cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Keyone Jenkins /Florida International

Keyone Jenkins

QB · Florida International · Jr · #1

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

1,742 PASS YDS · 9 PASS TD · 114 RUSH YDS

2026 TRANSFERTransferred Florida International → UCF for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to UCF

2025Florida International
2026UCF

QB · FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL · CONFERENCE USA

Keyone Jenkins

  • 3
  • #1
  • 6-0 | 190 lb
  • Miami, FL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

42

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by completion % at the 51st percentile.

Heisman Heat

#1773

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP QB AWARD

Davey O'Brien

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · passing yards

2023–2025
2,4222023
1,7422025

-28%

Sharp dropoff (-28%) — career inflection point.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
Florida International
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionQB
Class3
Jersey1
Measurements6-0 | 190 lb
HometownMiami, FL
Primary teamFlorida International

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 2 Programs changed on file
Latest destination UCF 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 20, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 Florida International -> UCF 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate
2025 Florida International -> -- 3-star | 0.8600 | Withdrawn

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#1773Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#2028Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in passing yards (1742).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Keyone Jenkins

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

50

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 1 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 1 mentions · belief +0 · "Keyone Jenkins still the starter as FIU football looks to break two-game skid &n"Own fansRivals: 2 mentions · belief +0 · "Hi Knight Nation, When looking for a transfer portal tracker for UCF, I found th"Rivals
  • Own fans · n=1
  • Rivals · n=2

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Keyone Jenkins

Only 2 rival mention(s) — below the 4-mention floor for a defensible read.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the passing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 10g
1,742Pass yards
9Pass TDs
6INT
Per game
174.2Pass yards
1Pass TDs
1INT
Projected (13g)
2,265Pass yards
12Pass TDs
8INT

To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 1,742): needs 419.3/game over remaining 3.

To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 1,742): needs 752.7/game over remaining 3.

To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 9): needs 5.3/game over remaining 3.

To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 9): needs 7/game over remaining 3.

To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 9): needs 8.7/game over remaining 3.

Why this is a two-channel quarterback case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The unusual part of Keyone Jenkins's case is that the production comes in two channels, not one. For Florida International, he has 1,742 passing yards and 9 touchdown passes, but he also adds 114 rushing yards and 5 rushing scores. That kind of dual-threat load tends to create a more resilient Heisman case because the offense can tilt the game in multiple ways.

Current place #1773 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 43.1% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

QB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Pass yards 1,742 9 TD | 6 INT | #104/382 (73rd pct)
Completion rate 62.4% 164/263 completions | #173/383 (55th pct)
Yards/attempt 6.6 Explosiveness through the air | #223/382 (42nd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Steady volume against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.

Steady volume

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Passing Efficiency

CMP
164 74th
ATT
263 76th
CMP%
62.4% 55th
Y/A
6.6 42nd

Passing Production

YDS
1,742 73rd
TD
9 71st
INT
6 28th

Rushing

CAR
52 70th
YDS
114 69th
YPC
2.2 41st
TD
5 86th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 10 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCMP/ATTYDSTDINTYPAQBRNote
Wk 1W 42-9vs Bethune-Cookman18/30187006.248.8
Wk 2L 0-34@ Penn State15/28127014.527.6
Wk 3W 38-28vs Florida Atlantic18/24184107.748.9
Wk 4L 16-38vs Delaware22/34203126.015.2
Wk 6L 10-51@ UConn15/2474013.113.8
Wk 8W 25-6@ Western Kentucky17/25184107.443.2
Wk 9L 26-45vs Kennesaw State22/36296108.247.6Season-high 296 yds
Wk 10L 21-28@ Missouri State15/24147206.139.8
Wk 14W 56-16@ Sam Houston15/242913112.182.03 TD passes
BowlL 20-57@ UTSA7/1449013.57.8
Total164/2631742966.537.5
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Florida International4-8HC: Mike MacIntyre · Balanced
2025Florida International7-6HC: Willie Simmons · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Florida International16426362.4%1,7426.696124.7----
2023Florida International19433258.4%2,4227.31111124.0----
Career2 loaded seasons35859560.2%4,1647.02017124.3----
SeasonTeam
2025Florida International521142.25--
2023Florida International117500.46--
Career2 loaded seasons1691641.011--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Passing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.

Role share

How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Rush impact 114 5 rush TD | #127/408 (69th pct)
Usage 43.1% 74.2% pass share | 11.7% rush share | #131/428 (70th pct)
Passing WEPA +0.18 Opponent-adjusted passing value | #155/200 (23rd pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Passing Passing yards 1,742 #104/382 73rd pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Pass TD 9 #117/407 71st pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Passing Completions 164 #99/383 74th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Completion % 62.4% #173/383 55th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Passing Yards / attempt 6.6 #223/382 42nd pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing yards 114 #127/408 69th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Value Passing WEPA +0.18 #155/200 23rd pct Opponent-adjusted passing value | 247 weighted playsvs FBS QB
Usage Role share 43.1% #131/428 70th pct Share of team offensevs FBS QB
Passing Attempts 263 #97/407 76th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Interceptions 6 #294/407 28th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB
Rushing Carries 52 #122/408 70th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing LONG 42 #61/391 85th pct Metricvs FBS QB
Rushing Rush TD 5 #59/408 86th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Rushing Yards / carry 2.2 #240/407 41st pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Usage Pass share 74.2% #133/428 69th pct Air-game usagevs FBS QB
Usage 3rd-down usage 54.5% #130/428 70th pct Money-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Passing-down usage 51.7% #142/428 67th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS QB
Usage 2nd-down usage 40.7% #137/428 68th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Standard-down usage 38.7% #114/428 74th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS QB
Usage 1st-down usage 38.4% #117/428 73rd pct Early-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Rush share 11.7% #139/428 68th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS QB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.05 #137/140 3rd pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 40 weighted playsvs FBS QB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 3 #213/258 18th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 10 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Home4g2180.87.00.5
Road6g1451.06.10.7

Win vs Loss

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Wins4g2121.28.30.2
Losses6g1490.75.20.8

First half vs Second half

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Weeks 1-76g1370.35.20.8
Weeks 8+4g2301.88.40.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

42Mid-pack
8 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: fumbles lost (18th).

Rush TDs#53 / 183 · 68th pct
5rush
Interceptions#70 / 183 · 56th pct
6pass
Completion %#90 / 183 · 51st pct
62.4%pass
Rush yards#99 / 183 · 46th pct
114rush
Pass yards#104 / 183 · 43rd pct
1742pass
Pass TDs#117 / 183 · 33rd pct
9pass
Yards / att#133 / 183 · 27th pct
6.6pass
Fumbles lost#132 / 174 · 18th pct
3fumb

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Pass Profile · Completion depth (PBP)

Where the throws are landing

100/161 (62.1%) · 3 TD · 4 INT

Short

0–9 yds
68%of completions
68 comp5.2 yds avg2 TD

Middle

10–19 yds
21%of completions
21 comp13.2 yds avg

Deep

20+ yds
11%of completions
11 comp30.5 yds avg1 TD

Overall 62.1% completion on 161 attempts · 11 deep completions averaging 30.5 yds.

Advanced Savant · QB · 2024

Percentile Card

Concerns: EPA / dropback.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback0.180
23th pct
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_passing0.18Below (<p25) (n=94)
wepa_rushing0.05Below (<p25) (n=72)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Keyone JenkinsFlorida InternationalRyan BrownePurdue· 82% simMiller MossLouisville· 75% simNick VattiatoMiddle Tennessee· 75% sim
Rush TDs
68
Jenkins
59
Browne
86
Moss
39
Vattiato
Interceptions
56
Jenkins
14
Browne
44
Moss
44
Vattiato
Completion %
51
Jenkins
29
Browne
64
Moss
41
Vattiato
Rush yards
46
Jenkins
61
Browne
5
Moss
27
Vattiato
Pass yards
43
Jenkins
56
Browne
71
Moss
57
Vattiato
Pass TDs
33
Jenkins
33
Browne
64
Moss
64
Vattiato
Yards / att
27
Jenkins
23
Browne
49
Moss
13
Vattiato
Fumbles lost
18
Jenkins
18
Browne
38
Moss
66
Vattiato

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Pocket Passer

Balanced passer who operates within the system. Profile sits near league average across dimensions.

QB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Skyler Locklear’s 2024 season.

Skyler Locklear

76%match

UTEP · 2024

#2

Brady McBride

Texas State · 2020

69%
#3

Ta'Quan Roberson

UConn · 2023

72%
#4

E.J. Warner

Rice · 2024

71%
#5

Baylor Hayes

Tulsa · 2025

70%

Matches Skyler on

Total pass EPA (college ability)
Rush yards / carry

Differs from Skyler on

Class year (higher)
Rush usage (lower)
Height (higher)

Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Gevani McCoy’s path through Oregon State.

Gevani McCoy

87%match

Oregon State · 2024

#2

Lunch Winfield

Louisiana · 2025

84%
#3

Caden Creel

Jacksonville State · 2025

83%
#4

Devon Dampier

Utah · 2025

All-Big 12
83%
#5

Dennis Grosel

Boston College · 2021

83%

Matches Gevani on

Height
Yards per attempt
Completion %

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Jaylen Raynor's junior season at Arkansas State (2025).

Jaylen Raynor

66%match

Arkansas State · 2025

All-Sun Belt
#2

Giovanni Lopez

North Carolina · 2025

63%
#3

E.J. Warner

Rice · 2024

62%
#4

Ta'Quan Roberson

UConn · 2023

58%
#5

JC French

Georgia Southern · 2025

58%

Matches Jaylen on

Rush yards / carry

Differs from Jaylen on

Weight (lower)
Total pass EPA (college ability) (lower)
Completion % (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Willie Simmons

Pass share

47.3%

428 pass / 476 run

Plays / game

69.5

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.9%

290 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

2 coaches
2023
Mike MacIntyre
Florida International
2025
Willie Simmons
Florida International
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Mike MacIntyre → Willie Simmons. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownMiami, FL
Height6'0"
Weight190 lb
Class3
PositionQB
Jersey1

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Florida International QB3 #1773 #2028 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Conference USA
2023 Florida International QB3 #664 #1087 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Conference USA

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Florida International Conference USA QB 3 No. 1 | 6-0 | 190 lb | Miami, FL
2024 Florida International Conference USA QB 3 No. 1 | 6-0 | 190 lb | Miami, FL
2023 Florida International Conference USA QB 3 No. 1 | 6-0 | 190 lb | Miami, FL