cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Adam Hopkins /Charlotte

Adam Hopkins

WR · Charlotte · So · #14

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

23 REC YDS · 1 REC · 0 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Charlotte for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Charlotte for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Wide receiver · Charlotte

Returning around him

  • 24% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • Transfer portal: -8 net (19 in / 27 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Charlotte · Last season: 1-11 · Talent rank #108 · 2026 recruiting class #135

WR · CHARLOTTE · AMERICAN ATHLETIC

Adam Hopkins

  • 2
  • #14
  • 6-0 | 180 lb
  • Thomasville, GA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

22

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / catch at the 99th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#4907

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R03 · Backup

Backup. On the two-deep, pushing for snaps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2024–2025
8.02024
23.02025

+188%

Up 188% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#267 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class2
Jersey14
Measurements6-0 | 180 lb
HometownThomasville, GA
Primary teamCharlotte

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 267 recruit
Composite rating 0.9105 HighSchool
Signed with Colorado 2023
Origin Thomas County Central Thomasville, GA, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 4-star | 0.9105 No. 267 recruit | HighSchool | Colorado

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#4907Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#5551Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Colorado

Composite

0.9105

#267 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Adam Hopkins

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Adam Hopkins

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Scenario Explorer

Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Adam Hopkins's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Charlotte, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #4907 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 1.7% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 267 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 1 0 rec TD | #973/1110 (12th pct)
Receiving yards 23 23.0 per catch | #905/1107 (18th pct)
Scrimmage yards 23 Total offensive yardage | #905/1107 (18th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Big-play receiver against FBS receiving peers.

Big-play receiver

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
1 12th
YDS
23 18th
YPR
23.0 96th
TD
0 45th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 1 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 12L 7-28vs UTSA12323.0023Season-high 23 yds
Total12323.0023
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Colorado4-8HC: Deion Sanders · Pass-leaning
2024Charlotte5-7HC: Biff Poggi · Balanced, slow tempo
2025Charlotte1-11HC: Tim Albin · Balanced, slow tempo
SeasonTeam
2025Charlotte12323.00--
2024Charlotte382.70--
2023Colorado----------
Career3 loaded seasons4317.80--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 1.7% 3.2% pass-game share | #1014/1137 (11th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 0 Across offense and returns | #615/1111 (45th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 1 #973/1110 12th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 23 #905/1107 18th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #615/1111 45th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 23.0 #44/1106 96th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 3.2% #1014/1137 11th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 23 #708/1105 36th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 6.7% #483/1137 58th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 2.6% #751/1137 34th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage Role share 1.7% #997/1137 12th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 0.0% #1017/1137 11th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 0.0% #993/1137 13th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 0.0% #1009/1137 11th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.0% #391/1137 66th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 1 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home1g1.023.023.00.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Losses1g1.023.023.00.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 8+1g1.023.023.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

22Below cohort
5 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: yards / catch (99th). Concern: receptions (0th).

Yards / catch#5 / 558 · 99th pct
23.0rece
Rec TDs#482 / 558 · 7th pct
0rece
Long catch#518 / 558 · 7th pct
23rece
Rec yards#559 / 558 · 0th pct
23rece
Receptions#559 / 558 · 0th pct
1rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Adam HopkinsCharlotteMichael Jackson IIIPurdue· 34% simTrent WalkerOregon State· 32% simNik McMillanBuffalo· 32% sim
Yards / catch
99
Hopkins
9
III
40
Walker
84
McMillan
Rec TDs
7
Hopkins
24
III
42
Walker
57
McMillan
Long catch
7
Hopkins
16
III
39
Walker
65
McMillan
Rec yards
0
Hopkins
70
III
89
Walker
96
McMillan
Receptions
0
Hopkins
92
III
95
Walker
90
McMillan

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Tim Albin

Pass share

51.4%

379 pass / 358 run

Plays / game

61.4

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

8.9%

302 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced, slow tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

2 coaches
2023
Biff Poggi
Charlotte
2024
Biff Poggi
Charlotte
2025
Tim Albin
Charlotte
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Biff Poggi → Tim Albin. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownThomasville, GA
Height6'0"
Weight180 lb
Class2
PositionWR
Jersey14

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Charlotte WR2 #4907 #5551 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | American Athletic
2023 Colorado WR2 #4597 #4851 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Pac-12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Charlotte American Athletic WR 2 No. 14 | 6-0 | 180 lb | Thomasville, GA
2024 Charlotte American Athletic WR 2 No. 14 | 6-0 | 180 lb | Thomasville, GA
2023 Colorado Pac-12 WR 2 No. 14 | 6-0 | 180 lb | Thomasville, GA