UCLA

3-0

Big Ten · Bob Chesney, year 1 (3-0) · Rose Bowl · 88,565 · 31,446 avg in 2026

The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The model#45 CFB ZeitgeistSP+ #40 (+9.0) · FPI #40
The marketUCLA by 1at Maryland · our model 50% UCLA · a number, not a pick

LastW 52–38 vs Purdue · Sat Sep 19 · Wayne Knight 177 rush yds, 2 TD, 23 rec yds

Nextat Maryland · Sat Sep 26 · 1:30 pm ET · SECU Stadium · UCLA by 1 · series 2-1 · Game preview

Updated Tue Sep 22 · through week 3

UCLA · 2026 schedule & results3-0
WkDateUsOppLineOpponentResultRecordConf
1Sep 6#62#63-2.5@CaliforniaW 45–24 1411-00-0
2Sep 12#59#40-13.5San Diego StateW 28–10 1222-00-0
3Sep 20#50#120-13.5PurdueW 52–38 1393-01-0
4Sep 26#49#61-1@Maryland
6Oct 10@Oregon
7Oct 17Wisconsin
8Oct 24Michigan State
9Oct 31Nevada
10Nov 7@Minnesota
11Nov 14Illinois
12Nov 21@Michigan
13Nov 28USC
Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, explosiveness)
DateOppResultYdsTOTOPEPA/playSuccess%Explosive%Note
Sep 20PurdueW 52–38645036:10+0.52456.8%141.2%Season-high EPA/play
Sep 12San Diego StateW 28–10365134:55+0.10543.3%109.4%Season-low EPA/play
Sep 6@CaliforniaW 45–24461125:11+0.42056.6%125.1%
Season average (3 games)4900.7+0.34952.2%125.2%
Verdict Begins·Live

UCLA owns the best zip code in college football and almost never cashes it — then went 0-3, fired its coach, and watched a transfer quarterback nobody expected drag the season back to life.

Title DroughtSince 1998 · 28 yrs

Bruins fans are tired of being the other LA team — the one whose football is treated as a basketball school's hobby and USC's undercard. They'll point to the alumni list and ask why the program with…

low signal
Read the full program story ↓

The season in chapters

Ahead
Sat Oct 10AP #20 Oregonat Oregon · on the road
Sat Nov 21AP #18 Michiganat Michigan · on the road
Sat Nov 28Battle for the Victory Bellvs AP #12 USC · at home

What fans said

Real posts from the day of the game, chosen by community score · usernames not shown

What it is like to watch them2025 · 3-9 · last season

Game feel52even gamescombined pts / game9th highest-scoring of 18 in the Big Ten
Heart rate2-3some dramain one-score games (5 of 12)5th most one-score games of 18 in the Big Ten
Margin-15.2outgunnedavg scoring margin18th best margin of 18 in the Big Ten
Tempo61methodicaloffensive plays / game15th fastest of 18 in the Big Ten
Big plays1.16some popexplosiveness (IsoPPP)14th most explosive of 18 in the Big Ten
Home crowd37,282avg attendance17th biggest crowds of 18 in the Big Ten

✓ measured from 12 games · ranks are among Big Ten teams the same season

Recent form · last 10 games · incl. 2025

UCLA has won three of its last five.

Mixed. 5-5 over the last 10, and won the last three.

Streak W3Last 5 · 3-2Last 10 · 5-5
Week One, we performed well, not to our max potential, but I thought we had a great week of preparation – that was the main thing
Iamaleava · Dailybruinthe day of UCLA's 2026 game against Purdue
The forecast

Next Sep 26

vs Maryland · away

Season line7.5 winsover -155
EliteRun-heavy, ground-controlSoft

✓ fact on line · ~ our read on style

Market outlook

Season expectations

Win total2 booksO/U 7.5▲1 since Jun 2026
CFP championship#41 in field+30000
Big Ten title#10 in market+5500

Sportsbook consensus · best odds across multiple books · 2026-09-22

UCLA · the story right now 12 storylines developing

What UCLA's transfer portal class is really about

the open questionis the portal class enough to move the needle?

portal2026-08-20~readnew

Foster's first full portal class in Year 2 addresses OT and LB while replacing Marshall and Johnson — UCLA's patience with roster rebuilding meets its alumni pedigree.

what happenedUCLA signed a top-21 transfer-portal class — 43 additions headlined by Ty Dieffenbach (QB) from Cal Poly and Jhase McMillan (CB) from Montana State. ✓ fact
the contextthe No. 1 portal class in the Big Ten this cycle

our readfront page

portal2025-05-05~readnew

Deshaun Foster's top-2 Big Ten portal class arrives as UCLA's 3-9 season hangs over the program — Ty Dieffenbach (QB) and 30 additions aim to fix a roster with just 22% returning production.

what happenedUCLA signed the No. 1 transfer-portal class — 30 additions headlined by Nico Iamaleava (QB) from Tennessee and Madden Iamaleava (QB) from Arkansas. ✓ fact
the contexta top-2 portal class in the Big Ten this cycle

our readdeveloping

coordinatorsthis cycle~readnew

Deshaun Foster's second season opens with a 3-9 losing record, raising questions about whether coordinator changes can elevate a middle-tier program past its current struggles.

what happenedUCLA: coordinator change reshaping a unit. ✓ fact

our readbackground

coordinators2025 cycle~readnew

Bob Chesney inherits a 3-9 losing record at UCLA, where patience with its historic alumni legacy clashes with the urgency of a coordinator-driven rebuild.

what happenedUCLA: coordinator change reshaping a unit. ✓ fact

our readbackground

coachingthis cycle~readnew

Chesney, who previously coached at James Madison, inherits a 3-9 roster and 22% returning production — UCLA's patience is tested as the third coach in five years faces the weight.

what happenedBob Chesney took over as UCLA's head coach, replacing Tim Skipper. ✓ fact
the contextreplaces 6-year head coach Chip Kelly (35-34)

our readbackground

coaching2025 cycle~readnew

Skipper inherits a 3-9 roster and 57% returning production — UCLA’s patience with its national alumni legacy clashes with the urgency of a program stuck in a losing cycle.

what happenedTim Skipper took over as UCLA's head coach, replacing Deshaun Foster. ✓ fact
the contextreplaces 6-year head coach Chip Kelly (35-34)

our readdeveloping

market_swing2026-06-18~readnew

Foster's second season begins with a 3-9 foundation and a win total drop below bowl eligibility — UCLA's alumni legacy offers patience, but not immunity.

what happenedUCLA win total fell from 6.5 to 5.5 (-1 wins) between May 2026 and Jun 2026. ✓ fact
the contextwin total down 1.0 — crosses below bowl eligibility territory

our readdeveloping

garbage time2025 cycle~attributednew

Jaivian Thomas: a garbage time merchant signal screened this season.

our readbackground

garbage time2025 cycle~attributednew

Mikey Matthews: a garbage time merchant signal screened this season.

our readbackground

deep threat2025 cycle~attributednew

Rico Flores is used almost exclusively underneath -- a low share of his targets are downfield shots.

our readbackground

deep threat2025 cycle~attributednew

Titus Mokiao-Atimalala is a real deep-ball threat -- a high share of his targets come on throws past the sticks.

our readbackground

program_outlook2025 cycle~readnew

UCLA dropped 23 spots in SP+ — Deshaun Foster’s second season opens with bottom-quintile production returning and a 3-9 record as its anchor.

what happenedUCLA enters 2025 rated No. 98 in SP+ (-8.7), down 23 spots from 2024. ✓ fact
the contextbottom-quintile returning production — heavy turnover entering the season

our readbackground

How past storylines here turned out

ReplacedUCLA moved on from that hire — a new coaching change began the following season. See who's next →
Died downUCLA's offensive coordinator change has died down — no clear next chapter yet.
Died downUCLA's defensive coordinator change has died down — no clear next chapter yet.

Outcome band · UCLA · 2026

UCLA's most likely season is 8-5 — a bowl game. The floor is 5-7; the ceiling is 10-3.

Floor5-7No postseason.
Base8-5A bowl game.
Ceiling10-3A bowl game, 2 more wins.

Floor, base and ceiling come from the season-path projection, which plays out conference title games and the CFP — so a ceiling can run past 12 games.

How the room reactedreal evidence · tap rooms to explore
Following now · UCLA · Transfer portal Confidence

UCLA signed a top-21 portal class — Ty Dieffenbach headlines the class. Fall camp is the real verdict.

UCLA signed a top-21 transfer-portal class — 43 additions headlined by Ty Dieffenbach (QB) from Cal Poly and Jhase McMillan (CB) from Montana State. It is the No. 1 portal class in the Big Ten this cycle. Portal pickups are proven college players — the split isn't about development, it's about whether they fit the scheme and win their position battles. Coverage is split on whether volume or positional fit is the bigger story.

bullish — but with real dissent where the takes land · dot = how loud
DOUBTBELIEF
Skeptics1 doubt take
Believers3 bull takes
💬 fans: 6% volume
The saga so far~3 months old
last weekUCLA 4-star DL commit George Toia transferring to Layton Christian Academy (Utah) — news
last weekWhich Bruins Need Bigger Roles To Avoid Future Transfer Questions — Sports Illustrated
2 weeks agoHow UCLA's New Transfers Could Change Mick Cronin's Approach — Yahoo Sports
4 weeks agoLB Trent Hendrick transfer commits from James Madison — CFBD /player/portal
Jun 19Win total: 5.5 → 6.5 (▲1)
The cast who's driving the story · latest headline on each, attributed
Ty Dieffenbach QB · Cal Poly
Jhase McMillan CB · Montana State
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
Foster's first full portal class in Year 2 addresses OT and LB while replacing Marshall and Johnson — UCLA's patience with roster rebuilding meets its alumni pedigree.
Source of record: UCLA signed a top-21 transfer-portal class — 43 additions headlined by Ty Dieffenbach (QB) from Cal Poly and Jhase McMillan (CB) from Montana State — the No. 1 portal class in the Big Ten this cycle.
How each room is reacting — tap to expand
Believers bullishSkeptics dissentThe Boards quiet
📣Believers3 bullish/portal items -- the case it's working.

The 'portal class fills the gaps' believers -- upgrades at real positions of need.

“UCLA 4-star DL commit George Toia transferring to Layton Christian Academy (Utah)”
On3 CFB · 2026-09-11 · read ↗
“UCLA football news: South Carolina transfer emerging as top Nico Iamaleava target”
Yahoo Sports · 2026-08-28 · read ↗
“UCLA transfer guard Donovan Dent commits to LSU”
On3 · 2026-08-21 · read ↗
🧐Skeptics“Which Bruins Need Bigger Roles To Avoid Future Transfer…” — the real counter.

The 'portal is a gamble' counter -- departure losses and the 'plug-and-play doesn't work' read.

“Which Bruins Need Bigger Roles To Avoid Future Transfer Questions”
Sports Illustrated · 2026-09-09 · read ↗
💬The boards6% of recent board volume — quieter than the headlines.

This event was in 188 of 3264 board posts (6%) over the last 60 days — engaged but not consumed. Fan text shown verbatim, attributed to the community not the individual poster.

"From any UC campus. I'm at UCI now and was wondering if there was any hope of transferring and if so how."
r/ucla ~ fan take
"Hello! I'm an incoming transfer this quarter. I wanted to know you guys tips for EAF. Like how early I should arrive, any essentials, etc. Thanks in advance!!"
r/ucla ~ fan take

The boards ≠ the fanbase: a vocal, self-selected slice.

Following now · UCLA · Transfer portal Confidence

UCLA signed the No. 1 portal class in the country. The rankings are done. Now the depth chart has to agree.

UCLA signed the No. 1 transfer-portal class — 30 additions headlined by Nico Iamaleava (QB) from Tennessee and Madden Iamaleava (QB) from Arkansas. It is a top-2 portal class in the Big Ten this cycle. Portal pickups don't redshirt. The coverage sees this as a targeted, ready-to-contribute class built for snap competition, not depth-chart filler. The coverage reads this as a credible, targeted haul.

skeptical — but there's a bull case where the takes land · dot = how loud
DOUBTBELIEF
Skeptics4 doubt takes
Believers2 bull takes
🎪 drama: simmering💬 fans: 6% volume
Developing3 new this week
yesterdayUCLA QB Iamaleava shows leadership, toughness as Bruins prepare for Maryland — Los Angeles Daily News
yesterdayBob Chesney speaks on Nico Iamaleava's willingness to take hits — UCLA Wire
2 days agoNico Iamaleava, UCLA football show resilience against Purdue — Los Angeles Daily News
4 weeks agoLB Trent Hendrick transfer commits from James Madison — CFBD /player/portal
Jun 19Win total: 5.5 → 6.5 (▲1)
The cast who's driving the story · latest headline on each, attributed
Nico Iamaleava QB · Tennessee
“Bob Chesney speaks on Nico Iamaleava's willingness to take hits” — UCLA Wire · 2026-09-21
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
Deshaun Foster's top-2 Big Ten portal class arrives as UCLA's 3-9 season hangs over the program — Ty Dieffenbach (QB) and 30 additions aim to fix a roster with just 22% returning production.
Source of record: UCLA signed the No. 1 transfer-portal class — 30 additions headlined by Nico Iamaleava (QB) from Tennessee and Madden Iamaleava (QB) from Arkansas — a top-2 portal class in the Big Ten this cycle.
How each room is reacting — tap to expand
The Circus dramaBelievers bullishSkeptics dissentThe Boards quiet
🎪The circus“Nico Iamaleava Shows Zero Remorse Toward Messy Exit From…” — the saga that won't quit.

The off-field storyline driving the noise right now. Not analysis — the soap opera, and that's the point.

“Nico Iamaleava Shows Zero Remorse Toward Messy Exit From Tennessee, Claims NIL Money Was Irrelevant”
BroBible · 2026-09-03 · read ↗
“UCLA football news: Nico Iamaleava drops defiant truth bomb on messy Tennessee exit”
Yahoo Sports · 2026-09-03 · read ↗
📣Believers2 bullish/portal items -- the case it's working.

The 'portal class fills the gaps' believers -- upgrades at real positions of need.

“UCLA 4-star DL commit George Toia transferring to Layton Christian Academy (Utah)”
On3 CFB · 2026-09-11 · read ↗
“UCLA QB Iamaleava shows leadership, toughness as Bruins prepare for Maryland”
Los Angeles Daily News · 2026-09-21 · read ↗
“Bob Chesney speaks on Nico Iamaleava's willingness to take hits”
UCLA Wire · 2026-09-21 · read ↗
🧐Skeptics“Which Bruins Need Bigger Roles To Avoid Future Transfer…” — the real counter.

The 'portal is a gamble' counter -- departure losses and the 'plug-and-play doesn't work' read.

“Which Bruins Need Bigger Roles To Avoid Future Transfer Questions”
Sports Illustrated · 2026-09-09 · read ↗
“UCLA Football Mailbag: Nico Iamaleava Faces Major Questions”
Raleigh News & Observer · 2026-09-19 · read ↗
💬The boards6% of recent board volume — quieter than the headlines.

This event was in 192 of 3264 board posts (6%) over the last 60 days — engaged but not consumed. Fan text shown verbatim, attributed to the community not the individual poster.

"From any UC campus. I'm at UCI now and was wondering if there was any hope of transferring and if so how."
r/ucla ~ fan take
"Hello! I'm an incoming transfer this quarter. I wanted to know you guys tips for EAF. Like how early I should arrive, any essentials, etc. Thanks in advance!!"
r/ucla ~ fan take

The boards ≠ the fanbase: a vocal, self-selected slice.

Belief EKG
2019 seasonL 42-48 vs Colorado (Wk 10)W 34-10 vs California (Wk 11)L 35-38 vs Oregon (Wk 12)W 27-10 vs Arizona (Wk 13)W 25-18 vs Arizona State (Wk 14)L 38-43 vs USC (Wk 15)L 47-48 vs Stanford (Wk 16)HIGHLOW
2020 seasonL 14-24 vs Cincinnati (Wk 1)L 14-23 vs San Diego State (Wk 2)L 14-48 vs Oklahoma (Wk 3)W 67-63 vs Washington State (Wk 4)L 17-20 vs Arizona (Wk 5)L 31-48 vs Oregon State (Wk 6)W 34-16 vs Stanford (Wk 8)W 42-32 vs Arizona State (Wk 9)W 31-14 vs Colorado (Wk 10)L 3-49 vs Utah (Wk 12)L 35-52 vs USC (Wk 13)L 18-28 vs California (Wk 14)HIGHLOW
2019 offseasonWk 33Wk 4486th16th
2020 season · 3W-4L2019 season · 4W-8L2020 offseason · fan confidence percentile
WinLoss · hover for scorePrior seasons

Rival pulse

USC
Hopeful
+10
Battle for the Victory Bell

Fan mood index · most recent r/cfb data

More in this tab

Game dayWhat a Saturday in this stadium actually feels like.
The experience

UCLA is the program with the country's best football alumni list and the patience to wait for its next national peak.

Offense: EliteRun/Pass: Run-heavy, ground-controlDefense: Soft
Program ledgerEvery dated move on this program's record, newest first.

The program ledger

since 2025
  • 2026Hired Bob Chesney
  • 2025Tim Skipper departs (interim)3-6
  • 2025Deshaun Foster departs5-10
  • 2025Hired Tim Skipper (interim)
RosterWho's gone, who's back, who replaces them.

Roster Reload - UCLA

2026 snapshot - 2026-09-22
Returning Production57%Moderate continuity
Talent Composite#25 nationally247 composite 774.5
Portal Additions43Primary repair: OT
Portal Losses29Primary pressure: QB
Draft Loss0No NFL Draft departures recorded
Recruiting Reload#62Depth class
WRin 6 - Aidan Mizell4.00out 6 - Jadyn Marshall4.28Even
current room: 191 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Possession Receiver2025 profileMoney-downmoves the chains on third down lives on the sticks and moves the chains
Former four-star
Sin 4 - Tao Johnson3.70out 4 - Scooter Jackson3.60Even
Hybrid Nickel2025 profilemoves between deep coverage and the slot
Homegrown
CBin 4 - Jhase McMillan3.60out 4 - Jamier Johnson4.28Even
current room: 188 lbs avg (2025 roster)
DLin 4 - Amier Washington3.60out 3 - Siale Taupaki3.70Upgrade
current room: 282 lbs avg (2025 roster)
3-Tech Penetrator2024 profiledisrupts the pocket from the interior
OTin 5 - Jordan Davis3.60out 1 - Garrison Blank3.60Need Filled
LBin 4 - Sammy Omosigho4.12out 2 - Isaiah Chisom3.60Need Filled
current room: 223 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Full roster (121 players)
Offseason movesEvery addition and subtraction since the last snap.

The Offseason Ledger · UCLA

6 verified updates · portal · recruiting · staff · news
  1. Portal

    LB Trent Hendrick transfer commits from James Madison

    Lost Chisom, cycled in four portal pieces, and Hendrick is the one already turning heads in practice — Sun Belt production translating faster than the depth chart said it would.

    Aug 20CFBD /player/portal
  2. News

    UCLA names permanent captains

    Chesney's naming captains on a roster still sorting itself out — QB pressure real, class ranked 62nd, and the Iamaleava twins still unproven in Big Ten play; leadership structure matters when the room hasn't settled.

  3. News

    UCLA donations, revenue fall post-Big Ten move

    Portal class ranked top-21 nationally, but donations and revenue are actually down post-Big Ten move — Chesney is building the roster while the money infrastructure hasn't caught up yet.

  4. Recruiting

    4-star WR Blake Wong commits to BYU

    Foster's trying to build something real in Year 2, but a 4-star WR flipping to BYU while the QB room is unsettled is the kind of domino that keeps a #46 class from climbing — receivers need someone to throw to them.

    Jun 27Official
  5. News

    Win total: 5.5 → 6.5 (▲1)

    A top-30 portal class dragged the number back up — but a 6.5 → 5.5 → 6.5 arc on a #46 recruiting class tells you the market still hasn't made up its mind about Foster's roster ceiling in Year Two.

    Jun 19
  6. News

    Win total: 6.5 → 5.5 (▼1)

    6.5 → 5.5 → 6.5 in one offseason — the books can't decide if a top-30 portal haul fixes a QB room still unproven at Big Ten speed, and honestly, neither can anyone else.

    Jun 18
Who's movedWho's transferring in and out, right now.

Transfer portal snapshot

-1.0 net portal points
(raw ledger: +46.3 — unweighted, no position adjustment)
OT
+13.5
need filled
EDGE
+10.9
need filled
TE
+10.6
need filled
RB
+7.3
need filled
IOL
+7.2
need filled
QB
-7.0
starter risk
LB
+5.1
need filled
DL
+3.5
S
-2.2
LS
-2.0
low confidence
K
-1.0
low confidence
P
+1.0
CB
-0.7
WR
+0.0
Top commits

Top 3 commits

2026 class
★★★★☆
Kenneth Moore III
WR · Stockton, CA
#438 national
Profiles like a typical incoming wide receiver — 20 of his 25 closest recruiting profiles since 2018 shared the Possession Receiver archetype.~our read · projection from recruiting profile — no college snaps yet
★★★★☆
Jonah Smith
WR · Rancho Santa Margarita, CA
#390 national
Profiles like a typical incoming wide receiver — 15 of his 25 closest recruiting profiles since 2018 shared the Possession Receiver archetype.~our read · projection from recruiting profile — no college snaps yet
★★★☆☆
Quinn Buckey
OT · Bakersfield, CA
#608 national
Where they're fromWhere this class actually comes from, on the map.

Recruiting Footprint · 2026

21
CA · 14CO · 3AL · 1HI · 1MA · 1TX · 1

CA leads the 2026 class with 14 commits. National footprint reaching 6 states.

Where they recruit · 2023-2026

73 signees across 13 states, 2023-2026. CA leads the pull.

MEVTNHWA4IDMTNDMNWIMI2NY1MA2ORNV2WYSDIAIL1INOHPANJCTCA49UT1CO3NEMOKYWVVAMDDERIAZ1NMKSARTNNCSCDCOKLAMSAL1GAAKHI3TX3FL
Source CFB Zeitgeist · player_recruiting_profiles
Miles from homeHow far this roster travelled to get here.

Miles from home · 2026 roster

The median UCLA player grew up 337 miles from campus.

Half this roster came from closer than that; half came from farther.

56th-farthest from home in FBS of 135 ranked →
Closest to homeFarthest from home
Middle 50%39–1,792 miquartile spread
Within 100 mi41%49 of 119 players
Farthest2,624 miMone Malafu · Kapaa, HI
Closest2 miJamier Johnson · Pasadena, CA

Straight-line distance from each player's listed hometown to Rose Bowl. Hometowns are placed at city-centroid precision, not street address — fine at this scale, but a player's true door-to-door number can differ by a few miles. 119 of 121 listed players have a geocoded hometown. Source: CFBD roster hometowns.

In-state shareHow much of this roster is home-grown.

Who owns CA · 2026 roster

51% of the UCLA roster grew up in CA.

61 of 119 players, drawn from 28 states in all. That is the 27th-highest in-state share of 135 ranked FBS programs.

Signing day tells a more local story: 67% of the last 4 classes were CA kids, but churn — transfers in, locals out — has drifted the roster 16 points away from home.

CA · 61TX · 6FL · 4VA · 4AZ · 3CO · 3GA · 3HI · 3+20 more

Where the 2026 roster is from

119 players across 28 states. Biggest pull outside CA: TX (6).

MEVTNHWA3ID1MTNDMNWIMI1NYMA2ORNV3WYSDIAIL2INOH1PA2NJ3CTCA61UT2CO3NE1MO1KYWVVA4MD2DE1RI1AZ3NMKSAR1TNNC1SC1DCOK1LAMSAL2GA3AKHI3TX6FL4
Source CFB Zeitgeist · roster_entries (CFBD hometowns)
Every FBS roster ranked by in-state share →

Home state as listed on the CFBD roster. 2 listed players fall outside the 50 states and DC (international hometowns, or no state listed) and are excluded from the denominator. Source: CFBD roster hometowns.

Recruiting buzzWhat fans say about the incoming class right now.

r/cfb this year

[Postgame Thread] USC Defeats UCLA 29-10
287 upvotes · Nov 2025
[Game Thread] UCLA @ USC (7:30 PM ET)
41 upvotes · Nov 2025

Top community posts · last 12 months · r/cfb

How it turned outHow an old class actually turned out, years on.
Class Autopsy
The 2023 class: 0 drafted so far, 53% never transferred. F
See the class →
Belief historyHow today's fan mood compares to the program's past.

Among the stronger offseasons on record for this program

77th percentile among FBS programs

Fans vs. marketWhere fans and the betting market read this team differently.
Fan vs. market
77th
Fan percentile
(FBS mood rank)
7.5
Vegas O/U wins
(65th among FBS)
Fans 12pp more bullish than market implies
Win total consensus · 2 books
Pollster gapPollsters don't agree -- here's how far apart.
Voter spread

Just one AP voter, Dylan Sinn (The Journal Gazette), has them ranked — at #17. The other 67 voters left them off entirely.

Individual AP Top 25 ballots, AP ballot, week 3, 2026 — 68 voters tracked.

TakeawaysWhat this defense does once it gets the ball.
Takeaway conversion

29% of tipped/broken-up passes have turned into picks — running hot vs. the ~19% league average.

4 interceptions of 14 disrupted passes (10 deflected, 4 intercepted), 2026 only.

PenaltiesWhether flags are costing this team games.
Penalty battle

32 penalties committed, 16 drawn on opponents — ceding 142 yards of field position.

283 penalty yards committed vs. 141 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.

This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. AI-generated content is labeled and may contain factual errors. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site