cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Gavin Freeman /Oklahoma State

Gavin Freeman

WR · Oklahoma State · Jr · #17

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

481 REC YDS · 53 REC · 4 REC TD

2026 TRANSFERTransferred Oklahoma State → Baylor for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to Baylor

2025Oklahoma State
2026Baylor

WR · OKLAHOMA STATE · BIG 12

Gavin Freeman

  • 3
  • #17
  • 5-8 | 185 lb
  • Oklahoma City, OK

CFB Zeitgeist Score

50

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by rec tds at the 68th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#3120

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2022–2025
46.02022
95.02023
4812025

+946%

Up 946% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1744 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class3
Jersey17
Measurements5-8 | 185 lb
HometownOklahoma City, OK
Primary teamOklahoma State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1744 recruit
Composite rating 0.8285 HighSchool
Signed with Oklahoma 2022
Origin Heritage Hall Oklahoma City, OK, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 3-star | 0.8285 No. 1744 recruit | HighSchool | Oklahoma

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 2 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Baylor 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 15, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 Oklahoma State -> Baylor 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate
2024 Oklahoma -> Oklahoma State 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#3120Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#3082Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in receiving yards (481).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Oklahoma

Composite

0.8285

#1744 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Gavin Freeman

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

50

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 1 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 1 mentions · belief +0 · "Tennessee Volunteers intensify their transfer portal push as quarterback Sam Lea"Own fans
  • Own fans · n=1

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Gavin Freeman

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Receiving TDs

4

count

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #161 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 70th

Why it matters

#161 of 531 All FBS WRs in receiving TDs — 4 TDs on 53 receptions.

Vs cohort

This player 4 (70th)

HIGH · n=53 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Receiving yards (total)#236 / 531
  • Yards per reception#460 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 10 at Kansas — 1 receiving_tds

Result L 21-38

The week the volume broke through — stacked 1 td at Kansas.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
481Rec yards
53Receptions
4Rec TDs
Per game
40.1Rec yards
4Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
521.1Rec yards
57Receptions
4Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 481): needs 219/game over remaining 1.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 481): needs 519/game over remaining 1.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 53): needs 7/game over remaining 1.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 53): needs 27/game over remaining 1.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 4): needs 4/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 4): needs 6/game over remaining 1.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Gavin Freeman's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Oklahoma State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #3120 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 8.2% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 2 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 53 4 rec TD | #101/1110 (91st pct)
Receiving yards 481 9.1 per catch | #238/1107 (79th pct)
Scrimmage yards 529 Total offensive yardage | #238/1107 (79th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Target magnet against FBS receiving peers.

Target magnet

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
53 91st
YDS
481 79th
YPR
9.1 26th
TD
4 86th

Rushing

CAR
12 91st
YDS
48 85th
YPC
4.0 47th
TD
0 81st

Returns

KR YDS
44 44th
KR AVG
14.7 24th
PR YDS
68 62nd
PR AVG
4.0 23rd

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 27-7vs UT Martin5469.2112
Wk 2L 3-69@ Oregon133.003
Wk 4L 12-19vs Tulsa33511.7022
Wk 5L 27-45vs Baylor4348.5021
Wk 6L 13-41@ Arizona3268.7018
Wk 7L 17-39vs Houston35919.7133
Wk 8L 17-49vs Cincinnati4307.5011
Wk 9L 0-42@ Texas Tech6477.8015
Wk 10L 21-38@ Kansas77811.1133Season-high 78 yds
Wk 12L 6-14vs Kansas State5377.4017
Wk 13L 14-17@ UCF5408.0112
Wk 14L 13-20vs Iowa State7466.6012
Total534819.1433
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Oklahoma6-7HC: Brent Venables · Run-leaning, fast tempo
2023Oklahoma10-3HC: Brent Venables · Balanced
2025Oklahoma State1-11HC: Mike Gundy · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Oklahoma State534819.14--
2023Oklahoma19955.01--
2022Oklahoma34615.30--
Career3 loaded seasons756228.35--
SeasonTeam
2025Oklahoma State12484468--
2023Oklahoma520--1221
2022Oklahoma771------
Career3 loaded seasons24139441901
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 8.2% 13.2% pass-game share | #311/1137 (73rd pct)
Return yards 112 0 return TD | #134/238 (44th pct)
Touchdowns 4 Across offense and returns | #152/1111 (86th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 53 #101/1110 91st pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 481 #238/1107 79th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 4 #152/1111 86th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 9.1 #824/1106 26th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Kick return yards 44 #134/238 44th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Returns Punt return yards 68 #86/224 62nd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 13.2% #311/1137 73rd pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing yards 48 #61/397 85th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing LONG 13 #134/346 62nd pct Metricvs FBS WR
Rushing Carries 12 #37/407 91st pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Yards / carry 4.0 #211/393 47th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Rushing Rush TD 0 #81/411 81st pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 33 #568/1105 49th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Returns Punt returns 17 #27/237 89th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Returns Kick return avg 14.7 #180/236 24th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Punt return avg 4.0 #173/222 23rd pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Kick returns 3 #108/243 56th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 10.3% #100/1137 91st pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 9.9% #245/1137 79th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage Role share 8.2% #199/1137 83rd pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 7.8% #386/1137 66th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 7.2% #203/1137 82nd pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 6.8% #256/1137 78th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 3.4% #42/1137 96th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR
Ball Security Fumbles lost 1 #131/302 57th pct Turnoversvs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home7g4.441.010.10.3
Road5g4.438.87.70.4

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins1g5.046.09.21.0
Losses11g4.439.59.10.3

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-76g3.233.810.10.3
Weeks 8+6g5.746.38.10.3

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

50Mid-pack
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: receptions (81st). Strength: rush yards (81st). Concern: yards / catch (9th).

Receptions#101 / 558 · 81st pct
53rece
Rush yards#55 / 287 · 81st pct
48rush
Rec TDs#152 / 558 · 68th pct
4rece
Rec yards#238 / 558 · 57th pct
481rece
Rush TDs#67 / 287 · 39th pct
0rush
Fumbles lost#86 / 218 · 36th pct
1fumb
Long catch#458 / 558 · 18th pct
33rece
Yards / catch#501 / 558 · 10th pct
9.1rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Gavin FreemanOklahoma StateAnthony Evans IIIMississippi State· 75% simRyan DavisUtah· 75% simZachariah BranchGeorgia· 75% sim
Receptions
81
Freeman
95
III
91
Davis
98
Branch
Rush yards
81
Freeman
80
III
38
Branch
Rec TDs
68
Freeman
68
III
68
Davis
87
Branch
Rec yards
57
Freeman
90
III
83
Davis
89
Branch
Rush TDs
39
Freeman
39
III
39
Branch
Fumbles lost
36
Freeman
36
III
36
Davis
Long catch
18
Freeman
68
III
67
Davis
50
Branch
Yards / catch
10
Freeman
44
III
36
Davis
17
Branch

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Slot Technician

Runs precise routes in tight quarters. Volume player who keeps chains moving.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Hassan Beydoun’s 2022 season.

Hassan Beydoun

80%match

Eastern Michigan · 2022

All-MAC
#2

Aaron Turner

UConn · 2022

79%
#3

Myles Price

Texas Tech · 2022

79%
#4

Deion Burks

Oklahoma · 2025

NFL Rd 7
78%
#5

Yusuf Ali

Middle Tennessee · 2020

71%

Matches Hassan on

Total EPA (college ability)
Yards / reception
Reception volume

Differs from Hassan on

Weight (higher)

Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Briley Moore’s path through Kansas State.

Briley Moore

100%match

Kansas State · 2020

#2

Daniel Crawford

Northern Illinois · 2020

All-MAC
98%
#3

Cee Jay Powell

Louisiana Tech · 2020

95%
#4

Rico Bussey Jr.

Hawai'i · 2020

92%
#5

Damoriea Vick

Southeast Missouri State · 2023

92%

Matches Briley on

Yards per reception

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Javen Jacobs's senior season at Utah State (2025).

Javen Jacobs

72%match

Utah State · 2025

#2

Javen Nicholas

Charlotte · 2025

All-AAC
71%
#3

Dalen Cobb

Georgia Southern · 2025

All-Sun Belt
68%
#4

Dashaun Davis

App State · 2023

67%
#5

Mekhi Mews

Houston · 2024

66%

Matches Javen on

Total EPA (college ability)
Yards / reception
Reception volume

Differs from Javen on

Height (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Mike Gundy

Pass share

47.5%

365 pass / 403 run

Plays / game

64.0

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

9.9%

223 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

1 coach
2022
Mike Gundy
Oklahoma State
2023
Mike Gundy
Oklahoma State
2025
Mike Gundy
Oklahoma State

Played his entire career under Mike Gundy.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownOklahoma City, OK
Height5'8"
Weight185 lb
Class3
PositionWR
Jersey17

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Oklahoma State WR3 #3120 #3082 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big 12
2023 Oklahoma WR3 #1444 #1186 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big 12
2022 Oklahoma WR3 #1725 #1877 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big 12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Oklahoma State Big 12 WR 3 No. 17 | 5-8 | 185 lb | Oklahoma City, OK
2024 Oklahoma State Big 12 WR 3 No. 17 | 5-8 | 185 lb | Oklahoma City, OK
2023 Oklahoma Big 12 WR 3 No. 17 | 5-8 | 185 lb | Oklahoma City, OK
2022 Oklahoma Big 12 WR 3 No. 17 | 5-8 | 185 lb | Oklahoma City, OK