The Zeitgeist List · coaching

Deion Sanders

Followed Karl Dorrell. Deion Sanders held Colorado at Regional Program III for 4 seasons.

16–21
2023–now · 1 stint
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In his own words

God, we rushed for 183 yards? My god, they rushed for 51? I thought we were small
FOX Sports · · the day of Colorado's 2026 opener
That's something I've been suggesting for quite some time
FOX Sports
We wanted to go somewhere away that was significant, not around the corner like 30 minutes, 45 minutes
FOX Sports
Well, I was thankful not to go through many because of this game called baseball
FOX Sports
This is not to demean any of the former coaches, but this is the best staff I've had ever in my coaching career, from youth football all the way up
FOX Sports
I'm loving everything I've seen in the spring
FOX Sports
If I pull my shirt up, I'm not scarred, it's not flawed. I'm not embarrassed by anything that transpired. I'm elated by everything that transpired
FOX Sports
It got me back in the game, got me back on my feet and got me out of the darn hospital and back into the normalcy of my life
FOX Sports
I'd be a fool to be blessed the way I was blessed and not sound alarms
FOX Sports
He's on vacation but he's going to the hills in St. Croix right now doing gassers
FOX Sports
I just want him to be happy. I can't tell those coaches how to coach and Travis what he's gifted to do. I just want him happy; that's all I want.
FOX Sports
Last year was terrible for everybody, but it was good
Heartland College Sports
Last year, he didn’t really micromanage a lot. Now he’s involved in everything
Heartland College Sports
Don’t wear your old team’s gear in this facility
Heartland College Sports

Career arc

His real stature score, season by season, across every program he’s coached — so a stretch that stays in one tier the whole way can still climb or sink on the line, not just flatten out. Node color marks the tier reached. Which program a stretch belongs to is carried by the shaded lane behind it.

Stature score reached, by season of his head-coaching careerCOLORADORegional Programthe building-block levelColorado, 2023: 4-8, Regional Program IV2023Colorado, 2024: 9-4, Regional Program III2024Colorado, 2025: 3-9, Regional Program II2025Colorado, 2026: in progress, Regional Program II2026+2.2One point per coached season, in career order; dashed segments are program changes — spacing is not proportional to calendar time

Reached Regional Program in his 1st career season — faster than 20% of the 925 FBS coaches who have ever reached Regional Program (rank #1 of 925 by seasons-to-arrival).

Colorado, 4 seasons (active)
+2.2
Regional Program IV → Regional Program II.

Style position and drift

Where each stint’s offense sat between run-first and pass-first, and how far it moved from one season to the next. The band is that stint’s real season-to-season range, not a fixed-width box.

40%50%60%Colorado2023–2026▼ 15.4pt
Pass rate — share of offensive plays that were pass attemptsfirst covered seasonmost recent covered seasonfull season-to-season range (3+ covered seasons)
How much that is, against every other stint

Season-to-season pass-rate range for all 258 FBS coaching stints with at least three covered seasons, 2014–2025.

Typical stint7.010.2 median13.9middle half of all stints
Colorado17.5pt#23 of 258 · more than most

The big-game ledger

How he does in the games that matter most — rivalry record, performance broken out by real opponent tier, one-score games, and his toughest historical matchup.

4–2 against his rivals.

Rivalry record
4–2
66.7% · 3 rivals
One-score games
6–8
42.9% · margin ≤8
Buyout owed
$33,625,000 (est.)
bigger than 81% of FBS buyouts
Rivalry ledger
Nebraska1–150%
Utah1–150%
Performance by opponent class
Power Program
2–6 25.0%
National Program
10–12 45.5%
Regional Program
4–1 80.0%

His own effect, isolated

A statistical estimate of this coach’s contribution to team performance, separated from that season’s roster talent, returning production, and his coordinators — pooled across his whole head-coaching career.

Offense marginal impact
-0.10
#201 of 319 · a typical amount
Defense marginal impact
-0.06
#204 of 325 · a typical amount

Model fit as of 2026-09-04.

What fans are saying

Fan claims · every quote verified verbatim

job securityOne fan's take

One fan thinks Deion Sanders is being criticized more than other coaches for similar actions

Let's be honest we can all name several coaches and Universities who are terrible..But to just focus on Deion and Colorado shows me something about you... Colorado is much better. They were 1-11... has he been 4 years yet? We give other coaches time but for some reason we don't give it to him.

Based on 1 comment from 1 poster across 1 thread · Jul 11, 2026 · via ESPN College Football

Show all 2
coaching decisionOne fan's take that season

One fan criticizes Deion for running out the clock too early

Deion's clock management is still a fucking nightmare 3 seasons in. This was inexcusable at the start of last season. Actually insane it has not improved at all

Based on 1 comment from 1 poster across 1 thread · Aug 30, 2025 · via CFB

Coaching career

2023–now
Coloradocaretaker
Regional Program III → Regional Program III
Deion Sanders held Colorado at Regional Program III for 4 seasons.

19th-best Colorado tenure of 20 by the numbers.

Recruiter or developer?

Underperforms his recruiting talent on offense and performs about as expected for his recruiting talent on defense.

Offense vs. talent
-19.2 pts
#176 of 208 · less than most
Defense vs. talent
-9.6 pts
#144 of 208 · a typical amount
Recruiting talent is team-wide (no offense/defense split exists in the source data) -- both sides are scored against the same talent input, only the outcome is side-specific.

Followed Karl Dorrell (2020–2022).

Season2023202420252026Trend
Record & result
Record4–89–43–90–0
PostseasonL bowl
Recruiting rank#29#81#37#67
Style — pass rate
Pass rate57.059.145.641.6
Coordinators
OCSean Lewis / Pat ShurmurPat ShurmurPat ShurmurBrennan Marion
DCCharles KellyRobert LivingstonRobert LivingstonChris Marve
Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile
Offense32741146
Defense17913682
Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script (2021+ only)
1st-down pass%60.757.939.856.6
Red-zone pass%64.257.938.829.4
4th-down go%opp. territory28.942.436.8
Roster construction · portal era

A portal-built roster.

Portal arrivals
164
3.1★ avg rating
Portal departures
172
left via the portal
Net portal flow
-8
#2 of 187 FBS stints
Notable portal arrivals with a modeled NIL value
DeAndre Moore Jr. On3 modeled · $1,000,000
On3’s modeled estimate (social reach / exposure), not money actually paid — shown per player, never totaled.
Who they bring in

Typical size for position, once adjusted for position mix.

Recruits older, more experienced transfers than most.

Avg. size (raw)
6′2″, 241 lbs
across 131 of 164 arrivals — unadjusted for position mix
Size vs. position-typical
+4.7 lbs
#99 of 255 · a typical amount
Avg. class year
Sr
#43 of 255 · more than most
Top states: TX (28), FL (18), GA (17), CA (7), OH (5)
Who won the portal our read
Talent added
63.1
position-weighted
Talent lost
62.1
position-weighted
Net
+0.9
arrivals minus departures
Best addition: Shedeur Sanders (QB) from Jackson State
Biggest loss: Brendon Lewis (QB) to Nevada
Position-value-weighted (QB/CB weighted highest, depth-decayed within each position) — the same scoring engine as the Portal Heat feed, not a separate grade.
Does the system survive a coordinator change?
OC: Sean Lewis / co-Pat Shurmur → Pat Shurmur · 2024
32nd pct74th pct0th100th
1-season window either side — numbers shown, not enough to badge a verdict.
1st-down pass rate: 60.7% → 57.9% (-2.8 pts)
Confound, shown not hidden: only 66% of offensive production returned the year the coordinator changed — the roster turned over at the same time, not just the play-caller.
OC: Pat Shurmur → Brennan Marion · 2026
11th pct46th pct0th100th
1-season window either side — numbers shown, not enough to badge a verdict.
1st-down pass rate: 39.8% → 56.6% (+16.8 pts)
Confound, shown not hidden: only 14% of offensive production returned the year the coordinator changed — the roster turned over at the same time, not just the play-caller.
DC: Charles Kelly → Robert Livingston · 2024
17th pct91st pct0th100th
1-season window either side — numbers shown, not enough to badge a verdict.
DC: Robert Livingston → Chris Marve · 2026
36th pct82nd pct0th100th
1-season window either side — numbers shown, not enough to badge a verdict.
Roster size, by position
Skill positions · usage-weighted (real participation)
Quarterback
206 lbs
6′2″ avg · #571 of 767 · a typical amount
Running back
201 lbs
5′10″ avg · #606 of 791 · less than most
Wide receiver
187 lbs
6′1″ avg · #642 of 791 · less than most
Trench & secondary · recruited roster, not confirmed starters
Interior line
321 lbs
6′5″ avg · #44 of 779 · more than most
D-line
283 lbs
6′3″ avg · #408 of 753 · a typical amount
Linebacker
230 lbs
6′2″ avg · #330 of 772 · a typical amount
Cornerback
193 lbs
6′1″ avg · #225 of 771 · a typical amount
Safety
199 lbs
6′1″ avg · #129 of 346 · a typical amount
Offensive-line size is one undifferentiated bucket — the source data almost never distinguishes tackle from guard from center, so we can't split them out.
Where the roster comes from, by position
Buys Edge via the portal
88%
#6 of 208 stints
Buys ATH via the portal
33%
#8 of 146 stints
Postseason detail2024: Lost to BYU 14–36 Valero Alamo Bowl

4 NFL Draft picks: Travis Hunter (2025), Shedeur Sanders (2025), LaJohntay Wester (2025), Jimmy Horn Jr. (2025)

2 player-seasons honored (All-America / national award): Travis Hunter (2023), Travis Hunter (2024)

AI Narratives — “Colorado — stat check” and 4 more on the team page.

16–21