Mississippi State5-84Bralan Womack (S, #30 nationally) arrives as Mississippi State's highest-ranked class since 2019 — a lifeline for a program with 32% QB production returning and a 5-8 record to overcome.
Mississippi State is the program that rang cowbells loud enough to get them legislated against in the SEC — a fanbase whose devotion has never once depended on the scoreboard.
Fans are tired of being treated as the lesser team in their own state — a different school with a different identity, an engineering university with the loudest crowd in the league, told every Novembe…
Approaching
30 days
until kickoff · vs UL Monroe · Sat Sep 5 · 23:30 UTC
Mississippi State is the program with the loudest cowbells in the SEC and the longest patience with the football product underneath.
The team enters the season with a low continuity rate and significant transfer activity, which could shape its performance.
Bully is patient. The cowbells wait.
the open questionwhere does it go from here?
Mississippi State leaped 30 spots in SP+ — the gap between top-24 talent and a 5-8 record under Jeff Lebby defines the skepticism to overcome.
Bralan Womack (S, #30 nationally) arrives as Mississippi State's highest-ranked class since 2019 — a lifeline for a program with 32% QB production returning and a 5-8 record to overcome.
Jeff Lebby's top-6 portal class, headlined by Luke Kromenhoek and Dwight Lewis III, aims to fix a 5-8 roster with just 32% returning QB production.
Brenen Thompson is a real deep-ball threat -- a high share of his targets come on throws past the sticks, and he catches those deep shots at a plus rate.
Brenen Thompson is a legitimate money-down target -- his 3rd-down conversion rate ranks among the position's best, and his per-target value holds up in that spot too.
Jeff Lebby begins his second season at Mississippi State, a program with the loudest cowbells in the SEC but a 5-8 losing record that tests its long-held patience with the football product.
Ayden Williams is used almost exclusively underneath -- a low share of his targets are downfield shots.
Brenen Thompson: a garbage time merchant signal screened this season.
Mississippi State: coordinator change reshaping a unit.
Mississippi State leaped 30 spots in SP+ — the 5-8 record and 24th talent rank create a split screen between optimism and skepticism for Jeff Lebby's second season in the SEC.
Five-star S Bralan Womack commits 2026
Lebby's safety room bled 10 out and only clawed back 8 — Womack is the first 2026 name in the class, but that gap with Reyes gone needed a crown-jewel anchor, not just portal arithmetic.
SEC approves 9-game conference schedule for 2027
Nine SEC games by 2027 means Lebby's rebuilding depth chart faces a harder margin for error — that top-23 class better have real starters in it, not just rankings.
S Terrance Love transfer commits from Colorado
Colorado's Pac-12 wreckage keeps feeding SEC rosters — Love walks into a safety room that lost 10, added 8, and still has a Cyrus Reyes-sized hole at the back end.
IOL Jamari Freeman transfer commits from Mercer
Eight departed, four added, and Zack Owens gone — Freeman is Lebby patching a line that's been bleeding all offseason, not just filling a roster spot.
LB James Heard Jr. transfer commits from Syracuse
Four out, four in at linebacker — but losing Fatt Forrest punched a specific hole Heard fills with ACC reps and a frame Lebby's defense can build around.
Matt Wells joins Mississippi State staff
Former Big 12 head coach experience doesn't walk into Starkville for a coordinator check — Wells brings play-caller credibility to a Lebby staff that's carrying WR pressure and two NFL holes heading into a ranked 2026.
Top 3 commits
Fan confidence in a typical range for this program right now
53rd percentile among FBS programs
Market outlook
Sportsbook consensus · best odds across multiple books · 2026-08-06
Mississippi State · Next-Season Outcome Band
Final-season-aware projection: floor / base / ceiling include conference title and CFP games where the model supports them, so a ceiling can exceed a 12-game regular season.
Mississippi State enters 2025 rated No. 58 in SP+ (+4.1), up 30 spots from 2024. One of the bigger model jumps in the country — the tape moved faster than the consensus noticed. Preview coverage is split — believers and skeptics are reading the same data differently.
The 'the projection is underselling us' read -- fans betting the season beats the preview number.
The 'the model has seen the tape' counter -- efficiency ratings reward what a program has actually done, not hope.
This event was in 58 of 290 board posts (20%) over the last 60 days — a fanbase consumed by it. Fan text shown verbatim, attributed to the community not the individual poster.
Board health this week (167 posts): 19% positive · 53% neutral · 28% negative. Team-level weekly mood — not specific to this event. The boards ≠ the fanbase: a self-selected vocal slice.
Mississippi State signed a top-23 recruiting class. It is program's highest-ranked recruiting class since 2019 (previously #24). A class in the top 25 means the program competed nationally. Attrition and development are the next story. The bulls are loud — the coverage treats this class as a program-level statement.
The optimistic read: the class is real, the program is a destination again.
The 'rankings don't tell the whole story' counter -- development gaps, position holes still open.
Nothing in our corpus yet — this door stays open for when there is.
This event was in 21 of 290 board posts (7%) over the last 60 days — engaged but not consumed. Fan text shown verbatim, attributed to the community not the individual poster.
Board health this week (167 posts): 19% positive · 53% neutral · 28% negative. Team-level weekly mood — not specific to this event. The boards ≠ the fanbase: a self-selected vocal slice.
Recent Form · last 10 games
One of five. The film room is busy this week.
Opens Sep 5
vs UL Monroe · at home
✓ fact on line · ~ our read on style
Fan mood index · most recent r/cfb data
Recruiting Footprint · 2026
MS leads the 2026 class with 12 commits. National footprint reaching 8 states.
Where they recruit · 2023-2026
115 signees across 10 states, 2023-2026. MS leads the pull.
Top community posts · last 12 months · r/cfb
12 games with TV coverage: 1 national broadcast, 4 ESPN, 7 conference network
Kickoff windows: 3 noon, 5 afternoon, 4 primetime
40% recovery rate on their own fumbles — below the ~51% league baseline.
4 of 10 own fumbles recovered themselves; 5 of 9 forced fumbles recovered, 2025 only.
24% of tipped/broken-up passes have turned into picks — about the ~19% league average.
12 interceptions of 51 disrupted passes (39 deflected, 12 intercepted), 2025 only.
94 penalties committed, 110 drawn on opponents — netting a 118-yard field-position edge.
801 penalty yards committed vs. 919 drawn on opponents, 2025 season total.
What moved it — fall camp · last 14 days
Fanbase Signals
Position = mood · width = volume · color = the kind of feeling
Inside the fanbase — all 12 corners
The split, staged
Believers keep circling back to fan energy; skeptics keep coming back to where the program is headed. our read
How Mississippi State fans actually talk real · top-upvoted
The crowd’s loudest take by upvotes — read for mood, not as a side. The cohort read is the measured part.
Loudest in the room this week real · by engagement
All 12 corners of the fanbase
Cohort sentiment is a source-weighted model read — never a quote pinned to a person.
What this fanbase keeps coming back to our read · topic model
Topics are model-labeled from Reddit — a rough signal of what this fanbase is circling right now.
~ our readMississippi State fans are leaning negative, and they're backing it with about as much hard evidence as anyone.
✓ counted We read 167 posts from Mississippi State fans this week.
Fan mood across the 2025 season, both sides — our read
Shaded weeks show whose fanbase read warmer, our measure of what fans actually said, not a poll.
Fan claims · every quote verified verbatim
The defense is still very questionable. The D Line isn't getting any kind of pressure. That said, this team is far better than last season.
We look better but idk if we will survive in the SEC slate
Based on 2 comments from 2 posters across 2 threads · Aug 30, 2025–Sep 21, 2025 · via CFB
“Thanks, friend. Y’all played a hell of a game tonight. Enjoy Mario Craver in good health.”— r/CFB
“This is three games this season we’ve choked away late. We are also now 0-16 in SEC play. I know we’re on year two of Lebby, there’s a lot of job openings, and he should get a third or whatever, but I don’t care. Lebby needs to be fired and I won’t believe anything otherwise…”— r/CFB
“Holy cow, that 4th quarter. Seems our offense finally some life, and who knows? We might make for the CUSA. Probably not, but it's nice to dream. #I'M STILL DOING IT. FIRE CUMBIE”— r/CFB
“What I would give to have this rivalry has significant implications for the college football landscape…”— r/CFB
Five Lenses
What people are saying right now
Fanbase Health Index · Mississippi State · high confidence
“The patented Jeff Lebby QB draw play. 4% of the time, it works every time”
FBS rankings · 2025 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs
| Player | # | G | Cmp/Att | Pct | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT | Rate | QBR | Adj ANY/A | Sack% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vertical Passer · +0.23 EPA/play | 2 | 11 | 195 / 304 | 64.1 | 2436 #68 FBS | 8.0 | 15 #71 FBS | 8 | 142.5 | 56.5 | 6.5 | 8.7 | |
Yards by week → Vertical PasserElite arm talent, pushing downfield. Completion rate is the variable. Impact starter — above-average production for the conference. 9 of 183 QBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / attempt9.0 84th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Rush yards / carry0.2 bottom 23th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Trait fingerprint Plays like View Blake Shapen's full player page | |||||||||||||
| +0.23 EPA/play | 1 | 11 | 43 / 77 | 55.8 | 629 | 8.2 | 5 | 1 | 143.3 | 86.8 | 7.5 | 10.5 | |
Yards by week → | |||||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Car | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | 3rd Dn Use | Pass Dn Use | Stuff% | 10+% | Tgt Share | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Workhorse · +0.14 EPA/play | 24 | 11 | 142 | 677 | 4.8 | 6 | 43 | 13.3 | 14.1 | 15.7 | 12.1 | 6.4% (22/346) | |
Yards by week → WorkhorseBuilt to take 20+ carries per game. Volume is the value. Starter — over 60% of the snaps, holding the job. 52 of 349 RBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Weight230 lb 95th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Receiving share9.0% bottom 34th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Trait fingerprint Plays like View Fluff Bothwell's full player page | |||||||||||||
| Balanced Back · +0.17 EPA/play | 6 | 12 | 136 | 552 | 4.1 | 7 | 22 | 9 | 9 | 21.1 | 13.5 | 5.2% (18/346) | |
Yards by week → Balanced BackPlays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension. Starter — over 60% of the snaps, holding the job. The most common profile in its group this season — 186 of 349 classified this way. Played in 12 of 21 games this season · senior View Davon Booth's full player page | |||||||||||||
| -0.19 EPA/play | 22 | 9 | 29 | 157 | 5.4 | 2 | 25 | 2 | 3.8 | — | — | — | |
Yards by week → | |||||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Rec | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | 3rd Dn Use | Pass Dn Use | Tgt Share | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Threat · +0.94 EPA/play | — | 13 | 57 | 1054 #13 FBS | 18.5 | 6 #62 FBS | 58 | 9.4 | 10.1 | 24.3% (84/346) | |
Yards by week → Deep Threat· Money-downStretches the field vertically. Every snap is a potential big play. lives on the sticks and moves the chains Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 100 of 558 WRs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / reception18.9 93th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions EPA / play (adj)0.9 96th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like our readBreakout: his CFB Index score climbed from the 21st percentile to the 97th among FBS WRs | |||||||||||
| Slot Technician · +0.48 EPA/play | 3 | 12 | 67 | 831 #58 FBS | 12.4 | 4 | 57 | 12.7 | 11.8 | 24.9% (86/346) | |
Yards by week → Slot TechnicianRuns precise routes in tight quarters. Volume player who keeps chains moving. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 97 of 558 WRs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Reception volume67 96th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions TD rate6.0% bottom 34th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like our readUnranked recruit — top-quartile production against his own recruiting profile our readBreakout: his CFB Index score moved from the 0th to 90th percentile among FBS WRs | |||||||||||
| Complete TE · +0.63 EPA/play | 8 | 11 | 35 | 372 | 10.6 | 5 | 55 | 5.8 | 6.4 | 13.3% (46/346) | |
Yards by week → Complete TENo single go-to route — the receiving numbers show up inline and split out alike. The most common profile in its group this season — 177 of 223 classified this way. Played in 11 of 21 games this season · senior View Seydou Traore's full player page | |||||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.05 EPA/play | 11 | 13 | 21 | 252 | 12 | 0 | 49 | 7.5 | 7.1 | 11.3% (39/346) | |
Yards by week → Possession ReceiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. 332 of 558 WRs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / reception15.1 70th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions EPA / play (adj)0.0 bottom 5th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Ayden Williams's full player page | |||||||||||
| +0.82 EPA/play | 4 | 5 | 8 | 168 | 21 | 1 | 75 | 0 | 3.8 | — | |
Yards by week → | |||||||||||
| +0.13 EPA/play | 13 | 3 | 5 | 80 | 16 | 1 | 42 | 2.6 | 6.3 | — | |
Yards by week → | |||||||||||
| +1.25 EPA/play | 87 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 8.2 | 1 | 13 | 1.5 | 3.5 | — | |
Yards by week → | |||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | TFL | Sack | Hur |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nose Anchor | 92 | 12 | 28 | 8 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 2 |
Nose AnchorThe heaviest frame on the interior. Sack production is intentionally not the point of this profile. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 152 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Weight315 lb 87th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Jaray Bledsoe's full player page | |||||||
| Nose Anchor | 35 | 10 | 27 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
Nose AnchorThe heaviest frame on the interior. Sack production is intentionally not the point of this profile. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 152 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Weight320 lb 90th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Kalvin Dinkins's full player page | |||||||
| Nose Anchor | 22 | 13 | 25 | 3 | 0.5 | 0 | 1 |
Nose AnchorThe heaviest frame on the interior. Sack production is intentionally not the point of this profile. 152 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Weight320 lb 90th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Kedrick Bingley-Jones's full player page | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 42 | 10 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
3-Tech PenetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. 269 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate9.5% bottom 30th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View DJ Reed's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 23 | 11 | 20 | 4 | 1.5 | 1 | 2 |
Two-Gap BaseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. The most common profile in its group this season — 388 of 809 classified this way. Played in 11 of 21 games this season · junior · 3-star, 2021 class our readAscending: his CFB Index score climbed from the 52nd percentile to the 71st among FBS IDLs | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 27 | 10 | 20 | 5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0 |
Two-Gap BaseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. The most common profile in its group this season — 388 of 809 classified this way. Played in 10 of 21 games this season · senior View Red Hibbler's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 6 | 10 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Two-Gap BaseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. The most common profile in its group this season — 388 of 809 classified this way. Played in 10 of 21 games this season · senior · 3-star, 2021 class View Deonte Anderson's full player page | |||||||
| Nose Anchor | 88 | 8 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Nose AnchorThe heaviest frame on the interior. Sack production is intentionally not the point of this profile. 152 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Weight330 lb 95th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Jamil Burroughs's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 25 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
Two-Gap BaseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. The most common profile in its group this season — 388 of 809 classified this way. Played in 4 of 21 games this season · senior View Raishein Thomas's full player page | |||||||
| 43 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 4.5 | 2 | 0 | |
| 46 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 99 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 99 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | Ast | TFL | Sack | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Linebacker | 40 | 13 | 78 | 17 | 61 | 5 | 2.5 | 0 | 1 |
Balanced LinebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. Starter — over 60% of the snaps, holding the job. 362 of 660 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume78 83th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles PD rate0.0% bottom 18th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Nic Mitchell's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 10 | 12 | 57 | 20 | 37 | 1.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Balanced LinebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. The most common profile in its group this season — 362 of 660 classified this way. Played in 12 of 21 games this season · sophomore View Jalen Smith's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 7 | 12 | 47 | 15 | 32 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Balanced LinebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. 362 of 660 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume47 bottom 45th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles TFL rate6.4% bottom 34th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Zakari Tillman's full player page | |||||||||
| Thumper | 44 | 13 | 44 | 11 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
ThumperDownhill striker who fills the run lane and blitzes off the edge. 97 of 660 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate0.0% bottom 10th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Sack rate0.0% bottom 23th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Branden Jennings's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 16 | 8 | 38 | 16 | 22 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1 | 0 |
Balanced LinebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. The most common profile in its group this season — 362 of 660 classified this way. Played in 8 of 21 games this season · sophomore View Derion Gullette's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 11 | 10 | 34 | 9 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Balanced LinebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. 362 of 660 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume34 bottom 28th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles TFL rate0.0% bottom 10th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Tyler Lockhart's full player page | |||||||||
| Thumper | 8 | 12 | 33 | 10 | 23 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
ThumperDownhill striker who fills the run lane and blitzes off the edge. 97 of 660 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate21.2% 95th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Tackle volume33 bottom 27th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Malick Sylla's full player page | |||||||||
| 37 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| 31 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 36 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | PD | INT | TFL | Sack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Box Safety | 13 | 13 | 91 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Box SafetyLives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker. Impact starter — above-average production for the conference. 166 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume91 99th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like our readTwo-star recruit — top-quartile production against his own recruiting profile | |||||||
| Rover | 3 | 13 | 67 | 2 | 4 #23 FBS | 2.5 | 1 |
Rover· Takeaway threatHits like a linebacker and still takes the ball away. the kind of DB who takes it back the other way Starter — over 60% of the snaps, holding the job. 83 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate3.0% bottom 25th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like our readAscending: his CFB Index score now sits at the 92nd percentile among FBS Ss, up from the 46th | |||||||
| Box Safety | 2 | 10 | 64 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Box SafetyLives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker. Starter — over 60% of the snaps, holding the job. 166 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume64 85th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Isaac Smith's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 21 | 11 | 44 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Hybrid NickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. The most common profile in its group this season — 419 of 801 classified this way. Played in 11 of 21 games this season · senior View Hunter Washington's full player page | |||||||
| Cover Corner | 4 | 12 | 36 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Cover CornerSteady in coverage; doesn't get beat deep and rarely gives up the big play. The most common profile in its group this season — 141 of 270 classified this way. Played in 12 of 21 games this season · senior View DeAgo Brumfield's full player page | |||||||
| Ball Hawk | 1 | 13 | 34 | 11 #12 FBS | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Ball HawkReads the quarterback's eyes and takes the ball away. 44 of 270 CBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate32.4% 97th percentile · FBS corners, min. 10 tackles Plays like our readReinvented: changed shape entirely — Press Corner to Ball Hawk, his CFB Index score went from the 10th percentile among FBS CBs to the 93rd | |||||||
| Box Safety | 9 | 7 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Box SafetyLives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker. 166 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume25 bottom 21th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Tony Mitchell's full player page | |||||||
| Press Corner | 15 | 11 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Press CornerLong and physical; jams receivers off their route at the line. 43 of 270 CBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Height6'2" 87th percentile · FBS corners, min. 10 tackles Plays like our readFading: his CFB Index score now sits at the 45th percentile among FBS CBs, up from the 79th | |||||||
| 28 | 6 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Cover Corner | 26 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Cover CornerSteady in coverage; doesn't get beat deep and rarely gives up the big play. 141 of 270 CBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate10.0% bottom 36th percentile · FBS corners, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Dwight Lewis III's full player page | |||||||
| 20 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 19 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 12 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | FG M/A | FG% | XP M/A | Pts | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weapon | 80 | 13 | 17/20 | 85 | 44/44 | 95 | 55 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | Long | In20 | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cannon | 88 | 13 | 45 | 2099 | 46.6 | 67 | 11 | 1 |
| 38 | 8 | 12 | 468 | 39 | 54 | 7 | 1 |
Net average is unavailable — CFBD's punting feed carries gross yards only, with no return-yardage or touchback deduction.
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Back · +0.17 EPA/play | 6 | 12 | 6 | 89 | 14.8 | 0 | 18 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slot Technician · +0.48 EPA/play | 3 | 12 | 10 | 134 | 13.4 | 0 | 43 |
2025 stat leaders
finalRoster
2025+22 more
| Wk | Date | Us | Opp | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | #98 | #244 | -14.5 | @Southern Miss | W 34–17 153 | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| 2 | Sep 6 | #123 | #25 | +5.5 | Arizona StateTop 25 win | W 24–20 137 | 2-0 | 0-0 |
| 3 | Sep 13 | #89 | #209 | — | Alcorn State | W 63–0 102 | 3-0 | 0-0 |
| 4 | Sep 20 | #73 | #113 | -24.5 | Northern Illinois | W 38–10 120 | 4-0 | 0-0 |
| 5 | Sep 27 | #61 | #18 | +7.5 | Tennessee | L 34–41 157 | 4-1 | 0-1 |
| 6 | Oct 4 | #68 | #11 | +17.5 | @Texas A&M | L 9–31 125 | 4-2 | 0-2 |
| 8 | Oct 18 | #68 | #20 | +9.5 | @Florida | L 21–23 148 | 4-3 | 0-3 |
| 9 | Oct 25 | #64 | #11 | +8 | Texas | L 38–45 165 | 4-4 | 0-4 |
| 10 | Nov 1 | #64 | #50 | +5 | @Arkansas | W 38–35 148 | 5-4 | 1-4 |
| 11 | Nov 8 | #61 | #7 | +9.5 | Georgia | L 21–41 142 | 5-5 | 1-5 |
| 12 | Nov 16 | #68 | #25 | +7 | @Missouri | L 27–49 145 | 5-6 | 1-6 |
| 14 | Nov 28 | #82 | #11 | +7.5 | Ole Miss | L 19–38 149 | 5-7 | 1-7 |
| Bowl Season | ||||||||
| 19 | Jan 3 | #90 | #56 | -3 | Wake Forest (N) | L 29–43 | 5-8 | 1-7 |
| Date | Opp | Result | Yds | TO | TOP | EPA/play | Success% | Explosive% | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3 | Wake Forest | L 29–43 | — | — | — | +0.048 | 36.6% | 114.7% | |
| Nov 28 | Ole Miss | L 19–38 | 440 | 1 | 28:37 | +0.136 | 34.7% | 162.3% | |
| Nov 16 | @Missouri | L 27–49 | 345 | 3 | 36:42 | -0.139 | 37.8% | 83.2% | Season-low EPA/play |
| Nov 8 | Georgia | L 21–41 | 322 | 1 | 26:53 | +0.167 | 39.1% | 125.0% | Defense's roughest night |
| Nov 1 | @Arkansas | W 38–35 | 388 | 1 | 25:39 | +0.216 | 37.1% | 191.7% | Most explosive |
| Oct 25 | Texas | L 38–45 | 445 | 1 | 29:59 | +0.090 | 37.9% | 129.4% | One-score loss |
| Oct 18 | @Florida | L 21–23 | 468 | 2 | 30:05 | +0.071 | 42.0% | 138.4% | One-score loss |
| Oct 4 | @Texas A&M | L 9–31 | 219 | 2 | 21:43 | +0.082 | 39.6% | 94.7% | |
| Sep 27 | Tennessee | L 34–41 | 378 | 2 | 32:23 | -0.061 | 41.7% | 106.0% | One-score loss |
| Sep 20 | Northern Illinois | W 38–10 | 452 | 0 | 31:55 | +0.465 | 53.6% | 131.7% | Blowout win |
| Sep 13 | Alcorn State | W 63–0 | 514 | 1 | 28:12 | +0.713 | 66.7% | 138.6% | Season-high EPA/play |
| Sep 6 | Arizona State | W 24–20 | 345 | 0 | 22:03 | +0.148 | 41.3% | 135.9% | One-score win |
| Aug 30 | @Southern Miss | W 34–17 | 465 | 1 | 30:21 | +0.314 | 45.3% | 120.7% | |
| Season average (13 games) | 398 | 1.2 | +0.173 | 42.6% | 128.6% | ||||
Mississippi State fields a capable offense behind a porous defense.
Opponent-adjusted percentiles vs all FBS. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.
Team identity · competitive snaps only
22nd percentile quality, 77th percentile boom-dependency. Garbage time excluded from both axes — the same correction that changes the Q4 story below.
| Team | Quality percentile | Boom-share percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 86th | 11th |
| Akron | 12th | 89th |
| Alabama | 58th | 17th |
| App State | 35th | 47th |
| Arizona | 64th | 37th |
| Arizona State | 41st | 62nd |
| Arkansas | 90th | 12th |
| Arkansas State | 17th | 66th |
| Army | 57th | 43rd |
| Auburn | 47th | 53rd |
| BYU | 78th | 19th |
| Baylor | 69th | 25th |
| Boise State | 66th | 20th |
| Boston College | 37th | 54th |
| Bowling Green | 2nd | 98th |
| Buffalo | 11th | 88th |
| California | 28th | 48th |
| Central Michigan | 52nd | 64th |
| Cincinnati | 89th | 16th |
| Clemson | 51st | 48th |
| Coastal Carolina | 17th | 83rd |
| Colorado | 18th | 84th |
| Colorado State | 16th | 83rd |
| Delaware | 38th | 58th |
| Duke | 80th | 14th |
| East Carolina | 63rd | 36th |
| Eastern Michigan | 49th | 42nd |
| Florida | 30th | 67th |
| Florida Atlantic | 62nd | 59th |
| Florida International | 42nd | 50th |
| Florida State | 83rd | 32nd |
| Fresno State | 26th | 73rd |
| Georgia | 81st | 3rd |
| Georgia Southern | 73rd | 21st |
| Georgia State | 36th | 70th |
| Georgia Tech | 84th | 5th |
| Hawai'i | 64th | 41st |
| Houston | 27th | 65th |
| Illinois | 75th | 26th |
| Indiana | 95th | 1st |
| Iowa | 44th | 40th |
| Iowa State | 68th | 22nd |
| Jacksonville State | 54th | 38th |
| James Madison | 65th | 44th |
| Kansas | 85th | 28th |
| Kansas State | 71st | 49th |
| Kennesaw State | 56th | 30th |
| Kent State | 21st | 86th |
| Kentucky | 15th | 85th |
| LSU | 14th | 81st |
| Liberty | 43rd | 56th |
| Louisiana | 19th | 73rd |
| Louisiana Tech | 39th | 61st |
| Louisville | 48th | 64th |
| Marshall | 55th | 39th |
| Maryland | 30th | 74th |
| Memphis | 80th | 24th |
| Miami | 76th | 5th |
| Miami (OH) | 34th | 67th |
| Michigan | 67th | 33rd |
| Michigan State | 27th | 75th |
| Middle Tennessee | 39th | 52nd |
| Minnesota | 29th | 77th |
| Mississippi State | 22nd | 77th |
| Missouri | 61st | 30th |
| Missouri State | 55th | 46th |
| NC State | 86th | 23rd |
| Navy | 94th | 17th |
| Nebraska | 48th | 57th |
| Nevada | 3rd | 97th |
| New Mexico | 58th | 60th |
| New Mexico State | 9th | 87th |
| North Carolina | 13th | 89th |
| North Texas | 98th | 7th |
| Northern Illinois | 8th | 92nd |
| Northwestern | 52nd | 36th |
| Notre Dame | 99th | 20th |
| Ohio | 67th | 18th |
| Ohio State | 93rd | 4th |
| Oklahoma | 20th | 80th |
| Oklahoma State | 5th | 95th |
| Old Dominion | 83rd | 45th |
| Ole Miss | 89th | 2nd |
| Oregon | 91st | 10th |
| Oregon State | 2nd | 98th |
| Penn State | 73rd | 33rd |
| Pittsburgh | 60th | 39th |
| Purdue | 25th | 78th |
| Rice | 6th | 94th |
| Rutgers | 70th | 27th |
| SMU | 74th | 42nd |
| Sam Houston | 4th | 96th |
| San Diego State | 24th | 76th |
| San José State | 45th | 69th |
| South Alabama | 36th | 58th |
| South Carolina | 23rd | 86th |
| South Florida | 87th | 23rd |
| Southern Miss | 40th | 55th |
| Stanford | 10th | 90th |
| Syracuse | 5th | 95th |
| TCU | 72nd | 35th |
| Temple | 70th | 34th |
| Tennessee | 96th | 11th |
| Texas | 45th | 55th |
| Texas A&M | 82nd | 14th |
| Texas State | 92nd | 8th |
| Texas Tech | 77th | 31st |
| Toledo | 50th | 61st |
| Troy | 14th | 80th |
| Tulane | 79th | 15th |
| Tulsa | 20th | 70th |
| UAB | 61st | 45th |
| UCF | 33rd | 82nd |
| UCLA | 23rd | 79th |
| UConn | 95th | 13th |
| UL Monroe | 11th | 92nd |
| UNLV | 88th | 9th |
| USC | 98th | 2nd |
| UTEP | 1st | 99th |
| UTSA | 77th | 51st |
| Utah | 97th | 6th |
| Utah State | 46th | 63rd |
| Vanderbilt | 100th | 0th |
| Virginia | 59th | 27th |
| Virginia Tech | 32nd | 71st |
| Wake Forest | 42nd | 72nd |
| Washington | 92nd | 8th |
| Washington State | 33rd | 52nd |
| West Virginia | 7th | 93rd |
| Western Kentucky | 53rd | 29th |
| Western Michigan | 31st | 68th |
| Wisconsin | 0th | 100th |
| Wyoming | 8th | 91st |
Fourth-quarter reliability, corrected
Raw Q4 EPA/play ranks 76th percentile in FBS. Strip out snaps taken with a blowout margin and it drops to the 30th — the correction is the finding, not a footnote.
Standard downs vs. passing downs
52nd percentile success on standard downs, 35th on passing downs — a 17-point gap between the two.
| Team | Standard-downs percentile | Passing-downs percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 82nd | 69th |
| Akron | 20th | 36th |
| Alabama | 47th | 76th |
| App State | 41st | 80th |
| Arizona | 54th | 54th |
| Arizona State | 40th | 37th |
| Arkansas | 90th | 97th |
| Arkansas State | 51st | 40th |
| Army | 37th | 44th |
| Auburn | 73rd | 24th |
| Austin Peay | 56th | 13th |
| BYU | 91st | 46th |
| Ball State | 5th | 3rd |
| Baylor | 70th | 77th |
| Boise State | 42nd | 63rd |
| Boston College | 56th | 54th |
| Bowling Green | 10th | 17th |
| Bryant | 7th | 2nd |
| Buffalo | 29th | 20th |
| California | 25th | 66th |
| Central Michigan | 57th | 11th |
| Charlotte | 7th | 7th |
| Cincinnati | 89th | 65th |
| Clemson | 49th | 34th |
| Coastal Carolina | 16th | 22nd |
| Colorado | 8th | 48th |
| Colorado State | 29th | 35th |
| Delaware | 66th | 31st |
| Duke | 82nd | 63rd |
| East Carolina | 63rd | 91st |
| Eastern Michigan | 46th | 67th |
| Florida | 52nd | 45th |
| Florida Atlantic | 44th | 61st |
| Florida International | 50th | 26th |
| Florida State | 65th | 90th |
| Fresno State | 22nd | 71st |
| Georgia | 95th | 69th |
| Georgia Southern | 64th | 84th |
| Georgia State | 22nd | 75th |
| Georgia Tech | 92nd | 89th |
| Hawai'i | 33rd | 87th |
| Houston | 61st | 29th |
| Idaho | 30th | 78th |
| Idaho State | 93rd | 14th |
| Illinois | 79th | 95th |
| Indiana | 97th | 98th |
| Iowa | 74th | 19th |
| Iowa State | 80th | 58th |
| Jacksonville State | 59th | 56th |
| James Madison | 77th | 52nd |
| Kansas | 99th | 82nd |
| Kansas State | 37th | 59th |
| Kennesaw State | 44th | 67th |
| Kent State | 15th | 5th |
| Kentucky | 62nd | 29th |
| LSU | 18th | 52nd |
| Lafayette | 0th | 12th |
| Liberty | 65th | 53rd |
| Lindenwood | 4th | 1st |
| Long Island University | 24th | 78th |
| Louisiana | 24th | 23rd |
| Louisiana Tech | 41st | 24th |
| Louisville | 84th | 32nd |
| Maine | 3rd | 18th |
| Marshall | 71st | 62nd |
| Maryland | 11th | 86th |
| Massachusetts | 5th | 9th |
| Memphis | 75th | 68th |
| Merrimack | 1st | 83rd |
| Miami | 80th | 64th |
| Miami (OH) | 33rd | 39th |
| Michigan | 73rd | 74th |
| Michigan State | 48th | 39th |
| Middle Tennessee | 69th | 47th |
| Minnesota | 35th | 33rd |
| Mississippi State | 52nd | 35th |
| Missouri | 76th | 50th |
| Missouri State | 32nd | 50th |
| Murray State | 1st | 6th |
| NC State | 58th | 71st |
| Navy | 95th | 72nd |
| Nebraska | 78th | 51st |
| Nevada | 17th | 16th |
| New Mexico | 38th | 60th |
| New Mexico State | 16th | 33rd |
| North Carolina | 14th | 30th |
| North Texas | 100th | 97th |
| Northern Illinois | 9th | 5th |
| Northwestern | 48th | 88th |
| Notre Dame | 88th | 99th |
| Ohio | 69th | 76th |
| Ohio State | 99th | 99th |
| Oklahoma | 39th | 41st |
| Oklahoma State | 14th | 7th |
| Old Dominion | 72nd | 79th |
| Ole Miss | 83rd | 95th |
| Oregon | 93rd | 55th |
| Oregon State | 54th | 25th |
| Penn State | 76th | 73rd |
| Pittsburgh | 35th | 56th |
| Purdue | 46th | 88th |
| Rice | 20th | 0th |
| Rutgers | 71st | 84th |
| SMU | 50th | 57th |
| Sam Houston | 26th | 4th |
| San Diego State | 84th | 1st |
| San José State | 68th | 70th |
| South Alabama | 53rd | 28th |
| South Carolina | 31st | 8th |
| South Carolina State | 10th | 3rd |
| South Florida | 86th | 46th |
| Southern Miss | 27th | 38th |
| Stanford | 12th | 12th |
| Syracuse | 19th | 10th |
| TCU | 63rd | 82nd |
| Temple | 85th | 22nd |
| Tennessee | 97th | 81st |
| Texas | 27th | 61st |
| Texas A&M | 88th | 59th |
| Texas State | 60th | 93rd |
| Texas Tech | 45th | 65th |
| Toledo | 67th | 42nd |
| Troy | 18th | 27th |
| Tulane | 81st | 86th |
| Tulsa | 43rd | 43rd |
| UAB | 34th | 94th |
| UCF | 39th | 20th |
| UCLA | 28th | 48th |
| UConn | 96th | 37th |
| UL Monroe | 13th | 14th |
| UNLV | 78th | 85th |
| USC | 94th | 90th |
| UT Martin | 2nd | 41st |
| UTEP | 3rd | 10th |
| UTSA | 67th | 92nd |
| Utah | 87th | 96th |
| Utah State | 31st | 49th |
| Vanderbilt | 90th | 100th |
| Virginia | 36th | 73rd |
| Virginia Tech | 59th | 21st |
| Wake Forest | 21st | 31st |
| Washington | 98th | 93rd |
| Washington State | 61st | 44th |
| West Virginia | 12th | 18th |
| Western Kentucky | 55th | 80th |
| Western Michigan | 86th | 16th |
| Wisconsin | 6th | 27th |
| Wyoming | 23rd | 15th |
Halftime identity
1st-half offense ranks 35th percentile in FBS; 2nd-half, 79th — competitive snaps only, garbage time excluded from both halves.
Schedule mirage
Raw EPA/play through week 21 is 0.17; 55th percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's 0.04. The widest gap came in week 3: 0.39 raw vs. 0.09 adjusted.
Mississippi State reads strongest in explosive plays (top 38%) and rushing epa (top 43%); the crux lives in epa allowed, where Mississippi State sits at the 26th percentile.
offense · strengths lead
defense · higher bar = harder to play against
hidden math · special situations
Most Similar Programs · Mississippi State
Static-attribute similarity across tier, archetype, conference, and voice. Not a prediction — a calibration.
Home-Field Advantage · Mississippi State · 2018-present
56% home win rate vs 31% on the road. margin runs +13.2 better at home. Davis Wade Stadium seats 61,337, averaging 86% full (52,589 attendance, 28 games reported).
Positional competition · RB room
Fluff Bothwell and Davon Booth split the carries (139/273 vs 134/273) -- but the job isn't split the same way. Fluff Bothwell produces in bigger chunks.
Positional competition · WR/TE room
Anthony Evans III (WR) and Seydou Traore (TE) split the targets (83/126 vs 43/126) -- but the job isn't split the same way. Seydou Traore produces in bigger chunks.
What changed
The biggest shift: red-zone pass rate moved up 9 points. The rest held closer to steady.
Play-calling barely moved on the change — every rate held within a few points.
Season by season
Defensive identity · pass zones
On short passes, Mississippi State’s defense allows a completion rate above the FBS mean (66.2% vs 65.9% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 146-play sample) — mid-pack, 73 of 133 qualifying defenses.
We won’t show a deep-ball leaderboard here: at the defense level, most teams face well under 30 rich-feed deep targets all season — too thin to tell a real tendency from noise, so we won’t guess.
Historical echo
Programs whose stature fell in the same shape. The grey line is their decline; the color is what came next for them.
An analogy on the shape of a program’s Zeitgeist stature arc — not a prediction. Interim calibration, medium confidence; matched among current FBS programs at a comparable level.
71°F average kickoff temp; 4% of games had measurable precipitation; 5 mph average wind.
Based on 82 home games with weather data.
12 seasons inside the CFP era, no bids yet — the era the program is still trying to break into.
Mississippi State's 2014–2025 record is 79-71. The era is still being written; the CFP line is the one the program is arguing for.
Week-by-week rivalry heat isn't tracked yet for this matchup — check back as the 2026-27 season approaches and real fan-intel signal accumulates.
Who's more worked up right now
Cross-fanbase rivalry sentiment for this matchup hasn't been measured yet this week — both sides show as neutral until real signal comes in.
THE LAST 5 · year-by-year
All-Time Record
since 1902 · 123 seasons · .489 win rate
The SEC once wrote a rule specifically about Mississippi State's cowbells. The Bulldogs still rang them through a 2-10 season. That is the argument for this fanbase — and the quiet indictment of the football underneath it.
Mississippi State is the working-school program in Starkville whose crowd showed up so relentlessly the league had to legislate the noise. Davis Wade on a night game is one of the loudest venues in the SEC, and the fanbase that fills it has kept showing up through lean years, coaching turnovers, and the long dry spell since 2014 — when Dak Prescott carried an unranked team to AP No. 1 in five weeks, the fastest ascent in poll history. That five-week stretch at the top of the sport remains the program's high-water mark, and the cowbell crowd rings just as loud whether the Bulldogs are 8-4 or 2-10.
Jeff Lebby is in year three after consecutive losing campaigns — 2-10 in 2024, 5-8 in 2025 — with his first SEC win not arriving until November 1 against Arkansas before a Duke's Mayo Bowl loss to Wake Forest. It is a patience test even for a fanbase this patient. The coaching churn since Dan Mullen left has been real: Mullen, then Leach (who died in office in December 2022, midway through building something), then Arnett, now Lebby. Each restart asked the same loyal base to wait for the floor to lift. Entering 2026, the internal fracture is clean — the faction arguing Lebby deserves the runway, and the faction that has burned through too many rebuilds to queue up for another one.
What 2026 will answer is less about wins than about trajectory. Is there a detectable rise from the floor, or another 4-8 autumn of cowbells and frustration? The SEC has never been harder, the portal has never been more disruptive, and Starkville has never been a destination for blue-chip transfers. The question is whether Lebby can install something — a defensive identity, an offensive system, a recruiting trail — that earns a longer look from a fanbase that has already given far more than the scoreboard has returned.
Defense, ground game, and noise — the working-school football identity that defined Mississippi State across its best eras. The Leach Air Raid was the great stylistic experiment in between: four wide receivers, minimal blocking, a spread that played against the program's own physical trench culture. Lebby's system is more conventional — pro-style concepts with a run-game anchor — and fits the land-grant identity better than the Air Raid did. The cowbell crowd remains the most distinctive fan environment in the SEC, a wall of sound that opposing offenses feel by the third quarter.
Mississippi State 2016–2025. Slipping -1.6 rungs across the last 10 seasons. Slope -0.32 rungs / year — moving down the prestige scale.
12 seasons on file
down middle peak CFP year
Season Standing · 2025 · 5-8
Mississippi State: Below .500 in FBS play. The rebuild bar.
SEC Standing · 2025
Mississippi State is 14th of 16 in the SEC at 1-7. The path to the title is steep — the focus is on bowl access and rivalry wins.
| # | Program | Record |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ole Miss | 8-1 |
| 2 | Alabama | 8-2 |
| 3 | Georgia | 8-2 |
| 4 | Texas A&M | 7-1 |
| 5 | Texas | 6-2 |
| 6 | Vanderbilt | 6-2 |
| 7 | Oklahoma | 6-3 |
| 8 | Missouri | 4-4 |
| 9 | Tennessee | 4-4 |
| 10 | LSU | 3-5 |
| 11 | Florida | 2-6 |
| 12 | Kentucky | 2-6 |
| 13 | Auburn | 1-7 |
| 14 | Mississippi State | 1-7 |
| 15 | South Carolina | 1-7 |
| 16 | Arkansas | 0-8 |
Coaching Era · Mississippi State
Jeff Lebby in year 3 of the rebuild. The methodology is taking shape.
Three gameday rituals — the ones outsiders never quite catch.
since 1960s
Mississippi State is the only SEC program where cowbells are not just allowed but iconic. The brass cowbells (banned by SEC rules 1974-2010, then conditionally permitted) are rung in deafening unison after every Bulldog score and big stop. The SEC office's cowbell-noise complaints from visiting teams are the most-cited regulatory document in college football fan history.
since 1927
The Golden Egg trophy passes between Mississippi State and Ole Miss after the annual rivalry. Origin: 1927 brawl after a game; the AD's wife suggested a trophy to civilize the rivalry. Has not entirely civilized it. State legislature pays attention.
since 1990s
Players salute the student section after touchdowns; fans return the gesture during the alma mater. The 'Hail State' chant is the linguistic equivalent of 'Roll Tide' or 'War Eagle' — the brand-anchor phrase that travels with fans to road games.
Program memory
Most weeks vanish. These didn’t.
2014
State beats Auburn and rises to AP No. 1 for the first time in school history
2022
Mike Leach passes away in December, midway through building something in Starkville
Heartbreak
Moment of the Year · Mississippi State · 2025
Week 11 of 2025. The single game that defined the season's arc.
Bowl / Postseason Ledger
Most recent: 2025 — loss 29-43 (home). Last 5 postseason: 2-3.
NFL Draft Pipeline
2022–20269 picks last 5 cycles. Reliable mid-tier pipeline.
Unit lineage
FBS-relative efficiency percentile per season (2014–2025), same population as the Coordinator Mirror board. Dashed vertical lines mark a coordinator change.
Hired for 2026: Zach Arnett — not yet reflected in on-field data.
All-time top community posts · ranked by upvotes
Mississippi State · Next-Season Outcome Band
Recruiting Footprint · 2026
Fanbase Health Index · Mississippi State · high confidence
2025 stat leaders
How They Play · 2025
Most Similar Programs · Mississippi State
Season Standing · 2025 · 5-8
Coaching Era · Mississippi State
Moment of the Year · Mississippi State · 2025
Bowl / Postseason Ledger
NFL Draft Pipeline