Ole Miss 52-17 Vanderbilt (Oct 10, 2026) Final Score

Team pages: Ole Miss · Vanderbilt

No. 9 Ole Miss4-152

Vanderbilt3-317Final

Sat, Oct 10 · FirstBank Stadium, Nashville, Tenn. · Crowd 35,000

No. 9 Ole Miss routed Vanderbilt 52-17.

We had Ole Miss favored. It won.

Next: Ole Miss beat Missouri 31-3, Sat Oct 17

Next: Vanderbilt lost to Arkansas 31-21, Sat Oct 17

Top comment in the game thread

I'm gonna keep it absolutely 100 with you guys. I needed this.

Q2 1:12 · r/CFB game thread · Sat, Oct 10

How it swung

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Ole Miss a 53% chance, and the closing betting line (Ole Miss was a 9.5-point favorite) put it at 78%.

Defensive lineman catches a touchdown

Ole Miss · Q2 9:09

FinalOle Miss 52-17 VanderbiltOle Miss wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

What fans said, play by play

The line in bold above each quote is written by our model from the thread’s comments and the play-by-play.

Q1 9:51Vanderbilt fans rage at no flag on Kite after Curtis pass to ThomasRefs bailing out ole missr/CFB game threadHow tf was that not a flag on Kite, too?r/CFB game thread
Q1 4:07Officials flag Vandy on Lacy's touchdown run, sparking debate over the callGoddamn I thought that was good D by vandyr/CFB game thread
Q2 9:44Ole Miss fans celebrate Jam Brown's touchdown and mock Vandy's personal foul penaltyBro Vandy. You just had a big boy catch a TD on you. That’s painful.r/CFB game threadI really like the Vandy branding. Colors, logo, etc.r/CFB game thread
Q2 9:09A big player caught a touchdown.JAM BROWN GOT THE BIG MAN TD!!!!!!r/CFB game thread
Q2 4:41Chambliss throws touchdown to Alexander as Ole Miss fans celebrate DeuceThe refs left Deuce Alexander wide open, how could they do that?r/CFB game thread
Q2 1:12Quoted at the top of the page.This game could have been a teams messager/CFB game thread

Ole Miss’s chance to win after every play.

How to read this chart

Starts from the pregame line (Ole Miss -9.5), at 66% for Ole Miss (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Outlined diamonds mark rare plays. Under the scores, r/CFB comments per minute from fans with a Vanderbilt or Ole Miss flair (107 and 487); both sides share one scale, regulation only. A gold diamond marks a play fans were reacting to.

Watch the plays

The bar and the arrow show Ole Miss’s chance to win after each play; the logo is the team the play helped.

Every drive

Ole Miss scored on 7 of its 13 drives; Vanderbilt on 3 of its 13.

Ole Miss’s drives are teal, Vanderbilt’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

“92 looked like he wanted to square up with Clark. Dude needs a reality check.”

An Ole Miss fan

When fans got loud

Busy

Fans had the most to say in the second quarter.

Jump to the loudest stretch

The jump was busy; the crowd was steady.

Fans of both teams were loud at once in the bracketed stretch.

“Can’t believe the refs pushed that guy’s head into our player’s face”

An Ole Miss fan

What it cost

Ole Miss’s chance to make the playoff rose from 18% to 22%.

Make the playoff

Ole Miss · won18% → ▲22%

Vanderbilt · lost1% → 1%

Win the conference

Ole Miss · won1% → ▲2%

Vanderbilt · lost0% → 0%

Before the game (October 9, 2026) → after this result, in our model.

Box score

Ole Miss 52, Vanderbilt 17

Ole Miss covered −9.5 by 25.5. The total, 69, went over 54.5.

Team totals	Ole Miss	Vanderbilt
Total yards	409	343
Passing	20 of 30, 213 yds	21 of 37, 240 yds
Rushing	35 for 196 yds	37 for 103 yds
First downs	22	19
Third down	5 of 11	9 of 17
Fourth down	0 of 0	0 of 2
Turnovers	1	4
Penalties	11 for 70 yds	11 for 92 yds
Time of possession	26:04	33:56

Ole Miss leaders

Passing Trinidad Chambliss 20 of 30, 213 yds, 3 TD, 1 INT
Rushing Makhi Frazier 13 for 73 yds; Shekai Mills-Knight 4 for 42 yds, 1 TD
Receiving Deuce Alexander 5 for 74 yds, 1 TD; Traylon Ray 4 for 43 yds

Vanderbilt leaders

Passing Jared Curtis 19 of 32, 222 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT
Rushing Makhilyn Young 9 for 37 yds; Blaze Berlowitz 4 for 23 yds
Receiving Ja'Cory Thomas 3 for 60 yds, 1 TD; Junior Sherrill 5 for 55 yds

No rain through the game

63° at kickoff · 0.00 to 0.05 in of rain at two airports

The usual here around this date is 69°, with about 7 in 10 games between 55° and 80°.

October game-day temperatures at FirstBank Stadium

Drag along the chart, or step through the game.

First quarter, 14:54 left2:36 p.m.

Ole Miss 0, Vanderbilt 0 · Vanderbilt 34% to win

no rain · 63°

Chambliss incomplete to Alexander

Where this weather comes from

Measured at John C Tune airport, 5.1 miles away, and Nashville Metro airport, 6.9 miles away. Wind and rain are airport readings near the stadium, not on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last 4 games

Ole Miss · 3-1

Rated 12th in our preseason ratings, 21st now.

3-1 in its last 4, including a 8-point win over LSU as a 3-point underdog.

L 28-52 @ FloridaTop 25 #11 of 668

lost by 24 as a 4-point underdog

W 32-24 vs LSUTop 25 #20 of 668

won by 8 as a 3-point underdog

W 41-9 vs Charlotte #162 of 668

won by 32 as a 44.5-point favorite

W 41-38 vs LouisvilleTop 25 #58 of 668

won by 3 as a 6.5-point favorite

Last three games

Vanderbilt · 3-2

Rated 45th in our preseason ratings, 43rd now.

1-2 in its last three, one over ranked or top-40 competition.

L 14-38 @ GeorgiaTop 25 #1 of 668

lost by 24 as a 25.5-point underdog

L 15-21 @ Auburn #56 of 668

lost by 6 as a 10-point underdog

W 35-31 vs NC State #37 of 668

won by 4 as a 3-point favorite

W 35-26 vs Delaware #41 of 668

won by 9 as a 20.5-point favorite

W 28-9 vs Austin Peay #105 of 668

won by 19 as a 29.5-point favorite

Week by week

Vanderbilt

Wk 1Wvs Austin Peay28-9
Wk 2Wvs Delaware35-26
Wk 3Wvs NC State35-31
Wk 4Lat Auburn15-21
Wk 5Lat Georgia14-38

Ole Miss

Wk 1Wvs Louisville41-38
Wk 2Wvs Charlotte41-9
Wk 3Wvs LSU32-24
Wk 4Lat Florida28-52

Power rating by week

Ole Miss is rated 3.3 points ahead as of week 5. Our power rating by week; higher is better.

Matchups

Biggest mismatch: Ole Miss’s success rate against Vanderbilt, 73 points

Each row ranks the two sides among all teams. The longer the line, the bigger the mismatch.

Ole Miss’s success rate against Vanderbilt’s defense
Ole Miss offense, 97th percentile · Vanderbilt defense, 24th
Ole Miss’s rushing EPA against Vanderbilt’s defense
Ole Miss offense, 96th percentile · Vanderbilt defense, 28th
Ole Miss’s explosive plays against Vanderbilt’s defense
Ole Miss offense, 24th percentile · Vanderbilt defense, 50th

Season profile, all the rows

Season profile

Ole MissVanderbilt

EPA/play, offense

EPA/play, defense

Success rate, offense

Success rate, defense

Explosive-play rate, offense

Explosive-play rate, defense

Rush EPA, offense

Rush EPA, defense

Pass EPA, offense

Pass EPA, defense

The series

Ole Miss leads the series 56-37-2

95 meetings since 1902 · Ole Miss has won the last 5

2023Ole Miss 33-7
2022Ole Miss 52-28
2021Ole Miss 31-17
2020Ole Miss 54-21
2019Ole Miss 31-6

Each line is Vanderbilt’s chance to win through that meeting.

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Ole Miss fans are feeling it less than most fanbases this week (36th among FBS fanbases), and the other side is no happier.

Ole Miss favored by 9.5 · Total 54.5

How games like this usually go

Ole Miss by 9.5, and it went to form

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 385 games since 2025 with a favorite of 7.5 to 14.5 points.

The market

The spread moved 0.5 points toward Vanderbilt.

The total fell 4 points.

The books’ cut: 4.3%, the margin built into the odds

Home field

Vanderbilt is worth +1.1 points (±4.5) more at home than on the road since 2018 — bottom tenth of FBS, 7th percentile.

41% at home, 23% on the road against FBS opponents (20-29 home, 10-33 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads -7.0 at home vs. away over 100 games — outside the ±6.4 noise, one of the few buildings where results say more.

The visitors travel about 197 miles to get here.

Last meeting in our History pages

Vanderbilt 36, Ole Miss 29Nov 17, 2018

Where next

Conference standings

Place in the conference, then conference record.

Vanderbilt16th0-2
Ole Miss9th1-1

Full SEC standings

No. 9 Ole Miss routs Vanderbilt 52-17