CFB Zeitgeist Score
23
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / catch at the 40th percentile.
Terrell Crosby Jr.
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
194 REC YDS · 16 REC · 1 REC TD
2026 Outlook
Returning to Toledo for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Wide receiver · Toledo
Returning around him
- 68% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
- 2 Toledo players drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: -5 net (33 in / 38 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Toledo · Last season: 8-5 · Talent rank #75 · 2026 recruiting class #73
WR · TOLEDO · MID-AMERICAN
Terrell Crosby Jr.
- 3
- #5
- 5-10 | 182 lb
- Saint Petersburg, FL
Heisman Heat
#2528
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP WR AWARD
Biletnikoff
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR05 · Part-time starter
Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · receiving yards
2024–2025+9600%
Up 9600% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
2 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 3-star | 0.8459 | No. 1380 recruit | HighSchool | Iowa State |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Iowa State
Composite
0.8459
#1380 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Terrell Crosby Jr.
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Terrell Crosby Jr.
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the receiving totals stand
Through 9g
194Rec yards
16Receptions
1Rec TDs
Per game
21.6Rec yards
2Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
280.2Rec yards
23Receptions
1Rec TDs
To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 194): needs 126.5/game over remaining 4.
To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 194): needs 201.5/game over remaining 4.
To hit 60-catch season (currently 16): needs 11/game over remaining 4.
To hit 80-catch season (currently 16): needs 16/game over remaining 4.
To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 1.8/game over remaining 4.
To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 2.2/game over remaining 4.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Terrell Crosby Jr.'s story is about how role and output meet each other. For Toledo, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
WR season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Receiving
REC
16 58th
YDS
194 57th
YPR
12.1 52nd
TD
1 64th
Rushing
CAR
1 35th
YDS
6 39th
YPC
6.0 69th
TD
0 81st
Returns
KR YDS
32 36th
KR AVG
32.0 97th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 9 games
| Wk | Opp | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 16-24@ Kentucky | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | 0 | 4 | |
| Wk 3 | W 60-0vs Morgan State | 2 | 17 | 8.5 | 0 | 9 | |
| Wk 4 | L 13-14@ Western Michigan | 3 | 34 | 11.3 | 0 | 16 | |
| Wk 5 | W 45-3vs Akron | 1 | 19 | 19.0 | 0 | 19 | |
| Wk 8 | W 45-10vs Kent State | 2 | 39 | 19.5 | 1 | 21 | |
| Wk 9 | L 7-28@ Washington State | 2 | 17 | 8.5 | 0 | 9 | |
| Wk 11 | W 42-3vs Northern Illinois | 3 | 43 | 14.3 | 0 | 24 | Season-high 43 yds |
| Wk 14 | W 21-3@ Central Michigan | 2 | 21 | 10.5 | 0 | 17 | |
| Bowl | L 22-27@ Louisville | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Total | 16 | 194 | 11.9 | 1 | 24 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2023Iowa State7-6HC: Matt Campbell · Balanced, slow tempo
2024Toledo8-5HC: Jason Candle · Balanced
2025Toledo8-5HC: Jason Candle · Run-leaning
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Toledo | 16 | 194 | 12.1 | 1 | -- |
| 2024 | Toledo | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | -- |
| 2023 | Iowa State | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 17 | 196 | 11.5 | 1 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Toledo | 1 | 6 | 32 | -- | -- |
| 2024 | Toledo | 1 | 2 | 13 | -- | -- |
| 2023 | Iowa State | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 2 | 8 | 45 | -- | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.
A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 16 | #465/1110 | 58th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 194 | #476/1107 | 57th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 1 | #396/1111 | 64th pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 12.1 | #537/1106 | 52nd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Returns | Kick return yards | 32 | #153/238 | 36th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Pass share | 10.3% | #475/1137 | 58th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 6 | #238/346 | 32nd pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 6 | #245/397 | 39th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 6.0 | #124/393 | 69th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Carries | 1 | #264/407 | 35th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 0 | #81/411 | 81st pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 24 | #689/1105 | 38th pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Returns | Kick return avg | 32.0 | #9/236 | 97th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Returns | Kick returns | 1 | #169/243 | 31st pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 6.4% | #516/1137 | 55th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 5.6% | #637/1137 | 44th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Role share | 5.0% | #482/1137 | 58th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 4.8% | #411/1137 | 64th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 4.1% | #547/1137 | 52nd pct | Early-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 3.9% | #663/1137 | 42nd pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Rush share | 0.4% | #312/1137 | 73rd pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS WR |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 9 games
Home vs Road
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home4g | 2.0 | 29.5 | 15.3 | 0.2 |
| Road5g | 1.6 | 15.2 | 8.6 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins5g | 2.0 | 27.8 | 14.4 | 0.2 |
| Losses4g | 1.5 | 13.8 | 7.9 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-75g | 1.4 | 14.8 | 10.7 | 0.0 |
| Weeks 8+4g | 2.2 | 30.0 | 13.2 | 0.2 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort
23Below cohort
Concern: long catch (8th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · WR · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Terrell Crosby Jr.ToledoMichael Jackson IIIPurdue· 61% simJacquon GibsonMassachusetts· 55% simChauncy CobbArkansas State· 53% sim
Yards / catch
Rush TDs
Rush yards
Rec TDs
Rec yards
Receptions
Long catch
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Possession Receiver
Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.
WR
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Courtney Jackson’s 2022 season.
Courtney Jackson
86%match
#2
Je'Quan Burton
84%
#3
Chandler Speights
81%
#4
Semaj Morgan
84%
#5
Jha'Quan Jackson
NFL Rd 6
83%
Matches Courtney on
Total EPA (college ability)
Yards / reception
Weight
Not enough data yet for this comparison.
As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Semaj Morgan's junior season at Michigan (2025).
Semaj Morgan
88%match
#2
Courtney Jackson
All-Sun Belt
76%
#3
Deajaun McDougle
76%
#4
Grayson Tempest
76%
#5
Dean Engram
70%
Matches Semaj on
TD rate
Yards / reception
EPA / play (adj)
Differs from Semaj on
Recruiting rating (lower)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Jason Candle
Pass share
45.9%
397 pass / 467 run
Plays / game
66.5
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
4.5%
290 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025
1 coach2023
Jason Candle
Toledo
2024
Jason Candle
Toledo
2025
Jason Candle
Toledo
Played his entire career under Jason Candle.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownSaint Petersburg, FL
Height5'10"
Weight182 lb
Class3
PositionWR
Jersey5
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamToledo
ConferenceMid-American
Joined2025
Career arc4 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Toledo | WR3 | #2528 | #2398 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Mid-American |
| 2023 | Iowa State | WR3 | #3170 | #2902 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Big 12 |
| 2022 | Iowa State | WR3 | #3902 | #3982 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Big 12 |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Toledo | Mid-American | WR | 3 | No. 5 | 5-10 | 182 lb | Saint Petersburg, FL |
| 2024 | Toledo | Mid-American | WR | 3 | No. 5 | 5-10 | 182 lb | Saint Petersburg, FL |
| 2023 | Iowa State | Big 12 | WR | 3 | No. 5 | 5-10 | 182 lb | Saint Petersburg, FL |
| 2022 | Iowa State | Big 12 | WR | 3 | No. 5 | 5-10 | 182 lb | Saint Petersburg, FL |