The Zeitgeist List · coaching

Kyle Whittingham

Kyle Whittingham raised Utah from National Program II to Power Program II.

177–88
2004–now · 2 stints
← all coaches

In his own words

In the run game, the QB read aspect of it wasn’t quite as sharp as we need it to be
This game will go down in Michigan history
FOX Sportsthe day after the 13–12 opener
He's our QB right now, and it's not something that's infinite
FOX Sports2 days after the 13–12 opener
Well, I guess they have this Hawkeye system? I was unaware of that
FOX Sports2 days after the 13–12 opener
It's not just Bryce's job that is not absolutely set in concrete
FOX Sports2 days after the 13–12 opener
We have a ton of work to do
FOX Sports2 days after the 13–12 opener
Hey, hang in there, keep competing
The Michigan Dailythe day after the 13–12 opener
The extra second was huge
FOX Sportsthe day after the 13–12 opener
I liken it to Christmas morning
The Michigan Dailythe day before the opener
Everything seems to work in concert with each other
The Michigan Dailythe day before the opener
We still feel that way
The Michigan Daily4 days before the opener
(He) hasn’t lost a thing
The Michigan Daily4 days before the opener
Marshall … had some struggles in the spring, some things that I wasn’t real pleased with off the field
The Michigan Daily4 days before the opener
He’s one of the best pass rushers on the team, if not the best pure pass rusher
The Michigan Daily4 days before the opener
I hate depth charts
The Michigan Daily8 days before the opener
With Lane Kiffin I think that’s a good concept, we have to have a salary cap
The Michigan Daily
We see Bryce every day, we know what he knows, where he’s at and where we need him to get and the time and effort he’s putting into everything
The Michigan Daily
(Hate is) a strong word, but I want to win that game as bad as anybody in Ann Arbor
The Michigan Daily
Would we have a better chance to win if I hated them?
The Michigan Daily
There’s periods in practice or the weight room that it’s talked about
The Michigan Daily
Nathaniel Staehling is instinctive, he reminds me of some of the backers you’ve seen in the NFL
The Michigan Daily
It’s been really good to have him on the field
The Michigan Daily
So, those three guys right there are probably the top three as far as putting pressure on the quarterback
On3
We’ve probably got 5 or 6 that are really playing at a high level
On3
When all’s said and done, we want about seven guys that we feel confident we can put in the game
The Michigan Daily
Jamie Ffrench is starting to come into his own
The Michigan Daily
The offensive line is starting to take shape
The Michigan Daily
Babalola is doing a nice job out there
The Michigan Daily
We got to get the five best football players out there
The Michigan Daily
We get around 10 practices under our belt
The Michigan Daily
We had all these real tall, long, good-looking athletes, but the strength wasn’t there
The Michigan Daily
Bryce will have a lot more confidence in his O-line this year
The Michigan Daily
You watched the tape last year and (Underwood) was running for his life quite often
The Michigan Daily
He’’d be the quarterback of the whole secondary
The Michigan Daily
We feel that we have five or six guys, four for sure, that could roll through there and win games for us
The Michigan Daily
Hate's a strong word
News Google
Little thin in the secondary as far as guys that have accumulated a lot of reps
Maizenbrew
You want your quarterback to be confident, and if that’s his belief and feel, that’s great, I have no problem with that
The Michigan Daily
Urban Meyer was a huge influence on me in terms of my head coaching philosophy
The Michigan Daily
When you coach guys for a couple of years, you get to know your personnel and what to expect
The Michigan Daily
With NIL raising 20, 30 or 40% a year, it’s not sustainable to stay on the path we’re on right now
The Michigan Daily
You better have the vision of winning Big Ten championships and competing for national championships
News Google
He's got a tremendously high ceiling and he wants to be great
News Google
I stepped down and wasn’t sure if there was going to be more to the career or not
Heartland College Sports

Career arc

His real stature score, season by season, across every program he’s coached — so a stretch that stays in one tier the whole way can still climb or sink on the line, not just flatten out. Node color marks the tier reached. Which program a stretch belongs to is carried by the shaded lane behind it.

Reached Blue Blood in his 23rd career season — faster than 2% of the 100 FBS coaches who have ever reached Blue Blood (rank #98 of 100 by seasons-to-arrival).

Utah, 22 seasons (active)
+16.8
Power Program III → Power Program II.

Style position and drift

Where each stint’s offense sat between run-first and pass-first, and how far it moved from one season to the next. The band is that stint’s real season-to-season range, not a fixed-width box.

40%50%Utah2004–2025▼ 0.7ptMichigan2026–2026– 0.0pt
Pass rate — share of offensive plays that were pass attemptsfirst covered seasonmost recent covered seasonfull season-to-season range (3+ covered seasons)
How much that is, against every other stint

Season-to-season pass-rate range for all 258 FBS coaching stints with at least three covered seasons, 2014–2025.

Typical stint7.010.2 median13.9middle half of all stints
Utah11.8pt#95 of 258 · a typical amount

The big-game ledger

How he does in the games that matter most — rivalry record, performance broken out by real opponent tier, one-score games, and his toughest historical matchup.

20–8 against his rivals. Just 2–6 against Chris Petersen.

Rivalry record
20–8
71.4% · 2 rivals
One-score games
51–42
54.8% · margin ≤8
vs. Blue Blood or better
1–4
20.0%
Rivalry ledger
BYU11–569%
Colorado9–375%
The toughest matchup
8 meetings, 2006–2019
’06 L’10 L’15 W · erased a 3-pt deficit’16 L · blew a 3-pt lead’17 L · blew a 7-pt lead’18 L’18 L’19 W · erased a 11-pt deficit
25% win rate across a real, 8-meeting series — short of the bar this site uses before badging a series “Nemesis.” Shown here as the toughest matchup on record, not an algorithmic crown.
Performance by opponent class
Blue Blood
1–4 20.0%
Power Program
33–34 49.3%
National Program
46–31 59.7%
Regional Program
60–14 81.1%

His own effect, isolated

A statistical estimate of this coach’s contribution to team performance, separated from that season’s roster talent, returning production, and his coordinators — pooled across his whole head-coaching career.

Offense marginal impact
+0.10
#106 of 319 · a typical amount
Defense marginal impact
+0.45
#18 of 325 · more than most

Model fit as of 2026-09-04.

What fans are saying

Fan claims · every quote verified verbatim

scheme identityOne fan's take that season

One fan believes Scalley's defense gives up too many points

Scalley didn’t study this week, that’s for sure. Why is every LB playing right above the Center? Cincy lives on outside runs!

Based on 1 comment from 1 poster across 1 thread · Nov 2, 2025 · via CFB

Coaching career

2026–now
Michigan
too new to grade yet

6th-best Michigan tenure of 13 by the numbers.

Followed Sherrone Moore (2024–2025).

Roster construction · portal era

A typical amount of portal roster-building.

Portal arrivals
17
3.2★ avg rating
Portal departures
33
left via the portal
Net portal flow
-16
#57 of 187 FBS stints
Notable portal arrivals with a modeled NIL value
John Henry Daley On3 modeled · $2,000,000
On3’s modeled estimate (social reach / exposure), not money actually paid — shown per player, never totaled.
Who they bring in

Brings in smaller-than-position-typical players than most.

Recruits younger transfers than most — more of a development bet.

Avg. size (raw)
6′2″, 222 lbs
across 12 of 17 arrivals — unadjusted for position mix
Size vs. position-typical
+0.1 lbs
#230 of 255 · less than most
Avg. class year
Jr
#224 of 255 · less than most
Top states: UT (4), FL (2), QLD (1), TX (1), HI (1)
Who won the portal our read
Talent added
51.5
position-weighted
Talent lost
58.9
position-weighted
Net
-7.4
arrivals minus departures
Best addition: Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi (QB) from Colorado State
Biggest loss: Jake Garcia (QB) to the portal
Position-value-weighted (QB/CB weighted highest, depth-decayed within each position) — the same scoring engine as the Portal Heat feed, not a separate grade.
Where the roster comes from, by position
Buys Linebacker via the portal
67%
#23 of 225 stints
Grows Edge from high school
75%
#165 of 208 stints
Grows Tackle from high school
100%
#198 of 223 stints

6 NFL Draft picks: Derrick Moore (2026), Marlin Klein (2026), Jaishawn Barham (2026), Jimmy Rolder (2026), Max Bredeson (2026), Rayshaun Benny (2026)

1 player-season honored (All-America / national award): John Henry Daley (2026)

0–0
2004–now
Utahbuilder
National Program II → Power Program II
Kyle Whittingham raised Utah from National Program II to Power Program II.

1st-best Utah tenure of 13 by the numbers.

Recruiter or developer?

Performs about as expected for his recruiting talent on offense and outperforms his recruiting talent on defense.

Offense vs. talent
-4.3 pts
#131 of 208 · a typical amount
Defense vs. talent
+25.1 pts
#18 of 208 · more than most
Recruiting talent is team-wide (no offense/defense split exists in the source data) -- both sides are scored against the same talent input, only the outcome is side-specific.
Season2004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025Trend
Record & result
Record1–07–58–59–413–010–310–38–55–75–79–410–39–47–69–511–33–210–410–48–55–71–0
PostseasonW bowlW bowlW bowlW bowlCFP lossCFP lossL bowlL bowlL bowlW bowl
Recruiting rank#66#45#37#33#33#42#29#33#34#20#59#40
Style — pass rate
Pass rate40.138.141.244.842.035.245.142.444.336.947.039.4
Coordinators
OCDave ChristensenAaron Roderick / Jim HardingAaron Roderick / Jim HardingTroy TaylorTroy TaylorAndy LudwigAndy LudwigAndy LudwigAndy LudwigAndy LudwigAndy LudwigJason Beck
DCKalani SitakeJohn PeaseMorgan ScalleyMorgan ScalleyMorgan ScalleyMorgan ScalleyMorgan ScalleyMorgan ScalleyMorgan ScalleyMorgan ScalleyMorgan ScalleyMorgan Scalley
Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile
Offense482050522386309090181097
Defense718661759292878876729366
Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script (2021+ only)
1st-down pass%38.934.038.541.035.339.845.741.948.040.346.037.1
Red-zone pass%36.222.228.640.938.231.335.241.737.832.141.427.6
4th-down go%opp. territory14.935.331.517.832.645.047.645.951.250.032.746.4
Roster construction · portal era

A typical amount of portal roster-building.

Portal arrivals
54
3.2★ avg rating
Portal departures
109
left via the portal
Net portal flow
-55
#116 of 187 FBS stints
Notable portal arrivals with a modeled NIL value
John Henry Daley On3 modeled · $2,000,000Devon Dampier On3 modeled · $2,000,000Wayshawn Parker On3 modeled · $1,000,000
On3’s modeled estimate (social reach / exposure), not money actually paid — shown per player, never totaled.
Who they bring in

Brings in smaller-than-position-typical players than most.

Recruits younger transfers than most — more of a development bet.

Avg. size (raw)
6′2″, 212 lbs
across 51 of 54 arrivals — unadjusted for position mix
Size vs. position-typical
+1.3 lbs
#200 of 255 · less than most
Avg. class year
Jr
#202 of 255 · less than most
Top states: CA (15), TX (6), UT (6), WA (3), FL (3)
Who won the portal our read
Talent added
57.7
position-weighted
Talent lost
59.5
position-weighted
Net
-1.8
arrivals minus departures
Best addition: Devon Dampier (QB) from New Mexico
Biggest loss: Peter Costelli (QB) to Troy
Position-value-weighted (QB/CB weighted highest, depth-decayed within each position) — the same scoring engine as the Portal Heat feed, not a separate grade.
Does the system survive a coordinator change?
OC: Dave Christensen → co-Aaron Roderick / co-Jim Harding · 2015
48th pct20th pct0th100th
1-season window either side — numbers shown, not enough to badge a verdict.
1st-down pass rate: 38.9% → 34.0% (-4.8 pts)
Confound, shown not hidden: only 73% of offensive production returned the year the coordinator changed — the roster turned over at the same time, not just the play-caller.
OC: co-Aaron Roderick / co-Jim Harding → Troy Taylor · 2017the system held
35th pct38th pct0th100th
2-season window either side.
1st-down pass rate: 36.3% → 38.1% (+1.8 pts)
Confound, shown not hidden: only 55% of offensive production returned the year the coordinator changed — the roster turned over at the same time, not just the play-caller.
OC: Troy Taylor → Andy Ludwig · 2019the offense improved
38th pct58th pct0th100th
2-season window either side.
1st-down pass rate: 38.1% → 42.7% (+4.6 pts)
Confound, shown not hidden: only 95% of offensive production returned the year the coordinator changed — the roster turned over at the same time, not just the play-caller.
DC: Kalani Sitake → John Pease · 2015
71st pct86th pct0th100th
1-season window either side — numbers shown, not enough to badge a verdict.
DC: John Pease → Morgan Scalley · 2016
86th pct61st pct0th100th
1-season window either side — numbers shown, not enough to badge a verdict.
Roster size, by position
Skill positions · usage-weighted (real participation)
Quarterback
211 lbs
6′1″ avg · #420 of 767 · a typical amount
Running back
211 lbs
5′11″ avg · #248 of 791 · a typical amount
Wide receiver
191 lbs
6′1″ avg · #504 of 791 · a typical amount
Tight end
242 lbs
6′3″ avg · #502 of 731 · a typical amount
Trench & secondary · recruited roster, not confirmed starters
Interior line
308 lbs
6′5″ avg · #430 of 779 · a typical amount
Edge
254 lbs
6′4″ avg · #95 of 188 · a typical amount
Linebacker
229 lbs
6′2″ avg · #374 of 772 · a typical amount
Cornerback
184 lbs
6′0″ avg · #662 of 771 · less than most
Safety
202 lbs
6′1″ avg · #63 of 346 · more than most
Offensive-line size is one undifferentiated bucket — the source data almost never distinguishes tackle from guard from center, so we can't split them out.
Where the roster comes from, by position
Grows LS from high school
100%
#12 of 12 stints
Grows Tight end from high school
82%
#155 of 188 stints
Postseason detail2014: Beat Colorado State 45–10 Royal Purple Las Vegas Bowl2015: Beat BYU 35–28 Royal Purple Las Vegas Bowl2016: Beat Indiana 26–24 Foster Farms Bowl2017: Beat West Virginia 30–14 Zaxby's Heart Of Dallas Bowl2018: Lost to Northwestern 20–31 CFP2019: Lost to Texas 10–38 CFP2021: Lost to Ohio State 45–48 Rose Bowl Game Pres. by Capital One Venture X2022: Lost to Penn State 21–35 Rose Bowl Game Presented by Prudential2023: Lost to Northwestern 7–14 SRS Distribution Las Vegas Bowl2025: Beat Nebraska 44–22 SRS Distribution Las Vegas Bowl

65 NFL Draft picks: Alex Smith (2005), Sione Pouha (2005), Chris Kemoeatu (2005), Paris Warren (2005), Jonathan Fanene (2005), Spencer Toone (2006), Quinton Ganther (2006), Eric Weddle (2007) + 57 more

7 player-seasons honored (All-America / national award): Britain Covey (2021), Devin Lloyd (2021), Clark Phillips III (2022), Jonah Elliss (2023), Spencer Fano (2024), John Henry Daley (2025), Spencer Fano (2025)

177–88