Ole Miss

3-0AP #4

SEC · Pete Golding, year 2 (5-1) · Vaught-Hemingway Stadium · 64,038 · 69,083 avg in 2026

The nationAP #4 · Coaches #6up 4 from last week
The model#14 CFB ZeitgeistSP+ #20 (+15.6) · FPI #13
The marketFlorida by 3at Florida · our model 38% Ole Miss · a number, not a pick

LastW 32–24 vs LSU · Sat Sep 19 · Trinidad Chambliss 363 pass yds, 2 TD, 1 INT

Nextat Florida · Sat Sep 26 · 3:30 pm ET · Ben Hill Griffin Stadium · Florida by 3 · series 13-13-1 · Game preview

Updated Tue Sep 22 · through week 3

Ole Miss · 2026 schedule & results3-0
WkDateUsOppLineOpponentResultRecordConf
1Sep 6#12#61-6.5Louisville (N)Top 25 winW 41–38 1461-00-0
2Sep 12#11#180-44.5CharlotteW 41–9 1192-00-0
3Sep 19#13#24+3LSUTop 10 winW 32–24 1433-01-0
4Sep 26#14#17+3@Florida
6Oct 10@Vanderbilt
7Oct 17Missouri
8Oct 24@Texas
9Oct 31Auburn
10Nov 7Georgia
11Nov 14@Oklahoma
12Nov 21Wofford
13Nov 27Mississippi State
Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, explosiveness)
DateOppResultYdsTOTOPEPA/playSuccess%Explosive%Note
Sep 19LSUW 32–24426129:45+0.31143.8%144.3%Most explosive
Sep 12CharlotteW 41–9420122:46+0.33663.9%104.0%Season-high EPA/play
Sep 6LouisvilleW 41–38488229:02+0.29346.8%131.0%Season-low EPA/play
Season average (3 games)4451.3+0.31351.5%126.4%
Verdict Begins·Live

Ole Miss reached its first College Football Playoff and came within four points of the semifinal — then watched Lane Kiffin leave for LSU before the snow had melted, and finished the run anyway.

AP Poll#4 AP

For decades the fanbase heard that Oxford was a tailgate with a football team attached — a beautiful place that didn't win enough to deserve the Grove. They point now at a 13-2 Playoff team and dare…

low signal
Read the full program story ↓

The season in chapters

Weeks 1–33-0, all at homeW 32–24 vs AP #10 LSU · Sat Sep 19
Ahead
Sat Oct 24AP #1 Texasat Texas · on the road
Sat Nov 7AP #2 Georgiavs Georgia · at home

What fans said

Real posts from the day of the game, chosen by community score · usernames not shown

What it is like to watch them2025 · 13-2 · last season

Game feel58even gamescombined pts / game5th highest-scoring of 16 in the SEC
Heart rate6-2white-knucklein one-score games (8 of 15)2nd most one-score games of 16 in the SEC
Margin+15.9comfortableavg scoring margin1st best margin of 16 in the SEC
Tempo74uptempooffensive plays / game1st fastest of 16 in the SEC
Big plays1.30some popexplosiveness (IsoPPP)5th most explosive of 16 in the SEC
Home crowd66,936avg attendance12th biggest crowds of 16 in the SEC

✓ measured from 15 games · ranks are among SEC teams the same season

Recent form · last 10 games · incl. 2025

Ole Miss has won four of its last five.

Warming. 9-1 over the last 10, and won the last three.

Streak W3Last 5 · 4-1Last 10 · 9-1
If we get to another football portal window and the marker increases another 50%, 60%, 70%, like we’ve been seeing every year, you’re going to be looking at (rosters costing between $80 million and $90 million) for football
Carter · The Daily Mississippian3 days after Ole Miss's 2026 game against LSU
The forecast

Next Sep 26

vs Florida · away

Season line8.5 winsover -165
StrongPass-first, spreadPoor

✓ fact on line · ~ our read on style

Market outlook

Season expectations

Win total2 booksO/U 8.5▲1 since Sep 2026
CFP championship#12 in field+1500
SEC title#6 in market+650

Sportsbook consensus · best odds across multiple books · 2026-09-22

Ole Miss · the story right now 14 storylines developing

What Ole Miss's program standing is really about

the open questionis this a real, durable shift in the program's tier?

dynastythis cycle~readnew

Ole Miss has reached elite-tier consistency — Lane Kiffin's sixth season marks the first time the Rebels have held top-5% power rating for three straight years.

what happenedOle Miss has climbed into dynasty-caliber territory — into the top 8% of FBS by power rating over the last three seasons, up from the top 15% a year ago. ✓ fact
the contexta 27-9 record over the last three regular seasons

our readfront page

portal2025-05-21~readnew

Lane Kiffin's top-3 SEC portal class rebuilds nearly everything at once — 4% of QB production returns, and the market projects a 10.5-win season despite the upheaval.

what happenedOle Miss signed a top-2 transfer-portal class — 28 additions headlined by Trinidad Chambliss (QB) from Ferris State and Maealiuaki Smith (QB) from Oklahoma State. ✓ fact
the contexta top-3 portal class in the SEC this cycle

our readdeveloping

playoff paththis cycle~readnew

Pete Golding begins his Ole Miss tenure with a 13-2 record and a #6 AP finish, but the program's uneasy fanbase questions if the playoff path can be secured without mimicking Alabama.

what happenedOle Miss: the playoff path shifting. ✓ fact

our readdeveloping

governance shockthis cycle~readnew

Pete Golding begins his Ole Miss tenure with a 13-2 record and a #6 AP finish, but the program's uneasy fanbase questions if a new identity can sustain a national.

what happenedOle Miss: an outside ruling reshaping the program's season. ✓ fact

our readdeveloping

portal2026-01-29~readnew

Lane Kiffin's fifth consecutive top-25 portal class rebuilds nearly everything at once — 4% of QB production returns, and the market projects a 7.5-win season despite the upheaval.

what happenedOle Miss signed a top-2 transfer-portal class — 28 additions headlined by Deuce Knight (QB) from Auburn and Walker Howard (QB) from Louisiana. ✓ fact
the contextfifth consecutive top-25 portal class

our readdeveloping

power broker conflictthis cycle~readnew

Pete Golding begins his Ole Miss tenure with a 13-2 winning record, but an off-field feud and uneasy fan belief signal tension beneath the program's SEC success.

what happenedOle Miss: an off-field feud following the program. ✓ fact

our readdeveloping

coordinatorsthis cycle~readnew

Lane Kiffin enters his sixth season with a 13-2 record, but the program's uneasy fanbase questions if Ole Miss can sustain its national power status without pretending to be Alabama.

what happenedOle Miss: coordinator change reshaping a unit. ✓ fact

our readdeveloping

deep threat2025 cycle~attributednew

Cayden Lee is used almost exclusively underneath -- a low share of his targets are downfield shots.

our readbackground

deep threat2025 cycle~attributednew

Dae'Quan Wright is used almost exclusively underneath -- a low share of his targets are downfield shots.

our readbackground

garbage time2025 cycle~attributednew

Kewan Lacy does NOT see a usage spike in garbage time -- his workload holds steady regardless of score.

our readbackground

short yardage2025 cycle~attributednew

Kewan Lacy: a short yardage signal screened this season.

our readbackground

closer2025 cycle~attributednew

Logan Diggs: a closer signal screened this season.

our readbackground

recruitingthis cycle~readnew

Lane Kiffin's sixth straight top-25 class arrives as Ole Miss rebuilds nearly everything at once — 18% production returning, 2 NFL exits, and a 13-2 season that proves winning without.

what happenedOle Miss signed a top-22 recruiting class. ✓ fact
the contextsixth consecutive top-25 recruiting class

our readfront page

NILthis cycle~readnew

Pete Golding begins his Ole Miss tenure with a 13-2 winning record, but the program's uneasy fanbase questions if the NIL-driven roster can sustain SEC success without Alabama's blueprint.

what happenedOle Miss: NIL/collective shift reshaping the roster. ✓ fact

our readfront page

How past storylines here turned out

AnsweredOle Miss's climb into dynasty-caliber territory held for another season.
Died downOle Miss's defensive coordinator change has died down — no clear next chapter yet.
Died downOle Miss's offensive coordinator change has died down — no clear next chapter yet.

Outcome band · Ole Miss · 2026

Ole Miss' most likely season is 10-3 — a bowl game. The floor is 7-6; the ceiling is 12-2.

Floor7-6A bowl game, 3 fewer wins.
Base10-3A bowl game.
Ceiling12-2A conference title and a CFP quarterfinal.

Floor, base and ceiling come from the season-path projection, which plays out conference title games and the CFP — so a ceiling can run past 12 games.

How the room reactedreal evidence · tap rooms to explore
Following now · Ole Miss · Coaching Confidence

The Pete Golding story at Ole Miss won't sit still.

Pete Golding took over as Ole Miss's head coach, replacing Lane Kiffin. It is replaces 6-year head coach Lane Kiffin (55-19). It's not the hire that's the story anymore — it's everything it set in motion. The room has bought in, but early believers have been wrong before.

near-unanimous belief where the takes land · dot = how loud
DOUBTBELIEF
Believers7 bull takes
🎪 drama: hot💬 fans: 1% volume
Developing6 new this week
yesterdayThe Decision Pete Golding Got Right That Helped Ole Miss Defeat LSU — Sports Illustrated
yesterday‘Psychologically Put a Dagger Through Lane Kiffin’s Heart’ — Paul Finebaum Explains How Ole Miss HC Pete Golding Rattled LSU — sports.yahoo.com
yesterdayGolding Named Bear Bryant Awards National Coach of the Week — olemisssports.com
2 days agoSEC title odds: +1200 → +700 (▲4.8pp implied)
6 days agoOle Miss sues LSU DE — Reported
The cast who's driving the story · latest headline on each, attributed
Pete Golding Head coach
“The Decision Pete Golding Got Right That Helped Ole Miss Defeat LSU” — Sports Illustrated · 2026-09-21
Lane Kiffin Out
“‘Psychologically Put a Dagger Through Lane Kiffin’s Heart’ — Paul Finebaum Explains How Ole Miss HC Pete Golding Rattled LSU” — sports.yahoo.com · 2026-09-21
Kewan Lacy
“Pete Golding shares update on Kewan Lacy’s shoulder injury” — news · 2026-09-20
Sam Leavitt
“Pete Golding shares hilarious reaction to Sam Leavitt showing up on LSU’s injury report” — news · 2026-09-18
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
The room is running hot. The real test is whether the momentum holds once the calendar moves past the announcement.
Source of record: Pete Golding took over as Ole Miss's head coach, replacing Lane Kiffin — replaces 6-year head coach Lane Kiffin (55-19).
How each room is reacting — tap to expand
The Circus dramaBelievers bullishSkeptics no dissentThe Boards quietThe Dominoes active
🎪The circus“Ella Langley, distractions and Lane Kiffin: Pete Golding calls…” — the saga that won't quit.

The off-field storyline driving the noise right now. Not analysis — the soap opera, and that's the point.

“Ella Langley, distractions and Lane Kiffin: Pete Golding calls Ole Miss-LSU ‘high school homecoming’”
foxnews.com · 2026-09-14 · read ↗
“Ole Miss news: Pete Golding's strong message on Deuce Alexander's scary speed”
Yahoo Sports · 2026-09-08 · read ↗
“After Lane Kiffin Saga, Ole Miss Win 'Felt Like a Therapy Session,' Says HC Pete Golding”
Bleacher Report · 2026-09-07 · read ↗
📣Believers7 bullish/hire items -- the case it's working.

The 'this hire changes everything' takes -- new-era believers making the case early.

“Pete Golding jokes about Ole Miss AD, president celebrating win over Lane Kiffin, LSU”
Saturday Down South · 2026-09-20 · read ↗
“Everything Pete Golding said after Ole Miss’ 32-24 win over LSU”
On3 CFB · 2026-09-20 · read ↗
“Golding era at Ole Miss hits stride with 32-24 win over Kiffin’s LSU Tigers”
supertalk.fm · 2026-09-20 · read ↗
🧐SkepticsNo prominent dissent — the coverage runs one way.

The 'show me the body of work' counter -- resume gaps, scheme fits, and 'not that guy' reads.

Nothing in our corpus yet — this door stays open for when there is.

💬The boards1% of recent board volume — quieter than the headlines.

This event was in 31 of 3473 board posts (1%) over the last 60 days — engaged but not consumed. Fan text shown verbatim, attributed to the community not the individual poster.

"Emotional burnout trap game of the century. Hopefully Golding can remind our team who kept them out of the playoffs in 24."
r/CFB ~ fan take
"Lane Kiffin has zero wins in matchups with two top-10 wins. Pete Golding has 2 in 6 games as head coach."
r/CFB ~ fan take

The boards ≠ the fanbase: a vocal, self-selected slice.

🔗The dominoes12 downstream moves — the hire's knock-on effects.

The second-order trail: commits, decommits, portal and staff knock-on from the hire.

“Oregon commit Tae Walden Jr. puts Ole Miss "among" the top after weekend visit”
On3 · 2026-09-22 · read ↗
“Ole Miss Lands 4-Star 2028 Commitment After Win Over LSU”
Sports Illustrated · 2026-09-21 · read ↗
Following now · Ole Miss · Program power Confidence

Ole Miss's power rating is climbing, and the numbers agree.

Ole Miss has climbed into dynasty-caliber territory — into the top 8% of FBS by power rating over the last three seasons, up from the top 15% a year ago. It is a 27-9 record over the last three regular seasons. A real, measurable rise in the model. The room has caught up; now the schedule has to agree.

Developing3 new this week
2 days agoSEC title odds: +1200 → +700 (▲4.8pp implied)
6 days agoOle Miss sues LSU DE — Reported
6 days agoOle Miss sues LSU defensive end — Reported
last weekWin total: 7.5 → 8.5 (▲1)
2 weeks agoWin total: 7.5 → 8 (▲0.5)
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
Ole Miss has reached elite-tier consistency — Lane Kiffin's sixth season marks the first time the Rebels have held top-5% power rating for three straight years.
Source of record: Ole Miss has climbed into dynasty-caliber territory — into the top 8% of FBS by power rating over the last three seasons, up from the top 15% a year ago — a 27-9 record over the last three regular seasons.
How each room is reacting — tap to expand
Believers bullishSkeptics no dissent
📣Believers2 bullish/momentum items -- the case it's working.

The 'resurgence is real' read: the numbers are starting to back the hype.

“Column: What Ole Miss’ Magnolia Bowl win means”
thedmonline.com · 2026-09-22 · read ↗
“Oregon commit Tae Walden Jr. puts Ole Miss "among" the top after weekend visit”
On3 · 2026-09-22 · read ↗
“No. 4 Ole Miss hopes to tame No. 21 Florida in matchup of SEC rivals”
San Luis Obispo Tribune · 2026-09-22 · read ↗
🧐SkepticsNo prominent dissent — the coverage runs one way.

The 'wait and see' counter -- power shifts often get overread before the season proves them.

Nothing in our corpus yet — this door stays open for when there is.

Rival pulse

Mississippi State
Very Bullish
+49
Egg Bowl
Face-off →
Memphis
Bullish
+27
Memphis-Ole Miss

Fan mood index · most recent r/cfb data

More in this tab

Game dayWhat a Saturday in this stadium actually feels like.
The experience

Ole Miss is the program that finally figured out how to win the SEC by not pretending to be Alabama.

Offense: StrongRun/Pass: Pass-first, spreadDefense: Poor
Program ledgerEvery dated move on this program's record, newest first.

The program ledger

since 2025
  • 2026 · Wk 4Climbed to No. 4 in the AP Top 25Week 3 · Won 32-24 at home over LSU4 · from No. 8
  • 2025 · Wk 6Climbed to No. 4 in the AP Top 25Week 5 · Won 24-19 at home over LSU9 · from No. 13
  • 2025 · Wk 4Climbed to No. 13 in the AP Top 25Week 3 · Won 41-35 at home over Arkansas4 · from No. 17
  • 2025Lane Kiffin departs55-19
  • 2025Hired Pete Golding
RosterWho's gone, who's back, who replaces them.

Roster Reload - Ole Miss

2026 snapshot - 2026-09-22
Returning Production50%Moderate continuity
Talent Composite#14 nationally247 composite 885.7
Portal Additions28Primary repair: WR
Portal Losses27Primary pressure: IOL
Draft Loss2NFL Draft departures (2)
Recruiting Reload#22Top-25 recruiting class
EDGEin 3 - Blake Purchase4.38out 5 - Princewill Umanmielen5.00Starter Risk
current room: 246 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Versatile Endholds up snap after snap without a weakness to attack
WRin 5 - Darrell Gill Jr.4.50out 2 - Winston Watkins4.12Need Filled
current room: 189 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Deep Threat2025 profilebeats you over the top
Homegrown
IOLin 1 - Troy Everett3.50out 5 - Devin Harper4.25Starter Risk
current room: 316 lbs avg (2025 roster)
RBin 3 - Makhi Frazier3.80out 2 - Trey Hall3.40Upgrade
current room: 206 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Workhorse2025 profilejust keeps getting the ball, series after series
Sin 3 - Edwin Joseph4.25out 2 - TJ Banks3.60Upgrade
current room: 186 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Hybrid Nickel2025 profileTakeaway threatmoves between deep coverage and the slot the kind of DB who takes it back the other way
Homegrown
LBin 3 - Luke Ferrelli4.00out 2 - TJ Dottery4.12Upgrade
current room: 220 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Coverage 'Backercarries tight ends down the field in coverage
Full roster (123 players)
Offseason movesEvery addition and subtraction since the last snap.

The Offseason Ledger · Ole Miss

6 verified updates · portal · recruiting · staff · news
  1. News

    Ole Miss sues LSU DE

    Ole Miss taking LSU's DE to court before the top-10 kickoff says the Rebels aren't treating tampering rules as optional anymore — this is a program that thinks it belongs at the table and is willing to litigate to prove it.

    Sep 16Reported
  2. News

    Ole Miss sues LSU defensive end

    The Kiffin divorce is officially in litigation — suing your former coach's new employer over a defensive end is a power move that says Ole Miss isn't done fighting that breakup.

    Sep 16Reported
  3. News

    Swinney denies Kiffin tampering report

    Swinney crying tampering while Ole Miss juggles IOL pressure and a roster still digesting two draft exits — Kiffin's program is moving pieces and Clemson's coach doesn't like the noise it's making.

  4. News

    Win total: 7.5 → 8.5 (▲1)

    The 7.5 to 8.5 move confirmed what was already public — the market repriced after the news landed.

    Sep 10
  5. Portal

    Ole Miss DL enters portal after gaining eligibility

    DL depth takes a hit right as Echoles and Thomas are drawing Bednarik attention — Pete Golding can't afford roster bleed up front when the SEC schedule doesn't care about your portal class rank.

    Aug 21Reported
  6. News

    Ole Miss athletes gain eligibility year

    Extra eligibility across the roster hits different when your IOL depth is already under pressure — Kiffin's #22 class gets a year of insurance that a two-draft-loss roster genuinely needs.

Who's movedWho's transferring in and out, right now.

Transfer portal snapshot

+1.8 net portal points
(raw ledger: +15.5 — unweighted, no position adjustment)
IOL
-15.0
starter risk
WR
+11.5
need filled
OT
+8.0
need filled
EDGE
-7.3
starter risk
RB
+6.2
S
+4.4
LB
+3.7
DL
+3.7
QB
+2.6
K
-2.0
starter risk
TE
-0.7
CB
+0.5
Top commits

Top 3 commits

2026 class
★★★★☆
Landon Barnes
EDGE · Duncanville, TX
#101 national
★★★★☆
Jase Mathews
WR · Leakesville, MS
#110 national
Blue-chip pedigree, profiling early as a prototypical wide receiver — 20 of his 25 closest recruiting profiles since 2018 shared the Possession Receiver archetype.~our read · projection from recruiting profile — no college snaps yet
★★★★☆
Damarius Yates
RB · De Kalb, MS
#140 national
Blue-chip pedigree, profiling early as a prototypical running back — 13 of his 25 closest recruiting profiles since 2018 shared the Balanced Back archetype.~our read · projection from recruiting profile — no college snaps yet
Where they're fromWhere this class actually comes from, on the map.

Recruiting Footprint · 2026

22
MS · 9GA · 3LA · 3TX · 3AL · 1IL · 1MA · 1TN · 1

MS leads the 2026 class with 9 commits. National footprint reaching 8 states.

Where they recruit · 2023-2026

86 signees across 12 states, 2023-2026. MS leads the pull.

MEVTNHWAIDMTNDMNWIMINYMA1ORNVWYSDIAIL2INOHPANJCTCA1UTCONEMOKYWVVAMDDERIAZ1NMKSARTN5NC1SCDCOKLA12MS33AL4GA8AKHITX6FL12
Source CFB Zeitgeist · player_recruiting_profiles
Miles from homeHow far this roster travelled to get here.

Miles from home · 2026 roster

The median Ole Miss player grew up 297 miles from campus.

Half this roster came from closer than that; half came from farther.

63rd-closest to home in FBS of 135 ranked →
Closest to homeFarthest from home
Middle 50%169–542 miquartile spread
Within 100 mi16%19 of 116 players
Farthest1,790 miMaealiuaki Smith · Sacramento, CA
Closest1 miJack Harper · Oxford, MS

Straight-line distance from each player's listed hometown to Vaught-Hemingway Stadium. Hometowns are placed at city-centroid precision, not street address — fine at this scale, but a player's true door-to-door number can differ by a few miles. 116 of 123 listed players have a geocoded hometown. Source: CFBD roster hometowns.

In-state shareHow much of this roster is home-grown.

Who owns MS · 2026 roster

28% of the Ole Miss roster grew up in MS.

33 of 119 players, drawn from 23 states in all. That is the 79th-highest in-state share of 135 ranked FBS programs.

Signing day tells a more local story: 38% of the last 4 classes were MS kids, but churn — transfers in, locals out — has drifted the roster 11 points away from home.

MS · 33FL · 13GA · 13TX · 10LA · 8TN · 8AL · 6AR · 3+15 more

Where the 2026 roster is from

119 players across 23 states. Biggest pull outside MS: FL (13).

MEVTNHWA1IDMTNDMNWIMI3NYMA3ORNVWYSDIAIL1INOHPA1NJ2CTCA3UTCO1NE1MO1KYWVVA2MD1DERIAZ2NMKSAR3TN8NC2SCDCOK1LA8MS33AL6GA13AKHITX10FL13
Source CFB Zeitgeist · roster_entries (CFBD hometowns)
Every FBS roster ranked by in-state share →

Home state as listed on the CFBD roster. 4 listed players fall outside the 50 states and DC (international hometowns, or no state listed) and are excluded from the denominator. Source: CFBD roster hometowns.

Recruiting buzzWhat fans say about the incoming class right now.

r/cfb this year

[Postgame Thread] Ole Miss Defeats LSU 24-19
3,505 upvotes · Sep 2025

Top community posts · last 12 months · r/cfb

How it turned outHow an old class actually turned out, years on.
Class Autopsy
The 2023 class: 0 drafted so far, 29% never transferred. F
See the class →
Belief historyHow today's fan mood compares to the program's past.

Fan confidence a bit lower than recent years

29th percentile among FBS programs

Fans vs. marketWhere fans and the betting market read this team differently.
Fan vs. market
29th
Fan percentile
(FBS mood rank)
8.5
Vegas O/U wins
(79th among FBS)
Market 50pp more optimistic than fan mood
Win total consensus · 2 books
Pollster gapPollsters don't agree -- here's how far apart.
Voter spread

68 of 68 AP voters have them ranked, AP ballot, week 3 (2026) — from #4, Murray Evans (Lawton Constitution), to #13, Jon Wilner (San Jose Mercury News).

Individual AP Top 25 ballots, AP ballot, week 3, 2026 — 68 voters tracked.

TakeawaysWhat this defense does once it gets the ball.
Takeaway conversion

Cashing in at a normal clip: 20% of disrupted passes intercepted, close to ~19% league-wide.

2 interceptions of 10 disrupted passes (8 deflected, 2 intercepted), 2026 only.

PenaltiesWhether flags are costing this team games.
Penalty battle

The flags haven't favored them: 21 penalties committed vs. 23 drawn on opponents, 34 yards behind.

189 penalty yards committed vs. 155 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.

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