching premium
Recruiting class rank vs. SP+ performance — where coaches add or subtract value
Above line = coaching premium
Below line = underperforming
Gap = recruiting rank minus SP+ rank

Positive gap means the coaching staff won more than the recruiting class predicted. Data: SEC teams, 16 programs.

Coaching grades
Coaching premium ↑
Ole Miss
+8
Georgia
+4
Texas
+3
Underperforming ↓
Arkansas
-81
Mississippi
-47
Auburn
-27
Kentucky
-25
Alabama
-14

Standings

2026 season, in progress — sorted by power rating. Stature tag = interim Zeitgeist calibration (medium confidence).

#TeamRecordRR50Resume
1 GeorgiaBlue Blood#3 3-0 +32.4 +93.7
2 TexasPower Program I#9 3-0 +31.1 +100.0
3 Texas A&MPower Program II#17 2-1 +28.3 +59.7
4 Ole MissPower Program I#14 3-0 +26.2 +99.4
5 AlabamaBlue Blood#1 3-0 +25.7 +96.9
6 FloridaPower Program II#16 3-0 +25.6 +96.1
7 OklahomaPower Program I#8 2-1 +25.4 +71.5
8 LSUBlue Blood#10 2-1 +25.3 +96.4
9 TennesseePower Program II#19 3-0 +24.5 +94.5
10 South CarolinaPower Program III#30 2-1 +24.4 +36.7
11 MissouriPower Program III#28 3-0 +22.8 +94.8
12 VanderbiltRegional Program I#73 3-0 +22.0 +99.1
13 AuburnPower Program III#22 2-1 +19.6 +96.3
14 Mississippi StateNational Program II#55 3-0 +18.4 +99.9
15 KentuckyNational Program II#46 2-1 +17.1 +97.9
16 ArkansasNational Program II#57 1-2 +13.4 +72.4

Projected Standings · SEC · 2026

Win Projection

Odds of winning at least N conference games from current power ratings — full slate played out, not locked to results. AVG = expected wins; W–L = most-likely record.

# Team W–L PWR AVG ≥9≥8≥7≥6≥5≥4≥3≥2≥1
Favorites
1Georgia7–2+8.56.442150769298
2Texas6–3+7.25.92133564859699
3Texas A&M5–4+4.45.4162248749198
Challengers
4LSU5–4+1.45.04143663849699
5Alabama5–4+1.84.93133460839599
6Ole Miss5–4+2.34.83133360839599
7Florida5–4+1.84.72102955799399
8Oklahoma5–4+1.54.6292753789399
The Field
9Tennessee5–4+0.64.93133360839599
10South Carolina5–4+0.54.72113057819499
11Vanderbilt4–5-1.94.3162145729098
12Missouri4–5-1.14.3162043708998
13Auburn4–5-4.33.6292753799499
Rebuilding
14Mississippi State3–6-5.53.3161943719099
15Kentucky3–6-6.82.9131232598497
16Arkansas2–7-10.52.21516407093

How they play

Six advanced-stat dimensions per team, ranked against all 134 FBS programs, 2026 season. Every column reads higher-is-better. Click a column to sort.

ScoringConvertsBig playsDefensePacePass rate
Team ScoringConvertsBig playsDefensePacePass rate Identity
Georgia+0.5657.8%+1.36+0.0761.043.2%Efficient offense
Texas+0.1948.6%+1.15-0.0377.045.9%High-tempo
Texas A&M+0.1046.0%+1.09+0.0476.348.9%High-tempo
Ole Miss+0.3151.5%+1.26-0.1969.756.9%Efficient offense
Alabama+0.2949.8%+1.22+0.1270.040.5%Lockdown defense
Florida+0.4449.1%+1.43+0.0568.339.5%Big-play offense
Oklahoma+0.0641.8%+1.18+0.1559.343.8%Lockdown defense
LSU+0.2248.5%+1.23+0.1983.041.8%High-tempo
Tennessee+0.4051.3%+1.24+0.0469.035.8%Efficient offense
South Carolina+0.3351.8%+1.25-0.0472.745.4%Efficient offense
Missouri+0.2341.8%+1.37+0.0765.341.8%Balanced
Vanderbilt+0.2043.9%+1.22+0.0463.347.4%Balanced
Auburn+0.1644.6%+1.27-0.0475.345.6%High-tempo
Mississippi State+0.4553.0%+1.34+0.0169.343.8%Efficient offense
Kentucky+0.2248.7%+1.17-0.0559.743.0%Balanced
Arkansas+0.0742.3%+1.20-0.2074.056.3%Balanced

Identity is the single dimension where a team is most above or below the FBS average (pace, defense, big plays, or converting drives) — "Balanced" means nothing stands out either way. CFBD 2026 advanced stats, excludes garbage time.

Top players

SEC's highest CFB Index Scores, 2025 season.

#PlayerTeamNational
1William EcholesIDLOle Miss#2 of 330
2Colin SimmonsLBTexas#3 of 583
3Diego PaviaQBVanderbilt#1 of 146
4Xavier AtkinsLBAuburn#5 of 583
5Zxavian HarrisIDLOle Miss#4 of 330
6Ahmad HardyRBMissouri#2 of 326
7Princewill UmanmielenEDGEOle Miss#8 of 420
8Damon Wilson Jr.EDGEMissouri#11 of 420
9Trinidad ChamblissQBOle Miss#2 of 146
10Taylor WeinEDGEOklahoma#13 of 420

Where SEC stands nationally

Conference strength by RR50 (round-robin adjusted power).

1 SEC SEC
+23.0
2 B10 Big Ten
+21.8
3 IND FBS Independents
+20.5
4 P12 Pac-12
+20.0
5 B12 Big 12
+20.0
6 ACC ACC
+19.4
7 AAC American Athletic
+17.6
8 SB Sun Belt
+17.2
9 CUSA Conference USA
+16.7
10 MAC Mid-American
+16.2