CFB Zeitgeist Score
28
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by rush yards at the 67th percentile.
Semaj Morgan
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
223 REC YDS · 20 REC · 1 REC TD
Where He Ended Up · Transfer
Transferred to UCLA
2025Michigan
2026UCLA
WR · MICHIGAN · BIG TEN
Semaj Morgan
- 3
- 5-10 | 174 lb
- West Bloomfield, MI
Heisman Heat
#965
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP WR AWARD
Biletnikoff
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · receiving yards
2023–2025+9%
Modest growth (9%) across the multi-season window.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
Michigan
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 3-star | 0.8867 | No. 501 recruit | HighSchool | Michigan |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Michigan -> UCLA | 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Michigan
Composite
0.8867
#501 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Semaj Morgan
Fan sentiment · Season 2025 conversation window
Belief Meter
37
Jittery
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=19
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Semaj Morgan
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
Yards per reception
11.2
yds
All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions
National rank #337 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 37th
Why it matters
#337 of 531 All FBS WRs at 11.2 yards per reception (20 catches).
Vs cohort
This player 11.2 (37th)
MODERATE · n=20 cohort 531
- Also strong
- Receiving TDs#402 / 531
- Receiving yards (total)#476 / 531
Signature Moment
Week 3 vs Central Michigan — 69 ypr
Result W 63-3
The week the volume broke through — put up 69 yds vs Central Michigan.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the receiving totals stand
Through 11g
223Rec yards
20Receptions
1Rec TDs
Per game
20.3Rec yards
2Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
263.5Rec yards
24Receptions
1Rec TDs
To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 223): needs 238.5/game over remaining 2.
To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 223): needs 388.5/game over remaining 2.
To hit 60-catch season (currently 20): needs 20/game over remaining 2.
To hit 80-catch season (currently 20): needs 30/game over remaining 2.
To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 3.5/game over remaining 2.
To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 4.5/game over remaining 2.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Semaj Morgan's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Michigan, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
WR season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Receiving
REC
20 63rd
YDS
223 61st
YPR
11.2 44th
TD
1 64th
Rushing
CAR
5 78th
YDS
25 72nd
YPC
5.0 57th
TD
0 81st
Returns
PR YDS
30 42nd
PR AVG
2.3 12th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 11 games
| Wk | Opp | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 34-17vs New Mexico | 4 | 33 | 8.3 | 0 | 11 | |
| Wk 2 | L 13-24@ Oklahoma | 1 | 19 | 19.0 | 0 | 19 | |
| Wk 3 | W 63-3vs Central Michigan | 4 | 69 | 17.3 | 1 | 32 | Season-high 69 yds |
| Wk 4 | W 30-27@ Nebraska | 2 | 22 | 11.0 | 0 | 16 | |
| Wk 6 | W 24-10vs Wisconsin | 5 | 44 | 8.8 | 0 | 19 | |
| Wk 7 | L 13-31@ USC | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | 0 | 7 | |
| Wk 8 | W 24-7vs Washington | 2 | 20 | 10.0 | 0 | 13 | |
| Wk 9 | W 31-20@ Michigan State | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wk 10 | W 21-16vs Purdue | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wk 12 | W 24-22@ Northwestern | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Bowl | L 27-41@ Texas | 1 | 9 | 9.0 | 0 | 9 | |
| Total | 20 | 223 | 11.3 | 1 | 32 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2023Michigan15-0HC: Jim Harbaugh · Run-heavy, slow tempo
2024Michigan8-5HC: Sherrone Moore · Run-heavy
2025Michigan9-4HC: Sherrone Moore · Run-leaning
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.
A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 20 | #417/1110 | 63rd pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 223 | #436/1107 | 61st pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 1 | #396/1111 | 64th pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 11.2 | #619/1106 | 44th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Returns | Punt return yards | 30 | #131/224 | 42nd pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Pass share | 12.1% | #374/1137 | 67th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 25 | #113/397 | 72nd pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 11 | #156/346 | 55th pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Carries | 5 | #90/407 | 78th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 5.0 | #170/393 | 57th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 0 | #81/411 | 81st pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 32 | #576/1105 | 48th pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Returns | Punt returns | 13 | #47/237 | 81st pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Returns | Punt return avg | 2.3 | #196/222 | 12th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 6.7% | #263/1137 | 77th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 6.6% | #516/1137 | 55th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 6.2% | #537/1137 | 53rd pct | Money-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Role share | 6.0% | #363/1137 | 68th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 5.7% | #310/1137 | 73rd pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 4.1% | #633/1137 | 44th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Rush share | 1.1% | #179/1137 | 84th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 1 | #131/302 | 57th pct | Turnoversvs FBS WR |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 11 games
Home vs Road
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home5g | 3.0 | 33.2 | 11.1 | 0.2 |
| Road6g | 0.8 | 9.5 | 11.5 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins8g | 2.1 | 23.5 | 11.1 | 0.1 |
| Losses3g | 1.0 | 11.7 | 11.7 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | 2.6 | 29.0 | 11.5 | 0.1 |
| Weeks 8+4g | 0.5 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort
28Below cohort
Concern: long catch (16th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · WR · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Semaj MorganMichiganJacquon GibsonMassachusetts· 63% simMichael Jackson IIIPurdue· 61% simKevin Coleman Jr.Missouri· 61% sim
Rush yards
Rush TDs
Fumbles lost
Yards / catch
Receptions
Rec TDs
Rec yards
Long catch
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Possession Receiver
Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.
WR
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Chandler Speights’s 2020 season.
Chandler Speights
82%match
#2
Terrell Crosby Jr.
84%
#3
Devin Maddox
83%
#4
Peyton Higgins
82%
#5
Grady O'Neill
82%
Matches Chandler on
TD rate
Reception volume
Yards / reception
Differs from Chandler on
Weight (lower)
Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Rico Bussey Jr.’s path through Hawai'i.
Rico Bussey Jr.
99%match
#2
Caleb Burke
97%
#3
Landon Wolf
97%
#4
Owen Glascoe
95%
#5
Stanley Berryhill III
94%
Matches Rico on
Yards per reception
As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Terrell Crosby Jr.'s junior season at Toledo (2025).
Terrell Crosby Jr.
88%match
#2
Grayson Tempest
82%
#3
Deajaun McDougle
79%
#4
Mikey Matthews
78%
#5
Dean Engram
73%
Matches Terrell on
TD rate
Yards / reception
EPA / play (adj)
Differs from Terrell on
Recruiting rating (higher)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Sherrone Moore
Pass share
40.9%
340 pass / 492 run
Plays / game
64.0
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
7.4%
256 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025
2 coaches2023
Jim Harbaugh
Michigan
2024era →
Sherrone Moore
Michigan
2025
Sherrone Moore
Michigan
Coaching transition mid-career: Jim Harbaugh → Sherrone Moore. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownWest Bloomfield, MI
Height5'10"
Weight174 lb
Class3
PositionWR
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamMichigan
ConferenceBig Ten
Joined2025
Career arc3 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.