Iowa State

4-4

Week 10 · updated Wednesday, Nov 4

Iowa State won 51-49 over Oklahoma State as a 10-point underdog.

Fan mood in the week of the Oklahoma State game: all in, brighter than usual for them

Fan mood in each Iowa State game week this season

Compared with other fanbases in r/CFB game threads that week. Each row is a week, named for its game; the further right the dot, the brighter the talk.

sourerbrighterat Iowa L 13-16all invs Bowling Green W 55-7on the sour sidevs Utah L 17-31middle of the packvs West Virginia W 45-42middle of the packat BYU L 10-24middle of the packat Arizona L 3-39middle of the packvs Oklahoma State W 51-49all insourerbrighterSep 12at IowaL 13-16all inSep 19vs Bowling GreenW 55-7on the sour sideSep 26vs UtahL 17-31middle of the packOct 3vs West VirginiaW 45-42middle of the packOct 9at BYUL 10-24middle of the packOct 24at ArizonaL 3-39middle of the packOct 31vs Oklahoma StateW 51-49all in
  • W 38-10 vs Southeast Missouri State
  • L 13-16 at Iowa
  • W 55-7 vs Bowling Green
  • L 17-31 vs Utah
  • W 45-42 vs West Virginia
  • L 10-24 at BYU
  • L 3-39 at Arizona
  • W 51-49 vs Oklahoma State
  • Next: at Baylor, Saturday, Nov 7

Scores ours first.

Iowa State fans in other seasons

souruneasymixedhopefulall in2019mixed2020hopeful2026 so farhopefulsouruneasymixedhopefulall in2019mixed2020hopeful2026so farhopeful

2021-2025 are not shown: not enough of their chatter was read to place a season.

Since the last game

Iowa State won 51-49 vs Oklahoma State.

The whole Oklahoma State game

Before Baylor

The playoff simulation gives Iowa State a 22% chance at Baylor on Saturday, Nov 7.

In the playoff simulation, the Baylor game has a bowl on it for Iowa State.

Baylor game on Now

What the Baylor game is worth

How fan mood is read

Fan mood compares what Iowa State fans wrote in r/CFB game threads with every FBS fanbase with enough talk that week. A week runs Monday to Sunday and is named for the game in it. The read is redrawn 300 times from the same commenters, re-ranking every fanbase each time. Sour or all in means the read sat in the bottom or top fifth in at least 70 of every 100 draws; on the sour side or on the bright side, in the bottom or top two fifths in at least 80; anything less settled is middle of the pack. A bright label also needs more positive talk than negative, and a sour one the reverse. Brighter or sourer than usual compares the week with the team's own earlier weeks, after taking out how every fanbase read that week. Each dot sits at the read's rank that week. A week read before these labels keeps the word it was first given, the fifth it sat in (sour, uneasy, mixed, hopeful or all in). Season averages are the mean of a season's reads, in fifths from sour to all in, and seasons before 2026 were read from each week's wider talk, so a comparison across seasons is rough. 2019 and 2020 were read later, in one pass, from saved talk.

Fan mood, week by week

Mood over time

Position = mood · width = volume · color = the kind of feeling

What the message boards say

Message boards

Via CycloneFanatic

What the reporters say

What reporters say

34 quotes collected this season

What the beat said, in their own words.

Saturday night, Halloween, it’s just really a great environment, so that plays into it
Konrardy · Iowa State Dailythe day after Iowa State's 2026 game against Oklahoma State
We spent our entire time on improving other things from an individual standpoint that our players need to get better at for us to have success
Rogers · Iowa State Daily2 days before the Arizona game
They’re going to challenge us in man-to-man coverage, so we’re going to have to win on the edges
Raynor · Iowa State Daily2 days before the Arizona game

More in this tab

Fan chatter

Fan chatterThe loudest night of the season and what a usual night looks like.

Fan chatter this season

Loud

The loudest night was the 55-7 win over Bowling Green.

FirstSecondThirdFourthIowa State fansBowling Green fansusual

A usual night for Iowa State fans is steady.

Arguments

The argumentThe one thing this fanbase can't agree on, with receipts.

Inside the fanbase: all 10 corners

Cr/CFB
GGoogle News
LLocked On
WWide Right Natty Lite
CCampus paper
CCycloneFanatic
BBluesky
YYouTube
8 outlets & communities talking

The split, staged

Warmest corner+0.20
Local
Most bought-in cohort
vs
Coldest corner+0.15
Bettors
Coolest cohort

From the team’s own coverage

▶

Locked On

Alert: Iowa State's Upset Over Oklahoma State A Fluke If They Don't Finish Big 12 Play Strong

listen ↗

All 10 corners of the fanbase

negative
0
positive
Bettors+0.15 to Local+0.20

Cohort sentiment is a source-weighted model read — never a quote pinned to a person.

What this fanbase keeps coming back to

fan energy
32%
recent results
19%
where the program is headed
13%
offense
7%
the coaching staff
6%

Topics are model-labeled from Reddit — a rough signal of what this fanbase is circling right now.

week 10. The sources and the divergence rank are measured. Cohort labels and sentiment are a source-weighted model estimate, never a quote attributed to a person.
ArgumentsRecurring arguments this fanbase keeps returning to.

What fans are saying

player performanceOne fan's take

One fan believes Jaylen Raynor is not meeting performance expectations

Raynor plays way too scared. The game moves way too fast for him, he should not be starting if the game is moving this fast for him as a senior

Based on 1 comment from 1 poster across 1 thread · Oct 10, 2026 · via CFB

Show all 2
player performanceOne fan's take

One fan argues Jaylen Raynor misses deep throws too often

No one is going to respect our passing game if Raynor can’t hit wide open passes like that. Everyone will just start loading the box and daring us to pass.

Based on 1 comment from 1 poster across 1 thread · Sep 19, 2026 · via CFB

Rival talk

The obsessionThe rival this fanbase can't stop bringing up.
Rent Free · r/CFB fan posts, 2026 season
Iowa State fans 60% of posts bring up another team▲13pp saltier#28 of 77 saltiest · mostly about Penn State
Who Iowa State fans can’t stop bringing up
  1. Penn State22%
  2. Iowa13%
  3. Auburn8%
  4. Utah6%
  5. Nebraska5%
share of Iowa State’s football posts that mention each team
Iowa State lives rent-free in
  1. Iowa6%
share of each rival fanbase’s football posts that bring up Iowa State
Rivalry mirrorHow the rival's fans talk about you vs. you about them.
The rivalry mirror 2026 season
Iowa State
×
Iowa
← Iowa State fans, on Iowa
Iowa fans, on Iowa State →
amesz 7.6
yardsz 7.5
fanaticz 6.9
playsz 6.9
jimmyz 5.9
puntz 5.1
rogersz 5.9
offensez 3.8
saturdayz 5.6
lastz 3.7

“I’d take an Iowa QB over Raynor at this point”

reddit/CFB · fan post
Words each fanbase uses about the other far more than in everyday talk. A longer bar means the word stands out more. The number is its z-score, how far above usual it runs; 2 or more is notable.
Rivalry wordsNumbers from Words for this program and its tier-1 rival, staged side by side.
What the sport says about this rivalry 2026 season · from Words

The watchlist words in play for this rivalry, Iowa State vs. Iowa, staged head to head. A number is how much a program uses that word against the average FBS program — above or below 1.0× — not raw volume, and not a claim about who says it about whom.

Iowa State Iowa
The whole board →

How Iowa State fans talk

Who they talk aboutThe people this fanbase names more than anyone else does.
Who they talk about Against the field · 2026 season

The names this fanbase says more than anyone else does — players, coaches, the places they keep coming back to. Not slang: these are the people carrying the conversation.

Jimmy Rogers
×847.1 the field
Signature — named ≥10× as often as the rest of college football
Jimmy Rogers×847.1
Jaylen Raynor×679.8
Aiden Flora×627.9
Tyler Roehl×1212.0
Kyle Konrardy×223.3

“Iowa State defeats SEMO, 38-10. Jimmy Rogers gets first win as head coach of Cyclones.”

reddit/cyclONEnation · fan post
Fans on Jimmy Rogers
  1. Jimmy Rogers said his team “needed” last... cyclonefanatic.com
  2. Jimmy Rogers - Cyclone Fanatic Iowa State head coach Jimmy Rogers watches from the sideline during
  3. Jimmy Rogers got a ranked win before Matt Rhule at Nebraska. We might be doing ok so far.
  4. Its true. Jimmy Rogers, a native of Arizona who spent 20 years in Brookings, SD and a year in Pullman,
  5. ISU HC Jimmy Rogers says "nobody's coming to save us" as matchup with No. 24 Oklahoma
  6. Jimmy Rogers is a far better coach than Paul Rhoads
  7. Jimmy Rogers and Eric Morris faced off last year and it was ugly. North Texas beat Washington
  8. Jaylen Raynor is starting at quarterback on Saturday against Oklahoma State. Jimmy Rogers explains the decision and Jake Brend shares his perspective on the Daily Clone.
What they're calledThe slang the sport reaches for about this program more than most.
What the sport calls them 2026 season · from Words

How often college football reaches for these watchlist words about Iowa State — against the average FBS program, or against their own usual rate — said by rival fans and national media as readily as by their own people.

  • “natty”1.7×more than the average program · #6 of 54
The whole board →
Voice profileHow this fanbase sounds vs. every other fanbase.
Measured
Optimism
48th
Joy
60th
Anger
43rd
Doom
60th
Sarcasm
26th
Vs the 127 highest-volume fanbases - 2026 season
Vocabulary by eraThe words that defined each chapter of this program.

Season vocabulary

2026raynor
raynorrogersamesjimmyjimmy rogersjaylen
I’d take an Iowa QB over raynor at this point
2025defense
defensekickerroccopleasegoalfield goal
Oh no our defense has to out and perform
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