3identity shift
Charlotte shifts fanbase identity, redefining program.
Tim Albin begins his tenure at Charlotte with a 1-11 losing record to inherit, compounding the program's status as one of the weaker FBS teams.
Charlotte1-11Latest
Cautious optimism is building around Charlotte.
belief cooled ↓ 3.4vs prior week
Fanbase belief
Leaning up
53/100 · 92 mentions
~ our readGrounding
running on emotion
0% cite a stat · 7% typical ✓ counted
~ our readVolatility
Chaotic
σ 33 pts
~ our readThe model
#137
CFB Zeitgeist · -12.0
✓ measured3Hope-Doping·Offseason
Charlotte is the youngest program in the Power footprint — football didn't exist here until 2013 — trying to build, almost from scratch, a tradition the rest of the sport had a century-long head start on.
Standard GapA 2019 bowl bid in just the program's seventh season vs a 2025 collapse…
Niner fans say the rest of the sport treats a program this young like it doesn't count — and they point to the biggest, fastest-growing city in the Carolinas and ask why a metro this size shouldn't ev…
offseason · quiet
Roster Reload - Charlotte
2026 snapshot - 2026-08-06Returning Production24%Low continuity / heavy reload
Talent Composite#108 nationally247 composite 526.3
Portal Additions19Primary repair: TE
Portal Losses27Primary pressure: IOL
Draft Loss0No NFL Draft departures recorded
Recruiting Reload#103Depth class
WRin 4 - Jaden Barnesout 4 - Javen NicholasDowngrade
current room: 197 lbs avg (2025 roster)
OTin 2 - J'ven Williamsout 4 - Mason BowersStarter Risk
IOLin 2 - Luke Sandyout 4 - Mo Clipper Jr.Starter Risk
current room: 303 lbs avg (2025 roster)
RBin 3 - Khamani Alexanderout 3 - Donald Chaney Jr.Even
current room: 192 lbs avg (2025 roster)
DLin 2 - Devin Ancrumout 2 - Xavier MilesEven
current room: 265 lbs avg (2025 roster)
TEin 2 - Lane Wadleout 1 - Jake YoungUpgrade
current room: 252 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Belief EKG
WinLoss · hover for scorePrior seasons
Approaching
30 days
until kickoff · vs The Citadel · Sat Sep 5 · 19:30 UTC
The experience
Charlotte is the American Athletic program whose 2013 program founding + 2019 first bowl appearance + Jerry Richardson Stadium define what most-recent-FBS-newcomer-ascent looks like.
Offense: PoorDefense: PoorDefensive shape: Bend-don't-break
Charlotte's 2026 Season Will Hinge on Transfer Integration and Depth Class Recruiting
With a returning player total of 24% and a heavy reliance on transfers, Charlotte's success depends on integrating 19 new arrivals while managing the loss of 27 players. The team's recruiting rank of #103 highlights a focus on depth over elite talent.
- Roster reloadCharlotte has 19 transfers coming in, but also lost 27 players, creating significant roster turnover.
- RecruitingCharlotte's recruiting rank of #103 suggests a focus on depth class rather than top-tier recruits.
Data as of 2026-08-03
·
Validated against program evidence
Norm the Niner is patient.
Charlotte · the story right now
11 storylines developing
What Charlotte's offseason is really about
the open questionwhere does it go from here?
program_outlookthis cycle✓ factnew
Charlotte enters 2026 rated No. 134 in 2025 SP+ (-26.7), down 16 spots from 2024.
narrative tension · our read
identitythis cycle~readnew
Tim Albin begins his tenure at Charlotte with a 1-11 losing record to inherit, compounding the program's status as one of the weaker FBS teams.
what happenedCharlotte: the fanbase's identity shifting. ✓ fact
narrative tension · our read
coachingthis cycle~readnew
Tim Albin inherits a 1-11 roster with just 24% production returning — Charlotte's fourth coach in five years faces an ascent built on instability.
what happenedTim Albin took over as Charlotte's head coach, replacing Biff Poggi. ✓ fact
the contextthe program's third head coach in five seasons
narrative tension · our read
deep threatthis cycle✓ factnew
Sean Brown is a real deep-ball threat -- a high share of his targets come on throws past the sticks, and he catches those deep shots at a plus rate.
narrative tension · our read
money downthis cycle✓ factnew
Sean Brown is a legitimate money-down target -- his 3rd-down conversion rate ranks among the position's best, and his per-target value holds up in that spot too.
narrative tension · our read
coordinatorsthis cycle✓ factnew
Charlotte: coordinator change reshaping a unit.
narrative tension · our read
garbage timethis cycle~attributednew
Cameren Smith: a garbage time merchant signal screened this season.
narrative tension · our read
garbage timethis cycle~attributednew
Javen Nicholas does NOT see a usage spike in garbage time -- his workload holds steady regardless of score.
narrative tension · our read
garbage timethis cycle~attributednew
Rod Gainey Jr.: a garbage time merchant signal screened this season.
narrative tension · our read
portal2025-05-08~readnew
Grayson Loftis (QB) and Conner Harrell (QB) arrive as Charlotte's answer to 1-11, diagnosing a passing game that couldn't escape the bottom of the American Athletic.
what happenedCharlotte signed a top-48 transfer-portal class — 34 additions headlined by Grayson Loftis (QB) from Duke and Conner Harrell (QB) from North Carolina. ✓ fact
the contexta top-3 portal class in the American Athletic this cycle
narrative tension · our read
coordinatorsthis cycle~readnew
Tim Albin inherits a 1-11 losing record at Charlotte, a program still defining its identity since its 2013 FBS debut, with coordinator changes reshaping key units.
what happenedCharlotte: coordinator change reshaping a unit. ✓ fact
narrative tension · our read
How past storylines here turned out
AnsweredCharlotte's head-coaching hire held for another season.
ReplacedCharlotte's defensive coordinator spot turned over again the following season. See who's next →
The story
The Offseason Ledger · Charlotte
3 verified updates · portal · recruiting · staff · news- News
WR out for season with knee injury
Brazzell was already thin depth at receiver — losing a rookie to a knee before he plays a snap tightens a room that couldn't afford it at a program already sliding in SP+.
- News
Win total (line at 2.5) — no reprice yet on "WR out for season with knee injury"
It's been 7d since "WR out for season with knee injury" and the line hasn't moved. Worth checking again in a few days to see if the books are just slow.
- News
Win total (line at 2.5) holding steady right after "WR out for season with knee injury"
"WR out for season with knee injury" landed 4d ago and the market hasn't reacted — early, but a line worth revisiting.
Transfer portal snapshot
-2.6 net portal points
(raw ledger: -14.4 — unweighted, no position adjustment)EDGE-7.0
starter risk
TE+5.7
LB-4.5
starter risk
OT-4.3
starter risk
IOL-4.2
starter risk
LS+3.0
low confidence
WR-2.5
DL+2.4
K-1.0
low confidence
P-1.0
low confidence
RB-0.6
S-0.3
CB-0.1
QB+0.0
Top 3 commits
2026 class
★★★☆☆
Jaylen White
#1211 national
Profiles like a typical incoming quarterback — 15 of his 25 closest recruiting profiles since 2018 shared the Pocket Passer archetype.~our read · projection from recruiting profile — no college snaps yet
★★★☆☆
Colin Bussey
#1523 national
★★★☆☆
Cody Taylor
#1566 national
Fan vs. market↑
52nd
Fan percentile
(FBS mood rank)
(FBS mood rank)
2.5
Vegas O/U wins
(0th among FBS)
(0th among FBS)
Fans 52pp more bullish than market implies
Win total consensus · 3 books
Market outlook
Season expectations
Win total3 booksO/U 2.5
CFP championship#134 in field+100000
AAC title#14 in market+10000
Sportsbook consensus · best odds across multiple books · 2026-08-06
Charlotte · Next-Season Outcome Band
Charlotte · Next-Season Outcome BandFloor / Base / Ceiling
Floor 3-9
Base 5-7
Ceiling 8-5
floor3-9No postseason.
base5-7No postseason.
ceiling8-5Bowl game.
Final-season-aware projection: floor / base / ceiling include conference title and CFP games where the model supports them, so a ceiling can exceed a 12-game regular season.
How the room reacted
Following now · Charlotte · Season outlook Confidence
Charlotte is near the bottom of the model. The math is the story.
Charlotte enters 2026 rated No. 134 in 2025 SP+ (-26.7), down 16 spots from 2024. SP+ describes what the program HAS done, not what it will do. The season is the field test. Preview coverage is split — believers and skeptics are reading the same data differently.
the room is genuinely split
where the takes land · dot = how loud
DOUBTBELIEF
Skeptics2 doubt takes
Believers2 bull takes
🎪 drama: simmering💬 fans: 12% volume · mostly neutral
Developing3 new this week
todayWin total (line at 2.5) — no reprice yet on "WR out for season with knee injury"
3 days agoWin total (line at 2.5) holding steady right after "WR out for season with knee injury"
last weekWR out for season with knee injury — Reported
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
Model and coverage split — that gap is the story. When the tape and the room disagree by week 4, one of them was wrong.
Next · what to watch
The non-obvious read on this rating isn't the number — it's the schedule. A team at this level has 2-3 games where the model says they're overmatched, and those are the games that define the narrative. Watch whether the model holds through the first month of the schedule.
Source of record: Charlotte enters 2026 rated No. 134 in 2025 SP+ (-26.7), down 16 spots from 2024.
How each room is reacting — tap to expand
🎪The circus“Panthers wide receiver Xavier Legette carted off the field with ” — the saga that won't quit.›
The off-field storyline driving the noise right now. Not analysis — the soap opera, and that's the point.
“Panthers wide receiver Xavier Legette carted off the field with a stinger injury at training camp”
WCCB Charlotte · 2026-08-04 · read ↗
📣Believers2 bullish items -- the case it's working.›
The 'the projection is underselling us' read -- fans betting the season beats the preview number.
“Transfers surge in Charlotte football; Coaches call for rules as ‘wild west’ grows”
Charlotte Observer · 2026-08-04 · read ↗
“Robert Lewandowski strikes twice for Chicago Fire in MLS win over Charlotte”
The Guardian · 2026-08-02 · read ↗
“Know Your Foe: Charlotte insider sees long rebuild, little chance against Ole Miss”
Know Your Foe · On3 · 2026-08-06 · read ↗
🧐Skeptics“Coaches say NC needs clearer rules as Charlotte football transfe” — the real counter.›
The 'the model has seen the tape' counter -- efficiency ratings reward what a program has actually done, not hope.
“Coaches say NC needs clearer rules as Charlotte football transfers rise (Video)”
Charlotte Observer · 2026-08-04 · read ↗
“Luke Kuechly is about to be inducted into Hall of Fame: Everything you need to know”
Charlotte Observer · 2026-08-03 · read ↗
💬The boards12% of recent board volume — the fanbase is locked in. Board mood this week: mostly neutral.›
This event was in 56 of 449 board posts (12%) over the last 60 days — a fanbase consumed by it. Fan text shown verbatim, attributed to the community not the individual poster.
"Hi, my friend and I created a website called NinerMarket, which is UNC Charlotte exclusive. This app allows you to buy, sell, and rent items such as textbooks, dorm supplies, and b"
r/UNCCharlotte ~ fan take
"Hi, Planning on setting up a UNC Charlotte poker club this fall, just wanted to gauge interest on if players wanted to participate. Thinking about hosting weekly or biweekly tourna"
r/UNCCharlotte ~ fan take
Board health this week (92 posts): 13% positive · 80% neutral · 7% negative. Team-level weekly mood — not specific to this event. The boards ≠ the fanbase: a self-selected vocal slice.
Following now · Charlotte · Developing Confidence
Charlotte: the fanbase's identity shifting.
Charlotte: the fanbase's identity shifting.
the room is genuinely split
where the takes land · dot = how loud
DOUBTBELIEF
Skeptics2 doubt takes
Believers2 bull takes
🎪 drama: simmering💬 fans: 12% volume · mostly neutral
Developing3 new this week
todayWin total (line at 2.5) — no reprice yet on "WR out for season with knee injury"
3 days agoWin total (line at 2.5) holding steady right after "WR out for season with knee injury"
last weekWR out for season with knee injury — Reported
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
Tim Albin begins his tenure at Charlotte with a 1-11 losing record to inherit, compounding the program's status as one of the weaker FBS teams.
Source of record: Charlotte: the fanbase's identity shifting.
How each room is reacting — tap to expand
🎪The circus“Panthers wide receiver Xavier Legette carted off the field with ” — the saga that won't quit.›
The off-field storyline driving the noise right now. Not analysis — the soap opera, and that's the point.
“Panthers wide receiver Xavier Legette carted off the field with a stinger injury at training camp”
WCCB Charlotte · 2026-08-04 · read ↗
📣Believers2 bullish items -- the case it's working.›
The optimistic read: momentum, and the 'this is real' takes.
“Transfers surge in Charlotte football; Coaches call for rules as ‘wild west’ grows”
Charlotte Observer · 2026-08-04 · read ↗
“Robert Lewandowski strikes twice for Chicago Fire in MLS win over Charlotte”
The Guardian · 2026-08-02 · read ↗
“Know Your Foe: Charlotte insider sees long rebuild, little chance against Ole Miss”
Know Your Foe · On3 · 2026-08-06 · read ↗
🧐Skeptics“Coaches say NC needs clearer rules as Charlotte football transfe” — the real counter.›
The analytical counter: rankings, results, and 'the hype is ahead of the tape' takes.
“Coaches say NC needs clearer rules as Charlotte football transfers rise (Video)”
Charlotte Observer · 2026-08-04 · read ↗
“Luke Kuechly is about to be inducted into Hall of Fame: Everything you need to know”
Charlotte Observer · 2026-08-03 · read ↗
💬The boards12% of recent board volume — the fanbase is locked in. Board mood this week: mostly neutral.›
This event was in 54 of 449 board posts (12%) over the last 60 days — a fanbase consumed by it. Fan text shown verbatim, attributed to the community not the individual poster.
"Hi, my friend and I created a website called NinerMarket, which is UNC Charlotte exclusive. This app allows you to buy, sell, and rent items such as textbooks, dorm supplies, and b"
r/UNCCharlotte ~ fan take
"Hi, Planning on setting up a UNC Charlotte poker club this fall, just wanted to gauge interest on if players wanted to participate. Thinking about hosting weekly or biweekly tourna"
r/UNCCharlotte ~ fan take
Board health this week (92 posts): 13% positive · 80% neutral · 7% negative. Team-level weekly mood — not specific to this event. The boards ≠ the fanbase: a self-selected vocal slice.
Recent Form · last 10 games
Hibernating
Zero of five. Reset territory.
Streak L9Last 5 · 0-5Last 10 · 1-9
The forecast
Opens Sep 5
vs The Citadel · at home
Season line2.5 winsover +120
PoorPoorBend-don't-break
✓ fact on line · ~ our read on style
Rival pulse
App State
Bullish+27
Charlotte-App State
Fan mood index · most recent r/cfb data
Recruiting Footprint · 2026
Recruiting Footprint · 2026
27
GA · 9MS · 3NC · 3AR · 2FL · 2SC · 2AZ · 1IN · 1+4 more
GA leads the 2026 class with 9 commits. National footprint reaching 12 states.
Where they recruit · 2023-2026
81 signees across 21 states, 2023-2026. GA leads the pull.
r/cfb this year
[Postgame Thread] USF Defeats Charlotte 54-26
[Postgame Thread] Appalachian State Defeats Charlotte 34-11
[Postgame Thread] Army Defeats Charlotte 24-7
Top community posts · last 12 months · r/cfb
National spotlight
7 games with TV coverage: 3 ESPN, 1 cable, 1 conference network, 2 streaming
Kickoff windows: 2 noon, 5 primetime
Penalty battle
Losing the penalty battle: 73 penalties committed vs. 51 drawn on opponents, a 60-yard deficit.
610 penalty yards committed vs. 550 drawn on opponents, 2025 season total.
The Pulse on Charlotte
53
Δ -3.4 vs last wk
92
mentions this week · conversation velocity
What moved it — fall camp · last 14 days
Camp
Fall camp open — install + scrimmage cycle
ongoing
Kickoff
Season opener in 16 days
kickoff
"Forever Niner"
— Charlotte fanbase · recurring line
Fanbase Signals
Cohort Divergence0 pctSpread between sub-fanbase cohorts in the Pulse window.
The Fever Year
Position = mood · width = volume · color = the kind of feeling
Inside the fanbase — all 9 corners
Cr/CFB
GGoogle News
UUnderdog Dynasty
CCampus paper
NNiner Nation
BBluesky
YYouTube
One voice
+0.00whole-room sentiment · even our read
Every cohort from the die-hards to the analytics crowd lands within 0.01 of each other — a rare consensus. The loudest voice in the room:
UUnderdog DynastyBeat · article
Ryder Burton looks to build on iconic upset as Uab’s QB1
underdogdynasty.com →How Charlotte fans actually talk real · top-upvoted
Rr/CFBthe room
Tulane got into Ole Miss territory SEVEN times, they had 3 points until their final drive. They had opportunities to make this more of a game
▲ 398 ▼open ↗
The crowd’s loudest take by upvotes — read for mood, not as a side. The cohort read is the measured part.
The room, end to end
skeptical
buying in
Die-hards−0.00
Bettors−0.02
Cohort sentiment is a source-weighted model read — never a quote pinned to a person.
What this fanbase keeps coming back to our read · topic model
Topics are model-labeled from Reddit — a rough signal of what this fanbase is circling right now.
327 mentions · 7 sources · week 2026-01. Counts, sources and the divergence rank are measured (fact). Cohort labels and sentiment are a source-weighted model read (our read) — never a quote attributed to a person.
Belief checklight on evidence
~ our readCharlotte fans are cautiously optimistic, with almost nothing concrete behind it yet.
backed by facts
the mood
✓ counted We read 92 posts from Charlotte fans this week.
Five Lenses
What people are saying right now
Radio, beat writers & editorial10 posts
The broader fanbase3 posts
News & campus coverage8 posts
Fanbase Health Index · Charlotte · high confidence
Fanbase Health Index · Charlotte · high confidenceStable (50)
DecliningStableGrowingSurging
On-Field — 1-11 (8% win rate)28
Volume — 843 effective signal-N89
Cohort Engagement — Divergence 0.00 — quiet35
Key stats — 2025 — FBS rank
Points/game#134 / 138 · 4th pct14.3
Pts allowed/game#132 / 138 · 5th pct36.3
Total yards/gm#132 / 136 · 4th pct285.8
Rush yards/gm#135 / 136 · 1st pct81.8
Pass yards/gm#97 / 136 · 29th pct204.0
Yards allowed/gm#130 / 136 · 5th pct472.0
Rush yds allowed/gm#119 / 136 · 13th pct200.3
Sacks#125 / 136 · 9th pct14
Interceptions#94 / 136 · 32nd pct7
3rd-down conv#111 / 136 · 19th pct34.5%
All 64 stats
Offense / Defense
Total yards
Team3430285.8/gm4.62/play#132 / 136 · 4th pct#69 / 70 · 3rd pct#14 / 14 · 7th pct#4 / 4 · 25th pct
Opp5664472.0/gm6.40/play#130 / 136 · 5th pct#69 / 70 · 3rd pct#14 / 14 · 7th pct#3 / 4 · 50th pct
Rush yards
Team98281.8/gm1.32/play#135 / 136 · 1st pct#70 / 70 · 1st pct#14 / 14 · 7th pct#4 / 4 · 25th pct
Opp2404200.3/gm2.72/play#119 / 136 · 13th pct#66 / 70 · 7th pct#12 / 14 · 21st pct#2 / 4 · 75th pct
Rush carries
Team36330.2/gm#128 / 136 · 7th pct#68 / 70 · 4th pct#13 / 14 · 14th pct#4 / 4 · 25th pct
Opp48340.2/gm#101 / 136 · 26th pct#59 / 70 · 17th pct#9 / 14 · 43rd pct#3 / 4 · 50th pct
Rush TDs
Team50.4/gm#136 / 136 · 1st pct#70 / 70 · 1st pct#14 / 14 · 7th pct#4 / 4 · 25th pct
Opp302.5/gm#126 / 136 · 8th pct#68 / 70 · 4th pct#12 / 14 · 21st pct#4 / 4 · 25th pct
Net pass yards
Team2448204.0/gm3.30/play#97 / 136 · 29th pct#56 / 70 · 21st pct#10 / 14 · 36th pct#3 / 4 · 50th pct
Opp3260271.7/gm3.68/play#124 / 136 · 10th pct#64 / 70 · 10th pct#13 / 14 · 14th pct#3 / 4 · 50th pct
Pass attempts
Team37931.6/gm#81 / 136 · 41st pct#41 / 70 · 43rd pct#10 / 14 · 36th pct#2 / 4 · 75th pct
Opp40233.5/gm#83 / 136 · 40th pct#40 / 70 · 44th pct#11 / 14 · 29th pct#4 / 4 · 25th pct
Completions
Team22518.8/gm#89 / 136 · 35th pct#53 / 70 · 26th pct#10 / 14 · 36th pct#2 / 4 · 75th pct
Opp27422.8/gm#116 / 136 · 15th pct#57 / 70 · 20th pct#11 / 14 · 29th pct#4 / 4 · 25th pct
Pass TDs
Team141.2/gm#105 / 136 · 24th pct#60 / 70 · 16th pct#11 / 14 · 29th pct#3 / 4 · 50th pct
Opp242.0/gm#116 / 136 · 15th pct#62 / 70 · 13th pct#11 / 14 · 29th pct#3 / 4 · 50th pct
Passer rating
Team122.1122.1#113 / 136 · 18th pct#64 / 70 · 10th pct#14 / 14 · 7th pct#3 / 4 · 50th pct
Opp149.5149.5#124 / 136 · 10th pct#65 / 70 · 9th pct#12 / 14 · 21st pct#3 / 4 · 50th pct
Interceptions thrown
Team131.1/gm#18 / 136 · 88th pct#7 / 70 · 91st pct#3 / 14 · 86th pct#4 / 4 · 25th pct
Opp70.6/gm#33 / 136 · 76th pct#22 / 70 · 70th pct#4 / 14 · 79th pct#1 / 4 · 100th pct
Sacks (def)
Team141.2/gm#125 / 136 · 9th pct#65 / 70 · 9th pct#13 / 14 · 14th pct#3 / 4 · 50th pct
Opp272.2/gm#87 / 136 · 37th pct#42 / 70 · 41st pct#12 / 14 · 21st pct#1 / 4 · 100th pct
Tackles for loss
Team484.0/gm#127 / 136 · 7th pct#66 / 70 · 7th pct#13 / 14 · 14th pct#4 / 4 · 25th pct
Opp726.0/gm#90 / 136 · 35th pct#50 / 70 · 30th pct#9 / 14 · 43rd pct#3 / 4 · 50th pct
First downs
Team18715.6/gm#130 / 136 · 5th pct#68 / 70 · 4th pct#14 / 14 · 7th pct#4 / 4 · 25th pct
Opp31025.8/gm#134 / 136 · 2nd pct#69 / 70 · 3rd pct#14 / 14 · 7th pct#4 / 4 · 25th pct
3rd-down conv
Team594.9/gm#107 / 136 · 22nd pct#57 / 70 · 20th pct#13 / 14 · 14th pct#2 / 4 · 75th pct
Opp685.7/gm#68 / 136 · 51st pct#42 / 70 · 41st pct#5 / 14 · 71st pct#4 / 4 · 25th pct
3rd-down att
Team17114.2/gm#75 / 136 · 46th pct#33 / 70 · 54th pct#10 / 14 · 36th pct#1 / 4 · 100th pct
Opp15613.0/gm#19 / 136 · 87th pct#11 / 70 · 86th pct#3 / 14 · 86th pct#3 / 4 · 50th pct
4th-down conv
Team110.9/gm#90 / 136 · 35th pct#49 / 70 · 31st pct#14 / 14 · 7th pct#3 / 4 · 50th pct
Opp151.2/gm#83 / 136 · 40th pct#41 / 70 · 43rd pct#3 / 14 · 86th pct#3 / 4 · 50th pct
4th-down att
Team242.0/gm#75 / 136 · 46th pct#37 / 70 · 49th pct#11 / 14 · 29th pct#3 / 4 · 50th pct
Opp262.2/gm#67 / 136 · 51st pct#33 / 70 · 54th pct#4 / 14 · 79th pct#4 / 4 · 25th pct
Time of possession
Team337:2028:07/gm#123 / 136 · 10th pct#65 / 70 · 9th pct#13 / 14 · 14th pct#4 / 4 · 25th pct
Opp382:4031:53/gm#73 / 136 · 47th pct#38 / 70 · 47th pct#10 / 14 · 36th pct#4 / 4 · 25th pct
Kicking & Punting
Field goals#87 / 135 · 36th pct9/12 (75.0%)
Extra points15/15
Punting#82 / 136 · 40th pct42.6 avg · 71 punts
Turnovers & special teams
Turnovers
Team231.9/gm#8 / 136 · 95th pct#2 / 70 · 99th pct#2 / 14 · 93rd pct#1 / 4 · 100th pct
Opp151.2/gm#49 / 136 · 65th pct#29 / 70 · 60th pct#5 / 14 · 71st pct#3 / 4 · 50th pct
Fumbles lost
Team100.8/gm#7 / 136 · 96th pct#3 / 70 · 97th pct#1 / 14 · 100th pct#1 / 4 · 100th pct
Opp80.7/gm#90 / 136 · 35th pct#52 / 70 · 27th pct#7 / 14 · 57th pct#4 / 4 · 25th pct
INT ret TDs allowed#105 / 136 · 24th pct#57 / 70 · 20th pct#11 / 14 · 29th pct#2 / 4 · 75th pct20.2/gm
INT return yards
Team1048.7/gm#79 / 136 · 43rd pct#40 / 70 · 44th pct#7 / 14 · 57th pct#2 / 4 · 75th pct
Opp23919.9/gm#126 / 136 · 8th pct#66 / 70 · 7th pct#14 / 14 · 7th pct#4 / 4 · 25th pct
Punt ret yds
Team1048.7/gm#86 / 136 · 38th pct#53 / 70 · 26th pct#7 / 14 · 57th pct#3 / 4 · 50th pct
Opp18715.6/gm#109 / 136 · 21st pct#58 / 70 · 19th pct#12 / 14 · 21st pct#3 / 4 · 50th pct
Kick ret yds
Team54845.7/gm#39 / 136 · 72nd pct#15 / 70 · 80th pct#4 / 14 · 79th pct#4 / 4 · 25th pct
Opp15813.2/gm#8 / 136 · 95th pct#6 / 70 · 93rd pct#2 / 14 · 93rd pct#1 / 4 · 100th pct
Kick ret TDs#7 / 136 · 96th pct#3 / 70 · 97th pct#1 / 14 · 100th pct10.1/gm
Penalty yards
Team61050.8/gm#95 / 136 · 31st pct#44 / 70 · 39th pct#11 / 14 · 29th pct#4 / 4 · 25th pct
Opp55045.8/gm#24 / 136 · 83rd pct#15 / 70 · 80th pct#4 / 14 · 79th pct#1 / 4 · 100th pct
Other
Penalties (opp)#6 / 136 · 96th pct#6 / 70 · 93rd pct#1 / 14 · 100th pct#1 / 4 · 100th pct514.2/gm
Kick ret (opp)#10 / 136 · 93rd pct#7 / 70 · 91st pct#2 / 14 · 93rd pct#1 / 4 · 100th pct90.8/gm
Fumbles recovered#33 / 136 · 76th pct#17 / 70 · 77th pct#5 / 14 · 71st pct#1 / 4 · 100th pct80.7/gm
Kick returns#56 / 136 · 60th pct#19 / 70 · 74th pct#7 / 14 · 57th pct#4 / 4 · 25th pct221.8/gm
Penalties#80 / 136 · 42nd pct#35 / 70 · 51st pct#9 / 14 · 43rd pct#4 / 4 · 25th pct736.1/gm
Interceptions (def)#94 / 136 · 32nd pct#48 / 70 · 33rd pct#8 / 14 · 50th pct#4 / 4 · 25th pct70.6/gm
Passes intercepted opponent#109 / 136 · 21st pct#60 / 70 · 16th pct#12 / 14 · 21st pct#1 / 4 · 100th pct131.1/gm
Punt ret (opp)#112 / 136 · 18th pct#61 / 70 · 14th pct#12 / 14 · 21st pct#3 / 4 · 50th pct211.8/gm
Punt returns#113 / 136 · 18th pct#62 / 70 · 13th pct#11 / 14 · 29th pct#4 / 4 · 25th pct100.8/gm
Fumbles rec (def)#123 / 136 · 10th pct#66 / 70 · 7th pct#13 / 14 · 14th pct#3 / 4 · 50th pct100.8/gm
Recruiting rating#135 / 138 · 3rd pct#70 / 70 · 1st pct#14 / 14 · 7th pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct38.63.2/gm
Situational
3rd-down conversion
Off34.5%#111 / 136 · 19th pct#62 / 70 · 13th pct#13 / 14 · 14th pct#2 / 4 · 75th pct
Def43.6%#116 / 136 · 15th pct#63 / 70 · 11th pct#11 / 14 · 29th pct#3 / 4 · 50th pct
4th-down conversion
Off45.8%#108 / 136 · 21st pct#59 / 70 · 17th pct#14 / 14 · 7th pct#2 / 4 · 75th pct
Def57.7%#87 / 136 · 37th pct#45 / 70 · 37th pct#7 / 14 · 57th pct#3 / 4 · 50th pct
Turnover margin#117 / 136 · 15th pct#61 / 70 · 14th pct#11 / 14 · 29th pct#2 / 4 · 75th pct-0.67/gm
Sack rate (def)#133 / 136 · 3rd pct#68 / 70 · 4th pct#14 / 14 · 7th pct#4 / 4 · 25th pct3.5%
Scheme Identity (2014– , play-by-play derived)
Havoc rate
Team10.6%10.6%#134 / 140 · 5th pct#70 / 70 · 1st pct#14 / 14 · 7th pct
Opp18.7%18.7%#130 / 140 · 8th pct#67 / 70 · 6th pct#14 / 14 · 7th pct
Efficiency
Completion %
Off59.4%#95 / 136 · 31st pct#57 / 70 · 20th pct#11 / 14 · 29th pct#2 / 4 · 75th pct
Def68.2%#131 / 136 · 4th pct#69 / 70 · 3rd pct#14 / 14 · 7th pct#3 / 4 · 50th pct
Yards / attempt
Off6.5#108 / 136 · 21st pct#60 / 70 · 16th pct#13 / 14 · 14th pct#3 / 4 · 50th pct
Def8.1#118 / 136 · 14th pct#63 / 70 · 11th pct#12 / 14 · 21st pct#3 / 4 · 50th pct
Yards / completion
Off10.9#97 / 136 · 29th pct#52 / 70 · 27th pct#10 / 14 · 36th pct#3 / 4 · 50th pct
Def11.9#93 / 136 · 32nd pct#54 / 70 · 24th pct#8 / 14 · 50th pct#2 / 4 · 75th pct
Yards / carry#134 / 136 · 2nd pct#69 / 70 · 3rd pct#14 / 14 · 7th pct#4 / 4 · 25th pct2.7
Yards / play#130 / 136 · 5th pct#68 / 70 · 4th pct#13 / 14 · 14th pct#4 / 4 · 25th pct4.62
Scoring margin#135 / 136 · 1st pct#70 / 70 · 1st pct#14 / 14 · 7th pct#11 / 11 · 9th pct-22.0/gm
FBS rankings · 2025 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs
Player stats — 2025 season
Quarterbacks
| Player | # | G | Cmp/Att | Pct | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT | Rate | QBR | Adj ANY/A | Sack% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pocket Passer · -0.16 EPA/play | 12 | 11 | 128 / 232 | 55.2 | 1415 | 6.1 | 8 | 8 | 110.9 | 23.2 | 4.1 | 9.0 | |
Yards by week → Pocket PasserBalanced passer who operates within the system, without one standout number carrying the profile. Impact starter — above-average production for the conference. 97 of 183 QBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / attempt6.6 bottom 24th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Rush yards / carry-1.8 bottom 6th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Trait fingerprint Plays like View Grayson Loftis's full player page | |||||||||||||
| Pocket Passer · +0.21 EPA/play | 15 | 4 | 64 / 96 | 66.7 | 737 | 7.7 | 4 | 2 | 140.7 | 43.1 | 7.3 | 2.0 | |
Yards by week → Pocket PasserBalanced passer who operates within the system, without one standout number carrying the profile. The most common profile in its group this season — 97 of 183 classified this way. Played in 4 of 21 games this season · junior View Conner Harrell's full player page | |||||||||||||
| -0.14 EPA/play | 1 | 6 | 33 / 51 | 64.7 | 296 | 5.8 | 2 | 3 | 114.6 | 33.5 | 3.8 | 1.9 | |
Yards by week → | |||||||||||||
Running Backs
| Player | # | G | Car | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | 3rd Dn Use | Pass Dn Use | Stuff% | 10+% | Tgt Share | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Satellite Back · -0.11 EPA/play | 6 | 11 | 74 | 260 | 3.5 | 1 | 37 | 9.3 | 8.9 | 20.3 | 8.1 | 5.7% (18/317) | |
Yards by week → Satellite BackDeployed as a receiver as much as a runner. Value is in space, not between the tackles. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 50 of 349 RBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Receiving share17.8% 83th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Yards / reception2.8 bottom 7th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Trait fingerprint Plays like View Rod Gainey Jr.'s full player page | |||||||||||||
| Workhorse · -0.15 EPA/play | 25 | 11 | 62 | 220 | 3.5 | 0 | 13 | 7.1 | 6.5 | 10.5 | 8.8 | 4.7% (15/317) | |
Yards by week → WorkhorseBuilt to take 20+ carries per game. Volume is the value. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 52 of 349 RBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Weight225 lb 90th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Rush TD rate0.0% bottom 6th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Trait fingerprint Plays like View Cameren Smith's full player page | |||||||||||||
| Balanced Back · -0.39 EPA/play | 24 | 7 | 51 | 190 | 3.7 | 0 | 21 | 7.2 | 11.1 | — | — | — | |
Yards by week → Balanced BackPlays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 186 of 349 RBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / carry3.3 bottom 4th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Rush TD rate0.0% bottom 6th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Trait fingerprint Plays like View Jariel Cobb's full player page | |||||||||||||
| Balanced Back · -0.38 EPA/play | 23 | 5 | 48 | 149 | 3.1 | 1 | 21 | 13.9 | 15 | 22 | 8 | — | |
Yards by week → Balanced BackPlays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension. 186 of 349 RBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / carry3.5 bottom 3th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Rush TD rate2.1% bottom 21th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Trait fingerprint Plays like View C.J. Stokes's full player page | |||||||||||||
Receivers
| Player | # | G | Rec | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | 3rd Dn Use | Pass Dn Use | Tgt Share | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slot Technician · +0.15 EPA/play | 9 | 12 | 60 | 740 | 12.3 | 5 | 64 | 15.8 | 15.7 | 24.9% (79/317) | |
Yards by week → Slot Technician· Boom-or-bustRuns precise routes in tight quarters. Volume player who keeps chains moving. his yards come in chunks — feast or famine All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started. 97 of 558 WRs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Reception volume60 92th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions EPA / play (adj)0.1 bottom 11th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like our readUnranked recruit — top-quartile production against his own recruiting profile | |||||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.79 EPA/play | 8 | 11 | 36 | 508 | 14.1 | 1 | 46 | 7.9 | 6.8 | 15.1% (48/317) | |
Yards by week → Possession Receiver· Money-downReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. lives on the sticks and moves the chains 332 of 558 WRs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / reception13.7 53th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions EPA / play (adj)0.8 90th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Sean Brown's full player page | |||||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.37 EPA/play | 7 | 10 | 31 | 423 | 13.6 | 4 | 62 | 7.9 | 8.4 | 13.6% (43/317) | |
Yards by week → Possession ReceiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. The most common profile in its group this season — 332 of 558 classified this way. Played in 10 of 21 games this season · senior View E. Jai Mason's full player page | |||||||||||
| Possession Receiver · -0.00 EPA/play | 88 | 9 | 14 | 134 | 9.6 | 0 | 18 | 4.5 | 7.0 | 8.5% (27/317) | |
Yards by week → Possession ReceiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. 332 of 558 WRs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / reception10.1 bottom 20th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions EPA / play (adj)-0.0 bottom 4th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Miles Burris's full player page | |||||||||||
| Complete TE · +0.24 EPA/play | 17 | 8 | 14 | 127 | 9.1 | 1 | 25 | 4.1 | 4.5 | 6.3% (20/317) | |
Yards by week → Complete TENo single go-to route — the receiving numbers show up inline and split out alike. The most common profile in its group this season — 177 of 223 classified this way. Played in 8 of 21 games this season · senior View Gus McGee's full player page | |||||||||||
| +1.41 EPA/play | 89 | 9 | 5 | 97 | 19.4 | 1 | 32 | 0 | 2.3 | — | |
Yards by week → | |||||||||||
| Complete TE · +0.41 EPA/play | — | 6 | 9 | 44 | 4.9 | 1 | 15 | 1.2 | 1.5 | — | |
Yards by week → Complete TENo single go-to route — the receiving numbers show up inline and split out alike. 177 of 223 TEs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / reception5.4 bottom 6th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions Reception volume9 bottom 14th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Joseph Bearns III's full player page | |||||||||||
Defensive Line
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | TFL | Sack | Hur |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Two-Gap Base | 32 | 11 | 31 | 11 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 4 |
Two-Gap BaseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 388 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate14.5% bottom 50th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Curtis Simpson's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 51 | 9 | 29 | 12 | 3.5 | 0 | 2 |
Two-Gap BaseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 388 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate12.1% bottom 40th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Jamarrion Solomon's full player page | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 20 | 11 | 28 | 11 | 4 | 1.5 | 5 |
3-Tech PenetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 269 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate14.3% bottom 49th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Yamil Talib's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 10 | 10 | 21 | 7 | 3.5 | 1 | 2 |
Two-Gap BaseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. 388 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate16.7% 58th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Jorel Liverpool's full player page | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 24 | 8 | 20 | 5 | 1.5 | 1 | 3 |
3-Tech PenetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. 269 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate7.5% bottom 23th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Jaylon Johnson's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 44 | 10 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 0.5 | 2 |
Two-Gap BaseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. 388 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate15.8% 55th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Braden Mullen's full player page | |||||||
| Nose Anchor | 58 | 10 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Nose AnchorThe heaviest frame on the interior. Sack production is intentionally not the point of this profile. 152 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Weight320 lb 90th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Xavier Miles's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 85 | 6 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Two-Gap BaseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. 388 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate0.0% bottom 6th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Caleb Irving's full player page | |||||||
| Nose Anchor | 97 | 8 | 13 | 4 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1 |
Nose AnchorThe heaviest frame on the interior. Sack production is intentionally not the point of this profile. 152 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Weight315 lb 87th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Jalar Holley's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 55 | 7 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Two-Gap BaseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. 388 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate0.0% bottom 6th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Cheick Kaba's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 18 | 8 | 12 | 3 | 0.5 | 0 | 1 |
Two-Gap BaseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. The most common profile in its group this season — 388 of 809 classified this way. Played in 8 of 21 games this season · senior View Zionangelo Shockley's full player page | |||||||
Linebackers
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | Ast | TFL | Sack | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sideline-to-Sideline | 40 | 12 | 74 | 46 | 28 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
Sideline-to-SidelineRanges from hash to hash and makes his own tackles. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 102 of 660 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Solo tackle rate0.6 87th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Reid Williford's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 19 | 12 | 65 | 29 | 36 | 0.5 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Balanced LinebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. The most common profile in its group this season — 362 of 660 classified this way. Played in 12 of 21 games this season · junior our readAscending: his CFB Index score now sits at the 70th percentile among FBS LBs, up from the 44th | |||||||||
| Thumper | 35 | 10 | 62 | 30 | 32 | 5.5 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
ThumperDownhill striker who fills the run lane and blitzes off the edge. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 97 of 660 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate8.9% bottom 48th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles PD rate0.0% bottom 18th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like our readFading: his CFB Index score moved from the 95th to 62nd percentile among FBS LBs | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 13 | 11 | 55 | 29 | 26 | 3.5 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Balanced LinebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. The most common profile in its group this season — 362 of 660 classified this way. Played in 11 of 21 games this season · junior View Gavin Willis's full player page | |||||||||
Defensive Backs
| Player | # | G | Tot | PD | INT | TFL | Sack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hybrid Nickel | 6 | 11 | 64 | 2 | 3 #56 FBS | 0 | 0 |
Hybrid Nickel· Takeaway threatMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. the kind of DB who takes it back the other way Starter — over 60% of the snaps, holding the job. 419 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate3.1% bottom 26th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like our readAscending: his CFB Index score went from the 38th percentile among FBS Ss to the 85th | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 43 | 12 | 58 | 2 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 |
Hybrid NickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. Starter — over 60% of the snaps, holding the job. The most common profile in its group this season — 419 of 801 classified this way. Played in 12 of 21 games this season · senior View Randy Franklin's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 12 | 11 | 49 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Hybrid NickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 419 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate0.0% bottom 14th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View CJ Clinkscales's full player page | |||||||
| Box Safety | 9 | 11 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 2.5 | 0 |
Box SafetyLives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 166 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume45 55th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Cary Grant's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 11 | 11 | 38 | 1 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 |
Hybrid NickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 419 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate2.6% bottom 24th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Dwight Bootle II's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 1 | 11 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Hybrid NickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. The most common profile in its group this season — 419 of 801 classified this way. Played in 11 of 21 games this season · senior View Caleb Curtain's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 3 | 10 | 35 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Hybrid NickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. 419 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt View Collin Gill's full player pagePD rate2.9% bottom 25th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 2 | 9 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 2.5 | 0 |
Hybrid NickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. 419 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate4.2% bottom 30th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Treyveon McGee's full player page | |||||||
| Centerfielder | 16 | 9 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
CenterfielderSingle-high range who erases the deep middle of the field. 133 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate20.0% 95th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Thailand Baldwin's full player page | |||||||
| Centerfielder | 8 | 8 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 |
CenterfielderSingle-high range who erases the deep middle of the field. 133 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate10.5% 63th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Derrick Edwards's full player page | |||||||
| 4 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| 25 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Kicking
| Player | # | G | FG M/A | FG% | XP M/A | Pts | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steady | 37 | 12 | 9/12 | 75 | 15/15 | 42 | 42 |
Kick Returns
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +1.41 EPA/play | 89 | 9 | 18 | 501 | 27.8 | 1 | 88 |
Punt Returns
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slot Technician · +0.15 EPA/play | 9 | 12 | 8 | 99 | 12.4 | 0 | 26 |
2025 stat leaders
final
2025 stat leaders
1.
Reid Williford
LB
74.0 tot (def)
2.
Kadin Schmitz
LB
65.0 tot (def)
3.
Ja'Qurious Conley
DB
64.0 tot (def)
4.
Shay Taylor
LB
62.0 tot (def)
5.
Javen Nicholas
WR
740 yds (rec)
Roster
2025
29
players carry a qualified CFB Index Score this season.
Ja'Qurious Conley
S
#82 of 544
Javen Nicholas
WR
#107 of 485
Reid Williford
LB
#132 of 583
Kadin Schmitz
LB
#198 of 583
Shay Taylor
LB
#247 of 583
Sean Brown
WR
#225 of 485
+23 more
Charlotte · 2025 schedule & results1-11Brutal slateAverage opponent win rate 60% · 4 AP top-25 opponents on the schedule.
| Wk | Date | Us | Opp | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 29 | #240 | #121 | +3 | App State (N) | L 11–34 88 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2 | Sep 6 | #225 | #108 | +15 | North Carolina | L 3–20 58 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 3 | Sep 13 | #237 | #180 | -2.5 | Monmouth | W 42–35 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 4 | Sep 18 | #234 | #95 | +2 | Rice | L 17–28 58 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| 6 | Oct 3 | #237 | #24 | +28 | @South Florida | L 26–54 97 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| 7 | Oct 11 | #235 | #83 | +17.5 | @Army | L 7–24 69 | 1-5 | 0-3 |
| 8 | Oct 18 | #225 | #79 | +9.5 | Temple | L 14–49 53 | 1-6 | 0-4 |
| 9 | Oct 24 | #238 | #63 | +25.5 | North Texas | L 20–54 78 | 1-7 | 0-5 |
| 11 | Nov 8 | #240 | #44 | +28 | @East Carolina | L 22–48 88 | 1-8 | 0-6 |
| 12 | Nov 15 | #240 | #52 | +17.5 | UTSA | L 7–28 75 | 1-9 | 0-7 |
| 13 | Nov 22 | #241 | #6 | +42.5 | @Georgia | L 3–35 75 | 1-10 | 0-7 |
| 14 | Nov 30 | #239 | #52 | +30.5 | @Tulane | L 0–27 74 | 1-11 | 0-8 |
Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, explosiveness)▼
| Date | Opp | Result | Yds | TO | TOP | EPA/play | Success% | Explosive% | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30 | @Tulane | L 0–27 | — | — | — | -0.249 | 26.5% | 100.6% | Season-low EPA/play |
| Nov 22 | @Georgia | L 3–35 | — | — | — | -0.207 | 27.7% | 83.0% | Blowout loss |
| Nov 15 | UTSA | L 7–28 | — | — | — | -0.189 | 30.5% | 112.0% | |
| Nov 8 | @East Carolina | L 22–48 | — | — | — | -0.177 | 27.3% | 177.5% | Most explosive |
| Oct 24 | North Texas | L 20–54 | — | — | — | +0.218 | 38.5% | 135.2% | Defense's roughest night |
| Oct 18 | Temple | L 14–49 | — | — | — | -0.001 | 34.0% | 142.2% | Blowout loss |
| Oct 11 | @Army | L 7–24 | — | — | — | -0.075 | 40.0% | 82.7% | |
| Oct 3 | @South Florida | L 26–54 | — | — | — | -0.046 | 35.5% | 84.1% | Blowout loss |
| Sep 18 | Rice | L 17–28 | — | — | — | +0.085 | 32.9% | 146.2% | |
| Sep 13 | Monmouth | W 42–35 | — | — | — | +0.365 | 58.9% | 122.4% | Season-high EPA/play |
| Sep 6 | North Carolina | L 3–20 | — | — | — | -0.084 | 32.9% | 118.6% | |
| Aug 29 | App State | L 11–34 | — | — | — | +0.089 | 32.2% | 154.1% | |
| Season average (12 games) | — | — | -0.023 | 34.7% | 121.6% | ||||
How They Play · 2025
How They Play · 2025Charlotte fields a struggling offense behind a porous, bend-don't-break defense.
Opponent-adjusted percentiles vs all FBS. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.
Schedule mirage
How much of Charlotte's number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 21 is -0.02; 1st percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's -0.03. The widest gap came in week 3: 0.12 raw vs. 0.01 adjusted.
Charlotte reads strongest in explosive plays allowed (top 3%) and explosive plays (top 69%); the crux lives in success rate allowed, where Charlotte sits at the 0th percentile.
offense · strengths lead
defense · higher bar = harder to play against
hidden math · special situations
ELITE · 90+STRONG · 70+AVERAGE · 40-70CONCERN · 10-40BOTTOM · <10
Most Similar Programs · Charlotte
Most Similar Programs · CharlotteReads Like
Colorado StateTier 3 · Prestige T2 · Similarly-sized rosters up frontEast CarolinaTier 3 · Prestige T2 · Similarly-sized rosters up frontFlorida InternationalTier 3 · Prestige T2 · Similarly-sized rosters up front
Static-attribute similarity across tier, archetype, conference, and voice. Not a prediction — a calibration.
Home-Field Advantage · Charlotte · 2018-present
Strong
45% home win rate vs 24% on the road. margin runs +6.5 better at home. Jerry Richardson Stadium seats 15,300, averaging 82% full (12,598 attendance, 23 games reported).
Home20-24Away11-34
Positional competition · RB room
The carries are split. The job isn’t.
Rod Gainey Jr. and Cameren Smith split the carries (73/129 vs 56/129) -- but the job isn't split the same way.
Rod Gainey Jr.Cameren Smith
Carries
the baseline -- every row below is tested against this split, not a flat 50/50
Targets
shared -- dots touch, this room really is a committee here
Top-5-carry share
concentration alone -- EPA/carry doesn't corroborate, read with caution
Screened 2 claims, 0 survived, 2 falsified
Positional competition · WR/TE room
The targets are split. The job isn’t.
Javen Nicholas (WR) and Gus McGee (TE) split the targets (78/97 vs 19/97) -- but the job isn't split the same way.
Javen NicholasGus McGee
Targets
the baseline -- every row below is tested against this split, not a flat 50/50
3rd-down targets
shared -- dots touch, this room really is a committee here
Garbage-time share
shared -- dots touch, this room really is a committee here
Top-5-catch share
concentration alone -- EPA/target doesn't corroborate, read with caution
Screened 3 claims, 0 survived, 3 falsified
Venue texture
71°F average kickoff temp; 8% of games had measurable precipitation; 6 mph average wind.
Based on 62 home games with weather data.
The CFP Era
12 seasons inside the CFP era, no bids yet — the era the program is still trying to break into.
TRAJECTORY · quality-score line · AP rank dotted · CFP bids marked · coach regimes ribboned
Program Quality
AP Rank (inverted)
CFP Appearance
Charlotte's 2014–2025 record is 43-95. The era is still being written; the CFP line is the one the program is arguing for.
All-Time Record
48-102
since 2013 · 13 seasons · .320 win rate
HOME
26-42
AWAY
19-55
NEUTRAL
3-5
2010s
2020s
The program, in full — read the essay
Charlotte's football program turned 13 years old in 2026. It went 1-11 last season. It also went to a bowl in just its seventh year of existence. The whole story of the 49ers is about whether a program this young can build fast enough to outrun the evidence that it hasn't yet.
Football didn't exist at Charlotte until 2013. That sentence is the entire context for everything that follows. The program was built in a purpose-built stadium partly funded by Panthers owner Jerry Richardson, jumped to FBS by 2015, and adopted 'Forever Niner' as its identity — tied to the city's gold-rush history, a brand constructed rather than inherited. In 2019, in just its seventh year of play, Charlotte went 7-6 and earned a Bahamas Bowl bid. That is still the high-water mark, and it came before the program had accumulated a decade of history.
Tim Albin arrived from Ohio — where he had just won a MAC championship — and went 1-11 in his debut, 0-8 in the American. That scoreline reveals the gap between MAC-champion pedigree and what a young program with a thin roster can actually sustain. Albin returns for year two in 2026 with a portal-heavy roster and a mandate that looks simple: win enough to prove the floor is not 2025. The 49ers have no conference title, no decorated alumni, and no decade of tradition to point to. What they have is the fastest-growing major city in the Carolinas, a purpose-built venue, and a coach who has won at a lower level and needs to prove he can translate it.
The 2026 question isn't about a ceiling — it's about a floor. Charlotte is a program that doesn't know yet what its base level of competitiveness is. That's the real question a season in the American answers: not whether the 49ers can win the conference, but whether they can identify what kind of program they actually are.
How they play
Startup football — a program without a settled identity on the field, relying on portal-built rosters and year-to-year scheme adjustments that reflect the roster available rather than a fixed philosophy. Albin's MAC background is ground-game and physical-line football; translating that to a Charlotte roster built on transfers requires a continuity of personnel he hasn't had yet. Jerry Richardson Stadium is one of the newest venues in FBS, which makes it an asset rather than a drag. The 49ers are still assembling the cultural habits a winning program runs on.
Steady
Charlotte 2016–2025. Holding the line. The 10-year slope (-0.04 rungs / yr) doesn't tilt either way — the program lives at roughly Tier 1.
CFP Era · Charlotte
12 seasons on file
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
down middle peak CFP year
Season Standing · 2025 · 1-11
Season Standing · 2025 · 1-11FBS sub-.500
Charlotte: Below .500 in FBS play. The rebuild bar.
R0R1R2R3R4R5R6R7R8R9
Sub-FBSBuildingBowlRankedContenderPlayoff
American Athletic Standing · 2025
14th in the American Athletic
Charlotte is 14th of 14 in the American Athletic at 0-8. The path to the title is steep — the focus is on bowl access and rivalry wins.
| # | Program | Record |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Navy | 8-1 |
| 2 | Tulane | 8-1 |
| 3 | North Texas | 7-2 |
| 4 | East Carolina | 6-2 |
| 5 | South Florida | 6-2 |
| 6 | Memphis | 4-4 |
| 7 | UTSA | 4-4 |
| 8 | Army | 4-5 |
| 9 | Florida Atlantic | 3-5 |
| 10 | Temple | 3-5 |
| 11 | Rice | 2-6 |
| 12 | UAB | 2-6 |
| 13 | Tulsa | 1-7 |
| 14 | Charlotte | 0-8 |
Coaching Era · Charlotte
Coaching Era · CharlotteTim Albin
Tim Albin in year 2 of the rebuild. The methodology is taking shape.
Era Tim Albin · 2025–presentPrev: Biff Poggi (2023–2024)OC: Todd FitchPrev OC: Mike Miller (2023–2024)DC: Nate FaanesPrev DC: co-Kurt Mattix / Nate Faanes (2025)
2
years · era
Rituals
Three gameday rituals — the ones outsiders never quite catch.
2013 Program Founding
since 2013
Charlotte football began in 2013 — one of the most-recent FBS-level program creations. The program played FCS independent 2013-2014, FBS independent 2015, then C-USA 2016, then AAC 2023. The Brad Lambert founding era + rapid ascent + 2019 first bowl appearance complete the founding decade.
Jerry Richardson Stadium
since 2013
Jerry Richardson Stadium (built 2013 simultaneously with the football program) — Charlotte's dedicated football venue with 15,300 capacity expandable to 40,000 — anchors the post-founding era. The on-campus location + modern construction + corporate naming (Carolina Panthers owner) create a unique purpose-built venue identity.
Program memory
What this program never forgets
Most weeks vanish. These didn’t.
2013
First football game
Charlotte plays its inaugural game, a program born from nothing
2019
First bowl bid
A 7-6 season earns a Bahamas Bowl berth in only the seventh year of football
Moment of the Year · Charlotte · 2025
Moment of the Year · Charlotte · 2025Lost 3-35 at Georgia
Week 13 of 2025. A reckoning loss — the data point the next season must answer.
Bowl / Postseason Ledger
Bowl / Postseason LedgerRecent postseason (2019): 0-1
Most recent: 2019 — loss 9-31 (home). Last 5 postseason: 0-1.
2019
NFL Draft Pipeline
2023–2023
NFL Draft PipelineThin
1 picks last 5 cycles. Roster development still maturing.
1
picks · 0 R1
#256
Grant DuBose
Wide Receiver · 2023 · Green Bay · #58/488 final season
Unit lineage
Charlotte’s offense and defense, by coordinator
FBS-relative efficiency percentile per season (2014–2025), same population as the Coordinator Mirror board. Dashed vertical lines mark a coordinator change.
Offense2015–2025
2015–2017 · Jeff Mullen2018 · Shane Montgomery2019 · Alex Atkins2020–2022 · Mark Carney2023–2024 · Mike Miller2025 (ongoing) · Todd Fitch
Defense2015–2025
2015–2017 · Matt Wallerstedt2018 · co-Glenn Spencer / co-Chip West2019–2021 · co-Brandon Cooper / co-Marcus West2022 · Greg Brown2023–2024 · Ryan Osborn2025 · co-Kurt Mattix / Nate Faanes
Hired for 2026: Nate Faanes — not yet reflected in on-field data.
Elite (≥70th pct)AveragePoor (≤30th pct)
Chronicle Visuals
A heavy-turnover 2025: 24% returning (below average), with the qb room the biggest question.
The portal upgraded the RB room but opened a hole at OT.
Charlotte converts recruit talent into draft picks better than its class rank suggests.
r/cfb moments
503
[Postgame Thread] USF Defeats Charlotte 54-26
238
[Postgame Thread] Appalachian State Defeats Charlotte 34-11
118
[Postgame Thread] Appalachian State Defeats Charlotte 56-41
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