5portal class
Iowa State signs top-25 transfer class, shifting expectations.
Campbell's top-2 portal class in the Big 12 targets DL and IOL — diagnosing last year's 8-4 record while stabilizing a roster with just 58% production returning.
Iowa State8-4AP #22Latest
Cautious optimism is building around Iowa State.
belief cooled ↓ 4.0vs prior week
Fanbase belief
Leaning up
54/100 · 249 mentions
~ our readGrounding
backed by facts
9% cite a stat · 7% typical ✓ counted
~ our readVolatility
Chaotic
σ 20 pts
~ our readThe model
#45
CFB Zeitgeist · +4.9
✓ measured5Hope-Doping·Offseason
Iowa State spent a hundred years as the program that couldn't, then Matt Campbell made it matter — and in 2025 Ames had to watch the man who fixed everything pack up for Penn State.
AP Top 25#22 AP
The chip is shaped like the team across the state — Iowa State fans are tired of being the little sibling in their own Cy-Hawk rivalry, the program everyone roots for but nobody fears. They wanted Cam…
offseason · quiet
Roster Reload - Iowa State
2026 snapshot - 2026-08-06Returning Production58%Moderate continuity
Talent Composite#71 nationally247 composite 648.9
Portal Additions48Primary repair: IOL
Portal Losses55Primary pressure: WR
Draft Loss1NFL Draft departures (1)
Recruiting Reload#54Development class
WRin 5 - Cody Jacksonout 10 - Chase SowellStarter Risk
current room: 202 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Sin 6 - Micah Harperout 9 - Marcus Neal Jr.Starter Risk
LBin 3 - Sullivan Schlimgenout 8 - Caleb BaconStarter Risk
current room: 232 lbs avg (2025 roster)
IOLin 6 - Caden Maasout 4 - Brendan BlackNeed Filled
current room: 317 lbs avg (2025 roster)
CBin 5 - Jaheim Singletaryout 5 - Jontez WilliamsEven
current room: 200 lbs avg (2025 roster)
DLin 5 - Jareb Ramosout 4 - Ikenna EzeoguUpgrade
current room: 279 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Belief EKG
WinLoss · hover for scorePrior seasons
Approaching
30 days
until kickoff · vs Southeast Missouri State · Sat Sep 5 · 17:00 UTC
The experience
Iowa State is the program that turned 'losing for 100 years' into one of the most-loved Big 12 stories of the 2020s.
Offense: StrongTempo: Methodical, ball-controlDefense: Strong
Iowa State's 2026 Season Balances Roster Instability With Moderate Continuity
Iowa State enters the 2026 season with a moderate level of roster continuity, returning 58% of its players, but faces challenges due to significant transfer losses and a development-focused recruiting class ranked #54.
- Roster reloadIowa State's roster features 58% returning players, but the team lost 55 transfers compared to gaining 48, creating instability in key positions like WR and IOL.
- RecruitingThe team's recruiting class is ranked #54 with a score of 203.31, indicating a development-focused approach rather than immediate impact.
- ScheduleIowa State's base scenario projects an 8-5 record with a bowl game appearance, though ceiling and floor scenarios suggest potential for 10-3 or a 5-7 finish.
Data as of 2026-08-01
·
Validated against program evidence
Cy the Cardinal watches the grain elevator.
Iowa State · the story right now
8 storylines developing
What Iowa State's identity shift is really about
the open questionwhere does it go from here?
identitythis cycle~readnew
Matt Campbell enters his 8th season at Iowa State with an 8-4 record and a fanbase at 52/100, signaling tension between recent progress and lingering doubts about long-term identity.
what happenedIowa State: the fanbase's identity shifting. ✓ fact
narrative tension · our read
coachingthis cycle~readnew
Rogers, who previously coached at Washington State, inherits an 8-4 roster with 58% production returning — Iowa State’s love for its underdog identity clashes with the pressure to sustain a rare winning season.
what happenedJimmy Rogers took over as Iowa State's head coach, replacing Matt Campbell. ✓ fact
the contextreplaces 6-year head coach Matt Campbell (44-28)
narrative tension · our read
market_swing2026-07-16~readnew
Matt Campbell enters his 8th season with an 8-4 record and a win total drop to 4.5, raising questions about sustaining Iowa State's beloved but fragile Big 12 identity.
what happenedIowa State win total fell from 5.5 to 4.5 (-1 wins) between Jul 15 and Jul 16, 2026 (tier B). ✓ fact
the contextwin total down 1.0 — solo market signal, no peers moved the same direction
narrative tension · our read
coordinatorsthis cycle✓ factnew
Iowa State: coordinator change reshaping a unit.
narrative tension · our read
short yardagethis cycle~attributednew
Carson Hansen converts 3rd/4th-and-short at a below-average rate.
narrative tension · our read
deep threatthis cycle~attributednew
Chase Sowell is a real deep-ball threat -- a high share of his targets come on throws past the sticks.
narrative tension · our read
portal2026-05-19~read★new
Campbell's top-2 portal class in the Big 12 targets DL and IOL — diagnosing last year's 8-4 record while stabilizing a roster with just 58% production returning.
what happenedIowa State signed a top-25 transfer-portal class — 48 additions headlined by Zane Flores (QB) from Oklahoma State and Jaylen Raynor (QB) from Arkansas State. ✓ fact
the contexta top-2 portal class in the Big 12 this cycle
narrative tension · our read
program_outlookthis cycle~readnew
Iowa State enters 2025 at No. 33 in SP+ — the 8-4 record under Matt Campbell in his sixth year raises the question of whether this leap is sustainable.
what happenedIowa State enters 2025 rated No. 33 in SP+ (+9.9). ✓ fact
narrative tension · our read
How past storylines here turned out
Died downIowa State's offensive coordinator change has died down — no clear next chapter yet.
The story
The Offseason Ledger · Iowa State
4 verified updates · portal · recruiting · staff · news- News
Jaylen Raynor named Iowa State QB1
SI already says he's undervalued in Big 12 QB rankings — Campbell making it official in the depth chart gives Raynor a chance to prove the doubters wrong in a top-33 SP+ offense.
- News
Iowa State defensive depth chart revealed
Depth chart drops with a win total already slid to 4.5 — who's actually filling out Rogers' two-deep at WR is the real story inside this release.
- News
Win total: 5.5 → 4.5 (▼1)
Books moved down from 5.5 to 4.5 before any public announcement — a market signal ahead of the news cycle.
- Portal
RB Arnold Barnes III transfer commits from Tulane
Abu Sama III is gone and the RB room churned 6-for-6 in the portal — Barnes brings AAC starter reps to a Cyclone backfield that needed proven production, not a project.
Transfer portal snapshot
-7.2 net portal points
(raw ledger: -29.2 — unweighted, no position adjustment)WR-18.7
starter risk
LB-13.5
starter risk
S-11.3
starter risk
EDGE+7.3
need not filled
IOL+6.0
need not filled
DL+3.0
K+2.0
low confidence
TE-1.6
QB-1.1
CB-0.7
RB-0.6
OT+0.0
LS+0.0
Top 3 commits
2026 class
★★★★☆
Jeffrey Roberts
#458 national
Profiles like a typical incoming wide receiver — 17 of his 25 closest recruiting profiles since 2018 shared the Possession Receiver archetype.~our read · projection from recruiting profile — no college snaps yet
★★★☆☆
Benjamin Makelela
#551 national
★★★☆☆
Tayten Duncan
#731 national
Projects: Hybrid Nickel — 18 of his 25 closest recruiting profiles since 2018 shared the Hybrid Nickel archetype.~our read · projection from recruiting profile — no college snaps yet
→
Fan confidence in a typical range for this program right now
55th percentile among FBS programs
Fan vs. market↑
55th
Fan percentile
(FBS mood rank)
(FBS mood rank)
4.5
Vegas O/U wins
(11th among FBS)
(11th among FBS)
Fans 44pp more bullish than market implies
Win total consensus · 3 books
Market outlook
Season expectations
Win total3 booksO/U 4.5▼1 since Jul 2026
CFP championship#61 in field+10000
Big 12 title#16 in market+8000
Sportsbook consensus · best odds across multiple books · 2026-08-06
Iowa State · Next-Season Outcome Band
Iowa State · Next-Season Outcome BandFloor / Base / Ceiling
Floor 5-7
Base 8-5
Ceiling 10-3
floor5-7No postseason.
base8-5Bowl game.
ceiling10-3Bowl game.
Final-season-aware projection: floor / base / ceiling include conference title and CFP games where the model supports them, so a ceiling can exceed a 12-game regular season.
How the room reacted
Following now · Iowa State · Developing Confidence
Iowa State: the fanbase's identity shifting.
Iowa State: the fanbase's identity shifting.
the room is genuinely split
where the takes land · dot = how loud
DOUBTBELIEF
Skeptics3 doubt takes
Believers3 bull takes
💬 fans: 20% volume · mostly neutral
Developing1 new this week
last weekIowa State defensive depth chart revealed — Reported
3 weeks agoWin total: 5.5 → 4.5 (▼1)
4 weeks agoJaylen Raynor named Iowa State QB1 — Reported
May 19RB Arnold Barnes III transfer commits from Tulane — CFBD /player/portal
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
Matt Campbell enters his 8th season at Iowa State with an 8-4 record and a fanbase at 52/100, signaling tension between recent progress and lingering doubts about long-term identity.
Source of record: Iowa State: the fanbase's identity shifting.
How each room is reacting — tap to expand
📣Believers3 bullish items -- the case it's working.›
The optimistic read: momentum, and the 'this is real' takes.
“Iowa State football's Jimmy Rogers on vote for Cyclones to win Big 12”
The Des Moines Register · 2026-08-05 · read ↗
“Jimmy Rogers believes Iowa State can win. And he wants his team to see it”
Sioux City Journal · 2026-08-05 · read ↗
“Iowa State Football starts Fall Camp”
KWWL · 2026-08-06 · read ↗
🧐Skeptics“Burning questions for Iowa State football offensive position gro” — the real counter.›
The analytical counter: rankings, results, and 'the hype is ahead of the tape' takes.
“Burning questions for Iowa State football offensive position groups”
The Des Moines Register · 2026-08-05 · read ↗
“Why Iowa State won't have jersey sponsorship deal despite 'logical partners'”
247Sports · 2026-08-04 · read ↗
💬The boards20% of recent board volume — the fanbase is locked in. Board mood this week: mostly neutral · anger notable (59%).›
This event was in 81 of 398 board posts (20%) over the last 60 days — a fanbase consumed by it. Fan text shown verbatim, attributed to the community not the individual poster.
"Jimmy Rogers held his first press conference of fall camp on day one of practice. Rogers shares how different day one at Iowa State feels compared to Washington State, what positio"
CycloneFanatic ~ fan take
"Chris Williams and Brent Blum react to fall camp starting for the Cyclones before bringing in Jake Brend to recap Jimmy Rogers’ first fall presser. Why did he pick Iowa State to wi"
CycloneFanatic ~ fan take
Board health this week (253 posts): 19% positive · 54% neutral · 27% negative. Team-level weekly mood — not specific to this event. The boards ≠ the fanbase: a self-selected vocal slice.
Following now · Iowa State · Coaching Confidence
The Jimmy Rogers story at Iowa State won't sit still.
Jimmy Rogers took over as Iowa State's head coach, replacing Matt Campbell. It is replaces 6-year head coach Matt Campbell (44-28). It's not the hire that's the story anymore — it's everything it set in motion. The room is genuinely divided — believers and skeptics both have receipts.
bullish — but with real dissent
where the takes land · dot = how loud
DOUBTBELIEF
Skeptics2 doubt takes
Believers6 bull takes
💬 fans: 3% volume · mostly neutral
Developing4 new this week
yesterdayQ&A Recap: Jimmy Rogers meets with the media — Wide Right & Natty Lite
yesterdayIowa State football's Jimmy Rogers on vote for Cyclones to win Big 12 — The Des Moines Register
yesterdayIowa State football coach Jimmy Rogers compares rebuild to last year — The Des Moines Register
last weekIowa State defensive depth chart revealed — Reported
3 weeks agoWin total: 5.5 → 4.5 (▼1)
The cast who's driving the story · latest headline on each, attributed
Jimmy Rogers Head coach
“Q&A Recap: Jimmy Rogers meets with the media” — Wide Right & Natty Lite · 2026-08-05
Matt Campbell Out
“Inside player emotions of Matt Campbell's Iowa State departure, what Jimmy Rogers said to retain some Cyclones” — 247Sports · 2026-07-16
Jimmy Rogers Tough
“URGENT: Iowa State CAN Win 10 Games, But How EXACTLY Will They Do It? Jimmy Rogers Tough Task” — fox61.com · 2026-08-04
Road Trend
“Iowa State Football Looking To Keep up Road Trend Under Jimmy Rogers” — Yahoo Sports · 2026-07-27
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
Rogers, who previously coached at Washington State, inherits an 8-4 roster with 58% production returning — Iowa State’s love for its underdog identity clashes with the pressure to sustain a rare winning season.
Next · what to watch
The obvious story is the marquee name; the non-obvious one is roster churn — a coaching change keeps a portal and decommit window open long after the introductory presser. Watch decommitments and portal moves in the next window — that's where this is actually won or lost, not at the podium.
Source of record: Jimmy Rogers took over as Iowa State's head coach, replacing Matt Campbell — replaces 6-year head coach Matt Campbell (44-28).
How each room is reacting — tap to expand
📣Believers6 bullish/hire items -- the case it's working.›
The 'this hire changes everything' takes -- new-era believers making the case early.
“Iowa State football's Jimmy Rogers on vote for Cyclones to win Big 12”
The Des Moines Register · 2026-08-05 · read ↗
“Jimmy Rogers believes Iowa State can win. And he wants his team to see it”
Sioux City Journal · 2026-08-05 · read ↗
“URGENT: Iowa State CAN Win 10 Games, But How EXACTLY Will They Do It? Jimmy Rogers Tough Task”
fox61.com · 2026-08-04 · read ↗
🧐SkepticsNo prominent dissent — the coverage runs one way.›
The 'show me the body of work' counter -- resume gaps, scheme fits, and 'not that guy' reads.
Nothing in our corpus yet — this door stays open for when there is.
💬The boards12 board mentions — too thin to call a stance. Board mood this week: mostly neutral · anger notable (59%).›
Only 12 of 398 board posts mention it — below our floor to call a community stance. Shown as texture, not a verdict.
"Jimmy Rogers held his first press conference of fall camp on day one of practice. Rogers shares how different day one at Iowa State feels compared to Washington State, what positio"
CycloneFanatic ~ fan take
"Jimmy Rogers opened up fall camp with a refreshing attitude on expectations, resources and playing freshman. Jake Brend reports from day one of fall camp about why it matters on th"
CycloneFanatic ~ fan take
Board health this week (253 posts): 19% positive · 54% neutral · 27% negative. Team-level weekly mood — not specific to this event. The boards ≠ the fanbase: a self-selected vocal slice.
🔗The dominoes8 downstream moves — the hire's knock-on effects.›
The second-order trail: commits, decommits, portal and staff knock-on from the hire.
“Player Previews: Will Speedy Iowa State Transfer Carson Van Dinter Contribute in 2026?”
Player Previews · Sports Illustrated · 2026-08-05 · read ↗
“Projecting Penn State football roles for every Iowa State transfer in 2026”
247Sports · 2026-08-04 · read ↗
Recent Form · last 10 games
Mixed
Three of five. Trending up, not yet hot.
Streak W3Last 5 · 3-2Last 10 · 6-4
The forecast
Opens Sep 5
vs Southeast Missouri State · at home
Season line4.5 winsover -155
StrongMethodical, ball-controlStrong
✓ fact on line · ~ our read on style
Rival pulse
Fan mood index · most recent r/cfb data
Recruiting Footprint · 2026
Recruiting Footprint · 2026
26
TX · 4AZ · 3CA · 3IL · 2MN · 2CO · 1IA · 1ID · 1+9 more
TX leads the 2026 class with 4 commits. National footprint reaching 17 states.
Where they recruit · 2023-2026
101 signees across 25 states, 2023-2026. IA leads the pull.
r/cfb this year
[Postgame Thread] BYU Defeats Iowa State 41-27
[Postgame Thread] Iowa State Defeats TCU 20-17
[Postgame Thread] Iowa State Defeats South Dakota 55-7
Top community posts · last 12 months · r/cfb
National spotlight
12 games with TV coverage: 4 national broadcast, 5 ESPN, 2 cable, 1 streaming
Kickoff windows: 6 noon, 5 afternoon, 1 primetime
Fumble luck
The bounces haven't gone their way on their own fumbles: 38% recovered, vs. ~51% expected.
3 of 8 own fumbles recovered themselves; 7 of 13 forced fumbles recovered, 2025 only.
Takeaway conversion
Cashing in at a normal clip: 20% of disrupted passes intercepted, close to ~19% league-wide.
11 interceptions of 54 disrupted passes (43 deflected, 11 intercepted), 2025 only.
Penalty battle
The flags have favored them: 78 penalties drawn on opponents vs. 55 committed, 214 yards to the good.
480 penalty yards committed vs. 694 drawn on opponents, 2025 season total.
The Pulse on Iowa State
54
Δ -4.0 vs last wk
249
mentions this week · conversation velocity
What moved it — fall camp · last 14 days
Camp
Fall camp open — install + scrimmage cycle
ongoing
Kickoff
Season opener in 16 days
kickoff
"Cyclones"
— Iowa State fanbase · recurring line
Fanbase Signals
Cohort Divergence5 pctSpread between sub-fanbase cohorts in the Pulse window.
The Fever Year
Position = mood · width = volume · color = the kind of feeling
Inside the fanbase — all 10 corners
Cr/CFB
GGoogle News
LLocked On
WWide Right Natty Lite
CCampus paper
CCycloneFanatic
BBluesky
YYouTube
The split, staged
Warmest corner+0.00
Media
most bought-in cohort our read
vs
Coldest corner−0.00
Bettors
most skeptical cohort our read
How Iowa State fans actually talk real · top-upvoted
The crowd’s loudest take by upvotes — read for mood, not as a side. The cohort read is the measured part.
Loudest in the room this week real · by engagement
All 10 corners of the fanbase
skeptical
buying in
Media+0.14
Bettors−0.03
Cohort sentiment is a source-weighted model read — never a quote pinned to a person.
What this fanbase keeps coming back to our read · topic model
Topics are model-labeled from Reddit — a rough signal of what this fanbase is circling right now.
401 mentions · 8 sources · week 2026-01. Counts, sources and the divergence rank are measured (fact). Cohort labels and sentiment are a source-weighted model read (our read) — never a quote attributed to a person.
Belief checkevidence-driven
~ our readIowa State fans are leaning negative, and they're pointing to real stats and results to back it up — more than most fanbases right now.
backed by facts
the mood
✓ counted We read 253 posts from Iowa State fans this week.
Cy-Hawk
Fan mood across the 2025 season, both sides — our read
Hover a week for both sides’ game
Shaded weeks show whose fanbase read warmer, our measure of what fans actually said, not a poll.
What fans are saying
Fan claims · every quote verified verbatim
program directionWidely held among fans
fans believe Jimmy Rogers is a transformative and exciting new hire for Iowa State
Jamie Pollard gave us one last present ”Jimmy Freakin Rogers” Listening to the Cyclone Fanatic pre season special, what a hire!! LFG!!! IT’S A CYCLONE STATE!! Fuck the Hawks!!
Based on 1 comment from 1 poster across 1 thread · Jul 27, 2026 · via cyclONEnation
Season storylines
Week 4
“Our coaching staff was incredibly foolish when it came to managing players tonight. Putting Orange back out there after he was already dinged up, and playing Patton in garbage time so he could tear his ACL.”— r/CFB
Week 2
“I like to think we've got some good wins, but I just realized our opponents have collectively gone 2-6”— r/CFB
Week 3
“> Maybe the AD from back then just underestimated how crucial those media dollars were for football success. To be fair, basically everybody underestimated how big the media dollars were going to get for football. No athletic director in the mid-1990s would ever have predicte…”— r/CFB
Week 11
“I’m just so confused how this isn’t targeting. How is a player who is in the process of being tackled not considered a defenseless player? Moreover, K-State player spears him in the helmet with intent since he lowered his head going in for the hit. This is the exact type of hi…”— r/CFB
Week 7
“Was such a good game, could’ve been even better until Chambliss decided he couldn’t hit the broadside of a barn in the 4th.”— r/CFB
Five Lenses
What people are saying right now
Radio, beat writers & editorial8 posts
Diehard fan boards16 posts
News & campus coverage9 posts
Rent free · r/cfb fan posts, last season
Iowa State lives rent-free in
share of each rival fanbase’s football posts that bring up Iowa State
Fanbase Health Index · Iowa State · high confidence
Fanbase Health Index · Iowa State · high confidenceGrowing (63)
DecliningStableGrowingSurging
On-Field — 8-4 (67% win rate)64
Volume — 1047 effective signal-N90
Cohort Engagement — Divergence 0.05 — quiet35
From the booth
The Lexicon
722 posts and articles vs the field · 2025 season
rocco
×183.6 the field
Signature — ≥10× the rest of college football
rocco×183.6n=23
isu×34.1n=18
heacock×556.0n=11
Characteristic — 3–10×
kicker×4.7n=41
Mild — <3×
defense×2.0n=136
injured×7.3n=10
please×4.9n=15
flips×4.2n=16
half×3.1n=25
string×6.0n=10
“Rocco and the TEs today: "We dont need a defense"”
reddit/CFB · fan post, verbatim
Fanbase Voice
1,255 fan mentions
Doomers
vs the 81 highest-volume fanbases - 2025 season
Key stats — 2025 — FBS rank
Points/game#65 / 138 · 54th pct27.4
Pts allowed/game#22 / 138 · 85th pct20.2
Total yards/gm#75 / 136 · 46th pct395.6
Rush yards/gm#65 / 136 · 53rd pct174.2
Pass yards/gm#84 / 136 · 39th pct221.4
Yards allowed/gm#34 / 136 · 76th pct357.4
Rush yds allowed/gm#36 / 136 · 74th pct138.9
Sacks#129 / 136 · 6th pct13
Interceptions#54 / 136 · 61st pct11
3rd-down conv#69 / 136 · 50th pct39.9%
All 98 stats
Offense / Defense
Total yards
Team4747395.6/gm5.76/play#75 / 136 · 46th pct#42 / 69 · 41st pct#10 / 16 · 44th pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct
Opp4289357.4/gm5.68/play#34 / 136 · 76th pct#25 / 69 · 65th pct#4 / 16 · 81st pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct
Rush yards
Team2090174.2/gm2.54/play#65 / 136 · 53rd pct#32 / 69 · 55th pct#7 / 16 · 62nd pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct
Opp1667138.9/gm2.21/play#36 / 136 · 74th pct#31 / 69 · 57th pct#3 / 16 · 88th pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct
Rush carries
Team47839.8/gm#50 / 136 · 64th pct#20 / 69 · 72nd pct#7 / 16 · 62nd pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
Opp36830.7/gm#3 / 136 · 99th pct#2 / 69 · 99th pct#1 / 16 · 100th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct
Rush TDs
Team231.9/gm#53 / 136 · 62nd pct#30 / 69 · 58th pct#4 / 16 · 81st pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct
Opp141.2/gm#34 / 136 · 76th pct#25 / 69 · 65th pct#4 / 16 · 81st pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct
Net pass yards
Team2657221.4/gm3.22/play#84 / 136 · 39th pct#48 / 69 · 32nd pct#10 / 16 · 44th pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct
Opp2622218.5/gm3.47/play#44 / 136 · 68th pct#24 / 69 · 67th pct#7 / 16 · 62nd pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct
Pass attempts
Team34628.8/gm#104 / 136 · 24th pct#58 / 69 · 17th pct#13 / 16 · 25th pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct
Opp38732.2/gm#64 / 136 · 54th pct#31 / 69 · 57th pct#8 / 16 · 56th pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct
Completions
Team21017.5/gm#105 / 136 · 24th pct#59 / 69 · 16th pct#12 / 16 · 31st pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct
Opp23719.8/gm#63 / 136 · 54th pct#27 / 69 · 62nd pct#9 / 16 · 50th pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct
Pass TDs
Team161.3/gm#92 / 136 · 33rd pct#52 / 69 · 26th pct#12 / 16 · 31st pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct
Opp141.2/gm#20 / 136 · 86th pct#15 / 69 · 80th pct#5 / 16 · 75th pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct
Passer rating
Team134.1134.1#67 / 136 · 51st pct#39 / 69 · 45th pct#9 / 16 · 50th pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct
Opp125.4125.4#43 / 136 · 69th pct#26 / 69 · 64th pct#7 / 16 · 62nd pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
Interceptions thrown
Team90.8/gm#74 / 136 · 46th pct#33 / 69 · 54th pct#9 / 16 · 50th pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct
Opp110.9/gm#76 / 136 · 45th pct#38 / 69 · 46th pct#8 / 16 · 56th pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct
Sacks (def)
Team131.1/gm#129 / 136 · 6th pct#66 / 69 · 6th pct#15 / 16 · 12th pct#10 / 10 · 10th pct
Opp221.8/gm#53 / 136 · 62nd pct#29 / 69 · 59th pct#8 / 16 · 56th pct#7 / 10 · 40th pct
Tackles for loss
Team605.0/gm#100 / 136 · 27th pct#53 / 69 · 25th pct#13 / 16 · 25th pct#10 / 10 · 10th pct
Opp605.0/gm#37 / 136 · 74th pct#21 / 69 · 71st pct#5 / 16 · 75th pct#3 / 10 · 80th pct
First downs
Team25321.1/gm#76 / 136 · 45th pct#43 / 69 · 39th pct#10 / 16 · 44th pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct
Opp21217.7/gm#12 / 136 · 92nd pct#9 / 69 · 88th pct#2 / 16 · 94th pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct
3rd-down conv
Team655.4/gm#82 / 136 · 40th pct#42 / 69 · 41st pct#8 / 16 · 56th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct
Opp625.2/gm#31 / 136 · 78th pct#14 / 69 · 81st pct#2 / 16 · 94th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
3rd-down att
Team16313.6/gm#103 / 136 · 25th pct#44 / 69 · 38th pct#13 / 16 · 25th pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct
Opp16013.3/gm#27 / 136 · 81st pct#15 / 69 · 80th pct#3 / 16 · 88th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
4th-down conv
Team191.6/gm#21 / 136 · 85th pct#11 / 69 · 86th pct#5 / 16 · 75th pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct
Opp110.9/gm#32 / 136 · 77th pct#14 / 69 · 81st pct#1 / 16 · 100th pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct
4th-down att
Team282.3/gm#50 / 136 · 64th pct#26 / 69 · 64th pct#9 / 16 · 50th pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct
Opp252.1/gm#63 / 136 · 54th pct#30 / 69 · 58th pct#3 / 16 · 88th pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct
Time of possession
Team378:5631:35/gm#69 / 136 · 50th pct#35 / 69 · 51st pct#7 / 16 · 62nd pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct
Opp341:0428:25/gm#6 / 136 · 96th pct#2 / 69 · 99th pct#1 / 16 · 100th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
Kicking & Punting
Field goals#73 / 135 · 47th pct16/21 (76.2%)
Extra points31/33
Punting#99 / 136 · 28th pct42.1 avg · 43 punts
Turnovers & special teams
Turnovers
Team141.2/gm#90 / 136 · 35th pct#40 / 69 · 43rd pct#11 / 16 · 38th pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct
Opp181.5/gm#79 / 136 · 43rd pct#41 / 69 · 42nd pct#8 / 16 · 56th pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct
Fumbles lost
Team50.4/gm#91 / 136 · 34th pct#41 / 69 · 42nd pct#12 / 16 · 31st pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct
Opp70.6/gm#71 / 136 · 49th pct#41 / 69 · 42nd pct#7 / 16 · 62nd pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct
INT return TDs
Team00.0/gm#76 / 135 · 44th pct#39 / 69 · 45th pct#13 / 16 · 25th pct#7 / 10 · 40th pct
Opp10.1/gm#61 / 136 · 56th pct#30 / 69 · 58th pct#7 / 16 · 62nd pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct
INT return yards
Team13211.0/gm#57 / 136 · 59th pct#29 / 69 · 59th pct#8 / 16 · 56th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
Opp988.2/gm#59 / 136 · 57th pct#34 / 69 · 52nd pct#7 / 16 · 62nd pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct
Punt ret yds
Team21517.9/gm#33 / 136 · 76th pct#22 / 69 · 70th pct#4 / 16 · 81st pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct
Opp151.2/gm#4 / 136 · 98th pct#3 / 69 · 97th pct#1 / 16 · 100th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct
Punt ret TDs
Team10.1/gm#14 / 135 · 90th pct#11 / 69 · 86th pct#1 / 16 · 100th pct#1 / 10 · 100th pct
Opp00.0/gm#1 / 135 · 100th pct#1 / 69 · 100th pct#1 / 16 · 100th pct#1 / 10 · 100th pct
Kick ret yds
Team19015.8/gm#126 / 136 · 8th pct#65 / 69 · 7th pct#16 / 16 · 6th pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct
Opp97080.8/gm#136 / 136 · 1st pct#69 / 69 · 1st pct#16 / 16 · 6th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct
Kick ret TDs
Team00.0/gm#40 / 136 · 71st pct#17 / 69 · 77th pct#5 / 16 · 75th pct#2 / 9 · 89th pct
Opp00.0/gm#1 / 135 · 100th pct#1 / 69 · 100th pct#1 / 16 · 100th pct#1 / 9 · 100th pct
Penalty yards
Team48040.0/gm#123 / 136 · 10th pct#61 / 69 · 13th pct#14 / 16 · 19th pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct
Opp69457.8/gm#83 / 136 · 40th pct#48 / 69 · 32nd pct#13 / 16 · 25th pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct
Other
Punt ret (opp)#12 / 136 · 92nd pct#9 / 69 · 88th pct#2 / 16 · 94th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct70.6/gm
Fumbles rec (def)#25 / 136 · 82nd pct#17 / 69 · 77th pct#1 / 16 · 100th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct50.4/gm
H1 epa per play#29 / 162 · 83rd pct#20 / 69 · 72nd pct#5 / 16 · 75th pct0.30.0/gm
H2 epa per play opponent#40 / 143 · 73rd pct#23 / 69 · 68th pct#6 / 16 · 69th pct0.10.0/gm
Fumbles recovered#49 / 136 · 65th pct#19 / 69 · 74th pct#7 / 16 · 62nd pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct70.6/gm
Passes intercepted opponent#50 / 136 · 64th pct#31 / 69 · 57th pct#7 / 16 · 62nd pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct90.8/gm
Interceptions (def)#54 / 136 · 61st pct#27 / 69 · 62nd pct#8 / 16 · 56th pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct110.9/gm
Recruiting rating#54 / 138 · 62nd pct#54 / 69 · 23rd pct#12 / 16 · 31st pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct197.416.5/gm
H1 epa per play opponent#60 / 167 · 65th pct#32 / 69 · 55th pct#7 / 16 · 62nd pct0.20.0/gm
Fourth down go rate#62 / 138 · 56th pct#32 / 69 · 55th pct#11 / 16 · 38th pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct0.40.0/gm
Penalties (opp)#73 / 136 · 47th pct#42 / 69 · 41st pct#12 / 16 · 31st pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct786.5/gm
H2 epa per play#87 / 142 · 39th pct#45 / 69 · 36th pct#13 / 16 · 25th pct0.10.0/gm
Punt returns#108 / 136 · 21st pct#59 / 69 · 16th pct#14 / 16 · 19th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct110.9/gm
Kick returns#112 / 136 · 18th pct#52 / 69 · 26th pct#13 / 16 · 25th pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct121.0/gm
Red zone pass rate#118 / 154 · 24th pct#55 / 69 · 22nd pct#14 / 16 · 19th pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct0.30.0/gm
Penalties#126 / 136 · 8th pct#62 / 69 · 12th pct#15 / 16 · 12th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct554.6/gm
Kick ret (opp)#135 / 136 · 1st pct#69 / 69 · 1st pct#16 / 16 · 6th pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct473.9/gm
First down pass rate#169 / 215 · 22nd pct#66 / 69 · 6th pct#14 / 16 · 19th pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct0.40.0/gm
Situational
3rd-down conversion
Off39.9%#69 / 136 · 50th pct#40 / 69 · 43rd pct#7 / 16 · 62nd pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct
Def38.8%#63 / 136 · 54th pct#36 / 69 · 49th pct#10 / 16 · 44th pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct
4th-down conversion
Off67.9%#15 / 136 · 90th pct#9 / 69 · 88th pct#2 / 16 · 94th pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct
Def44.0%#26 / 136 · 82nd pct#14 / 69 · 81st pct#2 / 16 · 94th pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct
Turnover margin#43 / 136 · 69th pct#23 / 69 · 68th pct#6 / 16 · 69th pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct+0.33/gm
Sack rate (def)#134 / 136 · 2nd pct#68 / 69 · 3rd pct#16 / 16 · 6th pct#10 / 10 · 10th pct3.4%
Red Zone & Drive Efficiency (2014– , play-by-play derived)
Red zone trips
Team524.3/gm#32 / 167 · 81st pct#21 / 69 · 71st pct#6 / 16 · 69th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
Opp363.0/gm#63 / 166 · 63rd pct#23 / 69 · 68th pct#4 / 16 · 81st pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct
Red zone score %
Team76.9%76.9%#92 / 167 · 46th pct#49 / 69 · 30th pct#9 / 16 · 50th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct
Opp75.0%75.0%#53 / 166 · 69th pct#22 / 69 · 70th pct#7 / 16 · 62nd pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
Points / drive
Team2.30.2/gm#47 / 167 · 72nd pct#33 / 69 · 54th pct#7 / 16 · 62nd pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct
Opp1.60.1/gm#30 / 166 · 83rd pct#21 / 69 · 71st pct#5 / 16 · 75th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
Yards / drive
Team44.23.7/gm#44 / 167 · 74th pct#26 / 69 · 64th pct#7 / 16 · 62nd pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
Opp40.03.3/gm#65 / 166 · 61st pct#31 / 69 · 57th pct#7 / 16 · 62nd pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct
Plays / drive
Team70.6/gm#26 / 167 · 85th pct#11 / 69 · 86th pct#3 / 16 · 88th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct
Opp6.60.6/gm#95 / 166 · 43rd pct#40 / 69 · 43rd pct#11 / 16 · 38th pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct
Three-and-out rate
Team14.3%14.3%#92 / 167 · 46th pct#48 / 69 · 32nd pct#13 / 16 · 25th pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct
Opp15.2%15.2%#55 / 166 · 67th pct#30 / 69 · 58th pct#6 / 16 · 69th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
Scheme Identity (2014– , play-by-play derived)
Rush rate over expected#51 / 145 · 66th pct#16 / 69 · 78th pct#5 / 16 · 75th pct+1.6%+1.6%
Havoc rate
Team16.9%16.9%#51 / 140 · 64th pct#32 / 69 · 55th pct#8 / 16 · 56th pct
Opp14.5%14.5%#60 / 140 · 58th pct#28 / 69 · 61st pct#6 / 16 · 69th pct
Standard-downs success
Team51.7%51.7%#31 / 154 · 81st pct#22 / 69 · 70th pct#5 / 16 · 75th pct
Opp45.4%45.4%#45 / 172 · 74th pct#25 / 69 · 65th pct#6 / 16 · 69th pct
Passing-downs success
Team32.0%32.0%#64 / 153 · 59th pct#35 / 69 · 51st pct#8 / 16 · 56th pct
Opp30.1%30.1%#69 / 149 · 54th pct#33 / 69 · 54th pct#10 / 16 · 44th pct
Line yards / carry
Team3.03.0#57 / 143 · 61st pct#31 / 69 · 57th pct#7 / 16 · 62nd pct
Opp2.82.8#50 / 155 · 68th pct#30 / 69 · 58th pct#6 / 16 · 69th pct
Stuff rate
Team17.8%17.8%#58 / 143 · 60th pct#31 / 69 · 57th pct#6 / 16 · 69th pct
Opp21.5%21.5%#32 / 155 · 80th pct#17 / 69 · 77th pct#4 / 16 · 81st pct
Power success rate
Team62.2%62.2%#111 / 137 · 20th pct#59 / 69 · 16th pct#13 / 16 · 25th pct
Opp73.9%73.9%#97 / 141 · 32nd pct#49 / 69 · 30th pct#11 / 16 · 38th pct
Efficiency
Completion %
Off60.7%#83 / 136 · 40th pct#52 / 69 · 26th pct#10 / 16 · 44th pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct
Def61.2%#62 / 136 · 55th pct#29 / 69 · 59th pct#9 / 16 · 50th pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct
Yards / attempt
Off7.7#45 / 136 · 68th pct#29 / 69 · 59th pct#5 / 16 · 75th pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct
Def6.8#51 / 136 · 63rd pct#32 / 69 · 55th pct#7 / 16 · 62nd pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct
Yards / completion
Off12.7#30 / 136 · 79th pct#15 / 69 · 80th pct#2 / 16 · 94th pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct
Def11.1#47 / 136 · 66th pct#34 / 69 · 52nd pct#7 / 16 · 62nd pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct
Yards / carry#69 / 136 · 50th pct#36 / 69 · 49th pct#9 / 16 · 50th pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct4.4
Yards / play#63 / 136 · 54th pct#39 / 69 · 45th pct#11 / 16 · 38th pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct5.76
Scoring margin#39 / 136 · 72nd pct#29 / 69 · 59th pct#5 / 16 · 75th pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct+7.2/gm
FBS rankings · 2025 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs
Player stats — 2025 season
Quarterbacks
| Player | # | G | Cmp/Att | Pct | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT | Rate | QBR | Adj ANY/A | Sack% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pocket Passer · +0.29 EPA/play | 3 | 12 | 204 / 337 | 60.5 | 2565 #58 FBS | 7.6 | 16 #63 FBS | 9 | 134.8 | 61.2 | 6.6 | 5.6 | |
Yards by week → Pocket PasserBalanced passer who operates within the system, without one standout number carrying the profile. Impact starter — above-average production for the conference. The most common profile in its group this season — 97 of 183 classified this way. Played in 12 of 21 games this season · junior · 3-star, 2022 class Aura Tax — perception-vs-production gap across 4 tracked snapshots, 415 mentions | |||||||||||||
Running Backs
| Player | # | G | Car | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | 3rd Dn Use | Pass Dn Use | Stuff% | 10+% | Tgt Share | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Workhorse · +0.13 EPA/play | 26 | 11 | 187 | 950 #52 FBS | 5.1 | 6 | 65 | 16.7 | 14.1 | 12.0 | 12.5 | 9.1% (27/297) | |
Yards by week → Workhorse· Boom-or-bustBuilt to take 20+ carries per game. Volume is the value. his yards come in chunks — feast or famine All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started. 52 of 349 RBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Weight220 lb 82th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Rush TD rate3.2% bottom 35th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Trait fingerprint Plays like View Carson Hansen's full player page | |||||||||||||
| Balanced Back · +0.07 EPA/play | 24 | 12 | 141 | 732 | 5.2 | 5 | 44 | 8.9 | 11.3 | 19.6 | 14.1 | — | |
Yards by week → Balanced BackPlays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension. Starter — over 60% of the snaps, holding the job. 186 of 349 RBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / carry5.5 60th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Receiving share3.4% bottom 10th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Trait fingerprint Plays like View Abu Sama III's full player page | |||||||||||||
| -0.17 EPA/play | 2 | 5 | 25 | 117 | 4.7 | 1 | 28 | 3.1 | 1.1 | — | — | — | |
Yards by week → | |||||||||||||
Receivers
| Player | # | G | Rec | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | 3rd Dn Use | Pass Dn Use | Tgt Share | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Possession Receiver · +0.62 EPA/play | 9 | 11 | 30 | 526 | 17.5 | 5 | 75 | 8 | 7.6 | 14.5% (43/297) | |
Yards by week → Possession ReceiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. 332 of 558 WRs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / reception14.3 60th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions TD rate16.7% 91th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Brett Eskildsen's full player page | |||||||||||
| Deep Threat · +0.57 EPA/play | — | 10 | 32 | 500 | 15.6 | 2 | 52 | 13.5 | 14.3 | 18.2% (54/297) | |
Yards by week → Deep ThreatStretches the field vertically. Every snap is a potential big play. 100 of 558 WRs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / reception17.2 84th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Plays like View Chase Sowell's full player page | |||||||||||
| Red-Zone Weapon · +0.48 EPA/play | 18 | 12 | 37 | 446 | 12.1 | 6 #62 FBS | 27 | 9 | 8.3 | 14.8% (44/297) | |
Yards by week → Red-Zone WeaponThe first read called near the goal line — size and catch radius do the rest. All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started. 12 of 223 TEs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TD rate16.2% 81th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions Reception volume37 90th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like our readAscending: his CFB Index score went from the 38th percentile among FBS TEs to the 92nd | |||||||||||
| Complete TE · +0.59 EPA/play | 84 | 9 | 26 | 302 | 11.6 | 1 | 44 | 10.9 | 9.1 | 12.5% (37/297) | |
Yards by week → Complete TENo single go-to route — the receiving numbers show up inline and split out alike. 177 of 223 TEs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / reception13.7 79th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions TD rate3.8% bottom 22th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Gabe Burkle's full player page | |||||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.54 EPA/play | 4 | 8 | 18 | 243 | 13.5 | 0 | 44 | 4.4 | 10.9 | 8.1% (24/297) | |
Yards by week → Possession ReceiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. 332 of 558 WRs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / reception14.7 64th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions TD rate0.0% bottom 8th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Xavier Townsend's full player page | |||||||||||
| +0.78 EPA/play | 6 | 8 | 11 | 123 | 11.2 | 0 | 21 | 3.1 | 4.4 | — | |
Yards by week → | |||||||||||
| +0.79 EPA/play | 82 | 5 | 7 | 118 | 16.9 | 0 | 31 | 4 | 8.6 | — | |
Yards by week → | |||||||||||
| +0.18 EPA/play | 11 | 4 | 7 | 87 | 12.4 | 2 | 27 | 5.4 | 5.3 | — | |
Yards by week → | |||||||||||
| +0.74 EPA/play | 10 | 5 | 7 | 83 | 11.9 | 0 | 31 | 5.7 | 5.9 | — | |
Yards by week → | |||||||||||
| +0.05 EPA/play | 87 | 4 | 5 | 47 | 9.4 | 0 | 18 | 4.9 | 4.7 | — | |
Yards by week → | |||||||||||
Defensive Line
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | TFL | Sack | Hur |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 58 | 11 | 26 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
3-Tech PenetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 269 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate15.4% 53th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Tamatoa McDonough's full player page | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 88 | 12 | 25 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
3-Tech PenetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. 269 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate12.0% bottom 39th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Ikenna Ezeogu's full player page | |||||||
| Nose Anchor | 95 | 8 | 18 | 9 | 0.5 | 0 | 4 |
Nose AnchorThe heaviest frame on the interior. Sack production is intentionally not the point of this profile. 152 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Weight325 lb 93th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Domonique Orange's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 55 | 10 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
Two-Gap BaseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. 388 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate16.7% 58th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Jace J. Gilbert's full player page | |||||||
| 6 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 53 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 56 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1 | |
| 8 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | |
Linebackers
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | Ast | TFL | Sack | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Linebacker | 47 | 12 | 77 | 38 | 39 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Balanced LinebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 362 of 660 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume77 82th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Sack rate1.3% bottom 32th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Kooper Ebel's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 26 | 12 | 68 | 32 | 36 | 9.5 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
Balanced LinebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 362 of 660 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume68 73th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles TFL rate14.0% 74th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like our readUnranked recruit — top-quartile production against his own recruiting profile | |||||||||
| Thumper | 9 | 9 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
ThumperDownhill striker who fills the run lane and blitzes off the edge. 97 of 660 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate0.0% bottom 10th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Tackle volume29 bottom 22th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Cael Brezina's full player page | |||||||||
| Sideline-to-Sideline | 14 | 6 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sideline-to-SidelineRanges from hash to hash and makes his own tackles. 102 of 660 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Solo tackle rate0.6 85th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Carson Willich's full player page | |||||||||
| 23 | 6 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| 41 | 6 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 51 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 34 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| — | 4 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| 22 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Defensive Backs
| Player | # | G | Tot | PD | INT | TFL | Sack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Box Safety | 31 | 12 | 77 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 1 |
Box SafetyLives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker. Impact starter — above-average production for the conference. 166 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume77 95th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like our readReinvented: changed shape entirely — Hybrid Nickel to Box Safety, his CFB Index score went from the 20th percentile among FBS Ss to the 94th | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 2 | 9 | 48 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
Hybrid NickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 419 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate6.2% bottom 41th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like our readBreakout: his CFB Index score moved from the 8th to 76th percentile among FBS Ss | |||||||
| Box Safety | 7 | 12 | 36 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
Box SafetyLives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker. 166 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume36 bottom 39th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Tre Bell's full player page | |||||||
| Centerfielder | 19 | 8 | 33 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
CenterfielderSingle-high range who erases the deep middle of the field. 133 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate15.2% 83th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Ta'Shawn James's full player page | |||||||
| Centerfielder | 24 | 11 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
CenterfielderSingle-high range who erases the deep middle of the field. 133 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate18.5% 92th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Quentin Taylor Jr.'s full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 29 | 9 | 26 | 2 | 1 | 2.5 | 0 |
Hybrid NickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. 419 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate7.7% bottom 49th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Drew Surges's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 36 | 7 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 |
Hybrid NickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. 419 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate5.6% bottom 37th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Carson Van Dinter's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 3 | 5 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 1.5 | 0 |
Hybrid Nickel· Takeaway threatMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. the kind of DB who takes it back the other way 419 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate13.3% 76th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like our readFading: his CFB Index score climbed from the 88th percentile to the 30th among FBS Ss | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 43 | 7 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Hybrid NickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. 419 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate0.0% bottom 14th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Caden Matson's full player page | |||||||
| 18 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1.5 | 0 | |
| 13 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | |
| 20 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 35 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Kicking
| Player | # | G | FG M/A | FG% | XP M/A | Pts | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Big Leg | 97 | 8 | 14/18 | 77.8 | 19/21 | 61 | 63 |
| 94 | 5 | 2/3 | 66.7 | 12/12 | 18 | 38 |
Punting
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | Long | In20 | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinner | 80 | 11 | 42 | 1779 | 42.4 | 65 | 20 | 2 |
Net average is unavailable — CFBD's punting feed carries gross yards only, with no return-yardage or touchback deduction.
Kick Returns
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +0.47 EPA/play | 21 | 9 | 8 | 171 | 21.4 | 0 | 34 |
Punt Returns
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +0.47 EPA/play | 21 | 9 | 8 | 209 | 26.1 | 1 | 79 |
2025 stat leaders
final
2025 stat leaders
1.
Kooper Ebel
LB
77.0 tot (def)
2.
Marcus Neal
DB
77.0 tot (def)
3.
Caleb Bacon
LB
68.0 tot (def)
4.
Rocco Becht
QB
2,565 yds (pass)
5.
Carson Hansen
RB
950 yds (rush)
Roster
2025
21
players carry a qualified CFB Index Score this season.
Marcus Neal
S
#33 of 544
Benjamin Brahmer
TE
#20 of 156
Caleb Bacon
LB
#113 of 583
Carson Hansen
RB
#68 of 326
Jamison Patton
S
#138 of 544
Kooper Ebel
LB
#194 of 583
+15 more
Iowa State · 2025 schedule & results8-4Brutal slateAverage opponent win rate 54% · 6 AP top-25 opponents on the schedule. 1 ranked win banked (time-of-game rank).
| Wk | Date | Us | Opp | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 23 | #50 | #18 | +3 | Kansas State (N)Top 25 win | W 24–21 131 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| 1 | Aug 30 | #50 | #106 | -13.5 | South Dakota | W 55–7 117 | 2-0 | 1-0 |
| 2 | Sep 6 | #35 | #42 | -3.5 | Iowa | W 16–13 120 | 3-0 | 1-0 |
| 3 | Sep 13 | #38 | #138 | -20.5 | @Arkansas State | W 24–16 132 | 4-0 | 1-0 |
| 5 | Sep 27 | #40 | #63 | -3.5 | Arizona | W 39–14 140 | 5-0 | 2-0 |
| 6 | Oct 4 | #41 | #46 | +1.5 | @Cincinnati | L 30–38 144 | 5-1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | Oct 11 | #40 | #81 | -2.5 | @Colorado | L 17–24 131 | 5-2 | 2-2 |
| 9 | Oct 25 | #43 | #23 | -2.5 | BYU | L 27–41 134 | 5-3 | 2-3 |
| 10 | Nov 1 | #40 | #35 | -7.5 | Arizona State | L 19–24 139 | 5-4 | 2-4 |
| 11 | Nov 8 | #45 | #36 | +7.5 | @TCU | W 20–17 145 | 6-4 | 3-4 |
| 13 | Nov 22 | #50 | #64 | -3.5 | Kansas | W 38–14 123 | 7-4 | 4-4 |
| 14 | Nov 29 | #39 | #164 | -14 | @Oklahoma State | W 20–13 123 | 8-4 | 5-4 |
Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, explosiveness)▼
| Date | Opp | Result | Yds | TO | TOP | EPA/play | Success% | Explosive% | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29 | @Oklahoma State | W 20–13 | 344 | 1 | 32:59 | +0.184 | 45.9% | 98.6% | One-score win |
| Nov 22 | Kansas | W 38–14 | 462 | 0 | 39:08 | +0.396 | 47.3% | 155.7% | Most explosive |
| Nov 8 | @TCU | W 20–17 | 272 | 2 | 27:24 | -0.087 | 40.3% | 116.7% | Season-low EPA/play |
| Nov 1 | Arizona State | L 19–24 | 336 | 1 | 27:56 | -0.012 | 39.4% | 95.9% | Best defensive stand |
| Oct 25 | BYU | L 27–41 | 495 | 4 | 32:10 | +0.172 | 49.3% | 121.4% | |
| Oct 11 | @Colorado | L 17–24 | 441 | 1 | 29:57 | +0.102 | 47.8% | 106.5% | One-score loss |
| Oct 4 | @Cincinnati | L 30–38 | 465 | 0 | 34:56 | +0.183 | 38.6% | 143.4% | Defense's roughest night |
| Sep 27 | Arizona | W 39–14 | 400 | 1 | 31:05 | +0.194 | 47.8% | 126.1% | |
| Sep 13 | @Arkansas State | W 24–16 | 452 | 1 | 25:19 | +0.372 | 51.6% | 124.7% | One-score win |
| Sep 6 | Iowa | W 16–13 | 238 | 1 | 28:52 | +0.118 | 42.1% | 81.2% | One-score win |
| Aug 30 | South Dakota | W 55–7 | 529 | 0 | 35:18 | +0.563 | 57.6% | 125.1% | Season-high EPA/play |
| Aug 23 | Kansas State | W 24–21 | 313 | 2 | 33:52 | +0.121 | 34.2% | 138.8% | One-score win |
| Season average (12 games) | 396 | 1.2 | +0.192 | 45.2% | 119.5% | ||||
How They Play · 2025
How They Play · 2025Iowa State fields a strong methodical, ball-control offense behind a strong defense.
Opponent-adjusted percentiles vs all FBS. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.
Team identity · competitive snaps only
How Iowa State actually scores
68th percentile quality, 22nd percentile boom-dependency. Garbage time excluded from both axes — the same correction that changes the Q4 story below.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Quality percentile | Boom-share percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 86th | 11th |
| Akron | 12th | 89th |
| Alabama | 58th | 17th |
| App State | 35th | 47th |
| Arizona | 64th | 37th |
| Arizona State | 41st | 62nd |
| Arkansas | 90th | 12th |
| Arkansas State | 17th | 66th |
| Army | 57th | 43rd |
| Auburn | 47th | 53rd |
| BYU | 78th | 19th |
| Baylor | 69th | 25th |
| Boise State | 66th | 20th |
| Boston College | 37th | 54th |
| Bowling Green | 2nd | 98th |
| Buffalo | 11th | 88th |
| California | 28th | 48th |
| Central Michigan | 52nd | 64th |
| Cincinnati | 89th | 16th |
| Clemson | 51st | 48th |
| Coastal Carolina | 17th | 83rd |
| Colorado | 18th | 84th |
| Colorado State | 16th | 83rd |
| Delaware | 38th | 58th |
| Duke | 80th | 14th |
| East Carolina | 63rd | 36th |
| Eastern Michigan | 49th | 42nd |
| Florida | 30th | 67th |
| Florida Atlantic | 62nd | 59th |
| Florida International | 42nd | 50th |
| Florida State | 83rd | 32nd |
| Fresno State | 26th | 73rd |
| Georgia | 81st | 3rd |
| Georgia Southern | 73rd | 21st |
| Georgia State | 36th | 70th |
| Georgia Tech | 84th | 5th |
| Hawai'i | 64th | 41st |
| Houston | 27th | 65th |
| Illinois | 75th | 26th |
| Indiana | 95th | 1st |
| Iowa | 44th | 40th |
| Iowa State | 68th | 22nd |
| Jacksonville State | 54th | 38th |
| James Madison | 65th | 44th |
| Kansas | 85th | 28th |
| Kansas State | 71st | 49th |
| Kennesaw State | 56th | 30th |
| Kent State | 21st | 86th |
| Kentucky | 15th | 85th |
| LSU | 14th | 81st |
| Liberty | 43rd | 56th |
| Louisiana | 19th | 73rd |
| Louisiana Tech | 39th | 61st |
| Louisville | 48th | 64th |
| Marshall | 55th | 39th |
| Maryland | 30th | 74th |
| Memphis | 80th | 24th |
| Miami | 76th | 5th |
| Miami (OH) | 34th | 67th |
| Michigan | 67th | 33rd |
| Michigan State | 27th | 75th |
| Middle Tennessee | 39th | 52nd |
| Minnesota | 29th | 77th |
| Mississippi State | 22nd | 77th |
| Missouri | 61st | 30th |
| Missouri State | 55th | 46th |
| NC State | 86th | 23rd |
| Navy | 94th | 17th |
| Nebraska | 48th | 57th |
| Nevada | 3rd | 97th |
| New Mexico | 58th | 60th |
| New Mexico State | 9th | 87th |
| North Carolina | 13th | 89th |
| North Texas | 98th | 7th |
| Northern Illinois | 8th | 92nd |
| Northwestern | 52nd | 36th |
| Notre Dame | 99th | 20th |
| Ohio | 67th | 18th |
| Ohio State | 93rd | 4th |
| Oklahoma | 20th | 80th |
| Oklahoma State | 5th | 95th |
| Old Dominion | 83rd | 45th |
| Ole Miss | 89th | 2nd |
| Oregon | 91st | 10th |
| Oregon State | 2nd | 98th |
| Penn State | 73rd | 33rd |
| Pittsburgh | 60th | 39th |
| Purdue | 25th | 78th |
| Rice | 6th | 94th |
| Rutgers | 70th | 27th |
| SMU | 74th | 42nd |
| Sam Houston | 4th | 96th |
| San Diego State | 24th | 76th |
| San José State | 45th | 69th |
| South Alabama | 36th | 58th |
| South Carolina | 23rd | 86th |
| South Florida | 87th | 23rd |
| Southern Miss | 40th | 55th |
| Stanford | 10th | 90th |
| Syracuse | 5th | 95th |
| TCU | 72nd | 35th |
| Temple | 70th | 34th |
| Tennessee | 96th | 11th |
| Texas | 45th | 55th |
| Texas A&M | 82nd | 14th |
| Texas State | 92nd | 8th |
| Texas Tech | 77th | 31st |
| Toledo | 50th | 61st |
| Troy | 14th | 80th |
| Tulane | 79th | 15th |
| Tulsa | 20th | 70th |
| UAB | 61st | 45th |
| UCF | 33rd | 82nd |
| UCLA | 23rd | 79th |
| UConn | 95th | 13th |
| UL Monroe | 11th | 92nd |
| UNLV | 88th | 9th |
| USC | 98th | 2nd |
| UTEP | 1st | 99th |
| UTSA | 77th | 51st |
| Utah | 97th | 6th |
| Utah State | 46th | 63rd |
| Vanderbilt | 100th | 0th |
| Virginia | 59th | 27th |
| Virginia Tech | 32nd | 71st |
| Wake Forest | 42nd | 72nd |
| Washington | 92nd | 8th |
| Washington State | 33rd | 52nd |
| West Virginia | 7th | 93rd |
| Western Kentucky | 53rd | 29th |
| Western Michigan | 31st | 68th |
| Wisconsin | 0th | 100th |
| Wyoming | 8th | 91st |
Fourth-quarter reliability, corrected
Iowa State's 4th-quarter offense, before and after garbage time
Raw Q4 EPA/play ranks 20th percentile in FBS. Strip out snaps taken with a blowout margin and it climbs to the 23rd — the correction is the finding, not a footnote.
Standard downs vs. passing downs
Does Iowa State hold up once the down-and-distance turns against them?
80th percentile success on standard downs, 58th on passing downs — a 22-point gap between the two.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Standard-downs percentile | Passing-downs percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 82nd | 69th |
| Akron | 20th | 36th |
| Alabama | 47th | 76th |
| App State | 41st | 80th |
| Arizona | 54th | 54th |
| Arizona State | 40th | 37th |
| Arkansas | 90th | 97th |
| Arkansas State | 51st | 40th |
| Army | 37th | 44th |
| Auburn | 73rd | 24th |
| Austin Peay | 56th | 13th |
| BYU | 91st | 46th |
| Ball State | 5th | 3rd |
| Baylor | 70th | 77th |
| Boise State | 42nd | 63rd |
| Boston College | 56th | 54th |
| Bowling Green | 10th | 17th |
| Bryant | 7th | 2nd |
| Buffalo | 29th | 20th |
| California | 25th | 66th |
| Central Michigan | 57th | 11th |
| Charlotte | 7th | 7th |
| Cincinnati | 89th | 65th |
| Clemson | 49th | 34th |
| Coastal Carolina | 16th | 22nd |
| Colorado | 8th | 48th |
| Colorado State | 29th | 35th |
| Delaware | 66th | 31st |
| Duke | 82nd | 63rd |
| East Carolina | 63rd | 91st |
| Eastern Michigan | 46th | 67th |
| Florida | 52nd | 45th |
| Florida Atlantic | 44th | 61st |
| Florida International | 50th | 26th |
| Florida State | 65th | 90th |
| Fresno State | 22nd | 71st |
| Georgia | 95th | 69th |
| Georgia Southern | 64th | 84th |
| Georgia State | 22nd | 75th |
| Georgia Tech | 92nd | 89th |
| Hawai'i | 33rd | 87th |
| Houston | 61st | 29th |
| Idaho | 30th | 78th |
| Idaho State | 93rd | 14th |
| Illinois | 79th | 95th |
| Indiana | 97th | 98th |
| Iowa | 74th | 19th |
| Iowa State | 80th | 58th |
| Jacksonville State | 59th | 56th |
| James Madison | 77th | 52nd |
| Kansas | 99th | 82nd |
| Kansas State | 37th | 59th |
| Kennesaw State | 44th | 67th |
| Kent State | 15th | 5th |
| Kentucky | 62nd | 29th |
| LSU | 18th | 52nd |
| Lafayette | 0th | 12th |
| Liberty | 65th | 53rd |
| Lindenwood | 4th | 1st |
| Long Island University | 24th | 78th |
| Louisiana | 24th | 23rd |
| Louisiana Tech | 41st | 24th |
| Louisville | 84th | 32nd |
| Maine | 3rd | 18th |
| Marshall | 71st | 62nd |
| Maryland | 11th | 86th |
| Massachusetts | 5th | 9th |
| Memphis | 75th | 68th |
| Merrimack | 1st | 83rd |
| Miami | 80th | 64th |
| Miami (OH) | 33rd | 39th |
| Michigan | 73rd | 74th |
| Michigan State | 48th | 39th |
| Middle Tennessee | 69th | 47th |
| Minnesota | 35th | 33rd |
| Mississippi State | 52nd | 35th |
| Missouri | 76th | 50th |
| Missouri State | 32nd | 50th |
| Murray State | 1st | 6th |
| NC State | 58th | 71st |
| Navy | 95th | 72nd |
| Nebraska | 78th | 51st |
| Nevada | 17th | 16th |
| New Mexico | 38th | 60th |
| New Mexico State | 16th | 33rd |
| North Carolina | 14th | 30th |
| North Texas | 100th | 97th |
| Northern Illinois | 9th | 5th |
| Northwestern | 48th | 88th |
| Notre Dame | 88th | 99th |
| Ohio | 69th | 76th |
| Ohio State | 99th | 99th |
| Oklahoma | 39th | 41st |
| Oklahoma State | 14th | 7th |
| Old Dominion | 72nd | 79th |
| Ole Miss | 83rd | 95th |
| Oregon | 93rd | 55th |
| Oregon State | 54th | 25th |
| Penn State | 76th | 73rd |
| Pittsburgh | 35th | 56th |
| Purdue | 46th | 88th |
| Rice | 20th | 0th |
| Rutgers | 71st | 84th |
| SMU | 50th | 57th |
| Sam Houston | 26th | 4th |
| San Diego State | 84th | 1st |
| San José State | 68th | 70th |
| South Alabama | 53rd | 28th |
| South Carolina | 31st | 8th |
| South Carolina State | 10th | 3rd |
| South Florida | 86th | 46th |
| Southern Miss | 27th | 38th |
| Stanford | 12th | 12th |
| Syracuse | 19th | 10th |
| TCU | 63rd | 82nd |
| Temple | 85th | 22nd |
| Tennessee | 97th | 81st |
| Texas | 27th | 61st |
| Texas A&M | 88th | 59th |
| Texas State | 60th | 93rd |
| Texas Tech | 45th | 65th |
| Toledo | 67th | 42nd |
| Troy | 18th | 27th |
| Tulane | 81st | 86th |
| Tulsa | 43rd | 43rd |
| UAB | 34th | 94th |
| UCF | 39th | 20th |
| UCLA | 28th | 48th |
| UConn | 96th | 37th |
| UL Monroe | 13th | 14th |
| UNLV | 78th | 85th |
| USC | 94th | 90th |
| UT Martin | 2nd | 41st |
| UTEP | 3rd | 10th |
| UTSA | 67th | 92nd |
| Utah | 87th | 96th |
| Utah State | 31st | 49th |
| Vanderbilt | 90th | 100th |
| Virginia | 36th | 73rd |
| Virginia Tech | 59th | 21st |
| Wake Forest | 21st | 31st |
| Washington | 98th | 93rd |
| Washington State | 61st | 44th |
| West Virginia | 12th | 18th |
| Western Kentucky | 55th | 80th |
| Western Michigan | 86th | 16th |
| Wisconsin | 6th | 27th |
| Wyoming | 23rd | 15th |
Halftime identity
Iowa State by half
1st-half offense ranks 83rd percentile in FBS; 2nd-half, 39th — competitive snaps only, garbage time excluded from both halves.
Schedule mirage
How much of Iowa State's number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 21 is 0.19; 64th percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's 0.04. The widest gap came in week 1: 0.34 raw vs. 0.06 adjusted.
Iowa State reads strongest in rushing epa allowed (top 19%) and success rate (top 24%); the crux lives in explosive plays, where Iowa State sits at the 23rd percentile.
offense · strengths lead
defense · higher bar = harder to play against
hidden math · special situations
ELITE · 90+STRONG · 70+AVERAGE · 40-70CONCERN · 10-40BOTTOM · <10
Most Similar Programs · Iowa State
Most Similar Programs · Iowa StateReads Like
VirginiaTier 4 · Prestige T3 · Roughly similar size up frontWake ForestTier 4 · Prestige T3 · Roughly similar size up frontDukeTier 4 · Prestige T3
Static-attribute similarity across tier, archetype, conference, and voice. Not a prediction — a calibration.
Home-Field Advantage · Iowa State · 2018-present
Strong
69% home win rate vs 52% on the road. margin runs +8.3 better at home. Jack Trice Stadium seats 61,500, averaging 95% full (58,624 attendance, 27 games reported).
Home37-16Away21-19
Positional competition · RB room
The carries are split. The job isn’t.
Carson Hansen and Abu Sama III split the carries (185/276 vs 91/276) -- but the job isn't split the same way. Carson Hansen gets the clock-killing work.
Carson HansenAbu Sama III
Carries
the baseline -- every row below is tested against this split, not a flat 50/50
Inside the 5
shared -- dots touch, this room really is a committee here
Q4, leading (competitive)
p = 0.000 -- real, not noise
Targets
shared -- dots touch, this room really is a committee here
Top-5-carry share
concentration alone -- EPA/carry doesn't corroborate, read with caution
Screened 4 claims, 1 survived, 3 falsified
Positional competition · WR/TE room
The targets are split. The job isn’t.
Chase Sowell (WR) and Benjamin Brahmer (TE) split the targets (54/95 vs 41/95) -- but the job isn't split the same way. Chase Sowell produces in bigger chunks.
Chase SowellBenjamin Brahmer
Targets
the baseline -- every row below is tested against this split, not a flat 50/50
3rd-down targets
shared -- dots touch, this room really is a committee here
Top-5-catch share
concentration and EPA/target agree -- a real boom/bust split
Screened 2 claims, 1 survived, 1 falsified
What changed
Iowa State’s play-calling, before and after the change
Offense: Nathan Scheelhaase (2023) → Taylor Mouser (2024–2025)
The biggest shift: red-zone pass rate moved down 12 points. The rest held closer to steady.
1st-down pass rate
Red-zone pass rate
Defense: Wally Burnham (2014–2015) → Jon Heacock (2016–2025)
The biggest shift: red-zone pass rate moved down 6 points. The rest held closer to steady.
1st-down pass rate
Red-zone pass rate
4th-down go rate
Season by season
How Iowa State’s current staff calls plays, year over year
Offense: Taylor Mouser (2024–2025)
1st-down pass rate
2024: 38% → 2025: 36% · 2-pt range · #167 of 171 · less than most
Red-zone pass rate
2024: 39% → 2025: 30% · 9-pt range · #123 of 171 · a typical amount
4th-down go rate
2024: 35% → 2025: 40% · 4-pt range · #166 of 171 · less than most
Defense: Jon Heacock (2016–2025)
1st-down pass rate
2016: 38% → 2025: 36% · 13-pt range · #52 of 189 · a typical amount
Red-zone pass rate
2016: 40% → 2025: 30% · 25-pt range · #14 of 189 · more than most
4th-down go rate
2016: 32% → 2025: 40% · 24-pt range · #44 of 188 · more than most
Defensive identity · pass zones
What this defense gives up, by zone.
On short passes, Iowa State’s defense allows a completion rate above the FBS mean (66.7% vs 65.9% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 141-play sample) — mid-pack, 85 of 133 qualifying defenses.
We won’t show a deep-ball leaderboard here: at the defense level, most teams face well under 30 rich-feed deep targets all season — too thin to tell a real tendency from noise, so we won’t guess.
Screened 133 claims, 133 survived · 2025 only, in the 399 games with the detailed play-text feed; n=141 short-zone plays faced, raw rate 67.4%
Venue texture
60°F average kickoff temp; 5% of games had measurable precipitation; 9 mph average wind.
Based on 78 home games with weather data.
The CFP Era
12 seasons inside the CFP era, no bids yet — the era the program is still trying to break into.
TRAJECTORY · quality-score line · AP rank dotted · CFP bids marked · coach regimes ribboned
Program Quality
AP Rank (inverted)
CFP Appearance
Iowa State's 2014–2025 record is 76-73. The era is still being written; the CFP line is the one the program is arguing for.
Cy-Hawk
70 meetings since 1895 See the whole history →
Heat trajectory
Week-by-week rivalry heat isn't tracked yet for this matchup — check back as the 2026-27 season approaches and real fan-intel signal accumulates.
Fan Heat Index
Who's more worked up right now
Cross-fanbase rivalry sentiment for this matchup hasn't been measured yet this week — both sides show as neutral until real signal comes in.
Iowa State
Awaiting
Iowa
Awaiting
Iowa State
—
Iowa
—
THE LAST 5 · year-by-year
- W 2025 Win 16–13
- W 2024 Win 20–19
- L 2023 Loss 13–20
- W 2022 Win 10–7
- L 2021 Loss 17–27
All-Time Record
566-679-45
since 1895 · 131 seasons · .438 win rate
HOME
349-277-29
AWAY
211-386-16
NEUTRAL
6-16
1890s
1900s
1910s
1920s
1930s
1940s
1950s
1960s
1970s
1980s
1990s
2000s
2010s
2020s
The program, in full — read the essay
Matt Campbell went 72-55 at Iowa State — the best winning percentage in the school's history — and left for Penn State at the end of 2025. The roster largely followed him out the door. Jimmy Rogers takes over a program that spent a century learning how to lose and a decade learning how to win, and now has to figure out which one it is without the man who taught it the difference.
Jack Trice Stadium is the only Power-conference stadium in the country named for an African-American athlete. Trice, Iowa State's first Black player, was fatally injured in a 1923 road game at Minnesota; the letter he wrote the night before — 'my sole purpose of going to Minnesota is to play the best football I can' — became the program's moral cornerstone decades before it had a trophy case worth mentioning. Iowa State showed up for a hundred years of losing and kept showing up. The patience is not a cliche; it is documented and real.
Campbell arrived in 2017 and converted that patience into wins: a Fiesta Bowl, a Big 12 Championship Game berth, top-15 rankings, Brock Purdy from Ames to a Super Bowl. When he left for Penn State after an 8-4 season that briefly put the Cyclones at No. 12 nationally, the departure had the specific sting of something that wasn't supposed to happen — the good coach who was supposed to stay, leaving with the roster behind him. Rogers, a Campbell assistant, inherits the infrastructure and the depth chart question.
The 2026 season in Ames is a direct test of a question the Campbell era never had to answer: was the decade of winning about the program or about the coach? If Rogers holds the altitude — bowl game, .500 Big 12 record, the talent pipeline still producing — then the Campbell years changed Iowa State permanently. If the program slides back toward the bottom of the league, Cyclone country will have its oldest fear confirmed. The fanbase will show up either way. The question is which version of Iowa State they'll be watching.
How they play
Campbell's Iowa State ran gap-sound, tough, develop-and-keep football — a scheme that out-coached its talent gaps through patience and execution. Rogers inherits that structural identity: a run-first base, physical defense, and a program built to keep players who might otherwise transfer to bigger names. Jack Trice Stadium holds 61,500 and has one of the sport's most devoted tailgate cultures — a fanbase that turned up through a century of losing and doesn't stop now. The rebuild is real; the loyalty is realer.
Steady
Iowa State 2016–2025. Holding the line. The 10-year slope (+0.07 rungs / yr) doesn't tilt either way — the program lives at roughly Tier 3.
CFP Era · Iowa State
12 seasons on file
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
down middle peak CFP year
Season Standing · 2025 · 8-4 · AP #22
Season Standing · 2025 · 8-4 · AP #22Ranked (25-16)
Iowa State: Ranked in the AP/Coaches polls, 16-25. National relevance achieved.
R0R1R2R3R4R5R6R7R8R9
Sub-FBSBuildingBowlRankedContenderPlayoff
Big 12 Standing · 2025
8th in the Big 12
Iowa State is 8th of 16 in the Big 12 at 5-4. The path to the title is steep — the focus is on bowl access and rivalry wins.
| # | Program | Record |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Texas Tech | 9-1 |
| 2 | BYU | 8-2 |
| 3 | Utah | 7-2 |
| 4 | Arizona | 7-3 |
| 5 | Arizona State | 6-3 |
| 6 | Houston | 6-3 |
| 7 | Cincinnati | 5-4 |
| 8 | Iowa State | 5-4 |
| 9 | TCU | 5-4 |
| 10 | Kansas State | 5-5 |
| 11 | Baylor | 3-6 |
| 12 | Kansas | 3-6 |
| 13 | UCF | 2-7 |
| 14 | West Virginia | 2-7 |
| 15 | Colorado | 1-8 |
| 16 | Oklahoma State | 0-9 |
Coaching Era · Iowa State
Coaching Era · Iowa StateJimmy Rogers
Jimmy Rogers took over from Matt Campbell for the 2026 season.
Era Jimmy Rogers · 2026–presentPrev: Matt Campbell (2016–2025)OC: Tyler RoehlPrev OC: Taylor Mouser (2024–2025)DC: Jesse BobbitPrev DC: Jon Heacock (2016–2025)
1
year · era
Rituals
Three gameday rituals — the ones outsiders never quite catch.
Jack Trice Stadium
since 1923
Jack Trice was a Black ISU football player who died from injuries in a 1923 game vs Minnesota. ISU renamed the stadium for him in 1997 — the only FBS venue named after a player rather than a donor or coach. The story is the program's moral identity anchor.
Tailgate Lots
since 1970s
Ames tailgating is among the most-cited 'great experiences in CFB' in the Big 12 — converted Iowa farm-country sensibility, multi-generational families, the simple food + good neighbors aesthetic. The fan culture pre-dates and survives the football program's competitive ups and downs.
Matt Campbell Era
since 2016
Matt Campbell's hire (2016) transformed ISU from chronic doormat into Big 12 contender. The 2020 Fiesta Bowl appearance and the program's first sustained top-25 era are the Campbell era's headline. Brock Purdy (2019-2021) was the most-popular QB in program history.
Program memory
What this program never forgets
Most weeks vanish. These didn’t.
1923
Jack Trice's last game
Trice is fatally injured at Minnesota; his letter the night before becomes the program's moral cornerstone
Wound
2020
First Big 12 Championship Game berth
Campbell's Cyclones reach the league title game for the first time ever, capped by a Fiesta Bowl win
2025
Campbell leaves for Penn State
The architect of the rise departs after an 8-4, top-12 season, and the roster largely follows
Heartbreak
Moment of the Year · Iowa State · 2025
Moment of the Year · Iowa State · 2025Won 24-21 at Kansas State
Week 1 of 2025. The single game that defined the season's arc.
Bowl / Postseason Ledger
Bowl / Postseason LedgerRecent postseason (2017-2024): 3-4
Most recent: 2024 — win 41-42 (away). Last 5 postseason: 2-3.
20242023202120202019
NFL Draft Pipeline
2022–2026
NFL Draft PipelineSteady
13 picks last 5 cycles. Reliable mid-tier pipeline.
13
picks · 1 R1
#15
Will McDonald IV
Outside Linebacker · 2023 · New York
#34
Jayden Higgins
Wide Receiver · 2025 · Houston · #5/466 final season
#36
Breece Hall
Running Back · 2022 · New York · #11/315 final season
#96 all-time · 2 first-round picksthe talent factory →
Unit lineage
Iowa State’s offense and defense, by coordinator
FBS-relative efficiency percentile per season (2014–2025), same population as the Coordinator Mirror board. Dashed vertical lines mark a coordinator change.
Offense2014–2025
2014–2015 · Mark Mangino2016–2017 · Tom Manning2019–2022 · Tom Manning2023 · Nathan Scheelhaase2024–2025 · Taylor Mouser
Hired for 2026: Tyler Roehl — not yet reflected in on-field data.
Defense2014–2025
2014–2015 · Wally Burnham2016–2025 · Jon Heacock
Hired for 2026: Jesse Bobbit — not yet reflected in on-field data.
Elite (≥70th pct)AveragePoor (≤30th pct)
Chronicle Visuals
Average 2025 continuity (58% back) — qb room anchors it, offense is the stress point.
The portal upgraded the K room but opened a hole at WR.
1 player drafted in 2026; the reload runs through the portal and recruiting.
Iowa State converts recruit talent into draft picks better than its class rank suggests.
r/cfb moments
1.3k
[Postgame Thread] Iowa State Defeats Northern Iowa 29-26 (3OT)
1k
[Postgame Thread] TCU Defeats Iowa State 62-14
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