cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Nate Bennett /Baylor

Nate Bennett

QB · Baylor · Fr · #14

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

34 PASS YDS · 0 PASS TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Baylor for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Baylor for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Quarterback · Baylor

Returning around him

  • 82% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • 2 Baylor players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -1 net (31 in / 32 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Baylor · Last season: 5-7 · Talent rank #35 · 2026 recruiting class #36

QB · BAYLOR · BIG 12

Nate Bennett

  • 1
  • #14
  • 6-1 | 184 lb
  • Westlake Village, CA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

38

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by completion % at the 97th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#866

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP QB AWARD

Davey O'Brien

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · passing yards

2024–2025
19.02024
34.02025

+79%

Up 79% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1709 national
CFB
College
Baylor
2024–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionQB
Class1
Jersey14
Measurements6-1 | 184 lb
HometownWestlake Village, CA
Primary teamBaylor

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1709 recruit
Composite rating 0.8450 HighSchool
Signed with Baylor 2024
Origin Oaks Christian Westlake Village, CA, USA
Class Profile Context
2024 3-star | 0.8450 No. 1709 recruit | HighSchool | Baylor

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#866Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#918Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Baylor

Composite

0.8450

#1709 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Nate Bennett

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

50

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 1 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 1 mentions · belief +0 · "Niagara RHP Nate Bennett Commits To Virginia Tech &nbsp;&nbsp; Sports Illustrate"Own fansRivals: 2 mentions · belief +0 · "Niagara right-handed pitcher Nate Bennett announced his commitment to Virginia T"Rivals
  • Own fans · n=1
  • Rivals · n=2

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Nate Bennett

Only 2 rival mention(s) — below the 4-mention floor for a defensible read.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Scenario Explorer

Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Nate Bennett's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Baylor, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #866 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 8.0% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

QB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Pass yards 34 0 TD | 0 INT | #325/382 (15th pct)
Completion rate 71.4% 5/7 completions | #57/383 (85th pct)
Yards/attempt 4.9 Explosiveness through the air | #316/382 (18th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Highly efficient | Pocket-leaning against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.

Highly efficientPocket-leaning

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Passing Efficiency

CMP
5 22nd
ATT
7 24th
CMP%
71.4% 85th
Y/A
4.9 18th

Passing Production

YDS
34 15th
TD
0 30th
INT
0 100th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 1 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCMP/ATTYDSTDINTYPAQBRNote
Wk 3W 42-7vs Samford5/734004.913.4Season-high 34 yds
Total5/734004.913.4
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2024Baylor8-5HC: Dave Aranda · Run-leaning
2025Baylor5-7HC: Dave Aranda · Pass-leaning, fast tempo
SeasonTeam
2025Baylor5771.4%344.900112.2----
2024Baylor1250.0%199.500129.8----
Career2 loaded seasons6966.7%535.900116.1----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Passing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.

Role share

How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Rush impact -- -- rush TD
Usage 8.0% 15.6% pass share | 0.0% rush share | #292/428 (32nd pct)
Passing WEPA -- Adjusted value feed still loading
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Passing Passing yards 34 #325/382 15th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Pass TD 0 #285/407 30th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Passing Completions 5 #298/383 22nd pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Completion % 71.4% #57/383 85th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Passing Yards / attempt 4.9 #316/382 18th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Usage Role share 8.0% #292/428 32nd pct Share of team offensevs FBS QB
Passing Attempts 7 #309/407 24th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Interceptions 0 #1/407 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB
Usage Passing-down usage 17.4% #248/428 42nd pct Known-passing sharevs FBS QB
Usage Pass share 15.6% #277/428 36th pct Air-game usagevs FBS QB
Usage 3rd-down usage 14.3% #270/428 37th pct Money-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage 2nd-down usage 6.7% #310/428 28th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage 1st-down usage 5.0% #322/428 25th pct Early-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Standard-down usage 4.7% #337/428 21st pct Base-situation sharevs FBS QB
Usage Rush share 0.0% #391/428 9th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS QB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 1 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Home1g34.00.04.90.0

Win vs Loss

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Wins1g34.00.04.90.0

First half vs Second half

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Weeks 1-71g34.00.04.90.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

38Mid-pack
5 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: interceptions (99th). Strength: completion % (97th). Concern: pass tds (0th).

Interceptions#1 / 183 · 99th pct
0pass
Completion %#6 / 183 · 97th pct
71.4%pass
Yards / att#178 / 183 · 3rd pct
4.9pass
Pass yards#184 / 183 · 0th pct
34pass
Pass TDs#184 / 183 · 0th pct
0pass

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · QB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Nate BennettBaylorDrake LindseyMinnesota· 50% simNick VattiatoMiddle Tennessee· 48% simBrendon LewisMemphis· 45% sim
Interceptions
99
Bennett
56
Lindsey
44
Vattiato
44
Lewis
Completion %
97
Bennett
56
Lindsey
41
Vattiato
91
Lewis
Yards / att
3
Bennett
16
Lindsey
13
Vattiato
57
Lewis
Pass yards
0
Bennett
61
Lindsey
57
Vattiato
70
Lewis
Pass TDs
0
Bennett
72
Lindsey
64
Vattiato
64
Lewis

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Dave Aranda

Pass share

55.5%

510 pass / 409 run

Plays / game

76.6

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

5.0%

417 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Pass-leaning, fast tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025

1 coach
2024
Dave Aranda
Baylor
2025
Dave Aranda
Baylor

Played his entire career under Dave Aranda.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownWestlake Village, CA
Height6'1"
Weight184 lb
Class1
PositionQB
Jersey14

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Baylor QB1 #866 #918 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big 12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Baylor Big 12 QB 1 No. 14 | 6-1 | 184 lb | Westlake Village, CA
2024 Baylor Big 12 QB 1 No. 14 | 6-1 | 184 lb | Westlake Village, CA