2identity shift
UCF shifts fanbase identity, hinting at new era.
Scott Frost inherits a 5-7 losing record at UCF, a program that once went 13-0 but now faces the challenge of rekindling its national identity.
UCF5-7Latest
Cautious optimism is building around UCF.
belief warmed ↑ 3.6vs prior week
Fanbase belief
Leaning up
57/100 · 137 mentions · top 28% of FBS
~ our readGrounding
backed by facts
11% cite a stat · 7% typical ✓ counted
~ our readVolatility
Chaotic
σ 28 pts
~ our readThe model
#88
CFB Zeitgeist · -1.5
✓ measured2Hope-Doping·Offseason
UCF is the program that finished 13-0, watched the sport refuse to consider it, and hung a national-championship banner anyway — a swagger it dragged all the way into the Big 12.
Standard GapA 13-0 self-declared 2017 title and a hard-won seat at the Power-Four ta…
The 2017 snub is foundational scripture in Orlando: an undefeated team the system wouldn't even rank highest among one-loss blue bloods. Knights fans will tell you the banner is real, the title is the…
offseason · quiet
Roster Reload - UCF
2026 snapshot - 2026-08-06Returning Production31%Low continuity / heavy reload
Talent Composite#43 nationally247 composite 710.0
Portal Additions32Primary repair: OT
Portal Losses35Primary pressure: DL
Draft Loss1NFL Draft departures (1)
Recruiting Reload#66Depth class
DLin 4 - Artavius Jonesout 7 - John WalkerStarter Risk
current room: 320 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Sin 5 - Matt Irwinout 5 - Jaeden GouldEven
QBin 3 - Alonza Barnett IIIout 4 - Jacurri BrownDowngrade
current room: 206 lbs avg (2025 roster)
LBin 3 - Tackett Curtisout 4 - Troy FordEven
current room: 225 lbs avg (2025 roster)
EDGEin 4 - L A Jessie Harroldout 2 - Jamaal JohnsonNeed Filled
current room: 248 lbs avg (2025 roster)
WRin 2 - Josh Derryout 3 - DJ BlackDowngrade
current room: 186 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Belief EKG
WinLoss · hover for scorePrior seasons
Approaching
28 days
until kickoff · vs Bethune-Cookman · Thu Sep 3 · 23:00 UTC
The experience
UCF is the program that went 13-0 in 2017 + declared themselves national champions + later won the New Year's Six Peach Bowl, and whose Big 12 entry in 2023 completed the G5-to-P5 ascent.
Offense: SoftTempo: Explosive, big-playDefense: Solid
UCF faces a high-reload season with significant roster turnover
The team returns only 31% of its roster, and recruiting ranked #66 nationally, signaling a challenging transition period.
- Roster reloadUCF returns just 31% of its roster, with only one NFL Draft departure and heavy reliance on transfers.
Data as of 2026-08-01
·
Validated against program evidence
Knightro stands at attention.
UCF · the story right now
9 storylines developing
What UCF's transfer portal class is really about
the open questionis the portal class enough to move the needle?
portal2025-05-08~readnew
Alonza Barnett III (QB) arrives at UCF to replace transferred-out production in Scott Frost's first season, a top-2 portal class in the Big 12 for a program that knows how to rewrite its story.
what happenedUCF signed a top-17 transfer-portal class — 38 additions headlined by Tayven Jackson (QB) from Indiana and Cam Fancher (QB) from Florida Atlantic. ✓ fact
the contexta top-3 portal class in the Big 12 this cycle
narrative tension · our read
identitythis cycle~readnew
Scott Frost inherits a 5-7 losing record at UCF, a program that once went 13-0 but now faces the challenge of rekindling its national identity.
what happenedUCF: the fanbase's identity shifting. ✓ fact
narrative tension · our read
coachingthis cycle~readnew
Scott Frost returns to UCF after his 13-0 run in 2017 and Nebraska tenure, inheriting a 5-7 roster with just 31% production returning and no QB continuity.
what happenedScott Frost took over as UCF's head coach, replacing Gus Malzahn. ✓ fact
the contextreplaces 4-year head coach Gus Malzahn (27-22)
narrative tension · our read
underdogthis cycle✓ factnew
DJ Black produces at a notably LOWER rate when his team is an underdog than when favored -- he fades when the pressure is on, and his per-target value drops too.
narrative tension · our read
underdogthis cycle✓ factnew
Waden Charles produces at a notably LOWER rate when his team is an underdog than when favored -- he fades when the pressure is on, and his per-target value drops too.
narrative tension · our read
portal2026-06-22~readnew
Scott Frost's second straight top-30 portal class targets RB and IOL — positions that could stabilize a 5-7 roster with just 31% production returning.
what happenedUCF signed a top-52 transfer-portal class — 32 additions headlined by Alonza Barnett III (QB) from James Madison and Keyone Jenkins (QB) from Florida International. ✓ fact
the contextfifth consecutive top-30 portal class
narrative tension · our read
coordinatorsthis cycle✓ factnew
UCF: coordinator change reshaping a unit.
narrative tension · our read
garbage timethis cycle~attributednew
Duane Thomas Jr. sees a real spike in usage once the game is out of reach.
narrative tension · our read
garbage timethis cycle~attributednew
Myles Montgomery does NOT see a usage spike in garbage time -- his workload holds steady regardless of score.
narrative tension · our read
How past storylines here turned out
AnsweredUCF's head-coaching hire held for another season.
Died downUCF's defensive coordinator change has died down — no clear next chapter yet.
ReplacedUCF's offensive coordinator spot turned over again the following season. See who's next →
The story
The Offseason Ledger · UCF
2 verified updates · portal · recruiting · staff · news- News
Court eligibility ruling impacts roster
With DL depth already thin and the class sitting at #66, a court ruling that keeps a body eligible is a bigger deal than it sounds when Scott Frost is counting snaps at fall camp.
- Portal
EDGE Dean Miller transfer commits from Kansas
UCF's EDGE room added 8 through the portal but losing Jamaal Johnson left a starter-tier gap — Miller's Big 12 tape fills the pressure role Frost's defense actually needed at that spot.
Transfer portal snapshot
-3.6 net portal points
(raw ledger: -10.6 — unweighted, no position adjustment)OT+10.6
need not filled
EDGE+9.9
need not filled
DL-8.6
starter risk
IOL-8.3
starter risk
CB-6.5
starter risk
QB-4.3
TE-3.7
RB+3.7
WR-3.5
LB-3.2
K+2.0
low confidence
P+2.0
low confidence
S-0.8
LS+0.0
Top 3 commits
2026 class
★★★★☆
Tyren Hornes
#151 national
Profiles like a typical incoming wide receiver — 14 of his 25 closest recruiting profiles since 2018 shared the Possession Receiver archetype.~our read · projection from recruiting profile — no college snaps yet
★★★★☆
Rocco Marriott
#320 national
Profiles like a typical incoming quarterback — 11 of his 25 closest recruiting profiles since 2018 shared the Pocket Passer archetype.~our read · projection from recruiting profile — no college snaps yet
★★★☆☆
Dante Carr
#586 national
Profiles like a typical incoming quarterback — 18 of his 25 closest recruiting profiles since 2018 shared the Pocket Passer archetype.~our read · projection from recruiting profile — no college snaps yet
→
Fan confidence in a typical range for this program right now
72nd percentile among FBS programs
Fan vs. market↑
72nd
Fan percentile
(FBS mood rank)
(FBS mood rank)
5.5
Vegas O/U wins
(26th among FBS)
(26th among FBS)
Fans 46pp more bullish than market implies
Win total consensus · 3 books
Market outlook
Season expectations
Win total3 booksO/U 5.5
CFP championship#62 in field+30000
Big 12 title#13 in market+4500
Sportsbook consensus · best odds across multiple books · 2026-08-06
UCF · Next-Season Outcome Band
UCF · Next-Season Outcome BandFloor / Base / Ceiling
Floor 5-7
Base 8-5
Ceiling 10-3
floor5-7No postseason.
base8-5Bowl game.
ceiling10-3Bowl game.
Final-season-aware projection: floor / base / ceiling include conference title and CFP games where the model supports them, so a ceiling can exceed a 12-game regular season.
How the room reacted
Following now · UCF · Transfer portal Confidence
UCF signed a top-17 portal class — Tayven Jackson headlines the class. Fall camp is the real verdict.
UCF signed a top-17 transfer-portal class — 38 additions headlined by Tayven Jackson (QB) from Indiana and Cam Fancher (QB) from Florida Atlantic. It is a top-3 portal class in the Big 12 this cycle. Portal pickups don't redshirt. The coverage sees this as a targeted, ready-to-contribute class built for snap competition, not depth-chart filler. The coverage reads this as a credible, targeted haul.
near-unanimous belief
where the takes land · dot = how loud
DOUBTBELIEF
Believers5 bull takes
💬 fans: 2% volume · mostly neutral
Developing2 new this week
3 days agoCourt eligibility ruling impacts roster — Reported
last week5 transfers that could transform UCF football into Big 12 contenders - Daytona Beach News-Journal — news
last weekTransfers decimate Orlando Christian Prep, so it drops to 8-man football — Orlando Sentinel
last weekTransfer QB Alonza Barnett III Looking to Return to CFP at UCF — roundtable.io
Jun 22EDGE Dean Miller transfer commits from Kansas — CFBD /player/portal
The cast who's driving the story · latest headline on each, attributed
Tayven Jackson QB · Indiana
Cam Fancher QB · Florida Atlantic
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
Alonza Barnett III (QB) arrives at UCF to replace transferred-out production in Scott Frost's first season, a top-2 portal class in the Big 12 for a program that knows how to rewrite its story.
Next · what to watch
The non-obvious question after any portal class isn't who signed — it's who just lost their job. Depth-chart displacement is the untold second chapter: one starter-level arrival means a returning contributor is now competing or transferring out. Watch depth-chart competition in fall camp — that's where portal classes win or lose their billing. The boards are already there — one thread raises exactly this.
Source of record: UCF signed a top-17 transfer-portal class — 38 additions headlined by Tayven Jackson (QB) from Indiana and Cam Fancher (QB) from Florida Atlantic — a top-3 portal class in the Big 12 this cycle.
How each room is reacting — tap to expand
📣Believers5 bullish/portal items -- the case it's working.›
The 'portal class fills the gaps' believers -- upgrades at real positions of need.
“5 transfers that could transform UCF football into Big 12 contenders - Daytona Beach News-Journal”
news · 2026-07-30 · read ↗
“Coaches, especially Tim Shifflet, sound off on transfers at Central Florida Media Day 2”
Orlando Sentinel · 2026-07-26 · read ↗
“How has the transfer portal affected recruiting in the state of Florida? Mailbag”
The New York Times · 2026-07-15 · read ↗
🧐SkepticsNo prominent dissent — the coverage runs one way.›
The 'portal is a gamble' counter -- departure losses and the 'plug-and-play doesn't work' read.
Nothing in our corpus yet — this door stays open for when there is.
💬The boards2 board mentions — too thin to call a stance. Board mood this week: mostly neutral · anger notable (47%).›
Only 2 of 97 board posts mention it — below our floor to call a community stance. Shown as texture, not a verdict.
"Just curious if we got any good transfers or if the o-line will be our weakest link?"
r/UCFKnights ~ fan take
"Hi Knight Nation, When looking for a transfer portal tracker for UCF, I found that many had paywalls, so I thought this post would be a helpful, central location for all fans to up"
r/UCFKnights ~ fan take
Board health this week (139 posts): 15% positive · 67% neutral · 18% negative. Team-level weekly mood — not specific to this event. The boards ≠ the fanbase: a self-selected vocal slice.
Following now · UCF · Coaching Confidence
The Scott Frost story at UCF won't sit still.
Scott Frost took over as UCF's head coach, replacing Gus Malzahn. It is replaces 4-year head coach Gus Malzahn (27-22). It's not the hire that's the story anymore — it's everything it set in motion. The room has bought in, but early believers have been wrong before.
near-unanimous belief
where the takes land · dot = how loud
DOUBTBELIEF
Believers4 bull takes
💬 fans: 3% volume · mostly neutral
Developing4 new this week
2 days agoUCF football depth chart projection: Predicting Scott Frost's starters for 2026 - Daytona Beach News-Journal — news
2 days agoBianchi: Scott Frost’s second act at UCF is now officially on the clock — Orlando Sentinel
2 days agoBig 12 football preview: This isn't Frost's first chance to turn around UCF in a Year 2 — Stillwater News Press
3 days agoCourt eligibility ruling impacts roster — Reported
Jun 22EDGE Dean Miller transfer commits from Kansas — CFBD /player/portal
The cast who's driving the story · latest headline on each, attributed
Scott Frost Head coach
“UCF football depth chart projection: Predicting Scott Frost's starters for 2026 - Daytona Beach News-Journal” — news · 2026-08-04
Gus Malzahn Out
Alonza Barnett
“Scott Frost gives thoughts on Alonza Barnett III's first UCF football practice - Daytona Beach News-Journal” — news · 2026-08-03
Scott Frost Says
“UCF Knights' Scott Frost Says Rebuilding Is Constant Nowadays In College Football” — Yahoo Sports · 2026-07-18
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
Scott Frost returns to UCF after his 13-0 run in 2017 and Nebraska tenure, inheriting a 5-7 roster with just 31% production returning and no QB continuity.
Next · what to watch
The obvious story is the marquee name; the non-obvious one is roster churn — a coaching change keeps a portal and decommit window open long after the introductory presser. Watch decommitments and portal moves in the next window — that's where this is actually won or lost, not at the podium.
Source of record: Scott Frost took over as UCF's head coach, replacing Gus Malzahn — replaces 4-year head coach Gus Malzahn (27-22).
How each room is reacting — tap to expand
📣Believers4 bullish/hire items -- the case it's working.›
The 'this hire changes everything' takes -- new-era believers making the case early.
“Scott Frost Motivating Knights To Win Postseason Awards”
roundtable.io · 2026-07-27 · read ↗
“How UCF’s Quarterback Situation Changes Year 2 under Scott Frost”
Heartland College Sports · 2026-07-17 · read ↗
“UCF's Scott Frost Wants To Build National Recruiting Base”
roundtable.io · 2026-07-16 · read ↗
🧐SkepticsNo prominent dissent — the coverage runs one way.›
The 'show me the body of work' counter -- resume gaps, scheme fits, and 'not that guy' reads.
Nothing in our corpus yet — this door stays open for when there is.
💬The boards3 board mentions — too thin to call a stance. Board mood this week: mostly neutral · anger notable (47%).›
Only 3 of 97 board posts mention it — below our floor to call a community stance. Shown as texture, not a verdict.
"Thank you BYU for saving our dumb AD from himself and stopping the “Bowl in year one” clause in Frosts contract from triggering"
r/CFB ~ fan take
"And even then it's really just that we don't have a functioning QB. I swear we win 8 games if Frost doesnt chase Rizk out of town."
r/CFB ~ fan take
Board health this week (139 posts): 15% positive · 67% neutral · 18% negative. Team-level weekly mood — not specific to this event. The boards ≠ the fanbase: a self-selected vocal slice.
🔗The dominoes10 downstream moves — the hire's knock-on effects.›
The second-order trail: commits, decommits, portal and staff knock-on from the hire.
“Cartwrights Commit Additional $500,000 to UCF Football Gateway Project, Bringing Total Pledge to $750,000”
positivelyosceola.com · 2026-08-02 · read ↗
“5 transfers that could transform UCF football into Big 12 contenders - Daytona Beach News-Journal”
news · 2026-07-30 · read ↗
Recent Form · last 10 games
Cold
One of five. The film room is busy this week.
Streak L1Last 5 · 1-4Last 10 · 3-7
The forecast
Opens Sep 3
vs Bethune-Cookman · at home
Season line5.5 winsover -170
SoftExplosive, big-playSolid
✓ fact on line · ~ our read on style
Rival pulse
Fan mood index · most recent r/cfb data
Recruiting Footprint · 2026
Recruiting Footprint · 2026
16
FL · 7MO · 2CT · 1GA · 1HI · 1MA · 1NJ · 1PA · 1+1 more
FL leads the 2026 class with 7 commits. National footprint reaching 9 states.
Where they recruit · 2023-2026
64 signees across 14 states, 2023-2026. FL leads the pull.
r/cfb this year
[Postgame Thread] BYU Defeats UCF 41-21
[Postgame Thread] UCF Defeats North Carolina A&T 68-7
[Game Thread] UCF @ BYU (1:00 PM ET)
Top community posts · last 12 months · r/cfb
National spotlight
9 games with TV coverage: 2 national broadcast, 2 ESPN, 4 cable, 1 streaming
Kickoff windows: 5 noon, 2 afternoon, 2 primetime
Fumble luck
23% recovery rate on the fumbles they've forced — below the ~49% league baseline.
3 of 13 forced fumbles recovered; 7 of 13 own fumbles recovered themselves, 2025 only.
Takeaway conversion
18% of tipped/broken-up passes have turned into picks — about the ~19% league average.
8 interceptions of 44 disrupted passes (36 deflected, 8 intercepted), 2025 only.
Penalty battle
91 penalties committed, 65 drawn on opponents — ceding 104 yards of field position.
686 penalty yards committed vs. 582 drawn on opponents, 2025 season total.
The Pulse on UCF
57
Δ +3.6 vs last wk
137
mentions this week · conversation velocity
What moved it — fall camp · last 14 days
Camp
Fall camp open — install + scrimmage cycle
ongoing
Kickoff
Season opener in 16 days
kickoff
"Bounce House"
— UCF fanbase · recurring line
Fanbase Signals
Cohort Divergence2 pctSpread between sub-fanbase cohorts in the Pulse window.
The Fever Year
Position = mood · width = volume · color = the kind of feeling
Inside the fanbase — all 7 corners
Cr/CFB
GGoogle News
LLocked On
UUnderdog Dynasty
CCampus paper
BBluesky
YYouTube
One voice
How UCF fans actually talk real · top-upvoted
The crowd’s loudest take by upvotes — read for mood, not as a side. The cohort read is the measured part.
The room, end to end
skeptical
buying in
Casuals+0.00
Bettors−0.05
Cohort sentiment is a source-weighted model read — never a quote pinned to a person.
What this fanbase keeps coming back to our read · topic model
Topics are model-labeled from Reddit — a rough signal of what this fanbase is circling right now.
241 mentions · 7 sources · week 2026-01. Counts, sources and the divergence rank are measured (fact). Cohort labels and sentiment are a source-weighted model read (our read) — never a quote attributed to a person.
Belief checkevidence-driven
~ our readUCF fans are split right down the middle, and they're pointing to real stats and results to back it up — more than most fanbases right now.
backed by facts
the mood
✓ counted We read 139 posts from UCF fans this week.
What fans are saying
Fan claims · every quote verified verbatim
player performanceWidely held among fans
fans believe Alonza Barnett III is a highly talented and impactful quarterback for UCF
Alonza Barnett III is entering his 5th year and already took JMU to the playoffs and has a lot of wins under his belt. (Not to mention Sun Belt player of the year). Since his transfer to UCF, no one is talking about him not even within the Big12. Maybe not heisman, but has potential to be a top QB this year.
Based on 7 comments from 3 posters across 3 threads · Jun 11, 2026–Jul 30, 2026 · via CFB, UCFKnights
job securityEarly signal — few voices
fans believe Scott Frost is in his second year at UCF
2026 UCF preview, Frost year 2 and a Sun Belt POY at QB. What'd I get wrong? Been going team by team on 2026 previews and just wrapped UCF.
Based on 1 comment from 1 poster across 1 thread · Jul 30, 2026 · via UCFKnights
player performanceLimited signal that season
fans think the unit is one of the worst in recent team history
This is the worst offensive line and wide receiver group I have seen since 2015.
Based on 1 comment from 1 poster across 1 thread · Oct 5, 2025 · via CFB
recruiting effortLimited signal that season
fans think Gus Malzahn failed to develop young talent
The offensive play calling was perfectly fine. We are devoid of talent post-Malzahn. He ran off everyone.
Based on 1 comment from 1 poster across 1 thread · Aug 28, 2025 · via CFB
Show all 9
coaching decisionWidely held among fans
fans believe Scott Frost is making meaningful improvements in UCF's offensive execution and game planning
Landen Chambers: he needs to get UCF first downs and TDs on short yardage, can guarantee 3 to 6 yds on first downs, and can pick up blitzers and DEs to protect AB. That was totally missing last year and cost us 3 wins, lots of TDs, and ended most drives. I think Frost will devise signals to win on the road against manufactured deafening noise. Yes, so many opponents had experienced, returning QBs last year.
Based on 1 comment from 1 poster across 1 thread · Jul 24, 2026 · via Sons of UCF
player performanceLimited signal that season
fans think Tayven Jackson shows potential for growth
That was a hard game to watch but ultimately I think there's a few positive takeaways. First, I think Tayven showed enough to warrant him starting moving forward.
Based on 1 comment from 1 poster across 1 thread · Aug 29, 2025 · via CFB
player performanceLimited signal that season
fans believe the offensive line is giving up too many sacks
I am not ok with a mediocre to bad line, especially when they are mediocre to bad against a team that they should be able to roll over.
Based on 1 comment from 1 poster across 1 thread · Aug 29, 2025 · via CFB
program directionLimited signal that season
fans believe Scott Frost improved UCF's offense significantly
Scott Frost has a 14 game win streak at UCF and people are trying to gaslight me saying it was a bad hire? How many does he need to change their minds?
Based on 1 comment from 1 poster across 1 thread · Aug 29, 2025 · via CFB
coaching decisionWidely held among fans that season
fans believe Scott Frost develops quarterbacks better than Gus Malzahn
Scott frost gonna make this offense look 18x better with less talent just because of how bad Gus Malzahn fucking is ahahahaha
Based on 1 comment from 1 poster across 1 thread · Aug 28, 2025 · via CFB
Five Lenses
What people are saying right now
Radio, beat writers & editorial14 posts
The broader fanbase3 posts
News & campus coverage12 posts
CFB analyst takes2 posts
Bluesky · @adavidhalejoint.bsky.social
2w ago
Rent free · r/cfb fan posts, last season
UCF fans this offseason 34% of posts bring up another team▲1pp saltier#14 of 43 saltiest · mostly about Florida
Who UCF fans can’t stop bringing up
share of UCF’s football posts that mention each team
Fanbase Health Index · UCF · high confidence
Fanbase Health Index · UCF · high confidenceGrowing (59)
DecliningStableGrowingSurging
On-Field — 5-7 (42% win rate)55
Volume — 643 effective signal-N86
Cohort Engagement — Divergence 0.02 — quiet35
From the booth
The Lexicon
608 posts and articles vs the field · 2025 season
knights
×98.9 the field
Signature — ≥10× the rest of college football
knights×98.9n=36
frost×95.6n=29
gus×48.7n=22
tayven×402.5n=19
malzahn×62.9n=14
scott frost×96.4n=13
fancher×563.5n=19
grinch×111.2n=12
Characteristic — 3–10×
kickoff×4.1n=53
scott×11.7n=13
“This offensive line might be the worst I've ever seen. But holy shit we can still get to a bowl with a wild upset win. What a weird season. Go Knights.”
reddit/CFB · fan post, verbatim
Key stats — 2025 — FBS rank
Points/game#88 / 138 · 37th pct24.3
Pts allowed/game#51 / 138 · 64th pct23.6
Total yards/gm#88 / 136 · 36th pct378.9
Rush yards/gm#79 / 136 · 43rd pct158.2
Pass yards/gm#85 / 136 · 38th pct220.8
Yards allowed/gm#18 / 136 · 88th pct336.2
Rush yds allowed/gm#57 / 136 · 59th pct151.2
Sacks#69 / 136 · 50th pct25
Interceptions#68 / 136 · 51st pct9
3rd-down conv#117 / 136 · 15th pct33.9%
All 98 stats
Offense / Defense
Total yards
Team4547378.9/gm5.76/play#88 / 136 · 36th pct#48 / 69 · 32nd pct#12 / 16 · 31st pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct
Opp4035336.2/gm5.09/play#18 / 136 · 88th pct#13 / 69 · 83rd pct#3 / 16 · 88th pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct
Rush yards
Team1898158.2/gm2.40/play#79 / 136 · 43rd pct#42 / 69 · 41st pct#12 / 16 · 31st pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct
Opp1814151.2/gm2.29/play#57 / 136 · 59th pct#41 / 69 · 42nd pct#8 / 16 · 56th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
Rush carries
Team38732.2/gm#116 / 136 · 15th pct#60 / 69 · 14th pct#16 / 16 · 6th pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct
Opp45638.0/gm#70 / 136 · 49th pct#42 / 69 · 41st pct#6 / 16 · 69th pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct
Rush TDs
Team191.6/gm#76 / 136 · 45th pct#43 / 69 · 39th pct#10 / 16 · 44th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct
Opp181.5/gm#60 / 136 · 57th pct#39 / 69 · 45th pct#7 / 16 · 62nd pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct
Net pass yards
Team2649220.8/gm3.35/play#85 / 136 · 38th pct#49 / 69 · 30th pct#11 / 16 · 38th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct
Opp2221185.1/gm2.80/play#10 / 136 · 93rd pct#4 / 69 · 96th pct#2 / 16 · 94th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct
Pass attempts
Team40333.6/gm#66 / 136 · 52nd pct#33 / 69 · 54th pct#6 / 16 · 69th pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct
Opp33628.0/gm#15 / 136 · 90th pct#8 / 69 · 90th pct#2 / 16 · 94th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct
Completions
Team25020.8/gm#65 / 136 · 53rd pct#36 / 69 · 49th pct#7 / 16 · 62nd pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct
Opp21217.7/gm#23 / 136 · 84th pct#9 / 69 · 88th pct#4 / 16 · 81st pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
Pass TDs
Team121.0/gm#117 / 136 · 15th pct#63 / 69 · 10th pct#14 / 16 · 19th pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct
Opp131.1/gm#14 / 136 · 90th pct#10 / 69 · 87th pct#4 / 16 · 81st pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
Passer rating
Team122.6122.6#108 / 136 · 21st pct#62 / 69 · 12th pct#14 / 16 · 19th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct
Opp124.2124.2#41 / 136 · 71st pct#24 / 69 · 67th pct#6 / 16 · 69th pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct
Interceptions thrown
Team121.0/gm#29 / 136 · 79th pct#11 / 69 · 86th pct#2 / 16 · 94th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
Opp90.8/gm#54 / 136 · 61st pct#27 / 69 · 62nd pct#6 / 16 · 69th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
Sacks (def)
Team252.1/gm#69 / 136 · 50th pct#41 / 69 · 42nd pct#8 / 16 · 56th pct#7 / 10 · 40th pct
Opp201.7/gm#41 / 136 · 71st pct#23 / 69 · 68th pct#6 / 16 · 69th pct#3 / 10 · 80th pct
Tackles for loss
Team675.6/gm#71 / 136 · 49th pct#38 / 69 · 46th pct#10 / 16 · 44th pct#9 / 10 · 20th pct
Opp685.7/gm#71 / 136 · 49th pct#37 / 69 · 48th pct#7 / 16 · 62nd pct#4 / 10 · 70th pct
First downs
Team21818.2/gm#117 / 136 · 15th pct#61 / 69 · 13th pct#13 / 16 · 25th pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct
Opp22318.6/gm#22 / 136 · 85th pct#14 / 69 · 81st pct#4 / 16 · 81st pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct
3rd-down conv
Team574.8/gm#118 / 136 · 14th pct#63 / 69 · 10th pct#14 / 16 · 19th pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct
Opp625.2/gm#31 / 136 · 78th pct#14 / 69 · 81st pct#2 / 16 · 94th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct
3rd-down att
Team16814.0/gm#85 / 136 · 38th pct#36 / 69 · 49th pct#12 / 16 · 31st pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct
Opp16914.1/gm#44 / 136 · 68th pct#20 / 69 · 72nd pct#5 / 16 · 75th pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct
4th-down conv
Team201.7/gm#15 / 136 · 90th pct#7 / 69 · 91st pct#3 / 16 · 88th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct
Opp171.4/gm#100 / 136 · 27th pct#51 / 69 · 28th pct#6 / 16 · 69th pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct
4th-down att
Team363.0/gm#12 / 136 · 92nd pct#4 / 69 · 96th pct#3 / 16 · 88th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct
Opp292.4/gm#83 / 136 · 40th pct#41 / 69 · 42nd pct#6 / 16 · 69th pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct
Time of possession
Team359:0229:55/gm#96 / 136 · 30th pct#48 / 69 · 32nd pct#10 / 16 · 44th pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct
Opp361:1430:06/gm#29 / 136 · 79th pct#11 / 69 · 86th pct#4 / 16 · 81st pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct
Kicking & Punting
Field goals#14 / 135 · 90th pct15/17 (88.2%)
Extra points33/34
Punting#118 / 136 · 14th pct40.7 avg · 48 punts
Turnovers & special teams
Turnovers
Team181.5/gm#43 / 136 · 69th pct#15 / 69 · 80th pct#4 / 16 · 81st pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct
Opp141.2/gm#40 / 136 · 71st pct#24 / 69 · 67th pct#5 / 16 · 75th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
Fumbles lost
Team60.5/gm#69 / 136 · 50th pct#28 / 69 · 61st pct#10 / 16 · 44th pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct
Opp50.4/gm#33 / 136 · 76th pct#16 / 69 · 78th pct#3 / 16 · 88th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
INT return TDs
Team10.1/gm#36 / 135 · 74th pct#19 / 69 · 74th pct#5 / 16 · 75th pct#5 / 10 · 60th pct
Opp10.1/gm#61 / 136 · 56th pct#30 / 69 · 58th pct#7 / 16 · 62nd pct#5 / 10 · 60th pct
INT return yards
Team12210.2/gm#64 / 136 · 54th pct#32 / 69 · 55th pct#9 / 16 · 50th pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct
Opp14512.1/gm#94 / 136 · 32nd pct#48 / 69 · 32nd pct#10 / 16 · 44th pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct
Punt ret yds
Team19616.3/gm#41 / 136 · 71st pct#26 / 69 · 64th pct#6 / 16 · 69th pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct
Opp16513.8/gm#98 / 136 · 29th pct#53 / 69 · 25th pct#12 / 16 · 31st pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct
Punt ret TDs
Team00.0/gm#43 / 135 · 69th pct#23 / 69 · 68th pct#4 / 16 · 81st pct#5 / 10 · 60th pct
Opp10.1/gm#97 / 135 · 29th pct#52 / 69 · 26th pct#14 / 16 · 19th pct#4 / 11 · 73rd pct
Kick ret yds
Team54145.1/gm#41 / 136 · 71st pct#15 / 69 · 80th pct#5 / 16 · 75th pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct
Opp30325.2/gm#36 / 136 · 74th pct#24 / 69 · 67th pct#6 / 16 · 69th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct
Kick ret TDs
Team10.1/gm#7 / 136 · 96th pct#3 / 69 · 97th pct#1 / 16 · 100th pct#2 / 9 · 89th pct
Opp00.0/gm#1 / 135 · 100th pct#1 / 69 · 100th pct#1 / 16 · 100th pct#1 / 9 · 100th pct
Penalty yards
Team68657.2/gm#65 / 136 · 53rd pct#31 / 69 · 57th pct#6 / 16 · 69th pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct
Opp58248.5/gm#38 / 136 · 73rd pct#23 / 69 · 68th pct#7 / 16 · 62nd pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
Other
Penalties#27 / 136 · 81st pct#13 / 69 · 83rd pct#4 / 16 · 81st pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct917.6/gm
Penalties (opp)#29 / 136 · 79th pct#17 / 69 · 77th pct#3 / 16 · 88th pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct655.4/gm
Kick ret (opp)#34 / 136 · 76th pct#22 / 69 · 70th pct#3 / 16 · 88th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct141.2/gm
Fourth down go rate#34 / 138 · 76th pct#14 / 69 · 81st pct#6 / 16 · 69th pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct0.50.0/gm
Kick returns#40 / 136 · 71st pct#12 / 69 · 84th pct#5 / 16 · 75th pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct252.1/gm
H2 epa per play opponent#41 / 143 · 72nd pct#24 / 69 · 67th pct#7 / 16 · 62nd pct0.10.0/gm
Fumbles rec (def)#46 / 136 · 67th pct#29 / 69 · 59th pct#6 / 16 · 69th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct60.5/gm
H2 epa per play#56 / 142 · 61st pct#29 / 69 · 59th pct#9 / 16 · 50th pct0.20.0/gm
Punt returns#61 / 136 · 56th pct#38 / 69 · 46th pct#9 / 16 · 50th pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct171.4/gm
First down pass rate#67 / 215 · 69th pct#19 / 69 · 74th pct#5 / 16 · 75th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct0.50.0/gm
Interceptions (def)#68 / 136 · 51st pct#35 / 69 · 51st pct#10 / 16 · 44th pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct90.8/gm
Punt ret (opp)#78 / 136 · 43rd pct#44 / 69 · 38th pct#9 / 16 · 50th pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct161.3/gm
Recruiting rating#79 / 138 · 43rd pct#67 / 69 · 4th pct#16 / 16 · 6th pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct171.214.3/gm
H1 epa per play opponent#88 / 167 · 48th pct#47 / 69 · 33rd pct#11 / 16 · 38th pct0.20.0/gm
Fumbles recovered#91 / 136 · 34th pct#48 / 69 · 32nd pct#14 / 16 · 19th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct50.4/gm
Passes intercepted opponent#97 / 136 · 29th pct#55 / 69 · 22nd pct#14 / 16 · 19th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct121.0/gm
H1 epa per play#98 / 162 · 40th pct#53 / 69 · 25th pct#11 / 16 · 38th pct0.20.0/gm
Red zone pass rate#116 / 154 · 25th pct#54 / 69 · 23rd pct#13 / 16 · 25th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct0.30.0/gm
Situational
3rd-down conversion
Off33.9%#117 / 136 · 15th pct#64 / 69 · 9th pct#14 / 16 · 19th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct
Def36.7%#47 / 136 · 66th pct#26 / 69 · 64th pct#8 / 16 · 56th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
4th-down conversion
Off55.6%#61 / 136 · 56th pct#38 / 69 · 46th pct#11 / 16 · 38th pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct
Def58.6%#96 / 136 · 30th pct#47 / 69 · 33rd pct#10 / 16 · 44th pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct
Turnover margin#98 / 136 · 29th pct#52 / 69 · 26th pct#12 / 16 · 31st pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct-0.33/gm
Sack rate (def)#37 / 136 · 74th pct#24 / 69 · 67th pct#3 / 16 · 88th pct#4 / 10 · 70th pct7.4%
Red Zone & Drive Efficiency (2014– , play-by-play derived)
Red zone trips
Team332.8/gm#118 / 167 · 30th pct#62 / 69 · 12th pct#13 / 16 · 25th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct
Opp403.3/gm#84 / 166 · 50th pct#34 / 69 · 52nd pct#8 / 16 · 56th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct
Red zone score %
Team84.8%84.8%#41 / 167 · 76th pct#24 / 69 · 67th pct#3 / 16 · 88th pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct
Opp87.5%87.5%#135 / 166 · 19th pct#61 / 69 · 13th pct#15 / 16 · 12th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct
Points / drive
Team1.90.2/gm#81 / 167 · 52nd pct#48 / 69 · 32nd pct#11 / 16 · 38th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct
Opp1.90.2/gm#71 / 166 · 58th pct#40 / 69 · 43rd pct#9 / 16 · 50th pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct
Yards / drive
Team42.63.5/gm#59 / 167 · 65th pct#36 / 69 · 49th pct#11 / 16 · 38th pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct
Opp38.63.2/gm#48 / 166 · 72nd pct#26 / 69 · 64th pct#5 / 16 · 75th pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct
Plays / drive
Team6.80.6/gm#45 / 167 · 74th pct#24 / 69 · 67th pct#5 / 16 · 75th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
Opp6.50.5/gm#81 / 166 · 52nd pct#34 / 69 · 52nd pct#9 / 16 · 50th pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct
Three-and-out rate
Team8.0%8.0%#25 / 167 · 86th pct#13 / 69 · 83rd pct#4 / 16 · 81st pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct
Opp16.3%16.3%#35 / 166 · 80th pct#20 / 69 · 72nd pct#4 / 16 · 81st pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct
Scheme Identity (2014– , play-by-play derived)
Rush rate over expected#92 / 145 · 37th pct#41 / 69 · 42nd pct#12 / 16 · 31st pct-2.6%-2.6%
Havoc rate
Team16.4%16.4%#60 / 140 · 58th pct#36 / 69 · 49th pct#10 / 16 · 44th pct
Opp17.3%17.3%#106 / 140 · 25th pct#56 / 69 · 20th pct#12 / 16 · 31st pct
Standard-downs success
Team46.6%46.6%#91 / 154 · 42nd pct#50 / 69 · 29th pct#12 / 16 · 31st pct
Opp53.5%53.5%#140 / 172 · 19th pct#66 / 69 · 6th pct#16 / 16 · 6th pct
Passing-downs success
Team26.9%26.9%#119 / 153 · 23rd pct#63 / 69 · 10th pct#14 / 16 · 19th pct
Opp25.8%25.8%#17 / 149 · 89th pct#10 / 69 · 87th pct#3 / 16 · 88th pct
Line yards / carry
Team2.62.6#128 / 143 · 11th pct#67 / 69 · 4th pct#16 / 16 · 6th pct
Opp3.13.1#113 / 155 · 28th pct#59 / 69 · 16th pct#14 / 16 · 19th pct
Stuff rate
Team25.3%25.3%#135 / 143 · 6th pct#69 / 69 · 1st pct#16 / 16 · 6th pct
Opp14.9%14.9%#127 / 155 · 19th pct#62 / 69 · 12th pct#14 / 16 · 19th pct
Power success rate
Team55.9%55.9%#129 / 137 · 7th pct#68 / 69 · 3rd pct#15 / 16 · 12th pct
Opp86.8%86.8%#134 / 141 · 6th pct#66 / 69 · 6th pct#15 / 16 · 12th pct
Efficiency
Completion %
Off62.0%#68 / 136 · 51st pct#43 / 69 · 39th pct#7 / 16 · 62nd pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct
Def63.1%#84 / 136 · 39th pct#44 / 69 · 38th pct#12 / 16 · 31st pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct
Yards / attempt
Off6.6#100 / 136 · 27th pct#56 / 69 · 20th pct#15 / 16 · 12th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct
Def6.6#43 / 136 · 69th pct#26 / 69 · 64th pct#5 / 16 · 75th pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct
Yards / completion
Off10.6#114 / 136 · 17th pct#60 / 69 · 14th pct#15 / 16 · 12th pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct
Def10.5#21 / 136 · 85th pct#16 / 69 · 78th pct#3 / 16 · 88th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
Yards / carry#30 / 136 · 79th pct#18 / 69 · 75th pct#5 / 16 · 75th pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct4.9
Yards / play#64 / 136 · 54th pct#40 / 69 · 43rd pct#12 / 16 · 31st pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct5.76
Scoring margin#75 / 136 · 46th pct#47 / 69 · 33rd pct#12 / 16 · 31st pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct+0.8/gm
FBS rankings · 2025 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs
Player stats — 2025 season
Quarterbacks
| Player | # | G | Cmp/Att | Pct | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT | Rate | QBR | Adj ANY/A | Sack% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pocket Passer · +0.24 EPA/play | 2 | 11 | 200 / 315 | 63.5 | 2151 | 6.8 | 10 | 8 | 126.2 | 51.9 | 5.8 | 4.0 | |
Yards by week → Pocket PasserBalanced passer who operates within the system, without one standout number carrying the profile. Impact starter — above-average production for the conference. The most common profile in its group this season — 97 of 183 classified this way. Played in 11 of 21 games this season · junior View Tayven Jackson's full player page | |||||||||||||
| +0.09 EPA/play | 14 | 3 | 41 / 72 | 56.9 | 333 | 4.6 | 0 | 0 | 95.8 | 51.4 | 4.3 | 4 | |
Yards by week → | |||||||||||||
Running Backs
| Player | # | G | Car | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | 3rd Dn Use | Pass Dn Use | Stuff% | 10+% | Tgt Share | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Back · +0.01 EPA/play | 22 | 11 | 143 | 705 | 4.9 | 4 | 45 | 18.7 | 15.5 | 22.7 | 12.1 | 7.6% (27/356) | |
Yards by week → Balanced BackPlays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension. Starter — over 60% of the snaps, holding the job. The most common profile in its group this season — 186 of 349 classified this way. Played in 11 of 21 games this season · senior View Myles Montgomery's full player page | |||||||||||||
| Satellite Back · +0.27 EPA/play | 5 | 12 | 71 | 554 | 7.8 | 7 | 87 | 8.9 | 10.3 | 21.4 | 14.3 | 6.2% (22/356) | |
Yards by week → Satellite Back· Return threatDeployed as a receiver as much as a runner. Value is in space, not between the tackles. a house-call threat every time he fields it Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 50 of 349 RBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Receiving share19.3% 88th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Yards / carry7.1 99th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Trait fingerprint Plays like View Jaden Nixon's full player page | |||||||||||||
Receivers
| Player | # | G | Rec | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | 3rd Dn Use | Pass Dn Use | Tgt Share | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slot Technician · +0.25 EPA/play | 7 | 12 | 53 | 528 | 10.0 | 0 | 41 | 10.7 | 14.4 | 20.2% (72/356) | |
Yards by week → Slot TechnicianRuns precise routes in tight quarters. Volume player who keeps chains moving. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 97 of 558 WRs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Reception volume53 84th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions TD rate0.0% bottom 8th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Duane Thomas Jr.'s full player page | |||||||||||
| Complete TE · +0.31 EPA/play | — | 10 | 43 | 523 | 12.2 | 5 | 83 | 5.5 | 7.9 | 15.2% (54/356) | |
Yards by week → Complete TENo single go-to route — the receiving numbers show up inline and split out alike. 177 of 223 TEs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / reception13.2 73th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions Reception volume43 96th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like our readAscending: his CFB Index score went from the 80th percentile among FBS TEs to the 95th | |||||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.32 EPA/play | 19 | 11 | 26 | 290 | 11.2 | 0 | 30 | 10.9 | 6.8 | 12.9% (46/356) | |
Yards by week → Possession ReceiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. 332 of 558 WRs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / reception11.7 bottom 35th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions TD rate0.0% bottom 8th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Waden Charles's full player page | |||||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.18 EPA/play | 9 | 11 | 22 | 273 | 12.4 | 2 | 82 | 3.9 | 6.3 | 11.2% (40/356) | |
Yards by week → Possession Receiver· Boom-or-bustReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. his yards come in chunks — feast or famine The most common profile in its group this season — 332 of 558 classified this way. Played in 11 of 21 games this season · junior View DJ Black's full player page | |||||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.44 EPA/play | 13 | 8 | 21 | 212 | 10.1 | 2 | 40 | 8 | 6.5 | 7.6% (27/356) | |
Yards by week → Possession ReceiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. The most common profile in its group this season — 332 of 558 classified this way. Played in 8 of 21 games this season · senior View Chris Domercant's full player page | |||||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.80 EPA/play | 3 | 6 | 13 | 181 | 13.9 | 0 | 30 | 6.9 | 6.7 | 5.6% (20/356) | |
Yards by week → Possession Receiver· Money-downReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. lives on the sticks and moves the chains 332 of 558 WRs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / reception13.2 bottom 50th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions TD rate0.0% bottom 8th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Marcus Burke's full player page | |||||||||||
| Complete TE · +0.28 EPA/play | 1 | 8 | 16 | 137 | 8.6 | 1 | 22 | 2.8 | 6.7 | 5.6% (20/356) | |
Yards by week → Complete TENo single go-to route — the receiving numbers show up inline and split out alike. 177 of 223 TEs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / reception7.4 bottom 16th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions EPA / play (adj)0.3 bottom 25th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Kylan Fox's full player page | |||||||||||
Defensive Line
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | TFL | Sack | Hur |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nose Anchor | 55 | 11 | 31 | 17 | 2.5 | 1 | 4 |
Nose AnchorThe heaviest frame on the interior. Sack production is intentionally not the point of this profile. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 152 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Weight324 lb 93th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View John Walker's full player page | |||||||
| Nose Anchor | 95 | 10 | 24 | 13 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 0 |
Nose AnchorThe heaviest frame on the interior. Sack production is intentionally not the point of this profile. 152 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Weight310 lb 83th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View R.J. Jackson's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 94 | 11 | 21 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
Two-Gap BaseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. The most common profile in its group this season — 388 of 809 classified this way. Played in 11 of 21 games this season · sophomore View Rodney Lora's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 88 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 2.5 | 1 | 0 |
Two-Gap BaseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. 388 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate22.7% 80th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Derrick LeBlanc's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 13 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Two-Gap BaseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. 388 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate18.2% 64th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Horace Lockett's full player page | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 92 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1.5 | 1 |
3-Tech PenetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. 269 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate20.0% 71th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Jeffson Lafontant's full player page | |||||||
Linebackers
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | Ast | TFL | Sack | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sideline-to-Sideline | 20 | 11 | 95 | 55 | 40 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
Sideline-to-SidelineRanges from hash to hash and makes his own tackles. Impact starter — above-average production for the conference. 102 of 660 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Solo tackle rate0.6 77th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Tackle volume95 94th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like our readBreakout: his CFB Index score climbed from the 10th percentile to the 72nd among FBS LBs | |||||||||
| Sideline-to-Sideline | 43 | 12 | 81 | 49 | 32 | 7.5 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
Sideline-to-SidelineRanges from hash to hash and makes his own tackles. Starter — over 60% of the snaps, holding the job. 102 of 660 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Solo tackle rate0.6 84th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Cole Kozlowski's full player page | |||||||||
| Versatile End | 9 | 12 | 45 | 35 | 10 | 7.5 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Versatile EndNo single standout number, but nothing missing either — competent across the board. Impact starter — above-average production for the conference. The most common profile in its group this season — 139 of 200 classified this way. Played in 12 of 21 games this season · senior View Nyjalik Kelly's full player page | |||||||||
| Sideline-to-Sideline | — | 11 | 33 | 25 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
Sideline-to-SidelineRanges from hash to hash and makes his own tackles. 102 of 660 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Solo tackle rate0.8 99th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Tackle volume33 bottom 27th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Keli Lawson's full player page | |||||||||
| Finisher | 51 | 11 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 11 #74 FBS | 7 #39 FBS | 2 | 0 |
FinisherTurns pressure into sacks — when he gets there, he finishes. All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started. 16 of 200 EDGEs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Pressure-to-sack conversion0.7 90th percentile · FBS EDGE, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Malachi Lawrence's full player page | |||||||||
| Versatile End | 6 | 9 | 24 | 13 | 11 | 3.5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Versatile EndNo single standout number, but nothing missing either — competent across the board. The most common profile in its group this season — 139 of 200 classified this way. Played in 9 of 21 games this season · sophomore · 4-star, 2023 class View Isaiah Nixon's full player page | |||||||||
| Versatile End | 99 | 10 | 24 | 13 | 11 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Versatile EndNo single standout number, but nothing missing either — competent across the board. The most common profile in its group this season — 139 of 200 classified this way. Played in 10 of 21 games this season · junior · 3-star, 2022 class View Jamaal Johnson's full player page | |||||||||
| Coverage 'Backer | 38 | 7 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Coverage 'BackerCarries tight ends and patrols the middle of the field in coverage. 99 of 660 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate6.7% 93th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles TFL rate0.0% bottom 10th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Jayden McDonald's full player page | |||||||||
| Versatile End | 10 | 5 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 4.5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Versatile EndNo single standout number, but nothing missing either — competent across the board. 139 of 200 EDGEs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate34.6% 92th percentile · FBS EDGE, min. 10 tackles Plays like our readFading: his CFB Index score went from the 65th percentile among FBS EDGEs to the 14th | |||||||||
Defensive Backs
| Player | # | G | Tot | PD | INT | TFL | Sack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Box Safety | 8 | 12 | 61 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
Box SafetyLives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker. Starter — over 60% of the snaps, holding the job. 166 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume61 82th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Demari Henderson's full player page | |||||||
| Rover | 2 | 12 | 60 | 2 | 3 #56 FBS | 3 | 0 |
Rover· Takeaway threatHits like a linebacker and still takes the ball away. the kind of DB who takes it back the other way Starter — over 60% of the snaps, holding the job. 83 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate3.3% bottom 27th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Phillip Dunnam's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 7 | 12 | 39 | 4 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 |
Hybrid NickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 419 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate10.3% 62th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Antoine Jackson's full player page | |||||||
| Centerfielder | 29 | 11 | 27 | 8 #45 FBS | 1 | 0 | 0 |
CenterfielderSingle-high range who erases the deep middle of the field. 133 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate29.6% 100th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Jayden Bellamy's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 4 | 10 | 22 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
Hybrid NickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. 419 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate4.5% bottom 32th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Braeden Marshall's full player page | |||||||
| Centerfielder | 5 | 9 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
CenterfielderSingle-high range who erases the deep middle of the field. 133 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate23.5% 98th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View DJ Bell's full player page | |||||||
| 23 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 15 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
Kicking
| Player | # | G | FG M/A | FG% | XP M/A | Pts | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weapon | 16 | 12 | 14/15 | 93.3 | 32/33 | 74 | 54 |
Punting
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | Long | In20 | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinner | 40 | 12 | 48 | 1952 | 40.7 | 58 | 20 | 4 |
Net average is unavailable — CFBD's punting feed carries gross yards only, with no return-yardage or touchback deduction.
Kick Returns
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Satellite Back · +0.27 EPA/play | 5 | 12 | 19 | 438 | 23.1 | 1 | 96 |
| Slot Technician · +0.25 EPA/play | 7 | 12 | 6 | 103 | 17.2 | 0 | 23 |
Punt Returns
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hybrid Nickel | 7 | 12 | 14 | 175 | 12.5 | 0 | 37 |
2025 stat leaders
final
2025 stat leaders
1.
Lewis Carter
LB
95.0 tot (def)
2.
Cole Kozlowski
LB
81.0 tot (def)
3.
Demari Henderson
DB
61.0 tot (def)
4.
Phillip Dunnam
DB
60.0 tot (def)
5.
Tayven Jackson
QB
2,151 yds (pass)
Roster
2025
25
players carry a qualified CFB Index Score this season.
Dylan Wade
TE
#13 of 156
Malachi Lawrence
EDGE
#69 of 420
Phillip Dunnam
S
#100 of 544
Nyjalik Kelly
EDGE
#112 of 420
Jaden Nixon
RB
#90 of 326
Cole Kozlowski
LB
#163 of 583
+19 more
UCF · 2025 schedule & results5-7Brutal slateAverage opponent win rate 49% · 5 AP top-25 opponents on the schedule.
| Wk | Date | Us | Opp | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 28 | #95 | #53 | -20.5 | Jacksonville State | W 17–10 138 | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| 2 | Sep 6 | #82 | #243 | -37 | North Carolina A&T | W 68–7 56 | 2-0 | 0-0 |
| 4 | Sep 20 | #92 | #119 | -7.5 | North Carolina | W 34–9 124 | 3-0 | 0-0 |
| 5 | Sep 27 | #80 | #38 | +6 | @Kansas State | L 20–34 127 | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| 6 | Oct 4 | #72 | #48 | +3.5 | Kansas | L 20–27 132 | 3-2 | 0-2 |
| 7 | Oct 11 | #76 | #48 | +10.5 | @Cincinnati | L 11–20 138 | 3-3 | 0-3 |
| 8 | Oct 18 | #75 | #97 | -6.5 | West Virginia | W 45–13 152 | 4-3 | 1-3 |
| 10 | Nov 1 | #57 | #36 | +3 | @Baylor | L 3–30 135 | 4-4 | 1-4 |
| 11 | Nov 8 | #66 | #60 | -1 | Houston | L 27–30 140 | 4-5 | 1-5 |
| 12 | Nov 15 | #70 | #5 | +24 | @Texas Tech | L 9–48 134 | 4-6 | 1-6 |
| 13 | Nov 22 | #92 | #164 | -12.5 | Oklahoma State | W 17–14 119 | 5-6 | 2-6 |
| 14 | Nov 29 | #93 | #17 | +17.5 | @BYU | L 21–41 125 | 5-7 | 2-7 |
Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, explosiveness)▼
| Date | Opp | Result | Yds | TO | TOP | EPA/play | Success% | Explosive% | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29 | @BYU | L 21–41 | 296 | 2 | 24:52 | +0.056 | 39.7% | 134.7% | |
| Nov 22 | Oklahoma State | W 17–14 | 396 | 2 | 31:28 | +0.176 | 41.9% | 140.6% | One-score win |
| Nov 15 | @Texas Tech | L 9–48 | 230 | 2 | 30:53 | -0.090 | 36.5% | 75.6% | Defense's roughest night |
| Nov 8 | Houston | L 27–30 | 282 | 2 | 25:22 | -0.097 | 38.3% | 108.1% | One-score loss |
| Nov 1 | @Baylor | L 3–30 | 225 | 2 | 26:02 | -0.135 | 29.8% | 99.8% | Season-low EPA/play |
| Oct 18 | West Virginia | W 45–13 | 578 | 2 | 33:07 | +0.349 | 43.8% | 176.5% | Best defensive stand |
| Oct 11 | @Cincinnati | L 11–20 | 413 | 1 | 39:44 | +0.107 | 39.6% | 110.9% | |
| Oct 4 | Kansas | L 20–27 | 375 | 1 | 29:59 | +0.051 | 36.0% | 131.9% | One-score loss |
| Sep 27 | @Kansas State | L 20–34 | 402 | 3 | 27:51 | +0.144 | 35.6% | 175.5% | |
| Sep 20 | North Carolina | W 34–9 | 366 | 0 | 33:47 | +0.383 | 48.4% | 110.8% | |
| Sep 6 | North Carolina A&T | W 68–7 | 560 | 0 | 24:01 | +0.636 | 50.0% | 188.9% | Season-high EPA/play |
| Aug 28 | Jacksonville State | W 17–10 | 424 | 1 | 31:56 | +0.220 | 39.4% | 172.3% | One-score win |
| Season average (12 games) | 379 | 1.5 | +0.150 | 39.9% | 135.5% | ||||
How They Play · 2025
How They Play · 2025UCF fields a limited explosive, big-play offense behind a solid, bend-don't-break defense.
Opponent-adjusted percentiles vs all FBS. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.
Team identity · competitive snaps only
How UCF actually scores
33rd percentile quality, 82nd percentile boom-dependency. Garbage time excluded from both axes — the same correction that changes the Q4 story below.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Quality percentile | Boom-share percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 86th | 11th |
| Akron | 12th | 89th |
| Alabama | 58th | 17th |
| App State | 35th | 47th |
| Arizona | 64th | 37th |
| Arizona State | 41st | 62nd |
| Arkansas | 90th | 12th |
| Arkansas State | 17th | 66th |
| Army | 57th | 43rd |
| Auburn | 47th | 53rd |
| BYU | 78th | 19th |
| Baylor | 69th | 25th |
| Boise State | 66th | 20th |
| Boston College | 37th | 54th |
| Bowling Green | 2nd | 98th |
| Buffalo | 11th | 88th |
| California | 28th | 48th |
| Central Michigan | 52nd | 64th |
| Cincinnati | 89th | 16th |
| Clemson | 51st | 48th |
| Coastal Carolina | 17th | 83rd |
| Colorado | 18th | 84th |
| Colorado State | 16th | 83rd |
| Delaware | 38th | 58th |
| Duke | 80th | 14th |
| East Carolina | 63rd | 36th |
| Eastern Michigan | 49th | 42nd |
| Florida | 30th | 67th |
| Florida Atlantic | 62nd | 59th |
| Florida International | 42nd | 50th |
| Florida State | 83rd | 32nd |
| Fresno State | 26th | 73rd |
| Georgia | 81st | 3rd |
| Georgia Southern | 73rd | 21st |
| Georgia State | 36th | 70th |
| Georgia Tech | 84th | 5th |
| Hawai'i | 64th | 41st |
| Houston | 27th | 65th |
| Illinois | 75th | 26th |
| Indiana | 95th | 1st |
| Iowa | 44th | 40th |
| Iowa State | 68th | 22nd |
| Jacksonville State | 54th | 38th |
| James Madison | 65th | 44th |
| Kansas | 85th | 28th |
| Kansas State | 71st | 49th |
| Kennesaw State | 56th | 30th |
| Kent State | 21st | 86th |
| Kentucky | 15th | 85th |
| LSU | 14th | 81st |
| Liberty | 43rd | 56th |
| Louisiana | 19th | 73rd |
| Louisiana Tech | 39th | 61st |
| Louisville | 48th | 64th |
| Marshall | 55th | 39th |
| Maryland | 30th | 74th |
| Memphis | 80th | 24th |
| Miami | 76th | 5th |
| Miami (OH) | 34th | 67th |
| Michigan | 67th | 33rd |
| Michigan State | 27th | 75th |
| Middle Tennessee | 39th | 52nd |
| Minnesota | 29th | 77th |
| Mississippi State | 22nd | 77th |
| Missouri | 61st | 30th |
| Missouri State | 55th | 46th |
| NC State | 86th | 23rd |
| Navy | 94th | 17th |
| Nebraska | 48th | 57th |
| Nevada | 3rd | 97th |
| New Mexico | 58th | 60th |
| New Mexico State | 9th | 87th |
| North Carolina | 13th | 89th |
| North Texas | 98th | 7th |
| Northern Illinois | 8th | 92nd |
| Northwestern | 52nd | 36th |
| Notre Dame | 99th | 20th |
| Ohio | 67th | 18th |
| Ohio State | 93rd | 4th |
| Oklahoma | 20th | 80th |
| Oklahoma State | 5th | 95th |
| Old Dominion | 83rd | 45th |
| Ole Miss | 89th | 2nd |
| Oregon | 91st | 10th |
| Oregon State | 2nd | 98th |
| Penn State | 73rd | 33rd |
| Pittsburgh | 60th | 39th |
| Purdue | 25th | 78th |
| Rice | 6th | 94th |
| Rutgers | 70th | 27th |
| SMU | 74th | 42nd |
| Sam Houston | 4th | 96th |
| San Diego State | 24th | 76th |
| San José State | 45th | 69th |
| South Alabama | 36th | 58th |
| South Carolina | 23rd | 86th |
| South Florida | 87th | 23rd |
| Southern Miss | 40th | 55th |
| Stanford | 10th | 90th |
| Syracuse | 5th | 95th |
| TCU | 72nd | 35th |
| Temple | 70th | 34th |
| Tennessee | 96th | 11th |
| Texas | 45th | 55th |
| Texas A&M | 82nd | 14th |
| Texas State | 92nd | 8th |
| Texas Tech | 77th | 31st |
| Toledo | 50th | 61st |
| Troy | 14th | 80th |
| Tulane | 79th | 15th |
| Tulsa | 20th | 70th |
| UAB | 61st | 45th |
| UCF | 33rd | 82nd |
| UCLA | 23rd | 79th |
| UConn | 95th | 13th |
| UL Monroe | 11th | 92nd |
| UNLV | 88th | 9th |
| USC | 98th | 2nd |
| UTEP | 1st | 99th |
| UTSA | 77th | 51st |
| Utah | 97th | 6th |
| Utah State | 46th | 63rd |
| Vanderbilt | 100th | 0th |
| Virginia | 59th | 27th |
| Virginia Tech | 32nd | 71st |
| Wake Forest | 42nd | 72nd |
| Washington | 92nd | 8th |
| Washington State | 33rd | 52nd |
| West Virginia | 7th | 93rd |
| Western Kentucky | 53rd | 29th |
| Western Michigan | 31st | 68th |
| Wisconsin | 0th | 100th |
| Wyoming | 8th | 91st |
Fourth-quarter reliability, corrected
UCF's 4th-quarter offense, before and after garbage time
Raw Q4 EPA/play ranks 60th percentile in FBS. Strip out snaps taken with a blowout margin and it climbs to the 67th — the correction is the finding, not a footnote.
Standard downs vs. passing downs
Does UCF hold up once the down-and-distance turns against them?
39th percentile success on standard downs, 20th on passing downs — a 19-point gap between the two.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Standard-downs percentile | Passing-downs percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 82nd | 69th |
| Akron | 20th | 36th |
| Alabama | 47th | 76th |
| App State | 41st | 80th |
| Arizona | 54th | 54th |
| Arizona State | 40th | 37th |
| Arkansas | 90th | 97th |
| Arkansas State | 51st | 40th |
| Army | 37th | 44th |
| Auburn | 73rd | 24th |
| Austin Peay | 56th | 13th |
| BYU | 91st | 46th |
| Ball State | 5th | 3rd |
| Baylor | 70th | 77th |
| Boise State | 42nd | 63rd |
| Boston College | 56th | 54th |
| Bowling Green | 10th | 17th |
| Bryant | 7th | 2nd |
| Buffalo | 29th | 20th |
| California | 25th | 66th |
| Central Michigan | 57th | 11th |
| Charlotte | 7th | 7th |
| Cincinnati | 89th | 65th |
| Clemson | 49th | 34th |
| Coastal Carolina | 16th | 22nd |
| Colorado | 8th | 48th |
| Colorado State | 29th | 35th |
| Delaware | 66th | 31st |
| Duke | 82nd | 63rd |
| East Carolina | 63rd | 91st |
| Eastern Michigan | 46th | 67th |
| Florida | 52nd | 45th |
| Florida Atlantic | 44th | 61st |
| Florida International | 50th | 26th |
| Florida State | 65th | 90th |
| Fresno State | 22nd | 71st |
| Georgia | 95th | 69th |
| Georgia Southern | 64th | 84th |
| Georgia State | 22nd | 75th |
| Georgia Tech | 92nd | 89th |
| Hawai'i | 33rd | 87th |
| Houston | 61st | 29th |
| Idaho | 30th | 78th |
| Idaho State | 93rd | 14th |
| Illinois | 79th | 95th |
| Indiana | 97th | 98th |
| Iowa | 74th | 19th |
| Iowa State | 80th | 58th |
| Jacksonville State | 59th | 56th |
| James Madison | 77th | 52nd |
| Kansas | 99th | 82nd |
| Kansas State | 37th | 59th |
| Kennesaw State | 44th | 67th |
| Kent State | 15th | 5th |
| Kentucky | 62nd | 29th |
| LSU | 18th | 52nd |
| Lafayette | 0th | 12th |
| Liberty | 65th | 53rd |
| Lindenwood | 4th | 1st |
| Long Island University | 24th | 78th |
| Louisiana | 24th | 23rd |
| Louisiana Tech | 41st | 24th |
| Louisville | 84th | 32nd |
| Maine | 3rd | 18th |
| Marshall | 71st | 62nd |
| Maryland | 11th | 86th |
| Massachusetts | 5th | 9th |
| Memphis | 75th | 68th |
| Merrimack | 1st | 83rd |
| Miami | 80th | 64th |
| Miami (OH) | 33rd | 39th |
| Michigan | 73rd | 74th |
| Michigan State | 48th | 39th |
| Middle Tennessee | 69th | 47th |
| Minnesota | 35th | 33rd |
| Mississippi State | 52nd | 35th |
| Missouri | 76th | 50th |
| Missouri State | 32nd | 50th |
| Murray State | 1st | 6th |
| NC State | 58th | 71st |
| Navy | 95th | 72nd |
| Nebraska | 78th | 51st |
| Nevada | 17th | 16th |
| New Mexico | 38th | 60th |
| New Mexico State | 16th | 33rd |
| North Carolina | 14th | 30th |
| North Texas | 100th | 97th |
| Northern Illinois | 9th | 5th |
| Northwestern | 48th | 88th |
| Notre Dame | 88th | 99th |
| Ohio | 69th | 76th |
| Ohio State | 99th | 99th |
| Oklahoma | 39th | 41st |
| Oklahoma State | 14th | 7th |
| Old Dominion | 72nd | 79th |
| Ole Miss | 83rd | 95th |
| Oregon | 93rd | 55th |
| Oregon State | 54th | 25th |
| Penn State | 76th | 73rd |
| Pittsburgh | 35th | 56th |
| Purdue | 46th | 88th |
| Rice | 20th | 0th |
| Rutgers | 71st | 84th |
| SMU | 50th | 57th |
| Sam Houston | 26th | 4th |
| San Diego State | 84th | 1st |
| San José State | 68th | 70th |
| South Alabama | 53rd | 28th |
| South Carolina | 31st | 8th |
| South Carolina State | 10th | 3rd |
| South Florida | 86th | 46th |
| Southern Miss | 27th | 38th |
| Stanford | 12th | 12th |
| Syracuse | 19th | 10th |
| TCU | 63rd | 82nd |
| Temple | 85th | 22nd |
| Tennessee | 97th | 81st |
| Texas | 27th | 61st |
| Texas A&M | 88th | 59th |
| Texas State | 60th | 93rd |
| Texas Tech | 45th | 65th |
| Toledo | 67th | 42nd |
| Troy | 18th | 27th |
| Tulane | 81st | 86th |
| Tulsa | 43rd | 43rd |
| UAB | 34th | 94th |
| UCF | 39th | 20th |
| UCLA | 28th | 48th |
| UConn | 96th | 37th |
| UL Monroe | 13th | 14th |
| UNLV | 78th | 85th |
| USC | 94th | 90th |
| UT Martin | 2nd | 41st |
| UTEP | 3rd | 10th |
| UTSA | 67th | 92nd |
| Utah | 87th | 96th |
| Utah State | 31st | 49th |
| Vanderbilt | 90th | 100th |
| Virginia | 36th | 73rd |
| Virginia Tech | 59th | 21st |
| Wake Forest | 21st | 31st |
| Washington | 98th | 93rd |
| Washington State | 61st | 44th |
| West Virginia | 12th | 18th |
| Western Kentucky | 55th | 80th |
| Western Michigan | 86th | 16th |
| Wisconsin | 6th | 27th |
| Wyoming | 23rd | 15th |
Halftime identity
UCF by half
1st-half offense ranks 40th percentile in FBS; 2nd-half, 61st — competitive snaps only, garbage time excluded from both halves.
Schedule mirage
How much of UCF's number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 21 is 0.15; 43rd percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's 0.02. The widest gap came in week 3: 0.43 raw vs. 0.06 adjusted.
UCF reads strongest in explosive plays allowed (top 7%) and explosive plays (top 15%); the crux lives in success rate, where UCF sits at the 26th percentile.
offense · strengths lead
defense · higher bar = harder to play against
hidden math · special situations
ELITE · 90+STRONG · 70+AVERAGE · 40-70CONCERN · 10-40BOTTOM · <10
Most Similar Programs · UCF
Most Similar Programs · UCFReads Like
AkronTier 3 · Prestige T3 · Similarly-sized rosters up frontApp StateTier 3 · Prestige T3 · Similarly-sized rosters up frontArmyTier 3 · Prestige T3 · Similarly-sized rosters up front
Static-attribute similarity across tier, archetype, conference, and voice. Not a prediction — a calibration.
Home-Field Advantage · UCF · 2018-present
Elite
76% home win rate vs 45% on the road. margin runs +16.9 better at home. FBC Mortgage Stadium seats 44,206, averaging 97% full (42,917 attendance, 26 games reported).
Home40-12Away19-23
Positional competition · RB room
The carries are split. The job isn’t.
Myles Montgomery and Jaden Nixon split the carries (142/210 vs 68/210) -- but the job isn't split the same way. Jaden Nixon produces in bigger chunks.
Myles MontgomeryJaden Nixon
Carries
the baseline -- every row below is tested against this split, not a flat 50/50
Inside the 5
shared -- dots touch, this room really is a committee here
Targets
shared -- dots touch, this room really is a committee here
Top-5-carry share
concentration and EPA/carry agree -- a real boom/bust split
Screened 3 claims, 1 survived, 2 falsified
Positional competition · WR/TE room
The targets are split. The job isn’t.
Duane Thomas Jr. (WR) and Dylan Wade (TE) split the targets (72/125 vs 53/125) -- but the job isn't split the same way.
Duane Thomas Jr.Dylan Wade
Targets
the baseline -- every row below is tested against this split, not a flat 50/50
3rd-down targets
shared -- dots touch, this room really is a committee here
Garbage-time share
shared -- dots touch, this room really is a committee here
Top-5-catch share
concentration alone -- EPA/target doesn't corroborate, read with caution
Screened 3 claims, 0 survived, 3 falsified
What changed
UCF’s play-calling, before and after the change
Offense: Tim Harris Jr. / co-Darin Hinshaw (2024) → Steve Cooper (2025)
The biggest shift: 1st-down pass rate moved up 15 points. The rest held closer to steady.
1st-down pass rate
Red-zone pass rate
Defense: Ted Roof / co-Addison Williams (2024) → Alex Grinch (2025)
The biggest shift: 1st-down pass rate moved up 15 points. The rest held closer to steady.
1st-down pass rate
Red-zone pass rate
Defensive identity · pass zones
What this defense gives up, by zone.
On short passes, UCF’s defense allows a completion rate above the FBS mean (69.4% vs 65.9% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 130-play sample) — mid-pack, 121 of 133 qualifying defenses.
We won’t show a deep-ball leaderboard here: at the defense level, most teams face well under 30 rich-feed deep targets all season — too thin to tell a real tendency from noise, so we won’t guess.
Screened 133 claims, 133 survived · 2025 only, in the 399 games with the detailed play-text feed; n=130 short-zone plays faced, raw rate 73.1%
Venue texture
78°F average kickoff temp; 23% of games had measurable precipitation; 9 mph average wind.
Based on 78 home games with weather data.
The CFP Era
12 seasons inside the CFP era, no bids yet — the era the program is still trying to break into.
TRAJECTORY · quality-score line · AP rank dotted · CFP bids marked · coach regimes ribboned
Program Quality
AP Rank (inverted)
CFP Appearance
UCF's 2014–2025 record is 88-61. The era is still being written; the CFP line is the one the program is arguing for.
War on I-4
14 meetings since 2005 See the whole history →
Heat trajectory
Week-by-week rivalry heat isn't tracked yet for this matchup — check back as the 2026-27 season approaches and real fan-intel signal accumulates.
Fan Heat Index
Who's more worked up right now
Cross-fanbase rivalry sentiment for this matchup hasn't been measured yet this week — both sides show as neutral until real signal comes in.
UCF
Awaiting
South Florida
Awaiting
UCF
—
South Florida
—
THE LAST 5 · year-by-year
- W 2022 Win 46–39
- W 2021 Win 17–13
- W 2020 Win 58–46
- W 2019 Win 34–7
- W 2018 Win 38–10
All-Time Record
212-173
since 1983 · 39 seasons · .550 win rate
HOME
127-54
AWAY
77-110
NEUTRAL
8-9
1980s
1990s
2000s
2010s
2020s
The program, in full — read the essay
UCF went 13-0, beat Auburn in a New Year's Six bowl, and hung a national-championship banner when the Playoff committee looked the other direction. Three years into the Big 12, the program is 0-5 in its last five conference road games and trying to figure out if the swagger still applies.
The 2017 season is foundational scripture in Orlando, and UCF fans will defend it without apology. An undefeated team, a Peach Bowl win over Auburn, and a banner the program hung itself after the committee refused to rank them highest among one-loss programs. Josh Heupel's 2018 team went 12-1 and reached the Fiesta Bowl — proof the method wasn't a fluke. The Bounce House had found its personality: the largest student body in the country, furious and funny in equal measure, absolutely convinced the ceiling everyone else assigned them was wrong.
Scott Frost — the architect of the 13-0 run — returned to UCF in 2025 and went 5-7 (2-7 Big 12), missing a bowl. Back-to-back losing records in the Power Four have not dented the banner, but they have complicated the argument. The internal fracture in Orlando runs along a clean line: the faction that says the swagger was always real and the Big 12 transition just takes time, against the faction quietly wondering whether the gap between the American and the Big 12 is wider than the ring implies.
The 2026 question is the one Frost was hired to answer: can the man who built the 13-0 identity make that identity win in the league UCF fought to reach? Frost is signed through 2029. The Bounce House is not going anywhere. But two years without a bowl in the Power Four has a way of putting the proof burden back on the program.
How they play
UCF's offensive identity has been speed and disruption since the Frost era — RPO-based spread concepts that punish defenses for over-committing, a QB-run threat built into every down-and-distance. The Bounce House bounces hardest when the tempo is up and the Knights are making plays before the defense settles. In the Big 12, the question is whether the scheme that carved up American Athletic secondaries can carve up the conference's defensive coordinators.
Declining
UCF 2016–2025. Slipping -2.0 rungs across the last 10 seasons. Slope -0.35 rungs / year — moving down the prestige scale.
CFP Era · UCF
12 seasons on file
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
down middle peak CFP year
Season Standing · 2025 · 5-7
Season Standing · 2025 · 5-7FBS sub-.500
UCF: Below .500 in FBS play. The rebuild bar.
R0R1R2R3R4R5R6R7R8R9
Sub-FBSBuildingBowlRankedContenderPlayoff
Big 12 Standing · 2025
13th in the Big 12
UCF is 13th of 16 in the Big 12 at 2-7. The path to the title is steep — the focus is on bowl access and rivalry wins.
| # | Program | Record |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Texas Tech | 9-1 |
| 2 | BYU | 8-2 |
| 3 | Utah | 7-2 |
| 4 | Arizona | 7-3 |
| 5 | Arizona State | 6-3 |
| 6 | Houston | 6-3 |
| 7 | Cincinnati | 5-4 |
| 8 | Iowa State | 5-4 |
| 9 | TCU | 5-4 |
| 10 | Kansas State | 5-5 |
| 11 | Baylor | 3-6 |
| 12 | Kansas | 3-6 |
| 13 | UCF | 2-7 |
| 14 | West Virginia | 2-7 |
| 15 | Colorado | 1-8 |
| 16 | Oklahoma State | 0-9 |
Coaching Era · UCF
Coaching Era · UCFScott Frost
Scott Frost in year 2 of the rebuild. The methodology is taking shape.
Era Scott Frost · 2025–presentPrev: Gus Malzahn (2021–2024)OC: Steve CooperPrev OC: Tim Harris Jr. / co-Darin Hinshaw (2024)DC: Alex GrinchPrev DC: Ted Roof / co-Addison Williams (2024)
2
years · era
Rituals
Three gameday rituals — the ones outsiders never quite catch.
2017 Self-Declared National Championship
since 2017
UCF's 2017 13-0 + Peach Bowl championship + #6 final AP rank — with no CFP invitation due to G5 status — produced the program's defiant self-declaration of national-championship status. Banners + commemorative rings + 'UCF #1 in 2017' merchandise still survive. The defiance became the program's permanent identity: 'we earned this even if the bracket didn't.'
Charge On
since 2010s
'Charge On' — short, declarative, defiance-rooted — is the program's mantra. Used in tweets, recruiting materials, postgame celebrations. The two-word phrase captures the G5-to-P5 ascent narrative + the 2017 unbeaten season vibe.
The Bounce House (FBC Mortgage Stadium)
since 2007
FBC Mortgage Stadium's nickname 'The Bounce House' — earned because the upper-deck flexes under crowd movement — is one of CFB's most-memorable venue nicknames. Visiting fans cite the bounce-house feeling as one of the more-unusual P5 stadium experiences.
Program memory
What this program never forgets
Most weeks vanish. These didn’t.
2017
The self-declared national championship
13-0, a Peach Bowl win over Auburn, and a banner UCF hung itself
2018
The McKenzie Milton injury
The face of the program suffers a catastrophic leg injury vs USF
Heartbreak
2023
The Big 12 jump
UCF leaves the American for the Power-Four Big 12 — the ascent completed
Moment of the Year · UCF · 2025
Moment of the Year · UCF · 2025Lost 9-48 at Texas Tech
Week 12 of 2025. A reckoning loss — the data point the next season must answer.
Bowl / Postseason Ledger
Bowl / Postseason LedgerRecent postseason (2014-2023): 3-6
Most recent: 2023 — loss 17-30 (home). Last 5 postseason: 2-3.
20232022202120202019
NFL Draft Pipeline
2022–2026
NFL Draft PipelineDeveloping
6 picks last 5 cycles. Pipeline emerging.
6
picks · 1 R1
#23
Malachi Lawrence
Defensive Edge · 2026 · Dallas · #69/420 final season
#60
RJ Harvey
Running Back · 2025 · Denver · #3/310 final season
#110
Javon Baker
Wide Receiver · 2024 · New England · #24/497 final season
#80 all-time · 5 first-round picksthe talent factory →
Unit lineage
UCF’s offense and defense, by coordinator
FBS-relative efficiency percentile per season (2014–2025), same population as the Coordinator Mirror board. Dashed vertical lines mark a coordinator change.
Offense2014–2025
2014 · Charlie Taaffe2015 · Brent Key2016–2017 · Troy Walters2019 · Jeff Lebby2020 · co-Alex Golesh / co-Anthony Tucker2021 · co-GJ Kinne / co-Tim Harris Jr.2022 · Chip Lindsey2023 · co-Darin Hinshaw2024 · Tim Harris Jr. / co-Darin Hinshaw2025 (ongoing) · Steve Cooper
Defense2014–2025
2014 · Tyson Summers2015 · Chuck Bresnahan2016–2017 · Erik Chinander2018–2020 · Randy Shannon2021–2022 · co-David Gibbs / Travis Williams2023 · co-David Gibbs / co-Addison Williams2024 · Ted Roof / co-Addison Williams2025 (ongoing) · Alex Grinch
Elite (≥70th pct)AveragePoor (≤30th pct)
Chronicle Visuals
A heavy-turnover 2025: 31% returning (below average), with the qb room the biggest question.
The portal upgraded the RB room but opened a hole at DL.
The 2026 draft hit DEFENSIVE EDGE hardest — and the portal hasn't replaced it yet.
UCF sits where recruit talent and draft yield largely match.
r/cfb moments
1.7k
[Postgame Thread] BYU Defeats UCF 49-23
1.3k
[Postgame Thread] Memphis Defeats UCF 50-49
1.3k
[Postgame Thread] UCF Defeats SMU 41-19
982
[Postgame Thread] UCF Defeats Memphis 24-7
918
[Postgame Thread] UCF Defeats USF 17-13
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