cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Mikey Matthews /UCLA

Mikey Matthews

WR · UCLA · Jr · #7

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

348 REC YDS · 33 REC · 2 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to UCLA for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to UCLA for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Wide receiver · UCLA

Returning around him

  • 22% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • Transfer portal: +12 net (41 in / 29 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

UCLA · Last season: 3-9 · Talent rank #26 · 2026 recruiting class #46

WR · UCLA · BIG TEN

Mikey Matthews

  • 3
  • #7
  • 5-9 | 180 lb
  • Irvine, CA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

36

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 42nd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#738

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2023–2025
2612023
2922024
3482025

+33%

Up 33% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#275 national
CFB
College
3 teams
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class3
Jersey7
Measurements5-9 | 180 lb
HometownIrvine, CA
Primary teamUCLA

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 275 recruit
Composite rating 0.9095 HighSchool
Signed with Utah 2023
Origin Mission Viejo Mission Viejo, CA, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 4-star | 0.9095 No. 275 recruit | HighSchool | Utah

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#738Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#832Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Utah

Composite

0.9095

#275 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Mikey Matthews

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

50

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 2 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 2 mentions · belief +0 · "UCLA Football Top 30 Players: No. 29 WR Mikey Matthews &nbsp;&nbsp; Sports Illus"Own fans
  • Own fans · n=2

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Mikey Matthews

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 11g
348Rec yards
33Receptions
2Rec TDs
Per game
31.6Rec yards
3Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
411.3Rec yards
39Receptions
2Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 348): needs 176/game over remaining 2.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 348): needs 326/game over remaining 2.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 33): needs 13.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 33): needs 23.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 3/game over remaining 2.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 4/game over remaining 2.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Mikey Matthews's story is about how role and output meet each other. For UCLA, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #738 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 8.0% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 275 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 33 2 rec TD | #247/1110 (78th pct)
Receiving yards 348 10.5 per catch | #322/1107 (71st pct)
Scrimmage yards 349 Total offensive yardage | #322/1107 (71st pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
33 78th
YDS
348 71st
YPR
10.5 37th
TD
2 75th

Rushing

CAR
1 35th
YDS
1 20th
YPC
1.0 22nd
TD
0 81st

Returns

KR YDS
28 32nd
KR AVG
14.0 22nd
PR YDS
47 52nd
PR AVG
5.2 28th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1L 10-43vs Utah22211.0018
Wk 2L 23-30@ UNLV5346.8015
Wk 3L 10-35vs New Mexico36722.3032Season-high 67 yds
Wk 6W 42-37vs Penn State155.005
Wk 7W 38-13@ Michigan State24623.0037
Wk 8W 20-17vs Maryland33110.3114
Wk 9L 6-56@ Indiana11818.0018
Wk 11L 21-28vs Nebraska23115.5024
Wk 12L 10-48@ Ohio State4184.508
Wk 13L 14-48vs Washington6386.3137
Wk 14L 10-29@ USC4389.5021
Total3334812.0237
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Utah8-5HC: Kyle Whittingham · Run-heavy
2024California6-7HC: Justin Wilcox · Balanced
2025UCLA3-9HC: Deshaun Foster · Balanced, slow tempo
SeasonTeam
2025UCLA3334810.52--
2024California342928.61--
2023Utah292619.00--
Career3 loaded seasons969019.43--
SeasonTeam
2025UCLA112847--
2024California729--67--
2023Utah1430975--
Career3 loaded seasons934337189--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 8.0% 15.4% pass-game share | #224/1137 (80th pct)
Return yards 75 0 return TD | #164/238 (32nd pct)
Touchdowns 2 Across offense and returns | #281/1111 (75th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 33 #247/1110 78th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 348 #322/1107 71st pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 2 #281/1111 75th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 10.5 #700/1106 37th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Kick return yards 28 #164/238 32nd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Returns Punt return yards 47 #109/224 52nd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 15.4% #224/1137 80th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Rushing Carries 1 #264/407 35th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing LONG 1 #334/346 4th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing yards 1 #317/397 20th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Yards / carry 1.0 #309/393 22nd pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Rushing Rush TD 0 #81/411 81st pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 37 #499/1105 55th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Returns Kick return avg 14.0 #184/236 22nd pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Punt returns 9 #80/237 67th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Returns Punt return avg 5.2 #161/222 28th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Kick returns 2 #132/243 46th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 10.2% #212/1137 81st pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 9.4% #278/1137 76th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 8.5% #202/1137 82nd pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 8.0% #214/1137 81st pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 7.4% #187/1137 84th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 7.1% #229/1137 80th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.3% #332/1137 71st pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR
Ball Security Fumbles lost 1 #131/302 57th pct Turnoversvs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home6g2.832.311.70.3
Road5g3.230.812.40.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins3g2.027.312.80.3
Losses8g3.433.211.70.1

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-75g2.634.813.60.0
Weeks 8+6g3.329.010.70.3

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

36Mid-pack
8 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: rush yards (20th).

Receptions#247 / 558 · 55th pct
33rece
Rec yards#322 / 558 · 42nd pct
348rece
Rec TDs#276 / 558 · 42nd pct
2rece
Rush TDs#67 / 287 · 39th pct
0rush
Fumbles lost#86 / 218 · 36th pct
1fumb
Long catch#416 / 558 · 25th pct
37rece
Yards / catch#441 / 558 · 21st pct
10.5rece
Rush yards#226 / 287 · 20th pct
1rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Mikey MatthewsUCLAMichael Jackson IIIPurdue· 78% simAsaad WaseemFlorida Atlantic· 75% simChauncy CobbArkansas State· 72% sim
Receptions
55
Matthews
92
III
96
Waseem
98
Cobb
Rec yards
42
Matthews
70
III
84
Waseem
87
Cobb
Rec TDs
42
Matthews
24
III
78
Waseem
24
Cobb
Rush TDs
39
Matthews
39
III
39
Waseem
39
Cobb
Fumbles lost
36
Matthews
6
III
36
Waseem
6
Cobb
Long catch
25
Matthews
16
III
42
Waseem
58
Cobb
Yards / catch
21
Matthews
9
III
21
Waseem
25
Cobb
Rush yards
20
Matthews
6
III
4
Waseem
12
Cobb

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Possession Receiver

Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Yusuf Ali’s 2020 season.

Yusuf Ali

86%match

Middle Tennessee · 2020

#2

Renard Bell

Washington State · 2022

83%
#3

Mookie Cooper

Missouri · 2021

83%
#4

Chandler Speights

Texas State · 2020

78%
#5

Jaylon Robinson

TCU · 2023

82%

Matches Yusuf on

Weight
Yards / reception
TD rate

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Drae McCray's junior season at Texas Tech (2023).

Drae McCray

79%match

Texas Tech · 2023

#2

Mario Williams

USC · 2023

All-AAC
79%
#3

Semaj Morgan

Michigan · 2025

78%
#4

Grayson Tempest

Tulsa · 2025

78%
#5

DeAngelo Irvin Jr.

UNLV · 2025

77%

Matches Drae on

EPA / play (adj)
Weight
Reception volume

Differs from Drae on

Class year (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Deshaun Foster

Pass share

48.9%

358 pass / 374 run

Plays / game

61.0

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

9.3%

280 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced, slow tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

2 coaches
2023
Chip Kelly
UCLA
2024
Deshaun Foster
UCLA
era →
2025
Deshaun Foster
UCLA

Coaching transition mid-career: Chip Kelly → Deshaun Foster. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownIrvine, CA
Height5'9"
Weight180 lb
Class3
PositionWR
Jersey7

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 California WR3 #738 #832 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | ACC
2023 Utah WR3 #1513 #1480 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Pac-12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 UCLA Big Ten WR 3 No. 7 | 5-9 | 180 lb | Irvine, CA
2024 California ACC WR 3 No. 7 | 5-9 | 180 lb | Irvine, CA
2023 Utah Pac-12 WR 3 No. 7 | 5-9 | 180 lb | Irvine, CA